Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Lost to Chicago 4-5 (so), playoff odds down 2.1 to 70.4%
12 points   5 2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+3.4+3.0+2.8-1.6-1.6-5.7
+0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4
+0.8+0.8+0.7-0.4-0.5-1.4
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)-0.3
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.3
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.3+1.2
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.