St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Beat Boston 2-1 (so), playoff odds up 0.8 to 98.5%
71 points   33 23-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St. Louis 2 Boston 1 (so)+0.8
*+0.0
Nashville 0 Colorado 5 -0.2
Dallas 0 Carolina 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs NY Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Minnesota vs St. Louis-1.0-0.1*-0.0+0.7+0.7+0.8
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Dallas+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
113210-0InNo63360701
112200-1InNo4752183
111201-0InNo34624479*
110191-1InNo257051,621*
109181-2In0.0%177584,802*
108182-1InNo107713011,437*
107172-2InNo57519026,240*
106173-1InNo37027050,335*
105163-2InNo16236194,050*
104164-1InNo051463152,565*
103154-2InNo0405460239,806*
102155-1InNo03159100171,946
144-3InNo02860120167,717*
101145-2InNo02061190261,310
134-4InNo02061190199,778*
100146-1InNo01359270271,171
135-3InNo01258310302,510*
99136-2InNo07524000383,287
125-4InNo7524100303,014*
98137-1InNo4455010339,567
126-3InNo3425410418,551*
97127-2InNo2336230443,661
116-4InNo2326330362,269*
96117-3InNo1227170354,571
128-1InNo1237060439,720*
95118-2InNo01573120415,214*
107-4100.0%No014731200340,069*
94108-3100.0No08712010301,108
119-1100.0No09711910368,507*
93109-2100.0No05642930310,775
98-4100.0No04633030261,342*
9299-399.8No02524070204,608
1010-199.9No025338600251,849*
91910-299.3No0140461310348,702*
90810-397.5No0274723200250,640*
89811-292.7No0164235700173,503*
88711-382.6No09314315200111,378*
87712-266.0No0419432761069,213*
86713-145.4No01935371520039,804*
85613-226.0No0323392771022,461*
84614-111.7No011132351730011,254*
83514-24.2No0042137288105,559*
82515-11.3No011129362032,558*
81415-20.4No041839291001,042*
80416-1OutNo192940182457*
79316-2OutNo1320343381180*
78317-1OutNo842351552*
77318-0OutNo18453611*
76218-1OutNo33673*
71021-0OutNo34156680
Total:98.5%0.0%08284612410000008,492,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseWinnipegNashvilleVegasColoradoDallasArizonaMinnesotaVancouverChicagoEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
113210-04.9%02334308135410
112200-12.442362941375
111201-02.71733432694410
110191-13.7182363169340
109181-23.511223631473300
108182-13.211623530472200
107172-23.10221133293622000
106173-13.1328130263522000
105163-22.9435127232512000
104164-12.90742123192411000
103154-22.70104911816231100
102155-12.601255015121311000
144-32.61356013121301000
101145-22.500166101191201000
134-42.50016610119120100
100146-12.40018640871100000
135-32.40019650860100000
99136-22.30021660650100000
125-42.3002166065010000
147-02.4002066065010000
98137-12.3002268054010000
126-32.30022670540100000
97127-22.2002468044010000
116-42.2002467043010000
138-02.2002368044010000
96117-32.200266604300000
128-12.2002567043010000
95118-22.210286503300000
107-42.210296403200000
129-02.2102765033000000
94108-32.22032610220000
119-12.110316203200000
93109-22.13136570220000
98-42.2413755021000
9299-32.1724049011000
1010-12.271395001100
91910-22.1122424201100
89-42.1133424101100
90810-32.1214403200000
911-12.1204403200000
89811-21.9296342300000
88812-11.6357261400000
87712-21.336716800000
86713-10.828683000
85613-20.51843100
84614-10.29210
83514-20.131000
82515-1No100
81516-0No0
71-80No
Total:2.3%3.50.725.157.00.15.64.80.30.90.20.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis 2 Boston 1 (so)-0.4
Dallas 0 Carolina 3 -0.1
Nashville 0 Colorado 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs St. Louis+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Dallas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
113210-0633510
112200-1475111
111201-034575300
110191-125637410
109181-20176312521
108182-11058187420
107172-255124775000
106173-13403061111000
105163-21283341418010
104164-101734215272210
103154-2010311143453300
102155-10425011371157000
101145-202180833205140000
100146-100130525295220000
135-300110423315250000
99136-200702143643600000
125-40702133643710000
98137-104173724711100
126-303163525011100
97127-2020230158222100
116-4010228160232200
138-0021231157122100
96117-310021063263400
128-110123063252400
95118-2000150611103900
107-400013060111310000
129-00001606211038000
94108-300080531172181100
119-100090541162171000
93109-200050420211281200
98-40044102212912000
9299-30022802403916000
1010-100229024038150000
91910-201160230461120000
90810-30801904702311100
89811-203013042035133100
88711-3018310431573100
87712-2004190430613104100
86713-1001903504152011300
85613-20032302112423113000
84614-1011100518292310300
83514-20040292330219200
82515-10100311252921910
81415-20141127321950
80416-10051629321440
79316-2191435271121
78317-1283338154
77318-09274599
76218-13367
71021-0111334511
Total:0026028172361811104000000000000000