New York Islanders Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 55%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)	-0.4		*+0.0		*+0.0
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4	+0.2
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal					+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota					+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton					-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0
Vegas vs Arizona					-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87	-110						In		99.7	%	100														1,246	*
86		39	10		-	4	In		98.9		100	0	0												742	*
85		38	10		-	5	In		98.0		100	0													1,301	*
84		38	11		-	4	In		96.4		98	1	0												2,148	*
83		37	11		-	5	In		95.0		98	2	0												3,415	*
82		37	12		-	4	In		92.0		97	3	0												5,350	*
81		36	12		-	5	In		87.0		95	4	1												8,279	*
80		35	12		-	6	In		80.9		93	6	1	0											12,326	*
79		35	13		-	5	In		73.2		89	9	2	0											17,782	*
78		34	13		-	6	In		62.9		84	12	4	0											25,500	*
77		34	14		-	5	In		51.0		77	17	7	0	0										35,197	*
76		33	14		-	6	In		38.8		68	22	10	0											47,542	*
75		33	15		-	5	In		26.4		58	27	14	0											62,501	*
74		32	15		-	6	In		15.6		47	32	20	1	0										80,533	*
73		32	16		-	5	In		8.0		34	36	28	2	0										101,543	*
72		31	16		-	6	100.0	%	3.2		23	37	36	4	0		0								124,563	*
71		31	17		-	5	100.0		1.0		13	35	43	8	0	0	0								148,737	*
70		30	17		-	6	100.0		0.2		6	29	49	14	1	0	0								174,294	*
69		30	18		-	5	99.9		0.0		3	21	50	23	3	0	0	0							200,000	*
68		29	18		-	6	99.7		0.0		1	13	46	33	6	0	0	0							223,882	*
67		29	19		-	5	98.9		No		0	7	37	42	12	1	1	0	0						244,498	*
66		28	19		-	6	96.8		No		0	3	24	46	20	3	3	0	0						261,984	*
65		28	20		-	5	91.0		No		0	1	13	42	27	9	8	1	0	0					273,629	*
64		27	20		-	6	79.7		No			0	5	30	25	19	17	3	0	0	0				282,431	*
63		27	21		-	5	61.8		No			0	2	17	17	27	25	11	2	0	0	0			282,706	*
62		26	21		-	6	41.3		No			0	0	7	7	26	27	22	8	2	0	0			277,451	*
61		26	22		-	5	22.9		No				0	2	2	18	20	30	20	7	1	0	0		265,551	*
60		25	22		-	6	10.5		No				0	1	0	9	10	26	30	17	5	1	0	0	249,848	*
59		25	23		-	5	4.0		No				0	0	0	4	4	16	30	28	14	4	0	0	229,944	*
58		24	23		-	6	1.3		No				0	0	0	1	1	7	21	32	26	11	2	0	206,693	*
57		24	24		-	5	0.4		No				0	0		0	0	2	11	26	32	21	6	1	183,461	*
56		23	24		-	6	0.1		No				0	0		0	0	1	4	16	31	31	14	2	157,137	*
55		23	25		-	5	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	133,139	*
54		22	25		-	6	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	0	3	15	34	34	13	110,072	*
53		22	26		-	5	0.0		No					0		0		0	0	1	8	28	41	22	89,014	*
52		21	26		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	4	20	43	33	70,698	*
51		21	27		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	13	41	45	54,963	*
50		20	27		-	6	0.0		No							0				0	1	8	35	56	41,478	*
49		20	28		-	5	Out		No										0	0	0	4	29	67	30,990	*
48		19	28		-	6	Out		No												0	2	22	76	22,686	*
47		19	29		-	5	Out		No												0	1	17	82	15,950	*
46		18	29		-	6	Out		No												0	0	12	87	11,134	*
45		18	30		-	5	Out		No													0	8	92	7,576	*
44		17	30		-	6	Out		No													0	6	94	4,900	*
43		17	31		-	5	Out		No													0	4	96	3,266	*
42		16	31		-	6	Out		No														2	98	2,217	*
41		16	32		-	5	Out		No														1	99	1,287	*
40		15	32		-	6	Out		No														1	99	779	*
39		15	33		-	5	Out		No														1	99	437	*
4	-38						Out		No															100	1,008	*

