Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 4.8 to 28.8%
3 points   1 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.9
*-0.0
-0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+0.1-0.5-0.3*-0.3-0.5+0.2
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-107InYes100440*
85399-4In97.4%99176*
84389-5In99.2991131*
833810-4In94.5973292*
823710-5In91.09550499*
813610-6In90.19541861*
803611-5In79.791721,474*
793511-6In73.4871032,440*
783512-5In64.48312503,988*
773412-6In52.17517806,409*
763413-5In39.065221209,485*
753313-6In26.95626171014,305*
743314-5100.0%16.144312420020,109*
733214-6In8.03233323028,665*
723215-5100.03.221343960039,016*
713115-6100.01.0123146111052,426*
703116-599.90.26245018200069,465*
693016-699.80.02174927400087,745*
683017-599.40.011043379010109,580*
672917-698.3No053244161200133,901*
662918-595.0No022045262500158,544*
652818-688.0No0010383361110184,563*
642819-575.3No00426331221300210,243*
632719-657.7No01142418329100233,149*
622720-537.9No00613193721400255,085*
612620-621.1No02514323212200270,850*
602621-59.8No01182136248100279,279*
592521-63.9No000310303318500284,497*
582522-51.3No000141934281220283,790*
572422-60.4No00001926342261275,648*
562423-50.1No00004163332132261,250*
552323-60.0No000192637225243,495*
542324-50.0No0000418363210221,872*
532224-60.0No0000110324017198,284*
522225-50.0No0015244427172,651*
512125-60.0No0003174337147,246*
502126-5OutNo001114048122,919*
492026-6OutNo0073459100,739*
482027-5OutNo04286880,560*
471927-6OutNo002227662,351*
461928-5OutNo01178247,754*
451828-6OutNo01128735,242*
441829-5OutNo0099125,881*
431729-6OutNo069418,561*
421730-5OutNo049612,955*
411630-6OutNo03978,756*
401631-5OutNo2986,024*
391531-6OutNo01993,847*
381532-5OutNo1992,478*
371432-6OutNo01001,491*
361433-5OutNo0100884*
3-35OutNo1001,613*
Total:28.8%0.5%126874999101111114,793,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealCalgaryTampa BayTorontoFloridaCarolinaWinnipegNashvilleOttawaDallasDetroitVancouverEdmontonChicago
107520-04.2%1171181411511415113
89439-0No333333
88418-3No25252525
87397-6No131366619661313
86387-73.0339318393918615
85399-45.3494999128897515
84389-55.366251089118123858
833810-44.5688881178749682
823710-54.078878979886662
813610-65.277798897977683
803611-54.466886899987763
793511-64.1778988871076663
783512-54.167888988876863
773412-63.966879898887663
763413-53.966979989797653
753313-63.8551071010710797553
743314-53.95511512116106108443
733214-63.74413513125125108433
723215-53.53315414144133118333
713115-63.43316315153143129223
703116-53.22217216162152129113
693016-63.22118217161151139113
683017-53.12218117161151139003
3118-33.12218217161151139113
672917-62.92218217161151129003
2816-83.03217216162141128003
662918-52.83317215152141128102
2817-72.94416315142142118112
3019-32.64316315152132118112
652818-62.45414314133122107112
2919-42.74415315132122107112
2717-82.4551441312311296112
642819-52.4551341110310285112
2718-72.065114101038274111
2920-32.155124101039275111
632719-61.855948837253111
2618-81.554837626243101
622720-51.043635524132000
612620-60.622413312121000
602621-50.311212101010000
592622-40.100101100000000
582522-50.000000000000000
572523-40.000000000000000
562423-50.00000000000000
552424-40.00000000000
542324-5No0000000
532224-6No0000000
522225-5No00000
512226-4No000
3-50No
Total:0.9%1.51.44.71.14.34.10.93.70.73.02.10.30.30.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-107100
85399-49711
84389-5991
833810-49533
823710-591450
813610-690541
803611-5801172
793511-673149030
783512-56418120500
773412-652231608000
763413-5392621112000
753313-62729233161010
743314-5162826521212000
733214-682425925420300
723215-531821132595060000
713115-611115162215911000100
703116-50681615191421521020000
693016-6024147201752052040000
683017-50119215151020125080010
672917-6005181014141810114210200
662918-500203413720135197205000
652818-60000119215111018155010200
642819-5000040761311221021761000
632719-6000102211421117201562000
622720-5000005112712142116721000
612620-600020531261722181041000
602621-500000117171622211472100
592521-6000003026142122179410000
582522-50000100151119232012520000
572422-6000000001491723221572000
562423-5000000138162323168200
552323-6000012716242417720
542324-5000001281725251661
532224-600000139192825133
522225-500014112431227
512125-600001617313214
502126-5000210263823
492026-60015194035
482027-5002133847
471927-600173358
461928-50042769
451828-60022077
441829-50011584
431729-6001089
421730-50793
411630-60595
401631-5397
391531-60298
381532-5298
371432-6199
361433-5199
351333-6199
33-34100
321235-5199
30-31100
291036-6892
3-28100
Total:1111121223223423344444455556667