Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Winnipeg 2-4, playoff odds down 0.8 to 0.9%
14 points   6 13-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.3
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.1
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.8
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
136610-0InYes100837
1094410-7InNo50502
1084512-4InNo3333333*
1074210-9InNo1471147*
1064211-8InNo217571414*
1054111-9InNo625581136*
1044112-8InNo723442673*
1034113-7InNo1165825131*
1024013-8InNo954343220*
1014014-7InNo17473960412*
1003914-8InNo5444471683*
993915-799.5%No03354910101,213*
983815-899.4No22752154101,970*
973816-798.5No12150188103,033*
963716-895.0No1144721124104,982*
953717-789.4No01043201782007,455*
943617-879.5No063616211451011,304*
933618-766.0No04291222211030016,490*
923518-850.3No0221720251761023,969*
913418-934.3No011541526251230033,723*
903419-820.9No0102923291971046,790*
893319-911.7No06151729271330063,515*
883320-85.6No030211253120710084,267*
873220-92.6No020161931271220109,569*
863221-81.1No0100312273220500139,661*
853121-90.5No0000172133271010174,475*
843122-80.2No000031430331620213,966*
833022-90.0No00001825372450257,901*
823023-80.0No0000418363290303,897*
812923-90.0No00002123239141351,629*
802924-80.0No000172743211397,544*
792824-90.0No00042044292441,384*
782825-8OutNo0021443374480,668*
772725-9OutNo001939456515,843*
762726-8OutNo00633519539,482*
752626-9OutNo003275614555,414*
742627-8OutNo002215818561,389*
732527-9OutNo001165924556,698*
722528-8OutNo00115830539,893*
712428-9OutNo0085537513,284*
702429-8OutNo055144479,767*
692329-9OutNo044650440,540*
682330-8OutNo024157395,486*
672230-9OutNo013663348,275*
662231-8OutNo013069302,062*
652131-9OutNo002574256,050*
642132-8OutNo002179212,390*
632032-9OutNo001783172,443*
622033-8OutNo01387137,996*
612034-7OutNo01090106,993*
601934-8OutNo089282,893*
591935-7OutNo069462,418*
581835-8OutNo059545,554*
571836-7OutNo039733,132*
561736-8OutNo29823,441*
551737-7OutNo29815,846*
541637-8OutNo19911,065*
531638-7OutNo1997,327*
521538-8OutNo01004,632*
511539-7OutNo01002,898*
501439-8OutNo01001,855*
14-49OutNo1003,331*
Total:0.9%0.0%0000001124918352810,100,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitMontrealTorontoOttawaNY RangersWashingtonBostonPhiladelphiaFloridaNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
136610-01.1%1557121210981075610
1094410-7No5050
1084512-4No333333
1074210-9No1443141414
1064211-87.11414431477
1054111-9No1763331466143
1044112-8No19338345481014
1034113-70.81444221216111314
1024013-8No151452201131015131
1014014-7No18243221112914021
1003914-80.4182431201121115021
993915-70.717444222110905041
983815-80.62054032119816031
973816-70.32073843119805021
963716-80.32093543117715020
3615-100.81983543219704020
953717-70.32193243116613011
3818-50.42193134117513021
943617-80.42292643115413010
3718-60.42392744115512010
3516-100.42292533115412010
933618-70.31982133114312010
3517-90.31892233114301010
3719-50.31992242114402010
3416-110.41871932013301010
923518-80.21661522113201010
3619-60.31771722013201010
3417-100.21571422002201010
3316-120.21671522102201010
913519-70.11241221002201000
3418-90.11241121002101010
3317-110.21041011002101000
903419-80.1737110011000000
3520-60.183811001100000
3318-100.172611001100000
3621-40.26271100110000
893420-70.141400001000000
3521-50.141400000000000
883320-80.021200000000000
3421-60.020200000000000
873321-70.010100000000000
863221-80.00010000000000
853222-70.00000000000000
843122-8No00000000
833123-7No0000000
822922-10No00000
813024-7No000
803025-6No00
792824-9No0
14-78No
Total:0.0%0.30.10.30.00.00.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
136610-0100
1094410-75050
1084512-4333333
1074210-914571414
1064312-6217431414
1054111-96111422221483
1044112-871014231271251
1034113-7161010311522141
1024013-83652321423833
1014014-7117218197211170600
1003914-80411320111816100611
993915-7003071216121917291100
983815-8204815619224114410
973816-71141621623101177010
963716-801111311221141010111410
953717-700090715217131438200
943617-800060392441215713610
933618-7000401523110111018114100
923518-8002021907713191993000
913418-9001011404312162317720000
903419-8000902181022241662000
893319-9000610551524231461000
883320-800300228182522135100
873220-9000200103102026211141000
863221-801000141322262010310
853121-900000016152526177200
843122-800000028182725145100
833022-900000131022282210300
823023-80000015142628186100
812923-90000002820292612300
802924-80001413263120610
792824-90000172032271120
782825-800031328331840
772725-90001722352671
762726-80014163434121
752626-90002102939182
742627-800162341255
732527-900031740328
722528-800111373912
712428-90017324417
702429-80004264624
692329-9002204731
682330-8001154638
672230-901104346
662231-80073954
652131-90053462
642132-8032968
632032-9022475
622033-8011980
612034-7011585
601934-8001288
591935-70991
581835-80693
571836-70595
561736-80397
551737-70298
541637-80298
531638-7199
521538-8199
511539-70100
501439-80100
491440-7100
481340-80100
14-47100
Total:0000000000000000001112346913192119