Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Beat NY Rangers 7-6, playoff odds up 5 to 14.3%
46 points   19 19-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 +3.6
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 +0.7
Vancouver 1 Nashville 0 +0.6
Calgary 5 Florida 2 -0.5
Anaheim 2 Tampa Bay 1 (ot)*-0.1
Colorado 4 Chicago 6 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.4-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Edmonton vs Florida-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Winnipeg vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118360-0In39.6%860140311,694
114342-0InNo1001
113321-3InNo40605*
112322-2InNo356523*
111312-3InNo18374561*
110313-2InNo142813240*
109303-3InNo151795758*
108293-4InNo918282,360*
107294-3InNo51831106,261*
106284-4InNo317916016,514*
105285-3InNo217523040,483*
104275-4InNo1169290093,221*
103276-3InNo01613710205,574*
102266-4InNo00534520428,699*
101267-3InNo00455230854,112*
100257-4100.0%No0036586001,624,472*
99247-5100.0No0028639002,963,510*
98248-4100.0No002165131005,188,883*
97238-599.9No001565192008,715,585*
96239-499.7No010622440014,050,371*
95229-599.1No065727910021,828,845*
942210-497.3No0450291530032,658,987*
932110-593.4No02422722610047,073,710*
922111-486.4No013323291220065,454,544*
912011-575.7No012517332040087,846,732*
902012-461.9No018113229910113,846,531*
891912-546.6No0012628361620142,584,161*
881913-432.0No083213925400172,602,052*
871813-519.9No051143734910202,052,622*
861814-411.2No031832411510228,703,764*
851714-55.6No010424442330250,500,637*
841715-42.6No010216433260265,496,312*
831615-51.0No0001103840110272,309,829*
821616-40.4No000053146170270,322,555*
811516-50.1No0000323492500259,759,350*
801517-40.0No000116483500241,541,509*
791417-50.0No000010444500217,409,633*
781418-40.0No00006385510189,357,603*
771318-50.0No0003326410159,565,855*
761319-40.0No0002257120130,057,252*
751219-50.0No0001187740102,528,184*
741220-40.0No00013816078,139,272*
731120-50.0No0009829057,549,686*
721121-4OutNo0068213040,939,746*
711021-5OutNo0037917028,098,749*
701022-4OutNo027423118,621,123*
69922-5OutNo016830211,899,002*
68923-4OutNo01603637,325,061*
67823-5OutNo00524354,339,276*
66824-4OutNo00434972,474,174*
65825-3OutNo03554111,354,819*
64725-4OutNo0275716710,923*
63726-3OutNo0205822356,891*
62626-4OutNo0145630171,318*
61627-3OutNo9533878,526*
60527-4OutNo6484634,636*
59528-3OutNo3425514,476*
58428-4OutNo235635,588*
57429-3OutNo128712,087*
56430-2OutNo01980727*
55330-3OutNo1783254*
54331-2OutNo79387*
53231-3OutNo59521*
51-52OutNo10010*
46036-0OutNo0100311,694
Total:14.3%0.0%00053613212625103,760,431,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonLos AngelesSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryVancouverWinnipegArizonaColorado
118360-00.5%01564814191514410
114342-0NoYes
113321-3No402040
112322-2No4574494944
111312-3No70313103
110313-20.416911231651
109303-30.11681123147111
108293-40.33740111135110
107294-30.43760011135100
106284-40.33780001135000
105285-30.337900001240000
104275-40.347900001240000
103276-30.347900001240000
102266-40.347911001140000
101267-30.347911101040000
100257-40.347722101040000
99247-50.34753321940000
98248-40.347154218300000
97238-50.356776317300000
96239-40.376198416200000
95229-50.31155119514200000
942210-40.316471210513200000
932110-50.32340129512100000
922111-40.22932108412100000
2010-60.22932108412100000
912011-50.2322486311000000
2112-30.2322586311000000
902012-40.2311864201000000
1911-60.2311754201000000
2113-20.2311854201000000
891912-50.1261232100000000
2013-30.1261332100000000
881913-40.120821100000000
1812-60.119821100000000
871813-50.013511000000000
861814-40.07300000000000
851714-50.04100000000000
841715-40.02100000000000
831615-50.01000000000000
821616-40.00000000000000
811516-50.00000000000000
801517-40.000000000000
791417-50.00000000000
781418-40.00000000000
771419-30.00000000
761319-4No0000
751320-3No00
741321-2No00
731221-3No0
46-72No
Total:0.0%6.25.01.20.90.50.10.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 -0.8
Minnesota 3 New Jersey 4 +0.1
Toronto 4 Buffalo 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Arizona+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118360-0404601310
114342-0100
113321-34060
112322-2352639
111312-318310645
110313-2142107131
109303-31501771041
108293-4910577044
107294-35113791560
106284-430117620611000
105285-320107130617000
104275-4101063505240000
103276-30000537143200100
102266-400004110234110110
101267-3000030114248201200
100257-40000201061525024000
99247-500011981539027000
98248-400006690491422111000
97238-500034804120421620000
96239-4012703024822231000
95229-5000150202313126631000
942210-4000301120191288720000
932110-50002061422027913510000
922111-4000128230238219310000
912011-500011420017627138310000
902012-4000021601133013148200000
891912-500000112061271018168200000
881913-4000080302151521167200000
871813-5000501014292023167200000
861814-400031081413232416620000
851714-500010040161625241561000
841715-4000100200281826241351000
831615-5000001000310202723124100
821616-4000000014122328219200
811516-5000000001515262818610
801517-40000000271929271330
791417-500000000311253223600
781418-40000000151732321300
771318-50000002927392200
761319-40000001519413410
751219-5000000212384720
741220-4000016315840
731120-500003246670
721121-400011672100
711021-50011173150
701022-4000671221
69922-5000467281
68923-400260363
67823-50152435
66824-40043497
65825-300355411
64725-40275716
63726-30205822
62626-40145630
61627-3095338
60527-464846
59528-344255
58428-423563
57429-312871
56430-201980
55330-31783
54331-2793
53231-3595
51-52100
46036-00100
Total:000000000113031623467889101010910