Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 40.9%

2 points 1 2-0

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3	*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose	-6.1-1.6-1.7+4.1+4.5+5.3		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.5+0.6
Anaheim vs Minnesota	+0.1-0.4-0.7-0.2-0.5*+0.1
Vegas vs Arizona	+0.1-0.5-0.1-0.2-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

86	-108						In		Yes		100														281	*
85		39	9		-	5	In		97.5	%	99	1													120	*
84		38	9		-	6	In		98.7		100														229	*
83		38	10		-	5	In		95.5		98	2	0												462	*
82		38	11		-	4	In		95.0		98	2	0												658	*
81		37	11		-	5	In		91.7		96	3	1												1,136	*
80		36	11		-	6	In		87.3		94	4	2												1,695	*
79		36	12		-	5	In		81.6		92	6	2												2,704	*
78		35	12		-	6	In		72.1		88	8	4												4,021	*
77		35	13		-	5	In		59.4		80	14	6	0											5,667	*
76		34	13		-	6	In		48.9		73	17	9	0	0										8,162	*
75		34	14		-	5	In		35.2		62	23	14	0											11,391	*
74		33	14		-	6	In		22.4		52	28	20	1	0										15,120	*
73		33	15		-	5	In		12.4		39	32	27	2	0										20,178	*
72		32	15		-	6	100.0	%	5.6		27	34	35	4	0		0								25,620	*
71		32	16		-	5	100.0		1.9		16	33	43	8	0		0								32,420	*
70		31	16		-	6	100.0		0.4		8	29	49	14	1	0	0								40,078	*
69		31	17		-	5	99.9		0.1		3	21	50	23	3	0	0	0							47,956	*
68		30	17		-	6	99.6		0.0		1	13	46	34	6	0	0	0	0						56,371	*
67		30	18		-	5	98.8		No		0	6	36	43	13	1	1	0	0						64,661	*
66		29	18		-	6	96.1		No		0	2	23	46	22	3	4	0	0						72,301	*
65		29	19		-	5	89.5		No			1	11	40	28	10	10	1	0	0					79,559	*
64		28	19		-	6	75.9		No			0	4	27	25	19	19	4	0	0					85,176	*
63		28	20		-	5	56.5		No			0	1	14	15	26	27	13	3	0	0				89,938	*
62		27	20		-	6	35.1		No				0	5	6	24	26	25	11	2	0	0			92,488	*
61		27	21		-	5	18.1		No				0	2	1	15	17	30	23	9	2	0	0		92,827	*
60		26	21		-	6	7.5		No				0	0	0	7	8	24	31	21	8	1	0	0	92,123	*
59		26	22		-	5	2.7		No				0	0	0	3	2	12	27	30	18	6	1	0	88,649	*
58		25	22		-	6	0.8		No				0	0	0	1	1	5	16	30	29	14	3	0	84,086	*
57		25	23		-	5	0.2		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	7	21	33	26	10	1	78,698	*
56		24	23		-	6	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	3	12	28	34	19	4	70,269	*
55		24	24		-	5	0.0		No							0	0	0	1	5	20	35	30	9	62,629	*
54		23	24		-	6	0.0		No					0		0		0	0	2	11	31	39	17	54,240	*
53		23	25		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	1	5	23	43	28	46,544	*
52		22	25		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	15	42	40	38,775	*
51		22	26		-	5	Out		No										0	0	1	9	38	52	31,421	*
50		21	26		-	6	Out		No										0	0	0	5	31	63	25,296	*
49		21	27		-	5	Out		No											0	0	3	24	73	19,883	*
48		20	27		-	6	Out		No												0	1	18	81	15,264	*
47		20	28		-	5	Out		No												0	1	13	86	11,563	*
46		19	28		-	6	Out		No													0	8	91	8,491	*
45		19	29		-	5	Out		No													0	6	94	5,995	*
44		18	29		-	6	Out		No													0	4	96	4,154	*
43		18	30		-	5	Out		No														3	97	2,987	*
42		17	30		-	6	Out		No														1	99	1,990	*
41		17	31		-	5	Out		No														1	99	1,347	*
40		16	31		-	6	Out		No														1	99	852	*
39		16	32		-	5	Out		No														0	100	551	*
38		15	32		-	6	Out		No														0	100	348	*
2	-37						Out		No															100	562	*

