Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Beat Arizona 4-3 (so), playoff odds up 1.1 to 79.2%
10 points   4 0-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 4 Arizona 3 (so)+2.2
+0.2
+0.8
Chicago 4 Philadelphia 0 -0.3
*-0.0
-0.1
Boston 5 San Jose 3 +0.2
+0.1
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 1 -0.2
NY Islanders 2 Toronto 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Buffalo-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Edmonton vs Washington-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.1-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-162InYes1008,604*
1285614-6In99.9%10001,821*
1275514-7InYes1002,993*
1265414-8In99.9100004,999*
1255415-7In99.8100008,058*
1245315-8In99.81000012,781*
1235316-7In99.61000019,715*
1225216-8In99.41000030,552*
1215217-7In99.0990045,568*
1205117-8In98.4990066,937*
1195118-7In97.6991196,081*
1185018-8In96.39811136,566*
1175019-7In94.697110188,693*
1164919-8In92.296220257,390*
1154819-9In88.794330346,435*
1144820-8In84.192440454,551*
1134720-9In78.389650588,648*
1124721-8In70.9858700747,855*
1114621-9In62.280101000934,355*
1104622-8In52.2741313001,150,827*
1094522-9In41.56616171001,390,622*
1084523-8In30.85820211001,649,973*
1074423-9In21.04923262001,929,413*
1064424-8In13.03926314002,219,699*
1054324-9100.0%7.030283660002,509,443*
1044325-8100.03.222284091002,793,253*
1034225-9100.01.3152843131003,063,625*
1024226-8100.00.4925451720003,302,688*
1014126-9100.00.1522462340003,505,600*
1004127-8100.00.0318442871003,666,455*
994027-999.90.011440331010003,770,233*
984028-899.80.001035371430003,817,978*
973928-999.4No06293919510003,811,663*
963929-898.3No04233923920003,743,465*
953829-995.7No0217372514410003,621,309*
943830-890.6No0112332520820003,449,144*
933730-981.9No01828212513410003,237,975*
923731-869.4No00521162720820002,989,384*
913631-954.2No03161125261551002,720,800*
903632-838.5No0111620292292002,441,534*
893532-924.7No0173142728155102,153,487*
883533-814.2No004182230239201,875,532*
873433-97.4No0021416292915401,607,904*
863434-83.5No0010210243222711,355,790*
853334-91.5No0010151832291221,128,483*
843335-80.6No00003122834194925,581*
833235-90.2No0000172236267744,963*
823236-80.1No00000417353311592,547*
813136-90.0No000211313917465,015*
803137-80.0No00017264224359,399*
793037-90.0No00004204332271,696*
783038-8OutNo002154241203,691*
772938-9OutNo01103949149,654*
762939-8OutNo0173558109,105*
752839-9OutNo004316578,393*
742840-8OutNo03257254,598*
732740-9OutNo02207837,994*
722741-8OutNo01168325,786*
712641-9OutNo01128717,290*
702642-8OutNo0099011,548*
692542-9OutNo07937,432*
682543-8OutNo05954,787*
672443-9OutNo4963,128*
662444-8OutNo2981,931*
652344-9OutNo2981,078*
642345-8OutNo199670*
632245-9OutNo199426*
622246-8OutNo0100238*
10-61OutNo1006,669*
Total:79.2%7.5%141021188765432176,932,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoAnaheimLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseDallasSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
162760-09.0%568991010999764
139629-5No333333
1386210-4No25252525
1376110-5No171717171717
136599-813.3772071313277
1355910-7No116111722111166
1345810-87.5858883131382335
1335811-74.56278613168811933
1325711-811.057845131171081074
1315712-78.9878117998771044
1305612-87.8767791312887744
1295613-77.085610712101079845
1285614-68.77579710111088764
1275514-79.475797119999854
1265414-88.77671081111888755
1255415-78.67571081011878855
1245315-88.87671081010888855
1235316-78.67671081110888855
1225216-88.87671071111888855
1215217-78.77571081111888855
1205117-88.47571081111888855
1195118-78.67571071111888855
1185018-88.67571071111888855
1175019-78.67571071111888845
1164919-88.67571071111888855
1154819-98.78571171111888855
1144820-88.58571171111887845
1134720-98.68571171211887845
1124721-88.58561171212877845
1114621-98.59561271212777845
1104622-88.410561261212776844
1094522-98.311561361313776744
1084523-88.312451461313666734
1074423-98.113451451414665734
1064424-88.014451551514555734
1054324-97.915341651515554724
1044325-87.816341741616444723
1034225-97.618341841616443623
1024226-87.519331831717333613
1014126-97.319331931717332613
1004127-87.120331931717332613
994027-97.020431931717222613
984028-86.821431931717222613
973928-96.721541931716222613
963929-86.520641841616221513
953829-96.320751741514331502
943830-85.919851541313331402
933730-95.317851341111221402
923731-84.5158511499221301
913631-93.512748377221201
903632-82.58536255111101
893532-91.66324133110100
883533-80.93212122000000
873433-90.52111011000000
863434-80.21001000000000
853334-90.10000000000000
843335-80.00000000000000
833235-90.00000000000000
823236-80.0000000000000
813237-70.000000000000
803137-80.000000
793037-90.000000
10-78No
Total:5.7%14.24.33.613.33.412.111.92.92.92.34.81.22.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 4 Arizona 3 (so)-0.5
Chicago 4 Philadelphia 0 +0.1
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 1 +0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-162100
1285614-61000
1275514-7100
1265414-8100000
1255415-7100000
1245315-8100000
1235316-7100000
1225216-899000
1215217-799000
1205117-898100
1195118-7981101
1185018-896211
1175019-7953110
1164919-892420200
1154819-9896303000
1144820-8848404000
1134720-97811605000
1124721-871148070000
1114621-96218100100000
1104622-85221130130000
1094522-94125160160010000
1084523-83127191201010000
1074423-921282122321020000
1064424-813262232631040000
1054324-972322627630600000
1044325-8319208269509001000
1034225-91131711221470121001000
1024226-809121316181111521020000
1014126-905814102014218410400000
1004127-80341451916418730601000
994027-9012122161671612509110000
984028-80019011131111169112230000
973928-900606914619132145501000
963929-800403515318145149812000
953829-900201213114139101512341000
943830-800100110091014619137720000
933730-900100705617219111411520000
923731-80000040231711672013105200000
913631-90003011140113221114126210000
903632-800010010061196131714831000
893532-9000100703014281519169410000
883533-800004010813917211811410000
873433-9000020104014101923191141000
863434-8000010020014112024201141000
853334-90010010001512212520114100
843335-80000000026132225199300
833235-9000000002716242517710
823236-800000001391927251440
813136-900000141223292291
803137-80000026172828153
793037-9000003102432237
783038-80001518323112
772938-9000312293719
762939-80017244127
752839-90004184236
742840-8002123946
732740-90183556
722741-80053064
712641-90032472
702642-8022079
692542-9011584
682543-801288
672443-90991
662444-80694
652344-90595
642345-8397
632245-9199
622246-8199
612146-9199
10-60100
Total:866576545544443422222222111110