Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 0.1%
55 points   25 31-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Montreal vs Toronto-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Boston vs Arizona-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
97210-097.2%No05385430210,560
96200-191.4No2246680980
95201-084.6No115691506,091*
94191-173.1No0865261024,741*
93181-261.0No0457372091,500*
92182-147.0No024548500273,842*
91172-233.4No0133551110760,194*
90173-121.1No002158202001,826,923*
89163-211.9No001253305004,100,054*
88153-35.7No0064340111008,277,713*
87154-22.3No00230452030015,669,258*
86144-30.7No00118443170027,189,368*
85145-20.2No000935401510044,456,720*
84135-30.0No00424432540067,397,098*
83136-20.0No01133936101096,698,903*
82126-30.0No00629431920129,509,349*
81127-20.0No002184330600164,553,612*
80117-30.0No00193640131094,340,157
128-10.0No001936401310101,734,129*
79118-2OutNo00426452230109,709,597
107-4OutNo00425452330112,338,612*
78108-3OutNo00115433460113,805,616
119-1OutNo00115433470122,620,693*
77109-2OutNo00083643120117,635,685
98-4OutNo00073544140121,885,388*
7699-3OutNo0032549220109,896,173
1010-1OutNo0032549220118,522,379*
75910-2OutNo0011649330102,253,920
89-4OutNo0011548350105,154,276*
74810-3OutNo00094447085,178,939
911-1OutNo00094447092,052,809*
73811-2OutNo00436600144,147,937*
72711-3OutNo00227710110,199,153*
71712-2OutNo0011980080,114,312*
70612-3OutNo001287054,576,859*
69613-2OutNo00892035,319,870*
68513-3OutNo00595021,310,528*
67514-2OutNo0396112,196,172*
66414-3OutNo019726,449,496*
65415-2OutNo019543,230,285*
64416-1OutNo009271,476,177*
63316-2OutNo08812635,972*
62317-1OutNo08119244,903*
61217-2OutNo0722889,424*
60218-1OutNo0623827,938*
59118-2OutNo050508,265*
58119-1OutNo36641,826*
57120-0OutNo2476442*
56020-1OutNo158552
55021-0OutNo1090210,430
Total:0.1%No00001381522262402,538,415,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY RangersNY IslandersTampa BayPittsburghDetroitWashingtonBostonFlorida
97210-00.4%263289814000
96200-10.42633977100
95201-00.523318689
190-20.2233087780
94191-10.31930766700
180-30.3192765660
93181-20.2162455550
192-00.2162665560
170-40.2162355450
92182-10.21320444400
171-30.2121844340
160-50.2121644330
91172-20.191433230
183-00.191533330
161-40.181233220
150-60.181032220
90173-10.169222200
162-30.168221200
151-50.15722110
140-70.14611110
89163-20.03511110
174-00.14611110
152-40.03411110
141-60.02311110
88164-10.02311010
153-30.022010000
142-50.01200000
131-70.01100000
87154-20.011000000
143-40.01100000
165-00.01100000
132-60.00100000
86155-10.00000000
144-30.00000000
133-50.00000000
122-70.00000000
85145-20.00000000
134-40.00000000
156-00.00000000
123-60.00000000
84146-10.00000000
135-30.00000000
124-50.00000000
83136-20.00000000
125-40.00000000
147-00.0000000
82137-10.00000000
81127-20.0000000
80128-1No00
55-79No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 3 Washington 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Toronto+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
NY Islanders vs Carolina-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Columbus vs New Jersey-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
97210-0000051241452230
96200-121101459780
95201-0004115514150
94191-1001740242520
93181-20004253231710
92182-10002113433164000
91172-20001429262612200
90173-100012016302481000
89163-20001272433195100
88153-300062143130143000
87154-2000205213425102000
86144-3000101102733216100
85145-2000004153131153000
84135-300001621342710100
83136-20000211273520400
82126-30000041734321110
81127-2000018263922400
116-4000017253923400
80117-3000031537341010
128-1000031537341010
79118-20001729421920
107-40001728422020
78108-3000218433160
119-1000218433160
77109-2000193642120
98-40001935431300
7699-3000426482200
1010-1000426482200
75910-2000116483400
74810-30009444700
911-10009434700
73811-200043559100
72711-3002267020
71712-20011878400
70612-3001181700
69613-2007811200
68513-3004761910
67514-202682830
66414-301573660
65415-2004444120
64416-1003148201
63316-202047303
62317-101241416
61217-206324913
60218-12215323
59118-21125036
58119-1054352
57120-013168
56020-11783
55021-0001387
Total:0000000000001124814212523100