Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 1.8%
56 points   23 27-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Columbus vs Nashville+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
Anaheim vs Los Angeles+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Vancouver vs Philadelphia-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. Louis vs Florida-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
100220-0InNo32644529
98200-2InNo3333333*
97201-1InNo2020605*
96191-2InNo6573735*
95192-199.0%No2494721105*
94182-299.4No425081338*
93183-197.9No02748222944*
92173-294.4No0194629502,293*
91163-387.2No1336391215,252*
90164-277.4No72544212010,846*
89154-362.8No0416433150021,569*
88155-246.1No283641121039,199*
87145-329.6No142546223066,521*
86146-216.9No0115433360106,953*
85136-38.1No0083642131162,042*
84137-23.5No0032547222231,381*
83127-31.2No00115453350308,846*
82128-20.4No00083843110392,519*
81118-30.1No00032850190227,388
129-10.1No042850190242,985*
80119-20.0No021951280235,417
108-40.0No011851300301,274*
79109-30.0No001147411279,304
1110-10.0No001147411298,804*
781010-2OutNo0641511307,743*
99-40.0No00539542285,204*
77910-3OutNo03316330299,903*
1011-10.0No00331633275,945*
76911-2OutNo01237050234,281
810-4OutNo01227160296,235*
75811-3OutNo001575100461,695*
74812-2OutNo0975150383,185*
73712-3OutNo0572230299,382*
72713-2OutNo0366310223,103*
71613-3OutNo0158410155,901*
70614-2OutNo149510103,114*
69514-3OutNo03961063,720*
68515-2OutNo03070037,787*
67415-3OutNo02277120,643*
66416-2OutNo01683110,415*
65316-3OutNo108825,021*
64317-2OutNo69042,053*
63318-1OutNo3907864*
62218-2OutNo1918324*
61219-1OutNo8911109*
60119-2OutNo831718*
59120-1OutNo703010*
58121-0OutNo1003
57021-1OutNo1001
56022-0OutNo4654529
Total:1.8%No00015142843806,401,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaSan JoseChicagoEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleLos AngelesCalgaryWinnipegVancouver
100220-00.2%02862191
98200-2No3367
97201-1No204040
96191-2No14541769
95192-1No2234718631
94182-2No92940144110
93183-1No21283014310
172-30.6253223126100
92173-20.225291916510
162-40.1332519124000
91163-30.239211312300
174-10.138241493000
152-50.4412110920
90164-20.1431687200
153-40.0441677200
175-00.34616783
142-6No44147820
89154-30.1431044100
165-10.1431254100
143-50.143944100
88155-20.1366221000
144-40.0345220
166-0No3863310
133-6No315210
87145-30.0242110000
156-10.02731100
134-50.02221100
123-70.1213110
86146-20.01511000
135-40.0141100
157-00.0171100
124-60.1121000
85136-30.0700000
147-10.0800000
125-5No600000
84137-20.0400000
126-40.030000
148-00.040000
115-60.030000
83127-30.01000
138-10.010000
116-50.01000
82128-20.000000
117-40.00000
81118-30.00000
80119-2No00
791110-1No00
7888-6No0
7789-5No0
56-76No
Total:0.0%1.40.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 2 Detroit 5 +0.1
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
100220-021100063213
98200-2333333
97201-1202060
96191-233342337
95192-12172934721
94182-213191050711
93183-10413104816620
92173-202612461514510
91163-312103613269300
90164-201725737127310
89154-30004162411012104100
88155-2002813561317125100
87145-3014025281821156100
86146-20101503112124166100
85136-30080141324261761000
84137-20030015152627176100
83127-3001001616272716510
82128-200000171829271430
81118-3000000282132261020
129-1000282132261020
80119-2000031127332050
108-4000021026342250
79109-300014173433120
1110-100014163433120
781010-200182740220
99-4000172541241
77910-3000031642372
76911-20019365140
810-4001835524
75811-3004266280
912-100426628
74812-20011768130
73712-3001069210
72713-200565300
71613-30358400
70614-20149500
69514-3039600
68515-2030690
67415-3022771
66416-2016831
65316-310882
64317-26904
63318-13907
62218-21918
61219-18911
60119-28317
59120-17030
58121-0100
57021-1100
56022-04654
Total:00000000001001123571014202870