Total:							40.9	%	1.8	%	4	4	10	11	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	9	1,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	Philadelphia	New Jersey	Washington	NY Islanders	Minnesota	Colorado	St. Louis	Arizona	Anaheim	Boston	Pittsburgh	NY Rangers	Los Angeles	Buffalo

108		53	0		-	0	7.8	%	13			1		13	16	16	11	14				18
95		44	4		-	5	No								Yes
91		42	6		-	5	No							Yes
90		42	7		-	4	No		67													33
89		41	7		-	5	No		27	20			7		7	7	7		13		7	7
88		40	7		-	6	6.3		13				6		19	6	6	25		6	6	6	6
87		39	7		-	7	4.7		23	5		2	7	14	14	2	7	5	9	5		5	2
86		40	9		-	4	12.2		8	4	5	1	4	9	11	14	15	8	3	1	3	12	1
85		39	9		-	5	5.0		12	4	4	3	3	11	9	5	9	8	5	7	3	12	4
84		38	9		-	6	5.7		7	8	3	5	3	10	11	9	8	10	4	4	4	8	6
83		38	10		-	5	5.6		11	3	5	5	4	11	8	10	9	11	2	6	5	8	2
82		38	11		-	4	5.3		10	4	4	5	5	7	9	11	8	11	4	4	4	8	5
81		37	11		-	5	6.4		10	4	4	3	5	10	10	9	9	10	5	5	4	8	4
80		36	11		-	6	5.4		9	5	4	4	4	10	9	9	9	9	5	5	5	8	4
79		36	12		-	5	6.3		9	5	4	5	5	9	8	8	9	9	5	5	5	8	4
78		35	12		-	6	6.2		9	5	5	5	5	9	9	10	8	9	5	5	5	7	5
77		35	13		-	5	6.1		9	5	5	4	5	9	9	8	9	8	5	5	5	8	4
76		34	13		-	6	6.1		9	5	5	5	5	9	9	9	8	9	5	5	5	8	4
75		34	14		-	5	6.1		10	5	5	5	5	9	9	9	9	9	5	5	5	7	5
74		33	14		-	6	6.4		10	4	5	5	5	9	9	10	9	8	5	5	4	8	4
73		33	15		-	5	6.2		11	4	4	4	4	10	10	10	9	9	4	4	4	8	4
72		32	15		-	6	6.3		12	4	4	4	4	11	11	11	10	9	4	3	3	8	3
71		32	16		-	5	6.1		14	3	3	3	3	11	11	12	11	10	3	3	3	9	2
70		31	16		-	6	6.3		15	2	2	2	2	13	12	12	11	11	2	2	2	9	2
69		31	17		-	5	6.2		16	2	2	2	2	13	13	13	12	11	2	1	1	10	1
68		30	17		-	6	6.3		16	1	1	1	1	13	13	13	12	12	1	1	1	10	1
		29	16		-	8	6.0		17	1	1	1	1	14	13	13	12	11	1	1	1	10	1
67		30	18		-	5	6.2		16	2	1	1	1	13	13	13	12	11	1	1	1	10	1
		31	19		-	3	6.1		16	2	2	1	1	12	13	14	12	11	1	1	1	10	1
66		29	18		-	6	6.1		16	2	2	2	2	12	12	13	11	11	1	1	1	9	1
		28	17		-	8	5.9		15	2	2	2	2	12	12	12	11	10	2	1	1	9	1
65		29	19		-	5	5.7		14	3	3	3	2	11	11	11	10	9	2	2	2	8	1
		28	18		-	7	5.5		13	3	3	3	2	10	10	10	9	9	2	2	2	8	1
		30	20		-	3	5.7		13	3	3	3	3	11	10	11	9	9	2	2	2	7	1
64		28	19		-	6	5.0		11	3	3	3	3	9	9	9	7	7	2	2	2	6	1
		27	18		-	8	4.4		10	4	3	3	3	8	7	8	6	6	2	2	2	5	1
63		28	20		-	5	3.6		8	3	3	3	3	6	6	6	5	4	2	2	2	4	1
		29	21		-	3	3.7		8	3	3	3	3	6	6	6	5	5	2	2	2	4	1
62		27	20		-	6	2.2		5	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	1	1	1	2	1
61		27	21		-	5	1.2		3	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
60		27	22		-	4	0.5		1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
59		26	22		-	5	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		26	23		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		25	23		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		25	24		-	4	0.0		0		0			0	0	0	0	0		0		0
55		25	25		-	3	No		0					0	0	0	0	0				0
54		23	24		-	6	No		0					0	0	0	0	0				0
53		24	26		-	3	No		0									0				0
52		25	28		-	0	No								0	0
2	-51						No

