Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Beat Winnipeg 5-4 (ot), playoff odds up 2.4 to 64.5%
67 points   28 20-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Toronto 5 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+5.0
+0.1
Detroit 1 NY Islanders 3 -1.0
New Jersey 1 Ottawa 2 -0.7
Tampa Bay 4 Edmonton 1 -0.6
NY Rangers 2 Montreal 3 (so)-0.5
Carolina 1 Pittsburgh 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim vs Boston+1.5+0.1+0.1-1.3-1.6-1.6
Florida vs Edmonton-1.4-1.4-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.6
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
113230-0In1.7%8920232,309
112220-1In0.329804,012
111221-0In0.1199023,182*
110211-1In0.0099082,566*
109201-2In0.009910279,542*
108202-1InNo09910748,645*
107192-2InNo097301,902,568*
106193-1InNo095504,164,408*
105183-2InNo09190008,634,039*
104184-1InNo851500015,987,250*
103174-2InNo0772210028,100,044*
102164-3100.0%No6731200045,142,530*
101165-2100.0No55405000069,026,730*
100155-3100.0No424710000097,738,864*
99156-2100.0No30511801000132,020,869*
98146-399.8No19502803000166,489,976*
97147-299.1No11443806100200,724,385*
96137-397.0No534450123000227,250,391*
95138-292.6No224480187100125,017,119
127-491.4No222480198100121,291,674*
94128-382.1No11344025152000119,413,561
139-182.7No11444024152000132,201,571*
93129-269.0No0736026246000123,455,451
118-466.1No0634026267100122,931,551*
92119-348.3No032302334152000108,262,925
1210-149.4No032402334142000119,562,937*
911110-230.4No011301637257100202,087,462*
901010-315.6No006093235153000169,469,772*
891011-26.5No003042138267100136,337,909*
88911-32.1No00101113135173000103,681,107*
87912-20.5No00004203728910075,668,286*
86812-30.1No00011029361940052,120,086*
85813-20.0No00004183530111034,462,599*
84713-30.0No000182737215021,449,280*
83714-20.0No000316363311112,803,038*
82614-30.0No0001727402247,162,745*
81615-2OutNo00316393493,841,839*
80515-3OutNo00183143181,921,887*
79516-2OutNo0003214630918,622*
78517-1OutNo001124344404,749*
77417-2OutNo0063559171,378*
76418-1OutNo02267165,987*
75318-2OutNo01178224,301*
74319-1OutNo0011897,872*
73219-2OutNo05952,531*
72220-1OutNo397619*
71120-2OutNo199179*
70121-1OutNo39735*
68-69OutNo1009*
67023-0OutNo0100231,549
Total:64.5%0.0%010192401213106321002,793,522,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaBostonNY IslandersFloridaTampa BayBuffaloPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
113230-02.2%011324711241000000
112220-12.2013335100120000
111221-02.111333510001000000
110211-12.111431530001000000
109201-22.0114315300010000000
108202-12.0114305211010000000
107192-22.1114305211110000000
106193-12.0113285122111000000
105183-22.0113274934211000000
104184-12.0012254646311000000
103174-22.0011224279512000000
102164-32.001019361013713100000
101165-22.00816301317905100000
154-42.008153013171005100000
100155-32.016122317211206100000
166-12.017122317211206100000
99156-22.01591720251407200000
145-42.01581620251408200000
98146-32.03351023281609210000
157-12.02361123271608200000
135-52.0335923281609210000
97147-21.9523624291709210000
136-41.9623624291709310000
158-01.9523624291709210000
96137-31.81022323281609310000
148-11.8922424281609310000
126-51.81222323271609310000
95138-21.61622221251408310000
127-41.61722120251408310000
149-01.61622221251408210000
94128-31.42122117201106210000
139-11.42021118221206210000
117-51.32222115191006210000
93129-21.1222111316804200000
118-41.0222101114704100000
1310-01.1222111215804200000
92119-30.719210810502100000
1210-10.719210810503100000
911110-20.51411056301100000
109-40.4131104520100000
901010-30.271102310100000
891011-20.1300011000000
88911-30.010000000000
87912-20.000000000000
86913-10.000000000000
85813-20.000000000000
84814-10.000000000
83714-2No000
82715-1No0
67-81No
Total:1.2%9.92.53.45.512.715.68.50.14.61.40.40.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 5 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.7
NY Rangers 2 Montreal 3 (so)+0.2
New Jersey 1 Ottawa 2 +0.1
Tampa Bay 4 Edmonton 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Boston-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Florida vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113230-0269200
112220-1029710
111221-00196200
110211-100945000
109201-2009090010
108202-108315001000
107192-207423003000
106193-106332005000
105183-205040009000000
104184-137480014100000
103174-20255200202001000
102164-31452002650020000
101165-2748002910005000000
100155-3339028190010000000
99156-21290232800180001000
98146-30191634002710030000
97147-20110935003620060100
96137-30543000406001203000
95138-202123003711001807100
127-402121003611001908100
94128-3010130271700240153000
139-101013281700240152000
93129-200071619002512460000
118-400060151900251267100
92119-30037160021234152000
911110-200121100133362671000
901010-30001600633035163000
891011-200030022193628920000
88911-300010018273521610000
87912-200000031430311651000
86812-300000151831281441000
85813-2000000172131251230000
84713-30000029233123102000
83714-200003112531218100
82614-300004132731186100
81615-2001517302914300
80515-300017223326910
79516-200021128342040
78517-10014183532110
77417-200192840211
76418-100031841343
75318-2001936477
74319-104275613
73219-201166121
72220-10105831
71120-2174944
70121-165143
69122-05050
68022-1100
67023-0021790
Total:0018006130017700111139632110000000