Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.1 to 85.6%
70 points   32 20-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles 1 Boston 4 -0.9
Montreal 0 NY Islanders 3 -0.6
Tampa Bay 2 Calgary 3 +0.6
Toronto 1 NY Rangers 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Carolina vs Ottawa-5.1-0.5-0.5+3.4+4.0+4.0
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Florida vs Calgary-0.6-0.6-0.4+0.3+0.3+0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118240-0In25.5%316946,083
117230-1In9.31783118
116231-0In6.01189903*
115221-1In2.87933,617*
114211-2In1.039712,906*
113212-1In0.229838,444*
112202-2In0.11990106,963*
111203-1In0.001000257,099*
110193-2In0.001000577,157*
109183-3In0.0010001,172,997*
108184-2InNo010002,244,238*
107174-3InNo0100003,954,706*
106175-2InNo099106,577,275*
105165-3InNo982010,201,512*
104166-2InNo96400015,026,177*
103156-3InNo92800020,751,379*
102157-2100.0%No8713000027,316,620*
101147-3100.0No7821100033,887,721*
100148-2100.0No67303000040,138,046*
99138-3100.0No54396000021,647,506
149-1100.0No55396000023,362,135*
98139-299.9No424611010022,375,825
128-499.9No394713010025,855,775*
97129-399.5No2749210200023,534,594
1310-199.5No2749210200025,475,940*
961210-298.2No16463105200047,668,185*
951110-394.6No8374009500044,013,847*
941111-286.7No3264401412200038,944,309*
931011-373.2No1154001722500032,719,401*
921012-254.8No0731016321210026,322,065*
91912-335.1No03200123723400020,090,298*
90913-218.6No011107343412200014,692,462*
89813-38.0No00503244022500010,190,384*
88814-22.7No00201133633132006,754,757*
87714-30.7No000625382471004,240,948*
86715-20.1No0002133334153002,539,489*
85615-30.0No000052236268101,432,957*
84616-20.0No00021231351730773,778*
83516-30.0No000520362991390,616*
82517-2OutNo001103037183187,558*
81417-3OutNo004203930783,599*
80418-2OutNo011033401535,839*
79419-1OutNo00523452613,724*
78319-2OutNo021443415,257*
77320-1OutNo0739541,705*
76220-2OutNo042769511*
75221-1OutNo11782127*
74121-2OutNo359340*
73122-1OutNo1007*
70024-0OutNo019946,061
Total:85.6%0.0%03726180574210000555,713,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealTorontoBostonNY IslandersFloridaTampa BayBuffaloCarolinaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyDetroit
118240-01.3%0112037223183111100
117230-1No13214922131
116231-01.11327481117100000
115221-11.101528480015100000
114211-21.0016295000030000000
113212-11.101630510002000000
112202-21.0017305200010000000
111203-11.001730520001000000
110193-21.001730520001000000
109183-31.001730520001000000
108184-21.0017305200010000000
107174-31.0017305200010000000
106175-21.0017305100010000000
105165-31.0017295101110000000
104166-21.0016295012110000000
103156-31.0016274813211000000
167-11.0016284813211000000
102157-21.0015264525411000000
146-41.0015264425412000000
101147-31.0014234048713000000
158-11.0014234148612000000
100148-21.00122036611914110000
137-41.001220347121014110000
99138-31.0010162810151305110000
149-11.001017309141215110000
127-51.009152610161506110000
98139-21.017122213191607110000
128-41.017112013191807210000
97129-31.02581416222009210000
1310-11.02691616221908210000
118-51.03471217232209210000
961210-20.9435918242209210000
119-40.95358182423010210000
951110-30.98234182322010310000
1211-10.98234182322010310000
941111-20.81222216212009310000
1010-40.71322216202008310000
931011-30.61511112161607210000
1112-10.61511112161607210000
921012-20.4141109111205210000
91912-30.31011057703100000
90913-20.1610023401000
89813-30.130001120000
88814-20.010000010000
87714-30.000000000000
86715-20.000000000000
85716-10.0000000000
84616-2No000000
83516-3No00
70-82No
Total:0.8%4.46.811.219.29.713.812.80.35.31.30.80.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 0 NY Islanders 3 -0.2
Los Angeles 1 Boston 4 +0.2
Tampa Bay 2 Calgary 3 -0.1
Toronto 1 NY Rangers 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Ottawa+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.8
Florida vs Calgary+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118240-026669
117230-19883
116231-065890
115221-134930
114211-212960
113212-101971
112202-20197200
111203-100955000
110193-2009280000
109183-3008614000
108184-2079210000
107174-30703000000
106175-205940001000
105165-34751002000
104166-23561004000000
103156-32369007100000
102157-21473001030000000
101147-377101380010000
100148-236401415003000000
99138-315313260060000000
149-11531326006000000
98139-2042103600110001000
128-4039103700120001000
97129-3027643001920020000
1310-1027643001920020000
961210-20163430026500502000
951110-3081360281200905000
941111-203025242000140122000
931011-301015162500161225000
921012-2007824001423212100
91912-30033170093372350000
90913-2001110004333341320000
89813-30005001221382571000
88814-200020011030341751000
87714-30000031732291441000
86715-200000162131251230000
85615-30000292331231020000
84616-2000021124302292000
83516-300003122530207100
82517-2001414282917510
81417-300151730281430
80418-200182133261010
79419-1021128352040
78319-2004163532120
77320-10182839221
76220-2121840373
75221-1739486
74121-2525638
73122-1142957
70024-00244550
Total:006310062100117005074210000000000