Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 0.8%
64 points   27 26-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
San Jose 4 Montreal 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas vs NY Islanders+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.5
Minnesota vs Ottawa-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Edmonton vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Calgary+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs San Jose+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
102190-0100.0%No00746443068,536
101180-199.7No2345670634
100181-099.0No1206216103,731*
99171-197.4No0115927315,027*
98161-294.3No0552376053,840*
97162-188.1No0240461200157,149*
96152-278.5No0128502110425,369*
95153-164.7No0174832300997,777*
94143-248.0No0939438102,186,269*
93144-131.0No04274818204,291,211*
92134-217.0No01164630707,904,728*
91124-37.7No007364115113,276,240*
90125-22.8No003234527221,030,021*
89115-30.8No001124141530,736,016*
88116-20.2No000633511027,688,983*
105-40.2No00531541114,775,923*
87106-30.0No00221591925,899,921
117-10.0No00222581828,585,107*
86107-20.0No00113582934,429,959
96-40.0No0112582931,843,894*
8597-30.0No0065341035,844,036
108-10.0No0065341039,326,419*
8498-20.0No0034453041,688,756
87-40.0No0034453039,151,567*
8388-3OutNo013564038,746,771
99-1OutNo013564042,490,691*
8289-2OutNo002674040,058,558
78-4OutNo002674037,408,615*
8179-3OutNo001882032,804,849
810-1OutNo001882036,166,941*
80710-2OutNo001288030,517,187
69-4OutNo001288027,750,496*
79610-3OutNo08920021,674,479
711-1OutNo0892024,206,517*
78611-2OutNo05950018,338,469
510-4OutNo0595015,905,865*
77511-3OutNo0397023,714,811*
76512-2OutNo01990015,541,469*
75412-3OutNo0199009,379,392*
74413-2OutNo0099005,343,904*
73414-1OutNo099102,768,941*
72314-2OutNo099101,351,050*
71315-1OutNo09730587,351*
70215-2OutNo09550239,767*
69216-1OutNo0919083,743*
68116-2OutNo08614127,667*
67117-1OutNo782117,137*
66118-0OutNo673031,859*
65018-1OutNo53406263
64019-0OutNo42461268,495
Total:0.8%No00000139325600825,566,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleAnaheimSt. LouisChicagoVancouverMinnesotaWinnipegCalgaryLos AngelesSan Jose
102190-00.7%19323112311000
101180-10.6214124751000
100181-00.72149185500000
99171-10.92748143500000
160-30.9264814350000
98161-20.83045113500000
172-00.7294612340000
150-40.9304611340000
97162-10.73338112300000
151-30.73338112300000
140-50.6333710230000
96152-20.63430102200000
163-00.63430102300000
141-40.63429102200000
95153-10.5322192200000
142-30.5312092200000
131-50.5311991200000
94143-20.3251371100000
132-40.3251271100000
154-00.4261481100000
121-60.324127110000
93144-10.218851000000
133-30.217751000000
122-50.216651000000
111-70.1166510000
92134-20.110330000000
123-40.19330000000
145-00.111430000000
112-60.1933000000
91135-10.15120000000
124-30.0511000000
113-50.0411000000
102-70.04110000
90125-20.02010000000
114-40.0200000000
136-00.0211000000
103-60.010000000
89115-30.0100000000
126-10.0100000000
104-50.0000000000
88116-20.0000000000
105-40.0000000
127-00.000000000
94-60.000000
87106-30.00000000
117-10.00000000
86107-20.00000000
85108-10.000000
8498-2No0000
64-83No
Total:0.0%0.50.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 5 Carolina 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs NY Islanders-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.5
New Jersey vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
102190-00005016400040430
101180-11013300421470
100181-00001901372516010
99171-1000100126342613
98161-2000501153734360
97162-102017333971200
96152-20100325371320100
95153-1000116291831400
94143-20000918214010100
93144-1000491842224000
92134-20001313353412200
91124-30000172238257100
90125-20003103135174000
89115-30001419362911200
88116-2000019273621500
105-4000172537236100
87106-30000314333314200
117-10000315343313200
86107-2000162438256000
96-400162338267000
8597-3000212333615200
108-1000213333615200
8498-200005234026500
87-4000042139286000
8388-300212353812100
99-100212353812100
8289-20005254423300
78-40005244424300
8179-30021441358100
810-10002144135810
80710-20006324416200
69-4000630441820
79610-3002194428600
711-1002204527600
78611-20011038371210
510-40011037381310
77511-300427422340
76512-200116403380
75412-300833421600
74413-200423462800
73414-10114444100
72314-2007375510
71315-1003286720
70215-201197640
69216-100128070
68116-20780131
67117-103752010
66118-0166303
65018-10524070
64019-004046140
Total:00000000000001236914182015831000