Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Beat Montreal 2-1, playoff odds up 1.1 to 97.2%
49 points   22 7-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal 1 Anaheim 2 +1.1
+0.1
+1.2
+0.2
Los Angeles 6 St. Louis 4 -0.1
+0.2
San Jose 4 Edmonton 3 -0.1
-0.0
Pittsburgh 1 Colorado 0 (ot)-0.1
Carolina 4 Toronto 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Ottawa vs Anaheim-1.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.7+0.8+0.8
-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.6-0.3-0.3+1.2+1.4+1.5
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Winnipeg vs Boston-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Calgary vs Dallas-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+0.1*+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
130-145InYes1001,144*
129386-4In98.9%991269*
128387-3In99.31000547*
127377-4In99.610001,134*
126367-5In97.69912,112*
125368-4In96.39913,763*
124358-5In94.79736,390*
123359-4In92.4973010,540*
122349-5In89.0955017,224*
1213410-4In84.593726,892*
1203310-5In78.38911040,260*
1193311-4In71.58515059,313*
1183211-5In62.98020084,127*
1173212-4In53.7742600115,779*
1163112-5In43.66733000154,887*
1153113-4In33.5594100201,669*
1143013-5In24.25049100256,393*
1133014-4In16.14157100314,971*
1122914-5In9.73365200378,606*
1112814-6In5.325723100442,226*
1102815-5In2.5187741000504,317*
1092715-6In1.0128053000559,668*
1082716-5In0.478165000605,258*
1072616-6In0.147979100638,024*
1062617-5In0.02757141000657,926*
1052517-6In0.01696212100662,384*
1042518-5100.0%0.006152932000650,646*
1032418-6100.0No05143644100622,520*
1022419-5100.0No04224258100580,852*
1012319-6100.0No0321456132000530,155*
1002320-599.9No0231456204100472,085*
992220-699.6No0160425286300411,185*
982221-598.8No100363358610349,559*
972121-696.9No60292401010300290,333*
962122-593.2No30221411115610235,047*
952022-687.0No201513911211120186,348*
942023-577.2No1090349241940143,862*
931923-665.1No0602772527800108,283*
921924-551.7No0302142434141079,985*
911824-637.9No011432038222057,259*
901825-525.9No01911439314039,978*
891725-616.4No00611036398027,875*
881726-59.7No03063146131018,252*
871626-65.1No02032550192012,162*
861627-52.3No101175127307,831*
851527-61.0No001114834604,801*
841528-50.4No00741411012,967*
831529-40.1No0336471311,707*
821429-50.2No022649212967*
811329-6OutNo12346264581*
801330-5OutNo01541377282*
791331-4OutNo11239409176*
781332-3OutNo736401786*
771232-4OutNo216523044*
761233-3OutNo13741323*
751133-4OutNo60405*
741134-3OutNo50502*
731034-4OutNo50502
68837-3OutNo1001
49048-0OutNo0100876
Total:97.2%5.5%1249318282221000010,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleSt. LouisSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverMinnesotaWinnipegCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
145480-03.5%053891024231341
138432-3NoYes
137411-6NoYes
134414-325.0252550
133404-4No101020203010
132405-3No31111363314118
131395-41.2255131381620126
130396-32.35381110212017421
129386-46.722397924231641
128387-36.42338131220211431
127377-44.7133101012232113310
126367-54.3134111312212011310
125368-44.513491111222313310
124358-54.514491211222212410
123359-44.7144101111222112310
122349-54.8144911112222123100
1213410-44.714491111212212310
1203310-54.414491111222212310
1193311-44.514491111222212310
1183211-54.614591010222312310
1173212-44.5155910102223113100
1163112-54.415681010232311310
1153113-44.4156810102324102100
1143013-54.41678992424102100
1133014-44.316789924249210
1122914-54.227878824249210
1112814-64.2278788242482000
1102815-54.2289788242482000
1092715-64.0281078824248200
1082716-54.03911788232371000
1072616-63.93101277723227100
1062617-53.841113777222161000
1052517-63.851315677212061000
1042518-53.761417666191951000
1032418-63.67161966618175100
1022419-53.59182155516164100
1012319-63.310202355514143100
1002320-53.212222454412123100
992220-63.1152425444101030000
982221-52.9172525544882000
972121-62.82025255447620000
962122-52.62224235445520000
952022-62.42423214334420000
942023-52.12420184333320000
931923-61.72217143222210000
921924-51.41913112111110000
911925-40.9151081111100000
901825-50.6117511110000
891826-40.4744000000000
881726-50.24320000000
871727-40.12110000000
861627-50.111100000
851628-40.000000000
841528-5No000000
831529-4No0
821429-5No0
49-81No
Total:3.6%7.213.414.76.16.46.318.017.75.91.20.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 1 Anaheim 2 -0.5
San Jose 4 Edmonton 3 +0.1
Los Angeles 6 St. Louis 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Anaheim+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5
Calgary vs Dallas+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130-145100
129386-49901
128387-39900
127377-410000
126367-59811
125368-49621
124358-59533
123359-492430
122349-589650
1213410-485870
1203310-578111100
1193311-472141500
1183211-563172000
1173212-4542026000
1163112-54423321000
1153113-43425401000
1143013-524264721000
1133014-416255351000
1122914-510235792000
1112814-6519581420100
1102815-5315552230100000
1092715-6111493141300000
1082716-507414042500000
1072616-604314843901000
1062617-502225334131100000
1052517-6011355241832010000
1042518-5007531422721200000
1032418-6044803231331400000
1022419-50240022121337010000
1012319-6013201162824121200000
1002320-5002301113414174311000
992220-600160073614208423000
982221-501003330320155450100
972121-60601280217234682300
962122-5030121011228391156100
952022-62001501831191110103000
942023-5100900429199151571000
931923-6006022507619171241000
921924-5003012004321161910300
911824-601014031181222188200
901825-501090101472025165100
891725-600061010415262412300
881726-503006192130207100
871626-60200304162927144000
861627-51010282331239200
851527-600101415312915410
841528-500028223225820
831529-400031429321550
821429-500182331241020
811329-6141625331740
801330-526233423103
791331-451828351221
781332-311517332391
771232-4714204316
761233-349225294
751133-4206020
741134-35050
731034-45050
68837-3100
49048-00100
Total:572128129101154111111000000000000