Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 46.5%

3 points 1 1-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)	-0.5
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0	+0.1		*+0.0
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4	+0.1

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

84	-109						In		99.6	%	100														955	*
83		37	10		-	6	In		95.2		98	2													609	*
82		37	11		-	5	In		94.6		98	2	0												1,012	*
81		37	12		-	4	In		90.7		96	3	1												1,627	*
80		36	12		-	5	In		85.2		94	5	1												2,492	*
79		35	12		-	6	In		79.0		91	7	2												3,454	*
78		35	13		-	5	In		71.5		86	9	5												5,200	*
77		34	13		-	6	In		59.3		81	13	6	0											7,411	*
76		34	14		-	5	In		47.0		72	19	9	0											10,199	*
75		33	14		-	6	In		34.1		62	24	14	0											13,649	*
74		33	15		-	5	100.0	%	21.2		50	29	20	1	0		0								18,302	*
73		32	15		-	6	In		11.8		37	33	27	2	0										23,517	*
72		32	16		-	5	100.0		5.1		25	35	35	4	0		0								29,103	*
71		31	16		-	6	100.0		1.6		15	34	43	8	0		0	0							35,903	*
70		31	17		-	5	100.0		0.4		7	29	48	14	1	0	0								42,958	*
69		30	17		-	6	99.9		0.1		3	21	50	23	3	0	0	0							50,358	*
68		30	18		-	5	99.6		0.0		1	13	46	34	6	0	0	0							58,158	*
67		29	18		-	6	98.8		0.0		0	6	36	43	13	1	1	0	0						65,164	*
66		29	19		-	5	95.6		No		0	2	22	46	22	4	4	0							39,084	*
		28	18		-	7	96.4		No		0	3	24	46	21	3	3	0	0						32,774	*
65		28	19		-	6	89.0		No		0	1	11	40	27	11	10	1	0	0					77,070	*
64		28	20		-	5	76.3		No			0	4	27	24	21	19	5	1	0	0				80,547	*
63		27	20		-	6	56.5		No			0	1	14	14	27	26	13	3	0	0				83,217	*
62		27	21		-	5	35.5		No				0	5	5	25	25	25	11	3	0	0			83,336	*
61		26	21		-	6	17.8		No				0	2	1	15	16	30	24	10	2	0	0		83,026	*
60		26	22		-	5	7.4		No				0	0	0	7	7	23	31	22	8	1	0	0	79,969	*
59		25	22		-	6	2.6		No				0	0	0	3	2	12	26	31	19	6	1	0	75,522	*
58		25	23		-	5	0.8		No				0	0	0	1	0	4	16	30	30	15	4	0	70,051	*
57		24	23		-	6	0.2		No				0	0		0	0	1	7	21	33	26	10	1	63,309	*
56		24	24		-	5	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	2	11	28	34	20	4	56,716	*
55		23	24		-	6	0.1		No					0		0		0	1	5	19	36	31	10	48,769	*
54		23	25		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	0	2	11	30	39	18	41,834	*
53		22	25		-	6	0.0		No					0		0			0	1	5	22	43	29	34,693	*
52		22	26		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	15	42	41	28,260	*
51		21	26		-	6	Out		No										0	0	1	9	37	53	22,845	*
50		21	27		-	5	Out		No											0	0	5	30	65	17,844	*
49		20	27		-	6	Out		No												0	2	23	74	13,533	*
48		20	28		-	5	Out		No												0	1	17	82	10,383	*
47		19	28		-	6	Out		No												0	1	12	87	7,382	*
46		19	29		-	5	Out		No													0	9	91	5,506	*
45		18	29		-	6	Out		No													0	6	94	3,838	*
44		18	30		-	5	Out		No													0	4	96	2,531	*
43		17	30		-	6	Out		No														3	97	1,822	*
42		17	31		-	5	Out		No														1	99	1,215	*
41		16	31		-	6	Out		No														2	98	718	*
40		16	32		-	5	Out		No														0	100	446	*
39		15	32		-	6	Out		No														2	98	303	*
38		15	33		-	5	Out		No															100	173	*
37		14	33		-	6	Out		No														1	99	99	*
3	-36						Out		No															100	244	*

