"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 55.2%
50 points   23 21-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.8-0.7-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas vs Winnipeg+6.4+6.5+5.6-0.4-0.3-6.6
+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
+0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Minnesota vs Columbus-1.0-1.1-0.9+0.3+0.4+1.3
Edmonton vs Calgary-1.2-1.1-1.1*+0.0*-0.0+1.0
Colorado vs Los Angeles-0.4-0.5-0.5+0.3*+0.2+1.1
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.3+1.0
New Jersey vs Anaheim+0.5*-0.1*+0.0-0.6-0.8-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118340-0In44.5%9730474
113312-1InNo1002*
112291-4InNo50502
111303-1InNo36451811*
110293-2InNo28482425*
109283-3InNo253935169*
108284-2InNo1041463204*
107274-3InNo536554441*
106275-2InNo329617933*
105265-3InNo1256591,841*
104255-4InNo017661603,620*
103256-3InNo012642306,917*
102246-4InNo086032012,179*
101247-3InNo055441120,210*
100237-4InNo0346502032,457*
99238-3InNo137584050,064*
98228-4InNo129646073,599*
97229-3100.0%No021681000104,218*
96219-4100.0No014691510142,167*
952110-3100.0No09672120185,081*
942010-499.8No066228400233,826*
932011-399.3No035533810285,330*
921911-497.9No02463614200333,130*
911912-394.6No01363522500375,495*
901812-488.5No027323010100412,512*
891813-378.4No0192535174000432,643*
881713-464.4No0121735269100440,483*
871714-347.9No0810303216400433,339*
861614-431.5No0452234258100409,852*
851615-318.1No02214313216400377,125*
841515-48.9No117233425810335,281*
831516-33.7No00314313216300288,161*
821416-41.3No0017233625700239,107*
811417-30.4No00031533341410191,984*
801317-40.1No001826382340148,005*
791318-30.0No000317383380111,303*
781218-40.0No0019324115180,421*
771219-3OutNo005234524356,426*
761119-4OutNo02154333738,223*
751120-3OutNo01837411224,772*
741020-4OutNo00429472015,612*
731021-3OutNo022149289,506*
72921-4OutNo11347395,502*
71922-3OutNo0842493,088*
70822-4OutNo0436601,602*
69823-3OutNo032770852*
68723-4OutNo22079446*
67724-3OutNo1387225*
66624-4OutNo79396*
65625-3OutNo128834*
50-64OutNo100493*
Total:55.2%0.0%0032215151311964105,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleVegasColoradoMinnesotaEdmontonVancouverSt. LouisArizonaAnaheimLos AngelesChicago
118340-01.3%0431815151699101
113312-1No5050
112291-4No5050
111303-1No45189999
110293-2No2043284248
109283-3No113312510121311
108284-21.05431239673110
107274-30.730531226523220
106275-21.58055119552321
105265-30.890591184322110
104255-40.90100651154211100
103256-31.00110680133111000
102246-40.901307001131110000
101247-31.00140710103001000
100237-40.80140720102001000
99238-30.91160710920010000
98228-40.8117070082001000
97229-30.821816807200100
96219-40.84211650720000000
952110-30.86232610510000000
942010-40.882525715100000
199-60.810262551410000
932011-30.712283511310000000
1910-50.71329349131000000
921911-40.717304431210000000
2012-20.71630444131000000
1810-60.718314411210000
911912-30.721314351200000000
1811-50.72131435120000000
901812-40.724305271100000000
1913-20.723305291100000000
1711-60.725305251100000000
891813-30.625275211100000000
1712-50.625275191100000000
1611-70.62526519110000000
881713-40.523224141000000000
1814-20.524234151000000000
1612-60.523214121000000000
871714-30.42017391000000000
1613-50.3191638100000000
861614-40.21310251000000000
851615-30.18613000000000
841515-40.1431100000000
831516-30.0210100000000
821416-40.0100000
811417-30.000000
801317-4No000000
791318-3No00000
781218-4No0
50-77No
Total:0.4%12.016.32.421.90.61.50.40.00.00.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Winnipeg-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.0+0.0+0.8
Colorado vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Ottawa+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
New Jersey vs Anaheim-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
118340-0455230
113312-1100
112291-45050
111303-13636918
110293-228408204
109283-3252910201041
108284-2102517241393
107274-35171919231430
106275-231119152717161
105265-317181027244810
104255-4031452726812310
103256-301112222516148200
102246-4007116212314145000
101247-3004010143011218110
100237-400306832827123100
99238-30103430431158310
98228-401122623016164300
97229-301120127142646000
96219-40001402111374111000
952110-300090157454181100
942010-400060944922522000
932011-3000305248132351000
921911-4000231421353111100
911912-301103503531932000
901812-400027031228452000
891813-30001902513451051000
881713-4000120170355151241000
871714-3000801003031620103000
861614-400045022213241982000
851615-30220141822261761000
841515-40117031426261551000
831516-30030171827241341000
821416-40010029212823123100
811417-300000311222822103000
801317-4000014122428209200
791318-30000151425281871000
781218-4000016172727165100
771219-3002819292513310
761119-4000310233022920
751120-30141427301861
741020-400016193127122
731021-3002112634225
72921-401418333311
71922-30210284120
70822-414204432
69823-32134144
68723-40173557
67724-3132769
66624-421979
65625-331582
50-64100
Total:0000000203117114114257765432211000