Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Montreal 1-4, playoff odds down 5 to 87.8%
59 points   28 16-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 -3.5
-0.2
-0.1
Carolina 1 Ottawa 4 +0.4
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.1
Washington 0 NY Islanders 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo+1.1*+0.0*+0.1-1.0-1.1-1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota vs Columbus-3.4*-0.1*-0.1+2.6+2.9+2.9
-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.3+0.8
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.1-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.4
Vegas vs Pittsburgh+0.2*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.1
Nashville vs Florida+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129350-0In98.9%991474
123-125InYes1004*
122313-1In90.991911*
121303-2In74.1742627*
120293-3In40.5415979*
119294-2In49.35446219*
118284-3In35.939610493*
117285-2In27.4326801,032*
116275-3In20.6257512,053*
115265-4In12.5188113,843*
114266-3In8.11385207,085*
113256-4In4.89874012,702*
112257-3In2.56886020,605*
111247-4In1.1486100033,029*
110248-3In0.4282151050,297*
109238-4In0.1176212073,851*
108239-3In0.01682830104,021*
107229-4In0.00583560139,750*
1062210-3InNo047421010182,689*
1052110-4InNo037451620230,814*
1042111-3InNo027472430278,275*
1032011-4100.0%No0184431600324,907*
1022012-3100.0No01139391000368,191*
1011912-4100.0No732441610401,646*
1001913-399.9No424472230425,010*
991813-499.6No2174628600431,412*
981814-398.8No11143321210425,660*
971714-496.9No0738331930408,632*
961715-393.3No04313128700377,197*
951615-487.6No022426361200337,589*
941616-378.9No011720412010291,137*
931516-468.2No0012144229200245,183*
921517-355.8No00883939500199,347*
911417-442.8No0553348900156,412*
901418-330.7No03226531510118,552*
891318-420.4No0211854232087,660*
881319-312.5No1011503150062,317*
871219-47.0No0074339101042,756*
861220-33.4No0033344172028,450*
851120-41.5No001234425610018,437*
841121-30.6No01144033102011,600*
831021-40.2No083138184006,778*
821022-3OutNo42237279103,966*
81922-40.0No02133332154002,253*
80923-3OutNo17243724611,223*
79823-4OutNo04173230152652*
78824-3OutNo1723392371321*
77724-4OutNo3114032114152*
76725-3OutNo9234515878*
75625-4OutNo44194227426*
74626-3OutNo181855911*
73627-2OutNo67333*
72527-3OutNo50502
59-71OutNo100475*
Total:87.8%0.1%01219271614921000005,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNY IslandersPittsburghWashingtonBostonMontrealBuffaloCarolinaNY RangersFloridaNew JerseyOttawaDetroitPhiladelphia
129350-03.2%17912162022813000
124-125NoYes
123312-2No5050
122313-1No991899369
121303-27.419191926154
120293-32.56151413221310511
119294-22.32111517142415310
118284-34.331115201320124010
117285-23.5312161915191331000
116275-33.2310172114191130000
115265-43.33121723121910200000
114266-32.93141823121810200000
113256-43.03131924131792000000
112257-32.703142025121782000000
111247-42.803142125111681000000
110248-32.803162225101571000000
109238-42.803172325101471000000
108239-32.70218252691361000000
107229-42.60220262681151000000
1062210-32.5022228267951000000
1052110-42.5022430275841000000
1042111-32.4012632274631000000
1032011-42.301283328342100000
2112-22.3012833283421000000
1022012-32.2113034282321000000
1011912-42.111313528121000000
2013-22.110313527121000000
1001913-32.1303234271110000000
1812-52.2303235261110000000
991813-42.0603233250100000000
981814-32.0110323123000000000
1713-52.012031312200000000
971714-41.9191292819000000000
961715-31.827126241600000000
951615-41.73412119120000000000
941616-31.4391161480000000000
931516-41.24011110600000000
921517-31.03717630000000
911417-40.732144200000000
901418-30.524122100000000
891318-40.417011000000
881319-30.2110110000
871219-40.16000000
861220-30.03000000
851120-40.0100000
841121-30.010000
83920-6No0
821123-1No
81922-4No0
59-80No
Total:1.9%13.30.923.224.719.41.92.61.30.40.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 +0.9
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1
Washington 0 NY Islanders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Vegas vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Boston vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129350-0991
123-125100
122313-1919
121303-27426
120293-34159
119294-249546
118284-3363610
117285-22756800
116275-32147411
115265-41257911
114266-3858232000
113256-4548254000
112257-3237986010
111247-413721490100
110248-302622012130100
109238-4015026142502000
108239-3003730154903000
107229-40025331461506000
1062210-301532128211100010
1052110-4082889272151120
1042111-3042349304191330
1032011-4021627297223706000
1022012-3011114241021512010000
1011912-40702181218719016010
1001913-30401111213826022030
991813-4020061177311280600
981814-30100384632232012010
971714-4000161430332119030
961715-3000302245292280700
951615-4002011762323601200
941616-3001001161634102010
931516-4000006610441129200
921517-30000355437339500
911417-4001423285471010
901418-30002121875017200
891318-40010110847265100
881319-30010047383412300
871219-40000152536228200
861220-30003122930177100
851120-400015182826156100
841121-30118202724135100
831021-40029202823124100
821022-30031122262311310
81922-400041222272110210
80923-301413223019820
79823-401417252618710
78824-3151424341662
77724-425202729134
76725-38233815141
75625-44415351923
74626-31836369
73627-2333333
72527-3100
71629-0100
59035-00100
Total:0058229583152151131921000000000000