Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 78.8%
10 points   4 0-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville vs Chicago+2.8+2.7+2.4-1.1-1.0-4.4
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.4
+1.4+1.2+1.0-0.7-0.7-2.0
Calgary vs Carolina-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.4
San Jose vs Columbus-0.2*-0.1-0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.3
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.2*-0.1*-0.2*+0.2*+0.0+0.3
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Vancouver*-0.0-0.3*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-162InYes100856*
1255415-7In99.8%1000403*
1245416-6In99.81000608*
1235316-7In99.610000947*
1225216-8In99.5100001,551*
1215217-7In98.999102,236*
1205117-8In98.199103,312*
1195118-7In97.599114,657*
1185018-8In96.498116,648*
1175019-7In94.497219,320*
1164919-8In92.1953212,369*
1154920-7In88.99443016,793*
1144820-8In84.49154022,231*
1134720-9In78.38775028,825*
1124721-8In70.483108036,460*
1114621-9In62.37812100045,518*
1104622-8In52.07116130055,697*
1094522-9In41.66319171067,464*
1084523-8In31.15523211080,563*
1074423-9In21.14626262093,462*
1064424-8In13.0362931400108,645*
1054324-9In7.1273136600122,280*
1044325-8In3.3193140910135,384*
1034225-9In1.31329431310149,418*
1024226-8100.0%0.48274518200161,529*
1014126-9100.00.14234623400170,541*
1004127-8100.00.02194428710178,689*
994027-999.90.011440331010183,971*
984028-899.8No010353714300187,138*
973928-999.3No0629391951000185,727*
963929-898.1No0423392392000182,597*
953829-995.2No02173725144100176,595*
943830-889.7No011233242082000168,079*
933730-980.6No17282025144100158,015*
923731-867.5No05211526219200145,265*
913631-952.3No0316102426155100133,112*
903632-836.6No0111619282310200118,645*
893532-923.4No017313262817510104,973*
883533-813.2No00418213024102091,480*
873433-96.9No00204152829164078,464*
863434-83.2No010292332238165,984*
853334-91.4No0101517313013254,976*
843335-80.5No0000211283420444,846*
833235-90.2No00017223528736,147*
823236-80.1No00041634341228,581*
813136-90.0No00021130391822,554*
803137-80.0No001625432617,282*
793037-9OutNo00419433413,168*
783038-8OutNo021441439,740*
772938-9OutNo01938517,307*
762939-8OutNo01634595,371*
752839-9OutNo00428683,864*
742840-8OutNo0325722,541*
732740-9OutNo118811,798*
722741-8OutNo115841,319*
712641-9OutNo11089772*
702642-8OutNo0793532*
692643-7OutNo0694355*
682543-8OutNo0298251*
672443-9OutNo595146*
662444-8OutNo39797*
652445-7OutNo10051*
642244-10OutNo39737*
10-63OutNo100354*
Total:78.8%7.5%13112118876543213,748,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseDallasSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
162760-08.7%5698911119810853
141627-7NoYes
1356011-550.05050
1345911-625.0502525
1335912-525.025252525
1325812-6No255025
1315813-55.010155551052010510
1305612-87.471111711114711117
1295613-77.12121452191477772
1285614-69.311987118119551133
1275514-78.73291199910811657
1265414-810.0367101015105571273
1255415-77.2478778137910774
1245416-68.957710711117109773
1235316-78.447610710109971066
1225216-88.55671091110888865
1215217-78.7467991111889854
1205117-88.55781081011988854
1195118-77.95771171011887955
1185018-88.24771081111888855
1175019-78.25771081111997855
1164919-88.34771081111888855
1154920-78.84871081111887855
1144820-88.74871081111887855
1134720-98.44871081112887854
1124721-88.54971271111887854
1114621-98.54971271212777744
1104622-88.241061271212777744
1094522-98.341161361313776744
1084523-88.141161461313766744
1074423-98.131351461414666734
1064424-88.031451551514555734
1054324-98.031541651515554733
1044325-87.731641741615444623
1034225-97.631741741616443623
1024226-87.331831831717333623
1014126-97.231931931717332613
1004127-87.132031931717332613
994027-96.942031931717222613
984028-86.852131931717222613
973928-96.752131931616221613
963929-86.472141831616221613
953829-96.282041741514221512
943830-85.791941541313221402
933730-95.2101751341111221402
923731-84.3914410399221301
913631-93.481138376111201
903632-82.36825244110101
893532-91.54523133110100
883533-80.82312121000000
873433-90.41201011000000
863434-80.20101000000000
853435-70.10000000000000
843234-100.00000000000000
833235-90.00000000000
823236-80.00000000
813338-5No00
803238-60.000
10-79No
Total:5.7%4.614.13.513.23.312.011.82.82.82.34.71.32.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Chicago-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.3+1.1
Minnesota vs Arizona+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Vancouver+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-162100
1255415-71000
1245416-61000
1235316-7100000
1225216-899000
1215217-799010
1205117-898110
1195118-798111
1185018-896111
1175019-794221
1164919-892332
1154920-7895430
1144820-8847540
1134720-9789705000
1124721-870121008000
1114621-96215120100000
1104622-85219160130000
1094522-94222191160010
1084523-831242212010100
1074423-9212424224112000
1064424-81323253263240000
1054324-97202562753060000
1044325-831623826850900100
1034225-911218112212901210100
1024226-8071413171612015112000
1014126-9049141018162183204000
1004127-8025135171841863070100
994027-901211214187161160101100
984028-8019010141112151001323000
973928-9006061014617142144501000
963929-800403515316165149912000
953829-90020121311215911141224100
943830-80010011008111461714682000
933730-9010070461721812131262000
923731-800004023171157191411520000
913631-9000301114010321111512621000
903632-80010010061186141714831000
893532-90010070301328161916104100
883533-80000410813101721181141000
873433-90000200401410192320114100
863434-80001020014112024201141000
853334-9010100151221252011410
843335-80000000015142225199300
833235-90000002616242517710
823236-800001381927251440
813136-90000141223292291
803137-800026172929163
793037-9003112433236
783038-8001618333111
772938-900211303817
762939-80018244126
752839-913194136
742840-802134242
732740-9183754
722741-8163459
712641-942472
702642-8022276
692643-701881
682543-801387
672443-91585
662444-8892
652445-7100
642244-103889
10-63100
Total:857575545544443422222222111110