Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 87.5%
55 points   25 15-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto 4 Calgary 0 -0.3
Washington 6 Carolina 1 +0.3
Arizona 3 Florida 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Ottawa vs Washington+3.4+3.4+3.1+0.4+0.4-2.9
Boston vs Detroit-0.3-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.7
Nashville vs Buffalo+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.5-0.6
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
NY Islanders vs Columbus-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.3
New Jersey vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129370-0In99.2%991367,000
128360-1InYes1001
127361-0InNo1001
126351-1InYes10015*
125341-2In86.5861437*
124342-1In74.07624215*
123332-2In68.97327711*
122322-3In57.563372,136*
121323-2In46.6534706,699*
120313-3In33.64159018,859*
119314-2In23.83169047,753*
118304-3In14.922780114,418*
117294-4In8.614851259,423*
116295-3In4.59901552,206*
115285-4In2.0593301,116,319*
114286-3In0.8293402,151,054*
113276-4In0.3192703,933,463*
112277-3In0.10901006,890,853*
111267-4In0.008514011,563,583*
110268-3In0.0080200018,576,059*
109258-4In0.007326028,681,651*
108259-3In0.0065341042,563,227*
107249-4In0.00574210060,811,941*
1062410-3In0.00484930083,690,107*
1052310-4InNo03956400111,134,077*
1042311-3100.0%No031627000142,369,558*
1032211-4100.0No236611000176,232,017*
1022111-5100.0No176716000210,846,685*
1012112-4100.0No1266220000243,955,822*
1002012-5100.0No863290000273,077,964*
992013-4100.0No558360000295,972,143*
981913-599.9No3524401000310,560,891*
971914-499.8No2445202000315,711,072*
961814-599.3No13658041000310,891,368*
951815-498.1No02863072000296,737,694*
941715-595.4No0206501040000274,532,446*
931716-490.2No0146301481000246,225,866*
921616-581.5No09570161440000214,071,226*
911617-468.8No054801521920000180,447,975*
901517-553.1No0338013251651000147,467,716*
891518-436.7No01270925241120000116,832,497*
881418-522.5No0017052129197100089,715,838*
871419-412.1No00100214282714410066,784,625*
861319-55.7No050172130231020048,168,686*
851320-42.3No02031326301961033,641,531*
841220-50.8No01016183027144022,779,935*
831221-40.3No00002102332239114,923,500*
821222-30.1No0000141529311739,459,141*
811122-40.0No00001722342785,803,864*
801123-30.0No00003133136163,438,285*
791023-40.0No000172441261,969,100*
781024-30.0No000031641391,089,981*
77924-4OutNo00193752579,204*
76925-3OutNo00053065299,167*
75825-4OutNo0022275148,592*
74826-3OutNo01168370,623*
73726-4OutNo00109032,182*
72727-3OutNo069414,179*
71627-4OutNo03975,981*
70628-3OutNo2982,384*
69528-4OutNo199953*
68529-3OutNo199342*
55-67OutNo100367,159*
Total:87.5%0.0%09373705532110004,427,710,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersTorontoBostonCarolinaNY IslandersBuffaloPhiladelphiaTampa BayFloridaDetroitNew Jersey
129370-01.7%0000231030207153334
128360-1NoYes
127361-0NoYes
126351-1No7727131313713
125341-22.73316514162431133
124342-12.8060184820176102215
123332-21.702601931021146103322
122322-31.5028027281813592222
121323-21.11210034271511472222
120313-31.2131204225119361112
119314-21.114140492497241111
118304-31.015160551365231111
117294-40.915180601243121001
116295-30.926190622132110000
115285-40.826200642121010000
114286-30.826200644111010000
113276-40.826200636111000000
112277-30.826190618111000000
111267-40.8261805812110100000
110268-30.8251715416100100000
109258-40.8251614922200100000
108259-30.8141424428200101000
107249-40.8141333834300201110
1062410-30.8131143240400201110
1052310-40.813952647400201110
1042311-30.812762152500201110
1032211-40.812571658600302110
1022111-50.801481162600302110
1012112-40.80139865700302110
1002012-50.801210567700302110
992013-40.800110369700402110
981913-50.711111269800402110
971914-40.711111169800402110
961814-50.721111168700402110
951815-40.742110066700302110
941715-50.66319062600302110
931716-40.68418056600302110
921616-50.59517049500201110
911617-40.49516040300201110
901517-50.37414031200101100
891518-40.25313022100101000
881519-30.132020141000000
871419-40.111010800000
861420-30.000010400000
851320-40.000000200000
841321-30.000000100000
831221-40.000000000000
821222-30.000000000000
811122-40.000000000
801123-30.0000
791124-2No0
78923-5No0
55-77No
Total:0.6%2.82.12.57.86.254.15.50.10.12.70.01.61.11.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 4 Calgary 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Washington-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.0-0.0+0.5
Montreal vs Calgary+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Boston vs Detroit+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Buffalo-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129370-09901
128360-1100
127361-0100
126351-1100
125341-28614
124342-174224
123332-269527
122322-358637
121323-2476470
120313-33475900
119314-224769000
118304-315778000
117294-496850100
116295-344891101
115285-4239111010
114286-31291210300
113276-40188410500
112277-300837109000
111267-40075111013000
110268-3006515101900000
109258-400541900260000
108259-3004223003300010
107249-40031260041100100
1062410-300212700481002000
1052310-40132600534004000
1042311-30724005570070000
1032211-4420005313001100000
1022111-5215004721001600000
1012112-41110038290022000000
1002012-507027360028000000
992013-4050184000351000000
981913-5031141004130010000
971914-402539004570020000
961814-50123300451300401000
951815-40012700422100702000
941715-5000200035300010040000
931716-40014026370013181000
921616-500901740001411440000
911617-40059390012320920000
901517-500343300942417510000
891518-40012250044222512310000
881418-5000116002316272210300000
871419-40001000282127209300000
861319-50050013122326199310000
851320-4002001413232519931000
841220-5001000151323251993100
831221-4000000015132326199300
821222-300000015132326199200
811122-4000001615252718710
801123-300000261728281530
791023-4000002821322690
781024-30000131329361800
77924-40001621403110
76925-3000213384520
75825-40017315830
74826-3003236860
73726-40011574100
72727-300975150
71627-40573220
70628-3369271
69528-4164332
68529-3156422
67530-2148465
66329-542544
65431-2562222
64432-15050
63332-2100
62333-1100
55037-001386
Total:0036001621002413004143211100000000