Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 12.4%
49 points   20 19-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2*+0.1+0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey vs Anaheim-3.2-0.2-0.2+3.6+3.5+3.6
NoNoNo*No*No+0.0
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.6-0.6-0.7*+0.0*+0.0+0.5
Minnesota vs Columbus-0.5-0.4-0.5*+0.1*-0.0+0.6
Dallas vs Winnipeg-0.5-0.5-0.5*+0.0*-0.0+0.5
Colorado vs Los Angeles-0.2*-0.1-0.2+0.2*+0.1+0.5
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
Vegas vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
117340-0In29.7%9712474
109271-6InNo1001
106274-3InNo823462313*
105264-4InNo6133838616*
104265-3InNo74836958*
103255-4InNo1325413119*
102256-3InNo1265320244*
101246-4InNo12052270535*
100236-5InNo012533501,083*
99237-4InNo08474502,317*
98227-5InNo04405514,107*
97228-4100.0%No23363207,431*
96218-599.9No125694012,677*
95219-499.7No119738020,579*
94209-599.0No01372141032,504*
932010-497.1No09662230049,477*
921910-593.0No05573161072,716*
911911-485.4No03443812200101,388*
901811-573.7No023141215100138,228*
891812-458.4No0119382911200179,919*
881712-541.2No010313519510226,177*
871713-425.7No0521352710200276,787*
861613-513.6No0212293319500324,850*
851614-46.1No0162034281110370,413*
841514-52.3No0021229341940405,983*
831515-40.7No0016203629900430,371*
821415-50.2No00021231371720168,665
1516-30.2No0021231371710274,358*
811416-40.0No001623402740436,416*
801316-50.0No00214373780417,715*
791317-40.0No00183144141209,770*
1216-6OutNo0172946161174,812*
781217-5OutNo0042248243343,089*
771218-4OutNo0011346346296,422*
761118-5OutNo008404210246,012*
751119-4OutNo004314817197,011*
741019-5OutNo02235125151,701*
731020-4OutNo01154935113,697*
72920-5OutNo0010454580,788*
71921-4OutNo06395555,957*
70821-5OutNo03316537,242*
69822-4OutNo01257423,951*
68722-5OutNo1188114,438*
67723-4OutNo013868,620*
66724-3OutNo08924,689*
65624-4OutNo06942,648*
64625-3OutNo04961,289*
63525-4OutNo397645*
62526-3OutNo496289*
49-61OutNo100697*
Total:12.4%0.0%0001579111417191255,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleVegasColoradoDallasMinnesotaEdmontonVancouverSt. LouisArizonaLos AngelesChicago
117340-00.4%0031518211414106800
109271-6NoYes
106274-3No1538388
105264-4No25638256
104265-3No105573222
103255-40.8186552181
102256-3No201147220
101246-4No191348515
100236-50.120184351400000
99237-40.0192138714000000
98227-50.122273181100000
97228-40.1223128990000000
96218-50.1243523107000000
95219-40.12638191050000000
94209-50.12840161040000000
2110-30.12739171040000000
932010-40.12940141040000000
199-60.130401410300000
921910-50.13139119300000
2011-30.132381193000000
189-70.13238118300000
911911-40.13235107200000000
1810-60.1323497200000
2012-20.032351082000000
179-80.0323397200000
901811-50.130297620000000
1912-30.13029862000000
1710-70.1302875200000
2013-10.0302876200000
891812-40.12522641000000
1711-60.12522541000000
1913-20.02623641000000
1610-80.12521541000
881712-50.0191542100000
1813-30.01916431000000
1611-70.0181542100000
871713-40.0129211000000
1612-60.01292110000
1814-20.012921100000
861613-50.075110000000
1714-30.075110000000
1512-70.064110000
851614-40.032100000000
841514-50.01100000
831515-40.00000000000
821415-50.000000000
811315-6No000000
801316-5No00
791519-0No00
49-78No
Total:0.0%5.04.71.40.90.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs Anaheim+0.7+0.0+0.0-0.8-0.8-0.9
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Florida-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
117340-0306712
109271-6100
106274-3815838823
105264-461363125136
104265-37334922979
103255-41416753321131
102256-310135823290191
101246-419381536102250
100236-50417942112590
99237-4021553922291600
98227-5010323423252910
97228-4002026242142200
96218-5001018261455310
95219-400011179644300
94209-50060646868100
932010-4003052656162100
921910-501041565264300
911911-4000304433566200
901811-500020311407126100
891812-400010191386181341000
881712-5001003141922113000
871713-4005021215262082000
861613-50020121924271871000
851614-401604152726155100
841514-50020171928251341000
831515-40010029212823113100
821415-50000003112328219200
1516-30000131123282192000
811416-40000141325281982000
801316-500015152727176100
1417-3000015162727166100
791317-4000027182826144100
781217-50002922302311300
771218-4001312253020710
761118-500151629291640
751119-40028213226101
741019-50003132833194
731020-400162035299
72920-5000212313817
71921-40016244227
70821-5003154240
69822-40193753
68722-50053066
67723-4022375
66724-3011584
65624-411089
64625-30693
63525-4496
62526-3595
49-61100
Total:0000000000000507136788998876432