Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Beat Montreal 3-1, playoff odds up 0.007 to 99.99%
91 points   42 17-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 3 Montreal 1 +0.0
+4.4
Colorado 3 Pittsburgh 1 +0.3
Detroit 2 NY Rangers 1 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs Montreal+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
Nashville vs NY Islanders-0.8-0.9-0.7+0.4+0.4+1.5
Tampa Bay vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.4
Philadelphia vs St. Louis+0.8+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123160-0In100.0%1000382,983
122150-1In99.91000392,959
121151-0In99.810001,892,966*
120141-1In99.410004,893,574*
119131-2In98.199113,620,441*
118132-1In95.498227,215,158*
117122-2In89.895555,416,210*
116123-1In81.191961,691,004
112-3In79.4901028,424,298*
115113-2In66.1831781,746,137
124-0In67.4841664,373,244*
114114-1In50.47426126,750,155
103-3In47.7722872,402,564*
113104-2In30.861390152,092,851
115-0In33.46436078,628,562
93-4In28.75842037,428,286*
112105-1In16.849510188,701,085
94-3In15.046540123,247,906*
11195-2In6.234660203,275,463
106-0In7.33763097,522,094
84-4In5.43169056,150,305*
11096-1In2.0247600210,139,167
85-3In1.6217900148,092,630*
10986-2In0.3138700201,189,058
97-0In0.415850093,096,387
75-4In0.311880058,877,222*
10887-1In0.079210178,247,813
76-3In0.069310129,247,469*
10777-2In0.039520149,745,830
88-0In0.04951069,109,686
66-4In0.02962044,182,383*
10678-1In0.019630116,101,840
67-3In0.01963082,936,469*
10568-2In0.009360084,226,176
79-0In0.009360063,955,259*
10469-1InNo0891100058,057,561
58-3InNo088120039,136,165*
10359-2InNo0811810062,912,469*
102510-1100.0%No07128200035,502,006*
101410-2100.0No05838400019,891,282*
100411-1100.0No4447900009,528,929*
99311-2100.0No30521710004,573,759*
98312-199.8No18502832001,816,628*
97212-299.0No942394510736,947*
96213-195.9No43045612400232,496*
95214-088.7No11944619101077,714*
94114-173.6No0938423224017,970*
93115-055.8No0427222321114,711*
92015-133.8No11511640233610
91016-018.4No00908363680276,819
Total:100.0%15.9%3166200000003,338,161,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoVancouverMinnesotaCalgaryLos AngelesWinnipegSan JoseColoradoDallas
123160-05.2%0015251112311211
122150-15.20015241113321221
121151-05.20015241113321221
120141-15.20015231113321221
119131-25.20015231113321221
118132-15.20015231113321221
117122-25.20025241113321221
116123-15.20025251012321121
112-35.20025251012321121
115113-25.10025261012311121
124-05.10025261012311121
114114-15.1003429911311021
103-35.1013429911301021
113104-25.001443281030921
115-05.001443181030921
93-45.001443381029921
112105-15.00154357929811
94-34.90154367928711
11195-24.90163396827610
106-04.90163387828710
84-44.80173406827610
11096-14.80173426727610
85-34.80173436726510
10986-24.70283455625510
97-04.70183445626510
75-44.70283465624410
10887-14.60293465624410
76-34.60293475624410
10777-24.60293475623410
88-04.60293475624410
66-44.60293475622410
10678-14.50293476623410
67-34.50293476622410
10568-24.50293467721410
79-04.50293467722410
10469-14.40294439820410
58-34.40294439820410
10359-24.402854012918510
102510-14.3027735161216510
101410-24.2016929201413610
100411-14.10141322241710710
99311-24.0013161528217800
98312-13.811219931234900
97212-23.742121531242900
96213-13.583120229231900
95214-03.1135117124200700
94114-12.416611201815050
93115-02.0147180121004
92015-11.111505561
91016-00.6620204301
Total:4.8%0.21.26.53.539.07.38.226.16.41.20.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 3 Montreal 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123160-010000
122150-110000
121151-010000
120141-19900
119131-298110
118132-195220
117122-290550
116123-1811090
112-37910100
115113-26617170
124-06716160
114114-15024251
103-34824271
113104-23130363000
115-03330342000
93-42930383000
112105-11732448000
94-315314590000
11195-262847190000
106-073046170000
84-452648210000
11096-1222423500000
85-3219423700000
10986-20133156000000
97-0014315300000
75-4011305900000
10887-10719730000000
76-30618750000000
10777-2039870110000
88-004108501100000
66-4028880110000
10678-10149201110000
67-30139201120000
10568-200192011400000
79-000192011400000
10469-1008801190000000
58-3008801110000000
10359-20081011170000000
102510-100710002701010000
101410-200580038011300000
100411-104400470117000000
99311-230005201116010000
98312-118005001027022000
97212-29004200380441100
96213-143000450674400
95214-011900440591010200
94114-1090038481520610
93115-004272417251630
92015-111511152528112
91016-00090081834226100
Total:161525410002000000000000000