Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 52.4%
11 points   4 2-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.4
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-157In100.0%10048,140*
1265412-7In99.910001,558*
1255312-8In99.8100002,878*
1245313-7In99.7100005,199*
1235213-8In99.5100009,326*
1225214-7In99.11000015,858*
1215114-8In98.8990026,982*
1205115-7In98.1990044,594*
1195015-8In97.29911072,221*
1185016-7In95.99811114,329*
1174916-8In93.897210177,771*
1164917-7In90.795220270,389*
1154817-8In86.993330402,064*
1144818-7In81.790550587,534*
1134718-8In75.1876700844,434*
1124618-9In67.18289001,186,042*
1114619-8In57.6761113001,638,883*
1104519-9In47.1691416102,224,101*
1094520-8In36.36017212002,961,267*
1084420-9In25.95120263003,875,909*
1074421-8In16.94123314004,980,805*
1064321-9100.0%9.832253670006,291,562*
1054322-8100.04.9232640101007,815,296*
1044222-9100.02.1152544142009,529,724*
1034223-8100.00.71023451930011,429,733*
1024123-9100.00.25204525500013,473,564*
1014124-8100.00.03164230810015,638,763*
1004024-999.90.0112383512200017,832,731*
994025-899.80.0083238174000020,006,235*
983925-999.30.0052539237100022,063,853*
973926-898.1No0319382711200023,957,584*
963826-995.3No02133429174100025,579,246*
953827-889.9No0192928248200026,871,058*
943727-980.7No005232429154100027,785,628*
933728-867.8No003171830228200028,259,683*
923628-952.1No021211282815410028,297,596*
913629-836.2No0176223122920027,884,691*
903529-922.5No00431529291541027,040,921*
893530-812.4No0021923312392025,822,950*
883430-96.1No00104163029154024,252,002*
873431-82.7No00102102533227122,432,530*
863331-91.1No00001518322912220,423,217*
853332-80.4No00000312283419418,299,737*
843232-90.1No000017233626716,140,236*
833233-80.0No0000041635331114,005,586*
823133-90.0No000021131391711,977,133*
813134-80.0No00001726422410,075,314*
803034-90.0No000042043338,342,041*
793035-80.0No000021542416,802,207*
782935-90.0No000011039505,457,973*
772936-80.0No0001735584,313,265*
762836-9OutNo00430663,351,454*
752837-8OutNo00324732,561,299*
742737-9OutNo00120791,930,459*
732738-8OutNo00115841,427,703*
722638-9OutNo0012881,043,038*
712639-8OutNo00991748,240*
702539-9OutNo00793528,038*
692540-8OutNo0595366,877*
682440-9OutNo0397250,346*
672441-8OutNo0298168,599*
662341-9OutNo0298111,798*
652342-8OutNo019971,951*
642242-9OutNo19946,007*
632243-8OutNo19928,873*
622143-9OutNo010017,700*
612144-8OutNo010010,839*
602044-9OutNo01006,505*
592045-8OutNo01003,824*
582046-7OutNo01002,201*
53-57OutNo1002,519*
521749-7OutNo29854*
11-51OutNo10046,513*
Total:52.4%1.6%441114910999875560,317,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimMinnesotaNashvilleLos AngelesVancouverChicagoSt. LouisSan JoseCalgaryColoradoWinnipegEdmontonArizona
157730-05.3%599771111996765
136608-5NoYes
135609-4No5050
1346010-3No25252525
133589-6No20402020
1325810-510.52621115511165
1315710-62.4214107721775105510
1305610-75.054124812101099836
1295611-64.8510127614107571062
1285511-75.25910751112788556
1275512-66.551011651313768654
1265412-75.2599681211889755
1255312-84.95109661212887854
1245313-75.05810771212778754
1235213-84.85910661212778854
1225214-75.45910661212788854
1215114-85.351010761212778854
1205115-75.15910661212788754
1195015-85.44910661212788854
1185016-75.351010671212778854
1174916-85.351010661212788854
1164917-75.251010661212778854
1154817-85.251011661213778854
1144818-75.241011661213778744
1134718-85.241111661313778743
1124618-95.241112661313777743
1114619-85.141212661313667743
1104519-95.141213551414667743
1094520-85.041314551414667633
1084420-95.031415551514557632
1074421-84.931516441615556632
1064321-94.831717441615446622
1054322-84.731818331716446522
1044222-94.631919331716335521
1034223-84.532020331816335511
1024123-94.432020331817325511
1014124-84.332020331817225511
1004024-94.242020331816225411
994025-84.152020331716325411
983925-94.062019441615324410
973926-83.971919441514334410
963826-93.791817551413334310
953827-83.591716551311333310
943727-93.1101514551110322200
933728-82.6913125498322200
923628-92.071094466221100
913629-81.45763344211100
903529-90.84542232110000
893530-80.52321111100000
883430-90.21110011000000
873431-80.10100000000000
863331-90.00000000000000
853332-80.00000000000000
843333-70.00000000000000
833233-80.00000000000000
823234-70.00000000000000
813134-80.00000000000000
803135-70.000000000
793035-8No000000
783137-50.000
773037-6No0
11-76No
Total:2.1%4.010.09.62.52.47.97.31.91.62.22.00.50.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -0.0
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-157100
1285511-71000
1275512-6100
1265412-710000
1255312-8100000
1245313-7100000
1235213-8100000
1225214-799100
1215114-899100
1205115-798100
1195015-8972110
1185016-796211
1174916-8943210
1164917-791520200
1154817-8876303000
1144818-7829505000
1134718-875126070000
1124618-967158090000
1114619-858181101200000
1104519-947211401600100
1094520-836241712000020000
1084420-926251912411030000
1074421-817242122821040000
1064321-91022214304207000000
1054322-85182063074010001000
1044222-921317827106014002000
1034223-819131021141001810030000
1024123-905911151613121210500000
1014124-80351081716223520801000
1004024-901394141642285012020000
994025-80017110146171380161400000
983925-90005061091116121193601000
973926-8003036105161522071102000
963826-90020139213155171216141000
953827-80010017081281216194820000
943727-900000050481161819914510000
933728-800000030241121514161810310000
923628-900002012911182018179310000
913629-8000100170631914201793100000
903529-90000000403114717211810410000
893530-8000000201083918221911410000
883430-900000010004141119232011410000
873431-80000100020141120242011410000
863331-9000000010015122125201141000
853332-800000000000151322251993000
843232-900000000026152426177200
833233-80000000002818262514510
823133-9000000013112228231020
813134-800000000151527291750
803034-900000029213125101
793035-800000014152932163
782935-9000000292435245
772936-80000151835329
762836-90000212323815
752837-800017274321
742737-90004214529
732738-80002164437
722638-9001114246
712639-800183854
702539-90053461
692540-80032968
682440-90022474
672441-8011980
662341-9011684
652342-8001287
642242-90990
632243-80793
622143-90595
612144-80496
602044-90297
592045-8298
582046-7298
571946-8199
561947-7199
551847-8199
53-54100
521749-7298
11-51100
Total:222233324443555544444444433321