Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 30.7%
2 points   0 2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs Carolina-4.0-0.4-0.4+3.5+4.0+4.0
-0.2-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Chicago vs Philadelphia+0.4*+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.4
NY Islanders vs Toronto*-0.0-0.3-0.2*-0.2*-0.2+0.2
New Jersey vs NY Rangers*+0.0*-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1
Calgary vs Tampa Bay+0.2*-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.2-0.2
Colorado vs Florida+0.2*+0.0*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.2
Boston vs San Jose-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.2*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-158InYes100579*
1225715-6In96.4%96428*
1215514-9InYes10071*
1205616-6In98.3991116*
1195516-7In96.3991160*
1185416-8In96.79910300*
1175417-7In94.79802457*
1165317-8In92.79711715*
1155217-9In89.896131,148*
1145218-8In84.394331,689*
1135118-9In78.1904602,694*
1125119-8In73.0886703,994*
1115019-9In63.38281005,756*
1105020-8In53.677101318,175*
1094920-9In43.66913171011,453*
1084921-8In32.56115222015,584*
1074821-9In21.95218273021,283*
1064822-8In13.741213260028,195*
1054722-9In7.632223781037,004*
1044723-8In3.6242340121048,212*
1034623-9100.0%1.41622431730060,600*
1024624-8100.00.4920432251075,272*
1014524-999.90.15174227810092,282*
1004424-1099.80.0213383212200112,517*
994425-999.50.019323517400133,057*
984325-1098.70.00626362381000155,494*
974326-996.9No0419352713300179,903*
964226-1093.2No021331281961000203,323*
954227-986.5No018252725112000226,788*
944127-1075.5No0051923291761000249,218*
934128-960.4No003131628241131000269,619*
924028-1043.2No0181024291972000288,603*
914029-927.3No01551728251451000303,042*
903929-1014.8No003210222821103000313,318*
893930-96.9No00115152627176100318,718*
883830-102.8No00102920282412410321,323*
873831-91.0No00001413252920810316,703*
863731-100.3No0000271829271430309,655*
853732-90.1No0000131225312171297,676*
843632-100.0No00017193128122280,651*
833633-90.0No00003122833194261,502*
823533-100.0No000172235277239,801*
813534-90.0No0001416343412217,582*
803434-10OutNo000210304018194,397*
793435-9OutNo0016254325170,735*
783335-10OutNo0004194433148,442*
773336-9OutNo002134242126,402*
763236-10OutNo00193951106,282*
753237-9OutNo006345988,027*
743137-10OutNo004306672,031*
733138-9OutNo002257357,998*
723038-10OutNo01207945,551*
713039-9OutNo01168335,732*
702939-10OutNo00128727,264*
692940-9OutNo0099021,000*
682840-10OutNo089215,664*
672841-9OutNo059511,367*
662741-10OutNo04968,281*
652742-9OutNo3975,933*
642642-10OutNo2984,130*
632643-9OutNo01992,910*
622644-8OutNo1991,945*
612544-9OutNo1991,352*
602545-8OutNo199821*
592445-9OutNo199561*
56-58OutNo100672*
552348-7OutNo19985*
2-54OutNo100678*
Total:30.7%0.6%22686778889101096,562,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonOttawaNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghTampa BayMontrealColumbusNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersBostonTorontoFloridaBuffalo
158780-05.7%11495955910976443
1326210-6NoYes
1286012-6NoYes
1276114-350.05050
1255712-9No25252525
1245814-6No2791891818
1235714-711.81229186661266
1225715-63.6441171811117414444
1215514-91.4731010153786813343
1205616-63.4645593410169154271
1195516-75.68411684615610111461
1185416-85.39296936812986442
1175417-75.31149512341012686731
1165317-85.38411412549101093451
1155217-94.99393113412119104433
1145218-84.611412411441111784431
1135118-95.210412411441211884431
1125119-85.311412411441011885441
1115019-95.411412311441111884441
1105020-85.312312411441111883331
1094920-95.612312313441111883331
1084921-85.013313313341111883331
1074821-95.214314313331211883221
1064822-84.914314314331211773221
1054722-95.115215314331212772221
1044723-85.015215315331212772221
1034623-94.916316215221212772221
1024624-84.516316215321212772210
1014524-94.617316315231212761110
1004424-104.416316315331212761110
994425-94.416415415431211661110
984325-104.216515414441110661110
974326-94.115514514541010551110
964226-103.9146136135599551110
954227-93.5136126116588441110
944127-103.1116106105476331110
934128-92.5958584455221110
924028-101.7746453343111110
914029-91.0434232222110000
904030-80.6222121111000000
893930-90.3111111010000000
883931-80.1000000000000000
873831-90.0000000000000000
863832-80.0000000000000000
853732-90.00000000000000
843632-100.0000000000000
833835-5No000000
823836-4No00
813736-5No0
2-80No
Total:1.3%4.71.94.31.74.21.61.43.23.01.61.60.50.50.40.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Carolina+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.9
Chicago vs Philadelphia-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-158100
1225715-6964
1215514-9100
1205616-69811
1195516-79631
1185416-897210
1175417-795302
1165317-893511
1155217-990613
1145218-884933
1135118-978124060
1125119-87315670
1115019-9631980900
1105020-854239013001
1094920-94426130160010
1084921-833291412110200
1074821-922301712521300
1064822-814281832831050000
1054722-98241842962080010
1044723-842016727930110010
1034623-911413923146016103000
1024624-8091010181780202005010
1014524-90561011191112241080100
1004424-1002310518122237301202000
994425-901282141251911501614000
984325-10001519107131580202701000
974326-90030568716101215120300
964226-10002023831411319918161000
954227-900101161910514132231130000
944127-10000000405778152261761000
934128-90000202473131711221341000
924028-100001012619101423201031000
914029-900010140541317241993100
903929-10000000202199202418931000
893930-90000101053122124181041000
883830-10000001000215132124191041000
873831-900000001015132124191141000
863731-1000000001513212419104100
853732-900000002613222519103100
843632-1000000026142325188200
833633-90000002717252516610
823533-1000001392027241230
813534-900000141324292081
803434-1000027182928143
793435-90013112532226
783335-100001619333011
773336-9000313303617
763236-1000018254025
753237-90014194134
743137-10002144044
733138-900193753
723038-100163261
713039-90042769
702939-10022276
692940-9011782
682840-10011386
672841-901090
662741-100793
652742-90595
642642-10496
632643-90397
622644-8298
612544-9199
602545-80199
592445-9199
56-58100
552348-7199
2-54100
Total:111112112222334355555555555555