Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 46.5%

3 points 1 1-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)	-0.6
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4	+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0	+0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)			*-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

86	-109						In		99.8	%	100														415	*
85		39	10		-	4	In		99.6		100	0													229	*
84		38	10		-	5	In		98.7		99	1													383	*
83		38	11		-	4	In		95.5		98	2	0												733	*
82		37	11		-	5	In		93.0		98	2	0												1,134	*
81		37	12		-	4	In		91.3		96	3	1												1,736	*
80		36	12		-	5	In		87.1		94	5	2												2,634	*
79		35	12		-	6	In		79.6		91	7	2												4,016	*
78		35	13		-	5	In		70.2		87	9	4												5,704	*
77		34	13		-	6	In		60.4		80	13	6	0											8,094	*
76		34	14		-	5	In		47.7		73	18	9	0											11,387	*
75		33	14		-	6	In		33.7		62	24	14	0											15,290	*
74		33	15		-	5	In		21.1		50	29	19	1	0										20,131	*
73		32	15		-	6	In		11.8		37	34	27	2	0										25,999	*
72		32	16		-	5	100.0	%	4.9		25	35	35	4	0		0								32,645	*
71		31	16		-	6	100.0		1.6		15	34	43	8	0		0								40,137	*
70		31	17		-	5	100.0		0.4		7	29	49	14	1		0	0							47,842	*
69		30	17		-	6	99.9		0.1		3	21	50	23	3	0	0	0							56,141	*
68		30	18		-	5	99.7		0.0		1	13	46	34	6	0	0	0							64,803	*
67		29	18		-	6	98.8		No		0	6	36	43	13	1	1	0	0						72,589	*
66		29	19		-	5	96.1		No		0	2	23	46	21	4	4	0	0	0					79,545	*
65		28	19		-	6	89.2		No		0	1	11	40	27	11	10	1	0	0					84,737	*
64		28	20		-	5	76.2		No			0	4	27	24	21	19	5	1	0	0	0			89,585	*
63		27	20		-	6	56.7		No			0	1	14	14	27	26	14	3	0	0	0			92,220	*
62		27	21		-	5	35.5		No				0	5	5	25	25	25	11	3	0	0			93,241	*
61		26	21		-	6	18.3		No				0	2	1	15	16	30	24	10	2	0	0		92,498	*
60		26	22		-	5	7.5		No				0	0	0	7	7	23	31	22	8	2	0	0	88,691	*
59		25	22		-	6	2.6		No				0	0	0	2	2	11	26	31	19	6	1	0	83,604	*
58		25	23		-	5	0.8		No				0	0	0	1	0	4	16	30	30	15	4	0	77,839	*
57		24	23		-	6	0.2		No				0	0		0	0	1	7	21	33	27	10	1	70,610	*
56		24	24		-	5	0.1		No				0	0		0	0	0	2	11	28	34	20	4	62,389	*
55		23	24		-	6	0.0		No					0		0		0	1	5	19	35	31	10	55,190	*
54		23	25		-	5	0.0		No							0	0	0	0	2	10	30	39	18	46,744	*
53		22	25		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	5	22	43	29	38,683	*
52		22	26		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	15	42	41	31,552	*
51		21	26		-	6	Out		No											0	1	9	37	53	25,000	*
50		21	27		-	5	Out		No											0	0	5	31	64	19,988	*
49		20	27		-	6	Out		No												0	3	23	74	15,130	*
48		20	28		-	5	Out		No												0	1	17	81	11,608	*
47		19	28		-	6	Out		No												0	1	12	87	8,355	*
46		19	29		-	5	Out		No													0	9	91	6,015	*
45		18	29		-	6	Out		No													0	6	94	4,295	*
44		18	30		-	5	Out		No													0	4	96	2,907	*
43		17	30		-	6	Out		No														2	98	1,962	*
42		17	31		-	5	Out		No													0	2	98	1,242	*
41		16	31		-	6	Out		No														1	99	869	*
40		16	32		-	5	Out		No														1	99	518	*
37	-39						Out		No															100	582	*
36		13	33		-	7	Out		No														2	98	89	*
3	-35						Out		No															100	206	*

