Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Tied with NY Rangers 0-0 (7:00 PM ET), playoff odds down 0.0006 to 0.1%
21 points   9 19-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0NoNoNoNoNo
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Rangers vs Carolina-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
NoNoNoNoNo+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123510-0In98.4%991382
105396-6InNo1001
104408-3InNo50502*
103398-4InNo50502
102388-5InNo1003*
101378-6InNo102040201010*
100368-7InNo3138131916*
993710-4InNo6102623261031*
983610-597.3%No1517312815375*
973510-693.8No71036271451146*
963410-790.0No6429272491299*
953411-680.0No2125223016400475*
943412-565.3No01120133023101894*
933312-650.1No00149263015401,482*
923212-733.9No00842134246102,460*
913213-622.3No006214323014203,903*
903113-711.3No03172536225005,951*
893114-65.8No204193530101009,094*
883014-72.7No0102113035173013,917*
873015-61.2No001623382561020,120*
862915-70.4No003153533121028,175*
852916-60.1No00192938193039,747*
842816-70.0No00052140276052,409*
832817-60.0No0002153634111068,725*
822717-70.0No00193139183088,213*
812718-60.0No000524412650109,765*
802618-7OutNo00216393390133,440*
792619-6OutNo01103439141160,024*
782519-7OutNo0062743212185,362*
772520-6OutNo0032043294210,574*
762420-7OutNo0011441376234,166*
752421-6OutNo019364410253,886*
742321-7OutNo005304915268,601*
732322-6OutNo003235222277,470*
722222-7OutNo002175229281,371*
712223-6OutNo01125037278,845*
702123-7OutNo0084646268,336*
692124-6OutNo0054154253,922*
682024-7OutNo033562234,892*
672025-6OutNo022969211,323*
661925-7OutNo012476187,056*
651926-6OutNo001881160,574*
641826-7OutNo01486134,626*
631827-6OutNo01189110,878*
621727-7OutNo089288,692*
611728-6OutNo059469,543*
601628-7OutNo049653,634*
591629-6OutNo39739,905*
581529-7OutNo19928,440*
571530-6OutNo019920,549*
561430-7OutNo19914,034*
551431-6OutNo01009,639*
541331-7OutNo01006,374*
531332-6OutNo01004,057*
521232-7OutNo01002,489*
511233-6OutNo01001,496*
21-50OutNo1002,425*
Total:0.1%0.0%00000000012491730374,632,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoDetroitNY RangersMontrealWashingtonFloridaOttawaBostonPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbus
123510-00.5%146971914141174201
105396-6NoYes
104408-3No5050
103398-4No5050
102388-5No333333
101378-6No3010302010
100368-7No25132513196
993710-4No13101032131066
983610-5No162115131319134
973510-60.7151810102237712
963410-7No231613151325112
3511-5No19181281248421
953411-6No22221011424311
3310-80.5201313101433100
3512-4No2619314133312
943412-5No2312879241111
3311-7No2012965451111
3210-90.62312635321111
3513-3No25138682311
933312-60.81710755221000
3211-8No19105641211
3413-4No22107641200
3110-10No18874613111
923313-5No167424010100
3212-70.1166333010100
3111-90.21456330100
3414-30.2156533120
913213-60.1104322010000
3112-80.1942220100
3314-40.111523200000
3011-100.2642220010
903113-7No5221100000
3214-5No521110000
3012-9No42211010
3315-3No42231010
893114-6No3110000000
3013-8No31110000
3215-4No211110000
2912-10No21111000
883115-50.011000000
3014-7No100000000
2913-90.0100000000
872914-80.000000000000
862915-7No00000000000
853017-4No00000000
842917-5No000000
832817-6No0000
822717-7No0
812718-6No0
21-80No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 4 Arizona 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Carolina vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Carolina+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123510-09811
105396-6100
104408-35050
103398-45050
102388-53367
101378-6101010402010
100368-76256316619
993710-4636323131019610
983610-51141162191612153
973510-615102412121512251
963410-715415141017196910
953411-62181741721915500
943412-50114162121515211120
933312-600212181214241871
923212-700180451624261241
913213-60005022121627221020
903113-700310792529187100
893114-602004416292614410
883014-7010022922302310200
873015-60010413272918610
862915-70001719302613300
852916-60000311253121710
842816-700001517302914400
832817-600002102432228100
822717-700001417302915400
812718-6000210253322710
802618-7001517312914300
792619-600210263421610
782519-701519332912200
772520-6000212283419400
762420-70016223527810
752421-60031433341420
742321-7001927382140
732322-6000420382980
722222-7002133436131
712223-60182941202
702123-70042243283
692124-60021541366
682024-70011037449
672025-6006314914
661925-7003245319
651926-6002185427
641826-7001125334
631827-60085042
621727-70054550
611728-6033958
601628-7023365
591629-6012771
581529-7002278
571530-601783
561430-701387
551431-601090
541331-70892
531332-6595
521232-70397
511233-6397
501133-7298
491134-6199
481034-70100
471035-6100
461036-5199
21-45100
Total:0000000000000000001124681216192010