Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Beat Buffalo 5-3, playoff odds up 0.08 to 0.2%
82 points   35 28-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Colorado 5 Buffalo 3 +0.0
Minnesota 4 Los Angeles 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Winnipeg vs Chicago-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9670-022.1%No022651304,763,880
9560-17.7No085635109,553,096
9461-01.7No236576029,627,744
50-21.3No13358808,226,352
9351-10.2No0156420151,034,385
40-30.2No013632213,863,013
9252-00.0No045041579,147,829
41-20.0No044743735,926,548
30-40.0No03444681,063,649
9142-10.0No01295317111,404,094
31-30.0No0127541913,185,164
20-50.0No00245520170,826
9043-0OutNo0125137115,198,655
32-2OutNo010504061,342,828
21-4OutNo0949422,650,789
10-6OutNo07494415,048
8933-1OutNo043858126,850,221
22-3OutNo03376016,433,578
11-5OutNo033562273,724
00-7OutNo13465513
8834-0OutNo01217998,332,844
23-2OutNo00198050,959,080
12-4OutNo0018822,124,057
01-6OutNo0178211,214
8724-1OutNo0109079,024,546
13-3OutNo09918,782,343
02-5OutNo0892105,572
8625-0OutNo039749,012,494
14-2OutNo029820,448,498
03-4OutNo298541,237
8515-1OutNo019925,363,510
04-3OutNo1991,683,095
8416-0OutNo010013,107,294
05-2OutNo1003,131,476
82-83OutNo1004,754,064*
Total:0.2%No0031831481,028,113,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoMinnesotaVancouver
9670-00.2%7105000
9560-10.1332000
9461-00.0110000
50-20.001000
9351-10.000000
40-30.000000
9252-00.000000
41-20.00000
30-4No000
9142-10.00000
31-3No000
20-5No0
82-90No
Total:0.0%0.10.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 5 Buffalo 3 -0.2
Vancouver 3 Dallas 4 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 2 San Jose 3 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Florida-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs San Jose-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9670-0009135620200
9560-10026394111000
9461-002174532400
50-201154434500
9351-100426491820
40-300324492130
9252-000094138111
41-200083940121
30-40063541152
9142-10012144285
31-30011843317
20-50011541349
9043-00063244180
32-20053045200
21-40042646240
10-6032446270
8933-100115443810
22-30112424310
11-50110414810
00-71640521
8834-00043060500
23-20042962500
12-40032566600
01-602236860
8724-100115671610
13-30113701610
02-50010721710
8625-0005593240
14-2004593240
03-403603350
8515-1013945140
04-3013946140
8416-0002048302
05-202048302
8306-10837478
8207-022156210
Total:000015121925307100