Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Lost to Los Angeles 2-3, playoff odds down 4 to 8.6%
15 points   6 10-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles 3 Carolina 2 -2.2
-0.0
Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 +0.4
Colorado 2 Washington 3 -0.3
Ottawa 3 Nashville 2 -0.2
Montreal 4 St. Louis 1 -0.1
Winnipeg 3 Detroit 4 -0.1
Toronto 5 Tampa Bay 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.3*-0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2
Edmonton vs New Jersey+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs NY Islanders+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Columbus vs Boston+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115-141In99.7%100737*
1144610-7In72.77318911*
1134611-6In61.167112218*
1124511-7In54.967102451*
1114512-6In31.855935188*
1104412-7In24.74017412174*
1094413-6In14.73316492285*
1084313-7In10.12318553505*
1074314-6In5.619195560817*
1064214-7In1.8111763901,400*
1054114-8In0.8715661202,266*
1044115-7In0.24146517103,524*
1034015-8In0.0212632215,573*
1024016-7InNo196027208,333*
1013916-8100.0%No07553440012,459*
1003917-799.9No04503961018,076*
993817-899.8No034344920025,381*
983818-799.3No02354712410035,523*
973718-897.9No01284914620048,621*
963719-794.7No121471511410064,550*
953619-888.6No015441415930084,530*
943620-778.6No010391118146100108,158*
933520-864.9No06338182011300136,414*
923521-749.4No042551624187100168,026*
913421-834.2No02182112425133000202,982*
903422-721.5No0113172029217100241,372*
893322-812.5No0080415282814300280,174*
883323-76.8No05029243121710320,104*
873223-83.3No030151731281320358,581*
863224-71.5No0100211273320500394,019*
853124-80.7No010016213428910426,209*
843125-70.3No000031431341520449,544*
833025-80.1No00001826382340467,983*
823026-70.0No00000519383170478,256*
812926-80.0No00002133538110478,833*
802826-90.0No000183044171470,606*
792827-80.0No000052346241455,852*
782828-70.0No00021746313431,019*
772728-8OutNo0011244394400,605*
762729-7OutNo001840467365,356*
752629-8OutNo005345110328,730*
742630-7OutNo003285614289,574*
732530-8OutNo02225818250,382*
722531-7OutNo01175924212,281*
712431-8OutNo00135730177,279*
702432-7OutNo095536144,271*
692332-8OutNo0065143116,319*
682333-7OutNo04465090,968*
672233-8OutNo03415670,466*
662234-7OutNo02366252,951*
652134-8OutNo01316839,698*
642135-7OutNo1257428,981*
632035-8OutNo0227820,606*
622036-7OutNo0188214,564*
611936-8OutNo0148610,056*
601937-7OutNo011896,912*
591837-8OutNo8924,410*
581838-7OutNo6942,950*
571738-8OutNo5951,878*
561739-7OutNo3971,126*
551740-6OutNo397692*
541640-7OutNo298432*
531540-8OutNo298242*
521541-7OutNo298144*
511441-8OutNo29856*
15-50OutNo100817*
Total:8.6%0.0%0014123681116212078,813,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitMontrealNY IslandersOttawaWashingtonBostonTorontoNY RangersFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusBuffalo
141630-01.1%188871410121157531
117489-6NoYes
116479-7NoYes
115458-10No20202040
1144610-7No91818999189
1134611-6No6176611111711666
1124511-73.926410816104818466
1114512-6No22652481391013612
1104412-70.68255266129663551
1094413-61.46245325166492540
1084313-70.85335336184483631
1074314-62.16244315185474741
1064214-72.18232383184282541
1054114-81.89233393192272641
1044115-71.610222402192291540
1034015-81.310222412192191541
1024016-71.510222421201181540
1013916-81.5112224311911915400
1003917-71.4122224212011805410
993817-81.413322401191180541
983818-71.214322391181080541
973718-81.315433361171170541
963719-71.217533331151070531
3820-51.217533331151170530
953619-81.117643301131060430
3518-101.218644291131060430
943620-71.118633251111050320
3519-91.118533241101050320
3721-51.018533251111050320
933520-80.816533201810402200
3621-60.81653320191040320
923521-70.61332215160030210
3622-50.61332215160030210
913421-80.410211110400201100
3320-100.4921111040020110
903422-70.361118030010110
3523-50.361117030010110
893322-80.131005020010000
883323-70.1100030100000000
873223-80.0100020100000000
863224-70.0000010000000000
853124-80.000000000000000
843125-70.000000000000
833126-60.00000000000
822925-90.000000000
813027-60.000000
802826-9No00
792827-8No00
782828-7No0
15-77No
Total:0.1%1.80.50.30.33.00.11.30.10.00.50.00.40.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 3 Carolina 2 +0.6
Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 -0.1
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-141100
115458-106040
1144610-773189
1134611-66161122
1124511-755121024
1114512-632239351
1104412-7251516139112
1094413-6151815145222
1084313-7101317150423
1074314-6613154437560
1064214-721013442101008000
1054114-816114381513011000
1044115-704862719191151110
1034015-802571621242172210
1024016-713691928419440200
1013916-8025416278197704000
1003917-7014111251316111206010
993817-80030719171014181812000
983818-700203122061424310240100
973718-80010172021127810460200
963719-70100317182514971014100
953619-800113042020681328300
943620-7000902132438135146100
933520-800060172517108181241000
923521-7004003220469191993000
913421-8002001170239152318720000
903422-700100120116922241562000
893322-8000008000341524231451000
883323-70050002181825221351000
873223-80030010310212621114100
863224-700100001413232619930000
853124-8010000161525261772000
843125-700000028182724145100
833025-80000001311222822103000
823026-700000015152628186100
812926-8000002820292512300
802826-900001413263020710
792827-80000171931271220
782828-7000131227321950
772728-80001721342791
762729-70004153133152
752629-8000292637223
742630-700152038306
732530-800031436379
722531-70019324414
712431-80016264820
702432-7003215026
692332-8002154934
682333-701114742
672233-80074349
662234-70053956
652134-80033364
642135-7022871
632035-8012376
622036-711981
611936-8001585
601937-701288
591837-80991
581838-70793
571738-8595
561739-7397
551740-6397
541640-7298
531540-8298
521541-7298
511441-8298
15-50100
Total:000000010013011123345678910111195