Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 3.7%
56 points   25 25-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Buffalo 6 Montreal 4 +0.2
Carolina 1 Pittsburgh 2 (so)-0.2
Tampa Bay 4 Nashville 3 (ot)-0.1
Detroit 2 Colorado 3 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Columbus vs Ottawa-1.6-0.5-0.4+1.3+1.5+1.5
Minnesota vs Boston+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.0
Carolina vs NY Islanders*-0.0-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
108260-0InNo919516
106251-0InNo1001
105241-1InNo50502
104231-2InNo67333*
103232-1InNo5536933*
102222-2InNo3349172107*
101212-3InNo1757252269*
100213-2InNo10493280686*
99203-3InNo540411311,702*
98204-299.9%No2294520403,634*
97194-398.9No11945268107,282*
96195-296.6No01239291730014,178*
95185-390.1No06312627910025,017*
94186-277.6No032120331840042,854*
93176-359.2No0113123329111067,964*
92177-238.5No0076253620500103,759*
91167-321.3No0421534311120150,073*
90168-29.7No021727372150206,218*
89158-33.7No01031736311110269,987*
88148-41.2No0001828382040337,303*
87149-30.3No0000419383190401,926*
86139-40.1No0011031401710186,117
1410-20.1No0011132391610274,469*
851310-30.0No000523432720229,489
129-50.0No000522432820269,543*
841210-40.0No000214404050251,277*
1311-20.0No0002144039500271,734*
831211-30.0No001732491010521,580*
821111-4OutNo00322541920202,288
1212-2OutNo00323541820297,033*
811112-3OutNo0114532840209,369
1011-5OutNo00114522940247,350*
801012-4OutNo007453891162,415
1113-2OutNo007463781238,149*
791013-3OutNo0033545161335,311*
78913-4OutNo012447254269,486*
77914-3OutNo001543347206,200*
76814-4OutNo08364214152,040*
75815-3OutNo04274722106,306*
74816-2OutNo0218473371,179*
73716-3OutNo111434544,965*
72717-2OutNo06375727,518*
71617-3OutNo03286815,891*
70618-2OutNo0121778,746*
69518-3OutNo114854,578*
68519-2OutNo09902,155*
67419-3OutNo04961,012*
66420-2OutNo397423*
65320-3OutNo298191*
56-64OutNo100632*
Total:3.7%No001124813202615736,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonFloridaNY RangersNY IslandersTampa BayBostonDetroitPittsburghNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealCarolinaBuffaloToronto
108260-01.0%745171722148221
106251-0NoYes
105241-1No5050
104231-2No3367
103232-1No612336276333
102222-2No115534132163211
101212-30.419113519203100
100213-20.3020113420201101
99203-31.01231134191811010
98204-20.9424003319180110
193-40.7425003219171001
97194-30.49270029161600010
205-10.47280030161600010
183-50.5103000281614001
96195-20.61728002514130001
184-40.5172800241313000100
95185-30.32725001910900010
196-10.4262400211010001
174-50.42923017108001
94186-20.43319014760000
175-40.334170013660000
164-60.43418116500
197-00.533200157700010
93176-30.233110084400
187-10.3331200944000
165-50.3321000733000
154-70.43397330
92177-20.22660052200
166-40.2245004220
155-60.2234003210
188-00.22675220
91167-30.115200211000
178-10.117300311000
156-50.114202110
145-70.1131011100
90168-20.08100100000
157-40.071001000
146-60.06101000
179-00.0911000
89158-30.0300000000
169-10.04000000
147-50.0200000
88159-20.0100000
148-40.0100000
87149-30.000000
861410-20.0000000
851310-3No00000
841311-2No000
831110-5No0
56-82No
Total:0.0%2.00.60.00.00.60.30.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Calgary-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Ottawa+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
Carolina vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108260-0829710
106251-0100
105241-15050
104231-2333333
103232-12727692163
102222-2725721211612
101212-331331831516442
100213-2110010318177780
99203-3050626816111401301
98204-20221710101222019140
97194-301199510291251810
96195-2005727292262170300
95185-30024032432242709100
94186-200020116415633118400
93176-3001009475312291120
92177-2000043332233621500
91167-30001212114333112200
90168-200001014324362361000
89158-30010012133232153000
88148-400000015203426112000
87149-30000001925322292000
86139-400003112630208200
1410-200003132629198200
851310-300014142628186100
129-500014142629197100
841210-400001515272917510
1311-2000015162828165100
831211-300016183028143000
821111-4002821322610200
1212-2002822322510200
811112-30002112632206100
801012-4000415313115400
1113-2001416313014300
791013-30017223426910
78913-40021229331950
77914-30015193429112
76814-4002102836214
75815-300418363110
74816-200110314018
73716-3004224330
72717-202134243
71617-30173557
70618-2042868
69518-3012079
68519-2011486
67419-30793
66420-20495
65320-3298
64321-2199
56-63100
Total:0000000010002046788910101097531