Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 3.2%
63 points   26 24-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Nashville 2 Minnesota 4 -0.4
San Jose 2 Detroit 3 +0.2
Los Angeles 0 Ottawa 1 +0.2
Buffalo 6 Vancouver 3 +0.1
Winnipeg 1 St. Louis 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas vs Colorado-1.4-0.3-0.3+1.5+1.6+1.6
NY Islanders vs Calgary+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Anaheim vs Los Angeles+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
105210-0InNo001562230342,891
104200-1InNo7504302,002
103201-0InNo34155111,997*
102191-1100.0%No0131662047,424*
101181-299.9No00227350173,010*
100182-199.7No01476100511,426*
99172-299.1No087318101,400,373*
98173-197.2No0465283003,337,158*
97163-292.9No0253387007,399,829*
96164-184.1No0137461510014,785,947*
95154-269.7No0023462640027,722,590*
94144-350.7No00123937111047,612,303*
93145-231.5No0052742224077,177,593*
92135-316.2No02153935100115,924,695*
91136-26.9No0062943201164,850,179*
90126-32.4No0021744334218,784,811*
89127-20.7No001937458139,244,215
116-40.6No001837468136,472,686*
88117-30.1No0003275415156,446,882
128-10.2No0004275415169,313,499*
87118-20.0No0011857240181,928,225
107-40.0No00011757250184,048,207*
86108-30.0No0001054360185,710,678
119-10.0No0001054360200,758,011*
85109-20.0No00547480191,985,031
98-40.0No00547480196,573,829*
8499-30.0No00238600176,598,008
1010-10.0No00238590191,017,362*
83910-20.0No00129700164,299,950
89-40.0No00129700166,970,509*
82810-3OutNo0021790280,896,054*
81811-2OutNo00148600226,803,215*
80711-3OutNo0099100172,018,982*
79712-2OutNo0069400124,172,490*
78612-3OutNo03970083,951,843*
77613-2OutNo02980053,944,173*
76513-3OutNo01990032,306,463*
75514-2OutNo00991018,352,653*
74414-3OutNo0098209,629,983*
73415-2OutNo096304,792,398*
72416-1OutNo093602,173,377*
71316-2OutNo089110929,458*
70317-1OutNo082181356,083*
69217-2OutNo072252128,315*
68218-1OutNo6035539,845*
67118-2OutNo48421011,797*
66119-1OutNo3647172,705*
65120-0OutNo244926566*
64020-1OutNo12474176
63021-0OutNo84053342,584
Total:3.2%No0000126133344004,132,304,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverLos AngelesCalgaryMinnesotaWinnipegSan JoseDallas
105210-00.5%125219133100000
104200-10.58383511610000
103201-00.7731438821000
102191-10.6723525921000
101181-20.691757310310000
100182-10.612125921131000
99172-20.618857110310000
183-00.61695811131000
161-40.61985711031000
98173-10.6257521921000
162-30.62665119210000
97163-20.53364217210000
152-40.5356411721000
174-00.5326441821000
96164-10.43963215110000
153-30.4406301511000
142-50.4406281511000
95154-20.3396201310000
143-40.33951813100000
165-00.44062214100000
132-60.3385171310000
94144-30.23251012000000
155-10.23451112000000
133-50.231491100000
122-70.230481100000
93145-20.123350100000
134-40.121340100000
156-00.224461100000
123-60.120340000000
92135-30.112220000000
146-10.113220000000
124-50.111110000000
113-70.110110000000
91136-20.06110000000
125-40.05100000000
147-00.07110000000
114-60.04100000000
90126-30.02000000000
137-10.02000000000
115-50.02000000000
89127-20.01000000000
116-40.00000000000
138-00.01000000000
88117-30.0000000000
87118-20.0000000000
86108-30.000000000
85109-20.00000000
841010-1No000
83910-2No00
63-82No
Total:0.0%2.00.30.70.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 0 Chicago 3 -0.1
Toronto 3 Philadelphia 2 -0.0
Los Angeles 0 Ottawa 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Colorado+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
105210-00001400214102220
104200-16008423760
103201-0303380042131
102191-10100130004323200
101181-20000021003736500
100182-1000130129471000
99172-2000701195417110
98173-10003011154262300
97163-2000101547335700
96164-10000236361015100
95154-200001223115255000
94144-30000012211835122000
93145-20000051116382460000
92135-3000024113236142000
91136-200001520392771000
90126-30000293137173000
89127-20001319382891000
116-400013183729101000
88117-30000182836205000
128-10000182936205000
87118-200003173531122000
107-4000003163432132000
86108-30000172537246100
119-10000172537246100
85109-200002143334152000
8499-3000162237267100
1010-1000162337267100
83910-20000212323615200
89-40000212323616200
82810-30005213927710
911-100052239277100
81811-2000211333715200
80711-30005224026600
79712-200011235361410
78612-3000525412440
77613-2002153935900
76513-3000731441700
75514-200321472800
74414-300113454110
73415-20007385320
72416-10032964400
71316-2012070800
70317-10013711510
69217-207682320
68218-104583350
67118-224742100
66119-113547180
65120-002347272
64020-11238437
63021-00635528
Total:0000000000011147111315151310531000