Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Beat San Jose 5-4, playoff odds up 6.3 to 65.6%
8 points   4 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.3
+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2*+0.0
-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +4.5
+0.3
+0.8
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.3
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 *-0.1
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-160In100.0%1005,476*
1255514-7In99.910001,378*
1245414-8In99.71002,328*
1235415-7In99.3100003,765*
1225315-8In99.3100006,080*
1215316-7In99.0100009,436*
1205216-8In98.41000014,563*
1195217-7In97.3991021,979*
1185117-8In95.9991032,516*
1175118-7In94.1981147,535*
1165018-8In91.39721067,913*
1155019-7In87.99631094,956*
1144919-8In83.194420130,120*
1134819-9In76.891630176,444*
1124820-8In69.388840234,221*
1114720-9In60.58410600305,966*
1104721-8In50.37814800392,094*
1094621-9In39.871171100494,500*
1084622-8In29.363211410613,800*
1074522-9In19.9542619100748,653*
1064523-8In12.1453024200895,021*
1054423-9100.0%6.535322940001,056,034*
1044424-8100.03.026343460001,223,893*
1034324-9100.01.118343891001,396,528*
1024325-8100.00.3113242132001,568,460*
1014225-9100.00.1628441830001,731,134*
1004226-8100.00.0323432461001,883,809*
994126-999.90.01184129910002,015,643*
984127-899.60.011336341330002,125,224*
974027-998.8No09303617610002,201,523*
964028-896.8No052436211130002,248,837*
953928-992.4No03173422166100002,263,936*
943929-884.1No021230202112410002,240,432*
933829-971.4No01724162418820002,185,162*
923830-855.1No0041711232414510002,097,450*
913730-938.0No021261826221131001,983,905*
903731-823.1No017312242718720001,848,784*
893631-912.3No004161827251341001,695,180*
883632-85.7No002031123282192001,532,997*
873532-92.4No001016172827155101,362,760*
863533-80.9No000003102330239201,194,250*
853433-90.3No00001516292915401,033,335*
843434-80.1No0000021024322371878,842*
833334-90.0No0000015183230121735,885*
823335-80.0No000003122835193606,467*
813235-90.0No000172237276492,696*
803236-80.0No000041636349395,366*
793136-9OutNo000211334014311,251*
783137-8OutNo0017274520242,997*
773037-9OutNo004224727186,013*
763038-8OutNo002164635139,777*
752938-9OutNo01124542104,312*
742939-8OutNo018415076,073*
732839-9OutNo005375854,874*
722840-8OutNo03326538,549*
712740-9OutNo02277027,055*
702741-8OutNo01237618,492*
692641-9OutNo1198112,522*
682642-8OutNo014858,515*
672542-9OutNo012885,474*
662543-8OutNo010903,476*
652443-9OutNo07932,322*
642444-8OutNo05951,389*
632344-9OutNo397845*
622345-8OutNo298529*
612346-7OutNo199305*
602145-10OutNo298187*
8-59OutNo1004,027*
Total:65.6%4.0%9101715776665442145,536,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayOttawaWashingtonDetroitMontrealNY IslandersPittsburghNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoFloridaPhiladelphiaBostonCarolinaBuffalo
160760-07.9%768778987985832
135587-11No5050
1346212-2No3367
1335910-76.36666133113136
1325810-842.9777772977777
1315811-75.993361236921263
1305812-68.877677997779493
1295712-710.52698688810798622
1285713-69.568737677966101042
1275512-910.167768781110666540
1265513-88.18687688985510642
1255514-78.3778778898967541
1245414-88.0778668999767631
1235415-77.5667769989777631
1225315-88.3678679988867641
1215316-78.3668779898777641
1205216-88.2668669999767631
1195217-78.0669778998777641
1185117-88.1668679999777641
1175118-78.1668679998777641
1165018-87.9668679998777641
1155019-78.1669679999767641
1144919-88.0668669998767641
1134819-98.0669669999767641
1124820-88.0669669999767641
1114720-98.0669669999767641
1104721-87.966966101099667631
1094621-97.96610661010109667531
1084622-87.95510661110109657531
1074522-97.85511561111109657531
1064523-87.65512551211119557431
1054423-97.55513551212119547431
1044424-87.44413551312119447431
1034324-97.344144414131210437330
1024325-87.144154415131210337330
1014225-97.033163315141310337230
1004226-86.833163316141310328230
994126-96.733173316141310228230
984127-86.533173316141310228230
974027-96.344173316141310227130
964028-86.14417441513129217130
953928-95.75516441412118216120
943929-85.25514441311107215120
933829-94.455124410986114120
923830-83.3449438764113110
913730-92.3336325443112010
903731-81.4224213322001000
893631-90.7112112111001000
883632-80.3001001110000000
873532-90.1000000000000000
863533-80.0000000000000000
853534-70.0000000000000000
843434-80.0000000000000000
833334-90.0000000000000
823436-60.0000000000
813336-7No0000
803337-6No000
8-79No
Total:4.4%3.23.110.13.02.99.58.47.76.11.91.74.61.51.80.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 -0.1
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.9
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.0
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.0
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-160100
1265513-81000
1255514-710000
1245414-81000
1235415-799100
1225315-899100
1215316-799100
1205216-898100
1195217-797210
1185117-896310
1175118-794411
1165018-8916210
1155019-78883010
1144919-88311402000
1134819-97715603000
1124820-86919804000
1114720-9612310060000
1104721-85028130800000
1094621-940321711100000
1084622-829342021310100
1074522-920342331721010000
1064523-812322451931020000
1054423-9629248216204000000
1044424-83232212219406000000
1034324-911618161813709001000
1024325-801113181417111121102000
1014225-90691991914214310300000
1004226-80351841816415630501000
994126-9012162151681410608110000
984127-801112010131210139111130000
974027-900806915615132144601000
964028-8005035162141651471013000
953928-9003012141101491111142610000
943929-8002001100611137131651141000
933829-90010070361531314917930000
923830-8000004013131109131916720000
913730-900020011006414162115720000
903731-8000100703111102022157210000
893631-900000401064132223168310000
883632-80000200031614222316831000
873532-900001000102715222317831000
863533-80000000002715232317831000
853433-900000001281624241672000
843434-800000000139182524156100
833334-90000000131020262312410
823335-80000001513232720920
813235-90000271627271651
803236-800001310223024101
793136-900015152930163
783137-80002102434246
773037-9001518343211
763038-8000312303817
752938-900017254225
742939-8004194333
732839-9002144242
722840-800193951
712740-90163459
702741-80043066
692641-90022474
682642-8011980
672542-911684
662543-801287
652443-90990
642444-80793
632344-9496
622345-8397
612245-9298
602145-10298
8-59100
Total:454645454444434344433332222111