Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 2-4, playoff odds down 1.3 to 1.4%
14 points   6 12-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.3
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.1
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.8
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.1
Calgary 3 New Jersey 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Washington vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
138620-0InYes100403
1114712-3In50.0%50502*
1104410-8InNo50502*
1094310-9In20.02040405*
1084311-8In14.343577*
1074312-7InNo4343147*
1064212-8In6.322963632*
1054213-7InNo929521156*
1044012-10In1.071954181103*
1034114-7InNo12054233185*
1024115-6InNo115542820324*
1014015-7InNo09453960529*
1003915-899.8%No084341710929*
993916-799.9No04374710201,423*
983816-898.9No32949145102,149*
973817-796.9No0223471783003,344*
963717-893.8No1154718135105,142*
953718-785.7No010411618103107,631*
943618-873.2No0635122017820010,984*
933518-958.1No04278192214510015,582*
923519-841.7No022041525211020021,341*
913419-927.0No011321023271751028,775*
903420-816.1No09161829241020038,774*
893320-98.2No05031226291851050,193*
883321-84.1No03017203125102064,426*
873221-91.8No01003142831174079,599*
863222-80.8No01001823332581098,423*
853122-90.3No0000141632321420118,656*
843123-80.1No00002926362240140,541*
833023-90.0No001520373070162,566*
823024-80.0No00003133537110186,075*
812924-90.0No000182943181206,396*
802925-80.0No000052346251225,059*
792825-90.0No00021646332241,773*
782826-8OutNo0011143413255,615*
772726-9OutNo01738495265,220*
762727-8OutNo00433558267,579*
752627-9OutNo002266011267,230*
742628-8OutNo01216215261,038*
732528-9OutNo01166320249,723*
722529-8OutNo00126325234,434*
712429-9OutNo0086032216,261*
702430-8OutNo0065638196,903*
692330-9OutNo045244173,970*
682331-8OutNo024750153,303*
672231-9OutNo024157130,124*
662232-8OutNo013663108,758*
652132-9OutNo1316990,404*
642133-8OutNo0267372,298*
632033-9OutNo0217957,210*
622034-8OutNo0188244,590*
611934-9OutNo0148633,740*
601935-8OutNo0118925,331*
591936-7OutNo089218,465*
581836-8OutNo069413,254*
571837-7OutNo5959,022*
561737-8OutNo4966,406*
551738-7OutNo3974,196*
541638-8OutNo2982,698*
531639-7OutNo1991,745*
521640-6OutNo1991,117*
511540-7OutNo199694*
501541-6OutNo0100422*
14-49OutNo100994*
Total:1.4%0.0%0001001235102137204,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersMontrealDetroitBostonWashingtonOttawaTorontoFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
138620-00.7%147981210151275360
1114712-3No5050
1104410-8No5050
1094310-9No40202020
1084210-1014.314141414141414
1074312-7No1443141414
1064313-63.119346313333933
1054213-7No163225594224713
1044214-61.01813672116119351
1034114-71.61823442215212666
1024115-61.217138223152116841
1014015-70.615341122141217461
1003915-80.619238221132107650
993916-70.517340221131017660
983816-80.720537321121106641
973817-70.621633321122115551
963717-80.522731431101105451
3818-60.32193043191105451
953718-70.42292743171114331
3617-90.42382543171104430
3819-50.62182933181104440
943618-80.42072432171103320
3517-100.61982232151103220
3719-60.31982132181104330
3416-120.41982332161113320
933619-70.31671932151102220
3518-90.21661732141102220
3417-110.41661732151002220
923519-80.11351321130002110
3620-60.31351421040002110
3418-100.11251121030001110
3317-120.31251321030001110
913520-70.2931011020001110
3419-90.173811020001110
3621-50.293102102001110
903420-80.152610010001100
3319-100.142510010000000
893421-70.021300010000000
3320-90.0213000100000000
883321-80.010200000000000
873322-70.0001000000000000
863222-80.00000000000000
853223-70.000000000000
843123-8No00000000
833023-90.000000
822923-10No000000
813025-7No00
803026-6No0
792926-7No0
14-78No
Total:0.0%0.40.10.50.10.00.00.10.00.00.00.10.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
138620-0100
1114712-35050
1104410-85050
1094310-9204040
1084311-814294314
1074312-743142914
1064313-6616633116166
1054213-792173411711
1044012-101611921191311711
1034114-7191117221518413
1024115-61510619245196320
1014015-70365142152298600
1003915-802619231018101307010
993916-7013061813121419191200
983816-802031016615254113510
973817-7001161621126812680300
963717-8010212182513118121510
953718-700190418187916210410
943618-800062112149155178200
933518-9000416201711820155100
923519-800203170469202212410
913419-900101120228152520103100
903420-80008011592125188200
893320-9000500341424251672000
883321-8003001171725241462000
873221-9001000029192623135100
863222-8010001411212621113100
853122-900000015132427198200
843123-800000027172626166100
833023-900003921282412300
823024-8000001413252919710
812924-900002719302713300
802925-800000312253121610
792825-90000161932281220
782826-80031228341940
772726-90001722352670
762727-80004153434121
752627-9002102939192
742628-800162341264
732528-90031740337
722529-800111374011
712429-90017314516
702430-8004264822
692330-9002204929
682331-801154836
672231-901104544
662232-80074151
652132-90053659
642133-8033166
632033-90022672
622034-8012178
611934-9011782
601935-8001486
591936-701090
581836-80892
571837-70694
561737-80496
551738-7397
541638-8397
531639-7298
521640-6199
511540-7199
501541-6199
491441-70100
14-48100
Total:00000000000100000112234571014181913