Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 4-1, playoff odds up 4.3 to 91.3%
14 points   7 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +2.0
+0.2
+1.3
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.1
+0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.3
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
*-0.1
-0.1
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
131-162In100.0%1008,180*
1305513-6In99.910003,059*
1295413-7In99.91005,026*
1285414-6In99.910008,070*
1275314-7In99.91000012,933*
1265315-6In99.81000019,863*
1255215-7In99.81000029,852*
1245115-8In99.71000044,768*
1235116-7In99.61000065,288*
1225016-8In99.41000092,645*
1215017-7In99.010000129,601*
1204917-8In98.49910177,325*
1194918-7In97.799100240,247*
1184818-8In96.49810315,038*
1174819-7In94.797210409,565*
1164719-8In92.196310522,066*
1154720-7In88.894420652,007*
1144620-8In84.292620802,839*
1134621-7In78.4898300966,627*
1124521-8In70.985115001,147,221*
1114522-7In62.180147001,338,326*
1104422-8In52.173189001,530,878*
1094423-7In41.56622120001,728,637*
1084323-8In30.75826161001,915,212*
1074324-7In21.04830201002,089,525*
1064224-8In13.03934252002,237,516*
1054225-7100.0%7.030363040002,365,612*
1044125-8In3.32237356002,451,359*
1034126-7100.01.315364091002,507,551*
1024026-8100.00.493443131002,514,167*
1013926-9100.00.152945183002,486,870*
1003927-8100.00.03244523400002,423,504*
993827-9100.00.01194329710002,325,011*
983828-899.80.001439341120002,191,271*
973728-999.4No09333815410002,033,756*
963729-898.3No06273919820001,859,465*
953629-995.7No032038211341001,675,633*
943630-890.5No0214352118820001,482,418*
933530-981.7No01929192313410001,296,589*
923531-869.0No062314252092001,112,381*
913431-953.5No031792326155100942,104*
903432-837.5No0212519282210200784,723*
893332-923.9No018313262816510644,077*
883333-813.5No004182130231020520,113*
873233-96.9No002041528291640413,182*
863234-83.2No00102923322381325,025*
853134-91.3No001015173130142250,570*
843135-80.5No00002112734215190,178*
833035-90.2No0000172135288142,873*
823036-80.0No0000315333513105,340*
812936-90.0No00021029401976,047*
802937-80.0No0001623432754,190*
792837-9OutNo00318423638,026*
782838-8OutNo00213414526,920*
772738-9OutNo019375417,889*
762739-8OutNo016326212,262*
752740-7OutNo00427698,101*
742640-8OutNo0222765,228*
732641-7OutNo0117833,322*
722541-8OutNo0112872,087*
712542-7OutNo110891,319*
702442-8OutNo01090787*
692443-7OutNo496468*
682343-8OutNo496260*
672344-7OutNo199168*
14-66OutNo1004,340*
Total:91.3%17.6%271823145432211049,787,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleLos AngelesChicagoMinnesotaCalgaryDallasSan JoseVancouverSt. LouisArizonaEdmontonColoradoWinnipeg
162740-011.0%678881088106678
143627-5NoYes
142595-10YesYes
141596-9YesYes
140608-6No252513131313
139598-718.2992799279
138588-814.3147212114777
1375910-57.4671596136961311
1365810-610.18837210109139794
1355710-711.98787101012787584
1345711-613.0698781010997755
1335611-710.365778713898868
1325612-69.9678889109107775
1315512-711.267679991088756
1305513-612.578668981097786
1295413-711.16776891110107776
1285414-612.267778999107776
1275314-711.567779999107766
1265315-611.967779991097766
1255215-711.868779910997776
1245115-811.967779910997776
1235116-711.8677799101097766
1225016-811.9677799101097766
1215017-711.9677799101097766
1204917-811.9677798101098766
1194918-711.9677798101098766
1184818-811.9687798101098766
1174819-711.9687798101098766
1164719-811.9687798101098766
1154720-711.8687798101098765
1144620-811.7687798101098765
1134621-711.76877108101098765
1124521-811.86877108101098765
1114522-711.76967108101088765
1104422-811.66967118111087755
1094423-711.661066118111087755
1084323-811.451066127111187754
1074324-711.351166137121177744
1064224-811.351266137121177644
1054225-711.151355146131267643
1044125-810.941455156141257633
1034126-710.841645165141257632
1024026-810.641744175151347622
1013926-910.431844184151347622
1003927-810.231933193161337621
993827-99.931933193161437611
983828-89.832033193161427611
973728-99.542033193161327611
963729-89.242044193161327611
953629-98.952044183151226511
943630-88.361855163131126510
933530-97.47165514311915400
923531-86.2614551239714300
913532-74.861144937513200
903432-83.34833624312100
893433-72.13522413201100
883333-81.22311212101000
873334-70.61111101100000
863234-80.30100100000000
853235-70.10000000000000
843135-80.00000000000000
833136-70.0000000000000
823036-80.00000000000
813037-70.00000
802735-12No000
14-79No
Total:9.7%4.513.74.64.713.94.912.310.74.66.55.72.82.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.5
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-162100
1315512-71000
1305513-610000
1295413-71000
1285414-610000
1275314-7100000
1265315-6100000
1255215-7100000
1245115-8100000
1235116-7100000
1225016-899000
1215017-799100
1204917-898110
1194918-7981100
1184818-8962100
1174819-7953210
1164719-892430100
1154720-7896402000
1144620-8848602000
1134621-778118030000
1124521-8711411050000
1114522-7621714060000
1104422-85221170900000
1094423-74125211110000000
1084323-831272511510010000
1074324-721282821811010000
1064224-813263042032020000
1054225-7723297225304000000
1044125-8318271121860600000
1034126-711322141911908001000
1024026-809171714151311111010000
1013926-90511189171721431020000
1003927-803618517204155304000000
993827-901316214198139607010000
983828-800112010161310131019120000
973728-9009061116616142113401000
963729-8006036182151751277120000
953629-9003013161121610101211241000
943630-800200113081215615135720000
933530-900100904718316121111510000
923531-800006023181138181411510000
913431-9000030111509320121511520000
903432-800020011051187151713721000
893332-900100703013310172015831000
883333-80000401081512192116931000
873233-90000200401513212317931000
863234-80000100200261422241793100
853134-9000101000271523241782000
843135-8000000128172424166100
833035-900000013919262313410
823036-80000001412222821920
812936-90000261626281751
802937-80000039213025101
792837-90014152831173
782838-8000292334257
772738-901517333211
762739-8000211293918
752740-7017254125
742640-80004194333
732641-7002144441
722541-80183952
712542-70173558
702442-8053065
692443-722870
682343-802179
672344-711980
662244-81090
652245-7496
642145-8397
631944-11496
14-62100
Total:181011785644333322211111111000000