Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Lost to Pittsburgh 0-1 (ot), playoff odds down 0.4 to 1.4%
28 points   10 13-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 1 Colorado 0 (ot)+0.1
No
+0.0
Los Angeles 6 St. Louis 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Boston-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Calgary vs Dallas-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
112-130In99.8%100877*
110387-6InNo67333*
109388-5InNo75254*
108378-6In5.31111215421119*
107379-5InNo85483126*
106369-6InNo37325371559*
105359-7InNo1526244212124*
1043510-6InNo0122443263208*
1033410-7InNo2107411364444*
1023411-699.6%No06436242100725*
1013311-799.3No033293491211,275*
1003312-698.9No012195531912,354*
993212-796.6No0011265225303,819*
983213-693.4No01764733606,370*
973113-787.5No00354039121010,239*
963114-678.8No00133044183015,616*
953014-766.2No0122143276123,883*
943015-652.0No001133834122034,924*
932915-737.7No00173039194050,486*
922916-625.5No00042238288071,715*
912816-715.4No002143536141096,981*
902817-68.3No001828402220129,080*
892717-74.2No00420413130168,079*
882718-61.9No00214384060213,756*
872618-70.8No00183348100265,845*
862619-60.3No0042653160321,760*
852519-70.1No00219552210380,545*
842520-60.0No000113543020439,903*
832420-70.0No008513730497,450*
822421-60.0No005454450548,561*
812321-70.0No003395180590,770*
802322-6OutNo013255120623,743*
792222-7OutNo012558160642,699*
782223-6OutNo001959220644,492*
772123-7OutNo001457280632,697*
762124-6OutNo01054351608,268*
752024-7OutNo0650422571,302*
742025-6OutNo0444493523,122*
731925-7OutNo0338554468,472*
721926-6OutNo0232616407,642*
711826-7OutNo0125649349,207*
701827-6OutNo00206713290,442*
691727-7OutNo0156718236,939*
681728-6OutNo0116623188,685*
671628-7OutNo076330146,268*
661629-6OutNo055936110,612*
651529-7OutNo03544382,234*
641530-6OutNo02485059,032*
631430-7OutNo01415841,343*
621431-6OutNo1346528,242*
611331-7OutNo0297118,957*
601332-6OutNo0237712,342*
591232-7OutNo018827,835*
581233-6OutNo014864,816*
571133-7OutNo010902,796*
561134-6OutNo7931,622*
551135-5OutNo694932*
541035-6OutNo595514*
531036-5OutNo397290*
52936-6OutNo496126*
28-51OutNo100989*
Total:1.4%0.0%0000000126223726410,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverMinnesotaWinnipegCalgaryDallasArizonaEdmonton
130510-00.3%312112587222380
112407-4NoYes
110387-6No333333
109388-5No255025
108378-6No16261611111111
107379-5No4124151515431
106369-6No27222143152314
105359-71.6223182016262110
1043510-6No632232512170011
1033410-7No55529191316117
1023411-6No87632151012117
1013311-70.211573414911117
1003312-60.51586321399105
993212-70.317883112781140
983213-60.221109299671130
973113-70.22310925855112
3012-90.22310925745003
963114-60.224109215340010
3013-80.12510820633102
3215-40.32410922634101
953014-70.1239816422001
3115-50.3249816433001
2913-90.1239816422001
943015-60.1218711311001
2914-80.1197611212001
3116-40.2208713312001
2813-100.1207611211001
932915-70.1166581110000
3016-50.116658211000
2814-90.115557111000
3117-30.015658111000
922916-60.11144510000000
2815-80.111434100000
3017-40.012545101000
2714-100.011435100000
912816-70.07223000000
2917-50.083231000000
2715-90.07322000000
902817-60.041110000000
2918-40.041110000000
892717-70.02111000000
882718-60.01000000000
872618-70.00000000000
862619-60.000000000000
852519-70.0000000000
842520-6No000000
832319-9No0000
822320-8No000
812422-5No000
28-80No
Total:0.0%0.50.20.20.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 1 Colorado 0 (ot)-0.1
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130510-01000
112407-4100
110387-66733
109388-57525
108378-6555521537511
107379-5443519831
106369-63521419536215
105359-7114818113410212
1043510-60141831349263
1033410-7011952271413514
1023411-60152220172393100
1013311-700312101830436121
1003312-601014154142111901
993212-7000121042351824130
983213-600107332522303600
973113-7000032315253271110
963114-6000112723311317400
953014-7001023182320248100
943015-60001112152327164100
932915-7000107723252311300
922916-60000043191928197200
912816-700002113122627155100
902817-60000107619292411300
892717-7000042112529207100
882718-6000215172928154000
872618-700010292332239200
862619-60001415293016410
852519-70000182233259200
842520-6000000314303216400
832420-70000172334249100
822421-600003153131153000
812321-7000182534237100
802322-600417333013300
792222-700210273421610
782223-6001520342810200
772123-700212303417400
762124-60017233625710
752024-70031634321320
742025-60011028362040
731925-7001521372880
721926-60003153435131
711826-700192939202
701827-600052241284
691727-70021639367
681728-600110354311
671628-70006294817
661629-6003225124
651529-7002165032
641530-601114840
631430-70074449
621431-6043858
611331-7033265
601332-6012673
591232-712079
581233-601684
571133-701288
561134-6892
551135-5694
541035-6694
531036-5397
52936-6496
28-51100
Total:000000000000000111235710121414121062