"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 77.5%
11 points   4 1-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 +0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1
NY Rangers vs San Jose-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-159In99.9%1001,252*
1265413-7In99.61000477*
124-125In99.81002,040*
1235214-8In99.1100001,954*
1225215-7In98.699013,122*
1215115-8In98.299004,750*
1205116-7In97.499016,752*
1195016-8In96.198119,989*
1185017-7In94.0971214,339*
1174917-8In91.49613019,983*
1164918-7In88.19424027,451*
1154818-8In83.59235037,044*
1144819-7In77.58947049,261*
1134719-8In70.78569063,209*
1124720-7In62.380712080,974*
1114620-8In52.875101510101,433*
1104621-7In42.467131910124,152*
1094521-8In32.359152420149,858*
1084522-7In22.950192830177,828*
1074422-8In14.841213340208,510*
1064423-7In8.3322338600238,877*
1054323-8In4.3242443900268,997*
1044223-9100.0%1.816244613100299,503*
1034224-8100.00.610234817200325,759*
1024124-9100.00.26204822300350,442*
1014125-8100.00.03174728500370,104*
1004025-9100.00.01134433810385,118*
994026-899.90.01103938112000393,650*
983926-999.6No073341153000396,422*
973927-898.7No0426421971000393,655*
963827-996.5No03204122113000383,566*
953828-891.7No011438221672000367,263*
943728-983.3No01103319211241000347,017*
933729-870.4No062715231892000322,424*
923629-954.3No0320921241561000295,323*
913630-837.9No02155162522113100267,248*
903530-923.5No011021022261882000236,826*
893531-813.0No00616162625144100207,282*
883431-96.5No00303102228219200177,922*
873432-83.0No0201516272716510151,556*
863332-91.3No001002102230231020125,995*
853333-80.6No0000151628291640103,732*
843233-90.2No000002102432238184,133*
833234-80.1No00001517313014266,980*
823134-90.0No000311273421452,609*
813135-80.0No00016213628740,758*
803035-90.0No00031534351230,840*
793036-8OutNo0021030411823,011*
782936-9OutNo01625432616,902*
772937-8OutNo00318443412,248*
762837-9OutNo021441438,785*
752838-8OutNo1939516,326*
742738-9OutNo0635584,279*
732739-8OutNo0428682,917*
722639-9OutNo0224741,949*
712640-8OutNo0120791,285*
702641-7OutNo11584845*
692541-8OutNo0991539*
682441-9OutNo01090328*
672442-8OutNo694215*
662443-7OutNo892131*
652343-8OutNo29863*
642344-7OutNo10038*
632345-6OutNo39730*
622245-7OutNo69418*
11-61OutNo100648*
Total:77.5%6.6%129232076554322117,848,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNew JerseyPhiladelphiaColumbusCarolinaNY IslandersBostonFloridaPittsburghDetroitWashingtonBuffaloNY RangersMontreal
159740-09.4%4676989810777442
1356010-4No333333
1346011-333.36733
1335810-6No1313131350
132569-97.114141414147777
1315711-613.33337237331777773
1305712-513.357758105135121275
1295612-610.13689133191111104841
1285613-58.947581012979878411
1275513-611.94777869117897533
1265413-79.067666899105107541
1255414-610.63776699976118542
1245314-79.84776878911887452
1235214-89.546578871089107432
1225215-79.55666888910887542
1215115-811.2576788889898542
1205116-710.4477788899897442
1195016-89.8576787899897542
1185017-710.4576787899798542
1174917-810.1586688899797542
1164918-710.5586678799797542
1154818-810.1696677899797542
1144819-710.0696677799797542
1134719-810.16106677799797542
1124720-79.87116677799696532
1114620-89.88125667799696432
1104621-79.791355666109696432
1094521-89.71015556661010595431
1084522-79.61116555561010595431
1074422-89.513184455510104104421
1064423-79.314194444410104104421
1054323-89.316213444410103103421
1044223-99.017233333311113103421
1034224-88.719243333311113102411
1024124-98.720253333311112102411
1014125-88.521263332211112102411
1004025-98.521263322211112101411
994026-88.122263322211111101411
983926-98.022254432211101101311
973927-87.72225443221010191301
963827-97.622245532299181301
953828-87.122225542288171301
943728-96.420196542277161201
933729-85.318165532255151201
923629-94.014124421144131100
913630-82.81093321133020100
903631-71.8762211022010100
893531-81.0431100011010000
883532-70.5220000000000000
873432-80.2110000000000000
863433-70.1000000000000000
853333-80.00000000000000
843435-50.00000000000000
833234-80.0000000
823235-70.00000
813135-8No0
803035-9No0
11-79No
Total:6.6%14.917.23.43.43.02.52.47.77.62.07.01.92.70.90.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129-159100
1285613-5991
1275513-6100
1265413-710000
1255414-6100
1245314-71000
1235214-899100
1225215-799101
1215115-898100
1205116-797101
1195016-896211
1185017-794312
1174917-8915130
1164918-7886240
1154818-88393050
1144819-77812407000
1134719-87115609000
1124720-762187012000
1114620-85322100150010
1104621-74225120190010
1094521-832271512310200
1084522-7232817126213000
1074422-81527193293104000
1064423-782419431520600000
1054323-841918630840900000
1044223-92141692712701200100
1034224-81101211211610016102000
1024124-906812151914119213000
1014125-803512819172214205000
1004025-9013114171852085070100
994026-8011811217817129011120000
983926-9016081312111514113230000
973927-800404814616182154601000
963827-9002024142141961481013100
953828-800101212191711101214262000
943728-90010190512156141561141000
933729-800006027172121211161031000
923629-90003013161971417169310000
913630-80002011305314121917931000
903530-900100902110716211810410000
893531-80000060105291722191151000
883431-90000030031391822201262000
873432-8002001014101823211362000
863332-90001000014101823211362000
853333-8000000014101824221351000
843233-900000001411202521124100
833234-8000000151221262010300
823134-9000002615242618720
813135-80000281827261440
803035-9000131124292291
793036-800016173029153
782936-90003102434236
772937-8001618333111
762837-900312313717
752838-8018254125
742738-9015204133
732739-802144044
722639-90193851
712640-8163261
702641-7042669
692541-8022375
682441-931583
672442-811386
662443-721286
652343-83592
642344-7595
632345-6793
622245-7694
11-61100
Total:7654865474544332333222211111100