Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Beat Montreal 3-0, playoff odds up 3 to 9.2%
29 points   11 13-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Ottawa 3 Montreal 0 +1.4
NY Islanders 4 Los Angeles 3 (ot)-0.1
Philadelphia 2 Dallas 1 (ot)-0.1
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Vegas vs Florida+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
131510-0In100.0%10005,243
114-116InNo1009*
113407-4In15.4316913*
112397-5In9.11628244*
111387-6In11.62017986*
110388-5In3.2112862187*
109378-6In2.3112852388*
108379-5In0.871893782*
107369-6In0.43288701,579*
1063610-5In0.12187902,921*
1053510-6In0.011831405,525*
1043511-5InNo11801819,740*
1033411-6InNo017523116,852*
1023412-5InNo0069292028,261*
1013312-6100.0%No00613530045,996*
1003212-7100.0No00534150072,595*
993213-699.9No045477100111,263*
983113-799.7No00385110200167,723*
973114-698.9No03053124100246,888*
963014-796.9No023541373000352,117*
953015-692.6No0175312106100489,694*
942915-784.9No012501013114100663,571*
932916-673.4No08457141682000877,599*
922816-759.4No0538412201551001,132,561*
912817-644.8No3312920221020001,426,135*
902717-731.7No2241517271851001,755,658*
892718-621.4No11802122727112002,108,766*
882618-713.8No0120172332194002,472,849*
872619-68.6No080041734279102,834,329*
862519-75.1No0500111303415303,172,224*
852520-62.8No0300162338246003,470,569*
842420-71.5No01000316363211103,710,341*
832421-60.7No0100019313718303,873,018*
822321-70.3No000005243926603,954,940*
812322-60.1No0000021638331003,947,344*
802222-70.0No000011033401603,844,025*
792223-60.0No0000626432313,666,134*
782123-70.0No000320443213,415,957*
772124-60.0No000213424133,110,637*
762024-70.0No0019374942,768,455*
752025-6OutNo0005315772,403,849*
741925-70.0No00032462102,045,890*
731926-6OutNo0021865151,696,998*
721826-7OutNo0011366201,379,864*
711827-6OutNo00964271,092,684*
701727-7OutNo0066133846,086*
691728-6OutNo045640640,026*
681628-7OutNo025048471,492*
671629-6OutNo014455340,749*
661529-7OutNo013862240,161*
651530-6OutNo03168163,738*
641430-7OutNo002674109,901*
631431-6OutNo0208072,056*
621331-7OutNo0168445,727*
611332-6OutNo0128828,336*
601333-5OutNo99117,068*
591233-6OutNo7939,963*
581234-5OutNo5955,625*
571134-6OutNo4963,149*
561135-5OutNo2981,703*
551035-6OutNo199849*
541036-5OutNo0100444*
53936-6OutNo0100234*
52937-5OutNo298116*
29-51OutNo1005,340*
Total:9.2%0.0%00161135914171920565,385,066

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoWashingtonBostonNew JerseyColumbusNY RangersNY IslandersPhiladelphiaCarolinaPittsburghMontrealFloridaDetroitBuffalo
131510-01.1%0410891212131279201
115-116NoYes
114406-5No7129
113407-4No4631888
112397-5No642202525
111387-6No44234122221322
110388-51.116232212312212
109378-61.51601251111211401
108379-50.80611282110101211
107369-60.81631281111100111
1063610-50.81630280101000212
1053510-60.916402800000002110
1043511-50.82640290000000211
1033411-60.826402800000002110
1023412-50.926402800000002110
1013312-60.72641271110000211
1003212-70.826312711110001110
993213-60.726122621110002110
983113-70.735922522210001110
973114-60.755632332211001110
963014-70.785232132221001110
953015-60.6114831832211001110
942915-70.6144331622210001110
2814-90.6144231622210001110
932916-60.5143721321110001110
3017-40.5143721321110001110
922816-70.4123011011100001100
2917-50.4123211111110001110
2715-90.4123011011100001110
912817-60.39251810000001000
2918-40.39251810000001100
902717-70.25190600000000000
2616-90.25190600000000000
892718-60.13140400000000000
882618-70.11100300000000000
872619-60.1060200000000000
862519-70.0040100000000000
852520-60.00200000000000
842420-70.0010000000000
832421-60.00100000000
822321-70.00000000
812322-60.0000000
802323-50.0000000
792223-60.000000
782123-70.00000
772124-6No00
762125-5No0
752328-0No
742228-1No0
29-73No
Total:0.1%1.25.30.21.70.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.10.10.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Montreal 0 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Florida-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
131510-01000
114-116100
113407-4151569
112397-5972802
111387-61281745
110388-53727972
109378-62911711302
108379-51610632523
107369-60311543130700
1063610-50211433850910
1053510-6010129467012200
1043511-51011750112153010
1033411-6001947154166110
1023412-5000440179161120200
1013312-600012916151416503000
1003212-7000019132110219141000
993213-600011926624143621000
983113-700005527322197642000
973114-600232511721146630100
963014-7011210112023595131000
953015-6001160615323107452000
942915-7000120210371967951000
932916-600080163806410111041000
922816-7000503350421011151041000
912817-60301300218716171041000
902717-7020124010531219181141000
892718-6010018002161521191141000
882618-70000120010281723201141000
872619-6008000013102024201031000
862519-70050000141222251982000
852520-60030000016152526177100
842420-70010000028182725144100
832421-60100000131022292210200
822321-70000001514262918610
812322-60000000282030261220
802222-7000001312273220500
792223-60000172034281000
782123-70000031330361710
772124-600001724402620
762024-70000417403530
752025-6000211364560
741925-700017305390
731926-600042458140
721826-70021761201
711827-60011260271
701727-700756342
691728-600451414
681628-700244486
671629-60137539
661529-701305712
651530-600235917
641430-70186022
631431-60135829
621331-7095536
611332-6065143
601333-544452
591233-634057
581234-513465
571134-613069
561135-502278
551035-601981
541036-51288
53936-61288
52937-51396
51837-6298
50737-7793
29-49100
Total:00000001001500011123456791012131440