Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1 to 39.6%
15 points   7 6-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 -0.4
Boston 2 Dallas 1 (ot)*-0.3
NY Islanders 3 Montreal 4 (so)*-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.3*-0.1*+0.0*-0.3-0.5-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus vs Dallas+3.9+3.9+3.3-1.1-1.2-5.5
+0.1+0.2+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
St. Louis vs Carolina+0.5*-0.1*+0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5
Ottawa vs New Jersey+0.4*-0.2*-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Toronto vs Vegas-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.2+0.3
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.1*-0.2*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-151InYes100374*
1205013-5In93.5%98246*
1194812-8In98.410063*
1184813-7In96.5982115*
1174713-8In90.09721209*
1164714-7In89.79631360*
1154614-8In82.89441547*
1144615-7In74.59172910*
1134515-8In71.589921,447*
1124516-7In64.08511402,165*
1114416-8In52.7781663,250*
1104417-7In45.27319804,961*
1094317-8In33.265241007,027*
1084318-7In23.7572914110,017*
1074218-8In15.04734181013,943*
1064219-7In8.83837232019,032*
1054119-8In4.32840283025,577*
1044120-7In1.920413450033,293*
1034020-8In0.714403881042,942*
1024021-7In0.283742121053,842*
1013921-8100.0%0.0432451620067,615*
1003821-9100.00.0226462240081,834*
993822-899.9No120442771098,287*
983722-999.8No0154033102000115,016*
973723-899.3No010343714510132,779*
963623-997.8No062838188200149,891*
953624-894.4No04203720145100167,136*
943524-987.7No21433191992000183,019*
933525-876.7No192816231661000196,795*
923425-961.4No0521112323123100207,729*
913426-844.1No0315620271982000216,114*
903326-928.1No01103142626145100220,131*
893327-815.7No01618212922102000220,918*
883227-97.7No00304142728176100217,680*
873228-83.4No00202820302411300211,504*
863128-91.2No00101414262918610203,065*
853129-80.4No0000282030261220189,295*
843029-90.1No0000141327311951174,140*
833030-80.0No00028213226101158,113*
822930-90.0No00014153032163141,134*
812931-80.0No0000292535235123,408*
802831-90.0No00151935319106,874*
792832-80.0No00021333371590,138*
782732-9OutNo001828422175,284*
772733-8OutNo01522442961,069*
762633-9OutNo00316443749,140*
752634-8OutNo0111414738,869*
742534-9OutNo017375530,482*
732535-8OutNo004326322,998*
722536-7OutNo03277017,514*
712436-8OutNo02227612,827*
702437-7OutNo0117829,240*
692337-8OutNo113866,618*
682237-9OutNo010904,672*
672238-8OutNo08923,208*
662239-7OutNo06942,127*
652139-8OutNo4961,452*
642140-7OutNo397875*
632040-8OutNo298584*
622041-7OutNo199383*
611941-8OutNo199211*
15-60OutNo100668*
Total:39.6%0.5%25101257889988744,230,956

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersBostonTorontoMontrealPittsburghNew JerseyWashingtonBuffaloCarolinaFloridaNY RangersPhiladelphiaOttawaDetroit
151680-05.9%46810879710874453
125519-8NoYes
124509-9NoYes
1235212-4No25252525
1225011-7No99999189189
1215012-65.35555211616215
1205013-54.3292913249920994
1194812-84.826310510101711116532
1184813-72.6279814131099553233
1174713-81.9594511109711846334
1164714-73.649661091099864442
1154614-83.7366788101091066452
1144615-74.74766910999855562
1134515-83.94877991099765533
1124516-75.147778810108864542
1114416-84.047769109109765542
1104417-74.2477781010119855532
1094317-84.2587781010108765542
1084318-74.1486781111107954441
1074218-84.1496771211117854531
1064219-74.14106671211127844431
1054119-83.84115671312126844431
1044120-73.94135561313126844421
1034020-83.83145561413125834421
1024021-73.63154551414134834421
1013921-83.53164441514144924411
1003821-93.63173341615143924410
993822-83.53183331615143924410
983722-93.34193331615152914410
973723-83.14203331615142914410
963623-93.15204331514141814400
953624-82.97204431413131814400
943524-92.78194431212111713300
3625-72.78184431212111703300
933525-82.3916543101091503300
923425-91.88134427771402200
913426-81.3793325550301100
903427-70.8462213330201100
893327-80.4331112220100000
883328-70.2121101110000000
873228-80.1110000000000000
863229-70.0000000000000000
853129-80.0000000000000
843029-90.000000000000
833030-80.0000000000
823031-70.00000000
813133-4No000
803033-5No00
792832-8No0
15-78No
Total:1.3%3.07.61.91.91.55.65.35.10.93.10.51.51.50.30.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 +0.1
Pittsburgh 1 New Jersey 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Dallas-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
St. Louis vs Carolina-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Ottawa vs New Jersey-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Toronto vs Vegas-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
121-151100
1205013-59342
1194812-8982
1184813-79722
1174713-890721
1164714-790731
1154614-8831241
1144615-7751672
1134515-871179020
1124516-7642111040
1114416-85326160600
1104417-745281908000
1094317-8333223110000
1084318-7243327213101
1074218-815323041621100
1064219-792931618422000
1054119-84243010196303000
1044120-7219271418106050000
1034020-811322181514100710100
1024021-70816211017141911100
1013921-8041122618183113202000
1003821-902620317206126304000
993822-81317113201011106061100
983722-901130916158131119220000
973723-80190511184151521044010
963623-90060261921317610781200
953624-8003131701016118111125100
943524-902011306121651413693000
933525-8010090371821412121472000
923425-90000501317110716161472000
913426-80003011306317131814731000
903326-90001009031138172015831000
893327-80100501083101822179410000
883227-900003000414111923191041000
873228-80000200201512202319114100
863128-9000101001512202420114100
853129-800000001512212420114100
843029-900000002513222519103100
833030-800000026142325188200
822930-9000002716252516610
812931-800001392027241230
802831-9000141324292071
792832-8000027182927143
782732-90013122632216
772733-8001719332910
762633-9000313313616
752634-80018264024
742534-90015204233
732535-8002144143
722536-7001103752
712436-80163361
702437-7042868
692337-8022375
682237-911880
672238-8011486
662239-701189
652139-80892
642140-7694
632040-8496
622041-7298
611941-8298
601942-7199
15-59100
Total:0123123413352334344445555544432