Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Beat Boston 3-2 (so), playoff odds up 2.3 to 8.7%
50 points   20 18-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)+1.7
No
+0.2
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3 +0.3
Winnipeg 4 Columbus 0 -0.1
San Jose 4 Los Angeles 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Nashville vs Colorado-2.0+0.3+0.3+3.3+3.3+3.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Calgary vs Buffalo-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.9
Montreal vs Dallas+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Vancouver vs Anaheim-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2
Edmonton vs Minnesota+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118340-0In86.9%9316001,449,738
116331-0InNo1001
115321-1In40.040605*
114311-2In26.544944334*
113301-3In15.642542111160*
112302-2In7.1258490161617*
111292-3In3.41774602632,204*
110293-2In0.810643033707,183*
109283-3In0.2543714012021,253*
108284-2In0.02329145019059,521*
107274-3In0.012201470281153,752*
106264-4100.0%0.0011314403730374,080*
105265-3100.0No00713904750858,119*
104255-4100.0No004131055901,863,872*
103256-3100.0No0021231591503,836,116*
102246-4100.0No00111616122007,518,528*
101247-399.9No000010159300014,044,747*
100237-499.6No000051543900025,069,848*
99238-398.8No00031474910042,786,740*
98228-496.7No000113857300070,018,197*
97229-392.6No0000129637000109,889,393*
96219-485.5No00000206513100165,676,774*
95209-574.8No0000136222300240,123,445*
942010-461.2No000075431700334,968,141*
931910-546.1No0004423914100449,859,085*
921911-431.7No000230432230582,283,513*
911811-519.7No0001194232700726,654,272*
901812-411.0No00001136401210874,772,533*
891712-55.5No0005284520201,016,115,742*
881713-42.4No002194529501,139,581,642*
871613-51.0No001124138901,233,951,917*
861614-40.3No0006344514001,290,552,071*
851514-50.1No0003264922001,303,736,904*
841515-40.0No001184931001,272,449,723*
831415-50.0No001124641001,199,711,264*
821416-40.0No0074152001,092,849,305*
811316-50.0No004346200961,539,552*
801317-40.0No002277010817,149,483*
791217-50.0No001207720670,564,326*
781218-40.0No000148230531,210,980*
771118-5OutNo00108550406,113,874*
761119-4OutNo0068680299,524,639*
751019-5OutNo00484120212,945,969*
741020-4OutNo00281160145,938,564*
731021-3OutNo017622196,321,134*
72921-4OutNo016929261,156,684*
71922-3OutNo006036437,346,970*
70822-4OutNo005142621,904,738*
69823-3OutNo0042481012,329,748*
68723-4OutNo03352156,655,343*
67724-3OutNo02554213,436,525*
66624-4OutNo01753291,692,931*
65625-3OutNo0125038798,295*
64525-4OutNo074548355,797*
63526-3OutNo43957151,761*
62426-4OutNo2316661,298*
61427-3OutNo1257423,245*
60428-2OutNo118818,301*
59328-3OutNo013872,838*
58329-2OutNo1090792*
57229-3OutNo595234*
56230-2OutNo59560*
55130-3OutNo59520*
53-54OutNo1002*
50034-0OutNo01001,449,738
Total:8.7%0.0%00000017122028301017,489,924,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoWinnipegVancouverCalgarySan JoseLos AngelesDallasMinnesotaArizonaEdmonton
118340-00.6%4501058377411
116331-0NoYes
115321-1No20204020
114311-2No93615151818126
113301-31.33518261616131111
112302-20.3234716191720911
111292-30.4348511241918800
110293-20.5331246271919900
109283-30.5221634291818800
108284-20.5222122311716700
107274-30.53327213014146000
106264-40.5433331291211500
105265-30.5653841269930000
104255-40.4864241227730000
103256-30.41174551185520000
102246-40.41594661154410000
101247-30.419104571123310000
100237-40.42311438192210000
99238-30.32713399171100000
98228-40.33014359161100000
97229-30.333143010141100000
96219-40.333142510130000000
208-60.333142410130000000
95209-50.23112199020000000
2110-30.23113209020000000
198-70.23112199020000000
942010-40.22711147010000000
199-60.22710147010000000
2111-20.22711148010000000
931910-50.121896010000000
2011-30.1228106010000000
189-70.121896010000000
921911-40.115664000000000
1810-60.115564000000000
911811-50.110342000000000
1912-30.110343000000000
901812-40.06221000000000
891712-50.03111000000000
881713-40.01000000000000
871613-50.01000000000000
861614-40.000000000000
851615-30.0000000000000
841515-40.000000000000
831516-30.0000000000
821416-40.0000000000
811417-30.000000000
801317-40.0000000
791217-5No000000
781218-4No0
50-77No
Total:0.0%3.81.42.11.00.10.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Colorado+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6
Montreal vs Dallas-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Edmonton vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Philadelphia vs Arizona+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118340-0876106000
116331-0100
115321-14060
114311-226189443
113301-316265393111
112302-2718714450161
111292-33145237902603
110293-2194328150032170
109283-305231918103831200
108284-2021210191039601900
107274-3010141610361102701
106264-400011121128170036130
105265-30000711182100443500
104255-40000301102200486900
103256-300002014190048111500
102246-4000010011410431821000
101247-300000000911342529100
100237-40000005012430372000
99238-3000003011531436100
98228-40000010183045123000
97229-30000000042543207100
96219-400000001193529132000
95209-500000001225362050000
942010-40000007153826112000
931910-50000048352820610000
921911-400000232725281230000
911811-5000001118183222710000
901812-4000000101129301540000
891712-50000055213224920000
881713-4000221228311851000
871613-50001161932271230000
861614-40000021126322171000
851514-50000015173029154000
841515-4000002923332491000
831415-5000004143031164000
821416-40000172234269100
811316-5000003133033173000
801317-400000172236267100
791217-500000314333514200
781218-4000017253923400
771118-500003173833800
761119-400011033411410
751019-50005254523200
741020-40002164432500
731021-3001103941900
72921-4000532471510
71922-3000223502220
70822-400116493140
69823-300010443970
68723-40053646120
67724-30032850190
66624-4012050281
65625-3011348372
64525-400842464
63526-30535546
62426-402276110
61427-31206316
60428-21136423
59328-3086130
58329-255738
57229-325246
56230-224058
55130-34060
54232-0100
53031-3100
50034-00694
Total:00000000000001254791112121110852000