Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Carolina 1-2, playoff odds down 7.6 to 79.6%
41 points   20 12-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 2 Columbus 1 -3.6
-0.2
-0.3
NY Islanders 4 Los Angeles 3 (ot)-0.3
Philadelphia 2 Dallas 1 (ot)-0.3
Boston 2 NY Rangers 3 (ot)-0.3
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 4 -0.3
Washington 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)-0.2
Ottawa 3 Montreal 0 +0.1
Colorado 5 Tampa Bay 6 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Florida+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-139InYes1005,248*
128424-3In80.0%802010*
127414-4InYes10022*
126415-3In92.192863*
125405-4In90.9928165*
124406-3In84.485150384*
123396-4In82.98416808*
122386-5In72.874261,667*
121387-4In64.867333,405*
120377-5In59.0623806,501*
119378-4In50.25446011,976*
118368-5In43.44851021,089*
117369-4In35.74258035,744*
116359-5In28.83664060,118*
1153510-4In21.52970196,361*
1143410-5In15.7247510149,765*
1133411-4In10.5197920226,439*
1123311-5In6.71582300331,927*
1113312-4In3.9118450470,749*
1103212-5In2.1884800651,008*
1093112-6In1.058311000876,754*
1083113-5In0.448016101,146,061*
1073013-6In0.1275212001,457,975*
1063014-5In0.0168283001,808,088*
1052914-6100.0%0.01593460002,183,224*
1042915-5100.00.005039101002,570,005*
1032815-6100.00.0040431520002,952,351*
1022816-5100.00.0030452140003,300,494*
1012716-6100.0No021422881003,607,029*
1002717-599.9No0133734132003,840,867*
992617-699.6No0830382040003,991,478*
982618-598.9No0422382781004,053,196*
972518-697.3No21434331430004,014,237*
962519-593.9No182736226103,885,124*
952419-687.8No04193530111003,672,594*
942420-578.2No02122935184003,387,870*
932320-665.2No01621372681003,052,218*
922321-549.8No003143334142002,693,084*
912221-634.2No001726372350002,315,660*
902222-520.9No0003173631111001,944,966*
892122-611.1No0011029371940001,597,260*
882123-55.1No000520372881001,281,271*
872023-62.0No0002123234153001,005,368*
862024-50.7No0016243724710769,542*
851924-60.2No0031634311320575,112*
841925-50.0No00019283521500420,602*
831825-60.0No0042035281010300,216*
821826-50.0No0021331351730209,158*
811726-6OutNo01725372460142,185*
801727-5OutNo00418363210094,698*
791627-6OutNo0211323816061,143*
781628-5OutNo017264224139,008*
771528-6OutNo03194233224,138*
761529-5OutNo02134042314,410*
751429-6OutNo019345158,467*
741430-5OutNo05295884,857*
731330-6OutNo032263122,690*
721331-5OutNo21863181,455*
711231-6OutNo1136323789*
701232-5OutNo156628393*
691233-4OutNo46135164*
681133-5OutNo65539107*
671033-6OutNo534734*
661034-5OutNo505018*
65934-6OutNo25758*
64935-5OutNo25754*
41-63OutNo1005,245*
Total:79.6%0.3%119181614129632100065,385,066

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoWashingtonBostonNew JerseyNY RangersNY IslandersPhiladelphiaCarolinaPittsburghMontrealFloridaOttawaDetroitBuffalo
139490-05.5%1141131418121571111
129423-4No40202020
128424-310.01030201030
127414-44.5185182318595
126415-34.8162111627143822
125405-46.111311716161588311
124406-36.51151111713151391111
123396-46.31121161618121191111
122386-55.11151151716121281111
121387-45.50161151617131191111
120377-55.11151151617131191111
119378-45.21151151617121181111
118368-55.30161151617121081111
117369-45.201611617171211811110
116359-55.00161161717121071111
1153510-45.200161161717121081111
1143410-55.000171161718129711110
1133411-45.00171171817129711100
1123311-54.900171171817129710000
1113312-45.000171171818129710000
1103212-54.900181171818118710000
1093112-64.800180181818118700000
1083113-54.800180181818118600000
1073013-64.800190181918117600000
1063014-54.700190191918107600000
1052914-64.600200191918107600000
1042915-54.500200201918106600000
1032815-64.400210201917106500000
1022816-54.31021020191796500000
1012716-64.21021021191795500000
1002717-54.02022021191795400000
992617-64.05022021191685400000
982618-53.89021020181584400000
972518-63.615020019161473300000
962519-53.422018017141253300000
952419-63.12901501411942200000
942420-52.7340120118731100000
932320-62.23508085421100000
922321-51.63205053310000000
912221-61.12503032110000000
902222-50.61601011100000000
892122-60.3901000000000000
882123-50.2400000000000000
872023-60.1200000000000000
862024-50.0100000000000000
852025-40.0000000000000
841925-50.00000000
831825-6No00000
821523-11No00
41-81No
Total:3.2%11.40.315.10.214.413.011.66.23.63.30.10.10.10.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 2 Columbus 1 +0.9
Boston 2 NY Rangers 3 (ot)+0.1
NY Islanders 4 Los Angeles 3 (ot)+0.1
Washington 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 2 Dallas 1 (ot)+0.0
SundayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129-139100
128424-38020
127414-4100
126415-3928
125405-49118
124406-3840150
123396-483116
122386-573126
121387-465233
120377-5593380
119378-45044600
118368-54355100
117369-43665800
116359-529763000
1153510-422869110
1143410-51697311000
1133411-41087632000
1123311-57877530000
1113312-4477595000
1103212-52671137100000
1093112-615632092000000
1083113-5035426114101000
1073013-602423212720200000
1063014-5013137121230300000
1052914-601213910185051000000
1042915-50013378237182001000
1032815-6007335269311400200000
1022816-50032622610613810400000
1012716-60119122910121510711000
1002717-500130177131022201122000
992617-60080115146273115540000
982618-50040621332842161181100
972518-602031101254315181222000
962519-50110701845112517551000
952419-6000004011257281812102000
942420-500020615326162015610000
932320-6000102041211026181241000
922321-500000102013528171810310000
912221-60000010722413211910310000
902222-5000000031177182418930000
892122-600000101031122251882000
882123-500000051514242516720000
872023-60000020271725241561000
862024-5000100291926231351000
851924-600001310212722114100
841925-500000014122327209200
831825-600001615262717610
821826-500002819282513400
811726-6001311233022810
801727-500161629291530
791627-600021024332470
781628-500151732321300
771528-60021028382110
761529-501521403120
751429-600314374150
741430-5018335070
731330-60042756110
721331-5032158171
711231-611657241
701232-51763281
691233-4357382
681133-5552367
671033-638539
661034-54456
65934-6137513
64935-57525
60-63100
41049-00100
Total:008112835410125956433322111000000