Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas vs Chicago+3.8+3.4+2.9-1.7-1.6-5.8
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.2+0.5
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-164InYes1009,818*
1245816-8In99.9%10001,824*
1235716-9In99.810003,088*
1225717-8In99.8100004,948*
1215617-9In99.7100008,027*
1205618-8In99.41000012,364*
1195518-9In99.11000019,055*
1185519-8In98.4990028,470*
1175419-9In97.5991041,784*
1165420-8In96.49811060,964*
1155320-9In94.59811086,812*
1145321-8In91.697210122,123*
1135221-9In88.195320169,636*
1125121-10In82.993430229,206*
1115122-9In76.990640307,234*
1105022-10In68.8868600404,940*
1095023-9In59.38111900524,982*
1084923-10In48.474141200669,070*
1074924-9In37.2671715100840,377*
1064824-10In26.35821201001,037,727*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,264,523*
1044725-10In9.43828294001,516,120*
1034726-9100.0%4.529303471001,791,989*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,081,762*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,385,057*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,696,009*
994528-9100.00.0422432561002,998,346*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,286,008*
974429-999.60.0112363414300003,552,304*
964329-1098.8No08303618610003,782,355*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,968,970*
944230-1093.0No0317342316610004,108,970*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,193,806*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,215,272*
914132-958.6No004181224231341004,180,607*
904032-1041.9No0213720262092004,086,768*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,937,181*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,740,153*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,503,339*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,237,340*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,948,536*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,645,261*
833736-90.2No0000015173233132,345,494*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,046,611*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,763,295*
803537-100.0No00000041741371,498,749*
793538-90.0No000021239471,256,879*
783438-100.0No00001835561,036,412*
773439-9OutNo00053065842,706*
763339-10OutNo00032473677,050*
753340-9OutNo00021979535,281*
743240-10OutNo0011584419,633*
733241-9OutNo001188321,186*
723141-10OutNo00892244,901*
713142-9OutNo00694182,442*
703042-10OutNo00496135,145*
693043-9OutNo039798,058*
682943-10OutNo029870,476*
672944-9OutNo019949,870*
662844-10OutNo019934,887*
652845-9OutNo019923,980*
642745-10OutNo010016,126*
632746-9OutNo010010,767*
622646-10OutNo01006,950*
612647-9OutNo01004,496*
602547-10OutNo01002,884*
592548-9OutNo01001,841*
0-58OutNo10010,136*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.3%7888888788788
136639-10No5050
135629-11NoYes
1346412-6No40202020
1336413-550.05050
1326212-821.7449131341322134
1316112-97.1714477774214774
1306113-815.1578814731088588
1296013-95.17810991041265594
1286014-87.797771179799766
1275914-96.99868978994679
1265915-87.898598671097587
1255815-96.588798761096678
1245816-87.7910688761097678
1235716-97.499799669107777
1225717-87.19979967987777
1215617-97.39979977996777
1205618-87.99879977996677
1195518-97.59879977997777
1185519-87.69979967997777
1175419-97.49979977997677
1165420-87.59979977997777
1155320-97.49969977996777
1145321-87.59969977997767
1135221-97.59979976996766
1125121-107.59969966996666
1115122-97.49969966996666
1105022-107.49969966996666
1095023-97.41010610106610106666
1084923-107.31010610106610106666
1074924-97.21010610106610106666
1064824-107.11110510105510115555
1054825-97.11111511115511115555
1044725-107.01111511115511115555
1034726-96.91212412124412124444
1024626-106.81212412124412124444
1014627-96.61313313133313133333
1004527-106.51313313133313133333
994528-96.31313313133313133333
984428-106.21413313133313133333
974429-96.01313313133313133333
964329-105.91313313133313133333
954330-95.71313313133313133333
944230-105.41212312123312123333
934231-94.91010310103310103333
924131-104.29939933993333
914132-93.37737733773333
904032-102.45525522552222
894033-91.53313311331111
883933-100.92212211221111
873934-90.41101100110000
863935-80.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843735-100.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803537-100.0000000000
793437-11No0000000
783539-8No0000
0-77No
Total:3.5%7.07.02.27.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Chicago-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.4+0.4+1.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-164100
1245816-810000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-997110
1165420-8962110
1155320-9953110
1145321-89252010
1135221-988730200
1125121-108310403000
1115122-97713604000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592110090000
1084923-104826130110000
1074924-93729171151010000
1064824-102631202181010000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-109292352352040000
1034726-9424228238306001000
1024626-10218191220136091001000
1014627-911214151517901210020000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-90451652015316720601000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-901111012121191681113300000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-1000301214012111071612451000000
934231-90020011107715318111094100000
924131-10001007044161167171294100000
914132-9000004012150123211013105200000
904032-100002011120711961316137310000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-90000030104013816212114720000
863834-10000001002001381622221572000
853835-90000101000138162323167200
843735-10000000000013817242315610
833736-90000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-90000000016152729174
803537-10000000000292132269
793538-90000001415303416
783438-1000000029253925
773439-900015194135
763339-100002133846
753340-900183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-10001090
693043-900793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90298
642745-10199
632746-90100
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
0-57100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333