Total:							55.0	%	2.9	%	6	7	14	14	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4,793,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	Colorado	Philadelphia	Washington	New Jersey	Minnesota	Arizona	St. Louis	NY Rangers	Boston	Anaheim	San Jose	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	Los Angeles

110		53	0		-	0	8.3	%	0		14	19	16			0	15	13	1		9	12
98		46	5		-	2	No														Yes
95		45	7		-	1	No						50				50
94		43	6		-	4	No				33	67
93		42	6		-	5	No				25		13	13			13	13			13	13
92		42	7		-	4	13.3		7		7	20	13		7		13	27	7
91		41	7		-	5	11.9		2			17	21		5	5	7	14	5		10	12	2
90		41	8		-	4	6.4		4		5	14	17	3	3	3	10	9	3	4	10	13	4
89		40	8		-	5	5.8		1	1	7	14	19	2	3	3	15	9	2	1	11	8	2
88		40	9		-	4	6.7		1	2	9	11	14	5	8	6	8	11	3	2	8	8	3
87		39	9		-	5	6.8		3	3	11	10	10	4	3	4	11	10	4	5	10	10	2
86		39	10		-	4	7.4		4	3	11	12	10	3	3	3	12	11	3	4	11	9	3
85		38	10		-	5	6.8		3	4	11	11	12	4	4	5	8	9	3	5	9	8	5
84		38	11		-	4	6.8		3	4	11	11	11	4	5	4	10	9	4	4	9	8	4
83		37	11		-	5	6.9		3	4	11	10	9	5	5	4	9	9	5	4	9	7	4
82		37	12		-	4	7.4		3	4	11	11	10	5	5	5	9	9	5	4	8	7	4
81		36	12		-	5	6.4		4	4	10	10	11	5	5	5	9	9	4	5	7	8	5
80		35	12		-	6	6.5		4	4	10	10	10	5	5	5	9	9	5	5	8	8	4
79		35	13		-	5	6.7		4	5	10	10	10	5	5	5	9	9	5	5	8	7	4
78		34	13		-	6	6.9		4	5	10	10	10	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7	7	5
77		34	14		-	5	6.8		4	5	10	10	10	6	5	5	9	8	5	5	7	7	5
76		33	14		-	6	6.6		4	5	10	10	10	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7	7	5
75		33	15		-	5	6.6		4	5	11	11	11	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7	7	4
74		32	15		-	6	6.5		4	5	11	11	11	5	5	5	8	8	4	4	7	7	4
73		32	16		-	5	6.3		4	4	12	12	12	5	4	4	9	8	4	4	7	7	3
72		31	16		-	6	6.2		3	4	13	13	13	4	4	4	9	9	3	3	7	7	3
71		31	17		-	5	6.1		3	3	15	15	15	3	3	3	10	9	3	3	8	7	2
70		30	17		-	6	5.8		2	2	16	16	16	2	2	2	10	10	2	2	8	8	2
69		30	18		-	5	5.7		2	2	17	17	17	2	2	2	10	10	1	1	8	8	1
68		29	18		-	6	5.5		2	2	18	17	17	1	1	1	11	11	1	1	9	8	1
67		29	19		-	5	5.3		2	2	17	17	17	1	1	1	11	10	1	1	8	8	1
66		28	19		-	6	5.1		3	2	17	17	17	2	1	1	10	10	1	1	8	8	1
		27	18		-	8	5.0		3	3	16	16	16	2	1	1	9	9	1	1	8	7	1
65		28	20		-	5	4.7		5	3	15	15	15	2	2	1	8	8	1	1	7	6	1
64		27	20		-	6	4.1		6	4	12	12	12	3	2	2	6	6	1	1	5	5	1
63		27	21		-	5	3.1		6	4	9	9	9	3	2	2	4	4	1	1	3	3	1
62		26	21		-	6	2.1		5	3	6	6	6	2	1	1	2	2	1	1	2	2	1
61		26	22		-	5	1.1		3	2	4	4	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0
60		26	23		-	4	0.5		1	1	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		25	23		-	5	0.2		0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		25	24		-	4	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		24	24		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		24	25		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		23	25		-	5	0.0			0	0	0	0				0	0			0	0
54		23	26		-	4	0.0				0	0	0				0	0			0	0
53		22	26		-	5	0.0				0	0	0					0			0
52		21	26		-	6	No				0	0					0	0
51		21	27		-	5	No											0
50		20	27		-	6	No						0
4	-49						No

