San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 40.9%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose-6.1-1.4-1.6+4.0+4.8+5.2
-0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.7-0.2*-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.6
Anaheim vs Minnesota*+0.0-0.7*-0.3*-0.3-0.6+0.3
Vegas vs Arizona+0.2-0.6*-0.4*+0.1-0.5*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-108InYes100264*
85399-5In98.0%991153*
843910-4In96.61000233*
833810-5In95.09810363*
823710-6In95.0982565*
813711-5In90.9972101,018*
803611-6In86.695411,595*
793612-5In80.393522,448*
783512-6In72.4888403,533*
773513-5In61.48113605,212*
763413-6In48.17318907,391*
753414-5In35.5632313010,201*
743314-6In22.65129191013,823*
733315-5In12.43932272017,912*
723215-6In5.52634354023,028*
713216-5100.0%2.016334380029,296*
703116-6100.00.4828491410035,846*
693117-599.90.13215023300042,973*
683017-699.70.01134633600050,400*
673018-598.8No06354313110058,480*
662918-696.0No02234622340064,959*
652919-589.3No1114028101010071,480*
642819-676.0No042725201941076,778*
632820-556.5No01141526271330081,274*
622720-635.1No00562426251120083,243*
612721-518.0No02115173023920083,578*
602621-67.6No00078243121810082,745*
592622-52.6No000221227311861080,225*
582522-60.8No000115173029153075,438*
572523-50.2No0001721332610170,336*
562423-60.1No00000312283419463,294*
552424-50.0No000015193630956,181*
542324-60.0No00021130391848,998*
532325-50.0No0001523432841,743*
522225-60.0No000215424035,121*
512226-5OutNo0019385228,422*
502126-6OutNo005316322,583*
492127-5OutNo003247317,815*
482027-6OutNo01188013,612*
472028-5OutNo01138610,349*
461928-6OutNo09917,555*
451929-5OutNo07935,441*
441829-6OutNo04963,745*
431830-5OutNo2982,520*
421730-6OutNo1991,778*
411731-5OutNo1991,165*
401631-6OutNo199735*
391632-5OutNo100460*
381532-6OutNo199285*
2-37OutNo100538*
Total:40.9%1.8%44101166677778891,437,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNew JerseyPhiladelphiaWashingtonNY IslandersSt. LouisColoradoMinnesotaArizonaAnaheimBostonPittsburghNY RangersLos AngelesBuffalo
108530-06.1%1911141112171114
93435-5NoYes
91448-1NoYes
90438-2No5050
89417-5No991893699
88418-47.11472177771477
87419-316.7111114388636333193
86409-48.31021541312117124857
85399-57.8115433101010121035573
843910-46.9936631288137333105
833810-55.8104356911891043595
823710-65.110345599108855594
813711-56.1855441191081054385
803611-66.01255548998855684
793612-56.51045549888855685
783512-66.0955559998855575
773513-55.9956659999854584
763413-66.0965558998855575
753414-56.21055559999855575
743314-66.310455591099955484
733315-56.31144441010109944484
723215-66.113444311111110933483
713216-56.0133333121211111033392
703116-66.4152222131312111122292
693117-56.21522221313131211112101
683017-66.21611111413141212111101
2916-86.21611111313131211111101
673018-55.91612211313131211111101
3119-35.91612221313131212111101
662918-65.9152222121212111121191
3019-45.9162222131313111111191
2817-85.8152222121212111021191
652919-55.814333211111110922191
2818-75.41333331110109922271
3020-35.51333321111119922281
642819-64.91143339987722261
2718-84.51043338887622251
632820-53.5833336665522241
622720-62.2522223333311121
612721-51.1311112221111010
602722-40.5100001111100000
592622-50.1100000000000000
582623-40.0000000000000000
572523-50.000000000000000
562524-40.00000000
552525-30.00000000
542425-4No000000
532527-1No00
522326-4No00
2-51No
Total:2.5%5.91.41.41.31.24.84.74.74.24.11.01.00.93.40.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.1
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.1-1.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.1+0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs Montreal*+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton*-0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-108100
85399-59811
843910-49730
833810-595310
823710-69532
813711-5916210
803611-687841
793612-5801252
783512-672158040
773513-561201306000
763413-648251719000
753414-5362822113000
743314-62329253171110
733315-51227266233202000
723215-66212410256404000
713216-52141914241180700000
703116-6071216181614113111000
693117-50361510181841832030000
683017-6012114151982076060000
673018-500618141316131311211100
662918-60020361481518418430400
652919-50101292111791991009100
642819-600040410131114172176100
632820-50001013104121972016620000
622720-600015151211142217831000
612721-500020151051522201252000
602621-60000161514212216931000
592622-500002014111823201362000
582522-600001001381522221683100
572523-50000002613202319114100
562423-6000000151120242112510
552424-50000014112026221240
542324-600001411212723102
532325-500015132629206
522225-600002718313012
512226-5000311273722
502126-60016204034
492127-50002133846
482027-60183259
472028-5042669
461928-6022078
451929-5011584
441829-611090
431830-50793
421730-6496
411731-5496
401631-6298
391632-50100
381532-6199
371533-5199
2-36100
Total:2222223232323242444444444444445