Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Beat New Jersey 3-2 (so), playoff odds up 3.4 to 67.5%
10 points   4 1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.4
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-160In100.0%1005,762*
1255414-7In99.3100001,258*
1245314-8In99.6100002,120*
1235315-7In99.5100003,534*
1225215-8In98.999105,675*
1215216-7In98.799109,054*
1205116-8In98.0991014,003*
1195117-7In97.2981121,043*
1185017-8In95.39721031,987*
1175018-7In93.09632046,789*
1164918-8In90.09442066,923*
1154818-9In85.99153093,627*
1144819-8In80.588840131,245*
1134719-9In73.7841060178,279*
1124720-8In65.77813800236,758*
1114620-9In56.372161100310,972*
1104621-8In46.065201510401,627*
1094521-9In35.457231910509,007*
1084522-8In25.4482723200634,117*
1074422-9In16.7393028300777,023*
1064423-8In9.8303233500936,052*
1054323-9In5.02232388101,109,008*
1044324-8100.0%2.2153142111001,289,827*
1034224-9100.00.892944152001,483,281*
1024225-8100.00.252546203001,671,715*
1014125-9100.00.032145265001,855,466*
1004126-8100.00.0116423181002,028,605*
994026-999.90.01123836122002,177,175*
984027-899.70.00833391630002,306,020*
973927-999.1No05264121610002,404,550*
963928-897.7No032040241020002,462,783*
953828-994.3No021537251651002,486,333*
943829-888.1No0110322422920002,467,306*
933729-978.2No00626202616510002,418,400*
923730-864.7No004201427221020002,329,754*
913630-949.3No0214924271761002,209,470*
903631-834.1No01105182924113002,067,264*
893531-921.4No0063122629176101,898,565*
883532-812.0No0041721302410201,720,727*
873432-96.1No0020414283017501,533,104*
863433-82.8No001029233224811,348,035*
853333-91.2No000151731301421,167,207*
843334-80.5No00002112734215994,965*
833234-90.2No0000162135288834,081*
823235-80.1No00000315333513689,162*
813135-90.0No0000210294019561,875*
803136-80.0No00016244227449,388*
793036-90.0No00003184335355,143*
783037-80.0No00002134144275,877*
772937-9OutNo00193753210,934*
762938-8OutNo0063361159,300*
752838-9OutNo0042769117,836*
742839-8OutNo002227586,065*
732739-9OutNo01188161,902*
722740-8OutNo01148543,727*
712640-9OutNo00108930,460*
702641-8OutNo0089220,999*
692541-9OutNo069414,320*
682542-8OutNo04959,472*
672442-9OutNo03976,058*
662443-8OutNo1993,919*
652343-9OutNo1992,504*
642344-8OutNo1991,572*
632345-7OutNo199983*
10-62OutNo1005,508*
Total:67.5%3.4%6817189887654349,787,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesChicagoMinnesotaCalgarySan JoseVancouverSt. LouisArizonaEdmontonColoradoWinnipeg
160750-07.1%3678991011108855
138585-12NoYes
136609-6No333333
1345910-620.020204020
1335911-5No1020201010101010
1325710-85.91266121261212618
1315812-53.0636126129912969
1305611-82.454479125131361192
1295612-77.54881286131288347
1285512-85.349510111189104884
1275513-78.145761181011135667
1265514-66.648710899898668
1255414-76.0487788910108865
1245314-86.547699989118786
1235315-76.457799899127766
1225215-86.1477910999117666
1215216-76.1487910898117776
1205116-86.348799899117666
1195117-76.648799899117776
1185017-86.348799899117676
1175018-76.5486910899117766
1164918-86.4497910899117666
1154818-96.54971010899117666
1144819-86.44971010888117666
1134719-96.44961111888116666
1124720-86.441061111888116666
1114620-96.231161212788116565
1104621-86.231261212777116565
1094521-96.131361313777115565
1084522-86.131451414666115455
1074422-96.031551615666114455
1064423-85.931651716555114354
1054323-95.831841817555113354
1044324-85.631941918444113354
1034224-95.622032019444112254
1024225-85.432132120333112244
1014125-95.332132120333112244
1004126-85.232232221322111144
994026-95.142232221322111144
984027-84.952232121322111144
973927-94.862242120322101143
963928-84.782142019322101143
953828-94.49205191832291133
943829-84.111185171632271032
933729-93.611165151432161022
923730-83.010135121132150021
913630-92.291049821130011
903631-81.57736621120011
893531-91.04424411010000
883532-80.52212210010000
873432-90.31101100000000
863433-80.11101000000000
853333-90.10000000000000
843334-80.00000000000000
833335-70.00000000000000
823235-80.00000000000000
813135-90.0000000000
803237-6No00000
793238-50.0000000
783037-8No00
10-77No
Total:3.5%4.913.43.112.912.52.62.21.96.71.21.02.72.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -0.0
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-160100
1275513-71000
1265514-6100
1255414-799000
1245314-8100000
1235315-7100000
1225215-899010
1215216-799010
1205116-898110
1195117-797111
1185017-8952210
1175018-79333200
1164918-8904420
1154818-9865530
1144819-8807804000
1134719-974101006000
1124720-8661313080000
1114620-95616160110000
1104621-846191901400100
1094521-9352123118001000
1084522-82522251221120000
1074422-917222722521030000
1064423-810202742743050000
1054323-951726627650800100
1044324-82132292597011001000
1034224-9191712201311014102000
1024225-80512131416151172103000
1014125-9038138171821942050000
1004126-80141241519419750801000
994026-9012101111881612801112000
984027-80017071411111512114230000
973927-900504914617162165601000
963928-8003025142151761591012000
953828-90020121211115101114133510000
943829-8001019061115617157930000
933729-900000603617317131313620000
923730-8000040131611481915126200000
913630-900020011309320121613621000
903631-80001009051177151814731000
893531-9000000603012310172016831000
883532-800000401071411192217931000
873432-90000200401512212318931000
863433-80000100200261322241893100
853333-900001000261523241782000
843334-80000000027162424167200
833234-9000000013919262413410
823235-8000000014122227211020
813135-9000000161526281751
803136-800000029213025112
793036-90000014142831184
783037-800000292334257
772937-90001516333312
762938-8000211303918
752838-90017244226
742839-80004184335
732739-9002134144
722740-800193852
712640-90063361
702641-80042868
692541-9022375
682542-8011980
672442-9011584
662443-801189
652343-90991
642344-80694
632345-70595
622245-8397
612145-9397
602045-10199
592046-9199
582047-8199
572048-7298
10-56100
Total:335444545455454533333333222111