Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 43.3%
2 points   1 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+5.2+4.7+3.5-1.8-1.5-6.0
+0.3+0.4*+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.1-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
83-106In99.3%100547*
823810-4In95.19810345*
813710-5In92.29631588*
803610-6In87.39541967*
793611-5In80.492621,555*
783612-4In73.089932,432*
773512-5In62.7831343,610*
763412-6In51.076186005,302*
753413-5In37.766231007,646*
743313-6In24.95729140010,763*
733314-5In13.74335211014,644*
723214-6In6.43139282019,206*
713215-5In2.32039374024,867*
703115-6100.0%0.6113745800031,413*
693116-5100.00.1529511410039,084*
683016-699.90.02215223200047,007*
673017-599.8No0124735500055,219*
662917-699.3No0537441111063,600*
652918-597.5No02234818520072,121*
642818-692.7No012442214710078,772*
632819-582.3No0531192713410085,176*
622719-665.7No011811362011300090,413*
612720-545.9No0843419221020093,427*
602620-627.6No03124132622920093,654*
592621-517.6No01016723301740046,441*
2520-711.3No01011521312281046,360*
582521-66.4No00062132930153089,997*
572522-52.7No0003162133269185,421*
562422-61.0No0010211293419478,885*
552423-50.3No000015203630871,835*
542323-60.1No000021132381664,027*
532324-50.1No0001624432755,188*
522224-60.0No00000316433847,166*
512225-50.0No0000110395039,335*
502125-60.0No0005336131,793*
492126-50.0No003267125,601*
482026-6OutNo01207820,061*
472027-5OutNo01158515,270*
461927-6OutNo0109011,364*
451928-5OutNo07938,262*
441828-6OutNo05955,905*
431829-5OutNo03974,193*
421729-6OutNo1992,885*
411730-5OutNo01991,971*
401630-6OutNo1991,341*
391631-5OutNo199814*
381531-6OutNo199565*
371532-5OutNo100291*
361533-4OutNo0100215*
2-35OutNo100392*
Total:43.3%1.2%351012595688910111,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoCalgaryMontrealWinnipegTampa BayFloridaOttawaCarolinaNashvilleDallasDetroitEdmontonColumbusChicago
106520-03.1%222017121613
91436-3NoYes
90426-4No5050
89405-7No5050
88417-411.1222211111122
87407-512.51313191313625
86408-42.7141411148532435
85398-54.01414101442421044
84399-44.5101314163320253912
83389-58.416141212341123221532
823810-46.71314171622933321042
813710-55.412101515331233331332
803610-65.714121512331324431032
793611-54.712131313331232341043
783612-47.313121312431244341233
773512-55.714111213341134441134
763412-65.912111212441144441143
753413-56.412111211451144451043
743313-66.51212121144104444944
733314-56.41112121144105544944
723214-66.31212131154104444944
713215-56.21313121244114444943
703115-66.31414141333113333932
693116-56.31515151422123223922
683016-66.316161615221322221021
673017-56.317171716111411111011
662917-66.317171716111311111111
2816-85.917171715111311111011
652918-56.316161615221322211011
3019-35.916161615221322211011
642818-66.01515151333122222921
2717-85.71414141233112222821
632819-55.0121212104493332621
2920-34.9121211104493332721
622719-64.399984463333421
2618-83.788874453332421
612720-52.966653342322211
602620-61.744432221111110
592621-50.922221111110100
582622-40.411110010000000
572522-50.200000000000000
562523-40.100000000000000
552423-50.00000000000000
542424-40.0000000000000
532324-50.0000000
522426-20.0000000
512225-50.0000000
502327-20.000000
492328-1No0
2-48No
Total:2.7%6.46.46.45.71.61.64.91.31.31.21.13.70.90.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-1.1-1.1-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.3
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
85-106100
84399-4991
83389-5982
823810-495310
813710-592431
803610-687841
793611-5801262
783612-47316903
773512-56321130400
763412-6512517160000
753413-5382922210000
743313-62532263121000
733314-5142928718210100
723214-66242713205302000
713215-521822172010604000
703115-611015221616121710000
693116-5057221020174112101000
683016-60231841819101364020000
673017-501111121519121391510000
662917-600506823717165931010
652918-500202319216171410850200
642818-600001109122381412352000
632819-500040342431617118621000
622719-600010111611013238129420000
612720-50008046284101513831000
602620-6000301222141117171272100
592621-5010013014101720171051000
582521-600006001381621201472100
572522-500003001271421221793100
562422-60001000251221242011410
552423-500000015122125201130
542323-6000000151223272092
532324-50000016152628195
522224-60000002820312811
512225-500000312283620
502125-600016214032
492126-50003143944
482026-60183457
472027-50042867
461927-6022077
451928-5011584
441828-6001189
431829-50892
421729-60496
411730-50397
401630-6298
391631-5298
381531-6199
371532-50100
361533-40100
2-35100
Total:1223222423352336222333444455556