Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Beat Ottawa 5-4 (so), playoff odds up 1.4 to 71.5%
13 points   6 3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -3.1
-0.3
-2.1
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.3
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
131-157InYes10073,595*
1305510-7In99.9%10001,624*
128-129In99.91008,629*
1275412-6In99.91000010,276*
1265312-7In99.91000018,268*
1255313-6In99.81000031,443*
1245213-7In99.71000053,695*
1235214-6In99.51000087,997*
1225114-7In99.210000142,586*
1215014-8In98.89900226,136*
1205015-7In98.199000350,543*
1194915-8In97.199110532,171*
1184916-7In95.698110790,491*
1174816-8In93.5972201,150,139*
1164817-7In90.69522001,642,096*
1154717-8In86.6933302,299,161*
1144718-7In81.49055003,156,886*
1134618-8In74.88677004,248,586*
1124619-7In66.78299005,617,092*
1114519-8In57.3761212007,293,555*
1104520-7In46.96815161009,295,803*
1094420-8In36.260182010011,621,928*
1084421-7In25.951222520014,287,997*
1074321-8In16.942243040017,253,849*
1064322-7100.0%9.9322735600020,453,942*
1054222-8100.05.0242740910023,857,035*
1044223-7100.02.21627431210027,338,991*
1034123-8100.00.810254617200030,794,610*
1024124-7100.00.26224623400034,104,047*
1014024-8100.00.03184428610037,143,124*
1003924-9100.00.0113413410100039,780,935*
993925-899.80.019353814200041,896,634*
983825-999.50.0062940195000043,398,483*
973826-898.6No042340248100044,225,560*
963726-996.4No02163826143000044,343,689*
953727-891.8No011133262071000043,744,416*
943627-983.7No017272326133000042,433,174*
933628-871.6No004211828207100040,536,046*
923528-956.4No0021512272613410038,093,128*
913529-840.3No01107223021820035,233,071*
903429-925.8No01641629271440032,068,220*
893430-814.8No0042924312181028,724,815*
883330-97.5No00215173028143025,314,763*
873331-83.4No00102112532217121,976,573*
863231-91.4No00001619322812218,755,561*
853232-80.5No0000313293318415,767,549*
843132-90.2No000018233626713,051,390*
833133-80.1No0000041735331110,625,295*
823033-90.0No000002113139178,515,798*
813034-80.0No000172642246,713,387*
802934-90.0No000042043325,217,487*
792935-80.0No000021542413,984,975*
782835-90.0No000011039502,995,733*
772836-8OutNo001734592,219,348*
762736-9OutNo000429661,614,838*
752737-8OutNo00224731,156,774*
742637-9OutNo0011979816,134*
732638-8OutNo011584567,188*
722538-9OutNo001288385,761*
712539-8OutNo00991259,501*
702540-7OutNo0694171,846*
692440-8OutNo00495111,206*
682441-7OutNo039771,518*
672341-8OutNo029844,810*
662342-7OutNo019927,837*
652242-8OutNo019916,553*
642243-7OutNo19910,053*
632143-8OutNo01005,862*
622144-7OutNo01003,396*
612044-8OutNo01001,913*
602045-7OutNo01001,065*
13-59OutNo10073,280*
Total:71.5%4.6%981918108765432868,841,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimMinnesotaNashvilleLos AngelesVancouverSt. LouisSan JoseCalgaryDallasColoradoWinnipegEdmontonArizona
157720-08.3%587881199117665
142636-3YesYes
140616-5NoYes
138607-533.3333333
137597-6No25252525
136598-515.051015510301015
135588-65.259514516391210732
134578-78.3456751868871764
133579-69.94127837155119775
1325710-55.3768871261099955
1315610-67.158768989119865
1305510-77.1488781287128764
1295511-68.8588761289128764
1285411-78.9588881188128754
1275412-68.6598771188128765
1265312-78.6598771188128864
1255313-68.3588771188128764
1245213-78.5588771188128854
1235214-68.2588771188128754
1225114-78.3588771188128854
1215014-88.3588771188128854
1205015-78.4588771188128854
1194915-88.4589771188128854
1184916-78.4589771188128854
1174816-88.3599771188128854
1164817-78.3599771288128754
1154717-88.3599771288128754
1144718-78.35910771288128754
1134618-88.341010671278128754
1124619-78.241011661277128754
1114519-88.141111661377128744
1104520-78.141212661367127743
1094420-88.041313551466127743
1084421-77.941414551566127643
1074321-87.831516551555127632
1064322-77.731617441655126632
1054222-87.531818441744126622
1044223-77.431919331744136622
1034123-87.232020331833136521
1024124-77.132121331833136511
1014024-86.932121331832136511
1003924-96.832222331822136511
993925-86.642221331822126511
983825-96.552121331732125511
973826-86.362120441632115510
963726-96.182019541532105410
953727-85.89191855143394410
943627-95.29171655123273300
933628-84.4915145493262200
923528-93.5712114472242200
913529-82.56983352131100
903530-71.64652231121100
893430-80.92331121010000
883431-70.51211110000000
873331-80.21110000000000
863332-70.10000000000000
853232-80.00000000000000
843233-70.00000000000000
833133-80.00000000000000
823134-70.0000000000000
813034-80.0000000000000
803035-70.0000000000
792935-80.0000000
782936-7No000
13-77No
Total:4.9%4.414.013.73.23.111.32.62.37.93.83.41.00.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-157100
1305510-710000
1295511-61000
1285411-71000
1275412-6100000
1265312-7100000
1255313-6100000
1245213-7100000
1235214-6100000
1225114-799000
1215014-899100
1205015-7981000
1194915-8971110
1184916-7962110
1174816-894320200
1164817-79152020000
1154717-8876303000
1144718-78195050000
1134618-875127070000
1124619-767159090000
1114519-857181201200000
1104520-74722150160010000
1094420-83624181200010000
1084421-726252012311020000
1074321-817252222721040000
1064322-71022234294206000000
1054222-8519216297408001000
1044223-721418927107012001000
1034123-819141121141001610020000
1024124-7061012151714119210400000
1014024-80361281717221420601000
1003924-901310415184218509010000
993925-8011811116717128013120000
983825-900160712101116121163500000
973826-800404712617162186801000
963726-900202411214165161113130000
953727-80010119091491115174710000
943627-9001001605913617178124100000
933628-8000004025132161415169310000
923528-900000201212112819171583100000
913529-8000010019073191319168310000
903429-900010060411571621179310000
893430-80000003020939182218104100000
883330-90000020105141119231911410000
873331-8000010002014112024201141000
863231-9000000010015122125201041000
853232-8000000000251322251993000
843132-900000000026152425177200
833133-80000000012818262514510
823033-900000000013112228231020
813034-8000000151527291750
802934-900000029213125101
792935-80000014142932163
782835-9000000292435245
772836-8000151835329
762736-9000212323915
752737-80017274321
742637-90004214529
732638-80002164537
722538-9001114345
712539-800183953
702540-70053460
692440-80032968
682441-7022573
672341-8012079
662342-7011684
652242-8001287
642243-701090
632143-80892
622144-70694
612044-8496
602045-7496
591945-8298
581946-7397
571745-10199
561746-9199
13-55100
Total:544364536553544443333222221110