Total:							46.5	%	2.5	%	5	6	11	12	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	1,437,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	New Jersey	Philadelphia	Washington	NY Islanders	St. Louis	Colorado	Minnesota	Arizona	Anaheim	Pittsburgh	NY Rangers	Los Angeles	San Jose	Buffalo

109		53	0		-	0	8.7	%		13	14	20	17						9	17			10
93		44	7		-	2	No		Yes
92		42	6		-	5	No			50								50
91		42	7		-	4	25.0			25		50	25
90		41	7		-	5	No					40							20	20			20
89		40	7		-	6	6.7			20	13		7	7		7		7	7	13	20
88		40	8		-	5	2.6		3	8	21	16	8	3	3	3	8		16	3		3	8
87		39	8		-	6	7.8		6	9	5	14	6	4	4	4	3	4	8	9	6	5	12
86		39	9		-	5	6.3		1	6	13	11	12	2	6	4	5	5	13	9	2	5	8
85		39	10		-	4	6.4		5	8	10	13	10	4	5	3	2	4	8	9	3	4	9
84		38	10		-	5	6.8		1	8	13	11	10	3	4	4	4	4	9	10	5	4	9
83		37	10		-	6	5.1		4	10	9	9	11	4	4	4	4	5	10	9	4	5	7
82		37	11		-	5	6.1		4	8	10	12	11	4	3	4	5	5	8	8	4	4	9
81		37	12		-	4	5.5		3	10	9	10	10	4	4	5	5	5	8	9	6	4	7
80		36	12		-	5	6.1		4	10	10	10	9	5	5	4	5	5	8	9	5	5	7
79		35	12		-	6	6.8		4	9	10	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	8	9	5	5	8
78		35	13		-	5	6.6		5	10	9	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	9	8	5	5	7
77		34	13		-	6	6.4		5	9	9	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7
76		34	14		-	5	6.3		5	10	9	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7
75		33	14		-	6	6.4		5	10	10	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	9	8	5	5	7
74		33	15		-	5	6.1		4	10	11	10	9	5	5	5	5	4	9	8	4	4	7
73		32	15		-	6	6.3		4	11	11	11	10	4	4	4	4	4	9	8	4	4	7
72		32	16		-	5	6.1		4	12	12	12	11	3	4	4	4	3	10	9	3	3	7
71		31	16		-	6	6.6		3	13	13	12	12	3	3	3	3	3	10	9	3	3	7
70		31	17		-	5	6.2		2	14	14	14	13	2	2	2	2	2	11	10	2	2	8
69		30	17		-	6	6.3		2	15	15	14	13	2	2	2	2	1	11	10	1	1	9
68		30	18		-	5	6.2		1	15	15	15	14	1	1	1	1	1	12	10	1	1	9
		31	19		-	3	5.6		2	15	15	15	14	1	1	1	1	1	12	10	1	1	9
67		29	18		-	6	6.2		2	15	15	15	14	1	1	1	1	1	12	11	1	1	9
		28	17		-	8	6.1		2	15	15	14	13	2	1	2	1	1	12	10	1	1	9
66		29	19		-	5	6.1		2	14	14	14	13	2	2	2	1	2	11	10	1	1	8
		28	18		-	7	6.2		3	14	14	13	13	2	2	2	2	1	11	9	1	1	8
		30	20		-	3	6.1		2	14	14	14	12	2	2	2	2	1	10	10	1	1	8
65		28	19		-	6	5.8		3	13	12	12	11	2	2	2	2	2	9	9	1	1	7
		27	18		-	8	5.4		4	12	12	11	10	3	3	3	2	2	9	8	2	2	6
64		28	20		-	5	4.7		4	10	10	10	9	3	3	3	2	2	7	6	2	2	5
		29	21		-	3	4.5		4	10	10	9	9	3	3	3	2	2	7	6	2	2	5
63		27	20		-	6	3.6		4	7	7	7	6	3	3	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	3
62		27	21		-	5	2.2		3	4	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	3	2	1	1	2
61		26	21		-	6	1.1		1	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1
60		26	22		-	5	0.4		1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
59		26	23		-	4	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		25	23		-	5	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		25	24		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0	0	0	0
56		25	25		-	3	0.0			0	0	0	0		0				0	0			0
55		23	24		-	6	No			0	0	0	0						0	0			0
54		24	26		-	3	No			0		0	0							0
53		24	27		-	2	0.0			0		0	0
52		23	27		-	3	No												0				0
3	-51						No

