Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 46%
3 points   1 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Minnesota+4.1+4.1+3.4-1.4-1.4-6.0
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.8*+0.0*-0.1-0.7-0.9-0.9
+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.7*+0.1*+0.1-0.8-1.0-0.8
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.1*+0.1+0.8
Vegas vs Arizona+0.5-0.5-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-109InYes100572*
86399-5In97.2%991141*
853910-4In97.5100237*
843810-5In96.89901493*
833811-4In93.79802846*
823711-5In91.3971201,359*
813611-6In87.496222,355*
803612-5In81.4933403,788*
793512-6In73.5904605,985*
783513-5In63.8866809,174*
773413-6In50.079911013,370*
763414-5In38.47312151019,556*
753314-6In26.06316201027,252*
743315-5In14.95221252037,956*
733215-6100.0%7.741253040050,786*
723216-5100.03.029273770066,026*
713116-6100.01.01928411110084,716*
703117-599.90.2112645162000106,205*
693017-699.80.052246234000128,888*
683018-599.40.021743307010154,558*
672918-698.40.01123836120100180,360*
662919-596.3No073140171300205,816*
652819-692.3No0422402347100229,611*
642820-585.3No021436258122000250,634*
632720-675.2No018292216186100267,519*
622721-562.2No042115222212300279,936*
612621-647.5No0213825232082000285,720*
602622-533.4No0173221825165100285,822*
592522-621.2No00311612262512300279,319*
582523-512.2No0010106213021820269,196*
572423-66.4No010631328291651252,075*
562424-53.1No000317213225102230,881*
552324-61.3No000103142832184208,501*
542325-50.5No0010172234268182,809*
532225-60.2No0000315323514156,637*
522226-50.0No00019274023133,602*
512126-60.0No00015214232109,517*
502127-50.0No000214414388,163*
492027-6OutNo0019375370,442*
482028-50.0No0006316354,114*
471928-6OutNo03267140,688*
461929-5OutNo02207830,163*
451829-6OutNo01158422,143*
441830-5OutNo00118915,501*
431730-6OutNo089210,568*
421731-5OutNo06947,084*
411631-6OutNo04964,797*
401632-5OutNo3973,144*
391532-6OutNo2981,891*
381533-5OutNo1991,171*
371433-6OutNo199736*
361434-5OutNo0100433*
351334-6OutNo0100231*
3-34OutNo100693*
Total:46.0%1.1%3411137878888874,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonChicago
109530-04.9%941069966834889
93425-6NoYes
92437-350.05050
91427-4No333333
90406-7No815151523888
89418-4No4121216441641288
88408-53.674751191347271157
87398-610.841278107137566456
86399-56.410412109668866544
853910-44.25878810861135778
843810-55.347889795975868
833811-44.855971011107876556
823711-55.466989988966566
813611-65.1661099887956666
803612-55.086878997856557
793512-64.877888987865566
783513-54.788879987865556
773413-64.698878888866666
763414-54.6109778888865655
753314-64.61111777778776664
743315-54.41213667779676654
733215-64.41414666669676653
723216-54.115165555510576663
713116-64.217184445411487662
703117-54.118203434411387662
693017-63.919213333312398661
683018-53.920223333312298661
672918-63.720223323312298661
662919-53.419213433312297551
652819-63.318204433311287551
2718-83.317194433310287551
642820-53.01618443339276441
632720-62.71516544338265330
2619-82.51314544337254330
622721-52.11212544335244220
612621-61.699534324232110
602622-51.176423222221110
592522-60.753312111111000
582523-50.432211101100000
572423-60.221101000000000
562424-50.110100000000000
552324-60.000000000000000
542325-50.000000000000000
532225-60.0000000000000
522226-50.00000000000
512126-60.000000000
502127-5No000
492330-0No
482028-5No0
3-47No
Total:1.7%8.68.92.72.22.22.01.94.71.53.43.02.22.10.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.4
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-109100
86399-59721
853910-4973
843810-597201
833811-494402
823711-5916120
813611-687822
803612-58112340
793512-6731740600
783513-5642260700
773413-650299011000
763414-53834111141010
753314-62637152182010
743315-515371742141200
733215-6833187227140000
723216-5326161121133070000
713116-6118131517196010101000
703117-5011818102491133020000
693017-6054185251241471030000
683018-50221522112912143061010
672918-6011110149148217183001000
662919-50070751832310498103100
652819-60040321711911108153052000
642820-5002111301181742172752000
632720-6001008054201219679621000
622721-50004211701591451011731000
612621-600020012085202713141051000
602622-50100703220038151713721000
592522-600003111601381620161041000
582523-5000010010001381621191252000
572423-6010060001381622211472000
562424-500003000027152323167200
552324-60000100002716242416720
542325-500010000281725251651
532225-60000139202825123
522226-500014122431227
512126-60001617313113
502127-500000210273822
492027-60015204033
482028-500003133945
471928-600183457
461929-500052867
451829-60022276
441830-5011683
431730-611188
421731-50891
411631-60595
401632-5496
391532-6298
381533-50198
371433-6199
361434-50100
351334-6199
3-34100
Total:1213232424252526223334444444444