Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Colorado 2-3, playoff odds down 6.1 to 41%

2 points 0 1-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3	-6.1		-0.4		-0.9
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Minnesota	+0.2-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.7+0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose	+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.8-0.5+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

86	-108						In		99.7	%	100														293	*
85		39	9		-	5	In		98.6		99	1													148	*
84		38	9		-	6	In		98.3		100	0													239	*
83		38	10		-	5	In		96.5		99	1													425	*
82		38	11		-	4	In		96.2		98	1	1												653	*
81		37	11		-	5	In		91.0		96	3	1												1,152	*
80		36	11		-	6	In		87.2		94	4	2												1,775	*
79		36	12		-	5	In		79.9		92	6	2												2,623	*
78		35	12		-	6	In		72.1		87	10	4	0											3,959	*
77		35	13		-	5	In		60.8		81	13	6	0											5,880	*
76		34	13		-	6	In		47.5		72	18	9	0											8,222	*
75		34	14		-	5	In		36.0		63	23	14	0	0										11,394	*
74		33	14		-	6	In		22.8		52	28	20	1	0										15,219	*
73		33	15		-	5	In		12.7		39	32	26	2	0										20,084	*
72		32	15		-	6	In		5.5		26	34	35	4	0										26,138	*
71		32	16		-	5	100.0	%	1.8		16	34	43	8	0		0								32,397	*
70		31	16		-	6	100.0		0.5		8	28	49	14	1		0	0							40,011	*
69		31	17		-	5	99.9		0.1		3	21	51	23	3	0	0	0	0						48,268	*
68		30	17		-	6	99.7		0.0		1	13	46	34	6	0	0	0							56,308	*
67		30	18		-	5	98.7		0.0		0	6	35	43	13	1	1	0							64,534	*
66		29	18		-	6	96.1		No		0	2	23	46	22	3	4	0	0	0					72,453	*
65		29	19		-	5	89.2		No		0	1	11	40	28	10	10	1	0						79,651	*
64		28	19		-	6	76.1		No			0	4	27	25	20	19	4	0	0					85,394	*
63		28	20		-	5	56.7		No			0	1	14	15	26	27	13	3	0	0				89,749	*
62		27	20		-	6	35.2		No				0	5	6	24	26	25	11	2	0	0	0		92,227	*
61		27	21		-	5	17.9		No				0	2	1	15	17	30	23	9	2	0	0		92,867	*
60		26	21		-	6	7.4		No				0	0	0	7	8	23	31	21	8	1	0	0	91,823	*
59		26	22		-	5	2.6		No				0	0	0	3	2	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	89,310	*
58		25	22		-	6	0.9		No				0	0		1	1	5	16	30	29	15	3	0	83,930	*
57		25	23		-	5	0.2		No				0	0		0	0	1	7	21	33	26	9	1	78,022	*
56		24	23		-	6	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	3	12	28	34	19	4	70,450	*
55		24	24		-	5	0.0		No					0		0		0	1	5	19	36	30	9	62,463	*
54		23	24		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	2	11	31	39	17	54,579	*
53		23	25		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	1	5	23	43	28	46,289	*
52		22	25		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	15	42	40	38,785	*
51		22	26		-	5	Out		No											0	1	9	37	53	31,720	*
50		21	26		-	6	Out		No											0	0	5	31	64	25,263	*
49		21	27		-	5	Out		No											0	0	2	24	73	19,687	*
48		20	27		-	6	Out		No												0	1	18	81	15,212	*
47		20	28		-	5	Out		No												0	1	13	86	11,221	*
46		19	28		-	6	Out		No												0	0	9	91	8,305	*
45		19	29		-	5	Out		No													0	6	94	6,132	*
44		18	29		-	6	Out		No													0	4	96	4,195	*
43		18	30		-	5	Out		No													0	2	98	2,894	*
42		17	30		-	6	Out		No														2	98	1,985	*
41		17	31		-	5	Out		No														1	99	1,242	*
40		16	31		-	6	Out		No														1	99	891	*
39		16	32		-	5	Out		No															100	541	*
38		15	32		-	6	Out		No														1	99	291	*
2	-37						Out		No															100	643	*

