Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 2%
28 points   13 15-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 2 Boston 3 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs Washington+0.8+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.3-0.7
+0.0NoNo-0.0NoNo
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
Montreal vs Anaheim-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Florida+0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
112-132InYes100958*
111398-5InNo2211679*
110388-6InNo30601010*
109378-7InNo2563138*
1083810-4InNo13215041324*
107369-7In1.9%61951138453*
106359-8InNo3154616183101*
1053510-7InNo21430272332233*
1043511-6InNo0922303145408*
1033512-5InNo07163429760759*
1023412-699.9%No41033281410101,346*
1013312-799.8No3432262012202,267*
1003313-699.6No22261929165003,935*
993213-799.0No11211433218106,397*
983214-696.3No0014935221530010,070*
973114-791.4No0010535212181015,589*
963115-683.1No00623118261430023,774*
953015-771.7No00412613282171035,288*
943016-657.2No002019927281220050,410*
932916-741.5No01014522332051070,637*
922917-628.0No000921633271010097,061*
912817-717.1No0006110293317300130,122*
902717-89.4No03062236257100169,909*
892718-74.7No02031534321320216,742*
882618-82.1No0101928362040271,280*
872619-70.9No00005213828700328,877*
862519-80.3No000021435351210392,807*
852520-70.1No0001929401920455,801*
842420-80.0No000522412740517,735*
832421-70.0No00002153935800576,443*
822321-80.0No00011034411310625,120*
812322-70.0No000628451910663,545*
802222-80.0No000321462730686,743*
792223-7OutNo00114443550699,556*
782123-8OutNo0019394290691,180*
772124-7OutNo0053247141671,036*
762024-8OutNo0032550202635,217*
752025-7OutNo0011850274586,980*
741925-8OutNo011347346530,685*
731926-7OutNo008424010468,576*
721927-6OutNo005354515404,725*
711827-7OutNo03284821341,954*
701828-6OutNo02224927281,787*
691728-7OutNo01164835226,866*
681729-6OutNo00114543178,906*
671629-7OutNo074052136,942*
661630-6OutNo053560102,647*
651530-7OutNo03306775,301*
641531-6OutNo2247453,424*
631431-7OutNo01198037,126*
621432-6OutNo1148525,466*
611332-7OutNo0108916,716*
601333-6OutNo089210,638*
591233-7OutNo05956,829*
581234-6OutNo04964,061*
571134-7OutNo3972,357*
561135-6OutNo2981,304*
551035-7OutNo199845*
541036-6OutNo199437*
531037-5OutNo0100221*
28-52OutNo1001,177*
Total:2.0%0.0%0000010124815232415711,547,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayTorontoDetroitNY IslandersMontrealNY RangersWashingtonFloridaBostonOttawaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
132520-00.5%23661312131210101031
112408-4NoYes
111398-5No112222112211
110388-6No10103020101010
109378-7No1313253813
1083810-4No425132588413
107369-7No213172161515462
106359-81.010122317114116331
1053510-70.451812151114133333
1043511-60.251716171212854310
1033512-5No41617161213953321
1023412-60.451716191111933230
1013312-70.4517171811138322200
1003313-60.2918181810117322200
993213-70.3121918171011622110
983214-60.215181716996221100
973114-70.11818161588511110
3013-90.31719151588521110
963115-60.219171414774111100
3014-80.12016131276411100
953015-70.119151110653110000
3116-50.120141210653111000
2914-90.119141110553111000
943016-60.1181198543100000
2915-80.118118843200000
3117-40.1181210954311000
2814-100.116108743201000
932916-70.11386633100000
3017-50.114976332000000
2815-90.11376532100000
3118-30.11486633100000
922917-60.110644221000000
2816-80.11054422100000
2715-100.0954321100000
912817-70.0633211100000
2918-50.074332110000
2716-90.0632211000000
902818-60.0422111000000
2717-80.0321110000000
892718-70.0211100000000
882719-60.0100000000000
872619-70.000000000000
862620-60.000000000000
852520-70.0000000000000
842521-6No0000000000
832522-5No0000000000
822523-4No0000000000
812524-3No000
802222-8No0
28-79No
Total:0.0%0.60.40.30.30.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Washington-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Colorado-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112-132100
111398-5221167
110388-62010501010
109378-725501313
1083810-4131742525413
107369-724136153613444
106359-836913331421083
1053510-727772226215732
1043511-6036319255181245
1033512-5015115286161370600
1023412-613010241010181409110
1013312-702041913620191112200
1003313-6020213133162721245000
993213-70117131122861578010
983214-60003110825101310141300
973114-70018042114912192710
963115-60015021417612215133000
953015-7000318183101992071000
943016-60002041518141325143000
932916-700102120481426228200
922917-6000018024122228165100
912817-7000060119152824123000
902717-80030005823292082000
892718-700200034152827165100
882618-800100118213024113000
872619-700000003132630196100
862519-8000001618302713300
852520-7000003112532217100
842420-800001517312913300
832421-70000002102633216100
822321-800001518332912200
812322-7000211283419510
802222-80001620342710200
792223-7000313303317400
782123-800172435247100
772124-7000416333113200
762024-800210273620500
752025-70015203628910
741925-80021332341530
731926-7001826372350
721927-600419373091
711827-7002123336152
701828-60172740223
691728-70042040306
681729-600214373710
671629-7019324315
661630-6005264722
651530-7003204829
641531-6001144738
631431-70194347
621432-6063856
611332-7033264
601333-6022771
591233-7012178
581234-601783
571134-701387
561135-60990
551035-7595
541036-6595
531037-5496
52937-6298
51837-7100
50838-6397
28-49100
Total:00000000000100011234681113141311852