Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.9%
94 points   44 23-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg 5 Montreal 2 +0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Nashville 3 -0.1
Ottawa 1 NY Rangers 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3
Minnesota vs Calgary+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
11290-0In20.5%8251309,559,976
11180-1In6.7581327215,264,778
11081-0In1.7371442747,342,855
70-2In1.43014451110,703,374
10971-1In0.21414502266,404,294
60-3In0.1101250284,288,522
10872-0In0.0584739102,973,598
61-2In0.047444639,876,610
50-4In0.02540521,080,152
10762-1In0.01434620123,726,954
51-3In0.0132968013,401,846
40-5In0.00225720176,922
10663-0In0.00121771127,922,177
52-2In0.0011781162,329,686
41-4InNo00148412,751,101
30-6InNo001286118,784
10553-1InNo009874128,903,837
42-3InNo00788517,075,895
31-5InNo006896353,586
20-7InNo68861,316
10454-0InNo003889099,952,836
43-2InNo0028711052,947,435
32-4InNo002861202,739,960
21-6InNo028414027,801*
10344-1InNo0017722082,118,481
33-3InNo017425011,329,400
22-5InNo0072280259,611*
10245-0InNo006435150,937,360
34-2InNo006039126,349,786
23-4InNo0564221,330,141
12-6InNo05245313,067*
10135-1100.0%No042544032,690,428
24-3100.0No03757604,127,873
13-5100.0No033598081,376*
10036-0100.0No0276310016,904,370
25-299.9No022631507,681,389
14-499.9No1862200315,644
03-699.8No15602402,035
9926-199.2No11602817,940,027
15-398.8No855351780,382
04-598.2No6514229,130
9827-095.1No54545503,522,296
16-293.3No33852701,211,338
05-491.1No23158928,892
9717-180.6No122581901,072,882
06-376.1No0166024059,601
9618-059.8No09513910416,060
07-254.4No0649451079,097
9508-132.8No231634061,550
9409-015.6No0015701410119,149
Total:99.9%0.3%53206110100001,179,265,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisMinnesotaVancouverLos AngelesWinnipegCalgaryDallasSan JoseColorado
11290-09.4%112173134110210
11180-19.008212029327100
11081-08.515341716215100
70-28.423331614184100
10971-18.0030411412102000
60-37.93839120281000
10872-07.60364980141000
61-27.50434670130000
50-47.4494260020000
10762-17.30464840010000
51-37.20514440010000
40-57.20564030000000
10663-07.10474930000000
52-27.01524520000000
41-47.0156412000000
30-67.016037200
10553-17.02514420000000
42-37.0355402000000
31-57.045836200000
20-77.45623210
10454-07.0650431000000
43-27.175339100000
32-47.19563510000
21-67.31057311000
10344-17.2154836100000
33-37.318493210000
22-57.320502900000
10245-07.525433200000
34-27.528432900000
23-47.632422600000
12-67.93541230000
10135-17.941332500000
24-37.945322300000
13-58.248302100000
10036-08.050272300000
25-28.152252200000
14-48.25422230000
03-67.455212400
9926-18.15520240000
15-38.05318270000
04-57.9501731000
9827-07.64719290000
16-27.44218330000
05-46.9381736000
9717-16.23016350000
06-35.9241537000
9618-04.51713300000
07-24.1131130000
9508-12.4671900
9409-01.2331000
Total:7.4%7.242.541.14.40.20.83.00.60.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 2 Nashville 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Columbus-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.4+0.4+1.1
Minnesota vs Calgary+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
11290-02062411300
11180-1752942612
11081-0235773947
70-21297741411
10971-1014410391122
60-301039391128
10872-005172919390
61-204162618460
50-402152416520
10762-1010313216100
51-3010211186700
40-500029167200
10663-000014160076110
52-200013130080210
41-4000311008321
30-60021008521
10553-1000180081640
42-3000060083650
31-5000050083660
20-715008366
10454-00000300721500900
43-200002007215001100
32-40002007015001200
21-600100691501400
10344-10001004729002200
33-3000004628002500
22-5000004428002700
10245-00000024391033210
34-20000022371036210
23-40002034104022
12-6001832204223
10135-100063231469400
24-300052831489600
13-5000525314910800
10036-0001193442211000
25-201153442211500
14-41113441212000
03-6093340212400
9926-10515263427110
15-30314243234210
04-5021322294022
9827-00103113440650
16-20002929457700
05-400272449990
9717-100121940191910
06-300011439202310
9618-00000925263640
07-2005222640500
9508-102823481810
9409-0002134235700
Total:04121090052900811000000