St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.8%
62 points   29 13-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3 -0.2
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)-0.2
*-0.1
-0.1
Winnipeg 4 Columbus 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs Dallas-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Nashville vs Colorado-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.5+0.5+1.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Anaheim+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs NY Rangers+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
Florida vs Detroit+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
132-134InYes1001,255,544*
131341-1In100.0%1000013,859*
130331-2In100.01000052,229*
129332-1In99.910000159,613*
128322-2In99.810000454,967*
127323-1In99.7100001,145,392*
126313-2In99.499012,700,274*
125303-3In98.8990105,802,510*
124304-2In97.99802011,775,890*
123294-3In96.49703022,196,519*
122295-2In94.19515039,758,214*
121285-3In90.69217066,941,230*
120286-2In85.68811000107,575,184*
119276-3In78.883215000163,808,261*
118277-2In69.977320000238,939,601*
117267-3In59.069426010332,264,565*
116268-2In46.860633010443,795,249*
115258-3In34.151740030567,349,420*
114248-4In22.441846050698,380,847*
113249-3In12.93195208000825,606,108*
112239-4In6.42295601200941,426,417*
1112310-3In2.6159580180001,033,313,507*
1102210-4In0.998561260001,095,890,094*
1092211-3In0.256521340101,120,743,225*
1082111-4In0.035462430201,108,797,116*
1072112-3In0.013383510401,059,413,856*
1062012-4In0.01229458070980,131,569*
1052013-3100.0%0.0012056301100876,679,266*
1041913-4100.00.0011356411600759,854,327*
1031914-3100.0No00856222300637,241,147*
1021814-4100.0No00445743100518,133,779*
1011815-3100.0No002349640000407,848,462*
1001715-4100.0No001239949100311,406,540*
991716-399.9No0001281256300230,221,138*
981616-499.7No0011813626000165,116,073*
971617-399.1No00011136411100114,704,030*
961517-497.5No0006126119200077,307,737*
951518-394.2No000395428500050,434,420*
941418-487.9No0001744361110031,933,608*
931419-378.2No00432411930019,568,790*
921319-465.2No00321412871011,634,173*
911320-350.2No00112363613206,688,251*
901220-435.3No00162840214003,723,454*
891221-322.4No0031940308102,008,944*
881121-412.8No00112353714201,046,876*
871122-36.5No00627412240527,575*
861022-42.9No00318403270258,771*
851023-31.2No001113640130121,131*
84923-40.4No006284520054,874*
83924-30.1No03204730023,950*
82925-20.0No02144441010,088*
81825-3OutNo18395204,100*
80826-2OutNo5326211,582*
79726-3OutNo228691650*
78727-2OutNo119782199*
77627-3OutNo11182685*
76628-2OutNo95522*
75629-1OutNo982911*
74630-0OutNo1001
62036-0OutNo438581,251,446
Total:99.8%9.9%1643423219100000015,097,496,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleAnaheimChicagoWinnipegVancouverCalgarySan JoseLos AngelesDallasColoradoMinnesotaArizonaEdmonton
134360-015.7%00117919171969300
133350-118.7011610191718684
132340-215.4001158191919793
131341-115.6001159181819884
130331-215.70011491918198840
129332-115.50011491918188940
128322-215.60011491918198840
127323-115.60011491918198840
126313-215.60011391918199840
125303-315.600113919191998400
124304-215.600113919191998400
123294-315.600113919191998400
122295-215.600112919191898400
121285-315.601112919191898400
120286-215.5011121019191887400
119276-315.5011121020201887400
118277-215.4011111120201886400
117267-315.3012111221201776300
116268-215.1012111321201765300
115258-315.0022111422211754300
114248-414.8022101622211643200
113249-314.602291823211543200
112239-414.313382023211532100
1112310-314.114372323211421100
1102210-413.815362623211311100
1092211-313.516352823201211000
1082111-413.218443122191100000
1072112-312.9110433320181000000
1062012-412.621352341916900000
1052013-312.321662351714800000
1041913-412.031972341513700000
1031914-311.742382321411600000
1021814-411.56289230129500000
1011815-311.373210227108400000
1001715-411.19371122386300000
991716-310.911411322065200000
981616-410.714441421753200000
971617-310.517451411442100000
961517-410.221441511132100000
951518-39.72541141921000000
941418-49.02836141711000000
931419-37.93029131510000000
921319-46.62821111310000000
911320-35.0241491200000000
901220-43.518960100000000
891221-32.212540100000000
881222-21.3732000000000
871122-30.641100000000
861123-20.321100000000
851023-30.11000000
841024-20.000000
83924-3No0000
82824-4No000
62-81No
Total:13.3%2.411.24.55.524.919.017.011.21.81.40.90.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)+0.1
Winnipeg 4 Columbus 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Colorado+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-134100
131341-110000
130331-2100000
129332-1100000
128322-2100000
127323-1100000
126313-299001
125303-3990010
124304-2980020
123294-3960030
122295-294110500
121285-391210700
120286-28631010000
119276-379420150000
118277-270730200000
117267-35910402600100
116268-24714603200100
115258-33417703900300
114248-422188045100500
113249-31318814930080000
112239-46168250700120000
1112310-3312624612001800000
1102210-419433819102510000
1092211-3053327251032200100
1082111-4031317292037500200
1072112-3011382921401100400
1062012-4010232521382000600
1052013-3000111922313200101000
1041913-4000101323224210152000
1031914-30000814134920194000
1021814-4000040365121238000
1011815-300002033463325150000
1001715-4000010213836242510000
991716-3000000102839213620000
981616-4000001018211154651000
971617-300000111121054831000
961517-400000601155611720000
951518-30000309352131551000
941418-40001071431224920000
931419-300040329321461000
921319-40003021536171341000
911320-3000101223417201020000
901220-400010612714251861000
891221-30003019924261441000
881121-40010114182923102000
871122-3000621125291971000
861022-4000315172827154100
851023-300102922302410200
84923-40000313263019610
83924-3001617312813300
82925-2000210243322710
81825-30151431301630
80826-21724352470
79726-304173134132
78727-2253038233
77627-311838367
76628-29146414
75528-39362727
74630-0100
62036-000433559
Total:10631211311191301640000000000000000