Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 95.2%
28 points   13 5-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)+0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)+0.9
*+0.1
+1.0
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.1
-0.1
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.1
-0.1
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*-0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.1
-0.1
Boston 0 Montreal 2 -0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.8
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 +0.1
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-152In99.8%1003,945*
1254611-5In99.410002,469*
1244511-6In98.7100003,926*
1234512-5In98.1100005,965*
1224412-6In97.2100008,717*
1214413-5In95.6990012,881*
1204313-6In93.7990118,360*
1194314-5In90.7981125,934*
1184214-6In87.39712035,513*
1174215-5In82.79613047,488*
1164115-6In76.69424062,060*
1154116-5In69.39136078,512*
1144016-6In60.98749098,197*
1133916-7In51.4826120119,598*
1123917-6In41.27681510142,725*
1113817-7In31.169102010167,003*
1103818-6In21.960132520191,117*
1093718-7In14.151163030215,157*
1083719-6In8.141183650236,091*
1073619-7In4.1312041800254,990*
1063620-6In1.92321451110269,334*
1053520-7In0.71520471610279,171*
1043521-6In0.2918482120283,329*
1033421-7In0.0516472840282,630*
1023422-6100.0%0.03134534600276,977*
1013322-7100.00.01940391000266,241*
1003323-6100.0No0634441410250,440*
993223-799.9No0428472020230,639*
983224-699.8No02214725400209,377*
973124-799.2No01164530710186,788*
963125-697.9No0111413313200163,371*
953025-795.0No07353319500140,283*
943026-689.5No042930269100117,913*
932926-780.7No022225321630097,903*
922927-668.9No0116183423710079,643*
912827-755.1No01111231301220063,137*
902828-640.2No07726352051049,382*
892728-726.9No044193527910038,298*
882729-617.1No022133233153028,495*
872629-79.6No011825362361021,413*
862630-64.9No0104183529111015,476*
852530-72.3No002123234173011,054*
842531-61.0No00017253824607,664*
832431-70.3No0041837311015,290*
822432-60.2No0021134361613,655*
812332-7OutNo0928392222,292*
802333-60.1No00422393051,614*
792334-5OutNo031639366952*
782234-6OutNo19374211622*
772134-7OutNo6314914395*
762135-6OutNo5214924214*
752136-5OutNo2215224136*
742036-6OutNo110513770*
731936-7OutNo11355463*
722038-4OutNo5385721*
711837-7OutNo257512*
701838-6OutNo307010*
691637-9OutNo50502
681739-6OutNo1002
671639-7OutNo1001
28062-0OutNo100423
Total:95.2%11.6%25102721942110005,115,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupSt. LouisChicagoAnaheimCalgaryLos AngelesMinnesotaVancouverSan JoseWinnipegDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
152620-010.2%56891014612166422
137536-3YesYes
136526-4No5050
135516-5No251313251313
134517-411.11133331111
133518-315.4238151581515
132508-47.7333810155518101010
131498-512.59533161611166385
130499-49.0454101012111413844
129489-57.656891311811115840
128479-68.965881312810148341
1274710-510.4558611141011138541
1264610-69.2666811121111137541
1254611-59.4666711131012147440
1244511-610.3656710131012148541
1234512-59.766671014912147540
1224412-69.666789131012137541
1214413-510.466689131012147441
1204313-610.066689141012148441
1194314-510.266681013912147441
1184214-610.367689131011137440
1174215-510.27768913912137441
1164115-610.27868914911137440
1154116-510.27867914911137440
1144016-69.98967914911137440
1133916-79.9101067815810127440
1123917-69.8111257815810126340
1113817-79.712135671679116330
1103818-69.614155671778105330
1093718-79.41617456186795230
1083719-69.21819455195694230
1073619-79.02022345205584220
1063620-68.82323344214473120
1053520-78.62525333224363120
1043521-68.42627233223363120
1033421-78.22728233233262110
1023422-68.12828333232252010
1013322-77.92828333222152010
1003323-67.82828433223152010
993223-77.72728544213142010
983224-67.72627654204142010
973124-77.72526865184142010
963125-67.52424966175131010
953025-77.223231076155131010
943026-66.722211176135121010
932926-76.220191076115121000
922927-65.2171696594110000
912827-74.1141375473110000
902828-63.111106335200000
892728-72.07642232000000
882729-61.3542112100000
872629-70.832111100000
862630-60.3111001000000
852631-50.2110000000
842531-60.1000000000
832431-7No000000
822432-60.0000
812635-1No
802434-4No0
28-79No
Total:8.2%20.421.04.84.64.718.14.64.06.53.21.31.80.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)-0.3
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-152100
128479-61000
1274710-51000
1264610-61000
1254611-59900
1244511-699100
1234512-598200
1224412-697200
1214413-596400
1204313-694501
1194314-591711
1184214-68710120
1174215-5831310300
1164115-6771720400
1154116-56922306000
1144016-66126409000
1133916-751316012000
1123917-6413580150010
1113817-73137101191010
1103818-622381222310200
1093718-7143713327300300
1083719-6833144305105000
1073619-742713731820800000
1063620-62211292913301100100
1053520-71159112418601510100
1043521-6096121822811920200
1033421-705412112411223410400
1023422-603211622133247206000
1013322-7011821813623124090000
1003323-6006113119181880131100
993223-7004088121222121163200
983224-6002045126231531874000
973124-70010221132017617137110
963125-600111911515101419102200
953025-700060912149241364100
943026-6000405816526141282000
932926-7000202415223112012620000
922927-600011213118727131152000
912827-701011001232811151152000
902828-60000070712571618125100
892728-700040401941219201251000
882729-60002201316162320114100
872629-701180310192520103100
862630-601004014132226188200
852530-7002002716252515610
842531-60001012921272412310
832431-700014122429209200
822432-600002616272716500
812332-700211233023820
802333-6001516292716500
792334-51310243321910
782234-6014143528144
772134-703626382250
762135-61618343091
752136-513133134171
742036-6142441236
731936-7321323014
721836-8529625
711837-7424217
701838-67030
691637-95050
681739-65050
671639-7100
28062-0100
Total:121355118439642542211111000000000