Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 14.3%
20 points   8 9-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 +2.3
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.2
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.2
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.2
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*-0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-142In99.9%100868*
117459-7In78.693714*
1164510-6In62.510016*
1154410-7In74.1891127*
1144310-8In57.1781110263*
1134311-7In44.475718135*
1124312-6In43.379615215*
1114313-5In30.16592420382*
1104213-6In23.16011263711*
1094113-7In11.3471435501,200*
1084114-6In7.0371638901,930*
1074014-7In3.92717431213,183*
1063914-8In1.419174518205,148*
1053915-7In0.512164622407,879*
1043815-8In0.161344297011,836*
1033816-7100.0%0.03114035111017,565*
1023716-8100.00.0283439162025,332*
1013717-799.9No152740234036,048*
1003617-899.8No0321402970049,867*
993618-799.3No02153834111068,084*
983518-898.2No011033371820090,272*
973519-795.8No006273825400117,626*
963419-891.2No03213532810148,930*
953420-783.7No0215293814200185,549*
943320-872.8No0110214122500227,122*
933321-759.2No00614383010100271,525*
923221-844.5No0039323617300319,780*
913222-730.7No0025243824610367,543*
903122-819.3No00121636321210416,860*
893123-711.0No00110303718300461,664*
883023-85.7No0005233826600500,721*
873024-72.7No0031636331110533,946*
862924-81.2No0011031381720558,103*
852925-70.5No000625412450574,101*
842825-80.2No000318403180577,517*
832826-70.0No0001123637131569,036*
822726-80.0No00173042192550,057*
812727-70.0No0042443263522,809*
802627-80.0No0021742335488,126*
792628-70.0No0011239408445,437*
782528-8OutNo018344612401,597*
772529-7OutNo005285017353,837*
762429-8OutNo003225223305,276*
752430-7OutNo02175230257,915*
742330-8OutNo01125037214,935*
732331-7OutNo0084745175,477*
722231-8OutNo0054252140,791*
712232-7OutNo033759109,916*
702132-8OutNo02326684,752*
692133-7OutNo01277264,132*
682033-8OutNo1227747,195*
672034-7OutNo0178334,046*
661934-8OutNo0148624,423*
651935-7OutNo0118916,891*
641835-8OutNo089211,621*
631836-7OutNo06947,638*
621736-8OutNo4965,021*
611737-7OutNo3973,254*
601637-8OutNo2982,028*
591638-7OutNo1991,236*
581639-6OutNo0100723*
571539-7OutNo199449*
561439-8OutNo0100254*
20-55OutNo1001,146*
Total:14.3%0.0%0013471014181917810,421,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoMinnesotaVancouverCalgaryLos AngelesSan JoseWinnipegArizonaColoradoEdmonton
142610-02.3%91251614710887310
125506-5NoYes
121499-3No5050
119446-11NoYes
1184710-4NoYes
117459-77.1736772977
1164510-6No6196132513666
1154410-73.7151141530441144
1144310-8No1019510198610555
1134311-71.51313416214748101
1124312-61.91813313174857723
1114313-51.61513420214429612
1104213-62.316174201844455220
1094113-71.818193211945345110
1084114-61.919212191833335110
1074014-71.321212202023324110
1063914-81.422222201922323010
1053915-71.322233201923223010
1043815-81.523233202022323010
1033816-71.323233201833313000
1023716-81.422225191843312000
1013717-71.221216181654412000
1003617-81.421208171555512000
993618-71.320209151466612000
983518-81.3201810141377611000
973519-71.3191711131287711000
963520-61.3181611111087711000
3419-81.2191611111187611000
953420-71.117151010977611000
943320-80.9151398866510000
3421-60.916139886651100
933321-70.8131186655410000
3220-90.8131187655410000
923322-60.510865443300000
3221-80.610865543300000
913222-70.47643332200000
3323-50.47643332200000
903122-80.25422221100000
893123-70.13211111100000
883023-80.11111100000000
873024-70.01100000000000
862924-80.0000000000000
852925-70.000000000000
842825-80.00000000000
832826-70.0000000000
822726-8No00000000
812626-9No00000000
803031-0No0
792830-3No00
20-78No
Total:0.2%3.12.71.61.81.71.11.00.90.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 -0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-142100
1184710-4100
117459-779147
1164510-66338
1154410-7741511
1144310-8572111102
1134311-744307161
1124312-643366015
1114313-530358122120
1104213-6233710124203
1094113-71136113313150
1084114-6730115316190
1074014-742311633921201
1063914-811798291330170020
1053915-7111782317502110400
1043815-806591719712720700
1033816-703281019101304110010
1023716-802165171032972016020
1013717-710521294251140221400
1003617-800308761914702727000
993618-70020446111610129511010
983518-80010226515112299171200
973519-700001142111132413232400
963419-80003078517182848100
953420-70002045610192910133000
943320-80001023541724172061000
933321-7000001141131622241341000
923221-8000000308824232093100
913222-7000020432117241782000
903122-8000010211510222416720000
893123-70000010951524231562000
883023-80000005281825231351000
873024-7000030310202621114100
862924-800010141323271992000
852925-70000026162626166100
842825-800000029202824124100
832826-700000014122429208200
822726-80000016172827154100
812727-700003102330239200
802627-800001516292916400
792628-7000029233223810
782528-8000151631301430
772529-700021026342160
762429-800016203429101
752430-70003133134162
742330-8000182638224
732331-70052038307
722231-800214363612
712232-70019314117
702132-8005254524
692133-7003204631
682033-8002144440
672034-701104148
661934-80073756
651935-70043164
641835-8022771
631836-7012178
621736-811782
611737-701386
601637-80990
591638-70792
581639-6595
571539-7595
561439-8496
551440-7199
541340-8199
20-53100
Total:000000001111223434566789998642