Total:							2.9	%	1.7	6.2	6.1	6.0	5.5	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.2	1.2	4.6	4.2	1.0	1.0	3.5

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)	+0.0
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0	-0.0
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton	-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

86	-109						100
85		39	10		-	4	99	1
84		38	10		-	5	99	1
83		37	10		-	6	95	3	2
82		37	11		-	5	95	3	2		0
81		37	12		-	4	91	6	3		1
80		36	12		-	5	85	9	5		1
79		35	12		-	6	79	12	7	0	2
78		35	13		-	5	72	15	9	0	5	0	0
77		34	13		-	6	59	22	13	0	6	0	0		0
76		34	14		-	5	47	25	18	1	9	0	0		0
75		33	14		-	6	34	28	22	2	13	0	0		0
74		33	15		-	5	21	29	26	4	18	1	1		1				0				0
73		32	15		-	6	12	26	27	7	22	3	2	0	2	0	0		0
72		32	16		-	5	5	20	24	11	25	6	4	0	4	0	0		0				0
71		31	16		-	6	2	13	19	15	23	11	9	0	7	0	0		0				0	0
70		31	17		-	5	0	7	12	17	17	16	15	1	13	1	1	0	1	0	0		0
69		30	17		-	6	0	3	6	16	9	17	19	4	18	3	2	0	3	0	0		0	0
68		30	18		-	5	0	1	2	11	3	14	20	9	19	8	7	0	6	0	0		0	0
67		29	18		-	6	0	0	0	6	1	7	13	14	15	13	14	1	12	1	1		1	0	0
66		29	19		-	5		0	0	2	0	3	6	14	7	15	19	4	18	4	4	0	4	0	0
65		28	19		-	6		0	0	1	0	1	2	9	2	10	18	10	17	9	10	0	9	1	0	0
64		28	20		-	5				0		0	0	4	0	4	10	14	10	14	18	2	16	6	1	0	0
63		27	20		-	6				0		0	0	1	0	1	3	10	3	11	20	8	19	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
62		27	21		-	5								0		0	0	5	0	5	12	12	13	21	17	9	3	1	0	0
61		26	21		-	6								0		0	0	2	0	1	4	11	5	15	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
60		26	22		-	5								0			0	0		0	1	6	1	5	13	20	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
59		25	22		-	6								0		0	0	0		0	0	2	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	13	7	2	1	0	0
58		25	23		-	5								0				0		0	0	1	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
57		24	23		-	6								0				0				0			0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0
56		24	24		-	5												0			0	0			0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	22	13	5	1	0
55		23	24		-	6												0				0				0	0	0	1	4	10	19	26	23	13	4	1
54		23	25		-	5																0						0	0	1	4	11	21	28	23	11	2
53		22	25		-	6												0				0							0	0	1	4	13	25	30	21	6
52		22	26		-	5																0							0	0	0	1	6	18	31	30	13
51		21	26		-	6																								0	0	0	2	10	26	38	23
50		21	27		-	5																									0	0	1	5	19	40	35
49		20	27		-	6																										0	0	2	12	37	48
48		20	28		-	5																											0	1	7	32	60
47		19	28		-	6																										0	0	0	4	25	70
46		19	29		-	5																												0	2	20	78
45		18	29		-	6																												0	1	13	86
44		18	30		-	5																												0	0	10	90
43		17	30		-	6																													0	6	94
42		17	31		-	5																														2	98
41		16	31		-	6																														4	96
40		16	32		-	5																														1	99
39		15	32		-	6																														2	98
38		15	33		-	5																															100
37		14	33		-	6																														3	97
3	-36																																				100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	2	4	2	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4