Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.003 to 4.3%
15 points   6 12-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.2
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.2
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 -1.8
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.3
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.2
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116-137In100.0%1005,583*
115478-6In66.767333*
114468-7In16.75017336*
113469-6In22.2391739618*
1124610-5In40.056736245*
1114510-6In20.8401740372*
1104511-5In21.64515382171*
1094411-6In11.02717497337*
1084311-7In3.0181754110625*
1074312-6In3.31517551401,179*
1064212-7In0.7916571802,133*
1054112-8In0.3514572303,573*
1044113-7In0.1312553016,145*
1034114-6In0.021052352010,491*
1024014-7InNo1747423017,136*
1013914-8100.0%No05414850026,694*
1003915-7100.0No03355381042,440*
993815-899.8No0229561120064,518*
983816-799.4No01235814410095,558*
973716-898.1No011757177200140,335*
963717-795.3No01254181141000200,062*
953617-889.7No0848171682000279,447*
943618-780.4No05411420145100381,117*
933518-867.6No0334102120102000511,544*
923519-752.5No022661825166100669,438*
913419-837.0No0119314262411200861,012*
903420-724.0No0013292329186101,085,778*
893320-814.2No0815183025112001,337,864*
883321-77.8No0502122731185101,621,161*
873221-84.0No03017213225101001,923,777*
863222-71.9No02003143032163002,234,705*
853122-80.9No0100182435246002,548,064*
843123-70.4No00001417343111102,846,465*
833023-80.1No00000211303718103,121,088*
823024-70.1No00016244026303,360,630*
812924-80.0No00003173935603,540,093*
802925-70.0No00002113542903,665,531*
792825-80.0No0001730481413,718,229*
782826-70.0No0000423522013,706,057*
772726-80.0No0000217522723,621,925*
762727-70.0No000112503443,476,083*
752627-8OutNo0008464063,267,756*
742628-7OutNo005404693,016,762*
732528-8OutNo0033450132,728,256*
722529-7OutNo0012853172,427,729*
712429-8OutNo0012255232,113,141*
702430-7OutNo001754291,806,386*
692330-8OutNo001252351,515,303*
682331-7OutNo00949421,244,973*
672231-8OutNo0644491,006,017*
662232-7OutNo044056796,274*
652132-8OutNo033463616,902*
642133-7OutNo022969469,659*
632033-8OutNo012475350,383*
622034-7OutNo12080256,654*
611934-8OutNo01684183,808*
601935-7OutNo01288128,450*
591835-8OutNo099188,776*
581836-7OutNo079359,554*
571736-8OutNo059539,625*
561737-7OutNo049625,492*
551637-8OutNo039716,135*
541638-7OutNo02989,882*
531639-6OutNo1996,032*
521539-7OutNo1993,530*
511439-8OutNo1991,997*
501440-7OutNo01001,189*
491441-6OutNo0100630*
15-48OutNo1006,313*
Total:4.3%0.0%00021124610162621967,314,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitMontrealOttawaTorontoWashingtonBostonNY RangersFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusBuffalo
137610-01.7%144710121211119104400
117498-4No5050
116488-5No5050
115478-6No333333
114457-9No1717331717
1134710-4No664461161166
1124610-5No7227227117911429
1114510-6No101284107461174161
1104511-51.8843155951277224
1094411-61.2103394654959322
1084311-72.4122452342748324
1074312-60.915142333493924300
1064212-71.51614622339282230
1054112-81.11714922228281330
1044113-71.219149122192713200
1034114-61.01915112119181320
1024014-71.22015211119181220
1013914-80.92125211118170320
1003915-71.22135121118170220
993815-81.12145022118070220
983816-71.021548321170602200
973716-81.02274542117060220
963717-71.02384243116150220
953617-80.92393743115040210
3516-100.92393743115040210
943618-70.82293243114030110
3719-50.82293242114030110
933518-80.62072632003020110
3619-60.72082732003020110
3417-100.620726320030201100
923519-70.516620310020201100
3620-50.51662032002020110
913419-80.412415210010100000
3318-100.31141421001010000
903420-70.28210110010100000
893320-80.1516000000000000
883321-70.1214000000000000
873221-80.0102000000000000
863222-70.0101000000000000
853122-80.0001000000000000
843123-70.000000000000000
833023-80.0000000000000
823024-70.0000000000000
813025-60.000000000
802925-70.0000000
792825-8No000
782927-5No00
772827-6No00
762828-5No0
15-75No
Total:0.0%1.20.41.90.20.10.00.00.20.00.20.00.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117-137100
116488-55050
115478-66733
114468-717331733
113469-6221717396
1124610-540167362
1114510-62119151403
1104511-5222313135222
1094411-6111616144417
1084311-731514343831100
1074312-6311124391141300
1064212-7189732168017100
1054112-80577251912122100
1044113-70347152316125311
1034114-6022782219326630200
1024014-7116418187261060300
1013914-8014114171022161005000
1003915-7003081313162115171100
993815-800205816922213922000
983816-70010251642125811440100
973716-800101214216251410760200
963717-7000111011212281010141000
953617-80000806142851213382000
943618-7000503830312137135100
933518-8000301428191011171141000
923519-700020224066131818930000
913419-8001011803211152217720000
903420-700001302189212315620000
893320-80008010541524221351000
883321-70005002281925211241000
873221-800030010412222620103100
863222-70020000151524261872000
853122-8001000028182625155100
843123-700000001310212822113000
833023-8000000015142528197100
823024-700000027192926133000
812924-80000013122531217100
802925-70000001618302813300
792825-800000311263321510
782826-70000161933291010
772726-80000031330351730
762727-700001724372460
752627-80004173731101
742628-70002113337152
732528-800172740224
722529-700042040296
712429-800215383610
702430-700110344115
692330-80006284521
682331-7004234627
672231-8002174635
662232-7001124443
652132-80194051
642133-70063559
632033-80043066
622034-7022573
611934-8012078
601935-7011683
591835-8001287
581836-70991
571736-80793
561737-70595
551637-80397
541638-70298
531639-6298
521539-7199
511439-8199
501440-7199
491441-60100
15-48100
Total:00000000000200011223456810121413105