Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Lost to New Jersey 4-5 (ot), playoff odds down 2.8 to 84.9%
26 points   11 8-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 4 New Jersey 5 (ot)-0.8
*-0.1
-0.3
St. Louis 2 Winnipeg 3 (ot)-0.4
Edmonton 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)-0.2
Vancouver 3 Toronto 2 (so)-0.2
Arizona 2 Columbus 3 (so)*+0.1
NY Rangers 4 Carolina 2 -0.1
Philadelphia 3 Chicago 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville vs Philadelphia+2.2+2.2+1.8-0.9-0.9-4.1
+0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.3
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.6
Chicago vs Winnipeg+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Los Angeles vs Montreal-0.3-0.3-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Anaheim*-0.0-0.3-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Edmonton vs Minnesota*-0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.1
+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-144In99.5%1001,041*
122469-4In95.11000267*
121459-5In97.9100470*
120449-6In95.51000891*
1194410-5In94.3100001,518*
1184310-6In91.899002,517*
1174311-5In86.999004,195*
1164211-6In81.898116,608*
1154212-5In74.8971110,371*
1144112-6In67.89622015,872*
1134113-5In58.99433023,498*
1124013-6In49.39145033,676*
1114014-5In38.986770047,590*
1103914-6In28.9819100065,168*
1093915-5In19.97512130087,259*
1083815-6In12.266151810114,519*
1073715-7In6.957192320146,553*
1063716-6In3.447222830183,937*
1053616-7In1.437253450225,495*
1043617-6In0.5272639700269,072*
1033517-7In0.11926431110316,393*
1023518-6100.0%0.012244716100362,746*
1013418-7In0.0722482130406,685*
1003419-6100.00.04184728400449,191*
993319-7100.0No2134334700484,049*
983320-6100.0No11039391100511,066*
973220-7100.0No06334416100528,795*
963221-699.9No04264622200535,132*
953121-799.7No02204627500532,305*
943122-699.1No011443329100519,167*
933022-797.5No019383415200495,493*
923023-694.1No063233235100463,789*
912923-788.0No0325293010200426,144*
902924-678.7No02192335174000384,207*
892824-765.8No01131635258100338,581*
882825-651.1No00910323214300293,998*
872725-736.3No00662535216100249,116*
862726-623.6No03318342812200208,191*
852626-713.9No02111293318510169,572*
842627-67.4No0106223426920135,482*
832527-73.5No00031531311640106,857*
822528-61.5No000192534237182,359*
812428-70.6No001518332912262,613*
802429-60.2No000212293519446,321*
792329-70.1No00017233626733,449*
782330-60.0No0041635331224,059*
772230-7OutNo021131391816,926*
762231-6OutNo01625422611,470*
752131-7OutNo0041942357,739*
742132-6OutNo021340445,167*
732032-7OutNo011036533,328*
722033-6OutNo0630632,039*
711933-7OutNo0325721,265*
701833-8OutNo22276820*
691935-5OutNo11783500*
681835-6OutNo1090274*
671735-7OutNo793153*
661635-8OutNo39791*
651737-5OutNo29842*
641536-8OutNo10020*
631739-3OutNo79314*
26-62OutNo100795*
Total:84.9%1.6%9821241496421109,456,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoSan JoseMinnesotaEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegDallasCalgaryArizonaVancouverColorado
144590-06.5%65108511111587644
131504-5NoYes
129484-7YesYes
128496-4No17173333
127497-316.717333317
126487-410.0103010201020
125477-517.66312915129186336
124467-611.3461081061311156363
123468-59.26349714914117682
122469-44.94484109141299674
121459-57.066861012101387663
120449-68.364109811101388553
1194410-59.364978111313107543
1184310-68.56488813111197653
1174311-58.26488712111397554
1164211-68.46498812121397554
1154212-58.46498812121397554
1144112-68.16498812111396554
1134113-58.37497713121396553
1124013-68.174108713111296553
1114014-58.084117714111286543
1103914-68.194117715101186443
1093915-57.6104137715101175443
1083815-67.711414661791075443
1073715-77.61331666189964333
1063716-67.41531855198864332
1053616-77.21732055217853322
1043617-67.01932244226753222
1033517-76.82122444235642221
1023518-66.72322633244632111
1013418-76.52522733254531111
1003419-66.32622833253531111
993319-76.22732833253431111
983320-66.12742833243420001
973220-76.02752833242420001
963221-65.92662744233420001
953121-75.82582654213320001
943122-65.72592565203320001
933022-75.524112476183320001
923023-65.323122276164210000
912923-75.021132076133210000
902924-64.419131876113110000
892824-73.71611146593100000
882825-62.8129115462000000
872725-72.09784341000000
862726-61.36552231000000
852626-70.83331121000000
842627-60.42221110000000
832527-70.2111000000000
822528-60.1000000000
812428-70.00000000
802429-60.00000000
792430-50.000000
782532-2No0
26-77No
Total:5.3%19.86.120.64.54.017.33.53.62.30.90.70.70.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 4 New Jersey 5 (ot)+0.3
Philadelphia 3 Chicago 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Philadelphia-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.3+0.3+1.0
Edmonton vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-144100
125477-5946
124467-6973
123468-5991
122469-49540
121459-5982
120449-69640
1194410-594500
1184310-692800
1174311-5871200
1164211-6821611
1154212-5752211
1144112-6682820200
1134113-5593530300
1124013-6494140500
1114014-539476070000
1103914-6295281910000
1093915-520551021220000
1083815-6125412414300100
1073715-775013616600200
1063716-63441391710103000
1053616-7135121317161040000
1043617-60271016142230610000
1033517-7019818112850920100
1023518-601251973271115001000
1013418-70731933293129102000
1003419-60421612911612151041000
993319-7211302310109213061000
983320-61090168146275184000
973220-700601061733082971000
963221-6004063171291069132000
953121-700203116024101172041000
943122-60011112018817427541000
933022-7001009012521232510210000
923023-60000607323133418321000
912923-7000331210293274431000
902924-600021017023133366420000
892824-7000110130160352699621000
882825-600009010031149131272100
872725-700005602502613171472100
862726-6000330180139172116720000
852626-700211100141221231672000
842627-6010600261524231562000
832527-7000300028182523135100
822528-6000100131121262211310
812428-7001001513242719820
802429-6000000271727271651
792329-700001310223023102
782330-600015152830184
772230-700282233268
762231-601415323415
752131-7029273923
742132-6015204133
732032-703154043
722033-60293555
711933-70053064
701833-842571
691935-522079
681835-61387
671735-71189
661635-8496
651737-5298
641536-8100
631739-3793
621538-63367
26-61100
Total:27263936311373111811122221111000