St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 97.3%
45 points   21 9-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Edmonton 5 Dallas 6 (so)*-0.0
Winnipeg 3 Philadelphia 4 (ot)*+0.0
Chicago 4 Toronto 0 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Calgary+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0
Anaheim vs San Jose+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
-0.0*-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs Nashville+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Florida vs Pittsburgh+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
131-143InYes1005,777*
130415-3In99.7%1000719*
129405-4In99.710001,589*
128406-3In99.310003,268*
127396-4In98.7100006,626*
126397-3In98.2990112,371*
125387-4In96.6990122,181*
124388-3In94.69802038,473*
123378-4In92.29703065,031*
122368-5In88.395050105,330*
121369-4In83.492080165,085*
120359-5In77.1890110250,930*
1193510-4In69.7840150368,441*
1183410-5In60.97912001523,219*
1173411-4In51.57312501722,324*
1163311-5In41.565131020967,669*
1153312-4In31.7572380401,257,847*
1143212-5In22.7482440601,593,753*
1133213-4In15.1393490901,954,700*
1123113-5In9.13145201302,339,727*
1113114-4In5.0234550180002,724,120*
1103014-5In2.4164550240003,089,794*
1093015-4In1.0114531310003,416,205*
1082915-5In0.374492380103,679,531*
1072916-4In0.143433460203,862,091*
1062816-5100.0%0.0223645203003,959,482*
1052817-4In0.012285581503,956,240*
1042717-5100.00.0012166218003,853,072*
1032718-4100.00.00114763312003,670,010*
1022618-5100.0No008761617103,408,531*
1012518-6100.0No00465510232003,092,318*
1002519-599.9No00254614294002,741,108*
992419-699.7No001435193470002,372,346*
982420-599.0No0003242238121002,001,934*
972320-697.3No001152439183001,654,675*
962321-593.7No00182237266101,334,983*
952221-687.4No0004193132111001,051,498*
942222-577.7No000215243719400811,965*
932122-665.2No00111173727710609,578*
922123-550.6No0071033341310448,090*
912023-636.5No004626392130322,477*
902024-523.9No0023193930700226,858*
891924-614.4No00111235381210155,145*
881925-57.8No10728431920104,041*
871926-43.9No0042145274067,926*
861826-51.7No0021442357043,526*
851827-40.8No0019374211027,140*
841727-50.3No0005294817116,700*
831728-40.0No0222502419,771*
821628-50.1No0116473235,567*
811629-4OutNo1104342503,170*
801529-5OutNo073847801,715*
791530-4OutNo5335111997*
781430-5OutNo022557160527*
771431-4OutNo2165922249*
761331-5OutNo11457262143*
751332-4OutNo10553560*
741232-5OutNo74444427*
731233-4OutNo4444119*
721133-5OutNo50504*
711033-6OutNo60405*
45049-0OutNo01005,232
Total:97.3%5.5%12227335510421000063,133,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverWinnipegMinnesotaCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
143490-08.7%12410913212014320
136442-3NoYes
135443-2No173350
134422-5No5111616112616
133434-29.141313119252024
132424-311.89137132024853
131414-47.72411121124181244
130415-37.5339111322211243
129405-48.90231091122211442
128406-39.2024101011222213420
127396-49.0024910122121134200
126397-39.202491111212113420
125387-49.012491011222112420
124388-38.802591111212113420
123378-48.802591112212113420
122368-58.7025101112212013420
121369-48.8025101112202013420
120359-58.60251112121919134200
1193510-48.70261112131918134200
1183410-58.50361213131717124200
1173411-48.50371213141616123200
1163311-58.40381314151515123100
1153312-48.31391415151313123100
1143212-58.213101516161211122100
1133213-48.113111717171010122100
1123113-57.9131218181888112100
1113114-47.8141419191977111100
1103014-57.6141520191955111000
1093015-47.4141620201944101000
1082915-57.3141721202033101000
1072916-47.115182120202290000
1062816-57.015202220192290000
1052817-46.826212219192280000
1042717-56.72722221918117000
1032718-46.538222118181170000
1022618-56.349232117171160000
1012518-66.2611242016161160000
1002519-56.0813241815151150000
992419-65.91115241713131140000
982420-55.71517231511121130000
972320-65.51919221310101130000
962321-55.123192011881120000
952322-44.72719179661110000
942222-54.12817147450010000
932223-43.42715105330010000
922123-52.6241273220000000
912124-41.919942110000000
902024-51.213621110000000
892025-40.78411000000000
881925-50.4521000000000
871926-40.22100000000
861826-50.1100000000
851827-40.00000000000
841828-30.00000
831728-40.00
821729-30.00
45-81No
Total:6.7%5.07.617.818.016.316.13.93.87.80.70.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 4 Toronto 0 +0.1
Winnipeg 3 Philadelphia 4 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Nashville-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-143100
130415-310000
129405-410000
128406-39910
127396-499100
126397-398101
125387-497201
124388-3953020
123378-4925030
122368-58860500
121369-48390800
120359-5771101100
1193510-47015001500
1183410-561181020001
1173411-451211025001
1163311-5412410310020
1153312-43225203710400
1143212-52325204210600
1133213-41524304620900
1123113-59223048401300
1113114-45184048700180000
1103014-521431451000240000
1093015-411031391410300000
1082915-506213117203710100
1072916-404222320304320200
1062816-50211152140485003000
1052817-401118205150910500
1042717-50001417514715108000
1032718-4000111252412230110000
1022618-50000843312960161100
1012518-600004242134912022000
1002519-5000021411351232354000
992419-60000113530136241070000
982420-5000000222312102117111100
972320-600010159141623153300
962321-500010861710271976100
952221-60000043165271914102000
942222-500000211422215221561000
932122-60001010116928171241000
922123-500070104291618103100
912023-60004062251222199200
902024-500020301871925177100
891924-6000110123142525144100
881925-510071720292210200
871926-4000403132629186100
861826-5002017193026123000
851827-400100311253121710
841727-50000161831291330
831728-4000211253322610
821628-5001518322912200
811629-400211273321510
801529-50152132271020
791530-4031332321640
781430-50824372460
771431-402173628142
761331-51930411441
751332-431843287
741232-511304119
731233-4442233
721133-525252525
711033-6206020
45049-00100
Total:561118921241132742111000000000000