Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Lost to San Jose 3-6, playoff odds down 0.08 to 99.8%
70 points   32 11-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3 -0.1
-0.1
-4.1
-0.1
Philadelphia 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.1
Tampa Bay 5 Detroit 1 +0.1
NY Islanders 2 Boston 5 +0.7
St. Louis 5 Nashville 4 (so)-0.2
NY Rangers 0 Montreal 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Anaheim vs Chicago+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
+2.8+2.6+2.4-0.8-0.8-3.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Nashville+1.4+0.3+0.3-0.7-0.8-0.8
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3
New Jersey vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
131-136InYes10084,133*
130292-2In100.0%10005,479*
129282-3In99.9100015,480*
128283-2In99.9100039,857*
127273-3In99.71000096,066*
126274-2In99.49910213,355*
125264-3In98.89910441,649*
124265-2In97.89820867,272*
123255-3In96.297301,606,383*
122256-2In93.794602,817,609*
121246-3In89.991904,692,220*
120247-2In84.68713007,450,132*
119237-3In77.381190011,276,141*
118227-4In68.173270016,343,640*
117228-3In57.165350022,637,965*
116218-4In44.855450030,127,020*
115219-3In32.345550038,438,974*
114209-4In21.0356400047,211,260*
1132010-3In12.0267300055,714,447*
1121910-4In5.91881000063,371,386*
1111911-3In2.41287100069,379,073*
1101811-4In0.8791110073,305,316*
1091812-3In0.24931200074,636,429*
1081712-4In0.02941300073,418,362*
1071713-3In0.01921600069,637,366*
1061613-4In0.008919000063,854,143*
1051614-3In0.0083115000056,508,614*
1041514-4100.0%No0761211100048,352,024*
1031515-3100.0No0681291200039,938,338*
1021415-4100.0No0570361500031,897,356*
1011416-3100.0No04604229100024,592,727*
1001316-4100.0No035046215200018,334,122*
991317-399.9No24046123310013,196,480*
981217-499.7No16042131530009,174,917*
971218-398.9No9036138871006,161,665*
961118-496.9No502704110143003,992,548*
951119-392.4No2018040102171002,495,597*
941019-484.0No111036927142001,505,772*
931020-371.4No0602873023500874,615*
92920-455.6No03020428321110489,331*
91921-339.0No01014222372040263,351*
90821-424.1No018115373081135,979*
89822-313.4No00408323715267,855*
88722-46.6No0204244124432,771*
87723-32.7No0121639349014,732*
86724-21.4No011933431406,419*
85624-30.4No00525442502,715*
84625-20.2No0218453401,083*
83525-3OutNo1941481391*
82526-2OutNo741511141*
81426-3OutNo3462453*
80427-2OutNo148614*
78-79OutNo1005*
70033-0OutNo032571181,708
Total:99.8%9.9%1572190200000000985,802,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoVancouverWinnipegSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasMinnesotaColoradoArizonaEdmonton
136330-05.1%00110141319189106
135320-1No25252525
134310-215.85162121161155
133311-15.71114822161288
132301-24.0011112161819897
131302-15.00011015131919986
130292-24.70011115131818996
129282-35.100111151417171096
128283-25.300110151418171096
127273-35.100110151418171096
126274-25.100110151417171096
125264-35.1001101614171710960
124265-25.1001101614171710960
123255-35.1001101714171710960
122256-25.1001101814171610960
121246-35.1012101913161698600
120247-25.00129211316159860
119237-35.00129231315159850
118227-44.901392612141497500
117228-34.801382912131387500
116218-44.802483311131287400
115219-34.702473710121176400
114209-44.60257409111075400
1132010-34.5036643910965300
1121910-44.403664689865300
1111911-34.303754888854300
1101811-44.304754988754200
1091812-34.214855078754200
1081712-44.214855077754200
1071713-34.115954977653200
1061613-44.0161154777643200
1051614-34.0281354566643200
1041514-43.8291654266543200
1031515-33.73121943955543200
1021415-43.64152343444432200
1011416-33.46192733043332100
1001316-43.37223032533222100
991317-33.110263231922221100
981217-43.013283331422211100
971218-32.816303141022111000
961118-42.72130284722100000
951119-32.52528245422100000
941019-42.22825204322100000
931020-31.82820153211100000
92920-41.42415112111000000
91921-31.0191071000000000
90821-40.6126410000000
89822-30.374200000000
88823-20.232100000000
87723-30.11110000
86724-20.11000
85725-1No00
84625-2No0
70-83No
Total:4.2%1.76.310.55.541.67.48.07.35.04.02.60.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Chicago-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.4
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-136100
130292-210000
129282-310000
128283-210000
127273-3100000
126274-299010
125264-399010
124265-298020
123255-396030
122256-2941600
121246-3901900
120247-285213000
119237-377319000
118227-4685270000
117228-3578350000
116218-44511440000
115219-33213541000
114209-421146220000
1132010-3121468500000
1121910-46127011000000
1111911-321067200000000
1101811-41658331010000
1091812-304464710100000
1081712-4023360113000000
1071713-30121710151000000
1061613-400127701630000000
1051614-30067801870000000
1041514-402740181400100000
1031515-3016701622012000000
1021415-4005700432013200000
1011416-30046002400244000000
1001316-40035014502510110000
991317-3024004601518121000
981217-40160042014281431000
971218-390036012361753100
961118-450027014019773000
951119-32001800400108136100
941019-41011003509721124100
931020-30600280642617102000
92920-40300200422619186100
91921-3010014021211725144100
90821-4018101412272310200
89822-300400872229207100
88722-4020043142828155100
87723-30121720302511300
86724-20110311243022710
85624-30001415292916500
84625-200191830281020
83525-3121228292261
82526-216183129132
81426-3242840198
80427-221293614
79428-1333333
78429-05050
70033-004365190
Total:105343800270011000000000000000000