St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 62.2%
51 points   23 19-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4 -1.1
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 +0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto vs Calgary+1.3*+0.0*+0.0-1.3-1.6-1.6
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+0.9-0.1-0.2-1.2-1.3-1.3
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-0.7-0.9-0.7+0.2+0.1+1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121350-0In59.5%97030173,795
118-119In16.71006*
117321-2In20.0802010*
116322-1In4.8762442*
115312-2In5.958141170*
114302-3In1.9511480630*
113303-2In0.74015811,954*
112293-3In0.23326235,511*
111294-2In0.125268514,830*
110284-3In0.0183727037,255*
109274-4In0.01137511086,682*
108275-3In0.07374160192,596*
107265-4InNo4271220401,975*
106266-3InNo2266300797,580*
105256-4InNo11603801,506,741*
104257-3InNo01524612,717,170*
103247-4InNo004454104,676,122*
102248-3InNo003661207,710,040*
101238-4InNo0029674012,184,686*
100239-3InNo0022717018,461,728*
99229-4100.0%No001674100026,901,125*
982210-3100.0No001174150037,721,671*
972110-4100.0No007722010050,894,580*
962010-5100.0No05682610066,176,705*
952011-499.9No03623130082,957,387*
941911-599.7No0255367000100,353,492*
931912-498.9No014838131000117,184,910*
921812-597.1No004037203000132,139,033*
911813-493.4No03233286000143,983,025*
901713-586.9No024273512100151,604,695*
891714-476.9No018203919300154,310,415*
881614-563.9No012133828710151,881,389*
871615-449.1No088333514200144,548,850*
861515-534.4No054253922500133,092,031*
851516-421.8No0321737301010118,497,075*
841416-512.4No0111032371720102,027,232*
831417-46.3No01052439255084,975,975*
821317-52.9No000216373410068,443,839*
811318-41.1No000110324117053,290,476*
801218-50.4No00052445260040,123,668*
791219-40.1No00021744360029,185,923*
781119-50.0No00011041471020,507,233*
771120-40.0No0000635581013,918,959*
761121-30.0No00032767209,116,123*
751021-40.0No00012074405,760,731*
741022-30.0No0011479603,508,136*
73922-4OutNo009801002,056,641*
72923-3OutNo006791501,164,299*
71823-4OutNo0376201633,196*
70824-3OutNo0270271328,982*
69724-4OutNo0162342164,554*
68725-3OutNo05342478,777*
67625-4OutNo04449736,706*
66626-3OutNo034541215,917*
65526-4OutNo02656176,457*
64527-3OutNo01756272,672*
63427-4OutNo1155341,002*
62428-3OutNo74945344*
61429-2OutNo54253117*
60430-1OutNo435728*
59330-2OutNo99111*
58230-3OutNo1001
51035-0OutNo0199173,795
Total:62.2%0.0%002251718151174002,096,737,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
121350-00.7%031471926197580
119341-0NoYes
118331-1No2020202020
117321-2No2010101020101010
116322-1No2651019177755
115312-2No139123141611526
114302-30.6144033141410325
113303-20.815512312108333
112293-30.73580221296322
111294-20.63650121265222
110284-30.54700111153221
109274-40.55750111032111
108275-30.56780019211110
107265-40.5780000911000
106266-30.47820008100000
105256-40.4783000800000
104257-30.4884000700000
103247-40.488410070000000
102248-30.48831107000000
101238-40.478221160000000
100239-30.478041160000000
99229-40.477852250000000
982210-30.477483350000000
972110-40.4770114440000000
962010-50.4865145530000000
952011-40.4959177620000000
941911-50.41252197620000000
931912-40.41645218710000000
921812-50.42238218710000000
911813-40.42832197610000000
1712-60.42931197610000000
901713-50.33425166500000000
1814-30.33425176500000000
891714-40.33619135400000000
881614-50.2351493300000000
871615-40.230962200000000
861515-50.123641100000000
851516-40.115421100000000
841517-30.09210000000000
831417-40.05100000000000
821418-30.02000000000000
811318-40.0100000000000
801319-30.0000000000000
791219-40.00000000000
781220-30.0000000000
771120-40.000000000
761121-30.00000000
751122-2No00
741022-3No0
51-73No
Total:0.2%18.825.510.03.73.20.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4 +0.2
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Calgary-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Winnipeg vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121350-060380200
119341-0100
118331-1100
117321-2206020
116322-1571177
115312-265212121
114302-3249115330
113303-2139101444010
112293-303320105221
111294-202520762032
110284-3018204680340
109274-401121273004700
108275-3072117210412000
107265-441106910419000
106266-321106330327000
105256-411105550235000
104257-3001045712440000
103247-40000359115210010
102248-300002410215920120
101238-400001693063401300
100239-3000984063801600
99229-400056506013119000
982210-3000245053192114000
972110-40001240432451190000
962010-50001303327912510000
952011-40002022261403131000
941911-500010132220035520000
931912-4000107162403875100000
921812-5000041026037911200000
911813-400016250338205200000
901713-5000132102762974200000
891714-4000117020336885200000
881614-5000012013137611106200000
871615-4000080803341015136200000
861515-5000504025171519147200000
851516-4000320170310182116720000
841416-5000110100141221231672000
831417-400010050015142324167200
821317-50000200026162525166100
811318-4000100002818272514410
801218-500000000392129241120
791219-400000001412253121600
781119-50000000151732311300
771120-400000002926392300
761121-3000001418403610
751021-400000210364920
741022-3000005296150
73922-40002216980
72923-30011472130
71823-400872191
70824-300468261
69724-40262342
68725-30153414
67625-4044487
66626-30345412
65526-40265617
64527-30175627
63427-4115534
62428-374945
61429-254253
60430-14357
59330-2991
58230-3100
51035-00199
Total:000001010761101731623455443322100