"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 92.5%
80 points   37 29-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Tampa Bay 4 Arizona 1 +0.8
Chicago 2 Vancouver 3 (ot)+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas vs Florida+3.1+3.1+3.1-0.5-0.5-5.9
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3
St. Louis vs Edmonton+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
100100-0InNo0306010011,514,187
9990-1InNo156322126,571,909
9891-0InNo75437382,392,671
80-2InNo65338329,070,773
9781-1InNo240508180,315,380
70-3InNo23851918,529,728
9682-0InNo12558170279,632,450
71-2InNo02458170172,411,124
60-4InNo023581907,628,725
9572-1InNo01356300534,691,721
61-3InNo0135631094,641,374
50-5InNo011553402,119,664
9473-0100.0%No06494500552,794,408
62-2100.0No06494600440,319,378
51-4100.0No0547480033,310,536*
9363-1100.0No02366010910,292,886
52-3100.0No02366110204,086,970
41-5100.0No023463107,576,620*
9264-0100.0No012571300705,746,301
53-2100.0No012571400632,969,135
42-4100.0No01237240059,458,839*
9154-199.8No0014751000981,601,900
43-399.8No0014751100241,173,701
32-599.7No01375120010,642,188*
9055-098.9No0087021100608,861,410
44-298.7No0076922100560,984,892
33-498.4No07682420054,419,202
22-697.9No066726201,181,311*
8945-194.1No0353386000695,958,803
34-393.2No0351397000168,810,877
23-592.0No03494080007,353,977*
8846-082.6No01344816100359,724,496
35-280.6No013248182000314,053,922
24-478.3No0130481920028,755,403*
8736-157.3No001443348100324,708,748
25-353.9No001241361010070,029,148
14-550.3No0113937111002,506,436*
8637-031.8No04274322400143,859,932
26-228.4No04254324400108,569,984
15-425.2No032242276007,807,664*
8527-19.6No0193339162096,217,232
16-37.8No0073040183016,276,825*
8428-02.2No00217403291037,298,016
17-21.6No002143834111022,079,005*
8318-10.2No00042342265016,437,103
07-30.1No003204229601,540,078
8219-00.0No01934411505,664,961
08-20.0No000832431701,791,971
8109-10.0No00217453601,234,411
80010-0OutNo007365521,176,767
Total:92.5%No0052450145210009,876,795,142

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseWinnipegVegasNashvilleSt. LouisArizonaMinnesotaColoradoChicagoEdmontonVancouver
100100-01.6%001105136100000
9990-11.5001305829100000
9891-01.5001505925000000
80-21.5001506124000000
9781-11.4001806021000000
70-31.4001806121000000
9682-01.4002405818000000
71-21.4002405818000000
60-41.4002505817000000
9572-11.4003305214000000
61-31.4003305214000000
50-51.400350521300000
9473-01.4104404610000000
62-21.410440459000000
51-41.4104604490000
40-61.410490428000
9363-11.411550376000000
52-31.411560366000000
41-51.4215803560000
9264-01.43163029400000
53-21.44164028300000
42-41.4416502730000
31-61.451670243000
9154-11.3926602020000
43-31.31026601920000
32-51.3112670182000
9055-01.31846101410000
44-21.31946101310000
33-41.3204610121000
22-61.3225600111000
8945-11.231747081000
34-31.233746071000
23-51.234744060000
8846-01.039931040000
35-21.039829040000
24-41.040827030000
13-60.940825030000
8736-10.735813010000
25-30.634712010000
14-50.63261001000
8637-00.42255000
26-20.32044000
15-40.31843000
8527-10.1721000
16-30.1611000
8428-00.0200000
8318-10.000000
8219-00.0000
8109-1No0
80010-0No
Total:1.2%11.82.846.40.026.25.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 4 Arizona 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Florida-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.9
St. Louis vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Nashville vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
100100-00030011346172000
9990-1015005580144310
9891-007015301951221
80-206015301951421
9781-102004001942844
70-32003801833045
9682-001002501424351200
71-20002401314351300
60-40002301214541500
9572-1000130804842700
61-3000130704932800
50-50011604933100
9473-00006030452430000
62-2000630452440000
51-4053044146000
9363-102103516001000
52-302103506001000
41-502103306201000
9264-0010025071030000
53-2010024071030000
42-4010023072040000
9154-100001407501000000
43-300001407501100000
32-5001307501200000
9055-0000807002101000
44-2000706902201000
33-400706802301000
22-600606702601000
8945-1003053038132000
34-3003051039132000
23-5003049040143100
8846-00010340481772000
35-2001320481793000
24-40013004817104000
8736-100140430819132000
25-3001204107201530000
14-50110390721184000
8637-004027052228112000
26-204025042131132000
15-40322032033163000
8527-101901113331122000
16-30070193233143000
8428-000200319362810200
17-200200216353112200
8318-100000420362810100
07-30000317363112200
8219-000017253724700
08-200005223727810
8109-10001828392130
80010-00021436371000
Total:000000502021149014012210000000