"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Tied with Winnipeg 0-0 (7:00 PM ET), playoff odds up 0.009 to 14.7%
51 points   22 19-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Dallas-3.9-0.6-0.6+3.9+4.5+5.2
NoNoNoNoNo+0.0
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
Boston vs Los Angeles+0.7*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.8
Calgary vs Edmonton-0.4-0.4-0.2+0.3+0.4+1.1
San Jose vs Chicago-0.6-0.6-0.5*-0.1*+0.1+0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Minnesota+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2*-0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119340-0In96.8%9802529
112292-3InNo50502*
111293-2In25.025754*
110283-3InNo2929437*
109284-2In2.91563835634*
108274-3InNo21302451984*
107264-4In0.42223150220252*
106265-3InNo1119145321530*
105255-4InNo011113904611,049*
104256-3InNo00613905222,277*
103246-4InNo0313016044,074*
102247-3InNo0112216877,441*
101237-4100.0%No0001517112012,912*
100238-399.8No00917118021,727*
99228-499.4No005267261034,498*
98229-398.2No002160342053,025*
97219-495.3No0011504350077,392*
96209-589.3No00139501010110,378*
952010-479.7No00275218300149,427*
941910-566.1No000174927600195,957*
931911-450.1No00941361310246,198*
921811-534.5No0530402230301,651*
911812-420.8No0219403270354,315*
901712-511.3No01113440141402,288*
891713-45.3No00525442330439,607*
881613-52.1No00216433360464,327*
871614-40.8No0193741120475,980*
861514-50.2No0052947190469,442*
851515-40.1No022149280448,733*
841415-50.0No011347390414,171*
831416-40.0No00842500369,092*
821316-50.0No00435600317,407*
811317-4OutNo02277010264,613*
801217-5OutNo0120771212,642*
791218-4OutNo00158320165,049*
781118-5OutNo0108640123,902*
771119-4OutNo06885089,860*
761120-3OutNo04888062,050*
751020-4OutNo028612041,909*
741021-3OutNo018217026,837*
73921-4OutNo017722116,939*
72922-3OutNo07028110,257*
71822-4OutNo0623625,701*
70823-3OutNo0544233,301*
69723-4OutNo474761,711*
68724-3OutNo39529868*
67624-4OutNo315415426*
66625-3OutNo225721195*
65626-2OutNo16602480*
64526-3OutNo14642236*
63426-4OutNo13503816*
62427-3OutNo67336*
60-61OutNo1003*
51034-0OutNo0100529
Total:14.7%0.0%00000051013202526106,401,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoAnaheimVancouverWinnipegSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesColoradoMinnesotaArizonaEdmonton
119340-01.3%153175198835
112292-3NoYes
111293-2No25252525
110283-3No141414291414
109284-2No369269151815
108274-3No222125151518
107264-42.81322728118119
106265-32.12232826117912
105255-41.1434392201289
104256-30.74334223011770
103246-41.353447200965
102247-30.9844511607540
101237-41.0106552140543
100238-30.913765212043300
99228-40.81687491003220000
98229-30.919108469032100
218-50.820118458032100
97219-40.723129407021100
208-60.82413939602110
2210-20.9231194170211
962110-30.72513103450211000
209-50.826139325011100
198-70.726131032501110
952010-40.72614925401100
199-60.62613923301100
2111-20.72613102740110000
942011-30.524129192010000
1910-50.52412817201000
189-70.52312815200000
2112-10.52512818301000
931911-40.42010711100000
1810-60.319106101000000
2012-20.421117132000000
921912-30.3158571000000
1811-50.314756100000000
1710-70.2147561000000
911812-40.295340000000
1711-60.1843300000
1913-20.210534000000
901813-30.15322000000
1712-50.15322000000
891713-40.02111000000
881714-30.0110000000
871614-40.0000000000
861615-30.000000000
851515-40.00000
841415-5No00000
831416-4No0000
821316-5No0
51-81No
Total:0.1%4.92.61.74.30.70.00.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Dallas+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.7
Ottawa vs Arizona+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Edmonton+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119340-097202
112292-35050
111293-22575
110283-3292943
109284-23126299356
108274-3211514242419
107264-4021181400437220
106265-311613103411321
105255-40111011231604411
104256-3000611182104922
103246-400301921005474
102247-30010131910551370
101237-400001131049221200
100238-3000091141301710
99228-4000501283923210
98229-3000201184228620
97219-4001019413112400
96209-50001435302010100
952010-4000126242817300
941910-5000001716332491000
931911-4000993229174000
921811-500542628269200
911812-40021182333185100
901712-500101014322812300
891713-4000572533217100
881613-500023153029154100
871614-40011722322410200
861514-50003132731196100
851515-4001618312813300
841415-50002102432228100
831416-40001415303116400
821316-500018223425810
811317-400314303316300
801217-50017223626710
791218-4000031332351520
781118-5001725392450
771119-4000316373490
761120-301931411710
751020-4000423442630
741021-30215423650
73921-40183644100
72922-3052950151
71822-4022053241
70823-311452322
69723-40848405
68724-3541478
67624-43345014
66625-31255420
65626-2166123
64526-31464193
63426-4134444
62427-36733
61428-2100
60227-5100
51034-01585
Total:00000000000014377101111111097531000