Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 43.9%
9 points   4 4-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-4.8-0.4-0.4+4.4+5.0+5.4
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)-0.5
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.3
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-155InYes10039,426*
1265511-7In99.8%1000411*
1255512-6InYes100852*
1245412-7In99.9100001,554*
1235312-8In99.5100002,946*
1225313-7In99.2100005,203*
1215213-8In99.0100009,098*
1205214-7In98.3990015,806*
1195114-8In97.4991026,544*
1185115-7In96.0981143,879*
1175015-8In94.19811070,065*
1165016-7In91.596220110,253*
1154916-8In87.695320168,885*
1144917-7In82.7924400257,423*
1134817-8In76.289650381,296*
1124818-7In68.5857700554,848*
1114718-8In59.580101000791,257*
1104719-7In49.2741213101,105,078*
1094619-8In38.46715171001,517,608*
1084519-9In27.95818222002,048,725*
1074520-8In18.54921273002,714,216*
1064420-9100.0%11.040233250003,532,057*
1054421-8100.05.730243781004,520,856*
1044321-9100.02.5222441121005,673,292*
1034322-8100.00.91423431630007,004,404*
1024222-9100.00.3921442240008,491,682*
1014223-8100.00.15174227710010,137,699*
1004123-999.90.0213393211200011,895,676*
994124-899.70.0193336174000013,718,540*
984024-999.20.0062737226100015,560,435*
974025-897.9No04203627112000017,361,557*
963925-995.2No021433291741000019,049,528*
953926-889.9No01928292382000020,577,930*
943826-980.8No006222528154100021,854,104*
933827-867.6No003161930228200022,841,903*
923727-951.4No00210122727155100023,487,403*
913728-834.8No016721292210300023,775,796*
903628-920.7No0043142628177100023,685,288*
893629-810.7No0021720292412300023,217,111*
883529-94.8No0010313252920710022,392,508*
873530-81.9No0000171829271430021,265,819*
863430-90.6No0000031225312171019,880,062*
853431-80.2No0000016183128122018,296,711*
843331-90.1No000003122733204016,566,131*
833332-80.0No00000172135278114,772,309*
823232-90.0No000000315333413112,964,850*
813233-80.0No0000029283920311,202,771*
803133-90.0No00001521402759,529,288*
793134-80.0No00000315393487,972,683*
783034-9OutNo0001103541126,573,112*
773035-8OutNo000163045185,333,515*
762935-9OutNo00042448244,258,517*
752936-8OutNo00021948313,345,912*
742836-9OutNo0011447382,589,407*
732837-8OutNo0011044451,974,429*
722737-9OutNo000740521,475,395*
712738-8OutNo00536591,088,778*
702638-9OutNo0033166789,099*
692639-8OutNo0022672565,423*
682539-9OutNo012277396,953*
672540-8OutNo011882273,037*
662440-9OutNo001485186,477*
652441-8OutNo01189124,643*
642341-9OutNo089182,098*
632342-8OutNo069353,152*
622242-9OutNo059533,782*
612243-8OutNo049621,121*
602143-9OutNo039713,207*
592144-8OutNo2987,914*
582044-9OutNo01994,704*
572045-8OutNo1992,711*
561945-9OutNo1991,570*
551946-8OutNo0100868*
541947-7OutNo0100454*
9-53OutNo10039,536*
Total:43.9%1.0%339118998888752470,329,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitOttawaMontrealWashingtonNY IslandersNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersBostonFloridaColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
155730-06.2%3910111166666109511
134608-5NoYes
133587-8No252550
132588-7No404020
131578-8No18189181899
1305810-5No31961393336613933
1295710-64.021881282486416822
1285610-75.61815128107324121044
1275611-64.939913135545713850
1265511-75.15911101046645119512
1255512-65.24911131066655109521
1245412-76.23912111155566109611
1235312-86.539111211556661010511
1225313-75.9310111112555561110411
1215213-85.921011111155565119411
1205214-76.5310111212555551110511
1195114-86.1310111111555551110511
1185115-76.0310111112555551110411
1175015-86.0310111112555551110511
1165016-76.0310111212555551110411
1154916-86.1310111212555551110411
1144917-76.2310111212555551110411
1134817-86.1310121212555551110411
1124818-76.1311121212555551010411
1114718-86.0311121212555551010411
1104719-76.0212131313444441010410
1094619-85.921313131344444109410
1084519-95.921314141444444109310
1074520-85.821414141444444109310
1064420-95.721515151433333109310
1054421-85.62161615153333399210
1044321-95.42171616153332299210
1034322-85.32181716162222299200
1024222-95.23191716162222298200
1014223-85.13191716162222298100
1004123-95.04191716153222288100
994124-84.86191616153222288100
984024-94.77181615143222287100
974025-84.69181515144322277100
963925-94.411171414134322266100
953926-84.112161312114322255100
943826-93.712141111104322244100
933827-83.012129984222233100
923727-92.31097663211122100
913728-81.5774442111111000
903628-90.9443321110011000
893629-80.5221111000000000
883529-90.2111110000000000
873530-80.1000000000000000
863531-70.0000000000000000
853431-80.0000000000000000
843432-70.0000000000000000
833332-80.0000000000000000
823333-70.0000000000000000
813233-80.000000000000
803234-70.0000000
793235-6No0000
9-78No
Total:2.1%4.57.96.56.35.91.81.21.11.01.03.12.90.70.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-155100
1265511-71000
1255512-6100
1245412-710000
1235312-8100000
1225313-799100
1215213-899100
1205214-798100
1195114-897110
1185115-796211
1175015-89431100
1165016-7925220
1154916-88873020
1144917-78310404000
1134817-87613605000
1124818-769177070000
1114718-86021100100000
1104719-749251201300100
1094619-8382814116001000
1084519-92831171201020000
1074520-819311822420030000
1064420-91129194274105000000
1054421-8625186287208001000
1044321-9319169261230110001000
1034322-811412112116601510030000
1024222-90981215208119200400000
1014223-80551292110221510701000
1004123-9023114191232192011020000
994124-80118115116181440151400000
984024-9000601089121870193601000
974025-80040551061910220611020000
963925-900202292161141811151410000
953926-80010117111971316203820000
943826-900000050669718208144100000
933827-80000030331031616141910310000
923727-9000002011811191820178310000
913728-800010006074171521178310000
903628-9000000030311391923179310000
893629-8000000201073112123179310000
883529-90000010003151321241810310000
873530-80000000010161322241810310000
863430-900000000002614222418931000
853431-800000000000271523251782000
843331-90000000128172525166100
833332-80000000013919272413410
823232-9000000001412232821920
813233-80000000261728281640
803133-900000031023312381
793134-80000015163030152
783034-900002102535225
773035-8000161935309
762935-90000313333714
752936-800018284220
742836-90015234428
732837-80003174436
722737-9001124244
712738-800183952
702638-900053460
692639-80032967
682539-90022474
672540-80012079
662440-9011683
652441-8001287
642341-90990
632342-80793
622242-90594
612243-80496
602143-90397
592144-8298
582044-90199
572045-8199
561945-9199
551946-80100
541947-70100
9-53100
Total:121223223422445455555444444331