Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.4*-0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Washington vs Montreal-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Detroit vs Boston+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-164InYes1007,733*
1275914-9In99.7%1000374*
125-126In99.91001,650*
1245816-8In99.910001,881*
1235716-9In99.810003,096*
1225717-8In99.8100004,954*
1215617-9In99.6100008,016*
1205618-8In99.31000012,372*
1195518-9In99.11000018,706*
1185519-8In98.4990028,540*
1175419-9In97.5991042,009*
1165420-8In96.4981160,654*
1155320-9In94.49721087,687*
1145321-8In91.796220122,140*
1135221-9In88.194330168,823*
1125121-10In83.292540228,929*
1115122-9In76.6887500307,082*
1105022-10In68.8839700403,063*
1095023-9In59.278121000525,234*
1084923-10In48.470151410668,929*
1074924-9In37.3621918100840,767*
1064824-10In26.45323222001,037,254*
1054825-9In16.84226274001,263,489*
1044725-10100.0%9.432293360001,515,939*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,790,197*
1024626-10100.01.81529411320002,080,938*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,387,322*
1004527-1099.90.15234224610002,693,764*
994528-999.80.021840291020002,998,533*
984428-1099.50.0113353314400003,284,106*
974429-998.50.009293518710003,553,359*
964329-1096.10.00523352111310003,780,960*
954330-990.9No03163222177200003,972,645*
944230-1081.3No0211272022135100004,109,554*
934231-967.0No01721152319103100004,191,259*
924131-1049.3No041592124177200004,214,634*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,180,740*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,085,085*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,934,748*
883933-103.8No002027172525156103,739,335*
873934-91.5No0010131021272311303,504,256*
863834-100.5No000001514252818613,235,669*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,947,738*
843735-100.1No00000141326311952,649,426*
833736-90.0No0000002821332792,346,287*
823636-100.0No00000014153134152,047,281*
813637-90.0No00000292739231,762,578*
803537-100.0No0000152141321,500,030*
793538-9OutNo00031540411,255,515*
783438-10OutNo00011037511,036,978*
773439-9OutNo000173360844,418*
763339-10OutNo00042769678,382*
753340-9OutNo0022276537,349*
743240-10OutNo0011782419,024*
733241-9OutNo011387323,289*
723141-10OutNo000990245,241*
713142-9OutNo00793183,203*
703042-10OutNo00595134,884*
693043-9OutNo039798,932*
682943-10OutNo029870,621*
672944-9OutNo029849,642*
662844-10OutNo019934,838*
652845-9OutNo019923,900*
642745-10OutNo010016,167*
632746-9OutNo010010,911*
622646-10OutNo01006,957*
612647-9OutNo01004,557*
602547-10OutNo1002,925*
592548-9OutNo01001,827*
0-58OutNo10010,055*
Total:50.0%3.3%661313666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealNY RangersBostonNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.9%767766777676777
1396710-5NoYes
1386812-250.05050
1366713-2No5050
1356512-5No5050
1346210-1025.025252525
1336211-99.19999999279
1326313-618.299991899918
1316112-96.97771031437147777
1306113-810.6156926642441111496
1296114-79.31662466868477649
1286014-86.2862694789976747
1275914-97.5955886757576598
1265915-85.99655759976655710
1255815-97.8856576967695587
1245816-87.9864677758686679
1235716-97.7856686758677578
1225717-88.1865676868686688
1215617-97.7765586868685688
1205618-87.5866685858686688
1195518-97.6856586858686688
1185519-87.6866586858686688
1175419-97.6866685868686688
1165420-87.3866686868686688
1155320-97.4856686868686688
1145321-87.3866685858686688
1135221-97.4855585868586588
1125121-107.5855585858585588
1115122-97.4855585858585588
1105022-107.3855585858585588
1095023-97.3855585958595588
1084923-107.3955595959595599
1074924-97.2955595959595599
1064824-107.2944494949494499
1054825-97.11044410410410410441010
1044725-106.91044410410410410441010
1034726-96.91033310310310310331010
1024626-106.71133311311311311331111
1014627-96.61133311311311311331111
1004527-106.51133311311311311331111
994528-96.31123211211311211321111
984428-106.21123211311211211231111
974429-96.01133311311311311331111
964329-105.71133311311311311331111
954330-95.31033310310310310331010
944230-104.7833383838383388
934231-93.8722272727272277
924131-102.8522252525252255
914132-91.8311131313131133
904032-101.0211121212121122
894033-90.5100010101010011
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863834-100.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843735-100.0000000000000000
833736-90.0000000000000000
823737-80.00000000000
813637-90.00000000
803638-80.000000
0-79No
Total:3.1%5.31.61.61.65.21.65.31.65.21.65.31.61.65.35.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Washington vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-164100
1275914-91000
1265915-81000
1255815-9100
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999000
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-896211
1155320-9943210
1145321-8924220
1135221-988630300
1125121-10838504000
1115122-977117050000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-95918120100000
1084923-104822150130010
1074924-93725181170010000
1064824-1026262112111020000
1054825-917262422421040000
1044725-1092324426420600000
1034726-9419237267509001000
1024626-1021320102310801200020000
1014627-9181512171412016110400000
1004527-100510131015151193206010000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-100131021117516980131400000
974429-90018071491112120162701000
964329-1000050391151216217411031000
954330-900301411210174148161720000
944230-1000200290614791118313510000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-10000040141018101120189310000
914132-9000020028054111622189310000
904032-10000100160218818231810410000
894033-90000003010431019231911410000
883933-1000000020002131019232013620000
873934-900001001013918232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-90000000000138172323167200
843735-1000000000013917242315610
833736-90000000013101926231341
823636-10000000000141222282292
813637-9000000016152729174
803537-10000000292132269
793538-90001414303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-900015194135
763339-1000002133946
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052866
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-10000990
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-90100
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
0-58100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333