Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 27.2%
19 points   9 9-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas vs Edmonton+3.2+3.0+2.5-1.6-1.6-5.3
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Chicago+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Washington vs Minnesota+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Winnipeg vs New Jersey-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Philadelphia vs Calgary+0.3*+0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Nashville vs Colorado+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.1
San Jose vs Boston-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Vancouver vs St. Louis-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2
Los Angeles vs Florida-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-145In99.8%10014,223*
120479-7In83.71000252*
1194710-6In80.69900506*
1184610-7In78.799011,028*
1174611-6In70.498121,754*
1164511-7In64.796133,333*
1154512-6In59.5952306,062*
1144412-7In51.59226010,599*
1134413-6In42.68838017,805*
1124313-7In35.384411029,936*
1114314-6In27.378615148,495*
1104214-7In20.3728191076,448*
1094215-6In14.063112420118,323*
1084115-7In8.8541330300179,374*
1074015-8In5.1441536500265,776*
1064016-7In2.5341740810384,523*
1053916-8100.0%1.125174412100544,104*
1043917-7100.00.417174718200754,579*
1033817-8100.00.11015462440001,024,517*
1023818-7100.00.0613443071001,363,295*
1013718-899.90.03103935112001,778,746*
1003719-799.80.0173339173002,270,234*
993619-899.4No0426402361002,846,386*
983620-798.5No02193829101003,494,550*
973520-896.5No0113343316300004,208,253*
963521-792.7No018283423610004,967,439*
953421-886.0No0042131291220005,759,346*
943422-775.6No00215253319510006,541,708*
933322-861.6No00191833261020007,292,589*
923323-745.5No0061128321751007,972,021*
913223-830.1No0036213325102008,564,274*
903224-717.5No0023132930175109,022,502*
893124-89.0No00117223225112009,331,591*
883125-74.0No00003142931185009,471,420*
873025-81.6No000182233269109,445,058*
863026-70.5No0000415303216209,237,521*
852926-80.2No000029253623508,873,935*
842927-70.0No000015183631908,367,157*
832827-80.0No000021233381407,752,293*
822828-70.0No00001727432107,043,923*
812728-80.0No0000421452916,294,654*
802729-70.0No000215443815,514,108*
792629-8OutNo00110404724,746,211*
782630-7OutNo0006355534,010,253*
772530-8OutNo0004306253,321,965*
762531-7OutNo0002246772,708,924*
752431-8OutNo0011970102,164,079*
742432-7OutNo011472131,700,753*
732332-8OutNo001072171,311,238*
722333-7OutNo0077122990,267*
712233-8OutNo0056827734,521*
702234-7OutNo0036432537,344*
692134-8OutNo026038382,553*
682135-7OutNo015544268,641*
672035-8OutNo014950184,307*
662036-7OutNo04456124,652*
651936-8OutNo0386182,450*
641937-7OutNo0336753,341*
631837-8OutNo0287234,217*
621838-7OutNo0237721,364*
611738-8OutNo0198112,989*
601739-7OutNo17837,688*
591740-6OutNo12884,478*
581640-7OutNo10902,624*
571641-6OutNo7931,428*
561541-7OutNo496808*
551542-6OutNo298445*
541543-5OutNo397263*
531443-6OutNo397117*
521343-7OutNo10048*
511445-4OutNo49627*
19-50OutNo10014,001*
Total:27.2%0.1%1147791010111314131174,316,636

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupSt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegVegasSan JoseMinnesotaNashvilleChicagoColoradoAnaheimCalgaryVancouverEdmontonArizona
145630-03.3%8310351414131355520
128515-7NoYes
126506-7NoYes
125507-620.0404020
124508-57.114772921147
123498-63.2136636231310666
122499-59.883733111118203335
121489-63.157825101614193245
120479-72.8841042121515183342
1194710-62.8931233161314135342
1184610-73.7731035151513154541
1174611-63.6931134141413145442
1164511-73.5831124151415144442
1154512-63.88311341515141344420
1144412-73.38312341514141444420
1134413-63.39312341414131444420
1124313-73.210313341514131344410
1114314-63.311214241514131333310
1104214-73.312215231514131333310
1094215-63.213216231414121333310
1084115-73.114218231414121233310
1074015-83.015219221414121222210
1064016-73.017220221414111222210
1053916-82.918221221413111122210
1043917-72.819222221413111121110
1033817-82.820222221413101111100
1023818-72.721322321412101011100
1013718-82.721422421312101011100
1003719-72.6205215312119911100
993619-82.5206206311108911100
983620-72.520819841098821100
973520-82.42091895987721100
963521-72.3201016105876621100
953421-82.1191115105765521100
943422-71.818101395554421100
933322-81.51681084433311100
923323-71.1126863322211100
913223-80.794542211100000
903224-70.453321111100000
893124-80.231211000000000
883125-70.111110000000000
873025-80.010000000000000
863026-70.000000000000000
853027-60.000000000000000
842927-70.000000000000000
832827-80.000000000000000
822828-70.00000000000000
812829-6No00000000
802527-11No0000
19-79No
Total:0.7%6.22.85.02.61.32.42.21.71.70.50.40.40.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Edmonton-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.3+0.3+1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126-145100
125507-68020
124508-5100
123498-6946
122499-59010
121489-68812
120479-784160
1194710-6811900
1184610-7792001
1174611-6702712
1164511-7653213
1154512-659352300
1144412-7524120600
1134413-6434630800
1124313-73549401100
1114314-627516014001
1104214-7205181181010
1094215-614491012320200
1084115-7945112263030000
1074015-8539123305105000
1064016-73321253191080010
1053916-812411630132012001000
1043917-70169826174017102000
1033817-801069202160222040000
1023818-7064913238126300701000
1013718-8032772192277101102000
1003719-70116317932511201613000
993619-80041128520154022160100
983620-70020756131870263100100
973520-800103366188126716030000
963521-7001011521483221221161000
953421-8000000419751516254122000
943422-7000002054681725918610000
933322-800000102253151914231231000
923323-70000011411010182319931000
913223-800000003064171824178310000
903224-7000000103112102023178310000
893124-8000000101074122123179310000
883125-70000000031513222418931000
873025-80000001016142224181031000
863026-70000000002614222418931000
852926-80000000261523251882000
842927-700000000271624251672000
832827-8000000139182624144100
822828-70000000141122282210200
812728-80000001515262818610
802729-7000000282030261120
792629-80000141328321840
782630-700002822342780
772530-800014153234141
762531-7000292739212
752431-8000152141293
742432-700031539376
732332-800011036459
722333-70016305013
712233-8003245418
702234-7002195624
692134-8001145530
682135-7001105337
672035-80075043
662036-7044551
651936-8034057
641937-7023563
631837-8013069
621838-712575
611738-802080
601739-701882
591740-601387
581640-701189
571641-6793
561541-7496
551542-6397
541543-5397
531443-6397
521343-7100
511445-4496
19-50100
Total:0101111122114354555555666665531