Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Beat NY Islanders 6-3, playoff odds up 5.5 to 18.9%
60 points   25 21-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Carolina 6 NY Islanders 3 +4.0
Philadelphia 1 New Jersey 2 (ot)-0.6
Minnesota 2 Boston 4 -0.4
Columbus 4 Ottawa 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
New Jersey vs Los Angeles-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
NY Rangers vs Philadelphia+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.5-0.6-0.3
Detroit vs Boston+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.3
Tampa Bay vs St. Louis-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
112260-0In2.0%3097090,878
111250-1InNo13888
110251-0InNo1963100*
109241-1InNo0981524*
108231-2In0.009732,004*
107232-1InNo09556,908*
106222-2In0.00919021,284*
105212-3InNo008614059,534*
104213-2InNo00792010151,366*
103203-3100.0%No007028200353,163*
102204-2100.0No006036400764,718*
101194-3100.0No0048447001,535,640*
100195-2100.0No00365013102,911,622*
99185-3100.0No002552212005,161,224*
98186-299.8No01649305008,657,054*
97176-399.1No0941381110013,688,243*
96177-296.8No05314120300020,590,795*
95167-391.1No02213731810029,330,673*
94168-279.9No011228391730039,840,766*
93158-362.9No06173928810051,442,177*
92148-443.1No03932371730063,459,480*
91149-325.1No013213928810074,599,039*
90139-412.3No0011132371620083,926,984*
891310-35.0No000522402660090,119,119*
881210-41.7No00021336361210092,684,099*
871211-30.4No0000627422230091,084,394*
861111-40.1No0002174133700085,740,728*
851112-30.0No0001934411410077,148,198*
841012-40.0No0000424452330066,537,246*
831013-30.0No00214423470054,808,927*
82913-40.0No00073442152043,274,828*
81914-30.0No00032344254032,600,574*
80915-2OutNo00113403410123,516,494*
79815-3OutNo007314118216,164,684*
78816-2OutNo003214228510,625,773*
77716-3OutNo001123838116,638,046*
76717-2OutNo0062945203,956,126*
75617-3OutNo0032047312,234,079*
74618-2OutNo011243441,201,149*
73518-3OutNo0063757608,705*
72519-2OutNo032869293,226*
71419-3OutNo012078131,387*
70420-2OutNo0138655,928*
69320-3OutNo0089221,761*
68321-2OutNo05958,036*
67322-1OutNo02982,627*
66222-2OutNo298881*
65223-1OutNo0100239*
62-64OutNo10069*
60026-0OutNo010090,873
Total:18.9%0.0%00145913171916104201,096,142,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonFloridaNY RangersTampa BayBostonNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealOttawaTorontoBuffaloColumbus
112260-00.9%006200200133100
111250-1No50131325
110251-0No68121262
109241-10.459221440
108231-20.40592301341
107232-10.8059231341
106222-20.80060002201341
105212-30.9006000230134100
104213-20.800590023013410
103203-30.90158002301241000
102204-20.802571022012410000
101194-30.804551122112410000
100195-20.8185121201114100000
99185-30.82134642182103100000
196-10.82134642182103100000
98186-20.8518405315383100000
175-40.8619386414383100000
97176-30.81123317411362100000
187-10.8922336412372100000
165-50.81324287510362100000
96177-20.8192523758442000000
166-40.7212521857441000000
155-60.7222421757441000000
95167-30.7312315745331000000
178-10.7302316745331000000
156-50.7332213744321000000
94168-20.638189633211000000
157-40.639178532210000000
146-60.639168532210000000
93158-30.439115321110000000
147-50.43894321110000000
169-10.439115421110000000
92159-20.33362211100000000
148-40.33152210100000000
137-60.33052210100000000
91149-30.22121100000000000
1510-10.22431100000000000
138-50.11821100000000000
901410-20.11210000000000000
139-40.11010000000000000
891310-30.050000000000000
881311-20.02000000000000
871211-30.00000000000
861212-20.00000000000
851112-30.000000000
841113-20.0000000
831013-3No0
821014-2No0
81914-3No0
60-80No
Total:0.1%9.33.22.71.00.60.90.40.50.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 6 NY Islanders 3 -0.7
Columbus 4 Ottawa 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Rangers vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112260-021009610
111250-1136325
110251-019063
109241-1085141
108231-2007819030
107232-106628050
106222-20053371900
105212-30004045101400
104213-2000274930191010
103203-30001649502620200
102204-20008438131504000
101194-3000333102349107000
100195-2000121113331430130100
99185-3000011942719602102000
98186-200056518211002915000
97176-300234918141362110100
96177-2000133121523642003000
95167-300001161223063108100
94168-20001027320838117300
93158-30000132107372288100
92148-400000114528437173000
91149-3000000112165382881000
90139-4000000017430371730000
891310-3000000023193829910000
881210-400000001929361951000
871211-30000000316333014410000
861111-4000000162132251130000
851112-3000000292330231020000
841012-400000312242921820000
831013-30001413262919710000
82913-40000151527281761000
81914-3000016182927144100
80915-20002820302512300
79815-30000210243122810
78816-2000141428311850
77716-300016193329122
76717-20002102635225
75617-30000416353311
74618-20018284121
73518-30004194434
72519-2001114048
71419-300063361
70420-20032473
69320-3011782
68321-201189
67322-10694
66222-2397
65223-1199
62-64100
60026-00100
Total:0000000011104181121413108764321100