Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Buffalo vs Columbus-4.6-0.3-0.3+4.1+4.6+4.8
-0.3*-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.4*+0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Washington vs Montreal-0.1-0.3-0.2*-0.1-0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Detroit vs Boston+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-164InYes1009,864*
1245816-8In99.9%10001,830*
1235716-9In99.810003,093*
1225717-8In99.8100005,006*
1215617-9In99.5100007,848*
1205618-8In99.31000012,215*
1195518-9In99.11000018,806*
1185519-8In98.4990028,063*
1175419-9In97.5991041,954*
1165420-8In96.2981161,223*
1155320-9In94.49711086,958*
1145321-8In91.896220122,648*
1135221-9In88.194330169,575*
1125121-10In83.192540228,859*
1115122-9In76.8887500307,557*
1105022-10In68.7839700405,111*
1095023-9In59.178121000524,846*
1084923-10In48.670151410669,038*
1074924-9In37.2621918100839,406*
1064824-10In26.35223222001,037,658*
1054825-9100.0%16.842262840001,265,269*
1044725-10100.09.432293260001,514,107*
1034726-9100.04.5233037910001,790,577*
1024626-10100.01.71529411320002,081,724*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,387,438*
1004527-1099.90.1523422361002,697,918*
994528-999.80.021840291020002,995,765*
984428-1099.50.0113353314400003,284,234*
974429-998.50.009293518710003,552,076*
964329-1096.1No05233521123100003,778,875*
954330-990.9No03163222177200003,970,421*
944230-1081.3No021127202213510004,113,974*
934231-967.0No0172115231910310004,189,835*
924131-1049.4No041592124177200004,211,939*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,177,483*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,084,602*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,933,667*
883933-103.8No002027172525156103,739,912*
873934-91.5No0010131021272311303,502,600*
863834-100.5No000001514252818613,238,208*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,947,291*
843735-100.1No00000141327311952,648,039*
833736-90.0No000002821332792,346,200*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,051,112*
813637-90.0No0000292739231,766,134*
803537-100.0No0000152141311,499,501*
793538-90.0No000031540411,256,906*
783438-10OutNo0011037511,038,076*
773439-9OutNo00173260844,572*
763339-10OutNo00042769677,849*
753340-9OutNo0022276537,067*
743240-10OutNo0011782418,025*
733241-9OutNo011387322,521*
723141-10OutNo00990245,699*
713142-9OutNo00793183,415*
703042-10OutNo0595134,741*
693043-9OutNo039797,546*
682943-10OutNo029870,402*
672944-9OutNo019949,605*
662844-10OutNo19935,000*
652845-9OutNo19923,886*
642745-10OutNo010016,261*
632746-9OutNo010010,699*
622646-10OutNo01007,115*
612647-9OutNo01004,566*
602547-10OutNo01002,935*
592548-9OutNo01001,843*
582448-10OutNo01001,176*
0-57OutNo1009,016*
Total:50.0%3.3%661213666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealNY RangersBostonNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.1%766676777766677
1366511-6No333333
1356512-5YesYes
1346412-628.614141414141414
1336312-728.614141414141414
1326313-625.08888258825
1316213-710.7144441441171147774
1306113-87.11657754771192119
1296013-99.6365107511589467810
1286014-88.36854658569768611
1276015-75.71165596857757596
1265915-88.59577766688646107
1255916-76.6966686967866568
1245816-88.0765575868976589
1235716-97.4866675859766688
1225717-87.0866686867855578
1215617-97.2866686867866687
1205618-87.4866686868866678
1195518-97.2866686858866688
1185519-87.8866586868866688
1175419-97.6865686868866688
1165420-87.6856686868866688
1155320-97.5865685868866688
1145321-87.6865586868866688
1135221-97.4865586868865588
1125121-107.4855585868855588
1115122-97.4855585858855588
1105022-107.4855585858855588
1095023-97.4955585958855588
1084923-107.3955595959955599
1074924-97.2955595959955599
1064824-107.2944494949944499
1054825-97.11044410410410104441010
1044725-107.01044410410410104441010
1034726-96.81033310310310103331010
1024626-106.71133311311311113331111
1014627-96.61133311311311113331111
1004527-106.41133311311311113331111
994528-96.31132211311311112231111
984428-106.11132311311311113331111
974429-96.01133311311311113331111
964329-105.71133311311311113331111
954330-95.41033310310310103331010
944230-104.7833383838833388
934231-93.8722272727722277
924131-102.8522252525522255
914132-91.8311131313311133
904032-101.0211121212211122
894033-90.5100010101100011
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863834-100.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843836-80.0000000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.00000000000
813435-130.0000000
803638-8No00
793538-9No0
0-78No
Total:3.1%5.31.61.61.65.31.65.31.65.25.31.61.61.65.25.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.8-1.0-1.0
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-164100
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-896211
1155320-9943110
1145321-89242020
1135221-988630300
1125121-10838504000
1115122-977117050000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-95918120100000
1084923-10492215013001000
1074924-93725181170010000
1064824-1026262212111020000
1054825-9172624224210400000
1044725-10923244264306000000
1034726-94192372675090010000
1024626-1021320102310801200020000
1014627-9181512171411016110400000
1004527-10051013101515119320601000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-100131021117516980131400000
974429-90018071491112120162701000
964329-1000503911512162175110310000
954330-900301411210174148161720000
944230-1000200290614791118313510000
934231-9001001603910411167181041000
924131-10000040141018101120189310000
914132-9000020028044111622189310000
904032-10000100160218818231810410000
894033-90000003010431019231911410000
883933-1000000200021310182320136200000
873934-90000010001013918232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-90000000000138172323167200
843735-100000000013917242315610
833736-90000000013101926231341
823636-100000000141222282292
813637-90000016152729174
803537-10000000292132269
793538-900001415303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-900015194035
763339-100002133946
753340-900183457
743240-1000052966
733241-900032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-10000990
693043-900793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
572449-90100
0-56100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333