Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 52.7%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.6
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.5
*-0.0
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina*+0.1-0.6-0.4-0.5-0.4+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
90-112InYes100556*
89429-5In99.2%991123*
884210-4InYes100249*
874110-5In98.81000496*
864111-4In97.79910833*
854011-5In97.899101,419*
843911-6In96.798202,210*
833912-5In95.198203,568*
823812-6In92.296315,620*
813813-5In87.094418,345*
803713-6In82.0926212,386*
793714-5In73.58794018,034*
783614-6In64.182126025,466*
773615-5In52.375169034,404*
763515-6In39.2652113046,281*
753516-5In26.25526181060,244*
743416-6In16.04430252077,830*
733417-5100.0%8.231323330096,932*
723317-6100.03.3213241600118,185*
713318-5100.01.01229471110141,667*
703218-6100.00.26245019200165,326*
693219-599.90.021749284000190,280*
683119-699.50.011043389000212,684*
673120-598.4No053245160200234,580*
663020-695.5No022146252400251,209*
653021-589.0No01113933610100264,484*
642921-677.4No0428331220300272,959*
632922-560.4No01162518308100276,539*
622822-641.0No0714203619400272,468*
612722-723.8No02616333011200264,491*
602723-611.8No01292236227100249,329*
592623-74.8No000412313216400232,085*
582624-61.8No000252134271020212,756*
572524-70.6No000121127342050189,808*
562525-60.2No00004183430122166,205*
552425-70.1No0000292736214142,724*
542426-60.0No000041837319120,463*
532326-70.0No00021132391699,114*
522327-60.0No0001625432579,552*
512227-70.0No000317433662,954*
502228-60.0No00111404749,427*
492229-5OutNo007355837,132*
482129-6OutNo04296727,559*
472130-5OutNo02237520,162*
462030-6OutNo01178114,443*
452031-5OutNo0128710,180*
441931-6OutNo09916,903*
431932-5OutNo06944,603*
421832-6OutNo04962,952*
411833-5OutNo2982,011*
401733-6OutNo2981,292*
391734-5OutNo199845*
381634-6OutNo0100438*
371635-5OutNo199280*
0-36OutNo100723*
Total:52.7%2.9%66131495108776544,793,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealCalgaryTampa BayTorontoFloridaCarolinaWinnipegNashvilleOttawaDetroitColumbusVancouverEdmontonChicago
112560-05.7%001602016180111018
96466-4NoYes
95445-7NoYes
94468-2No25252525
93458-330.0304030
92448-43.2316310631061313313
91438-58.949162134114974924
90439-46.3351031316855945106
89429-54.926841314485147735
884210-46.075109107810796724
874110-54.45487910889115554
864111-47.7658681089995754
854011-55.866979978786773
843911-68.165879979887674
833912-56.567879999876674
823812-67.467888988976773
813813-57.877878988976773
803713-67.477888888976763
793714-57.667888889975673
783614-67.367888989875663
773615-57.167979989875663
763515-66.766107101089876653
753516-56.7561161111710776553
743416-66.7551261212611686443
733417-56.7441451414513586333
723317-66.4331641515414496223
713318-56.1221731716315397223
703218-66.02218218172162107113
693219-55.82219118181161107113
683119-65.62219218181161107113
673120-55.4221921817116197003
663020-65.3331821716215196113
2919-85.1441731615214286113
653021-54.7541631414312275112
642921-64.1551341211310254112
632922-53.2551049837232111
622822-62.144736525121001
612823-51.322524313111000
602723-60.611312201000000
592724-50.300101101000000
582624-60.100000000000000
572625-50.000000000000000
562626-40.000000000000
552526-50.00000000000
542527-40.000000000
532528-30.00000000
522327-6No00
512429-3No00
502329-4No0
0-49No
Total:3.0%2.42.38.92.08.48.01.77.21.54.33.00.80.81.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
90-112100
89429-5991
884210-4100
874110-59910
864111-498110
854011-598110
843911-697220
833912-595320
823812-692431
813813-5877401
803713-68210602
793714-57314904000
783614-664181206000
773615-552221619000
763515-6392620113000
753516-526282421710100
743416-6162725522212000
733417-58232482653030000
723317-631720122695060000
713318-511115152315911100100
703218-605816151914216212000
693219-5024138201752052040000
683119-60119315151021115080000
673120-5005191013151810114200200
663020-60020341372013519620400
653021-50010119216121018155010100
642921-60004086141122921661000
632922-5000102211422117191451000
622822-60000106113712142115720000
612722-700020531361722179310000
602723-6000102192816222013620000
592623-70000402714212216931000
582624-6000020025122023191151000
572524-7000100014101823211462000
562525-600000139172322157200
552425-700000013817242416620
542426-6000001381725251551
532326-700001310202824123
522327-600014122431216
512227-70001617313113
502228-6000310263823
492229-50016204034
482129-6002133846
472130-50183358
462030-60052768
452031-5022078
441931-6011584
431932-511188
421832-60892
411833-50595
401733-6397
391734-50298
381634-60100
371635-5199
0-36100
Total:3333443344334523444433333333322