Total:							41.0	%	1.8	%	4	4	10	11	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	9	1,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	Philadelphia	New Jersey	Washington	NY Islanders	Minnesota	Colorado	St. Louis	Arizona	Anaheim	Boston	Pittsburgh	NY Rangers	San Jose	Buffalo

108		53	0		-	0	7.0	%	11					17	17	16	16	5				17
93		44	6		-	3	Yes								Yes
92		43	6		-	4	No		Yes
90		41	6		-	6	No		20						20		20	20				20
89		41	7		-	5	7.7		8			8	8	8	8	8	15	8		15	8	8
88		41	8		-	4	13.6		18					5	5	9	14	18	9	9		14
87		41	9		-	3	6.3		13	4	4	2	2	10	8	13	21	6	4	6		6
86		40	9		-	4	8.0		9	3	4		1	11	19	17	7	7	3		8	8	4
85		39	9		-	5	8.8		12	5	5	6	4	11	9	9	8	9	2	3	4	8	5
84		38	9		-	6	5.4		7	4	6	4	4	6	8	10	10	10	5	4	5	10	5
83		38	10		-	5	4.7		9	4	4	4	4	10	9	11	7	9	5	4	6	8	5
82		38	11		-	4	6.3		9	4	5	5	3	10	10	11	10	9	3	4	4	8	4
81		37	11		-	5	4.6		10	5	6	5	5	9	11	7	9	8	4	5	4	7	5
80		36	11		-	6	6.8		10	5	5	5	5	9	9	10	8	8	5	4	6	8	4
79		36	12		-	5	6.3		10	4	5	5	5	8	9	9	8	9	5	6	5	7	5
78		35	12		-	6	6.3		9	5	5	5	5	9	9	8	9	8	5	5	5	7	5
77		35	13		-	5	6.3		9	5	6	5	5	9	9	9	8	8	5	5	5	7	4
76		34	13		-	6	5.8		9	5	5	5	5	10	9	9	8	8	5	5	5	7	4
75		34	14		-	5	6.2		10	5	5	5	5	9	9	9	8	8	5	5	5	7	4
74		33	14		-	6	6.4		11	5	5	5	5	10	10	10	9	8	4	5	4	8	4
73		33	15		-	5	6.3		11	4	4	5	4	10	10	10	9	9	4	4	4	8	4
72		32	15		-	6	6.3		12	4	4	4	3	11	11	11	9	9	4	4	3	8	3
71		32	16		-	5	6.2		14	3	3	3	3	12	12	11	10	10	3	3	3	9	2
70		31	16		-	6	6.1		15	2	2	2	2	13	13	12	11	11	2	2	2	9	2
69		31	17		-	5	6.1		16	2	2	2	2	13	13	13	11	11	1	2	1	10	1
68		30	17		-	6	6.4		16	1	1	1	1	14	14	13	11	12	1	1	1	10	1
		29	16		-	8	6.3		17	1	1	1	1	13	13	13	11	11	1	1	1	10	1
67		30	18		-	5	6.4		16	2	2	2	1	14	13	13	12	12	1	1	1	10	1
		31	19		-	3	6.2		16	2	2	2	1	13	13	13	12	11	1	1	1	10	1
66		29	18		-	6	6.1		15	2	2	2	2	13	12	12	11	11	1	2	1	9	1
		30	19		-	4	6.2		16	2	2	2	2	13	13	12	11	11	1	1	1	10	1
		28	17		-	8	6.1		15	2	2	2	2	12	12	12	10	10	2	2	1	9	1
65		29	19		-	5	5.8		14	3	3	3	2	11	11	11	10	9	2	2	2	8	1
		28	18		-	7	5.6		13	3	3	3	3	11	10	10	9	9	2	2	2	7	1
		30	20		-	3	5.4		13	3	3	3	2	11	10	10	9	9	2	2	2	8	1
64		28	19		-	6	4.9		12	3	3	3	3	9	9	9	7	7	2	2	2	6	1
		27	18		-	8	4.4		10	3	4	3	3	8	8	7	6	6	2	2	2	5	1
63		28	20		-	5	3.6		8	3	3	3	3	6	6	6	5	4	2	2	2	4	1
62		27	20		-	6	2.1		5	2	2	2	2	4	3	3	3	3	1	1	1	2	1
61		27	21		-	5	1.1		3	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
60		27	22		-	4	0.4		1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
59		26	22		-	5	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		25	22		-	6	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		25	23		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0
56		25	24		-	4	0.0		0	0	0			0	0	0	0	0				0
55		24	24		-	5	0.0		0					0	0	0	0	0				0
54		23	24		-	6	No		0					0		0		0				0
53		23	25		-	5	0.0		0					0								0
52		23	26		-	4	No								0
2	-51						No

