St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+3.4+3.3+2.9-1.2-1.2-5.4
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.3*-0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.2-0.3
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-164In100.0%1008,173*
1265915-8In99.71000683*
124-125InYes1003,001*
1235716-9In99.9100003,043*
1225717-8In99.8100005,011*
1215617-9In99.6100007,985*
1205618-8In99.41000012,267*
1195518-9In98.91000018,933*
1185519-8In98.5990028,436*
1175419-9In97.6991041,906*
1165420-8In96.39911060,756*
1155320-9In94.5981186,684*
1145321-8In91.897210122,008*
1135221-9In88.195320169,808*
1125121-10In83.193430228,893*
1115122-9In76.790640308,265*
1105022-10In68.7868600404,474*
1095023-9In59.28111900524,950*
1084923-10In48.574141200668,117*
1074924-9In37.1671715100839,458*
1064824-10In26.35821202001,038,237*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,260,430*
1044725-10100.0%9.438282940001,514,455*
1034726-9100.04.529303471001,791,398*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,080,626*
1014627-9100.00.51329421420002,386,735*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,692,603*
994528-9100.00.0422432561002,996,036*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,287,572*
974429-999.60.0112363414300003,556,262*
964329-1098.9No08303618610003,782,773*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,973,867*
944230-1093.0No0317342316610004,109,121*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,190,697*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,214,569*
914132-958.5No004181224231341004,179,495*
904032-1042.0No00213720262092004,082,255*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,938,854*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,738,543*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,502,644*
863834-103.5No0010282130251123,237,761*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,946,830*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,646,735*
833736-90.2No0000015173233132,346,364*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,051,341*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,764,815*
803537-100.0No000041741371,499,465*
793538-90.0No000021239471,254,902*
783438-100.0No0001835561,037,802*
773439-90.0No000053065844,592*
763339-100.0No00032473677,406*
753340-9OutNo0021979535,511*
743240-10OutNo0011584420,078*
733241-9OutNo001188323,800*
723141-10OutNo00892244,245*
713142-9OutNo0694183,136*
703042-10OutNo0496134,454*
693043-9OutNo039798,270*
682943-10OutNo029870,128*
672944-9OutNo019949,601*
662844-10OutNo19934,828*
652845-9OutNo19923,905*
642745-10OutNo010016,133*
632746-9OutNo010010,715*
622646-10OutNo01007,106*
612647-9OutNo01004,567*
602547-10OutNo01002,895*
592548-9OutNo1001,834*
582448-10OutNo01001,112*
0-57OutNo1009,026*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.3%7888887888887
1376611-5No5050
1356411-7No5050
1346311-8No502525
1336312-7No14777714714714
1326313-618.218189991899
1316213-7No612669666121896
1306113-86.7887787313158123
1296114-78.5415412141043107537
1286115-66.611771010786105568
1275914-96.1799910107687578
1265915-89.1108699108596777
1255815-97.9811688866107678
1245816-87.091069997886677
1235716-96.889610987696777
1225717-87.39978997797666
1215617-97.39979897696777
1205618-87.99978997797776
1195518-97.59979996797777
1185519-87.78979997796777
1175419-97.79979997797777
1165420-87.39979997697777
1155320-97.59979997796777
1145321-87.49969997796676
1135221-97.59979996796666
1125121-107.59969996696666
1115122-97.59969996696666
1105022-107.410969996696666
1095023-97.41010610101066106666
1084923-107.31010610101066106666
1074924-97.21010610101066106666
1064824-107.21010510111155105555
1054825-97.11111511111155115555
1044725-107.01111511111155115555
1034726-96.91212412121244124444
1024626-106.81212412121244124444
1014627-96.61313313131333133333
1004527-106.51313313131333133333
994528-96.31313313131333133333
984428-106.21313313141333133333
974429-96.01313313131333133333
964329-105.91313313131333133333
954330-95.71313313131333133333
944230-105.41212312121233123333
934231-94.91010310101033103333
924131-104.29939993393333
914132-93.37737773373333
904032-102.45525552252222
894033-91.53313331131111
883933-100.92212221121111
873934-90.41101110010000
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803638-80.000000000000
793538-90.000000000
783539-8No000000
773439-9No0
763339-10No0
0-75No
Total:3.5%7.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.27.02.22.22.22.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.3+0.3+1.2
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-164100
1286115-61000
1275914-9100
1265915-810000
124-125100
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-899100
1175419-998110
1165420-8962110
1155320-995311
1145321-892520100
1135221-988730200
1125121-10831040300
1115122-97713604000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592110080000
1084923-1049261301100000
1074924-9372917115101000
1064824-1026312021810020000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-10929235235204000000
1034726-9424228238306001000
1024626-1021819122013609101000
1014627-9112141515179012100200000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-90451652015316720601000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-901111012121191681113300000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-10003012140121110716124510000
934231-900201110771531811109410000
924131-10001007044161167171294100000
914132-9000004012150123211013105200000
904032-1000002011120711961316137310000
894033-900010008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-9000003104013816212114720000
863834-10000001002001381622221572000
853835-90000101000138162323167200
843735-10000000000013817242315610
833736-900000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-90000000016152729174
803537-100000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-100000029253925
773439-90000015194135
763339-1000002133846
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-1000990
693043-90793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-10199
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-9100
582448-100100
572449-90100
0-56100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333