Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Beat Dallas 2-1 (ot), playoff odds up 4.3 to 89.6%
18 points   9 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +2.0
+0.2
+1.3
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.1
+0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.3
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
*-0.1
-0.1
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
132-158InYes1005,258*
1315411-5In99.9%1000735*
1305311-6In99.810001,334*
1295211-7In99.910002,284*
127-128In100.010010,524*
1265113-6In99.8100010,604*
1255013-7In99.81000017,062*
1245014-6In99.71000026,293*
1234914-7In99.41000039,899*
1224915-6In99.31000059,829*
1214815-7In98.91000086,811*
1204816-6In98.39900123,705*
1194716-7In97.49910172,684*
1184717-6In96.09910236,618*
1174617-7In94.29820316,354*
1164517-8In91.697310415,913*
1154518-7In88.095410536,673*
1144418-8In83.293520680,776*
1134419-7In77.1907200845,247*
1124319-8In69.68610401,030,353*
1114320-7In60.682135001,228,829*
1104220-8In50.676177001,446,161*
1094221-7In39.9682210001,668,795*
1084121-8In29.3602613101,890,270*
1074122-7In19.85131171002,102,478*
1064022-8In12.04135222002,302,632*
1054023-7In6.43238273002,471,562*
1043923-8In2.92339335002,615,194*
1033924-7In1.11539378102,713,473*
1023824-8100.0%0.3103642121002,773,134*
1013825-7100.00.153244162002,785,349*
1003725-8100.00.0326452240002,751,344*
993726-7100.00.01214328710002,671,077*
983626-899.80.001540331020002,551,506*
973627-799.40.0010343714410002,395,054*
963527-898.3No06283918720002,211,380*
953528-795.5No0421382012410002,010,126*
943428-889.7No0215351918820001,797,828*
933429-780.0No01103017221451001,580,104*
923329-866.3No06241223211030001,366,066*
913330-750.2No0318821261761001,164,398*
903230-834.2No0212416272411300974,945*
893231-720.9No018210242919610803,935*
883131-811.5No005161830261230651,427*
873132-75.6No003031226311961518,432*
863032-82.5No01017213226102407,206*
853033-71.0No01003142932173314,909*
842933-80.4No0000292435246239,437*
832934-70.1No00001518353210178,664*
822834-80.1No0000212313816131,955*
812835-70.0No0001726422494,983*
802735-80.0No000420433267,721*
792736-7OutNo00215414147,506*
782636-8OutNo0110395032,486*
772637-7OutNo017345922,284*
762537-8OutNo004296714,792*
752538-7OutNo0324739,687*
742438-8OutNo0218816,125*
732439-7OutNo114853,945*
722339-8OutNo010892,503*
712340-7OutNo09911,541*
702240-8OutNo892865*
692241-7OutNo595533*
682242-6OutNo496348*
672142-7OutNo1495141*
662042-8OutNo199115*
652043-7OutNo29855*
18-64OutNo1004,504*
Total:89.6%14.0%241923155433211053,646,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaNashvilleVancouverChicagoSt. LouisSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasColoradoWinnipegEdmontonArizona
158700-011.2%710799778119853
141574-9No5050
140608-2No5050
139598-3YesYes
138577-6No14141414141414
137578-530.010101030101020
136568-66.3191362519613
135569-514.64844617151561722
134559-612.13678139812148345
1335510-510.4510991079659973
1325410-611.3891076888118855
1315411-511.761079889897766
1305311-611.058108999998764
1295211-711.66989878898875
1285212-610.7678810988108765
1275112-710.868789899108765
1265113-610.468788999108864
1255013-710.868889999108864
1245014-610.768888899108765
1234914-710.868888899108765
1224915-610.668889999108765
1214815-710.968889999108765
1204816-610.768889999108765
1194716-710.668888999108765
1184717-610.768888999108765
1174617-710.768888999108765
1164517-810.668888999108765
1154518-710.668888999108765
1144418-810.66888899998765
1134419-710.66888899997765
1124319-810.668888910997765
1114320-710.56898810101097765
1104220-810.56798810101097665
1094221-710.45798810101086665
1084121-810.357107811111186664
1074122-710.257117711111186564
1064022-810.157127712121275564
1054023-710.056136713131275454
1043923-89.846146614141364454
1033924-79.745155515141454354
1023824-89.545165515151553354
1013825-79.334174416161643354
1003725-89.134184417171632264
993726-79.033193318171732264
983626-88.833193318181721164
973627-78.543203318181721164
963527-88.353203317171721154
953528-77.964193316161621154
943428-87.374174315151421143
933429-76.574154313131211143
923329-85.374124310101010032
913330-74.06393277710021
903230-82.74262255510011
893231-71.63241133300011
883131-80.92121122200000
873132-70.41010011100000
863133-60.20000000000000
853033-70.10000000000000
842933-80.00000000000000
832934-70.000000000000
822935-60.00000000000
812835-7No00000
802735-8No0000
18-79No
Total:8.5%4.54.813.44.84.812.712.712.34.53.33.04.93.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.5
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-158100
1315411-51000
1305311-610000
1295211-710000
1285212-6100
1275112-71000
1265113-610000
1255013-7100000
1245014-6100000
1234914-799000
1224915-699000
1214815-799100
1204816-698100
1194716-797210
1184717-696310
1174617-794420
1164517-89253010
1154518-788740100
1144418-88310502000
1134419-777137020000
1124319-870171004000
1114320-7612113050000
1104220-8512517070000
1094221-740282111000000
1084121-8293124212101000
1074122-720312831511010000
1064022-812292951831020000
1054023-762529920530300000
1043923-8320271319850500000
1033924-711422171712807000100
1023824-809162013151311011010000
1013825-7051121817172123102000
1003725-80362041720513530400000
993726-701317114209129606110000
983626-8001140916149131018220000
973627-700110051217515152104401000
963527-800603719214185107712000
953528-700401317111171081210241000
943428-800200113071316514126820000
933429-700100903819215111212620000
923329-800006014191127171412620000
913330-700030021608318121613620000
903230-800020112041157151914731000
893231-700100802010310182116831000
883131-80000501061411192217931000
873132-70000300301513212318931000
863032-800010100261422241893100
853033-700100000261523241782000
842933-80000000028172524166100
832934-7000000013919272413410
822834-80000001412232821920
812835-700000261728281640
802735-8000131022312491
792736-7000015163031152
782636-80002102635225
772637-700151936308
762537-800313333713
752538-70018294319
742438-8015234627
732439-7003174535
722339-81134442
712340-70193951
702240-8063855
692241-732967
682242-632870
672142-712375
662042-82377
652043-71882
641943-81684
631944-71090
621743-101090
611845-7100
601846-65050
18-57100
Total:141011875654443322221111111100000