Total:							2.6	%	6.0	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.2	4.9	4.8	4.7	4.1	4.0	1.0	1.0	0.9	3.4	0.8

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3	+1.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina	+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
Vegas vs Arizona	-0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose	-0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

89	-108						100
88		41	8		-	4	95	5
86	-87						100
85		39	9		-	5	99	1	1
84		38	9		-	6	98	1	0
83		38	10		-	5	96	3	1
82		38	11		-	4	96	2	1		1
81		37	11		-	5	91	5	3		1
80		36	11		-	6	87	7	4		2
79		36	12		-	5	80	12	6		2
78		35	12		-	6	72	15	10	0	4				0
77		35	13		-	5	61	20	13	0	6	0	0		0
76		34	13		-	6	47	25	18	1	9	0	0		0
75		34	14		-	5	36	27	22	1	13	0	0		0				0
74		33	14		-	6	23	29	24	3	18	1	1		1				0
73		33	15		-	5	13	27	26	6	22	3	2	0	2		0		0
72		32	15		-	6	5	21	24	10	25	6	4	0	4	0	0		0
71		32	16		-	5	2	14	19	15	24	11	8	0	7	0	0		0				0
70		31	16		-	6	0	8	12	17	18	16	14	1	12	1	1		1				0	0
69		31	17		-	5	0	3	6	15	10	18	19	4	17	3	2	0	3	0	0		0	0	0
68		30	17		-	6	0	1	2	11	4	14	19	8	21	7	6	0	6	0	0		0	0
67		30	18		-	5	0	0	0	6	1	8	13	13	16	13	13	1	12	1	1	0	1	0
66		29	18		-	6		0	0	2	0	3	6	14	8	15	19	4	18	4	3	0	4	0	0	0
65		29	19		-	5		0	0	1	0	1	2	9	2	11	17	9	18	9	9	0	9	1	0	0
64		28	19		-	6				0		0	0	4	0	4	10	13	11	14	17	2	17	6	1	0	0	0
63		28	20		-	5				0		0	0	1	0	1	3	10	4	12	20	7	20	15	6	2	0	0	0
62		27	20		-	6							0	0	0	0	1	5	1	5	12	11	14	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
61		27	21		-	5								0		0	0	1	0	1	5	10	5	16	22	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
60		26	21		-	6								0			0	0	0	0	1	6	1	6	14	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
59		26	22		-	5								0				0		0	0	2	0	1	4	11	18	22	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
58		25	22		-	6								0				0			0	1	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
57		25	23		-	5								0				0				0		0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
56		24	23		-	6												0			0	0			0	0	0	1	5	11	20	24	21	12	5	1	0
55		24	24		-	5												0				0				0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	22	12	4	1
54		23	24		-	6																0					0	0	0	1	4	12	21	28	22	10	2
53		23	25		-	5																0						0	0	0	1	5	13	25	30	20	6
52		22	25		-	6																0							0	0	0	2	6	18	31	30	12
51		22	26		-	5																								0	0	0	3	10	27	37	22
50		21	26		-	6																								0	0	0	1	5	20	40	34
49		21	27		-	5																										0	0	2	13	38	47
48		20	27		-	6																											0	1	7	32	59
47		20	28		-	5																											0	0	5	26	69
46		19	28		-	6																											0	0	2	20	78
45		19	29		-	5																													1	14	85
44		18	29		-	6																													0	9	91
43		18	30		-	5																													0	6	94
42		17	30		-	6																													0	4	96
41		17	31		-	5																														3	97
40		16	31		-	6																														2	98
39		16	32		-	5																														0	100
38		15	32		-	6																														1	99
37		15	33		-	5																														0	100
2	-36																																				100

Total:							2	2	2	2	2	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	4	2	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5