Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Beat St. Louis 3-0, playoff odds up 7.3 to 82.3%
10 points   5 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 3 St. Louis 0 +3.1
+0.2
+1.1
NY Rangers 4 San Jose 0 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0*+0.0+0.2
+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
134-162InYes10014,470*
1335811-7In99.7%1000314*
130-132In99.91003,735*
1295613-7In99.9100003,452*
1285513-8In99.910005,975*
1275514-7In99.910009,701*
1265414-8In99.9100015,926*
1255415-7In99.81000025,845*
1245315-8In99.81000039,766*
1235316-7In99.61000062,156*
1225216-8In99.41000093,291*
1215217-7In99.110000137,405*
1205117-8In98.69900199,571*
1195118-7In97.899100282,764*
1185018-8In96.899100396,043*
1175019-7In95.198110541,745*
1164919-8In92.897210729,468*
1154920-7In89.796320961,925*
1144820-8In85.3944301,250,642*
1134720-9In79.79154001,594,950*
1124721-8In72.58775002,000,807*
1114621-9In64.183107002,466,323*
1104622-8In54.2771310002,990,974*
1094522-9In43.67016131003,564,408*
1084523-8In32.86220171004,179,442*
1074423-9In22.85324222004,821,450*
1064424-8In14.34427263005,471,749*
1054324-9100.0%8.034293250006,108,321*
1044325-8100.03.825313671006,712,667*
1034225-9100.01.5173041111007,249,668*
1024226-8100.00.5112843152007,724,455*
1014126-9100.00.1725452040008,087,725*
1004127-8100.00.0321442661008,340,875*
994027-999.90.02164131910008,474,066*
984028-899.80.011236351330008,472,172*
973928-999.40.008303818510008,337,639*
963929-898.4No05243822910008,093,373*
953829-996.0No0318372514300007,728,499*
943830-891.2No0212332520710007,258,213*
933730-983.0No01827222513410006,724,317*
923731-871.1No00521172820720006,141,192*
913631-956.2No003151226261341005,513,212*
903632-840.5No0110722292182004,880,505*
893532-926.2No0174152827144104,255,712*
883533-815.3No004292430218103,658,901*
873433-98.0No0021517302814303,094,181*
863434-83.7No0010211263221612,577,176*
853334-91.6No0010162032281122,116,380*
843335-80.6No0000031329331731,711,743*
833235-90.2No00001824362461,363,904*
823236-80.1No000015183531101,070,854*
813136-90.0No00000213323715827,666*
803137-80.0No000018274222630,595*
793037-90.0No00005224329473,563*
783038-80.0No0003174337349,972*
772938-90.0No0001124146254,149*
762939-8OutNo00183754182,151*
752839-9OutNo00053262128,256*
742840-8OutNo003276989,925*
732740-9OutNo02227661,139*
722741-8OutNo01188141,181*
712641-9OutNo01148527,493*
702642-8OutNo0118918,026*
692542-9OutNo089111,361*
682543-8OutNo06937,471*
672443-9OutNo04964,535*
662444-8OutNo3972,787*
652445-7OutNo02981,658*
642345-8OutNo397976*
632245-9OutNo199616*
622246-8OutNo0100335*
612247-7OutNo199184*
10-60OutNo10014,374*
Total:82.3%9.4%1712221787543221170,688,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSan JoseChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaVancouverSt. LouisCalgaryDallasArizonaWinnipegColoradoEdmonton
162760-09.4%7879799998764
140639-4No333333
139618-7No20202040
1386210-4No6733
137609-716.71313171384413448
136599-810.9134779941113204
1355910-712.0778108812755588
1345810-811.541259881010512538
1335811-710.26119868710812483
1325812-69.58961061071088965
1315712-710.179696109999755
1305713-69.27969710811910555
1295613-79.96969610910910555
1285513-89.5697971081099655
1275514-78.9796981081189655
1265414-89.06961071081199555
1255415-79.06971071081189555
1245315-89.169610710811810655
1235316-79.569710710811810655
1225216-89.369610710811810655
1215217-79.369610710811810655
1205117-89.269610710811810655
1195118-79.369610710811810655
1185018-89.369610710811810655
1175019-79.369610710811810655
1164919-89.369610710711810555
1154920-79.369610710711810555
1144820-89.269610711711810555
1134720-99.2610610711711810545
1124721-89.2610611611711810545
1114621-99.1610611611712710545
1104622-89.1511611612712710545
1094522-99.0511612612712710545
1084523-88.9512513612612610444
1074423-98.8513513513613610434
1064424-88.751451451451369434
1054324-98.641541551451359334
1044325-88.541641641551459324
1034225-98.341741741641449223
1024226-88.2318317316415410223
1014126-98.0318318317315310213
1004127-87.8319319317315310113
994027-97.6319319317315310113
984028-87.541931931731529113
973928-97.341941831731529113
963929-87.151941841631429113
953829-96.961851741541338113
943830-86.461761651441237102
933730-95.871561451241036102
923731-85.06136115103825001
913631-93.951059483623001
903632-82.84746352412001
893532-91.83534231311000
883533-81.02312121111000
873433-90.51211110100000
863434-80.30101000000000
853334-90.10000000000000
843335-80.00000000000000
833336-70.00000000000000
823236-80.00000000000000
813237-70.000000000000
803238-60.0000000000
793138-70.00000
783139-6No00
772938-9No0
10-76No
Total:6.5%4.113.74.013.33.812.43.611.03.37.31.71.42.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 3 St. Louis 0 -0.7
NY Rangers 4 San Jose 0 -0.1
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Minnesota 1 +0.0
MondayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
134-162100
1335811-71000
1325812-61000
1315712-7100
1305713-61000
1295613-7100000
1285513-810000
1275514-710000
1265414-810000
1255415-7100000
1245315-8100000
1235316-7100000
1225216-899000
1215217-799100
1205117-899100
1195118-7981100
1185018-8972100
1175019-795310100
1164919-893420100
1154920-7906302000
1144820-8858403000
1134720-980115040000
1124721-873157050000
1114621-9641910070000
1104622-854231301000000
1094522-944261601300010000
1084523-83329191161010000
1074423-923302222011020000
1064424-8142923422310300000
1054324-9826236245205000000
1044325-8421229249407001000
1034225-9216181221137010101000
1024226-8011141516171001310020000
1014126-906916102013116310300000
1004127-80351552016317620601000
994027-9023132171671511509110000
984028-801110112131112168012230000
973928-9000707914719111144501000
963929-8005045153181441498110000
953829-900302214114138111412231000
943830-8002011110101013718146720000
933730-9001000805616319121311510000
923731-80000050231611682013104100000
913631-900003011130123231114115200000
903632-8000100010071217141613621000
893532-9000100604015391719158310000
883533-8000000402091411182116931000
873433-9000002010501512202318931000
863434-800001002002513212318931000
853334-900001001000261422241893100
843335-800000000027152324177200
833235-9000000013818252415510
823236-80000000014102127231130
813136-900000000151425281971
803137-8000000028192927133
793037-90000014122532215
783038-800002720332910
772938-90001314303616
762939-800029264024
752839-900015204133
742840-8003144042
732740-9001103752
722741-80163261
712641-90042769
702642-80022276
692542-9011881
682543-8011485
672443-911089
662444-80892
652445-70595
642345-80595
632245-9298
622246-8397
612247-7298
10-60100
Total:987576545533443422222211111100