Total:							46.5	%	2.4	%	5	6	11	12	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	1,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	Philadelphia	New Jersey	Washington	NY Islanders	Minnesota	Colorado	St. Louis	Arizona	Anaheim	Pittsburgh	NY Rangers	Los Angeles	San Jose	Buffalo

109		53	0		-	0	10.2	%	1	11	16	10	16			1			12	20			13
92		43	7		-	3	No			25	25	25						25
91		40	5		-	8	20.0			20		20	20				20	20
90		42	8		-	3	No			9	27	9					18		18	9			9
89		41	8		-	4	5.3			21	11	16	5	11	5		5		11	11			5
88		40	8		-	5	15.1			8	11	17	11	2	2	4	6	6	11	6	8		9
87		40	9		-	4	5.1		3	13	11	5	5	1	1	6	5	5	10	15	3	1	15
86		39	9		-	5	8.6		2	11	13	8	6	7	6	3	7	4	9	14	3	3	5
85		38	9		-	6	5.2		3	8	11	10	12	5	5	5	5	2	10	7	5	4	8
84		38	10		-	5	4.7		3	11	15	9	10	4	2	4	3	5	9	10	3	3	10
83		38	11		-	4	7.9		4	9	9	11	10	4	3	5	4	5	10	9	5	5	7
82		37	11		-	5	7.1		4	10	11	10	11	5	4	3	4	4	10	10	4	4	7
81		37	12		-	4	5.5		5	9	9	10	9	4	5	5	4	5	9	9	5	5	8
80		36	12		-	5	5.2		5	10	10	9	10	4	5	5	4	5	9	8	5	5	7
79		35	12		-	6	6.6		4	9	10	9	8	5	6	5	5	5	9	9	4	5	8
78		35	13		-	5	6.2		4	10	9	10	9	5	5	5	5	5	9	8	5	4	7
77		34	13		-	6	6.4		5	10	9	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	9	8	5	5	7
76		34	14		-	5	6.5		5	10	10	9	9	5	5	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7
75		33	14		-	6	6.6		4	10	10	10	9	5	5	5	5	5	8	8	5	5	7
74		33	15		-	5	6.2		5	10	10	10	10	5	4	5	5	5	8	8	4	4	7
73		32	15		-	6	6.5		4	11	11	11	10	4	4	4	4	4	9	8	4	4	7
72		32	16		-	5	6.1		3	12	12	12	11	4	4	4	3	4	10	9	3	3	7
71		31	16		-	6	6.5		3	13	13	13	12	3	3	3	3	3	10	9	3	3	8
70		31	17		-	5	6.2		2	14	14	14	13	2	2	2	2	2	11	10	2	2	8
69		30	17		-	6	6.5		2	14	15	14	14	2	2	2	2	2	11	10	1	2	8
		29	16		-	8	6.4		2	15	15	15	14	2	2	1	1	1	12	10	1	1	8
68		30	18		-	5	6.3		1	15	15	15	14	1	1	1	1	1	11	11	1	1	9
		31	19		-	3	6.0		2	15	15	15	14	1	1	2	1	1	12	10	1	1	9
67		29	18		-	6	6.1		2	15	15	15	14	1	1	1	1	1	12	10	1	1	9
		28	17		-	8	5.9		2	14	15	15	14	1	2	1	1	1	11	10	1	1	8
66		29	19		-	5	6.3		2	15	15	14	13	2	2	2	1	1	11	10	1	1	8
		28	18		-	7	5.7		3	14	14	14	12	2	2	2	1	2	10	10	1	1	8
		30	20		-	3	5.6		2	14	14	14	13	2	2	2	1	1	11	9	1	1	8
65		28	19		-	6	5.7		3	12	13	12	11	2	2	2	2	2	10	9	1	1	7
		27	18		-	8	5.6		4	12	12	11	10	3	3	2	2	2	9	8	2	2	7
64		28	20		-	5	5.0		4	10	10	9	8	3	3	3	2	2	7	6	2	2	5
		29	21		-	3	4.9		4	10	10	9	8	3	3	3	2	2	7	6	2	2	5
63		27	20		-	6	3.6		4	7	7	7	6	3	3	3	2	2	4	4	2	2	3
62		27	21		-	5	2.2		3	4	4	4	4	2	2	2	1	1	3	2	1	1	2
61		27	22		-	4	1.2		1	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1
60		26	22		-	5	0.5		1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
59		26	23		-	4	0.2		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		25	23		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		25	24		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
56		25	25		-	3	0.0			0	0	0	0	0					0	0			0
55		24	25		-	4	0.0			0	0	0	0						0	0			0
54		22	24		-	7	No			0	0	0	0						0	0			0
53		24	27		-	2	No						0
52		22	26		-	5	No													0
3	-51						No

