Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1 to 40%
32 points   15 9-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg 3 Detroit 4 (so)-0.5
Buffalo 4 Edmonton 3 (ot)-0.3
New Jersey 3 Vancouver 2 -0.2
Philadelphia 3 Florida 2 (ot)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose vs Ottawa-4.6*+0.1*+0.2+5.0+5.7+5.7
-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Toronto vs Minnesota-0.5-0.5-0.4*+0.1*+0.2+0.6
Washington vs Boston+0.4-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.3
Anaheim vs Carolina+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-144InYes100727*
121429-5In95.2%95521*
1204210-4In98.198254*
1194110-5In91.8925398*
1184010-6In92.59352213*
1174011-5In87.78983415*
1163911-6In80.683125649*
1153811-7In76.7801551,203*
1143812-6In66.87219902,002*
1133712-7In59.064241103,306*
1123713-6In48.356291505,077*
1113613-7In37.647351908,280*
1103614-6In27.5373824012,344*
1093514-7In18.3284229118,410*
1083515-6In10.91944351026,780*
1073415-7In5.81344402037,746*
1063416-6In2.7841474052,313*
1053316-7In1.0438516071,017*
1043317-6In0.323355100093,770*
1033217-7100.0%0.11275714100121,465*
1023218-6100.00.00205720200152,853*
1013118-7100.00.001555263000189,589*
1003119-699.8No011513251000229,345*
993019-799.3No07443873100271,668*
983020-697.9No043642962000314,390*
972920-794.3No02284410105100356,299*
962921-687.2No1204291493000396,204*
952821-775.7No11438716167200430,620*
942822-660.6No083151621134100459,722*
932722-743.7No0524312242192000478,114*
922622-828.4No0217182126176100488,173*
912623-716.6No011104162724123000489,121*
902523-88.8No01602102429207200478,030*
892524-74.2No00301517282714410459,639*
882424-81.9No00200210233022920431,392*
872425-70.8No0100151629291640396,448*
862325-80.3No000002923322481358,356*
852326-70.1No000015163030153316,940*
842327-60.0No00002102534236274,390*
832227-70.0No0001518343110232,197*
822228-60.0No0000212313817192,927*
812128-7OutNo0017254225156,833*
802129-6OutNo004194334125,004*
792029-7OutNo000213414497,261*
782030-6OutNo0018365574,676*
771930-7OutNo005316455,579*
761931-6OutNo03257240,406*
751831-7OutNo001197929,239*
741832-6OutNo01158520,530*
731732-7OutNo0108914,055*
721733-6OutNo08929,422*
711633-7OutNo05956,176*
701634-6OutNo03973,875*
691534-7OutNo2982,509*
681535-6OutNo1991,517*
671435-7OutNo199850*
661436-6OutNo199566*
651336-7OutNo199302*
32-64OutNo1001,073*
Total:40.0%0.3%13131635799987658,492,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusMontrealNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonBostonTampa BayPhiladelphiaNew JerseyTorontoFloridaDetroitCarolinaNY IslandersBuffalo
144560-01.6%3131214791512442632
126468-2NoYes
125447-5No5050
124459-2No333333
123438-5No2513381313
122417-8No1020102010101010
121429-54.81051914191055510
1204210-43.724419621113747976
1194110-52.052710146101112352443
1184010-61.4324121767911663842
1174011-52.92261011771313735832
1163911-61.8324111210101210543643
1153811-72.84241112891310644642
1143812-62.732511121091011554542
1133712-72.632510131291110663533
1123713-62.2335111112101010654532
1113613-72.443611111311108654432
1103614-62.33451011151198754422
1093514-72.54451010161388754322
1083515-62.2355910181377754322
1073415-72.436489191476754322
1063416-62.337478211565864222
1053316-72.238467231654864212
1043317-62.129366251744965212
1033217-72.1210355261833965113
1023218-62.0212244271932975113
1013118-72.02132332820221075113
1003119-61.92142222820111075103
993019-71.83162222820111075003
983020-61.8417321271911975003
972920-71.7517421251700965003
2819-91.6517421241700965003
962921-61.5617421221500854002
2719-101.5617421221500854002
952821-71.3715511181300654002
2720-91.3715511181200643002
942822-61.0612411141000533002
932722-70.75831110700322001
922723-60.4352107500221001
912623-70.3231004300111000
902624-60.1110002200110000
892524-70.1010001100000000
882525-60.000000100000000
872425-70.0000000000000
862426-60.000000000000
852427-50.0000000000
842327-6No0000000
832328-5No0000
822329-4No00
32-81No
Total:0.7%2.36.41.71.01.010.27.10.50.53.52.51.90.20.11.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 3 Detroit 4 (so)+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Florida 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Ottawa+0.8-0.0-0.0-0.8-1.0-1.0
Washington vs Boston-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-144100
121429-5955
1204210-4982
1194110-59253
1184010-692152
1174011-588183
1163911-68121250
1153811-7773155
1143812-66751990
1133712-75952401100
1123713-648829014010
1113613-738934018010
1103614-6281038022020
1093514-7189411250310
1083515-61184322816100
1073415-767413282112000
1063416-6353652731704000
1053316-7133172342406010
1043317-60224917532080100
1033217-701171011639111031000
1023218-60010106644212172000
1013118-700693444412212030000
1003119-603813407103190501000
993019-7015013210732707030100
983020-60040122134333191602000
972920-700200141423373911005100
962921-60100713123558214093000
952821-70103100128952160167200
942822-6000170019123215121134100
932722-7000400111312102232192000
922622-8002051101622026176100
912623-70010290022142625134100
902523-800101600118212822103000
892524-7000030001312242819720000
882424-80002000161626261662000
872425-70010000281827241451000
862325-800000000392027231241000
852326-7000001411222621113100
842327-600000151323272092000
832227-7000026162626177100
822228-600002819282513410
812128-7001311232922920
802129-6000151628291640
792029-7002923322491
782030-600014153031163
771930-700292435246
761931-6001517353210
751831-700212313817
741832-60017264225
731732-704194334
721733-6002134143
711633-70193753
701634-60053263
691534-70032671
681535-622177
671435-711881
661436-601486
651336-701287
641337-61793
631237-7199
621238-6793
32-61100
Total:0021117421104214178876544332210