Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Lost to Colorado 0-5, playoff odds down 0.1 to 99.8%
77 points   36 23-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville 0 Colorado 5 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Minnesota vs St. Louis+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
113180-0In0.1%6436844
112170-1InNo4456617
111171-0InNo376212,935*
110161-1InNo277127,675*
109151-2InNo18793021,716*
108152-1InNo11827045,009*
107142-2InNo68212093,214*
106143-1InNo378190157,580*
105133-2InNo171270263,664*
104134-1InNo063351230,989
123-3InNo059391145,646*
103124-2InNo0504720301,688
135-0InNo051462226,315*
102125-1InNo0415540374,024
114-3InNo0375850274,612*
101115-2InNo0296390446,315
126-0InNo0326170193,079
104-4InNo02565100141,237*
100116-1InNo02166140461,134
105-3InNo01866160377,867*
99106-2InNo01265230502,069
117-0InNo01465200205,574
95-4InNo1064260174,445*
98107-1InNo8613110444,428
96-3InNo6593410387,599*
9797-2InNo4524320435,697
108-0InNo4544010172,335
86-4InNo3494620158,125*
9698-1InNo2435140337,048
87-3InNo1405440301,030*
9588-2100.0%No13061800392,756*
99-0InNo1335980126,845*
9489-1100.0No022631410202,324
78-3100.0No020641510179,386*
9379-2100.0No013612320275,517*
92710-199.9No075433500179,455*
91610-299.4No0443421110114,969*
90611-197.8No013146202065,403*
89511-293.1No119423160036,700*
88512-182.9No0113240152018,233*
87412-266.6No05204227609,057*
86413-143.6No0210323816303,922*
85313-224.0No14193730811,587*
84314-112.2No01113035194540*
83214-22.0No12183929121197*
82215-13.1No31718382365*
81216-0OutNo30403010*
80116-1OutNo67333
79016-2OutNo1001
77018-0OutNo021845304680
Total:99.8%0.0%02146274100000008,492,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseWinnipegSt. LouisVegasColoradoDallasArizonaMinnesotaVancouverChicagoEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
113180-05.2%11123131855510
112170-16.32113313184450
111171-06.4112335287534000
110161-16.3011423531653300
109151-25.9011623531543300
108152-16.1011923430542300
107142-26.00122234294422000
106143-15.8022713227442200
105133-25.70232129253412000
104134-15.70337127233312000
123-35.6034012522241100
103124-25.50445123202311000
135-05.40443124212311000
113-45.3447122182311000
102125-15.400550120172311000
114-35.3653119162311000
101115-25.200757016141211000
126-05.20755117151211000
104-45.2759015131201000
100116-15.100861014121201000
105-35.100863013121201000
99106-24.9001065012101200000
117-05.000964013111200000
95-45.000106601110020000
98107-14.900116701110010000
96-34.80011680109010000
9797-24.80012680980100000
108-04.70012680109010000
86-44.8001269098010000
9698-14.70013680980100000
87-34.7001469087010000
9588-24.60016670870100000
99-04.600166708701000
77-44.6101767077010000
9489-14.5102064076010000
78-34.51021630760100
9379-24.52127580650100
92710-14.6513351540100
69-34.661345004410
91610-24.21023941032010
90611-14.21844230021000
89511-23.8276392001100
88512-13.533730120000
87412-22.83372060000
86413-11.62551130000
85313-20.9144420
84314-10.48220
83315-0No21
82215-1No3
77-81No
Total:5.0%0.80.211.157.00.414.012.20.91.90.40.70.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 0 Colorado 5 +0.7
St. Louis 2 Boston 1 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs St. Louis-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
113180-0064351
112170-144543
111171-037584000
110161-127656100
109151-21867122100
108152-11164184210
107142-265726443000
106143-134632577000
105133-21343831014000
104134-10234021121110
123-30213921224110
103124-2012381123141100
135-00133811230311
102125-106350113592200
114-3053101037112300
101115-20226083520260000
126-003290835182500
104-40223073522370000
100116-101200529312110000
105-301170527343130000
99106-200120318442200000
117-000140320422180000
95-40100216452230000
98107-1072104912910000
96-3060184913210000
9797-2041448040111100
108-0041449138111100
86-403134604312110
9698-120142047131200
87-310139049142300
9588-2100300511827000
99-010032050172600
9489-1000220491132120000
78-300020049114214000
9379-2000130420191231100
92710-10073102303314000
91610-2041902404211000000
90611-1011002104602001100
89511-2141542031132100
88512-101932040157310
87412-20042042061310300
86413-100210320416221130
85313-2141921424221031
84314-10111061729231020
83214-21238242822122
82215-133122026269
81216-02010302020
80116-1333333
79016-2100
77018-0121433331430
Total:0061604152612203040100000000000000