Total:							2.9	%	1.8	6.1	6.3	6.0	5.6	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.2	1.2	4.6	4.2	1.0	1.0	3.4

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)	+0.0
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)	*+0.0
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4	-0.0
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vegas vs Arizona	-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Vancouver vs Montreal	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose	-0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

87	-109						100
86		39	9		-	5	99	1
85		39	10		-	4	100		0
84		38	10		-	5	99	1	1
83		38	11		-	4	95	3	2		0
82		37	11		-	5	93	4	2		0
81		37	12		-	4	91	5	3		1
80		36	12		-	5	87	7	5		2
79		35	12		-	6	80	12	7	0	2
78		35	13		-	5	70	17	9	0	4	0
77		34	13		-	6	60	20	13	0	6	0			0
76		34	14		-	5	48	25	18	1	8	0	0		0
75		33	14		-	6	34	28	22	2	13	0	0		0
74		33	15		-	5	21	29	26	3	18	1	1		1		0		0
73		32	15		-	6	12	26	27	7	22	3	2	0	2	0	0		0
72		32	16		-	5	5	20	25	11	25	6	4	0	4	0	0		0				0
71		31	16		-	6	2	13	19	15	23	11	9	0	8	0	0		0				0
70		31	17		-	5	0	7	11	17	17	16	15	1	12	1	1		1	0			0	0
69		30	17		-	6	0	3	5	16	9	17	19	4	18	3	2	0	3	0	0		0	0
68		30	18		-	5	0	1	2	11	3	14	20	9	19	8	7	0	6	0	0		0	0
67		29	18		-	6		0	0	6	1	8	13	14	15	13	14	1	12	1	1		1	0	0
66		29	19		-	5		0	0	2	0	3	6	14	7	15	19	4	18	4	4	0	4	0	0	0
65		28	19		-	6		0	0	1	0	0	2	9	2	10	18	10	18	9	10	0	9	1	0	0
64		28	20		-	5				0		0	0	4	0	4	10	14	10	14	18	2	16	6	1	0	0	0
63		27	20		-	6				0		0	0	1	0	1	3	10	3	11	20	8	19	16	7	2	0	0	0
62		27	21		-	5							0	0		0	1	5	0	5	12	12	13	21	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
61		26	21		-	6								0		0	0	2	0	1	4	11	5	14	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
60		26	22		-	5								0		0	0	0		0	1	6	1	5	13	20	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
59		25	22		-	6								0				0		0	0	2	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
58		25	23		-	5								0				0		0	0	1	0	0	1	2	7	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
57		24	23		-	6								0				0			0	0		0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	1	0	0
56		24	24		-	5								0				0				0			0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
55		23	24		-	6												0				0				0	0	0	1	4	10	19	26	23	13	4	1
54		23	25		-	5																0						0	0	1	4	11	21	28	23	11	2
53		22	25		-	6																0							0	0	1	5	13	25	30	21	6
52		22	26		-	5																0							0	0	0	1	6	17	31	30	13
51		21	26		-	6																							0		0	0	2	10	26	38	23
50		21	27		-	5																										0	1	5	19	40	35
49		20	27		-	6																										0	0	2	12	37	48
48		20	28		-	5																										0	0	1	7	32	60
47		19	28		-	6																											0	0	4	25	70
46		19	29		-	5																												0	2	19	79
45		18	29		-	6																												0	1	14	85
44		18	30		-	5																													0	9	90
43		17	30		-	6																													0	6	94
42		17	31		-	5																													0	4	96
41		16	31		-	6																													0	4	96
40		16	32		-	5																														2	98
39		15	32		-	6																														1	99
38		15	33		-	5																														1	99
37		14	33		-	6																															100
36		13	33		-	7																														2	98
3	-35																																				100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	2	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	3	4	4	4	4	4