Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 65.1%
10 points   5 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 +0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers vs San Jose-0.2-0.2*-0.1*+0.1*+0.2+0.3
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-158InYes100749*
1265513-6In99.0%99198*
1255413-7InYes100171*
1245414-6In99.31000285*
1235314-7In99.410000470*
1225214-8In98.81000912*
1215215-7In98.299101,367*
1205115-8In97.299102,036*
1195116-7In95.898103,298*
1185016-8In94.898214,922*
1175017-7In91.896317,190*
1164917-8In88.6954110,470*
1154918-7In84.2926214,759*
1144818-8In78.18983020,652*
1134819-7In71.185104028,143*
1124719-8In63.380146037,866*
1114720-7In53.775178049,630*
1104620-8In43.86722110064,431*
1094520-9In33.86026141082,047*
1084521-8In24.151301810101,860*
1074421-9In15.942332320125,229*
1064422-8In9.4333628300150,510*
1054322-9In4.8243733500178,332*
1044323-8In2.1173738810207,914*
1034223-9100.0%0.811354212100239,251*
1024224-8100.00.26314416200268,566*
1014124-9100.00.13264422400298,834*
1004125-899.90.022043277100326,085*
994025-999.80.0115393211200349,623*
984026-899.50.00103436154000368,609*
973926-998.5No0627382071000385,039*
963927-896.2No04203723123000392,176*
953827-991.4No021433231871000394,162*
943828-882.8No019282124134100392,090*
933728-970.1No162116262082000381,907*
923729-854.1No0315112525145100367,298*
913629-937.4No02106192822103000347,128*
903630-822.9No01631325271761000323,330*
893530-912.2No00317192824124100295,049*
883531-85.7No00203122528198200266,701*
873431-92.4No00101718282614410237,279*
863432-80.9No00000312243021810207,130*
853332-90.3No0000161829271430178,388*
843333-80.1No000031225322171150,392*
833233-90.0No000017193228112126,708*
823234-80.0No0003132933183103,817*
813134-90.0No00028233625684,234*
803135-8OutNo00141735331066,596*
793035-9OutNo00021231391652,588*
783036-8OutNo001727432240,468*
772936-9OutNo000421443030,887*
762937-8OutNo000216443823,416*
752837-9OutNo0111404717,197*
742838-8OutNo018365512,213*
732738-9OutNo0533628,891*
722739-8OutNo0327706,196*
712740-7OutNo0223754,281*
702640-8OutNo0118812,947*
692540-9OutNo014852,014*
682541-8OutNo011881,248*
672542-7OutNo0694840*
662442-8OutNo0694556*
652443-7OutNo0495332*
642343-8OutNo397209*
632243-9OutNo298131*
10-62OutNo100789*
Total:65.1%3.3%710171688766543217,848,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoOttawaNew JerseyPhiladelphiaCarolinaNY IslandersBostonFloridaPittsburghDetroitWashingtonBuffaloNY RangersMontreal
158740-09.6%35571110999896541
137607-7NoYes
1356110-3YesYes
133589-7No5050
1315811-5NoYes
1305711-625.025131313131313
1295611-7No115111152616115
1285511-812.13636156631239216
1275512-77.32427915411455134152
1265513-65.1417910101477778331
1255413-77.646568994713710652
1245414-69.1573116101477879431
1235314-77.73649889599610762
1225214-87.034599101185889542
1215215-77.436499101086987451
1205115-87.236599911779610441
1195116-77.435699101077978452
1185016-87.545699111077978452
1175017-77.836599101077978452
1164917-87.83559991077978451
1154918-77.535599101077979451
1144818-87.635599101077978441
1134819-77.535599101077978451
1124719-87.83551010101077978451
1114720-77.63551010101066968441
1104620-87.33551111101066968341
1094520-97.33551111111066968341
1084521-87.23551212111166968341
1074421-97.23451313111155958341
1064422-87.03441414111155958241
1054322-97.03441515121154948241
1044323-86.93441616121244948231
1034223-96.73341717131244938231
1024224-86.52331718131233938130
1014124-96.43331818131233938130
1004125-86.33331919131322928130
994025-96.24331919131222928130
984026-86.05331919131222918130
973926-95.86441919121211817130
963927-85.57541818121111817030
953827-95.29551717101011716020
943828-84.6105515159811615020
933728-93.9105512127611414010
923729-82.9854995411313010
913629-92.0633663300202010
903630-81.2422442200101000
893530-90.7211221100100000
883531-80.3110110000000000
873532-70.1000000000000000
863432-80.0000000000000000
853433-70.000000000000000
843333-80.000000000000
833334-70.000000000000
823335-6No000
813235-7No0000
10-80No
Total:4.0%4.23.13.011.211.17.67.21.71.75.21.64.70.71.90.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
127-158100
1265513-6991
1255413-7100
1245414-69900
1235314-799000
1225214-89910
1215215-798110
1205115-897110
1195116-796310
1185016-895321
1175017-792531
1164917-889641
1154918-784862
1144818-8781180300
1134819-77114100400
1124719-863171406000
1114720-754211708000
1104620-84424211110000
1094520-934262511300100
1084521-8242728216111000
1074421-9162630420212000
1064422-89233062233030000
1054322-95192992355050000
1044323-8215251222870800100
1034223-91102015181211011001000
1024224-80614171415151141102000
1014124-9039178161921732040000
1004125-80251541420518640701000
994025-901213111198169801012000
984026-80019071512111212114240000
973926-9006041014614162164701000
963927-8004025143131741571213000
953827-90020121219158121116272000
943828-80010180511117141861241000
933728-90100502613313151117931000
923729-800003013121109151916820000
913629-9000201906415162116831000
903630-800010060311291922168310000
893530-90000030107412202217931000
883531-800002000315122023181041000
873431-900001001015122023191141000
863432-800000001512202319114100
853332-900000002512212420114100
843333-80000002613222519103100
833233-9000000026152325188200
823234-800012817252515610
813134-900013102028231230
803135-8000151425291971
793035-9000028193027122
783036-80014122732205
772936-900172134289
762937-80001415323414
752837-90029284022
742838-8016224229
732738-9003174238
722739-8002113947
712740-70173854
702640-8052966
692540-90022671
682541-822177
672542-711683
662442-811485
652443-70991
642343-80694
632243-9595
622244-8397
10-61100
Total:3455445444534343444333322221110