Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 0-4, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99999%
99 points   46 23-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.2
+2.6
Detroit 4 Tampa Bay 0 -0.3
-5.6
NY Islanders 2 Anaheim 3 +0.1
-0.8
St. Louis 2 Columbus 4 +0.1
+0.4
Montreal 3 Florida 2 (ot)*-0.0
-0.1
Washington 3 Nashville 4 -0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina vs BostonIn*In*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Washington-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+1.0
Nashville vs Calgary-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.6
New Jersey vs Anaheim+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
11160-0In27.6%4547862,145,844
11050-1In8.124512564,594,742
10951-0In1.9124444200,354,750
40-2In1.610395127,284,236
10841-1In0.2432640169,244,322
30-3In0.13276905,985,701
10742-0In0.0118810262,447,220
31-2In0.011484055,667,754
20-4In0.0112870720,186
10632-1In0.008901172,660,993
21-3In0.0079218,921,036
10-5InNo0593145,260
10533-0In0.003925178,539,708
22-2In0.00293541,500,632
11-4InNo01945695,517
00-6InNo19361,148
10423-1InNo01891085,831,567
12-3InNo0189104,324,284
01-5InNo0891121,423
10324-0InNo00792166,554,578
13-2InNo00792113,416,196
02-4InNo7921164,848
10214-1InNo0673320,813,139
03-3InNo6733683,701
10115-0InNo51490012,909,799
04-2InNo5149001,586,807
10005-1100.0%No36622001,968,733
9906-0100.0No20728101,138,336
Total:100.0%1.8%6207140001,460,222,460

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY RangersMontrealPittsburghNY IslandersDetroitWashingtonOttawaBostonFloridaColumbusPhiladelphia
11160-013.9%389312324100
11050-113.44925281716100
10951-013.13842231211100
40-213.1374919121000
10841-112.8003661159700
30-312.802564129700
10742-012.600247586500
31-212.60013786650
20-412.5012805660
10632-112.50012843550
21-312.5011853650
10-512.5001852650
10533-012.30101891540
22-212.30100881550
11-412.30100880550
00-611.20085077
10423-112.20100890550
12-312.2100890550
01-512.1100880560
10324-012.10100900550
13-212.1100890550
02-412.0088560
10214-111.9100890550
03-311.9188560
10115-011.7010089550
04-211.8010088560
10005-111.6120087560
9906-011.43600810550
Total:12.7%0.00.31.63.968.710.07.97.40.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Tampa Bay 0 +0.6
Montreal 3 Florida 2 (ot)+0.1
St. Louis 2 Columbus 4 -0.1
Boston 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.1
Washington 3 Nashville 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Detroit-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Calgary+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Rangers vs Washington+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
11160-0281745280
11050-1816429231
10951-02102816386
40-2292514447
10841-104122045190
30-303101749210
10742-0014144041000
31-2013114243000
20-401294344000
10632-100182464210
21-300062565210
10-50052566210
10533-0000311775041
22-2000211785041
11-400110795041
00-6011177651
10423-1001270170640
12-3001270170640
01-5027116065
10324-00000532518130
13-20000532518130
02-40532517140
10214-100273836252
03-30273836252
10115-001133633890000
04-201133633890000
10005-12231113526011000
9906-0091002545216100
Total:241010264040220000000