Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Beat Minnesota 6-5 (ot), playoff odds up 0.4 to 98.7%
44 points   21 8-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 5 Nashville 6 (ot)+0.6
*+0.1
+2.0
+0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 1 -0.4
Columbus 3 Chicago 2 (so)+0.2
+0.0
NY Islanders 3 Tampa Bay 1 +0.1
Toronto 4 Philadelphia 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Colorado-0.0*-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Toronto-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.3+0.3+0.9
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
133-146In100.0%1007,037*
132425-4In99.910001,418*
131426-3In99.910003,018*
130416-4In99.610005,877*
129417-3In99.51000011,039*
128407-4In99.11000020,501*
127408-3In98.41000036,093*
126398-4In97.6990160,011*
125388-5In96.4990198,486*
124389-4In94.69802154,693*
123379-5In92.098020235,689*
1223710-4In88.696040349,415*
1213610-5In83.994060498,112*
1203611-4In78.392080693,494*
1193511-5In71.5890110934,031*
1183512-4In63.58511501,223,647*
1173412-5In54.77911901,557,760*
1163413-4In45.173125011,931,546*
1153313-5In35.4662300102,333,372*
1143314-4In26.3583360202,742,703*
1133214-5In18.1504430403,141,505*
1123215-4In11.5415480603,514,742*
1113115-5In6.53255309003,824,670*
1103116-4In3.3246550140004,068,340*
1093016-5In1.4176561190004,218,628*
1083017-4In0.5116552250104,275,901*
1072917-5In0.276513320104,230,233*
1062817-6In0.045455390204,087,055*
1052818-5100.0%0.0243774614003,854,716*
1042718-6100.00.0132895117003,560,926*
1032719-5100.00.002191054311003,204,141*
1022619-6100.0No011211536161002,827,059*
1012620-5100.0No007104910222002,435,913*
1002520-699.9No00384115284002,050,916*
992521-599.6No00163219347001,691,881*
982421-698.8No0014222237131001,357,940*
972422-596.9No003132338193001,069,361*
962322-692.9No0017223527610823,727*
952323-586.1No001318303412200622,225*
942223-676.1No00114233820400458,023*
932224-563.3No00010153728810330,908*
922124-648.8No007932361410232,799*
912125-534.8No004526402230161,552*
902025-623.1No002318403060108,001*
892026-514.0No01112363811171,043*
881926-67.8No01072944172046,245*
871927-53.9No0032246253028,900*
861827-61.6No0011545336018,063*
851828-50.8No0011041399010,907*
841728-60.3No00533451506,407*
831729-50.1No0326482213,597*
821730-40.1No01204828202,048*
811630-5OutNo114503341,111*
801631-4OutNo0841447621*
791531-5OutNo04345110312*
781532-4OutNo1215918159*
771432-5OutNo21631682*
761433-4OutNo12583033*
751333-5OutNo13196916*
741233-6OutNo60405*
731133-7OutNo25754*
721336-2OutNo50502
711135-5OutNo1001
44051-0OutNo01005,740
Total:98.7%11.6%2433332337210000069,244,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverWinnipegMinnesotaCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
146510-011.2%04581212192114410
140472-2No5050
139473-1No3367
138463-220.020402020
137453-314.31010101029141055
136454-213.046615626201342
135444-39.914699920211453
134434-411.74581311232010320
133435-312.015491211192114320
132425-410.91569101123191231
131426-311.414491111212212420
130416-411.014491011202313420
129417-311.014591111212113410
128407-411.214591011212212410
127408-311.014591111212213420
126398-411.414591110212212410
125388-511.614591111212213410
124389-411.3145911112022134100
123379-511.314591111202113420
1223710-411.3145911112021124100
1213610-511.3145911112021124200
1203611-411.4145911111920124100
1193511-511.31451012121920124100
1183512-411.21461012121819124100
1173412-511.21561113131718123100
1163413-411.01571213131617123100
1153313-511.01581214141516123100
1143314-410.81581315151414123100
1133214-510.71591415151212122100
1123215-410.615101516161111122100
1113115-510.4151116171799112100
1103116-410.2151217181788111100
1093016-510.1161418191866111000
1083017-49.9261519191855101000
1072917-59.7261620191944101000
1062817-69.527172019194390000
1052818-59.327182019183380000
1042718-69.138202019183280000
1032719-58.949202018173270000
1022619-68.7510211917163260000
1012620-58.5711221916153250000
1002520-68.3913231715142250000
992521-58.11215231613132240000
982421-67.91516231512112230000
972422-57.52017221310102120000
962322-67.123172011881120000
952323-56.52617189761110000
942223-65.62715157551110000
932224-54.62513115331110000
922225-43.5221083221000000
912125-52.417752110000000
902126-41.61153111000000
892026-51.07321000000000
882027-40.6421000000000
871927-50.3210000000
861928-40.210000000
851828-50.1000000000
841829-40.10000
831729-5No0
821730-4No00
44-81No
Total:9.6%3.87.414.516.416.015.67.27.19.01.20.50.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 5 Nashville 6 (ot)-0.5
Columbus 3 Chicago 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Winnipeg vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
134-146100
133435-31000
132425-41000
131426-310000
130416-410000
129417-399000
128407-499100
127408-398100
126398-498201
125388-596301
124389-495402
123379-5926020
1223710-4898040
1213610-584100600
1203611-4781400800
1193511-57117001100
1183512-46421101500
1173412-55525101900
1163413-4452810240010
1153313-53531203000100
1143314-42632303510200
1133214-51832304120400
1123215-411304044400600
1113115-562651466009000
1103116-432151461000130000
1093016-5116424215101800000
1083017-4111433520202410100
1072917-507332725303020100
1062817-6042318275035400200
1052818-50213102761387104000
1042718-601025237238131070000
1032719-5000121864342030110000
1022619-6001112562627501511000
1012620-500007371732911932000
1002520-600003279331132264000
992521-5000011542813722117000
982421-6000010412111112018121100
972422-5000201381514241633000
962322-600010751782719861000
952323-500010321642618151130000
942223-60000111312114231671000
932224-500001001582918135100
922124-60007094281719113100
912125-500040512413231992000
902025-600020301882125176100
892026-500110124152625134100
881926-6010071921292192000
871927-5000304142828165100
861827-600101821312411200
851828-50010413283018510
841728-60000172032251130
831729-500313273119610
821730-400172132281020
811630-5031332321740
801631-40062031291220
791531-5041033291850
781532-424223526102
771432-520322920
761433-432742243
751333-513383119
741233-62080
731133-75050
721336-25050
711135-5100
44051-00100
Total:12132122112116721521110000000000000