Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 0-3, average seed down 0.1 to 2.2
109 points   50 19-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville 3 Carolina 0 -0.1
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1 -0.1
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1 +0.1
New Jersey 8 Columbus 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.2-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Boston vs New Jersey+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115-117InNo10016,383,245*
11421-1InNo87134,801,615
10-3InNo8713110,929
11322-0InNo76246,430,217
11-2InNo7624894,193
00-4InNo75255,020
11212-1InNo42582,387,769
01-3InNo435753,467
11113-0InNo28722,135,835
02-2InNo2872214,425
11003-1InNo793383,318
10904-0InNo26929259,375
Total:InNo8218034,059,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNew JerseyNY RangersNY IslandersFloridaPittsburghBuffalo
11740-05.0%6614200
11630-15.06023170
11531-05.05924170
20-25.05530151
11421-14.9134727131
10-34.9134431111
11322-04.7244025111
11-24.7243828101
00-44.425362991
11212-14.358201650
01-34.457201750
11113-04.172131130
02-24.172131230
11003-13.9933310
10904-03.62951100
Total:4.8%0.018.046.821.713.00.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)