Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 98%
61 points   26 14-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4 -0.1
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-1.0-0.1-0.0+0.7+0.7+0.8
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Calgary+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127330-0In97.7%1000173,796
125-126In84.610039*
124311-1In81.4946129*
123301-2In72.3955542*
122302-1In65.09371,927*
121292-2In51.4891106,113*
120282-3In39.58515018,326*
119283-2In27.97921049,046*
118273-3In18.572280121,689*
117274-2In11.065350281,130*
116264-3In5.8574310603,761*
115265-2In2.84851101,219,770*
114255-3In1.13958202,323,337*
113256-2In0.43165404,207,646*
112246-3In0.12470607,216,047*
111236-4In0.017749011,788,720*
110237-3In0.0127513018,361,091*
109227-4In0.0774180027,369,465*
108228-3In0.0471241038,999,559*
107218-4In0.0265311053,294,490*
106219-3InNo158383069,871,064*
105209-4InNo149455088,064,749*
1042010-3InNo04051800106,650,445*
1031910-4InNo031561300124,383,070*
1021911-3InNo023572000139,609,471*
1011811-4InNo016562700151,142,593*
1001812-3100.0%No0115236100157,723,566*
991712-4100.0No064646200158,749,420*
981713-3100.0No043854400154,190,631*
971613-4100.0No0230617000144,651,876*
961614-3100.0No1226512100130,958,331*
951514-4100.0No01565182000114,534,379*
941515-399.8No096224400096,717,710*
931415-499.3No0556308100078,936,370*
921416-397.8No03473315200062,194,337*
911316-494.5No01373324500047,336,259*
901317-387.9No012729321110034,791,513*
891217-477.3No001922371940024,701,939*
881218-362.8No001214362881016,921,063*
871118-446.3No07831351630011,178,225*
861119-330.5No0442337257107,126,249*
851019-417.7No02214353313204,378,921*
841020-39.0No0118273821402,591,872*
83920-44.0No0004193831801,478,741*
82921-31.6No001113439140810,650*
81821-40.5No00062644230428,077*
80822-30.2No00031945330215,473*
79722-40.0No0011243440104,879*
78723-30.0No0073756148,537*
77724-2OutNo043065121,625*
76624-3OutNo02227429,309*
75625-2OutNo1167943,751*
74525-3OutNo0118451,424*
73526-2OutNo68510502*
72426-3OutNo18613176*
71427-2OutNo752552*
70327-3OutNo802025*
69328-2OutNo83176*
68329-1OutNo50502
61033-0OutNo95140173,795
Total:98.0%0.0%1183435831000002,096,737,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonNashvilleLos AngelesSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
127330-03.1%000382219191171000
126320-1No40202020
125310-2No392618211536
124311-13.94522181417912
123301-23.714112119181188
122302-13.300492318201188
121292-22.701492219191178
120282-33.1014922191911780
119283-22.9014923191910770
118273-32.9015924191810770
117274-22.9001592519189760
116264-32.80016926181896600
115265-22.8001792618189650
114255-32.70118927181786500
113256-22.701210928171785400
112246-32.601212928171675400
111236-42.601214928161674400
110237-32.501317828151564300
109227-42.501420827141464300
108228-32.400524726131363200
107218-42.400729724111253200
106219-32.300934622101152200
105209-42.20011395208942100
1042010-32.20014434187832100
1031910-42.10017473165731100
1021911-32.00019512144521100
1011811-42.00022542133521000
1001812-31.90024551122420000
991712-41.90025571111310000
981713-31.80027570101310000
971613-41.8102956090310000
961614-31.8103155080310000
951514-41.8203353070210000
941515-31.7513550060210000
931415-41.7913646050110000
921416-31.71513640040110000
911316-41.62223334030100000
901317-31.42922826020000000
891217-41.23332219010000000
881218-31.03231512010000000
871118-40.727297000000000
861119-30.520154000000000
851019-40.312122000000000
841020-30.1701100000000
831021-20.13000000000
82921-30.010000000000
81922-20.00000000
80822-30.0000000
79722-40.0000
78723-3No0
61-77No
Total:1.9%3.20.422.846.51.812.03.24.82.10.80.60.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Anaheim+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Colorado vs San Jose-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127330-09820
126320-16040
125310-28812
124311-181126
123301-272235
122302-165287
121292-251381100
120282-340461500
119283-2285121000
118273-3195427000
117274-2115434100
116264-36514210000
115265-23454821100
114255-313854412000
113256-2031587130000
112246-30246010150000
111236-40175915180000
110237-301256190111000
109227-4075025015200000
108228-3044229019400000
107218-40233320238001000
106219-312434026120020000
105209-411733026181050000
1042010-3010300252430800000
1031910-4062502228501300000
1021911-3032001831901910000
1011811-401150133013026100000
1001812-301100926170333001000
991712-4006520210396102000
981713-30043142104310104000
971613-40021820043144070000
961614-30104170401870121000
951514-4000213033191301810000
941515-3000180251819024310000
931415-4000051714250304410000
921416-3000031092803369200000
911316-4000155270336184100000
901317-30001222302942764200000
891217-40001117022234686210000
881218-30000011014136510117310000
871118-4000780313915159310000
861119-300044023151319171041000
851019-4000220140271622191141000
841020-300011080039182421114100
83920-4000400131020262111310
82921-300100014122227211020
81821-40000001513242819710
80822-300000161728291540
79722-4000002822332690
78723-300013133036170
77724-200162340290
76624-3031539421
75625-201835532
74525-30427654
73526-2219728
72426-398011
71427-227325
70327-348016
69328-28317
68329-15050
61033-095140
Total:0161209141002366081200000000000000