Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.8 to 19%
74 points   31 29-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Tampa Bay 4 Arizona 1 +1.9
Chicago 2 Vancouver 3 (ot)+0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Minnesota vs Colorado-9.7-4.1-4.0+5.9+7.6+10.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Florida-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.1+0.1+1.4
St. Louis vs Edmonton-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
94100-0100.0%No0443477010,637,523
9390-199.8No012556180024,461,004
9291-098.9No001354321075,857,801
80-298.2No0011513520026,903,490
9181-194.4No054049600166,891,794
70-392.3No004375180017,319,048
9082-086.1No0226591300258,743,046
71-281.5No01225818100161,068,481
60-476.9No01195722107,214,732
8972-166.0No00115431300499,490,757
61-359.0No009503650089,497,453
50-552.9No00746407002,032,874
8873-046.5No00442449000516,375,018
62-238.2No003354813100416,344,837
51-431.0No00229501810031,945,181*
8763-121.2No01205026300860,807,207
52-315.4No00154732500195,677,942
41-511.3No001144378007,366,134*
8664-09.4No0094139910667,422,712
53-25.8No00635441410606,918,926
42-43.5No0032946202057,818,984*
8554-11.8No002214627400941,057,776
43-30.9No001154434600234,455,770
32-50.5No0011403991010,473,797*
8455-00.4No0001039391110583,708,387
44-20.2No000633441520545,322,304
33-40.1No0042648202053,593,586
22-60.0No02204925401,175,753*
8345-10.0No00219462850676,516,835
34-30.0No0114453470166,239,791
23-50.0No00942391007,326,582*
8246-00.0No0093840120349,688,221
35-20.0No0063444160309,353,802
24-40.0No003294720028,635,551*
8136-10.0No0022147301319,825,412
25-3OutNo01164636169,716,094
14-5OutNo0012454112,515,335*
8037-0OutNo001142452141,698,262
26-2OutNo00838513108,145,912
15-4OutNo005355557,834,767*
7927-1OutNo0032663895,823,322
16-3OutNo0221661116,360,789*
7828-0OutNo01156816037,150,509
17-2OutNo00126820022,172,203*
7718-1OutNo0056333016,513,872
07-3OutNo03573901,555,434
7619-0OutNo02534505,691,659
08-2OutNo01475201,810,793
7509-1OutNo00356501,246,839
74010-0OutNo0247501,145,533
Total:19.0%No000415222319116009,457,549,834

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseWinnipegVegasNashvilleSt. LouisDallasArizonaMinnesotaChicago
94100-01.5%614504251000
9390-11.4153500283100
9291-01.42754701810000
80-21.4306450161000
9181-11.341835091000
70-31.2429330800000
9082-01.1491023050000
71-21.0481020040000
60-41.0461117030000
8972-10.844911010000
61-30.74099010000
50-50.7369701000
8873-00.63474000000
62-20.52873000000
51-40.42362000000
40-60.31952000
8763-10.316410000
52-30.212310000
41-50.19210000
30-70.172000
8664-00.17200000
53-20.14100000
42-40.03100000
31-60.020000
20-80.0100
8554-10.01000000
43-30.0100000
32-50.000000
21-70.0000
8455-00.0000000
44-20.0000000
33-40.00000
22-60.0000
8345-10.000000
34-30.00000
23-50.0000
12-7No0
8246-00.0000
35-20.0000
24-4No000
8136-1No00
74-80No
Total:0.2%11.92.63.50.00.80.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 4 Arizona 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Colorado+1.0+0.3+0.2-0.7-0.8-1.0
St. Louis vs Edmonton-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Montreal+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Florida-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
94100-004304014625000
9390-10110250562150000
9291-00000130542301000
80-20000110512341100
9181-100504014823100
70-3000403715124100
9082-0002026058383000
71-20010220583104000
60-40010190574136100
8972-1000011054216133000
61-300009050318164000
50-5007046320195000
8873-0000404211724101000
62-20003035117281320000
51-400202911731173000
8763-101020011322781000
52-300015093131112000
41-5001108303415200
8664-000090524372140000
53-200060320372671000
42-400302173630101000
8554-10020192937184000
43-30010062538235100
32-5000052138288100
8455-0000003163632122000
44-2000002113236153000
33-40000182839194000
22-600162340246100
8345-10000319382910100
34-3000214363312200
23-5000111343615300
8246-000017273722500
35-200005243825710
24-400003203829910
8136-10000111313718300
25-30018293921300
14-50006264023400
8037-00004183732800
26-200021537351010
15-40021336371210
7927-1001625432220
16-300423442530
7828-0002134138700
17-2001113940900
7718-100426492010
07-300323482510
7619-000114483520
08-200112454030
7509-1005345380
74010-00122601600
Total:0000004015151215151396310000