Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Beat Chicago 3-2, playoff odds up 3.9 to 82.7%
12 points   5 0-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +2.8
+0.3
+1.4
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.3
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-162In100.0%1006,019*
1285413-8In99.9100001,681*
1275414-7In100.01002,900*
1265314-8In99.8100004,738*
1255315-7In99.8100007,271*
1245215-8In99.81000011,691*
1235216-7In99.41000017,861*
1225116-8In99.31000026,823*
1215117-7In98.9990039,716*
1205017-8In98.3991056,822*
1195018-7In97.49810080,733*
1184918-8In96.09821112,867*
1174919-7In94.097210153,909*
1164819-8In91.395320207,157*
1154820-7In87.893520273,171*
1144720-8In82.8906300354,342*
1134620-9In76.787850449,643*
1124621-8In69.18211600564,127*
1114521-9In60.07714900691,687*
1104522-8In49.870181200839,421*
1094422-9In39.162221510995,792*
1084423-8In28.65326191001,164,727*
1074323-9In19.14430242001,337,803*
1064324-8In11.53533293001,512,462*
1054224-9In6.02635345001,684,497*
1044225-8100.0%2.718353881001,843,530*
1034125-9100.01.0123442111001,983,932*
1024126-8100.00.373145162002,102,819*
1014026-9100.00.1426462130002,199,730*
1004027-8100.00.0221452650002,253,320*
993927-999.90.01164231810002,276,984*
983928-899.80.001237361220002,264,217*
973828-999.3No08323916510002,222,199*
963829-898.1No05264019820002,143,924*
953729-995.2No031939211341002,035,995*
943730-889.7No0214352019820001,905,968*
933630-980.5No1930182314510001,752,335*
923631-867.7No0624132421920001,590,291*
913531-952.5No0318922261651001,420,782*
903532-837.1No02135182823102001,250,205*
893432-923.7No0182122628165101,081,374*
883433-813.7No00517213024920921,900*
873333-97.1No003041529291640774,455*
863334-83.5No00202924322381642,249*
853234-91.5No001015183230132524,468*
843235-80.6No000002122834204422,383*
833135-90.2No0000172236277332,142*
823136-80.1No00000416343312259,278*
813036-90.0No0000211303918197,932*
803037-80.0No000017254225150,072*
792937-90.0No0004204333111,803*
782938-80.0No000214424181,259*
772838-9OutNo00110395058,534*
762839-8OutNo016355841,985*
752739-9OutNo04306629,443*
742740-8OutNo003257220,282*
732640-9OutNo02197913,635*
722641-8OutNo116849,107*
712541-9OutNo0012875,968*
702542-8OutNo09913,891*
692442-9OutNo07922,383*
682443-8OutNo04961,541*
672343-9OutNo298925*
662344-8OutNo298585*
652244-9OutNo298360*
642144-10OutNo298200*
12-63OutNo1004,015*
Total:82.7%9.1%151423187654322145,536,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaCalgaryVancouverDallasSan JoseSt. LouisArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
162750-08.8%56881010101089763
141606-9NoYes
139608-7NoYes
1386110-4No5050
1376111-3No333333
136589-8No2020202020
1355810-715.0105551010105101020
1345710-814.042108614681610214
1335812-55.26511887411149644
1325712-67.37610109611777675
1315612-78.8456512131011106665
1305613-67.066989810896785
1295513-79.268888971197964
1285413-88.05789989998955
1275414-79.8577891091097864
1265314-88.8577899910108765
1255315-79.1577999910108765
1245215-88.557888101010108864
1235216-78.6677899910108864
1225116-88.6577889109108765
1215117-78.9577899910108864
1205017-88.85778991010108855
1195018-78.7577899109108864
1184918-88.7577899109107864
1174919-78.7577899109107765
1164819-88.7587899109107754
1154820-78.7587899109107764
1144720-88.7587989109107754
1134620-98.7587989109107754
1124621-88.6597988119107754
1114521-98.65971088119107754
1104522-88.551071188118106754
1094422-98.451161188128106744
1084423-88.451261277138116744
1074323-98.341361377137115744
1064324-88.241451466147115734
1054224-98.041551566156114733
1044225-87.941751755155114633
1034125-97.831841855165123623
1024126-87.631941944174123623
1014026-97.532032044174122723
1004027-87.332132033183132713
993927-97.132132133183132713
983928-87.042132133182131713
973828-96.842132133182121613
963829-86.652142133172121613
953729-96.372042033162111603
943730-85.981851833142101503
933630-95.28165163312281402
923631-84.48145133210260302
913531-93.4710410227150201
903532-82.45737215130101
893432-91.53525113120100
883433-80.92313102010100
873333-90.41111001010000
863334-80.20101000000000
853335-70.10000000000000
843235-80.00000000000000
833236-70.000000000000
823136-80.000000000000
813036-90.0000000000
802835-12No00000
793139-5No00
783039-6No0
12-77No
Total:6.1%4.314.64.014.73.83.712.73.69.32.35.21.62.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
133-162100
1325712-6991
129-131100
1285413-810000
1275414-71000
1265314-8100000
1255315-7100000
1245215-8100000
1235216-799000
1225116-899000
1215117-799000
1205017-898110
1195018-7971100
1184918-896221
1174919-79432010
1164819-8914302000
1154820-7885502000
1144720-88376030000
1134620-97710805000
1124621-8691311060000
1114521-9601714090000
1104522-85020180110000
1094422-93923221150001000
1084423-82925251181110000
1074323-919252822121020000
1064324-811232942432030000
1054224-962028724540500000
1044225-83162510238707001000
1034125-91112014191210010101000
1024126-80715161415141131102000
1014026-90491781718216320300000
1004027-80251641620516640500000
993927-9013141131991410708110000
983928-800111081513101412110220000
973828-9008051017516162124401000
963829-800502618214186128812000
953729-90030131611116119121124100
943730-800200112071217515136820000
933630-90100903720215111212620000
923631-800006023191137181311520000
913531-9000301116093191115126210000
903532-80000200120511761417148310000
893432-90010080201239162016931000
883433-800005010714101822171041000
873333-900003004014112023181041000
863334-800002002001512212419103100
853234-900101000261422251893000
843235-800000000027152425177200
833135-9000000013818262414510
823136-80000000014112128221030
813036-90000000151426281861
803037-800000028203026112
792937-9000014132732194
782938-80000282234268
772838-9001416333413
762839-8000210294019
752739-9016234327
742740-8003174336
732640-902124146
722641-80183754
712541-9053362
702542-8032769
692442-9022375
682443-811881
672343-911386
662344-801090
652244-90892
642144-10595
632145-9496
622146-8298
12-61100
Total:968675655454333322222211111100