St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 51.6%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.5
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.4+0.4+1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose+4.1+3.9+3.4-1.6-1.5-6.3
+0.2+0.1+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.6
Anaheim vs Minnesota+1.0*-0.0*+0.1-0.8-0.7-1.0
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-110In99.6%100723*
863910-4In99.01000300*
853810-5In98.01000496*
843811-4In96.79911946*
833711-5In95.198111,534*
823611-6In91.198112,560*
813612-5In87.996224,030*
803512-6In81.5943306,388*
793513-5In73.1905509,559*
783413-6In63.48676013,934*
773414-5In51.8801010020,232*
763314-6In38.77213141028,501*
753315-5In26.46417182038,611*
743215-6In15.55321243052,166*
733216-5100.0%8.042242950067,947*
723116-6100.03.3302635810087,539*
713117-599.91.020273912200108,816*
703017-699.70.2112642183000132,209*
693018-599.20.0622422460100157,157*
682918-698.30.02173929100200182,865*
672919-596.40.01123434150300209,695*
662819-693.1No082836211610232,665*
652820-588.0No04213525310200252,404*
642720-680.4No02143226616400268,884*
632721-570.6No19262312217100280,021*
622621-659.2No051916192513200286,851*
612622-546.7No031382225217100287,171*
602522-634.6No0184222026145100279,947*
592523-524.2No00511813262311300266,517*
582423-615.9No0020137212720810249,391*
572424-59.7No0010831427271540228,629*
562324-65.5No000051721302491205,512*
552325-52.9No000303142831174179,828*
542225-61.4No0010182234268154,736*
532226-50.7No00100415333414129,490*
522126-60.3No000029283922106,307*
512127-50.1No00001521423185,601*
502027-60.1No0000315414268,031*
492028-50.0No0019385252,490*
481928-60.0No0006326239,342*
471929-5OutNo004267028,991*
461829-6OutNo02207820,766*
451830-5OutNo01168314,738*
441730-6OutNo000128810,291*
431731-5OutNo09916,955*
421631-6OutNo05954,547*
411632-5OutNo04962,946*
401532-6OutNo03971,801*
391533-5OutNo3971,156*
381433-6OutNo0100693*
371434-5OutNo100394*
361334-6OutNo199249*
4-35OutNo100628*
Total:51.6%1.6%5512148788777654,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonChicago
110530-04.6%14234222131012912142
94447-2No3367
92427-4No5050
91417-56.7271313720137
90418-4No747447719711194
89408-52.3922112559111621492
88409-43.8463196891213121243
87399-55.510545222111161013107
863910-44.7955564411109128102
853810-54.68742465997916103
843811-45.18644454101010913103
833711-55.5965445411910910113
823611-64.687555651091091083
813612-55.186555651091091093
803512-65.27666565109991093
793513-55.1766666610998983
783413-65.176776769998883
773414-54.766877779887883
763314-64.965988888777773
753315-54.65510981097776763
743215-64.65511111011106666554
733216-54.54413121112115555544
723116-64.24414131213125444444
713117-54.33315151314134333334
703017-64.23316151415143333224
693018-54.13317161415143222224
682918-63.84417161415142222214
672919-53.74416161414142222113
662819-63.55516151314132222113
2718-83.35516151313132222113
652820-53.35515141212122222113
642720-62.96613131111112221113
2619-82.86513121110102221113
632721-52.56611109992221112
622621-62.176987772211112
612622-51.665766552111001
602522-61.364544332111001
592523-50.953423221111000
582423-60.532212111110000
572424-50.321111011000000
562324-60.211101000000000
552325-50.110000000000000
542225-60.100000000000000
532226-50.000000000000000
522126-60.000000000000000
512127-50.0000000000000
502027-60.000000000000
492129-3No0000
481928-6No0000
4-47No
Total:2.0%3.83.28.07.36.66.56.31.91.51.51.31.01.01.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+0.1
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.4+0.4+1.4
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-110100
87388-7982
863910-49910
853810-59820
843811-497211
833711-595311
823611-691711
813612-588822
803512-68212330
793513-57317505000
783413-6632370600
773414-552281009000
763314-63934121131010
753315-526371521610200
743215-6163717420300300
733216-58341772261050000
723116-632716112111207001000
713117-5119121517184011102000
703017-60118171123711430030000
693018-5064185249315710600100
682918-602216221107131420910200
672919-5011120148129205112300300
662819-600807516422731281061000
652820-5004032161198810162093100
642720-60021113012614521511072000
632721-5010090531712185911620000
622621-60005211601571261212731000
612622-500030001208518291514941000
602522-60001008042201310161712520000
592523-5000005111701410161915831000
582423-6000020013001391620171151000
572424-50001008001381621201362000
562324-6000005000138162222157200
552325-50000300012716242315610
542225-60010001381725241451
532226-50010001310202824122
522126-60000014132531216
512127-5000001618313012
502027-600000311273721
492028-500015214132
481928-60003143944
471929-500193555
461829-60052867
451830-5032275
441730-60011782
431731-5011287
421631-60891
411632-50595
401532-60496
391533-5397
381433-6199
371434-5100
361334-6298
4-35100
Total:2324242425253526333333334444333