St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Beat Anaheim 2-0, playoff odds up 7 to 68%
11 points   5 3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
*-0.0
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.4
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.0
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-157InYes10028,281*
1265412-7In99.9%10003,873*
1255413-6In99.8100006,761*
1245313-7In99.71000011,602*
1235314-6In99.61000019,562*
1225214-7In99.31000032,024*
1215114-8In98.9990051,667*
1205115-7In98.3990080,724*
1195015-8In97.39911123,995*
1185016-7In95.998110186,892*
1174916-8In93.997210276,145*
1164917-7In91.295220399,434*
1154817-8In87.5933300567,854*
1144818-7In82.691540789,708*
1134718-8In76.28776001,078,466*
1124719-7In68.48299001,446,881*
1114619-8In59.2771211001,901,233*
1104620-7In49.1701515102,458,294*
1094520-8In38.46218191003,119,486*
1084521-7In28.05321242003,887,533*
1074421-8In18.64324293004,755,222*
1064422-7100.0%11.134263450005,728,796*
1054322-8100.05.825283981006,774,767*
1044222-9100.02.6172743121007,877,487*
1034223-8100.01.0112545162009,006,394*
1024123-9100.00.36224622400010,122,014*
1014124-8100.00.13184427600011,187,868*
1004024-9100.00.0214413310100012,163,472*
994025-899.90.0110363714200013,006,954*
983925-999.60.007304019400013,687,691*
973926-898.8No042340248100014,163,264*
963826-996.9No02173827133000014,418,636*
953827-892.8No01123327196100014,455,232*
943727-985.4No01728252511300014,254,119*
933728-874.1No004212029186100013,832,836*
923628-959.3No021514282512300013,214,806*
913629-843.2No01108242919710012,428,997*
903529-928.3No01641729261330011,494,944*
893530-816.6No00421125302071010,466,704*
883430-98.6No0021619312712309,390,508*
873431-84.0No0010312273219618,286,359*
863331-91.7No0000172133271017,197,309*
853332-80.6No000031430321736,154,373*
843232-90.2No00002925352465,187,429*
833233-80.1No000015183531104,298,117*
823133-90.0No000002133237153,506,267*
813134-80.0No0000182741222,817,788*
803034-90.0No000052243302,231,654*
793035-80.0No000031643381,735,810*
782935-90.0No00011140471,330,995*
772936-8OutNo001836561,003,019*
762836-9OutNo00053164744,822*
752837-8OutNo0032671544,723*
742737-9OutNo0022177391,637*
732738-8OutNo011782276,348*
722638-9OutNo011387193,035*
712639-8OutNo00990132,176*
702539-9OutNo079389,774*
692540-8OutNo0059559,258*
682541-7OutNo049638,601*
672441-8OutNo029724,762*
662442-7OutNo029815,461*
652342-8OutNo1999,831*
642343-7OutNo01996,043*
632243-8OutNo1993,510*
622143-9OutNo01002,099*
612144-8OutNo01001,210*
11-60OutNo10025,164*
Total:68.0%3.8%771718109876542285,208,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimMinnesotaNashvilleLos AngelesVancouverChicagoSan JoseCalgaryDallasColoradoWinnipegEdmontonArizona
157730-07.9%5788891010106676
138628-3No5050
137618-4No333333
136597-7No333333
135598-6No20202040
1346010-36.7132072771313
133589-67.17710512510101422125
1325810-57.01887371212781386
1315710-66.53569911911126656
1305711-58.5768671286186754
1295611-66.9679868811138754
1285511-78.457876998139665
1275512-67.6589771189117764
1265412-78.94810781089118655
1255413-68.2589771088118865
1245313-78.1589771189118755
1235314-67.8589771188128755
1225214-77.9589771188128765
1215114-88.0589771189128755
1205115-78.1589771188128755
1195015-88.0589771188128754
1185016-78.0589771188128754
1174916-88.05810771188128754
1164917-78.05810771188128754
1154817-87.95910771188128754
1144818-77.95910771288128754
1134718-87.94911671288128754
1124719-77.841011661277128754
1114619-87.841012661377128744
1104620-77.741113661377127743
1094520-87.641214561466127743
1084521-77.641315551566127643
1074421-87.531516551555127633
1064422-77.331617441655126632
1054322-87.231718441744126622
1044222-97.131819341844126522
1034223-86.931920331833126521
1024123-96.832021331933126511
1014124-86.632121331933126511
1004024-96.532121331932126511
994025-86.342121331932125511
983925-96.252121331832125511
973926-86.162020441732115410
963826-95.982019541632104410
953827-85.69191855153394310
943727-95.19171655133273300
933728-84.49151455113262200
923628-93.5812114482242200
913629-82.56983362131100
903529-91.64652241121100
893530-81.03431121010000
883531-70.51221110000000
873431-80.21110010000000
863432-70.10000000000000
853332-80.00000000000000
843333-70.00000000000000
833233-80.00000000000000
823234-70.00000000000000
813134-80.000000000000
803135-70.0000000
793136-6No0000
782733-13No0
11-77No
Total:4.4%4.413.113.13.13.011.32.52.27.33.43.10.90.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-157100
1265412-710000
1255413-6100000
1245313-7100000
1235314-6100000
1225214-799000
1215114-899100
1205115-798100
1195015-897111
1185016-7962110
1174916-8943210
1164917-791420200
1154817-8876303000
1144818-7838504000
1134718-876117060000
1124719-768149080000
1114619-85917110110000
1104620-749211401500100
1094520-83823171190010000
1084521-728252012310020000
1074421-819252222621030000
1064422-71123234293205000000
1054322-8619226296408001000
1044222-93151982796011001000
1034223-81101510231390151002000
1024123-9061112161613119210400000
1014124-803712101716221420600000
1004024-902410416174217409010000
994025-8012821216618127013120000
983925-9001608129121511116240000
973926-800404811717152185801000
963826-900202411314164171012130000
953827-800101291101481315163610000
943727-900100170610127171871131000
933728-8000004036133171514168200000
923628-9000020121211391918147200000
913629-8000100190842014191472100000
903529-900010060411681720158310000
893530-80000004020103111921168310000
883430-9000002010615122023179310000
873431-80000100301513212318931000
863331-900000001002614222418931000
853332-80000000000271523241782000
843232-90000000128172524156100
833233-8000000000131020272313410
823133-9000000001412232821920
813134-80000000261727281640
803034-900000031023312491
793035-80000015163031152
782935-9000002102535225
772936-8000151935309
762836-9000313333714
752837-800018284220
742737-900015234427
732738-8003174536
722638-9001124344
712639-800183952
702539-90053460
692540-8033067
682541-7022573
672441-8012078
662442-7011683
652342-801287
642343-701090
632243-80892
622143-90694
612144-8595
602044-9397
592045-8298
581945-9199
571946-8199
11-56100
Total:444354536443554443333332222110