Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.1
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas vs Chicago-4.6-0.4-0.5+4.1+4.5+5.0
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.8+0.8+0.9
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.1+0.5
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-164In100.0%1009,846*
1245816-8In99.810001,881*
1235716-9In99.910003,139*
1225717-8In99.8100004,957*
1215617-9In99.6100007,802*
1205618-8In99.41000012,087*
1195518-9In99.01000018,792*
1185519-8In98.4990028,474*
1175419-9In97.7991042,152*
1165420-8In96.39911060,715*
1155320-9In94.4981187,315*
1145321-8In91.797210123,525*
1135221-9In88.295320169,878*
1125121-10In83.193430230,114*
1115122-9In76.7906400307,159*
1105022-10In68.8868600404,176*
1095023-9In59.18011900524,942*
1084923-10In48.674141200667,975*
1074924-9In37.3671715100839,750*
1064824-10In26.35821202001,037,512*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,264,537*
1044725-10In9.43828294001,517,203*
1034726-9100.0%4.529303471001,791,002*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,083,156*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,385,728*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,692,036*
994528-9100.00.0422432561002,994,851*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,287,771*
974429-999.60.011235341430003,551,419*
964329-1098.9No08303618610003,785,726*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,972,467*
944230-1093.0No03173423166100004,109,761*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,190,081*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,215,938*
914132-958.6No004181224231341004,180,960*
904032-1041.9No0213720262092004,083,864*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,931,275*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,740,265*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,503,400*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,236,366*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,949,644*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,647,592*
833736-90.2No0000015173233132,345,857*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,047,079*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,764,834*
803537-100.0No00000041741371,500,888*
793538-90.0No00021239471,255,577*
783438-100.0No00001835561,036,646*
773439-90.0No000053065844,505*
763339-100.0No000032473676,650*
753340-9OutNo0021979537,022*
743240-10OutNo011584419,214*
733241-9OutNo001188322,138*
723141-10OutNo00892244,693*
713142-9OutNo00694182,643*
703042-10OutNo0496134,902*
693043-9OutNo039797,596*
682943-10OutNo029870,090*
672944-9OutNo019949,671*
662844-10OutNo019934,468*
652845-9OutNo19923,994*
642745-10OutNo010016,331*
632746-9OutNo010010,732*
622646-10OutNo01007,085*
612647-9OutNo01004,465*
602547-10OutNo1002,997*
592548-9OutNo01001,843*
0-58OutNo10010,227*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.5%8888877778888
1356512-5No202060
1346311-8No2020202020
1336312-79.12791899999
1326313-65.617116221117116
1316213-7No114111147471511411
1306113-86.317102882171082464
1296013-95.2128858679107839
1286014-87.49768967897589
1276015-77.7971071265995885
1265915-88.8810871077697678
1255815-97.299599578107876
1245816-87.689799769106776
1235716-97.698791077986767
1225717-87.388710877897777
1215617-97.59979976996766
1205618-88.09979977997777
1195518-97.79979977997777
1185519-87.49979977997777
1175419-97.99979967997777
1165420-87.39979977997777
1155320-97.69979976997777
1145321-87.49979967997777
1135221-97.59979977997666
1125121-107.59969966997666
1115122-97.49969966996666
1105022-107.4109699669106666
1095023-97.41010610106610106666
1084923-107.41010610106610106666
1074924-97.21010610106610106666
1064824-107.21011511105510115555
1054825-97.11111511115511115555
1044725-107.11111511115511115555
1034726-96.91212412124412124444
1024626-106.81212412124412124444
1014627-96.61313313133313133333
1004527-106.41313313133313133333
994528-96.31313313133313133333
984428-106.21314313133313133333
974429-96.01313313133313133333
964329-105.91313313133313133333
954330-95.71313313133313133333
944230-105.41212312123312123333
934231-94.91010310103310103333
924131-104.29939933993333
914132-93.37737733773333
904032-102.45525522552222
894033-91.53313311331111
883933-100.92212211221111
873934-90.41101100110000
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803537-100.0000000000000
793437-110.0000000
783438-10No0000
773338-11No0
763440-8No0
0-75No
Total:3.5%7.07.02.27.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Chicago+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
134-164100
1336312-7919
129-132100
1286014-8991
125-127100
1245816-810000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-8962110
1155320-994311
1145321-8925210
1135221-9887302000
1125121-10831040300
1115122-977136040000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592111090000
1084923-1049261301100000
1074924-9372917115101000
1064824-102631202181010000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-109292352352040000
1034726-9424228238306001000
1024626-1021819122013609101000
1014627-911214151517901210020000
1004527-1007916102012115310400000
994528-90451652015316720601000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-90111101212119168111330000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-100030121401211107161245100000
934231-900201110771531811109410000
924131-1000100704416116717129410000
914132-9000004012150123211013105200000
904032-1000002011120711961316137310000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-90000030104013816212114720000
863834-1000001002001381622221572000
853835-900001001000138162323167200
843735-100000000000013817242315610
833736-90000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-900000000016152729174
803537-1000000000292132269
793538-900001414303416
783438-1000000029253925
773439-9000015194135
763339-1000002133946
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052866
733241-900032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-10001090
693043-900793
682943-100495
672944-900397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
0-57100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333