Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 83.3%
9 points   4 0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville vs Chicago-3.0-0.3-0.3+2.6+2.9+3.1
-0.3*-0.0-0.2+0.4+0.3+0.4
-2.1-0.4-0.4+1.9+2.1+2.2
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.2-0.2*-0.1*+0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.3*+0.2+0.1
Calgary vs Carolina-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*-0.0+0.3
San Jose vs Columbus-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
St. Louis vs Vancouver*-0.0-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-163InYes1001,061*
1265515-7In99.6%1000460*
1255415-8InYes100787*
1245416-7In99.810001,118*
1235316-8In99.810001,856*
1225317-7In99.4100002,656*
1215217-8In98.999103,931*
1205218-7In98.799005,527*
1195118-8In97.899107,748*
1185018-9In96.6981110,770*
1175019-8In94.99721014,142*
1165020-7In92.89631018,891*
1154920-8In89.19442024,947*
1144820-9In84.99153031,677*
1134821-8In79.08874039,858*
1124721-9In72.3841060049,375*
1114722-8In63.7791380060,761*
1104622-9In53.47316110072,692*
1094623-8In43.16520151085,054*
1084523-9In32.15723191098,627*
1074524-8In22.048272320113,930*
1064424-9In13.9393028300127,639*
1054425-8100.0%7.62932335000140,781*
1044325-9100.03.62133388100152,891*
1034326-8100.01.414324211100164,622*
1024226-9100.00.49294416200173,457*
1014227-8100.00.15264521400180,203*
1004127-9100.00.03214426610184,172*
994128-899.90.011641329100185,644*
984028-999.8No011373613200184,677*
974029-899.4No083139175100180,108*
963929-998.2No0525392192000172,606*
953930-895.6No03183823144100163,849*
943830-990.4No02133423198200152,762*
933831-881.5No18282024134100139,769*
923731-968.8No05221526209200127,524*
913732-853.6No0317102426155100113,439*
903632-937.8No0211619282210200100,479*
893633-823.9No01731326281651086,567*
883533-913.9No0041821302392073,721*
873534-87.3No00304152829164062,106*
863434-93.4No010292432238151,536*
853435-81.4No0101517313014242,304*
843335-90.6No000212273420433,886*
833336-80.2No00017213627826,960*
823236-90.1No00031634341220,875*
813237-80.0No0021030391816,014*
803137-90.0No001625422611,972*
793138-80.0No00041943349,131*
783038-9OutNo021342446,629*
773039-8OutNo01938524,976*
762939-9OutNo00633603,434*
752940-8OutNo0429672,468*
742840-9OutNo225731,769*
732841-8OutNo120791,209*
722741-9OutNo11485728*
712742-8OutNo2989545*
702642-9OutNo1090332*
692643-8OutNo0694224*
682644-7OutNo397144*
672544-8OutNo19998*
662444-9OutNo29846*
9-65OutNo100376*
Total:83.3%10.4%17132217765432213,748,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseDallasSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
163770-010.7%869108109889654
1366010-7NoYes
1356011-6NoYes
1345911-725.025252525
1335912-6No9999279999
1325812-77.4477747157154157
1315813-611.131483338614171733
1305713-79.83107131016105551123
1295613-88.062910787108912102
1285614-714.061068106129410968
1275514-810.9588137109887755
1265515-78.557898118799857
1255415-88.1467889109910964
1245416-710.3578981010999754
1235316-89.2587981011998754
1225317-710.858810899988854
1215217-89.0587971011988765
1205218-79.55871081010988755
1195118-810.74871081010898855
1185018-910.4587981010988755
1175019-810.35871081010888755
1165020-710.0487981010898855
1154920-810.25871081011888755
1144820-910.14871081111888754
1134821-810.05971071111887854
1124721-910.04971171111887754
1114722-810.04971171111887754
1104622-99.941071271211777744
1094623-810.041161271212776744
1084523-99.941261361212776744
1074524-89.741361361313666744
1064424-99.741451451414665734
1054425-89.431551551414555734
1044325-99.331641651515554633
1034326-89.131741741615444623
1024226-99.031841841616443623
1014227-88.831931831717333623
1004127-98.532031931717332613
994128-88.542031931717222613
984028-98.142031931717222613
974029-88.052031931717221613
963929-97.762041831616221613
953930-87.681941731515221513
943830-97.091841641413221502
933831-86.391641441211221402
923731-95.2913411399221302
913732-84.081039377111201
903632-92.96726255110101
893633-81.84524133110100
883533-91.12312122000000
873534-80.51101011000000
863535-70.31101000000000
853435-80.10000000000000
843436-70.000000000000
833336-80.000000000000
823236-90.00000000
813439-40.0000
803339-5No0
793138-8No0
9-78No
Total:7.3%4.514.13.813.53.712.412.33.43.32.75.21.62.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Chicago+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.9
Minnesota vs Arizona+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Vancouver+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-163100
1265515-710000
1255415-8100
1245416-710000
1235316-81000
1225317-799000
1215217-899010
1205218-799100
1195118-898110
1185018-997111
1175019-8952210
1165020-7933310
1154920-88954200
1144820-98575030
1134821-87997040
1124721-9721210060000
1114722-8641512080000
1104622-95319160110000
1094623-84322190140010
1084523-93225221181010
1074524-8222625221112000
1064424-914252732422030000
1054425-882227625530500000
1044325-9418249258507001000
1034326-8113201222128010001000
1024226-9081514161512114112000
1014227-805101610181621631030000
1004127-9026155171841863060100
994128-801313214187161060911000
984028-90110110151112141001122000
974029-800706101571714213450100
963929-900503616316165138812000
953930-80030131411315910131224100
943830-90020111081114617136720000
933831-80100804717317121211520000
923731-90005023171147181311520000
913732-80003111501032111151162100
903632-900020011061186131714831000
893633-8010070301328161916941000
883533-900004010813101721181041000
873534-80003004014101923191141000
863434-901020014112024201141000
853435-80101001512212520104100
843335-9000000026142325199200
833336-80000002716252517620
823236-90001391927241440
813237-8000141224292181
803137-900017172929143
793138-800013112532226
783038-901518333211
773039-80312303717
762939-9017264224
752940-8014184433
742840-902153944
732841-8183852
722741-9163063
712742-8042669
702642-922573
692643-8011880
682644-711585
672544-8892
662444-9496
652546-61189
9-64100
Total:1078575545444443322222211111100