Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 4.2 to 25.1%
3 points   1 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.5
*-0.0
-0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.2
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*+0.1
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+0.7*+0.1*+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.7
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-107In99.8%100432*
86398-5In90.098340*
85399-4InYes10085*
84389-5In96.79811152*
83379-6In97.09810333*
823710-5In90.19532558*
813711-4In86.39433920*
803611-5In80.8905501,570*
793511-6In74.5867802,599*
783512-5In62.678101104,053*
773412-6In49.9691515106,402*
763413-5In40.6631719109,755*
753313-6In26.55021272014,346*
743314-5100.0%16.338233350020,670*
733214-6100.08.026264081029,024*
723215-599.93.2172544131040,363*
713115-699.91.09224719300053,529*
703116-599.50.24174527601070,153*
693016-698.50.011240341101089,753*
683017-596.20.0073239171400111,510*
672917-691.6No0423392337100136,049*
662918-583.9No021435267133000161,250*
652818-672.2No18272314207100188,466*
642819-557.5No0318162025143100213,546*
632719-641.9No0111822242292000237,560*
622720-527.3No0053191827197200257,503*
612620-615.8No00211310242716610274,746*
602621-58.3No0107417282513400283,955*
592521-63.9No0004192129231020289,413*
582522-51.6No0002031326301961288,271*
572422-60.6No0001016183129132280,460*
562423-50.2No000002102534225267,017*
552323-60.1No00001518343210248,200*
542324-50.0No0000211304018225,831*
532224-60.0No00016224328200,925*
522225-50.0No00003154240175,395*
512125-6OutNo00193851149,425*
502126-5OutNo00063262124,781*
492026-6OutNo0032671102,484*
482027-5OutNo001207981,066*
471927-6OutNo01148563,429*
461928-5OutNo00109048,715*
451828-6OutNo0079336,098*
441829-5OutNo059526,369*
431729-6OutNo039718,630*
421730-5OutNo029813,125*
411630-6OutNo01999,133*
401631-5OutNo1995,815*
391531-6OutNo01003,792*
381532-5OutNo1992,459*
371432-6OutNo1991,499*
361433-5OutNo100930*
351333-6OutNo199524*
3-34OutNo1001,072*
Total:25.1%0.5%125745677891112154,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealTampa BayFloridaCarolinaPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoNY IslandersOttawaNY RangersBostonDetroitPittsburghBuffalo
107520-04.9%8108243103133136413
91426-4NoYes
90416-5NoYes
89417-4No333333
88407-57.177714147147147
87397-6No94944917494224
86398-510.0523103358105533318
85399-43.581584852656513745
84389-52.63141146631151048817
83379-65.7101094456948485510
823710-54.891076653741348839
813711-43.58995657105838838
803611-54.37995555859410847
793511-63.8789566586859748
783512-53.8789667686858657
773412-63.4677687877758646
763413-53.8667789977657556
753313-63.956591091068666555
743314-53.8555911111059575455
733214-63.844411121212410474363
723215-53.633412131313311383263
713115-63.533212141414311282262
703116-53.332213141414312282172
693016-63.232213151514312281171
683017-53.143212141414311281161
3118-33.143212141414311281161
672917-62.943310131313311271161
2816-82.943311131313310271161
662918-52.7543912121139261151
2817-72.6543911111149261151
3019-32.7543912111149261151
652818-62.25437109947251141
2717-82.1544799947251141
642819-51.7543577745241131
2718-71.6543477735231131
2920-31.6543477735231131
632719-61.3443355534121121
2618-81.1443355523121121
622720-50.8332133322111111
612620-60.5221122211011000
602621-50.2111011101000000
592521-60.1000000000000000
582522-50.0000000000000000
572422-60.0000000000000000
562423-50.0000000000000000
552323-60.000000000000000
542324-50.000000000000000
532325-4No00000
522124-7No0
3-51No
Total:0.8%1.61.41.22.43.33.23.21.12.50.61.70.60.41.40.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.0
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-107100
87397-6964
86398-59083
85399-4100
84389-597111
83379-697210
823710-590532
813711-486733
803611-5819550
793511-67511780
783512-563161001100
773412-65019140150010
763413-54122170190010
753313-6272320125112000
743314-51622212283250000
733214-681822331540800100
723215-5314205289701200100
713115-6181572312120181130000
703116-5049814141712222060010
693016-6015761319224550110010
683017-50025291841991001611400
672917-601304126121116021237100
662918-5001016641019221570133000
652818-601002516174159140197100
642819-5000130210679191211551000
632719-600010155261921722135100
622720-50000001403145921221351000
612620-60000020176313222315620000
602621-5000100351413222417831000
592521-6000013014122024191041000
582522-50000010014101924211362000
572422-6000010001391723221572000
562423-50000000138162323168200
552323-600000012716242417720
542324-5000000281725251661
532224-60000139192825133
522225-5000014122431227
512125-60001617313214
502126-50000210263823
492026-60015194035
482027-5002133847
471927-600183359
461928-50042669
451828-60022078
441829-5011584
431729-6001189
421730-50793
411630-60495
401631-50397
391531-6298
381532-50199
371432-6199
361433-50100
351333-6199
3-34100
Total:1111112121313241444455555556667