Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 52.7%
7 points   3 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers vs San Jose-0.2-0.5-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-159InYes100916*
1235414-8In99.1%1000217*
1225314-9In99.11000338*
1215315-8In98.39910529*
1205316-7In97.39910889*
1195216-8In95.398211,497*
1185217-7In94.097312,136*
1175117-8In91.796313,378*
1165118-7In88.694415,060*
1155018-8In83.6926207,418*
1144918-9In78.18983010,475*
1134919-8In71.085114014,780*
1124819-9In62.580137020,655*
1114820-8In53.1741790027,738*
1104720-9In42.66622120037,013*
1094721-8In32.25826161048,605*
1084621-9In22.74929202062,152*
1074622-8In14.740332530079,658*
1064522-9In8.431353040099,086*
1054523-8In4.3223635600120,823*
1044423-9100.0%1.715353910100144,702*
1034424-8100.00.610324214200172,320*
1024324-9100.00.25284419300200,691*
1014325-8100.00.032344256100230,149*
1004225-999.90.011741309100259,345*
994226-899.70.0012363413300288,637*
984126-999.2No083037185100313,754*
974127-897.8No05243722102000339,613*
964027-994.8No03173524154100359,276*
954028-888.7No011230242192000374,553*
943928-978.8No017252026155100385,477*
933929-864.7No0418152722103000389,296*
923829-948.0No0212102427176100386,886*
913830-831.8No0185182824124100379,183*
903730-918.5No0052112428198200366,958*
893731-89.5No00216172726145100348,830*
883631-94.2No00103112329229200328,141*
873632-81.7No00101516282816510302,667*
863532-90.6No0000210223023920274,908*
853533-80.2No0000151629291640245,882*
843433-90.0No0000021024322381215,861*
833434-80.0No00015173130132187,909*
823334-90.0No0003112834204161,215*
813335-80.0No000172236277134,892*
803235-9OutNo00416353411112,161*
793236-8OutNo0021131401792,141*
783136-9OutNo001625432474,084*
773137-8OutNo00420443258,296*
763037-9OutNo00215434045,904*
753038-8OutNo0111404835,371*
742938-9OutNo017365726,894*
732939-8OutNo04326419,988*
722839-9OutNo03277114,828*
712840-8OutNo02227710,490*
702740-9OutNo0118817,456*
692741-8OutNo114855,297*
682641-9OutNo010903,687*
672541-10OutNo08922,525*
662542-9OutNo06941,696*
652543-8OutNo04961,133*
642443-9OutNo397691*
632444-8OutNo199472*
622344-9OutNo199284*
612345-8OutNo199173*
602245-9OutNo298102*
7-59OutNo100755*
Total:52.7%1.8%47131488887765427,848,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoOttawaNew JerseyPhiladelphiaColumbusNY IslandersBostonFloridaPittsburghDetroitWashingtonBuffaloNY RangersMontreal
159760-06.5%27691099751088452
1325910-7NoYes
1315810-8NoYes
1305710-9No333333
1295913-4No14431429
1285611-918.291891899999
1275612-8No12164412124124884
1265613-74.825252112771017227
1255513-85.8176661212771361043
1245514-75.47421110121086389272
1235414-86.944710891294978270
1225314-95.6477771210671256352
1215315-84.3256910101357977441
1205316-74.6346109101168878442
1195216-86.3357981210761069341
1185217-76.4346911910761069452
1175117-85.435599111067978342
1165118-76.3355910111176979441
1155018-86.5355109111076968341
1144918-96.23551010101077979441
1134919-86.23551010101067969341
1124819-95.83551010111176968341
1114820-86.03551111111166968341
1104720-96.03551111111166968341
1094721-85.83551212121166968341
1084621-95.73441313131155958341
1074622-85.83441314131155958241
1064522-95.83441414141144958231
1054523-85.63441515141144848231
1044423-95.42331616151144938231
1034424-85.42331717151133838131
1024324-95.33331818161233838130
1014325-85.13331818161222828130
1004225-95.03331818161222827130
994226-85.04331919161222827130
984126-94.85431818161121817130
974127-84.67441818151111817030
964027-94.48541717141011716020
954028-84.0955161512811615020
943928-93.61065141310711514020
933929-82.9105511118511313010
923829-92.1844886411212010
913830-81.4633554200101000
903730-90.8422332100101000
893731-80.4211221100000000
883631-90.2100110000000000
873632-80.1000000000000000
863633-70.0000000000000000
853533-80.00000000000000
843433-90.00000000000
833434-8No0000000000
823435-7No00
813436-6No000
7-80No
Total:2.6%4.02.72.59.08.97.65.41.21.13.91.13.40.51.40.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs San Jose+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
124-159100
1235414-89900
1225314-99910
1215315-898110
1205316-797210
1195216-895221
1185217-794331
1175117-892431
1165118-789641
1155018-88486020
1144918-9781180300
1134919-871141004000
1124819-962171306000
1114820-8532117090000
1104720-94323211110000
1094721-83226251150010
1084621-923262721911200
1074622-81525294222220000
1064522-98222962433040000
1054523-841827924650600000
1044423-92132312229801000100
1034424-8191815181212013112000
1024324-90512161315161162103000
1014325-8037157151921933060100
1004225-90141331419518650901000
994226-8002111101781510901213000
984126-9018061311101313116250100
974127-800503813514162175902000
964027-9003014122121751691414100
954028-80010021018148111218392000
943928-900101704911614197145100
933929-800004025112131412191141000
923829-900002012101981619181031000
913830-80001017053151422181031000
903730-900000040211081822181041000
893731-80000201063101923191151000
883631-900001000314111923201252000
873632-800010001014111923211352000
863532-90000000014111924211351000
853533-800000001411192421125100
843433-900000001512202521114100
833434-80000015132326199300
823334-900002716252617610
813335-800001391928251330
803235-900141224292171
793236-8000027183028143
783136-90013122633215
773137-800172034299
763037-9000314323615
753038-80029274022
742938-9015214231
732939-8003154239
722839-9001113849
712840-80173557
702740-9043164
692741-8032671
682641-90022078
672541-1011683
662542-901288
652543-801090
642443-9793
632444-8694
622344-9397
612345-8199
602245-9496
592246-8100
582247-7397
7-57100
Total:2233334343434354544444333332221