St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 1-3, playoff odds down 0.06 to 99.9%
85 points   40 19-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 3 St. Louis 1 -0.3
-4.4
Nashville 3 NY Islanders 4 +0.1
+0.6
Tampa Bay 4 Toronto 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit vs Calgary-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Chicago vs Edmonton-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121180-0In99.9%10000127,809
120170-1In99.510000104,125
119171-0In98.49900500,896*
118161-1In96.098111,291,141*
117151-2In91.096223,602,021*
116152-1In82.4934307,249,784*
115142-2In69.08686014,889,518*
114143-1In51.5771211024,633,508*
113133-2In32.8651718040,639,087*
112134-1In17.4532126035,420,132
123-3In15.8502327021,488,655*
111124-2In6.43725371044,793,294
135-0In6.83825361033,900,584*
110125-1In2.02626472055,562,073
114-3In1.62326483039,537,006*
109115-2In0.31424575064,400,180
126-0In0.41524565048,537,077*
108116-1In0.0820639066,597,051
105-3In0.07196311052,652,494*
107106-2In0.03146518072,333,159*
117-0In0.041565150029,506,359
95-4In0.031363210021,587,818
106107-1In0.01962270062,273,019
96-3In0.01860300052,430,462*
10597-2In0.00553401059,330,522
108-0In0.00656371024,144,111
86-4In0.00449442020,921,790*
10498-1InNo0244503046,000,591
87-3InNo0240544039,746,318*
10388-2InNo0130618039,174,768
99-0InNo0130618029,796,465*
10289-1100.0%No002165140027,005,507
78-3100.0No001765170023,137,816*
10179-2100.0No001162261035,718,705*
100710-1100.0No005533830022,934,031*
99610-299.9No02414970014,456,089*
98611-199.4No01285516108,163,670*
97511-297.1No001751283004,535,185*
96512-190.2No0940419102,231,802*
95412-277.0No04254720301,087,433*
94413-157.0No02134335800458,156*
93313-236.3No0531451810193,226*
92314-118.6No021746323068,428*
91214-28.1No00837459024,502*
90215-12.9No0325511926,960*
89216-00.8No114522942,070*
88116-10.5No010394011425*
87117-01.1No1119502990*
86017-1OutNo8543813
85018-0OutNo011454498,915
Total:99.9%5.4%151343244100001,193,294,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleChicagoVancouverMinnesotaCalgaryLos AngelesWinnipegSan JoseColoradoDallas
121180-010.7%0017201614221541
120170-110.50027191414251431
119171-010.50027191414251431
118161-110.40027191414261431
117151-210.50037191314261331
116152-110.40057201314261231
115142-210.30086211213251231
114143-110.100126211112241021
113133-29.9001952391022921
112134-19.701264238920721
123-39.601274247820711
111124-29.402353246716510
135-09.402353246717510
110125-19.103433234513410
114-39.004442234513310
109115-28.706522223310200
126-08.705512223410310
104-48.607531222310200
108116-18.40859120228100
105-38.30959119127100
107106-28.101064117115100
117-08.10963118116100
95-48.001263017115100
106107-17.901266015014000
96-37.801366015004000
10597-27.611467014003000
108-07.701368014003000
86-47.611566014003000
10498-17.521567013003000
87-37.421666013003000
10388-27.441765012002000
99-07.341765012002000
10289-17.371862011002000
78-37.391959010002000
10179-27.313215509002000
100710-17.420244717001000
99610-27.528273815001000
98611-17.635312913001000
97511-27.540332112000000
96512-17.040331511000000
95412-26.036301011000000
94413-14.5272360000000
93313-22.917153000000
92314-11.598200000
91214-20.64410000
90215-10.21100
89216-00.001
88116-1No00
87117-0No1
85-86No
Total:8.3%2.410.152.11.517.22.42.98.32.30.50.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 St. Louis 1 +0.7
Nashville 3 NY Islanders 4 -0.2
Washington 1 Minnesota 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Carolina vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121180-0100000
120170-199000
119171-098100
118161-196211
117151-29152020
116152-1821040300
115142-2691770600
114143-152261201100
113133-2333216117100
112134-117351832420000
111124-263117830700100
135-073118729700100
110125-12241312301600200
114-32221313301800300
109115-2014816253200500
126-0016816253000400
104-4012716243300600
108116-10841615470082000
105-3073161548009200
107106-203113757001260000
117-004114857001150000
95-403112657001470000
106107-1010925901131400000
96-3010825601141600000
10597-2000505012122900100
108-0000615312112500100
86-4000404602123200200
10498-10020400484300300
87-30020350484700400
10388-200102405457007100
99-000102505457007100
10289-10000150616201113000
78-30000120516201134000
10179-2000605059131710100
100710-1002030471619203000
99610-2000203101017327000
98611-1001016012124314210
97511-200007010745235300
96512-10020733729129100
95412-20004125272119300
94413-1000101218253111100
93313-200059223623400
92314-1001314313513200
91214-200171939257100
90215-1003930351841
89216-0131836291220
88116-1008193825800
87117-01629322381
86017-18234623
85018-00019263722400
Total:510581130016170022000000000000