Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 31.6%
15 points   6 6-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 +0.4
Boston 2 Dallas 1 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.2*-0.2-0.2*+0.1*+0.2+0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs Anaheim-4.6-0.8-0.8+3.6+4.2+4.2
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Vancouver+0.5*-0.0*+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton+0.5*-0.1*+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.5
Toronto vs Vegas+0.3*+0.1*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.5
Columbus vs Dallas+0.3*-0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3
St. Louis vs Carolina-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
San Jose vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-149In99.7%100380*
1194912-6In95.595544*
1184812-7In88.6891170*
1174712-8In92.1946114*
1164713-7In85.69091181*
1154613-8In84.289101336*
1144614-7In76.084142545*
1134615-6In73.784133877*
1124515-7In63.7771941,406*
1114415-8In53.57024602,091*
1104416-7In43.36329803,197*
1094316-8In31.654351104,794*
1084317-7In22.9453915107,064*
1074217-8In14.736431919,986*
1064218-7In8.42746242013,736*
1054118-8In4.319473040018,824*
1044119-7In1.713453570025,547*
1034019-8In0.584239101033,515*
1024020-7In0.243743142042,741*
1013920-8100.0%0.0230442040054,206*
1003921-799.90.0123432661067,765*
993821-899.8No0174031920082,194*
983822-799.4No011353513410098,907*
973722-898.1No072938178200116,513*
963723-795.0No04223719134100134,725*
953623-888.9No02153419199200152,965*
943523-978.7No110291623155100169,257*
933524-864.1No1623122422113000185,108*
923424-947.8No031672127187100199,362*
913425-831.6No02114162725123000209,907*
903325-918.5No0162102429207100217,716*
893326-89.6No0031517292713400222,685*
883226-94.3No0020211253121710222,783*
873227-81.7No0010161831281330219,304*
863127-90.7No000031126322061213,561*
853128-80.2No000016203328101201,526*
843028-90.1No000003133034172189,040*
833029-80.0No000182537245174,083*
822929-90.0No000141837318156,193*
812930-80.0No0000212343813138,910*
802830-90.0No00018294319121,211*
792831-8OutNo0005234527104,474*
782731-9OutNo00317463488,157*
772732-8OutNo00112444373,042*
762632-9OutNo0018405159,395*
752633-8OutNo005355947,396*
742533-9OutNo003306737,419*
732534-8OutNo02257329,084*
722434-9OutNo01207922,275*
712435-8OutNo01158416,414*
702436-7OutNo00138712,067*
692336-8OutNo09918,722*
682337-7OutNo07936,158*
672237-8OutNo05944,222*
662238-7OutNo04962,993*
652138-8OutNo4961,904*
642139-7OutNo2981,261*
632039-8OutNo199876*
621939-9OutNo199543*
611940-8OutNo199332*
601941-7OutNo0100215*
591942-6OutNo100117*
581842-7OutNo19974*
15-57OutNo100447*
Total:31.6%0.3%1371046891011111184,230,956

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleColoradoArizonaMinnesotaCalgaryDallasSan JoseEdmontonWinnipegVancouverSt. LouisVegasChicagoLos Angeles
149670-06.2%269109978998771
1255411-2NoYes
1245210-5NoYes
1235110-6No5050
1225111-5No25252525
1214910-8No10102020102010
1204810-9No484131325413134
1194912-62.32162977797162142
1184812-71.4371069101113679631
1174712-87.0211119795111211417
1164713-76.618778107811108951
1154613-83.038877109813104561
1144614-74.8357610691011125672
1134615-64.63108898991096551
1124515-73.737989811910105551
1114415-84.337981091010995551
1104416-73.93897991110896451
1094316-84.1371081181010995541
1084317-74.2371181181111894541
1074217-84.0371171281111894441
1064218-73.6371271271211794441
1054118-84.0361361371311793431
1044119-73.62614613713126103431
1034019-83.93515514614135103421
1024020-73.82416515514135112421
1013920-83.63417416415144112421
1003921-73.53318317315153112511
993821-83.43318317316153111411
983822-73.45319317316152111411
973722-83.26318317215142111411
963723-73.18318316214132101401
953623-82.71031631421312290401
3522-102.71031731421312290301
943523-92.41231331221010170301
3624-72.41241431221110170301
933524-81.91231139288150200
923525-71.5103826165140100
913425-80.972514143120100
903426-70.551312122010000
893326-80.321101011010000
883327-70.110101000000000
873227-80.000000000000000
863228-70.000000000000000
853229-60.0000000000000
843129-70.000000000000
833029-8No000000000
823030-7No000000
813132-4No000
802527-150.00
15-79No
Total:1.0%3.41.45.41.24.81.04.34.10.83.00.31.20.30.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Anaheim+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Toronto vs Vegas-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Minnesota+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122-149100
1214910-89010
1204810-9100
1194912-6955
1184812-78911
1174712-89226
1164713-786491
1154714-6845101
1144614-7768142
1134615-67411133
1124515-76413194
1114415-854172406000
1104416-743192808000
1094316-8322233111000
1084317-723223721311100
1074217-815213941712100
1064218-781940619332000
1054118-841537102046040000
1044119-7211331319710060000
1034019-8172616161014090110
1024020-704181811121911211200
1013920-8021119612242143304000
1003921-701717310255145606010
993821-8031418239128110912000
983822-7011005181381016112240100
973722-800702121541121213380200
963723-700401615292251361214100
953623-80020031206189991629200
943523-9010190313135111761461000
933524-80100501714210131020124100
923424-90000300313178132019103100
913425-800020190431315221893100
903325-9001006021981823181041000
893326-8000003010531019231911410000
883226-90000200214111923201251000
873227-80001001014111923201251000
863127-9000000014111924211351000
853128-800000001411202421125100
843028-900000001512212520114100
833029-80000025132226199300
822929-90000002716252617710
812930-8000001391927251340
802830-90000141224292181
792831-800026172928153
782731-900003112533226
772732-8001618333011
762632-9000312303718
752633-80018254125
742533-9014194234
732534-8002144144
722434-900193654
712435-80063262
702436-70032670
692336-8022276
682337-7011881
672237-811386
662238-70990
652138-80892
642139-70496
632039-8496
621939-90397
611940-8199
601941-7199
591942-6199
581842-7199
15-57100
Total:0012113311432233455555555555443