Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.7 to 35.5%
49 points   21 18-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 +0.9
NY Islanders 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)*+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Washington vs Carolina-4.2+1.2+1.2+6.8+7.7+7.7
Toronto vs Calgary-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.6
Arizona vs Florida+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121360-0In77.8%8001910310,513
119340-2InNo1001
118341-1InNo57437*
117331-2In17.533531540*
116332-1In9.81652275184*
115322-2In5.6101443870675*
114312-3In2.86034451402,160*
113313-2In1.13027492016,576*
112303-3In0.410174930218,090*
111304-2In0.110114539547,183*
110294-3In0.000638479112,452*
109284-4In0.0003295314256,394*
108285-3InNo001215621547,657*
107275-4100.0%0.000115552901,109,826*
106276-3100.0No0009523902,135,314*
105266-4100.0No0006464803,914,983*
104267-3100.0No0003395806,843,807*
103257-4100.0No00232660011,447,323*
102258-399.9No0125740018,342,506*
101248-499.7No00019800028,188,843*
100249-399.4No0014851041,589,723*
99239-498.8No00108910059,028,245*
982310-397.8No0079120080,646,738*
972210-495.9No0591400106,147,145*
962211-392.7No03907000134,696,179*
952111-487.6No0286120000164,984,130*
942011-580.0No0179191000195,061,936*
932012-469.4No00692740000222,859,735*
921912-556.1No005635810000246,039,988*
911913-441.5No0041411530000262,696,284*
901813-527.4No00274123710000271,270,107*
891814-415.8No001636311330000271,071,442*
881714-57.8No0827342281000262,162,339*
871715-43.2No03163129154100245,432,680*
861615-51.1No01823322410200222,458,669*
851616-40.3No00314283018610195,254,262*
841516-50.1No0171931271330165,900,144*
831517-40.0No0031125322171136,510,973*
821417-50.0No0015173030153108,767,569*
811418-40.0No00029243424683,906,401*
801318-50.0No000141633331362,627,898*
791319-40.0No00002927402245,269,953*
781320-3OutNo0000420423431,631,470*
771220-4OutNo000212394621,403,301*
761221-3OutNo0017345913,991,373*
751121-4OutNo000326708,841,588*
741122-3OutNo00219795,396,623*
731022-4OutNo00113863,182,597*
721023-3OutNo008911,807,958*
71923-4OutNo000595991,551*
70924-3OutNo00397522,884*
69824-4OutNo0298266,127*
68825-3OutNo0199130,215*
67725-4OutNo009960,720*
66726-3OutNo010027,329*
65626-4OutNo010011,839*
64627-3OutNo01004,775*
49-63OutNo100313,356*
Total:35.5%0.0%0000134181310865323,746,250,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersBuffaloPhiladelphiaTampa BayFloridaDetroitNew Jersey
121360-00.6%1211240530000000000
119340-2NoYes
118341-1No432929
117331-2No38281323
116332-11.1303020414111
115322-20.631292061210
114312-30.6293019119110
113313-20.5282817168210000
112303-30.525261425532000000
111304-20.622231233442000000
110294-30.6202010393530000000
109284-40.71918844353000000
108285-30.6191774726300000000
107275-40.720176462530000000
106276-30.7231964325300000000
105266-40.6262163915300000000
104267-30.6292373314200000000
103257-40.5332672713200000000
102258-30.5372882212200000000
101248-40.5403081722100000000
100249-30.4423291321100000000
99239-40.444339911100000000
982310-30.445349711000000000
972210-40.445349510000000000
962211-30.445349410000000000
2110-50.345339310000000000
952111-40.343329210000000000
2010-60.343329210000000000
942112-30.340308210000000000
2011-50.339298210000000000
1910-70.339298210000000000
932012-40.335267110000000000
1911-60.234267110000000000
922013-30.229226110000000000
1912-50.227206110000000000
911913-40.221164110000000000
1812-60.120154110000000000
901914-30.114103000000000000
891814-40.1862000000000000
881815-30.0431000000000000
871715-40.021000000000000
861716-30.010000000000000
851616-40.0000000000000
841617-30.00000000000
831517-40.00000000
821518-30.00000000
811418-40.0000000
801419-3No000
791117-8No0
49-78No
Total:0.1%16.912.73.51.60.50.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Carolina+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121360-078201910
119340-2100
118341-15743
117331-218155315
116332-1106521275
115322-26414403870
114312-333034045140
113313-212026149201
112303-30100171049302
111304-20000101045395
110294-30000510380479
109284-4000031029005314
108285-3000100021005621
107275-400000000140055290
106276-30000000900520390
105266-4000000500460480
104267-3000000300390580
103257-40000020003206600
102258-30000100025074000
101248-400000000019080000
100249-30000000014085010
99239-40000000100890100
982310-300000070910200
972210-4000040910400
962211-30000309007000
952111-4000010851120000
942011-5000010772191000
932012-40000006542740000
921912-50000049735810000
911913-4000003110401630000
901813-500017113825810000
891814-400079303216510000
881714-5002618312612410000
871715-40003823292210310000
861615-500131223272010310000
851616-400014132326191031000
841516-50001513232619103100
831517-40000151323261993000
821417-5000016142426198200
811418-4000002616262717610
801318-5000002718282714300
791319-400000310233224800
781320-30000141530341600
771220-400001824402700
761221-30000316394010
751121-400019345420
741122-30004266540
731022-4002187270
721023-30011276120
71923-4000775170
70924-30472241
69824-400266312
68825-30158383
67725-40049455
66726-3040519
65626-40315613
64627-30245719
63527-4175627
62528-3135630
61529-285339
60429-384448
59430-232671
58330-32278
57230-47525
49036-00199
Total:000000000000103041611865443322100