Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 58.6%
6 points   3 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Washington+0.3*+0.2*+0.0*-0.2-0.3-0.3
+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose vs Columbus-4.4*-0.3*-0.2+3.9+4.7+4.6
-0.3*+0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.2-0.2+0.8+0.9+0.9
Calgary vs Carolina+0.3*+0.0*-0.1-0.6-0.4-0.3
Boston vs NY Islanders+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.6-0.4*-0.1
Detroit vs Pittsburgh+0.2*-0.2*-0.0*-0.2*-0.2-0.2
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Chicago+0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-160In99.7%100742*
1225415-8In99.31000287*
1215416-7In99.81000438*
1205316-8In98.110000687*
1195317-7In97.99911,068*
1185217-8In97.199001,672*
1175117-9In95.299102,408*
1165118-8In92.197213,491*
1155018-9In89.496224,989*
1145019-8In84.6944206,854*
1134919-9In79.2915309,553*
1124920-8In72.18875013,079*
1114820-9In64.28496017,231*
1104821-8In54.378139022,663*
1094721-9In43.2711612028,676*
1084722-8In33.06420161036,453*
1074622-9In23.35523201045,427*
1064623-8In14.445272520055,547*
1054523-9In8.135303040066,787*
1044524-8In4.026323561078,667*
1034424-9100.0%1.51832391010092,209*
1024425-8100.00.511304214200105,078*
1014325-9100.00.16274419300118,352*
1004326-8100.00.032243256100131,178*
994226-999.90.0117403010200143,247*
984227-899.6No1123534143000154,523*
974127-998.7No082936186100164,069*
964128-896.5No05233721113000170,609*
954028-991.6No031634221771000174,400*
944029-882.8No01112920221241000176,935*
933929-969.2No172315241992000176,336*
923930-852.4No04161022241561000172,217*
913830-935.1No02115172622124100167,396*
903831-820.5No01721022271992000158,254*
893731-910.6No00415162625156100148,552*
883732-84.7No00202921282311300137,620*
873632-91.9No00101514252818710125,266*
863633-80.7No0000281929261330112,364*
853533-90.3No000014132530206199,653*
843534-80.1No00002719312712286,228*
833434-90.0No00001413283318473,877*
823435-80.0No00028233526762,307*
813335-9OutNo00141734331151,750*
803235-10OutNo0021130391842,320*
793236-9OutNo01725432534,353*
783237-8OutNo00419443227,472*
773137-9OutNo00214424221,682*
763138-8OutNo019395016,716*
753038-9OutNo006345912,685*
743039-8OutNo00429679,424*
732939-9OutNo0225727,097*
722940-8OutNo119805,125*
712840-9OutNo116833,589*
702841-8OutNo012882,632*
692741-9OutNo010901,827*
682641-10OutNo9911,170*
672743-7OutNo0694802*
662542-10OutNo595514*
652543-9OutNo397367*
642443-10OutNo298235*
632444-9OutNo199153*
6-62OutNo100518*
Total:58.6%3.2%78151577766655433,587,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonTampa BayOttawaMontrealDetroitPittsburghNY IslandersNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
160770-09.4%7656108987858363
1336010-7NoYes
1315911-7NoYes
1305811-8No2020202020
1295913-512.5251313251313
1285813-69.19992791899
1275713-711.81261812121212612
1265714-610.413644488664666106
1255513-95.37589412899974341
1245514-811.255997104910765921
1235414-97.77867599811773553
1225415-88.466675119108396942
1215416-79.87657891097676651
1205316-88.966567108107957644
1195317-78.3867678899756763
1185217-88.07656610989777752
1175117-97.88667691098676752
1165118-88.5866668999766762
1155018-97.3766679999765762
1145019-87.4866768998666752
1134919-98.18666691098666762
1124920-88.0966669998665752
1114820-97.7966669999665752
1104821-87.995566910109666762
1094721-97.8955661010109655752
1084722-87.41055561110109555752
1074622-97.71155551111109555752
1064623-87.51255551111109554752
1054523-97.41344541212119444751
1044524-87.41344441312119443751
1034424-97.21544441313129333751
1024425-87.016333314131210333751
1014325-96.816333314141210332751
1004326-86.717333315141310222751
994226-96.617333315141310222750
984227-86.417333315141310222750
974127-96.21844331414129221750
964128-86.01744431413129221640
954028-95.61755441312118221640
944029-85.1155544111097211530
933929-94.21355439875111430
923930-83.11044336654111320
913830-92.0733224432110210
903831-81.2422112221000110
893731-90.7211111111000100
883732-80.3100001100000000
873632-90.1000000000000000
863633-80.000000000000000
853533-90.000000000000000
843534-80.000000000000
833535-70.00000000
823738-2No000
6-81No
Total:3.9%9.62.82.72.52.47.87.56.75.21.51.51.33.92.70.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Washington-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Columbus+0.9+0.1+0.0-0.8-0.9-0.9
Boston vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-160100
1235414-9991
1225415-89900
1215416-71000
1205316-898100
1195317-79811
1185217-897200
1175117-995310
1165118-892521
1155018-989722
1145019-88510420
1134919-97912530
1124920-872167050
1114820-96420906000
1104821-854241209000
1094721-9432816112000
1084722-833311911510100
1074622-923322121811100
1064623-814312442131020000
1054523-98272462352040000
1044524-842223923840600100
1034424-921619132012709001000
1024425-80111415161610013102000
1014325-90610171118141152103000
1004326-80361651817317530601000
994226-90131421517615960902000
984227-81111110141012139012130000
974127-900706101371513115360100
964128-8005036143141641561103000
954028-900301313110157121015272000
944029-800101100611117131741241000
933929-901006037133121591893100
923930-800004013121910132017820000
913830-9000201905413162216820000
903831-800100602199202317831000
893731-90000040105412212317831000
883732-80000200021513212317931000
873632-9000100101613212318104100
863633-800000002613222419103100
853533-90000000261422241893100
843534-800000027152325178200
833434-90000012817252415610
823435-800013102027231230
813335-900151324282081
803235-100027182927143
793236-90013112532226
783237-8001619332910
773137-9000313303617
763138-80018254025
753038-90014194234
743039-802134044
732939-901103752
722940-80063163
712840-9042868
702841-8022177
692741-911881
682641-1011485
672743-701189
662542-100991
652543-90594
642443-10397
632444-9199
622445-8199
6-61100
Total:344444444443434344443333332221