Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 24.4%
34 points   14 13-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Chicago 4 Toronto 0 +0.5
Boston 4 Buffalo 3 (ot)-0.3
-0.0
Winnipeg 3 Philadelphia 4 (ot)-0.3
NY Rangers 1 Carolina 0 -0.2
Detroit 1 Colorado 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Ottawa-4.4-0.4-0.4+4.5+5.0+5.6
-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.4+0.4
Florida vs Pittsburgh-0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.0*+0.0+0.5
Columbus vs Nashville-0.1-0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-132In100.0%1005,233*
121402-7In66.767333*
120425-2In50.0831712*
119415-3In55.6722818*
118405-4In48.7792139*
117395-5In40.368311134*
116396-4In36.970282268*
115386-5In27.6613530519*
114387-4In19.15044501,076*
113377-5In12.745486002,371*
112378-4In7.336549104,356*
111368-5In3.9285714108,251*
110369-4In1.6205917210014,906*
109359-5In0.7145821520025,723*
1083510-4In0.2955248400042,839*
1073410-5In0.15492513700070,418*
1063411-4In0.0242241911110111,626*
1053311-5100.0%0.01332125152200170,656*
1043211-6100.00.00251730203400253,451*
1033212-5100.0No0171232247710365,879*
1023112-699.9No011731251112200514,468*
1013113-599.8No074272417184000702,906*
1003013-699.2No042211921248100932,396*
993014-597.8No02115142429142001,206,413*
982914-694.7No109923312250001,522,797*
972915-588.7No0054202930101001,868,381*
962815-679.2No0032152336173002,234,907*
952816-566.1No00111017372671002,609,545*
942716-650.9No00006113334132002,970,613*
932717-535.7No0000362638215003,294,859*
922617-622.6No000231837309103,567,079*
912618-512.9No00011113236163003,766,190*
902518-66.6No000062539245003,889,373*
892519-53.0No00003173732101003,913,754*
882419-61.2No0001113238162003,846,490*
872420-50.4No000062541243003,694,432*
862320-60.1No00031840326003,460,019*
852321-50.0No000112363911103,170,162*
842221-60.0No00172944172002,832,482*
832222-50.0No0042246244002,475,985*
822122-60.0No0021544326002,113,123*
812123-5OutNo0110393911101,757,349*
802023-60.0No0006334317101,429,244*
792024-5OutNo003254524301,135,797*
781924-6OutNo00118443150883,480*
771925-5OutNo0112403891669,019*
761825-6OutNo0073343151495,127*
751826-5OutNo0042646213356,195*
741726-6OutNo021945295251,022*
731727-5OutNo011342368172,892*
721627-6OutNo008374212116,676*
711628-5OutNo0530461975,834*
701528-6OutNo0323492648,648*
691529-5OutNo0117483430,444*
681429-6OutNo0112444318,504*
671430-5OutNo07405210,797*
661330-6OutNo0534616,246*
651331-5OutNo0330683,387*
641231-6OutNo223751,905*
631232-5OutNo11881981*
621132-6OutNo11486470*
611133-5OutNo991262*
601134-4OutNo496142*
591034-5OutNo69454*
34-58OutNo1005,293*
Total:24.4%0.0%01022451014161715931063,133,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghNY IslandersTampa BayDetroitNY RangersMontrealTorontoWashingtonBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
132490-02.0%0371181619119114100
122445-0NoYes
121402-7No333333
120425-2No833172517
119415-3No6111711336611
118405-45.155105828813135
117395-52.241216413151310841
116396-41.9049137151712710301
115386-52.50481791718116730
114387-42.8041115717181176310
113377-52.004915817161377300
112378-42.11612159151611673000
111368-52.016111511151513563000
110369-42.017111412151413563000
109359-52.019101413141313553000
1083510-41.721011131413121444200
1073410-51.7212111315121114342000
1063411-41.73141112161110143320000
1053311-51.7415111217119143320000
1043211-61.651711121710814222000
1033212-51.5618111117108132220000
1023112-61.5818121217107122210000
1013113-51.5101813121597111110000
1003013-61.4131814111496101110000
993014-51.317171511129681110000
982914-61.223161510108561100000
3015-41.222161511108571100000
972915-51.1271414987450100000
3016-31.1271414987450100000
962815-61.0291112866330000000
2714-80.9291112766330000000
952816-50.829910644220000000
2917-30.829910644220000000
942716-60.62567433110000000
2615-80.62567433110000000
932717-50.41945222110000000
922617-60.21333111000000000
912618-50.1811100000000000
902518-60.1411000000000000
892519-50.0200000000000000
882419-60.0100000000000000
872420-50.000000000000000
862320-60.0000000000
852321-50.00000000000
842221-60.000000000
832222-50.00000000
822324-2No000
812325-1No
802124-4No0
34-79No
Total:0.3%8.23.63.42.32.21.81.11.40.20.20.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 4 Toronto 0 -0.0
Boston 4 Buffalo 3 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Ottawa+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.6-0.7-0.7
Florida vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132490-01000
122445-0100
121402-76733
120425-2503317
119415-3561728
118405-4493121
117395-54028311
116396-43733282
115386-52834350300
114387-41931431510
113377-513334625100
112378-47295047210
111368-54245169410
110369-4218519107201000
109359-511346131110502000
1083510-409391610148040000
1073410-505301971813061000
1063411-4022121519181831100
1053311-5011420318232105202000
1043211-6008171152551193040000
1033212-5041401124810147070100
1023112-602100719128181101112000
1013113-501604131451915115340000
1003013-60030271421718318680100
993014-5002013111131761811131200
982914-60101808141015152025000
972915-500005049111118255101000
962815-600003025116182610174000
952816-500001012821422152491000
942716-600000151101419281641000
932717-50000003067192725102000
922617-60000020331521301971000
912618-500001011101328271441000
902518-6000000066213023102000
892519-5000000033132729186100
882419-600000116193027133000
872420-50000002112531217100
862320-60000015173029143000
852321-5000002102533227100
842221-6000015173230133000
832222-500002102634216100
822122-60001518332912200
812123-50002112834195000
802023-60001621352710100
792024-5000313313316300
781924-600172436247100
771925-5000417343112200
761825-600210283619400
751826-50015213727810
741726-60021433341420
731727-5001827382140
721627-600420382981
711628-5002133336141
701528-600182840213
691529-50042141295
681429-6021438378
671430-5019334414
661330-605274819
651331-503214927
641231-62145233
631232-5194941
621132-6164053
611133-533561
601134-412773
591034-542274
581035-42773
34-57100
Total:00010011012223557991010986421000