"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 71.6%
8 points   4 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+3.3+2.9+2.5-1.6-1.6-5.4
+0.3+0.2+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.4
+0.9+0.9+0.7-0.5-0.5-1.5
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)-0.3
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.3
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-162InYes1001,476*
1255515-7In99.4%1000482*
1245516-6In99.51000883*
1235315-9In99.6100001,373*
1225316-8In99.310002,146*
1215317-7In98.3100003,217*
1205217-8In98.199004,935*
1195117-9In96.199017,284*
1185118-8In95.1990110,219*
1175018-9In93.0981114,453*
1165019-8In89.7971220,088*
1154919-9In85.69623027,259*
1144920-8In80.49434036,165*
1134820-9In74.09145047,539*
1124821-8In65.98757061,311*
1114721-9In56.983710078,262*
1104722-8In46.6779131097,817*
1094622-9In36.070121710119,379*
1084623-8In26.062152120144,361*
1074523-9In17.253192630170,440*
1064524-8In10.2432231400199,485*
1054424-9In5.4342435700229,643*
1044425-8In2.42525401010259,732*
1034325-9100.0%0.817254314200288,429*
1024326-8100.00.311234519300316,209*
1014226-9100.00.06204424500340,652*
1004227-8100.00.031642298100361,601*
994127-999.90.01123834122000379,030*
984128-899.60.00932371740000389,087*
974028-998.7No0626382171000395,851*
964029-896.6No032037241230000393,306*
953929-992.2No021433251861000387,782*
943930-884.0No0192823231231000375,485*
933830-971.4No062218261882000357,532*
923831-855.4No0316122424145100337,164*
913731-938.2No02116192721103000311,988*
903732-823.5No01731324261772000283,925*
893632-912.5No00417182724134100255,806*
883633-85.9No00203122428208200227,049*
873533-92.5No00101617282715400197,198*
863534-80.9No0000311233022810170,083*
853434-90.3No0000161729291430144,137*
843435-80.1No000031025332261120,095*
833335-90.0No0001618332911198,446*
823336-80.0No000312293518379,903*
813236-90.0No00017243825563,596*
803237-8OutNo004173733949,885*
793137-9OutNo0021234381438,993*
783138-8OutNo001729441929,563*
773038-9OutNo00423452722,020*
763039-8OutNo0317463416,562*
752939-9OutNo0113444211,999*
742940-8OutNo00941508,567*
732840-9OutNo00636586,204*
722841-8OutNo0431654,262*
712741-9OutNo226722,968*
702742-8OutNo223761,988*
692642-9OutNo119811,334*
682643-8OutNo01387890*
672543-9OutNo01089566*
662544-8OutNo0990350*
652545-7OutNo496249*
642344-10OutNo595174*
632345-9OutNo49693*
622346-8OutNo69434*
8-61OutNo100716*
Total:71.6%5.4%128191787655433218,009,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayWashingtonDetroitMontrealNY IslandersPittsburghColumbusNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoFloridaPhiladelphiaBostonCarolinaBuffalo
162770-05.7%778966898878631
135599-933.3333333
1346011-6No602020
1336012-530.01020101020101010
1325912-6No91899999189
1315812-78.38413138441713844
1305712-85.185318583351513510
1295713-75.27399723951759142
1285714-65.482811577889791022
1275513-96.710681145887886821
1265514-89.086876875611116821
1255515-77.366139656661296721
1245516-66.175810797779106521
1235315-97.9751010766669106832
1225316-88.57591077777996821
1215317-77.7769105667710106821
1205217-87.6751010677661096821
1195117-97.88699666761096831
1185118-87.786910667661095821
1175018-97.9861010667761096821
1165019-87.4861010666661096821
1154919-97.886101066677996821
1144920-87.9851010666661095821
1134820-97.9851010666661095821
1124821-87.8951110666661095821
1114721-97.7951111666661095821
1104722-87.71051111566661095821
1094622-97.61151212555651095821
1084623-87.61241313555551094821
1074523-97.41341414455551094821
1064524-87.41441414444441094711
1054424-97.21541615444441093711
1044425-87.01631616334331093711
1034325-96.91731717333331092711
1024326-86.81831817333331092711
1014226-96.71931818333221092711
1004227-86.41931818332221092701
994127-96.41931818333221092701
984128-86.31941817333221081701
974028-96.1195171743332981701
964029-85.9195171644332971600
953929-95.5186151554332861500
943930-85.0176141354332751500
933830-94.2146111143322541300
923831-83.31159843221431300
913731-92.2836632211221200
903732-81.4524421111110100
893632-90.7312211000110100
883633-80.3101100000000000
873533-90.1100000000000000
863534-80.0000000000000000
853535-70.0000000000000000
843334-100.00000000000000
833335-90.0000000000
823235-10No000
813135-11No0
8-80No
Total:4.7%12.53.411.611.43.12.72.52.42.16.65.81.74.80.50.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.4+0.3+1.1
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-162100
1255515-79900
1245516-610000
1235315-9100000
1225316-89910
1215317-798100
1205217-898100
1195117-996301
1185118-895401
1175018-993511
1165019-890712
1154919-9861020300
1144920-88013304000
1134820-97417405000
1124821-86621507000
1114721-957267010000
1104722-8473190120010
1094622-93634121161010
1084623-826361411910200
1074523-9173616323300300
1064524-810331742551040000
1054424-95281772682060000
1044425-8222151024124090010
1034325-9116121220176013102000
1024326-8010914142191162003000
1014226-9066159221221841050000
1004227-80331342013419830801000
994127-90111121613716135011120000
984128-800180111011111791152400000
974028-900506713618122175701000
964029-80030341321614516912130000
953929-900201211111138121316261000
943930-8001018079127151861141000
933830-90000503514314151117931000
923831-80003012131119151916720000
913731-900020011006415162115720000
903732-800100603111919221672100
893632-90000040107412212316831000
883633-8000020031514222317931000
873533-900010010261422231793100
863534-800000000271522241783100
853434-90000001271623241782000
843435-800000138172524156100
833335-90000131019262313410
823336-800001412222721920
813236-90000261626281751
803237-8000039213025102
793137-90015152830174
783138-8000292334257
773038-9001517333212
763039-800211293919
752939-9017244226
742940-8004184335
732840-902124145
722841-80193753
712741-9053262
702742-80042968
692642-922376
682643-811782
672543-911386
662544-801288
652545-7496
642344-10595
632345-9595
622346-8991
8-61100
Total:574456445543544343333222211110