Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Beat Tampa Bay 1-0 (ot), playoff odds up 2.7 to 17.8%
25 points   10 10-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Carolina 1 Tampa Bay 0 (ot)+2.6
+0.0
Nashville 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Washington vs Buffalo-0.2-0.3-0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Ottawa*-0.1-0.2-0.3*-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Columbus vs Arizona-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.2*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-139InYes100335*
118448-5In80.0%80205*
117438-6In73.37320715*
1164410-3In78.68271128*
1154310-4In77.57815840*
1144210-5In67.073819103*
1134110-6In64.3689212168*
1124010-7In43.85011363324*
1114011-6In34.74214404553*
1104012-5In27.736144180942*
1093912-6In19.32716461101,506*
1083812-7In11.41815501612,411*
1073813-6In6.612145022203,745*
1063713-7In3.79124728405,720*
1053714-6In1.54104435708,598*
1043614-7100.0%0.4273841111012,382*
1033615-699.90.2153144172017,517*
1023515-799.80.0032444244024,287*
1013516-699.40.00218423071032,670*
1003416-798.7No01123736121043,216*
993417-696.9No00732401930055,681*
983317-793.8No0424392660070,783*
973318-688.0No0021736331110088,016*
963218-778.6No01112938183000105,595*
953219-665.2No0072138268100126,216*
943119-749.1No04133332154100146,183*
933120-632.8No002625342382000164,752*
923020-718.9No013153029165100183,695*
913021-69.5No0018233123113000199,959*
902921-73.9No003142729187100213,663*
892922-61.4No001720292613300222,806*
882822-70.4No000312253020810227,678*
872823-60.1No000161829281430229,322*
862723-70.0No000031125322271224,315*
852724-60.0No000015183129132216,682*
842624-7OutNo002112734205201,954*
832625-6OutNo00162035298185,890*
822525-7OutNo00314333614169,822*
812526-6OutNo0018284121151,342*
802426-7OutNo005214330130,503*
792427-6OutNo002154240111,817*
782327-7OutNo00110395092,734*
772328-6OutNo006346076,161*
762228-7OutNo004286860,635*
752229-6OutNo02227648,228*
742129-7OutNo01178236,456*
732130-6OutNo1138627,467*
722030-7OutNo099020,283*
712031-6OutNo069314,743*
701931-7OutNo049610,476*
691932-6OutNo03977,250*
681832-7OutNo2984,947*
671833-6OutNo1993,235*
661733-7OutNo1992,195*
651734-6OutNo1991,322*
641735-5OutNo199858*
25-63OutNo1001,511*
Total:17.8%0.1%00145789910111212113,989,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY RangersMontrealColumbusPittsburghWashingtonBostonTampa BayOttawaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyTorontoFloridaDetroitBuffaloNY Islanders
139570-02.4%591619345111943211
122444-9NoYes
121478-2No5050
120457-5NoYes
119458-4No5050
118448-5No2020202020
117438-66.7131327772013
1164410-3No14111121418184
1154310-42.525205333151838
1144210-52.91515171712710102411
1134110-63.011121142012410112111
1124010-71.51702314172229720213
1114011-61.41612414171127921113
1104012-52.017024161621210712101
1093912-62.42002716151117611101
1083812-72.12212915161116611001
1073813-62.12512715161115601001
1063713-71.82432915141115510001
1053714-61.62442914141115500001
1043614-71.72562913141114400001
1033615-61.624102713121114410000
1023515-71.824132612112214411000
1013516-61.723172410102223311000
1003416-71.52320231093223311000
993417-61.5232322883222211000
3518-41.7222322883222211000
983317-71.7222620763222211000
3216-91.4222521663222211000
973318-61.4222619553221111000
3217-81.4222618553221111000
3419-41.5222519553221111000
963218-71.2202417443221110000
3319-51.3212517443221111000
3117-91.1202416442221111000
953219-61.1182115332111100000
3118-81.0172014332111100000
3320-41.0182014332111100000
943119-70.7151611221110000000
3018-90.7141511221110000000
933120-60.510108111010000000
3221-40.510108111010000000
923020-70.3665110000000000
913021-60.1332000000000000
902921-70.1111000000000000
892922-60.000000000000000
882822-70.0000000000000
872823-60.000000000
862723-7No0000000
852724-6No000
25-84No
Total:0.3%4.64.64.11.21.10.50.30.40.30.30.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 1 Tampa Bay 0 (ot)-0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Buffalo-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-139100
118448-58020
117438-673207
1164410-3794711
1154310-478158
1144210-5676819
1134110-66449212
1124010-744611363
1114011-635714404
1104012-5289140400080
1093912-61981504511110
1083812-71171504811161
1073813-67613146222220
1063713-7451114233280040
1053714-6138136440340070
1043614-702522765040001110
1033615-601321877042111720
1023515-7002110770412124040
1013516-6001156703633300710
1003416-700124612854036012010
993417-6000024119660391190300
983317-700012110770382260600
973318-60000011467033333011100
963218-7000011361245370183000
953219-600000241156371268100
943119-700001217531232154100
933120-6000001134213342392000
923020-700001121142929165100
913021-600000144203024123100
902921-700000121124292192000
892922-6000001515262717620000
882822-700000171827251551000
872823-6000002919272313510000
862723-70000013102126221241000
852724-60000014122226211141000
842624-7000151323261993100
832625-60016152526177200
822525-70002818262515510
812526-600013102128231130
802426-7000151426291961
792427-600028193026122
782327-70014132632205
772328-600172034299
762228-7001314313616
752229-60018264024
742129-7014194234
732130-6002134044
722030-70193654
712031-60053163
701931-7032572
691932-60012079
681832-711485
671833-611089
661733-700793
651734-60694
641735-5595
631635-6199
621535-7199
611536-6199
601436-7199
25-59100
Total:000010002110417187777666665543