St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 64.4%
5 points   2 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 -0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs Carolina-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
Chicago vs Philadelphia-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Calgary vs Tampa Bay-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
Dallas vs Vancouver-0.1-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.3
Colorado vs Florida-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.4
Boston vs San Jose+0.3*-0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2
Nashville vs Arizona+0.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Islanders vs Toronto-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-159In100.0%1009,351*
1235514-8In99.610002,959*
1225515-7In99.3100004,697*
1215415-8In99.3100007,680*
1205416-7In98.7990012,037*
1195316-8In97.9991018,542*
1185317-7In96.7981128,082*
1175217-8In95.1982142,041*
1165218-7In92.79621061,148*
1155118-8In89.69532086,819*
1145119-7In85.293530122,473*
1135019-8In79.589740168,668*
1124919-9In72.485960228,492*
1114920-8In63.78012800303,778*
1104820-9In53.974151000397,244*
1094821-8In43.3671914100511,046*
1084721-9In32.458231710647,107*
1074722-8In22.5492722200801,455*
1064622-9In14.0403027300981,127*
1054623-8In7.83133325001,179,356*
1044523-9100.0%3.722343670001,395,715*
1034524-8100.01.5153340101001,620,403*
1024424-9100.00.593143152001,856,948*
1014425-8100.00.152745193002,094,690*
1004325-9100.00.0323442550002,320,891*
994326-8100.00.01184230810002,532,069*
984226-999.80.001338351220002,725,274*
974227-899.4No0933381541002,885,955*
964127-998.4No06273919710003,004,608*
954128-896.0No0320392112310003,081,971*
944028-991.1No0215362118720003,117,925*
934029-882.6No01103119221341003,100,830*
923929-970.6No01625142419820003,034,455*
913930-855.7No04191023251441002,934,987*
903830-940.2No0214619282192002,792,341*
893831-826.3No0193132627154102,614,257*
883731-915.5No006182230228202,411,824*
873732-88.3No0030416292914302,193,809*
863632-94.1No0020210253221711,964,146*
853633-81.8No0010161932281221,731,066*
843533-90.8No0000031329331831,506,072*
833534-80.3No00001824362561,291,840*
823434-90.1No000014183532101,089,235*
813435-80.0No00000212323816908,550*
803335-90.0No00018274223743,887*
793336-80.0No00005214330598,998*
783236-90.0No0003164339477,156*
773237-8OutNo001114047373,427*
763137-90.0No00183655287,909*
753138-8OutNo0053263218,794*
743038-9OutNo0032670164,165*
733039-8OutNo022276121,461*
722939-9OutNo01178288,183*
712940-8OutNo01148663,573*
702840-9OutNo0108944,549*
692841-8OutNo0089230,836*
682741-9OutNo059421,016*
672742-8OutNo049614,316*
662642-9OutNo03979,738*
652643-8OutNo02986,217*
642543-9OutNo1993,928*
632544-8OutNo1992,548*
622444-9OutNo1991,554*
612445-8OutNo0100939*
602345-9OutNo0100551*
5-59OutNo1005,972*
Total:64.4%3.2%6917187787765363,103,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleSan JoseChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaVancouverCalgaryDallasArizonaWinnipegColoradoEdmonton
159770-08.0%771071071011710436
135629-6No5050
1346210-5NoYes
1336110-612.5131313132525
1326010-78.388178825817
1316011-67.14117111177181474
1306012-54.36114691366159942
1295912-68.967681151010710595
1285812-79.710897711107811273
1275813-68.77787961012108754
1265713-78.27778710111098744
1255714-68.268778109101010556
1245614-77.1778108881098756
1235514-88.7787881099109655
1225515-78.17888899999555
1215415-88.16889999999655
1205416-78.3788889910109555
1195316-87.968889999109655
1185317-78.468888999109655
1175217-88.2688889910109655
1165218-78.068898999108655
1155118-88.268898999108655
1145119-78.269798999108655
1135019-88.4697981089108655
1124919-98.2697981089108654
1114920-88.161071081089108654
1104820-98.161071071188107654
1094821-88.061171171188117544
1084721-98.061261271278117544
1074722-87.951361371377116543
1064622-97.851461461367116543
1054623-87.651551561466125543
1044523-97.641651651555125542
1034524-87.441741751655134542
1024424-97.341841841744133542
1014425-87.131941941844143541
1004325-96.932031931833142541
994326-86.832032031933142541
984226-96.642132031933142541
974227-86.542132031932142541
964127-96.352042031832131531
954128-86.151941941732121430
944028-95.761851741632111430
934029-85.161651541432101320
923929-94.36145134113281220
913930-83.4511410392261210
903830-92.44837262140110
893831-81.63525241130110
883731-90.92313121010000
873732-80.51212010010000
863632-90.20101010000000
853633-80.10000000000000
843533-90.00000000000000
833534-80.00000000000000
823434-90.00000000000000
813435-80.00000000000
803335-90.000000000000
793235-10No000000
783236-90.0000
773641-0No
763137-9No0
5-75No
Total:4.4%3.611.93.111.62.910.82.62.48.01.72.92.20.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Arizona+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Vancouver+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130-159100
1295912-6991
1285812-7100
1275813-61000
124-126100
1235514-810000
1225515-799000
1215415-899000
1205416-799100
1195316-898110
1185317-797211
1175217-895221
1165218-79342010
1155118-8905320
1145119-785750300
1135019-88010704000
1124919-97213906000
1114920-8641712080000
1104820-95420150100000
1094821-843231901300100
1084721-932262211610100
1074722-82227252201120000
1064622-914262742322030000
1054623-882327624530500000
1044523-9418259248507000000
1034524-8113211221118010001000
1024424-90916151615120131102000
1014425-805111610171611532030000
1004325-90361651719416530500000
994326-801314214197159607010000
984226-9001111101611111310010120000
974227-801806121561614212340100
964127-900603717315174127711000
954128-800301316112179101110231000
944028-900200113081314615125720000
934029-800100904818316111111510000
923929-90010060241911471713104100000
913930-800004012170103201215115200000
903830-90002001130611871517126210000
893831-80001009030133101719148310000
883731-9000000601081411192116931000
873732-80000300401512202217931000
863632-900002002002613212318931000
853633-800001001000261422241893100
843533-90000000000027162424177200
833534-80000000013818252415510
823434-90000000014102127221130
813435-800000000151425281971
803335-90000028192927133
793336-800000014122532216
783236-900002720332910
773237-8001313303617
763137-9000028254025
753138-80015204134
743038-9003144043
733039-800193753
722939-900163261
712940-800042769
702840-9022176
692841-8011782
682741-9011387
672742-80990
662642-90793
652643-80595
642543-90396
632544-8298
622444-9298
612445-8199
602345-9199
592346-80100
582347-7100
572247-8199
5-56100
Total:334444554455343533333333322221