Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 2-1, playoff odds up 2 to 28.7%
35 points   14 11-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Carolina 2 Columbus 1 +4.4
+0.1
NY Islanders 4 Los Angeles 3 (ot)-0.6
Boston 2 NY Rangers 3 (ot)-0.6
Philadelphia 2 Dallas 1 (ot)-0.5
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 4 -0.4
Washington 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)-0.4
Ottawa 3 Montreal 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vegas vs Florida+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
135500-0In100.0%10005,243
121-123InYes1006*
120405-5In30.0406020*
119417-2In54.8604042*
118407-3In50.0544692*
117397-4In40.546530215*
116387-5In30.237630477*
115388-4In22.4316811,004*
114378-5In17.2277121,976*
113379-4In10.82177303,754*
112369-5In6.51680406,933*
111359-6In4.1128260012,124*
1103510-5In2.098290021,053*
1093410-6In0.9680131035,754*
1083411-5In0.34761810057,956*
1073311-6In0.12702530091,824*
1063312-5In0.016231500141,816*
1053212-6100.0%0.0153379100211,614*
1043213-5100.00.00424214200307,179*
1033113-6100.0No0324320400436,792*
1023114-5100.0No02342277100600,831*
1013014-699.9No015373313200806,528*
1003015-599.5No093037195001,056,523*
992915-698.6No0522362791001,346,346*
982916-596.6No02143233153001,675,184*
972816-692.5No1825352371002,031,771*
962817-585.4No04173331132002,404,754*
952717-674.9No02102735205002,776,675*
942718-561.2No01520362991003,132,108*
932618-645.8No002123135162003,450,964*
922518-730.8No001623382560003,709,040*
912519-618.3No00031535341110003,892,229*
902419-79.5No0001828392030003,990,815*
892420-64.3No000420392971003,996,079*
882320-71.7No0002123436142003,908,714*
872321-60.5No00162639226103,737,519*
862221-70.1No000317373011203,492,364*
852222-60.0No001103136184003,186,797*
842122-70.0No00052337268102,839,058*
832123-60.0No00215343314202,474,681*
822023-70.0No0019283721402,108,788*
812024-6OutNo005213829801,751,344*
802025-5OutNo0021435361301,423,168*
791925-6OutNo001929412011,131,657*
781926-5OutNo0052343281875,988*
771826-6OutNo0021642372664,349*
761827-5OutNo011038464492,231*
751727-6OutNo00632547354,508*
741728-5OutNo004266010249,164*
731628-6OutNo002206414171,847*
721629-5OutNo001146620115,360*
711529-6OutNo009652675,428*
701530-5OutNo06613348,276*
691430-6OutNo004573930,201*
681431-5OutNo02524618,234*
671331-6OutNo01465210,910*
661332-5OutNo040596,174*
651232-6OutNo032673,463*
641233-5OutNo029711,877*
631133-6OutNo019801,004*
621134-5OutNo1981530*
611135-4OutNo1387239*
601035-5OutNo1387134*
591036-4OutNo49656*
58936-5OutNo69418*
57937-4OutNo89212*
35-56OutNo1005,252*
Total:28.7%0.0%023581113151411863065,385,066

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoWashingtonBostonNew JerseyColumbusNY RangersNY IslandersPhiladelphiaPittsburghMontrealFloridaOttawaDetroitBuffalo
135500-01.9%1161171116171271110
123424-4NoYes
122414-5YesYes
121415-4No25252525
120405-5No55153010105155
119417-2No102626171452
118407-3No1411021151317521
117397-42.81811613171610710
116387-51.31602016161867000
115388-42.1019116151717770000
114378-51.4016117161717960100
113379-41.70170161718151060000
112369-51.70170171716161050000
111359-61.7018017171716950000
1103510-51.7017016181716950000
1093410-61.70170171817169500000
1083411-51.70018017181716950000
1073311-61.70018017181716840000
1063312-51.60018018181716840000
1053212-61.50018017191715840000
1043213-51.600180181917158400000
1033113-61.510190181917157400000
1023114-51.510190181917157400000
1013014-61.430190181916157300000
1003015-51.45018017191614630000
992915-61.3100180171815136300000
982916-51.2160170151613115200000
972816-61.2230150141411104200000
2917-41.1230150131411104200000
962817-51.12901201112983100000
2716-71.03001201111973100000
2615-91.03001201111973100000
952717-60.93409088752100000
2616-80.83409088652100000
942718-50.73406065431100000
2516-90.73406065431100000
932618-60.53004033321000000
2517-80.52903033221000000
922619-50.32202022110000000
912519-60.21401011100000000
902520-50.1800000000000000
892420-60.0400000000000000
882421-50.0100000000000000
872321-60.0000000000000000
862322-50.000000000000000
852222-60.00000000000
842223-50.000000000
832022-8No000
822225-3No00
35-81No
Total:0.3%10.20.13.80.03.63.63.02.61.10.50.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 2 Columbus 1 -0.7
Boston 2 NY Rangers 3 (ot)+0.1
NY Islanders 4 Los Angeles 3 (ot)+0.1
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 4 +0.0
SundayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
135500-01000
121-123100
120405-5301060
119417-255540
118407-350446
117397-4406530
116387-53076200
115388-42296711
114378-5171070220
113379-4111073330
112369-57107554000
111359-64873950000
1103510-527671481000
1093410-6156020102110
1083411-5034927125101000
1073311-60238321392030000
1063312-5012736131440500000
1053212-60117361120618101000
1043213-50010337258211302000
1033113-605274261041460040000
1023114-50221224107151110701000
1013014-601141198101318101112000
1003015-5008013511924201645000
992915-6005083115273119890100
982916-500204192254218141413000
972816-60102061183315211947100
962817-50010301124924229122000
952717-60002061342320161861000
942718-5000102031181422231230000
932618-600000101012724232092000
922518-7000000106321182517720000
912519-6000000031141023251561000
902419-7000000010851626241451000
892420-600000004181927231241000
882320-7000000203102127211131000
872321-6000010141323272093000
862221-700000151525261772000
852222-60000027172625155100
842122-70000003920282312410
832123-6000014122428208200
822023-700001616272716510
812024-60000292230241020
802025-5000141428311840
791925-600028223327900
781926-5000141431341510
771826-60002825392410
761827-5001418403430
751727-6000212374450
741728-50017315290
731628-60042458140
721629-50021760201
711529-6011260261
701530-500756342
691430-600451414
681431-50245466
671331-6139519
661332-51325513
651232-60235918
641233-50195823
631133-6115831
621134-5115336
611135-455440
601035-544948
591036-44159
58936-53367
57937-42575
35-56100
Total:0001011113012546677777665543200