Total:							3.1	%	2.5	2.1	8.5	8.4	8.4	1.7	1.4	1.3	5.0	4.9	1.1	1.1	4.0	3.8	0.9

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)	+0.0
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4	-0.0
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vegas vs Arizona	-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

88	-110						100
87		39	9		-	5	99	1
86		39	10		-	4	99	1	0		0
85		38	10		-	5	98	2	0
84		38	11		-	4	96	2	1		0
83		37	11		-	5	95	3	2		0
82		37	12		-	4	92	5	3	0	0
81		36	12		-	5	87	8	4	0	1
80		35	12		-	6	81	12	6	0	1				0
79		35	13		-	5	73	15	9	0	2	0			0
78		34	13		-	6	63	21	12	0	4	0	0		0
77		34	14		-	5	51	26	16	1	6	0	0		0				0
76		33	14		-	6	39	30	20	1	9	0	0		0
75		33	15		-	5	26	32	24	3	13	1	0		0
74		32	15		-	6	16	31	27	6	17	2	1	0	1		0		0
73		32	16		-	5	8	26	26	10	21	4	2	0	2	0	0		0
72		31	16		-	6	3	20	22	15	22	8	5	0	4	0	0		0				0
71		31	17		-	5	1	12	17	18	20	14	9	1	7	0	0		0	0	0		0
70		30	17		-	6	0	6	10	20	14	18	15	2	12	1	1	0	1	0	0		0
69		30	18		-	5	0	3	4	17	7	19	19	6	16	4	2	0	3	0	0		0	0
68		29	18		-	6	0	1	1	12	3	14	18	11	18	9	7	0	6	0	0		0	0
67		29	19		-	5		0	0	7	1	8	12	16	14	15	13	1	11	1	1	0	1	0	0
66		28	19		-	6		0	0	3	0	3	6	16	7	16	18	5	16	4	3	0	3	0	0
65		28	20		-	5		0	0	1	0	1	2	11	2	11	17	11	17	10	9	0	8	1	0	0
64		27	20		-	6				0		0	0	5	0	5	10	15	11	15	17	2	14	5	1	0	0	0
63		27	21		-	5				0		0	0	1	0	1	4	12	4	13	20	7	18	13	5	1	0	0	0	0
62		26	21		-	6				0		0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1	7	14	12	15	21	15	6	2	0	0	0	0
61		26	22		-	5							0	0		0	0	2	0	2	6	12	7	18	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
60		25	22		-	6								0		0	0	1	0	0	2	8	2	8	17	22	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
59		25	23		-	5								0				0		0	0	3	0	2	7	15	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
58		24	23		-	6								0				0		0	0	1	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
57		24	24		-	5								0				0			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	18	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
56		23	24		-	6								0				0				0		0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0
55		23	25		-	5												0				0			0	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	6	1	0
54		22	25		-	6												0				0				0	0	0	1	3	9	18	26	24	14	5	1
53		22	26		-	5												0				0						0	0	1	3	10	21	28	24	11	2
52		21	26		-	6																0						0	0	0	1	4	13	25	30	21	6
51		21	27		-	5																0							0	0	0	1	6	18	32	30	12
50		20	27		-	6																0								0	0	0	3	11	28	37	21
49		20	28		-	5																								0	0	0	1	6	21	40	32
48		19	28		-	6																										0	0	3	14	38	44
47		19	29		-	5																										0	0	1	9	35	55
46		18	29		-	6																											0	0	5	29	66
45		18	30		-	5																												0	3	23	74
44		17	30		-	6																												0	2	17	81
43		17	31		-	5																												0	0	13	87
42		16	31		-	6																													0	9	91
41		16	32		-	5																													0	6	94
40		15	32		-	6																														4	96
39		15	33		-	5																														3	97
38		14	33		-	6																														0	100
37		14	34		-	5																														1	99
36		13	34		-	6																															100
35		13	35		-	5																														2	98
4	-34																																				100

Total:							3	3	3	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	4	3	4	3	4	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2