St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 92.3%
30 points   14 6-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.2
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)+0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +2.5
+0.2
+1.2
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.2
San Jose 3 Arizona 4 (so)*-0.1
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*-0.1
*-0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 -0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.1
*-0.0
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*+0.0
*-0.1
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 +0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.4
Boston 0 Montreal 2 -0.1
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
131-150In100.0%10096,757*
130488-4In99.9100010,732*
129478-5In99.81000021,003*
128479-4In99.61000039,141*
127469-5In99.41000071,300*
126459-6In99.010000126,726*
1254510-5In98.510000217,532*
1244410-6In97.710000361,825*
1234411-5In96.710000587,700*
1224311-6In95.199000930,916*
1214312-5In92.9990101,426,518*
1204212-6In90.0981102,133,742*
1194213-5In86.0981103,110,518*
1184113-6In81.1961204,429,893*
1174114-5In74.89423006,153,587*
1164014-6In67.39235008,342,474*
1154015-5In58.788570011,052,217*
1143915-6In49.184790014,310,439*
1133916-5In39.1789120018,106,138*
1123816-6In29.471121610022,409,209*
1113716-7In20.56316211027,146,011*
1103717-6In13.153192620032,135,677*
1093617-7In7.544223130037,270,374*
1083618-6In3.834243750042,323,280*
1073518-7In1.725264280047,072,146*
1063519-6In0.6172546111051,253,531*
1053419-7100.0%0.21124481610054,707,347*
1043420-6100.00.0621492220057,216,676*
1033320-7100.00.0317482840058,641,101*
1023321-6100.00.01134534600058,920,886*
1013221-7100.00.01940401010058,051,356*
1003222-6100.0No06344414100056,043,445*
993122-799.8No04274719300053,070,852*
983123-699.4No02204624610049,320,190*
973023-798.4No01144428111000044,935,296*
963024-696.1No0110392918400040,172,162*
952924-791.7No0063328257100035,221,249*
942925-684.3No0326243113200030,299,166*
932825-773.7No0219183421500025,571,297*
922826-660.4No01131334291010021,180,384*
912726-745.9No0098293416300017,214,493*
902727-632.1No0054233724610013,719,898*
892627-720.6No00321635311220010,744,680*
882628-612.0No0021103036184008,239,932*
872528-76.4No01052338267106,210,342*
862529-63.1No000316353212204,590,572*
852429-71.3No000110303718303,326,994*
842430-60.5No00006233926602,369,231*
832330-70.2No00031737331001,652,897*
822331-60.1No00011133381611,131,349*
812231-70.0No00172741222759,607*
802232-60.0No00042042304502,290*
792132-70.0No00021440376324,142*
782133-6OutNo0110354410205,394*
772033-7OutNo006295015126,807*
762034-6OutNo00324522077,771*
751934-7OutNo0218532746,864*
741935-6OutNo0113523427,212*
731835-7OutNo009504115,459*
721836-6OutNo0646488,585*
711736-7OutNo0340564,764*
701737-6OutNo0234632,561*
691738-5OutNo127721,361*
681638-6OutNo12377695*
671538-7OutNo02277350*
661539-6OutNo1387173*
651540-5OutNo168467*
641440-6OutNo59537*
631239-9OutNo10023*
621341-6OutNo109010*
30-61OutNo10086,707*
Total:92.3%6.2%17112722964210001,045,882,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleAnaheimChicagoVancouverLos AngelesCalgaryMinnesotaWinnipegSan JoseDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
150600-09.4%451088101614116530
141532-5NoYes
139545-1No5050
138524-4No141414291414
137514-54.910272201010177752
136515-49.0641310126121271033
135505-57.3358899181886540
134506-49.875108710131686640
133496-59.86597891616107430
132497-410.055988101516107330
131487-59.646988101515107430
130488-49.35698891516117440
129478-59.456988101515117430
128479-49.35598891515107430
127469-59.55698891516117430
126459-69.356978101515107430
1254510-59.35698891515107430
1244410-69.456988101515107430
1234411-59.45698891515107430
1224311-69.45698891515107430
1214312-59.45698891515107430
1204212-69.45698891515107430
1194213-59.356107891515107430
1184113-69.356107891515107330
1174114-59.356107891515107330
1164014-69.265117891615107330
1154015-59.26512789161597330
1143915-69.17513779161597330
1133916-59.07514778161486330
1123816-68.98515678171486330
1113716-78.810517668171376230
1103717-68.711419667181365220
1093617-78.513421567181265220
1083618-68.315423556191154220
1073518-78.217325445191044120
1063519-68.019327445201033110
1053419-77.82132933420933110
1043420-67.62223033321923110
1033320-77.52323133321923010
1023321-67.32433133321913010
1013221-77.22433133320812010
1003222-67.12543133320812010
993122-77.02553044319712010
983123-66.92562955417712010
973023-76.82472765416602010
963024-66.62482566514502010
952924-76.32492277512401010
942925-65.72291977510301000
932825-75.0209167658201000
922826-64.1178136546200000
912726-73.113695434100000
902727-62.210463323100000
892627-71.46342212000000
882628-60.84221111000000
872528-70.42111100000000
862529-60.21010000000000
852530-50.10000000000000
842430-60.00000000000000
832431-50.0000000000000
822331-60.00000000000
812332-50.000000000
802232-6No00000000
792334-3No00
30-78No
Total:7.0%18.74.523.74.44.54.516.48.22.52.90.81.30.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.7
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 +0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
133-150100
132497-41000
131487-51000
130488-410000
129478-5100000
128479-4100000
127469-599100
126459-699100
1254510-599100
1244410-698200
1234411-597300
1224311-6954000
1214312-593600100
1204212-690910100
1194213-5861210100
1184113-68115102000
1174114-575202030000
1164014-667253050000
1154015-559305070000
1143915-649357090000
1133916-539399112000000
1123816-629421111610010000
1113716-72042142191001000
1103717-613401542330020000
1093617-783616626510300000
1083618-643016927820500000
1073518-72231412261240800000
1063519-6116111523166011000100
1053419-70108161821101151001000
1043420-60651612231321921020000
1033320-7033147221542142040000
1023321-60111231916722840600000
1013221-701191141411201280911000
1003222-6006091114151712013210000
993122-70040571591917116430000
983123-60020241451820317760100
973023-700101212214217161210110000
963024-600100190101810121715330000
952924-70000006061413820187710000
942925-60000303914420171412310000
932825-70002015132171321168200000
922826-60001002100128261814620000
912726-7000001708425161913510000
902727-600000050412111202012410000
892627-70000030201561623201031000
882628-60000201010210202519930000
872528-700010005151423251772000
862529-60000030271726241451000
852429-70000001003102127221131000
842430-60000000141324271982000
832330-700000027172726155100
822331-60000000310222923102000
812231-7000015142629186100
802232-60000002820302611200
792132-700001413273118510
782133-600172133261010
772033-700141430321630
762034-6002825352360
751934-70014183431111
741935-60002123136172
731835-70172539244
721836-6041939317
711736-70213363712
701737-6018314317
691738-505264523
681638-62184832
671538-701134541
661539-61103653
651540-573360
641440-63565
631239-94357
621341-64060
611342-55050
601343-45050
30-57100
Total:6115698658663543321111100000000