Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances

Beating Colorado 1-0 (End 1st), playoff odds up 0.5 to 10.2%
58 points   25 24-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.4
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 +0.3
NY Islanders 6 New Jersey 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-4.1-1.6-1.6+1.6+2.3+2.2
San Jose vs Boston+0.6*+0.0-0.1-0.6-0.8-0.7
Carolina vs Toronto+0.5*-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.4-0.3
Vancouver vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. Louis vs Florida+0.5*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.7-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
106-108InNo100612*
105231-1InNo94617*
104221-2InNo93744*
103222-1InNo8812187*
102212-2InNo82181523*
101202-3InNo702821,255*
100203-2InNo6234403,035*
99193-3InNo49438006,620*
98194-299.9%No354915010013,458*
97184-399.6No234825030025,324*
96185-298.3No134335082045,084*
95175-394.8No6334101451075,055*
94176-286.3No3214202011200118,090*
93166-372.1No11136024216100173,448*
92167-253.0No05260223014300243,804*
91157-332.7No02150153425810156,596
168-133.0No02160163325810168,110*
90158-218.4No01809303316300182,822
147-415.5No00708283418400227,693*
89148-36.8No03419352810100490,297*
88149-22.5No01110283519400243,902
138-41.9No01192636215100318,561*
87139-30.5No000316343112200292,493
1410-10.8No0000419352910200150,541
128-50.4No000314333315300169,519*
861310-20.1No00018273622610271,255
129-40.1No00017243624710365,385*
851210-30.0No00031433331420300,931
1311-10.0No00031634311220153,392
119-50.0No00021231351730178,493*
841211-20.0No001624372571371,458*
1110-40.0No0001622372771228,709
831111-3OutNo002133335152257,694
1212-1OutNo002133235162284,522*
821112-2OutNo00162439255199,029
1011-4OutNo0052239276269,035*
811012-3OutNo00213363712386,747*
801013-2OutNo016274422306,231*
79913-3OutNo002184535230,149*
78914-2OutNo001104049165,657*
77814-3OutNo0053263113,056*
76815-2OutNo02247473,651*
75715-3OutNo01168345,689*
74716-2OutNo0109027,216*
73616-3OutNo069415,181*
72617-2OutNo03978,002*
71517-3OutNo2984,089*
70518-2OutNo1991,885*
69418-3OutNo0100872*
58-68OutNo1001,182*
Total:10.2%No02503710131414131177,366,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersFloridaCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaNew JerseyDetroit
108250-01.1%118176300
106230-2No5050
105231-1No6127166
104221-2No1876852
103222-11.11151654254111
102212-20.20161746373312
101202-31.0116163871045040
100203-20.50121535912660400
99193-30.51111027131788050000
98194-20.6188191619101007010
183-40.7178181721111006010
97184-30.6355121923111207010
195-10.53661419221111071000
173-50.7445112122121208010
96185-20.6633720241213080100
174-40.67336212412120810
196-00.764472123131208100
95175-30.41322319221212080100
186-10.5113342023121208010
164-50.614223192211120810
94176-20.4172221719101007010
165-40.4182211618910070100
187-00.415222182111110710
154-60.42022115189100610
93166-30.32022113147805010
177-10.42022114168805010
155-50.3212211113770410
144-70.220221111266410
92167-20.2192119105503010
156-40.21811189450300
178-00.319211101256310
145-60.21811078440300
91157-30.1131105623200
168-10.2151105733200
146-50.1121104522100
135-70.1111104422100
90158-20.181103311100
147-40.171102311100
169-00.191103412100
136-60.050002211000
89148-30.030001100000
159-10.040001211000
137-50.020001100000
88149-20.010000000000
138-40.010000000000
87139-30.00000000000
861310-20.000000000000
851210-3No0000000000
841211-2No0000
58-83No
Total:0.0%2.80.30.30.31.72.00.91.00.00.60.00.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 -0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Detroit 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Colorado vs Tampa Bay+1.1+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.6-0.6
San Jose vs Boston-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Florida-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108250-07723
106230-25050
105231-129656
104221-232617
103222-11673102
102212-214671531
101202-366417102
100203-226018160400
99193-314816278000
98194-20341237014100100
97184-30236422230300
96185-2013340287008020
95175-306132271500140510
94176-2302121210020011200
93166-31011122400231216100
92167-2005520001923014300
91157-302214001243325810
90158-201070532733184000
89148-30032217332912200
88149-20010182534227100
138-40010162234259200
87139-300000021128321961000
861310-2000004163028155100
129-40000003142830176100
851210-300015172927154100
1311-100015172927155100
841211-2000017192926134100
831111-3002921302411300
1212-10002821302411300
821112-20003102431229200
811012-3000313273119610
801013-200151731301430
79913-30001823352670
78914-20003133236160
77814-300162341281
76815-20021339423
75715-301631557
74716-2003226312
73616-301136620
72617-2076528
71517-30458390
70518-2150490
69418-304060
68419-232681
67319-32278
66320-212862
65321-112826
64322-0255025
63222-1100
58025-06733
Total:0002013003179101010998754200