Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Lost to New Jersey 2-3 (ot), playoff odds up 0.2 to 23.7%
64 points   27 23-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)-2.8
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5 +1.3
*No
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 +1.0
Detroit 2 Toronto 3 +0.2
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders vs Minnesota-1.4-1.4-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.8
Buffalo vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
108220-0In0.1%49320205,890
107210-1InNo0927239
106200-2InNo0871301,606*
105201-1InNo0782116,862*
104191-2InNo069282027,101*
103192-1InNo057376086,208*
102182-2InNo43451210254,132*
101183-1InNo030482020653,196*
100173-2100.0%No1846305001,565,384*
99163-3100.0No10394011103,388,224*
98164-2100.0No52845202006,861,591*
97154-399.9No217443160012,784,316*
96155-299.5No1937401300022,411,183*
95145-398.3No0426452420036,583,246*
94146-295.1No0116423650056,403,743*
93136-388.6No00834461110081,544,589*
92137-277.9No0032351203000111,767,045*
91127-363.2No0011349306000144,263,848*
90128-248.2No000741381210081,288,892
117-445.3No00639391420095,596,149*
89118-330.7No00032843224000204,794,723*
88119-218.8No0011840319100102,303,517
108-417.0No00116393310100123,330,352*
87109-39.0No0009323918300235,107,866*
861010-24.2No0042240276000105,526,384
99-43.6No0042040297000127,731,883*
85910-31.4No00112343713100105,663,414
1011-11.4No00112343713100113,313,690*
84911-20.4No0006254223400195,780,436*
83811-30.1No00215393490080,003,578
912-10.1No00215393490085,525,490*
82812-20.0No001831421810133,216,082*
81712-30.0No003214429300101,205,589*
80713-20.0No00112394070073,106,738*
79613-30.0No00053049141049,712,370*
78614-2OutNo0022051243032,068,645*
77514-3OutNo0011248346019,377,528*
76515-2OutNo006404311011,085,388*
75415-3OutNo00330481905,898,948*
74416-2OutNo0120502912,962,366*
73316-3OutNo0012464011,365,144*
72317-2OutNo0740503591,419*
71318-1OutNo0331605231,358*
70218-2OutNo022366983,886*
69219-1OutNo115701526,833*
68119-2OutNo01068227,712*
67120-1OutNo0664301,897*
66020-2OutNo26039405*
65021-1OutNo574363
64022-0OutNo014158205,862
Total:23.7%0.0%00026161920171262002,565,923,010

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPittsburghPhiladelphiaNew JerseyNY IslandersColumbusFloridaNY RangersDetroitOttawaMontrealBuffalo
108220-00.8%00121531275640000
107210-11.313203623341
106200-21.001820282146300
105201-10.601922272244200
104191-20.600202426213320000
103192-10.700232624193320000
102182-20.6000252922172220000
101183-10.6000273121162210000
100173-20.60002932201521100000
99163-30.60003132191411000000
98164-20.61103232181211000000
97154-30.54203332161111000000
96155-20.5750333014911000000
144-40.596032291481100000
95145-30.514101302611600000000
156-10.51491302711710000000
94146-20.4201412522840000000
135-40.4221512421840000000
157-00.4201412522840000000
93136-30.42719118165300000000
147-10.425181201863000000
125-50.328201161452000000
92137-20.32921112113100000
126-40.329211111031000000
148-00.32920114123200000
115-60.32922110931000000
91127-30.2272016621000000
138-10.228201872100000
116-50.22720155110000
90128-20.223171331000000
117-40.12216133100000
139-00.22418144100000
106-60.12016122100000
89118-30.11512011000000
129-10.11713121000000
107-50.11411011000000
88119-20.1108000000000
108-40.097000000000
1210-00.197000000000
87109-30.054000000000
1110-10.054000000000
861010-20.02200000000
85910-30.0110000000
84911-20.000000000
83811-30.00000000
82812-20.00000000
81712-30.00000000
80713-20.0000
79613-3No00
64-78No
Total:0.1%8.76.50.33.43.11.10.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)+0.3
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5 -0.1
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 -0.1
Detroit 2 Toronto 3 -0.1
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Los Angeles+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
108220-004326110100
107210-1018741150
106200-20977111100
105201-1047411181100
104191-20267012431010
103192-1015601298213000
102182-20430029152270100
101183-10030002524231412000
100173-2018017291423241000
99163-301009291428874100
98164-20504240326169112000
97154-320116021924822420000
96155-210090110265357600000
95145-30040042224271610000
94146-20010114142531221000
93136-30000080343443431000
92137-200000302315037840000
91127-30000010130492814112000
90128-2000000604016182271000
89118-30000003028031631163000
88119-2000010180110342691000
108-4000101601103328101000
87109-3000900527351950000
1110-1000090052735195000
861010-2004002183529112000
99-4004002163430122000
85910-300100082636226100
1011-100100082636226100
84911-2000003163331132000
810-4000003153332143000
83811-300001724362571000
82812-2000002133234163000
81712-3000162237278100
80713-200002123136163000
79613-3000052138278100
78614-2000211323517300
77514-3000052137278100
76515-200112323517300
75415-30005223827700
74416-20021333371410
73316-3001625412520
72317-200216403750
71318-10183348100
70218-20042454171
69219-1011553273
68119-21946386
67120-103384613
66020-21275219
65021-1245224
64022-000124740
Total:000000000002060150251315141185210000