St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Lost to Vancouver 1-4, playoff odds down 15.2 to 48.2%
5 points   2 3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
*-0.0
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.4
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.0
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-157InYes100770*
1225514-7In99.3%991140*
1215414-8In98.19910210*
1205415-7In98.69910353*
1195315-8In97.49910575*
1185215-9In96.89810881*
1175216-8In94.596311,409*
1165217-7In92.295322,192*
1155117-8In88.7934303,343*
1145017-9In83.7906404,878*
1135018-8In77.6868607,233*
1124918-9In69.881108010,082*
1114919-8In60.7751411014,376*
1104819-9In50.36817141019,891*
1094820-8In39.66020181027,136*
1084720-9In29.55224222035,933*
1074721-8In19.942272730046,967*
1064621-9In11.733293250060,487*
1054622-8In6.224303780076,377*
1044522-9In2.8173041111095,185*
1034523-8100.0%1.011284416200116,717*
1024423-9100.00.36254520300140,129*
1014424-8100.00.13204426600166,183*
1004324-9100.00.021641319100193,686*
994325-899.90.0112373613200221,261*
984225-999.60.0083139174000250,092*
974226-898.9No052540227100277,755*
964126-997.3No03193825122000304,101*
954127-893.7No02143526185100327,854*
944027-987.1No019302424102000345,065*
934028-876.8No006242027175100360,368*
923928-963.1No0318142723113000369,601*
913929-847.6No021392428176100373,267*
903829-932.6No018518292411200372,052*
893830-820.2No005212272918510363,186*
883730-911.3No003172131251020350,965*
873731-85.7No002041429301640334,260*
863631-92.5No00102924332381311,586*
853632-81.1No000015173230132288,714*
843532-90.4No00002112834194261,446*
833533-80.2No000172236267234,397*
823433-90.1No000416353311206,400*
813434-80.0No0000211313917179,394*
803334-90.0No00017264224153,375*
793335-80.0No0004214431129,002*
783235-90.0No0002154340106,948*
773236-8OutNo0111404887,627*
763136-9OutNo017365670,052*
753137-8OutNo005316455,609*
743037-9OutNo03267143,526*
733038-8OutNo002217733,588*
722938-9OutNo01178224,950*
712939-8OutNo01138618,826*
702839-9OutNo0108914,094*
692840-8OutNo089210,139*
682740-9OutNo06947,083*
672741-8OutNo04964,928*
662641-9OutNo3973,417*
652642-8OutNo2982,327*
642542-9OutNo1991,559*
632442-10OutNo01001,032*
622443-9OutNo199699*
612343-10OutNo298443*
602344-9OutNo0100235*
592345-8OutNo199162*
55-58OutNo100215*
541946-11OutNo89213*
5-53OutNo100634*
Total:48.2%1.2%34111489910109867,527,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaCalgaryVancouverDallasSan JoseArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
157760-07.2%661079999128564
1296012-4NoYes
1285912-5No5050
1276014-2No25252525
1265712-7No10202010201010
1255511-106.3613251361919
1245613-715.85511131388588511
1235513-85.38884118138513537
1225514-78.68611667612810676
1215414-88.1699116981495743
1205415-74.84898107711148653
1195315-86.3589610991197566
1185215-95.359107109101186744
1175216-86.55108710891397743
1165217-76.8599610891287854
1155117-85.7591079891188744
1145017-96.551011710881286744
1135018-85.841011711881286744
1124918-95.751012611781286744
1114919-86.051112612771286744
1104819-96.041213612771375744
1094820-86.241313613771375643
1084720-95.841414514661374633
1074721-86.141515515661364633
1064621-95.831616515551454633
1054622-85.731717417551453623
1044522-95.531818417441443523
1034523-85.631919318441542523
1024423-95.332019319331532513
1014424-85.332020319331532512
1004324-95.032120319331521512
994325-85.142120320331521512
984225-94.852120419331521512
974226-84.762019419331421512
964126-94.672018518331321402
954127-84.481917516431221402
944027-94.091715615431021302
934028-83.59151351333921301
923928-92.98121151033720201
913929-82.27984722510101
903829-91.45653521310100
893830-80.93432311210000
883730-90.52221210100000
873731-80.31110100000000
863631-90.10000000000000
853632-80.10000000000000
843633-70.0000000000000
833533-80.00000000000000
823433-90.00000000000
813333-100.00000000
803334-9No0000
793335-8No0
783235-9No0
5-77No
Total:2.4%3.79.38.72.68.41.91.76.21.40.62.10.41.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-157100
1225514-7991
1215414-898010
1205415-79910
1195315-897110
1185215-997210
1175216-895231
1165217-792332
1155117-8894430
1145017-9846640
1135018-878880600
1124918-97012100800
1114919-8611413011000
1104819-95018170140010
1094820-840212011800100
1084720-929222312111200
1074721-8202225225113000
1064621-912212642732050000
1054622-861825628540800000
1044522-931422826870110010
1034523-81101810221210014102000
1024423-90613121615141182103000
1014424-8038139161722032060000
1004324-90241241518420740901000
994325-801292121771711801212000
984225-90017071310121412115240000
974226-80050491261615217570100
964126-9003025122141751691112000
954127-80020121111015912141535100
944027-90010180611137171771030000
934028-80000050361531714131472000
923928-900030131411381916136200000
913929-800020011109421131713620000
903829-90001008051178161914731000
893830-800000502012310182116831000
883730-900003010714122022179310000
873731-80000200401513212318931000
863631-9000100200261422241893100
853632-8000001000271523241782000
843532-90000000128172524166100
833533-800000013919262313410
823433-9000001412232721920
813434-8000000261626271751
803334-900001310213024102
793335-8000015152831173
783235-90000292334257
773236-80001517333211
763136-900211303817
753137-80017254225
743037-9004194333
733038-8002144242
722938-9001103851
712939-80163459
702839-90042967
692840-80022473
682740-90012079
672741-8011584
662641-901188
652642-801090
642542-90793
632442-10595
622443-90397
612343-10397
602344-9199
592345-8298
55-58100
541946-11892
5-53100
Total:112222333344444544444444444332