Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 95.4%
57 points   26 18-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas 6 Florida 1 +0.6
Montreal 4 Colorado 2 -0.1
Anaheim 6 NY Rangers 3 +0.1
Vegas 6 Columbus 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago vs Toronto-1.5+0.1+0.1+1.3+1.5+1.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123330-0In95.3%99182,355
122320-1In75.01004
121310-2In80.697331*
120311-1In76.6928145*
119301-2In66.882180633*
118302-1In51.37302612,135*
117292-2In40.96403426,667*
116282-3In29.353042519,064*
115283-2In19.643050848,896*
114273-3In12.13205513117,237*
113274-2In6.62305719260,057*
112264-3In3.21605727538,313*
111265-2In1.4100533701,049,006*
110255-3In0.560474701,932,243*
109256-2In0.130405603,373,721*
108246-3In0.020336505,581,335*
107247-2In0.010267308,799,317*
106237-3In0.0001980013,214,947*
105227-4In0.0001486018,994,536*
104228-3In0.0001090026,088,991*
103218-4InNo00793034,387,308*
102219-3InNo00595043,452,053*
101209-4InNo003970052,766,470*
1002010-3100.0%No0029800061,581,354*
991910-4100.0No0019900069,190,478*
981911-3100.0No0019900074,791,847*
971811-4100.0No0099000077,977,860*
961812-3100.0No00991000078,316,906*
951712-4100.0No00981000075,940,482*
941713-399.8No009721000070,975,048*
931613-499.4No096211000064,069,405*
921614-398.1No093221000055,821,717*
911514-495.2No090233100046,975,776*
901515-390.0No0851453100038,144,681*
891415-482.3No0781377300029,935,415*
881416-372.6No070028117200022,676,532*
871316-461.7No0600161413500016,596,955*
861317-350.3No05001414201010011,719,260*
851217-439.1No0390021125194007,990,860*
841218-328.7No029001825289105,260,710*
831118-419.7No0200004213616203,343,033*
821119-312.5No01200021539266002,045,338*
811019-47.2No70019363511101,207,201*
801020-33.8No400529411920685,176*
79920-41.8No200221432930375,281*
78921-30.7No10113393970197,987*
77821-40.3No00073347120100,241*
76822-30.1No003245220148,895*
75823-20.0No002175229122,654*
74723-30.0No0110493839,957*
73724-2OutNo06414764,342*
72624-3OutNo033552101,774*
71625-2OutNo1295515653*
70525-3OutNo0175428225*
69526-2OutNo9533897*
68426-3OutNo5563839*
67427-2OutNo56449*
66428-1OutNo1001
65429-0OutNo1001
64228-3OutNo1001
57033-0OutNo19982,355
Total:95.4%0.0%0029111111100001,026,806,010

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusPittsburghNY IslandersNY RangersCarolinaFloridaDetroitMontrealOttawaBuffalo
123330-04.5%01381016161416122210
122320-1No252550
121310-2No313131616191010
120311-14.1172613101715139312
119301-24.431529716141298221
118302-13.65213781112111082110
117292-23.5828267101091072110
116282-33.51235255888861110
115283-23.31443144776651110
114273-33.01850133555531100
113274-22.82156122443421100
112264-32.623611122222200000
111265-22.52565011221210000
110255-32.427670111111100000
109256-22.32869000110100000
108246-32.228700000000000000
107247-22.128710000000000000
106237-32.128710000000000000
105227-42.128720000000000000
104228-32.028720000000000000
103218-42.028720000000000000
102219-32.028720000000000000
101209-42.028720000000000000
1002010-32.028720000000000000
991910-42.027720000000000000
981911-31.927720000000000000
971811-41.927720000000000000
961812-31.927720000000000000
951712-41.927721000000000000
941713-31.927711000000000000
931613-41.927701000000000000
921614-31.927691000000000000
911514-41.827671000000000000
901515-31.726631000000000000
891415-41.623580000000000000
881416-31.42052000000000000
871316-41.217440000000000000
861317-31.014370000000000000
851217-40.71129000000000000
841218-30.5821000000000000
831118-40.4514000000000
821119-30.2390000
811019-40.125000
801020-30.113
791021-20.011
78921-30.001
77922-20.000
76822-30.000
75823-2No00
74723-3No0
57-73No
Total:1.9%26.268.40.40.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 6 Florida 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Toronto+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123330-09541
122320-17525
121310-281163
120311-177158
119301-26715180
118302-151220261
117292-241230342
116282-3292404205
115283-22023005008
114273-312200054013
113274-2716005710190
112264-3312005510270
111265-2190050303700
110255-3050043504600
109256-20300337005600
108246-302002490064100
107247-2010015110070300
106237-3000091100737000
105227-400004100071150000
104228-30000280063270000
103218-4000160051420000
102219-3000040036581000
101209-40000200227310000
1002010-300010011833100000
991910-40001004866200000
981911-3000000182960000000
971811-4000007212150000000
961812-300000571329010000000
951712-400000411246010000000
941713-3000002596402010000000
931613-400001367702010000000
921614-30006385020200100000
911514-40021860203011210000
901515-30118401040123310000
891415-4000781030025631000
881416-30007000200159841000
871316-4000600100131013930000
861317-3000500100027151682000
851217-40039000001413211651000
841218-3002900000292225123000
831118-40200000141730217100
821119-301200000210282914300
811019-4700005213323810
801020-3400213313115300
79920-420017233524710
78921-310031532331420
77821-4001825372340
76822-3000417373390
75823-200021032401610
74723-3000523442620
73724-200216413650
72624-30110384290
71625-253248151
70525-331851271
69526-211249361
68426-3846388
67427-2563311
66428-1100
65429-0100
64228-3100
57033-001783
Total:0000110011415340101000111110000000