Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 1-3, playoff odds down 5.6 to 5.5%
74 points   32 31-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago 1 Philadelphia 3 -5.7
Florida 4 Arizona 2 +2.1
Dallas 1 Colorado 3 -0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Washington vs Minnesota+0.5*+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.7-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9290-099.9%No07672508,653
9180-198.2No253432021,985
9081-093.3No0034597068,705
70-289.4No03059100029,402
8971-176.1No016602220182,453
60-368.2No01355283022,548
8872-055.7No065037700282,509
61-244.9No0441431110209,796
50-435.8No33347161010,994
8762-125.3No01244724400649,835
51-317.5No1174631600136,812
40-512.1No0124237803,424
8663-011.0No01139381110672,267
52-26.0No0633441610636,171
41-43.4No032647212054,974
30-62.3No219502630726
8553-11.8No02184431601,313,894
42-30.8No0113423680340,773
31-50.4No09394111114,138*
8443-20.1No0429461921,059,597
54-00.4No00734431511,020,961
32-40.0No022447233109,573
21-6OutNo221492532,258*
8344-10.0No01154433701,644,525
33-30.0No0011423790451,879
22-5OutNo0939401120,622
11-7OutNo6344713221
8234-20.0No00430461901,050,272
45-00.0No00634441501,019,818
23-4OutNo032647230107,352
12-6OutNo32248272,175*
8135-10.0No00117473501,303,611
24-3OutNo011445400332,034
13-5OutNo1114344013,349*
8036-0OutNo00841501672,468
25-2OutNo0637561617,445
14-4OutNo043361152,348
03-6OutNo330642729
7926-1OutNo0225713638,248
15-3OutNo0121744129,233
04-5OutNo1187653,116
7827-0OutNo0115787283,018
16-2OutNo012808199,500
05-4OutNo0979119,990
7717-1OutNo0579160177,137
06-3OutNo047620020,722
7618-0OutNo026929068,669
07-2OutNo16930027,374
7508-1OutNo05445021,203
7409-0OutNo0366318,614
Total:5.5%No001510172424191015,728,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleVegasSt. LouisDallas
9290-00.3%246321020
9180-10.340483610
9081-00.254324300
70-20.25328530
8971-10.2551551000
60-30.25012510
8872-00.14564000
61-20.13744000
50-40.1303300
8762-10.12212000
51-30.01512000
40-50.110110
8663-00.01001000
52-20.050100
41-40.03000
30-6No20
8553-10.020000
42-30.0100
31-5No000
20-7No
8454-00.0000
43-20.0000
32-4No00
21-6No
10-8No
8344-10.0000
33-3No00
22-5No
11-7No
8245-0No0
34-2No0
23-4No
12-6No
01-8No
8135-1No0
24-3No
13-5No
02-7No
74-80No
Total:0.0%4.30.70.40.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 1 Philadelphia 3 +1.0
Dallas 1 Colorado 3 +0.1
Edmonton 4 Columbus 1 +0.1
Florida 4 Arizona 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
9290-0007067124000
9180-102531430100
9081-0003405814200
70-203005817300
8971-101606011110200
60-301305511414300
8872-00650013228100
61-204410142612200
50-4333014301630
8762-101240930269100
51-311708303012200
40-50120727341630
8663-001103223622500
52-20603193627810
41-403021535321210
30-621123337132
8553-102018273721400
42-301005233826600
31-5003183831810
8443-20019313917300
54-0000213343613200
32-40016274121400
21-600424442250
8344-10003163932910
33-300021338351210
22-5011036371420
11-7053345151
8234-2000425412550
45-0000628402240
23-400321412860
12-60318403180
8135-100011135381410
24-301933411610
13-50731431810
8036-000422432830
25-200320433040
14-40217433340
03-621543346
7926-10183545110
15-30073346121
04-5063148141
7827-00032150242
16-2021951262
05-4011751273
7717-1008444170
06-3007424280
7618-0032951180
07-2022852170
7508-1114513310
7409-005375340
Total:000010501591419191593000