St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.7 to 74%
72 points   34 22-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Colorado 2 Edmonton 4 +2.1
+0.1
San Jose 5 Dallas 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders vs Minnesota+1.4+0.2+0.2-1.0-1.2-1.2
Vegas vs Anaheim+0.8-0.2-0.1-1.1-1.1-1.1
Calgary vs Boston-1.0-1.0-0.8+0.1+0.1+0.9
Chicago vs Los Angeles+0.7+0.0+0.1-0.4-0.6-0.5
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116220-0In53.4%772120206,759
115210-1In29.95936604,865
114211-0In18.647439027,010*
113201-1In9.8354916094,518*
112191-2In4.52450241318,085*
111192-1In1.716483330850,058*
110182-2In0.594342602,148,371*
109183-1In0.1535491104,661,639*
108173-2In0.02265318009,572,077*
107174-1In0.011853280017,556,114*
106164-2In0.001148391030,555,326*
105154-3100.0%0.006415030048,503,179*
104155-2100.00.003315970073,239,794*
103145-3100.0No0122641200102,196,309*
102146-2100.0No0014642010135,959,163*
101136-399.9No0085930300168,578,828*
100137-299.8No00451386000104,618,676
126-499.7No0044939700095,041,333*
99127-399.1No002394513100221,533,019*
98128-297.3No01284722300121,261,091
117-496.8No01264623300113,966,616*
97118-391.5No001741348100110,845,067
129-191.9No001841338100123,873,326*
96119-282.0No0010314016200114,594,571
108-479.9No0010294117300109,714,672*
95109-363.5No00518412871095,411,911
1110-164.5No005194128710106,419,329*
941010-243.9No02933371630174,075,907*
93910-325.3No01321392870141,390,089*
92911-212.2No0011133381600110,116,603*
91811-34.8No00042343281080,708,789*
90812-21.6No00021340423056,705,502*
89712-30.4No0006325570037,418,931*
88713-20.1No00022262130023,653,348*
87613-30.0No00011363220013,998,012*
86614-20.0No0075933107,927,160*
85514-30.0No0035144204,179,192*
84515-20.0No0014154402,105,101*
83516-1OutNo01306270976,886*
82416-2OutNo002167120434,616*
81417-1OutNo01367191174,667*
80317-2OutNo076228367,099*
79318-1OutNo454375023,096*
78218-2OutNo2444597,523*
77219-1OutNo133501602,152*
76119-2OutNo2154250592*
75120-1OutNo114742142*
74121-0OutNo12483933*
73021-1OutNo50508
72022-0OutNo0229654205,856
Total:74.0%0.0%016262418128510002,565,923,010

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasWinnipegNashvilleSan JoseDallasLos AngelesMinnesotaAnaheimCalgaryColoradoChicagoEdmontonVancouverArizona
116220-04.2%0336285277615000
115210-14.15653052465140
114211-04.088432423551200
113201-13.901111331321441100
112191-23.80151523031933900
111192-13.602020228216328000
110182-23.5025251242132260000
109183-13.403030121111115000
108173-23.303434117181130000
107174-13.10373801407103000
106164-23.00394001205002000
105154-33.01414201004001000
104155-22.9241430904001000
144-42.9241430904001000
103145-32.8342430803001000
156-12.8342430803001000
102146-22.8542420703001000
135-42.8642420703001000
101136-32.8941410602001000
147-12.8841420602001000
125-52.8104141050200100
100137-22.81340400402001000
126-42.8154039040200100
99127-32.72038370301000000
138-12.81938370301000000
116-52.72237360301000000
98128-22.72734330201000000
117-42.72933320201000000
139-02.7273433020100000
97118-32.53528270100000000
129-12.6332928010000000
107-52.5362625010000000
96119-22.33822210100000000
108-42.23820200100000000
1210-02.33821210100000000
95109-31.83514140000000000
1110-11.8361414000000000
941010-21.2288900000000
99-41.2278800000000
93910-30.7174400000000
92911-20.392200000000
91811-30.141100000000
90812-20.010000000000
89813-10.00000000000
88713-20.000000000
87714-10.00000000
86614-20.000000
85514-3No0
84515-2No0
72-83No
Total:2.1%18.925.325.10.12.90.11.10.00.00.40.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Edmonton 4 -0.2
San Jose 5 Dallas 2 -0.1
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Anaheim-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116220-0532321200
115210-1302936500
114211-01928430910
113201-110254901330
112191-2420500186010
111192-121448021120300
110182-21942121210600
109183-105341193001100
108173-202252143900171000
107174-10116294310244000
106164-20092542203180100
105154-3004223630351503000
104155-20021126403424007000
103145-30110174030341012000
102146-2000094123402020010
101136-300004311541403003000
100137-200001118367038060000
126-400001117347039070000
99127-3000001132591451130100
98128-200000011593452220300
117-40000011493442230300
97118-3000006643743408100
129-1000007643743308100
96119-20000023526540016200
108-40000023424541017300
95109-300000113126401287100
1110-100000113136401287100
941010-200000025431237163000
93910-300011218339288000
92911-2000001833238171000
91811-3000000222141303000
90812-200000011103542102000
89712-3000000422462161000
88713-200001113832143000
87613-3000004243425102000
86614-20001122832206100
85514-30004163130153000
84515-20001721332610100
83516-100211273420500
82416-2001417333112200
81417-10018253723500
80317-200314343413200
79318-1016244024510
78218-20021436331320
77219-11626402160
76119-22163730122
75120-1102339254
74121-0624391812
73021-113253825
72022-000523422830
Total:00100410714422221711284110000000000