Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 2-3, playoff odds down 4.8 to 78.5%
9 points   4 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 -3.1
-0.3
-2.1
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.3
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-161InYes10011,491*
1275513-8In99.9%10003,147*
1265514-7In99.9100005,269*
1255414-8In99.8100008,560*
1245415-7In99.71000013,697*
1235315-8In99.61000021,491*
1225316-7In99.31000032,659*
1215216-8In99.0990049,065*
1205217-7In98.2991072,850*
1195117-8In97.49811105,410*
1185118-7In96.098110149,281*
1175018-8In94.197210208,077*
1165019-7In91.495320285,581*
1154919-8In87.693430382,285*
1144920-7In82.890640504,323*
1134820-8In76.6868600656,307*
1124720-9In68.88211700834,865*
1114721-8In59.8761410001,046,817*
1104621-9In49.6691813001,289,007*
1094622-8In38.96121171001,561,527*
1084522-9In28.55225211001,859,408*
1074523-8In19.04329262002,178,265*
1064423-9In11.53432314002,506,585*
1054424-8In6.02533356002,841,745*
1044324-9100.0%2.718334091003,167,826*
1034325-8100.01.0123243121003,481,687*
1024225-9100.00.372946172003,757,844*
1014226-8100.00.142446224003,988,758*
1004126-9100.00.0220452760004,180,585*
994127-899.90.0115413391004,308,237*
984027-999.80.001137371320004,367,968*
974028-899.3No07314017510004,363,073*
963928-998.0No04244020920004,294,954*
953929-895.2No0318392214410004,153,650*
943829-989.6No0113352119820003,967,338*
933830-880.3No0183018231451003,727,622*
923730-967.5No0524142521920003,443,536*
913731-852.3No0318923261651003,139,339*
903631-936.9No02125182823102002,820,585*
893632-823.6No0183122628165102,493,884*
883532-913.6No005172131239202,170,113*
873533-87.1No0030415292916401,863,205*
863433-93.4No001029243223811,574,761*
853434-81.5No0010151832291321,309,553*
843334-90.6No000021228341941,074,520*
833335-80.2No0000172236277870,222*
823235-90.1No00000416343412692,027*
813236-80.0No000211313917541,919*
803136-90.0No00017264225419,006*
793137-80.0No00004204333317,950*
783037-90.0No0002154241238,494*
773038-80.0No0001103950176,455*
762938-9OutNo0173558127,445*
752939-8OutNo004306691,426*
742839-9OutNo003257364,728*
732840-8OutNo01207844,620*
722740-9OutNo01168330,382*
712741-8OutNo01128820,668*
702641-9OutNo099113,733*
692642-8OutNo06948,963*
682542-9OutNo05955,810*
672543-8OutNo03973,646*
662443-9OutNo2982,246*
652444-8OutNo1991,402*
642344-9OutNo298870*
632345-8OutNo0100523*
622245-9OutNo199310*
612246-8OutNo199146*
9-60OutNo1007,479*
Total:78.5%7.0%121222197665432187,957,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesMinnesotaCalgaryVancouverDallasSan JoseSt. LouisArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
161760-09.1%658981091199664
139617-8NoYes
1386310-3NoYes
1376210-4No25252525
136609-7No88258171788
1356010-6No48821813138134
1345910-74.1621010812281241014
1335911-613.547108118411713447
1325912-510.8656886108129797
1315812-68.65981161111796674
1305712-77.567779998117865
1295713-68.56678881110106864
1285613-78.7587899101098764
1275513-810.556799910997865
1265514-79.45788891010108764
1255414-89.356789101010107754
1245415-79.1677899109107764
1235315-89.75788891010107864
1225316-79.5577899109108765
1215216-89.15678991010107765
1205217-79.45778991010108764
1195117-89.2577899109107865
1185118-79.2577999109107864
1175018-89.3577999109107765
1165019-79.4577989109107755
1154919-89.3577989109107754
1144920-79.2587989119107754
1134820-89.35871088119107754
1124720-99.25871088119107754
1114721-89.25971188118106754
1104621-99.151061188128116754
1094622-89.051161277128116744
1084522-98.941261377137115744
1074523-88.841361477147115744
1064423-98.741451566146114734
1054424-88.641551766156114633
1044324-98.431741855165113623
1034325-88.331841944164123623
1024225-98.131942044174122623
1014226-87.932032133183122613
1004126-97.832132133183122613
994127-87.632232233183121613
984027-97.442232233182121613
974028-87.252242233172121613
963928-97.162242133172111613
953929-86.872152033152101503
943829-96.38195183314291502
933830-85.68175163312281402
923730-94.7814513329260301
913731-83.6711410227140201
903631-92.55837215130101
893632-81.63525113120100
883532-90.92313102010000
873533-80.51211001010000
863433-90.20101000000000
853434-80.10000000000000
843435-70.00000000000000
833335-80.00000000000000
823336-70.000000000000
813236-80.000000000000
803136-90.000000000
793137-8No00000
782936-11No0
772937-10No0
9-76No
Total:6.1%4.314.63.714.73.43.312.23.18.71.94.81.32.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-161100
1275513-810000
1265514-7100000
1255414-8100000
1245415-7100000
1235315-8100000
1225316-799000
1215216-899000
1205217-798110
1195117-897111
1185118-7962110
1175018-8942210
1165019-791432000
1154919-8885403000
1144920-7837604000
1134820-877108060000
1124720-9691311070000
1114721-86016140100000
1104621-95019170130000
1094622-8392221116001000
1084522-928242412011010000
1074523-819242722321020000
1064423-911232842532040000
1054424-861927726540600000
1044324-9315249249708001000
1034325-811119122012100111001000
1024225-90714151516151141102000
1014226-8049169171821732040000
1004126-90251541620517640600000
994127-801212113198151070811000
984027-900110081513101412111220000
974028-8007051016616162134501000
963928-9004026172151861288120000
953929-800301215111161191211241000
943829-900100112071216616136820000
933830-8001000804719216111212620000
923730-9000050231911371814115200000
913731-8000030111609320111512621000
903631-9000200120511771417147310000
893632-800010080301239172016931000
883532-900000501071411182217931000
873533-800003004015122023181031000
863433-90000100200151321241893100
853434-8000101000261423241883000
843334-90000000027162425167200
833335-8000000013918262414510
823235-9000000014112228221020
813236-800000161526281861
803136-90000029213025112
793137-80000014142831184
783037-90000282234267
773038-800001416333312
762938-900211293919
752939-80016244226
742839-9004184335
732840-8002134144
722740-900193852
712741-800053461
702641-90042967
692642-8022375
682542-9011980
672543-811584
662443-901188
652444-80991
642344-90891
632345-8595
622245-9496
612246-8397
602247-7298
9-59100
Total:757565655455443422222222111110