St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Lost to Winnipeg 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 2.4 to 84.8%
32 points   14 7-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis 2 Winnipeg 3 (ot)-1.2
*-0.0
-0.2
Edmonton 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)-0.2
Nashville 4 New Jersey 5 (ot)*+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Chicago 1 +0.1
+0.1
Arizona 2 Columbus 3 (so)*-0.1
NY Rangers 4 Carolina 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Winnipeg+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.5-0.4-0.3
Los Angeles vs Montreal-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Calgary vs Anaheim*-0.1-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Edmonton vs Minnesota*-0.0-0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-146In99.8%1001,060*
1224310-4In97.01000264*
1214210-5In97.61000466*
1204110-6In94.5100807*
1194111-5In90.999001,450*
1184011-6In89.199002,451*
1174012-5In84.799114,176*
1163912-6In78.998116,498*
1153812-7In72.6971109,884*
1143813-6In64.39523015,230*
1133713-7In55.19334022,714*
1123714-6In45.39045032,922*
1113614-7In35.58678046,329*
1103615-6In25.9809110063,507*
1093515-7In17.47312140085,295*
1083516-6In10.765151910112,356*
1073416-7In5.855192420144,971*
1063417-6In2.945223030180,359*
1053317-7In1.2352435500222,485*
1043318-6In0.426254080267,759*
1033218-7In0.11825451210314,447*
1023219-6In0.01123471720363,299*
1013119-7In0.0621482230407,677*
1003120-6In0.0317462950449,945*
993020-7100.0%No1134335800485,319*
983021-6100.0No19384012000515,112*
972921-7100.0No06324417100533,475*
962922-699.9No04254622300539,615*
952822-799.6No021946285000538,031*
942823-698.9No0113433210100524,577*
932723-797.2No019383416300500,523*
922724-693.6No053233246100467,808*
912624-787.2No0325293111200430,705*
902625-677.3No02192235184000386,683*
892525-764.3No01131635268100341,589*
882526-649.4No008103132153000294,289*
872426-734.8No00552435227100249,792*
862427-622.5No03317332912300206,079*
852327-712.9No02110283319510168,448*
842328-66.8No01062134261020133,267*
832228-73.2No00031430321640104,130*
822229-61.3No00182434247179,183*
812129-70.5No000417333013259,920*
802130-60.2No00211283520443,962*
792030-70.0No0016223727731,598*
782031-60.0No00031634341221,894*
771931-7OutNo021130401815,386*
761932-6OutNo01624432610,217*
751832-7OutNo0041743356,724*
741833-6OutNo021341444,359*
731733-7OutNo1836552,802*
721734-6OutNo0530641,793*
711634-7OutNo0227711,052*
701635-6OutNo011881652*
691535-7OutNo11782372*
681536-6OutNo1288213*
671436-7OutNo59597*
661437-6OutNo59557*
651337-7OutNo39731*
641338-6OutNo69418*
631339-5OutNo11899*
32-62OutNo100788*
Total:84.8%1.4%8821241496421109,456,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoSan JoseMinnesotaEdmontonAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesWinnipegDallasCalgaryArizonaVancouverColorado
146570-04.1%4387101211101211463
131475-5No5050
128467-4No5050
127468-3No333333
126447-6No661261261861812
125448-58.3811883817141166
124438-66.36286816817113826
123439-53.984791291311123571
1224310-45.365871011121079563
1214210-54.166748111311126673
1204110-65.78667813121296463
1194111-54.363898111212107553
1184011-63.865888121112107553
1174012-54.36577912131198464
1163912-64.164878121212108553
1153812-74.06487812111297553
1143813-63.97488812121297553
1133713-73.774978131112107553
1123714-64.17497813111197553
1113614-73.984107814111196453
1103615-63.994117715101186443
1093515-73.9114137715101086443
1083516-63.712314661791075443
1073416-73.71431656188975332
1063417-63.61631855198864332
1053317-73.51832045217753222
1043318-63.42022244226653222
1033218-73.32322434235642221
1023219-63.22422533244542111
1013119-73.12622733244531111
1003120-63.02732833253431111
993020-73.02732833253431111
983021-62.82742833242421001
972921-72.82752833242420001
962922-62.82762744233320001
952822-72.72682655213320001
942823-62.62592565203320001
932723-72.624112376183210000
922724-62.523122176164210000
912624-72.321131977143110000
902625-62.119131776113110000
892525-71.71611146593100000
882526-61.3129105462000000
872426-70.98773341000000
862427-60.65452231000000
852327-70.43331110000000
842328-60.22111110000000
832228-70.111100000000
822229-60.00000000000000
812129-70.0000000000
802130-60.000000000
792030-7No0000
781930-8No0000
32-77No
Total:2.5%20.36.120.34.34.117.33.43.42.30.90.70.70.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis 2 Winnipeg 3 (ot)+0.3
Philadelphia 3 Chicago 1 -0.1
Nashville 4 New Jersey 5 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Edmonton vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-146100
124438-6982
123439-5991
1224310-49730
1214210-59820
1204110-6955
1194111-591800
1184011-6891000
1174012-58514101
1163912-6791911
1153812-77325110
1143813-6643120300
1133713-7553830400
1123714-6454540500
1113614-73650617000
1103615-6265481101000
1093515-717561021220000
1083516-611541241540100
1073416-7650126177002000
1063417-63431291712103000
1053317-7134121316172050000
1043318-602591614243071000
1033218-7017718102950930100
1023219-60115196327111500100
1013119-706318332103121010300
1003120-603115128116111620410
993020-7111202210109223062000
983021-610901581562861840000
972921-70060951733083981000
962922-6004053171291068142000
952822-700221150241011721420000
942823-600111120178174285510000
932723-701008011521232511210000
922724-60005063231324193210000
912624-70003312102822844310000
902625-600021017022134367421000
892525-70001001201603525910631000
882526-60000080100311491313831000
872426-7000055024026131815831000
862427-60003317003817211783100
852327-7000211000141121231782000
842328-600106000151423241672000
832228-7000300027172524146100
822229-60010131020262312410
812129-70000001412232720920
802130-60000261626271751
792030-700000210213024112
782031-600014142731194
771931-700282232279
761932-601414323515
751832-70028264024
741833-6015194332
731733-702134044
721734-60183754
711634-70043264
701635-6022375
691535-712277
681536-601485
671436-7793
661437-6991
651337-7397
641338-6694
631339-51189
32-62100
Total:17263936311373111811122221111000