"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 18.4%
3 points   1 4-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado vs Florida+2.4+2.4+2.0-1.0-0.9-3.6
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1+0.1+0.4
Winnipeg vs Carolina-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.3
Calgary vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Dallas vs Vancouver-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2
Boston vs San Jose+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Nashville vs Arizona*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-155InYes1003,512*
1195515-6In97.5%99180*
1185314-9In95.89712143*
1175315-8In95.99820246*
1165215-9In92.89630415*
1155216-8In88.79632737*
1145116-9In86.393431,260*
1135117-8In81.3916302,069*
1125017-9In73.4869503,477*
1115018-8In65.68111805,299*
1104918-9In56.275141008,201*
1094919-8In45.0691714112,501*
1084819-9In34.76021171018,616*
1074820-8In23.851252320027,298*
1064720-9In15.041292730040,028*
1054620-10In8.532313250056,903*
1044621-9In4.223323781078,630*
1034521-10100.0%1.715314112100109,108*
1024522-9100.00.59294416200146,788*
1014422-10100.00.15254421400195,002*
1004423-9100.00.032043277100253,393*
994323-1099.90.0115403210200326,106*
984324-999.70.00113536153000411,160*
974224-1099.0No072938196100512,202*
964225-997.4No04223723112000624,969*
954125-1093.9No02163524165100750,956*
944126-987.2No0111302322102000891,156*
934026-1076.7No0172419261661001,037,803*
924027-962.7No004181426231130001,190,536*
913927-1046.6No0213923281871001,344,050*
903928-931.3No0185172825123001,495,217*
893828-1018.9No0152112529197101,635,598*
883829-910.1No0031619302612301,759,651*
873729-104.9No0020312263119611,870,535*
863730-92.1No0010172132261011,955,893*
853630-100.8No0000041430321632,011,891*
843631-90.3No000002925352462,039,697*
833531-100.1No000015183531102,034,027*
823532-90.0No000002133237152,002,117*
813432-100.0No0000182842211,936,296*
803433-90.0No0000052244291,841,623*
793333-100.0No000031743371,731,254*
783334-90.0No00011241461,603,358*
773234-100.0No0001837541,460,222*
763235-90.0No0000532621,309,847*
753135-10OutNo00327691,156,015*
743136-9OutNo00222761,006,495*
733036-10OutNo0011881863,481*
723037-9OutNo011485727,518*
712937-10OutNo001189605,063*
702938-9OutNo00892494,405*
692838-10OutNo0694399,572*
682839-9OutNo0495317,117*
672739-10OutNo0397248,471*
662740-9OutNo0298190,443*
652640-10OutNo0298144,673*
642641-9OutNo0199107,195*
632541-10OutNo19978,970*
622542-9OutNo19956,567*
612442-10OutNo010040,479*
602443-9OutNo010028,353*
592343-10OutNo010019,524*
582344-9OutNo010013,297*
572244-10OutNo01008,738*
562245-9OutNo01005,770*
552246-8OutNo01003,794*
542146-9OutNo01002,265*
532147-8OutNo1001,444*
522047-9OutNo0100919*
3-51OutNo1004,702*
Total:18.4%0.1%013635681114182541,265,140

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleSan JoseChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaVancouverSt. LouisCalgaryDallasArizonaWinnipegEdmonton
155760-03.2%7968788999955
1265811-7NoYes
1255610-10NoYes
1245914-3No5050
1235713-6No20402020
1225613-75.918121224666126
1215614-6No161651155111616
1205514-72.113171041382666644
1195515-63.845114551314138956
1185314-97.72889811513106775
1175315-80.89851131181099973
1165215-93.151171079711812753
1155216-83.569798971268774
1145116-92.461061179710810744
1135117-83.059710712711710653
1125017-93.1510610711712810654
1115018-82.8610611711811710653
1104918-93.2511611611711710653
1094919-83.0512511711611710653
1084819-92.9512612612611610553
1074820-82.8513513513612611553
1064720-92.7413514513512611443
1054620-102.8415414514513511442
1044621-92.7415415415413511442
1034521-102.7316416415413411342
1024522-92.7317317416414311341
1014422-102.5318317316314312241
1004423-92.5318317317314312241
994323-102.4318318317314312241
984324-92.3418318317314211241
974224-102.3518417316314211141
964225-92.2517417415313310130
954125-102.1616516414312310130
944126-91.971551441331138130
934026-101.77135124113927120
924027-91.4610510493725120
913927-101.05847362514110
903928-90.74535242312010
893828-100.42323121211000
883829-90.21212110101000
873830-80.11101010000000
863730-90.00000000000000
853731-80.00000000000000
843631-90.00000000000000
833632-80.00000000000000
823532-90.00000000000000
813432-100.000000000000
803433-90.000000000
793434-8No00000
783233-11No0
773133-12No0
763336-7No0
3-75No
Total:0.4%1.43.11.13.00.92.70.72.20.61.80.30.60.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Florida-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.9

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-155100
1195515-69811
1185314-996112
1175315-896220
1165215-993430
1155216-889732
1145116-986743
1135117-88196030
1125017-9731380500
1115018-86615110800
1104918-9561914010000
1094919-8452417014001
1084819-93526201170010
1074820-8242723221112000
1064720-915262532321030000
1054620-108242552543050000
1044621-941924825750800100
1034521-10214201122118011001000
1024522-90915141715110141102000
1014422-100510151117151173104000
1004423-90361461717318630601000
994323-1001312214186169601012000
984324-900191101510121410013230000
974224-1000706101371614115460100
964225-9004036143151641581012000
954125-1000201312111158121314251000
944126-9001019071112716166930000
934026-1000100604714316141214720000
924027-9000004023141138181613620000
913927-1000020111108319131813621000
903928-900010008051168161915831000
893828-10000100502011310182116931000
883829-90000003010614111922181041000
873729-10000020003015112023191141000
863730-9000010010015122024191141000
853630-100000000001513212419104100
843631-900000000026142325199300
833531-100000000002716252517710
823532-9000000001391927241340
813432-100000000141223292181
803433-9000000026172828153
793333-1000000003112432237
783334-900001618333112
773234-1000000312293718
763235-9000017244127
753135-1000004184136
743136-90002133946
733036-1000183655
723037-900053164
712937-100032571
702938-90022078
692838-10011683
682839-90011287
672739-1000991
662740-900793
652640-1000595
642641-900397
632541-100298
622542-90298
612442-100199
602443-9199
592343-10199
582344-90100
572244-100100
562245-90100
552246-80100
542146-90100
532147-8100
522047-90100
511947-100100
49-50100
481950-7199
3-47100
Total:00010111111212232233445567891112