Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 96.3%
34 points   15 5-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 2 Ottawa 4 -0.1
+0.4
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 +0.1
-0.3
Washington 4 Boston 3 (ot)*-0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia vs Edmonton-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.2
Montreal vs New Jersey+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.4+0.4+1.3
Los Angeles vs Carolina+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.2*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.2
Boston vs Colorado-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1+0.1
Florida vs Pittsburgh+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0
+0.3*+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3
Winnipeg vs NY Rangers+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0
+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
+1.1+0.3+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7
Tampa Bay vs Vancouver-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-150In99.9%1004,495*
128459-4In99.910003,002*
127449-5In99.910004,836*
1264410-4In99.810008,092*
1254310-5In99.71000012,271*
1244311-4In99.61000018,758*
1234211-5In99.4990027,184*
1224212-4In98.9991039,217*
1214112-5In98.3991054,620*
1204012-6In97.4981174,399*
1194013-5In95.99721098,443*
1183913-6In93.895320126,161*
1173914-5In90.893430159,180*
1163814-6In86.789650196,630*
1153815-5In81.685770235,745*
1143715-6In74.68010100277,741*
1133716-5In66.374121400319,743*
1123616-6In56.866151810357,338*
1113617-5In46.3571724100394,477*
1103517-6In35.548202930422,619*
1093518-5In25.1392135500444,805*
1083418-6In16.4302241700459,039*
1073419-5In9.52122451110462,540*
1063319-6In4.91420481620456,757*
1053320-5100.0%2.19174822300442,423*
1043220-6100.00.75144629600420,269*
1033221-5100.00.221042351010389,953*
1023121-6100.00.017364015200355,436*
1013122-599.80.004284221300316,199*
1003022-699.50.0022142286000277,698*
993023-598.7No011438341110237,942*
982923-696.8No0193238183000200,656*
972924-592.8No0052537256100165,043*
962824-684.9No03173232122000133,899*
952825-572.5No01112435206100106,445*
942725-656.1No01616332812300082,678*
932726-538.0No0039263220820062,841*
922626-622.3No002417292715510047,016*
912627-510.7No011923302311300034,338*
902527-64.6No000413262918720024,972*
892528-51.4No000171828261341017,621*
882428-60.4No00031124292292012,230*
872429-50.1No001516282916508,406*
862329-60.1No00292230241125,445*
852330-5OutNo0141530321633,588*
842230-6OutNo01923352582,257*
832231-5OutNo04163433131,391*
822131-6OutNo038314018958*
812132-5OutNo16244326524*
802032-6OutNo03174337378*
791932-7OutNo2103850189*
781933-6OutNo163954109*
771934-5OutNo5237156*
761834-6OutNo307033*
751835-5OutNo79315*
741836-4OutNo10012*
731837-3OutNo50502*
34-72OutNo100666*
Total:96.3%27.3%3312261573211000008,009,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonBostonTampa BayOttawaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyTorontoFloridaDetroitCarolinaNY IslandersBuffalo
150580-017.6%2513104771413553652
138526-0NoYes
137505-3No91899918189
136495-412.5136196316666
135485-531.4317611914179933
134486-416.441610341219646337
133476-513.41611647513135631081
132477-415.72510156571413334671
131467-516.40613106441714444472
130468-418.32711115451514444853
129458-514.71612115561613543752
128459-416.81512115651514344752
127449-516.21512135551513443652
1264410-416.41512115561514443752
1254310-516.31512125551514443752
1244311-416.31612125551514443762
1234211-516.11612125551514443762
1224212-416.31612125551514443752
1214112-515.71512125551514443752
1204012-616.11612125551514443752
1194013-515.71613124551514443752
1183913-615.81613134551514443752
1173914-515.81613134551514343752
1163814-615.81714134551514343752
1153815-515.71714144441414333652
1143715-615.51815154441413333652
1133716-515.51816164441413333652
1123616-615.411017173441313332641
1113617-515.311118183331312222541
1103517-615.011219193331212222541
1093518-514.811421202331211222431
1083418-614.611622212221110221431
1073419-514.211823232221110111431
1063319-614.011924231211010111321
1053320-513.82202424111109111320
1043220-613.4321242411199111320
1033221-513.2521242311198110220
1023121-613.1721232221188110220
1013122-512.91021222122187110220
1003022-613.01421202022277110210
993023-512.71721181832266110210
982923-612.32022161632255110110
972924-511.82322141432244110110
962824-610.72321121232233100110
952825-59.2221910932222000000
942725-67.018167721111000000
932726-54.712115411111000000
922626-62.8873310000000000
912627-51.3431100000000000
902527-60.6211100000000000
892528-50.20000000000
882529-40.1000000000
872328-7No000
862531-20.0000
34-85No
Total:13.8%4.715.218.618.42.52.52.410.29.71.61.61.43.82.90.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 4 Boston 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Florida vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
134-150100
133476-5991
131-132100
130468-41000
129458-51000
128459-410000
127449-510000
1264410-410000
1254310-5100000
1244311-4100000
1234211-599000
1224212-499010
1214112-598010
1204012-697011
1194013-5961210
1183913-6941320
1173914-5912430
1163814-68736050
1153815-5824707000
1143715-675510010000
1133716-5667120140000
1123616-6579150180010
1113617-546111702300100
1103517-63513190290030
1093518-52514210341050000
1083418-61613211381170000
1073419-59122014132110010
1063319-65918240530160020
1053320-527143367502200300
1043220-61410329107028106000
1033221-50274211290331110010
1023121-6014312121103531150200
1013122-5002361011134530210300
1003022-60012271012885028160000
993023-5001147220108033111010
982923-6000024211111003531803000
972924-50000122591013252506100
962824-60000122691267320122000
952825-5000010362168341206100
942725-6000001328830328123000
932726-500000123621431218200
922626-600001131252828165100
912627-500010154202924124100
902527-6000000131023292110300
892528-5000014142528188200
882428-6000016172626176200
872429-5000271825251561000
862329-60003919262314510
852330-501492026231141
842230-60014122226211130
832231-501513262818620
822131-60271629271540
812132-5121227291981
802032-6141728301730
791932-74624322410
781933-64173725162
771934-5273229255
761834-632733279
751835-51327537
741836-48253333
731837-35050
69-72100
34-67100
Total:2761011933012210713021000000000000