Total:							2.6	%	6.0	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.2	4.8	4.7	4.8	4.2	4.1	1.0	1.0	0.9	3.4	0.8

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose	+1.3+0.3+0.3-0.9-1.0-1.1
Vegas vs Arizona	-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
Anaheim vs Minnesota	-0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

86	-108						100
85		39	9		-	5	98	2	1
84		38	9		-	6	99	1
83		38	10		-	5	95	3	2		0
82		38	11		-	4	95	3	2		0
81		37	11		-	5	92	4	3		1
80		36	11		-	6	87	7	4		2
79		36	12		-	5	82	11	6		2
78		35	12		-	6	72	16	8	0	4
77		35	13		-	5	59	21	13	0	6	0			0
76		34	13		-	6	49	24	17	1	9	0	0		0				0
75		34	14		-	5	35	27	22	1	13	0	0		0
74		33	14		-	6	22	29	24	3	18	1	1		1		0		0
73		33	15		-	5	12	26	26	6	23	3	2		2	0			0
72		32	15		-	6	6	21	24	10	25	6	4	0	4	0	0		0				0
71		32	16		-	5	2	14	19	14	24	11	8	0	7	0	0		0				0
70		31	16		-	6	0	7	12	17	18	16	14	1	13	1	1		1		0		0
69		31	17		-	5	0	3	6	15	10	18	19	4	18	3	2	0	3	0	0		0	0
68		30	17		-	6	0	1	2	11	4	14	19	8	20	7	6	0	6	0	0		0	0	0
67		30	18		-	5		0	0	6	1	8	13	13	16	13	13	1	12	1	1	0	1	0	0
66		29	18		-	6		0	0	2	0	3	6	14	8	15	18	4	18	4	3	0	4	0	0
65		29	19		-	5			0	1	0	1	2	9	2	11	17	9	19	9	9	0	9	1	0	0
64		28	19		-	6				0		0	0	4	0	4	10	13	11	14	17	2	17	6	1	0	0
63		28	20		-	5				0		0	0	1	0	1	3	10	3	12	19	7	20	16	6	2	0	0	0
62		27	20		-	6						0	0	0		0	0	5	1	5	12	11	14	22	17	8	3	1	0	0
61		27	21		-	5								0		0	0	2	0	1	5	10	5	15	22	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
60		26	21		-	6								0			0	0		0	1	6	1	6	14	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
59		26	22		-	5								0				0		0	0	2	0	1	4	11	18	22	19	13	6	2	0	0	0
58		25	22		-	6								0				0		0	0	1	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
57		25	23		-	5								0				0		0		0		0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
56		24	23		-	6												0				0		0	0	0	0	1	5	11	19	24	21	12	4	1	0
55		24	24		-	5																0				0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	22	12	4	1
54		23	24		-	6												0				0						0	0	1	4	11	21	27	22	10	2
53		23	25		-	5																0						0	0	0	1	5	13	25	30	20	6
52		22	25		-	6																0							0	0	0	2	7	18	31	30	12
51		22	26		-	5																								0	0	0	3	11	27	38	22
50		21	26		-	6																								0	0	0	1	5	20	40	34
49		21	27		-	5																										0	0	2	13	38	47
48		20	27		-	6																											0	1	7	33	59
47		20	28		-	5																											0	0	4	26	70
46		19	28		-	6																												0	2	19	79
45		19	29		-	5																											0	0	1	14	85
44		18	29		-	6																													0	10	90
43		18	30		-	5																													0	7	93
42		17	30		-	6																													0	4	96
41		17	31		-	5																													0	3	97
40		16	31		-	6																														2	98
39		16	32		-	5																														1	99
38		15	32		-	6																														1	99
2	-37																																				100

Total:							2	2	2	2	2	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	4	2	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5