Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 72.4%
58 points   27 17-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago 0 Tampa Bay 2 +0.7
Toronto 2 Colorado 4 -0.6
Minnesota 3 Ottawa 1 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Calgary vs Buffalo-0.3-0.2*-0.1+0.3*+0.1+0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas vs Florida+3.5+3.5+2.9-2.5-2.5-7.9
+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.7-0.6-0.3+0.5+0.5+1.6
Montreal vs Colorado+0.8*+0.2*+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.4
Vancouver vs Los Angeles+0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.3
Anaheim vs NY Rangers-0.4-0.5-0.3*+0.2*+0.1+0.6
San Jose vs Winnipeg*-0.1*-0.1-0.3*-0.2-0.3+0.2
Nashville vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126340-0In99.8%1000462
122311-2InYes1003*
121301-3In90.991911*
120302-2In79.58611244*
119303-1In62.581172112*
118293-2In51.777211271*
117283-3In43.872253674*
116284-2In32.0633161,541*
115274-3In20.954371003,222*
114275-2In14.246401306,235*
113265-3In7.8364420111,059*
112266-2In4.12745262019,166*
111256-3In1.92044333031,506*
110257-2In0.81341406049,376*
109247-3In0.373646100072,979*
108237-4In0.1429501610104,647*
107238-3In0.0222502430143,046*
106228-4100.0%0.01154732500186,653*
105229-3100.0No0941401000236,230*
104219-4100.0No0532451610287,114*
1032110-399.9No03244724300332,948*
1022010-499.7No01164433600375,577*
1012011-399.0No009384011100406,454*
1001911-497.3No005294320300426,282*
991912-393.3No02204229600431,485*
981812-485.6No0113353713200421,123*
971813-373.2No007254122400397,534*
961713-456.9No0031538321010361,758*
951714-339.3No018303819400319,339*
941614-424.0No014203829910270,903*
931615-312.6No0011132361720224,229*
921515-45.7No000523392760178,204*
911516-32.2No002143636110137,531*
901416-40.7No001729432010102,127*
891417-30.2No0032045302074,212*
881317-40.1No0011342414051,798*
871318-30.0No01735507034,890*
861218-40.0No004285612022,961*
851219-3OutNo02206018114,467*
841119-4OutNo113592628,759*
831120-3OutNo08553445,208*
821020-4OutNo04474352,849*
811021-3OutNo03414891,483*
80921-4OutNo1325214863*
79922-3OutNo0265122446*
78923-2OutNo0155530231*
77823-3OutNo8583489*
76723-4OutNo5395744*
75724-3OutNo4316526*
74624-4OutNo67336*
73726-1OutNo33673*
72626-2OutNo1001
71425-5OutNo1001
58034-0OutNo2575462
Total:72.4%0.1%1412202016128530005,758,644

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNashvilleWinnipegColoradoSan JoseLos AngelesCalgarySt. LouisMinnesotaAnaheimChicagoEdmontonVancouver
126340-05.8%21016363301839
122311-2No333333
121301-3No9182745
120302-26.89918527201614
119303-14.541021255221775
118293-24.1051420258231526
117283-34.761118445242027
116284-26.30713223442116360
115274-35.6916233431915350
114275-25.3010192324418142500
113265-35.801221242331613240
112266-25.401323242321612130
111256-35.4015262512214101300
110257-25.00182825122129120
109247-35.102030251111181200
108237-44.91223224111107120
107238-34.7124332411196010
106228-44.62253323111860100
105229-34.5426332200185010
218-54.54263322101850100
104219-44.5627332010075010
2210-24.5627332110075010
1032110-34.3927311910064010
209-54.5927321910064010
1022010-44.21428301710054010
2111-24.413283017100540100
1012011-34.318282815110530100
1910-54.21929281411043010
2112-14.21828281411053010
1001911-44.125282512110420000
2012-24.123282512110420100
1810-64.1262724111103200
991912-34.03026229110220000
1811-54.0312621811021000
981812-43.63423176110210000
1913-23.6342317711021000
971813-33.23419135100110000
1712-53.03418124100110000
961713-42.4301493100000000
951714-31.622952100000000
941614-41.014531000000000
931615-30.5821000000000
921515-40.2411000000000
911516-30.1100000000
901416-40.0000000000
891417-30.0000000
881418-20.000000
871419-1No0
861319-2No00
58-85No
Total:3.2%16.318.918.710.30.80.50.43.52.30.10.50.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 2 Colorado 4 +0.1
Chicago 0 Tampa Bay 2 -0.1
Minnesota 3 Ottawa 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Calgary vs Buffalo+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Florida-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.4+0.4+1.1
Montreal vs Colorado-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
San Jose vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126340-01000
122311-2100
121301-3919
120302-2807112
119303-16319172
118293-25225211
117283-34428253
116284-232313160
115274-32133370910
114275-214324001210
113265-382843016401
112266-2423440197020
111256-32184312211030
110257-211239122171600
109247-30734221242100000
108237-404263182930160010
107238-302193133160230030
106228-401123830903100500
105229-307352511038111000
104219-403221812041221610
1032110-301111111140340240300
1022010-4001069133460330600
1012011-300002512459040011100
1001911-40000131145100430200300
991912-300001174100410290600
981812-4000001227034137013200
971813-300000115123241022400
961713-40000021132371321010
951714-3000011622823819400
941614-400000221733729910
931615-300000183303618300
921515-4000000332037288100
911516-3000011103036184100
901416-400014183528113000
891417-3000192632219200
881317-400003142829196100
871318-3001618292815400
861218-4002922312410200
851219-300312273119510
841119-401518322812300
831120-300210253422610
821020-40041632291530
811021-3017263323810
80921-4031633301330
79922-32928352062
78923-215143128192
77823-32101940226
76723-4216452016
75724-31223624
74624-417333317
73726-1100
71-72100
58034-0103952
Total:01312630142401911611174211000000000