Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-4.3-0.1-0.1+3.9+4.4+4.4
-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.9+0.9
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.2+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.3+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-164In100.0%10014,754*
1225717-8In99.7100005,046*
1215617-9In99.7100007,954*
1205618-8In99.41000012,409*
1195518-9In99.01000018,735*
1185519-8In98.4990028,167*
1175419-9In97.5991041,795*
1165420-8In96.29811060,726*
1155320-9In94.49811086,769*
1145321-8In91.897210121,868*
1135221-9In88.295320169,048*
1125121-10In83.293430230,593*
1115122-9In76.6906400307,651*
1105022-10In68.7868600404,035*
1095023-9In59.38111900525,111*
1084923-10In48.674141200669,787*
1074924-9In37.2671715100840,945*
1064824-10In26.45821201001,037,614*
1054825-9100.0%16.848252430001,264,151*
1044725-10100.09.438282940001,516,895*
1034726-9100.04.529303471001,789,196*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,080,708*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,382,938*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,694,936*
994528-9100.00.04224325610002,998,897*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,289,312*
974429-999.60.011235341430003,551,571*
964329-1098.9No08303618610003,781,926*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,969,441*
944230-1093.0No0317342316610004,105,866*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,194,800*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,215,188*
914132-958.6No004181224231341004,178,083*
904032-1042.0No0213720262092004,084,369*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,935,145*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,738,524*
873934-97.7No0031414262818613,503,073*
863834-103.5No0010282130251123,234,185*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,950,447*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,647,959*
833736-90.2No0000015163233132,345,623*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,049,885*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,765,013*
803537-100.0No000041741371,497,770*
793538-90.0No000021239471,257,429*
783438-100.0No00001835561,037,202*
773439-90.0No000053065843,119*
763339-100.0No00032473678,885*
753340-9OutNo0021979536,864*
743240-10OutNo011584420,269*
733241-9OutNo001188323,269*
723141-10OutNo00892245,179*
713142-9OutNo0694183,160*
703042-10OutNo0496135,426*
693043-9OutNo039798,509*
682943-10OutNo029870,084*
672944-9OutNo019949,800*
662844-10OutNo019934,832*
652845-9OutNo19923,768*
642745-10OutNo0010016,041*
632746-9OutNo010010,561*
622646-10OutNo01006,950*
612647-9OutNo01004,406*
59-60OutNo1004,643*
582448-10OutNo01001,135*
572449-9OutNo100682*
562450-8OutNo0100399*
0-55OutNo1007,860*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonLos Angeles
164820-07.3%8888877888888
138659-8NoYes
134619-12No25252525
1336312-716.71717173317
1326212-815.4823158881515
1316213-712.9136106131033101016
1306214-69.8108527131010575118
1296013-96.210975101173710135
1286014-86.2810657689779109
1276015-77.3679487967910810
1265915-87.6771067787598811
1255916-77.48797879966987
1245816-86.96687778887998
1235716-97.577878610967988
1225717-88.07687779977999
1215617-97.07787779967999
1205618-87.77797779977989
1195518-97.37797779977898
1185519-87.47797779967999
1175419-97.47797779977999
1165420-87.57797779977999
1155320-97.67797779977999
1145321-87.57797779967999
1135221-97.46796669976999
1125121-107.46696669966999
1115122-97.46696669966999
1105022-107.466966699669910
1095023-97.36610666101066101010
1084923-107.36610666101066101010
1074924-97.36610666101066101010
1064824-107.25511555101155101110
1054825-97.15511555111155111111
1044725-107.15511555111155111111
1034726-96.94412444121244121212
1024626-106.84412444121244121212
1014627-96.63313333131333131313
1004527-106.53313333131333131313
994528-96.33313333131333131313
984428-106.23313333131333131413
974429-96.03313333131333131313
964329-105.93313333131333131313
954330-95.73313333131333131313
944230-105.43312333121233121212
934231-94.93310333101033101010
924131-104.23393339933999
914132-93.33373337733777
904032-102.42252225522555
894033-91.51131113311333
883933-100.91121112211222
873934-90.40010001100111
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803537-100.000000000000
793538-9No00000000
783539-80.00000000
773439-90.00000
763238-12No0
0-75No
Total:3.5%2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Calgary vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.9+0.0+0.0-0.9-1.0-1.0
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-164100
1245816-81000
1235716-91000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-8962110
1155320-99431100
1145321-8925210
1135221-988730200
1125121-108310403000
1115122-977136040000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592110090000
1084923-10492613011000000
1074924-9372917115101000
1064824-102631202181010000
1054825-9173122321210300000
1044725-10929235235204000000
1034726-9524228238306001000
1024626-1021819122013609101000
1014627-911214151517901210020000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-904516520153167206010000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-90111101212119168111330000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-900503416217135111191300000
944230-100030121401211107161245100000
934231-9002011107715318111094100000
924131-10001007044161167171294100000
914132-9000004012150123211013105200000
904032-10000020111207119613161373100000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-90000030104013816212114720000
863834-1000001002001381622221572000
853835-900001001000138162323167200
843735-10000000000013817242315610
833736-900000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-90000000016152729174
803537-100000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-100000029253925
773439-9000015194135
763339-1000002133946
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-900032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90298
642745-100199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
572449-9100
562450-8199
0-55100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333