Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.3 to 37.5%
64 points   27 20-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.8
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 +0.7
NY Islanders 6 New Jersey 4 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Boston+1.4*-0.1-0.2-1.6-1.7-1.7
Carolina vs Toronto+1.3*-0.2*-0.1-1.0-1.3-0.8
Colorado vs Tampa Bay+0.7+0.3+0.2-0.3-0.5-0.3
Vancouver vs Philadelphia+0.2*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. Louis vs Florida-6.9*-0.1*-0.0+7.0+8.0+7.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
114250-0In2.3%1288610
109-111InNo10067*
108212-2InNo991150*
107213-1InNo1001400*
106203-2InNo9821,018*
105193-3InNo9552,542*
104194-2InNo91805,214*
103184-3InNo8613010,969*
102185-2InNo782110020,720*
101175-3InNo673030037,360*
100176-2100.0%No5539600062,437*
99166-3100.0No424611010100,001*
98167-299.9No2950190200150,144*
97157-399.4No1848290510214,568*
96158-298.0No10403809200290,159*
95148-394.3No53044015500176,958
137-594.0No53044016510196,479*
94149-287.3No2204402111200182,555
138-485.4No2184302213200276,038*
93139-373.1No11138024215000250,297
128-572.3No1103702422600283,353*
92129-453.2No04260223113200237,926
1310-255.5No05280223012200356,786*
911210-335.5No021701635236100293,022
119-532.6No021601635257100164,629
1311-137.1No021801735225100171,726*
901110-417.8No00809313414300255,675
1211-219.5No019010323313200383,628*
891111-37.9No00442237258100449,876*
1212-19.1No0045233624710167,798*
881011-42.5No01111303417400226,079
1112-23.0No021123133164000342,658*
871012-30.7No000520352810200502,140*
861013-20.2No000211293419500168,731
912-40.1No00019273521610254,125*
85913-30.0No00041733311320338,027*
84914-20.0No001824362471259,759*
83814-30.0No0003143234142189,292*
82815-2OutNo00162439265131,843*
81715-3OutNo0021436371186,501*
80716-2OutNo01728442154,548*
79616-3OutNo00218463332,206*
78617-2OutNo0110424718,472*
77517-3OutNo0535609,658*
76518-2OutNo0226714,819*
75418-3OutNo118822,319*
74419-2OutNo013871,016*
73319-3OutNo694436*
72320-2OutNo199178*
64-71OutNo100688*
Total:37.5%0.0%0491609141412964217,366,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersCarolinaTampa BayBuffaloPhiladelphiaNew JerseyDetroit
114250-00.3%01418561011710000
111220-3NoYes
110221-2No184536
109211-3No21624562
108212-21.321205711
107213-10.301527550010
106203-20.401823551111100
105193-30.41182353111110000
104194-20.5019234823221000
103184-30.401621484523000000
102185-20.401520426844000000
101175-30.40131736911570010000
100176-20.401114291315880010000
165-40.40111428131588001000
99166-30.4191122161910110011000
155-50.418102017201011001100
98167-20.32681619221213001100
156-40.42671420231213001100
145-60.426815202312130011000
97157-30.34459222513140021000
146-50.45459222513140021000
168-10.444510222513140021000
96158-20.37336222614150021000
147-40.38335232613140021000
136-60.383352225141400210
95148-30.3132232124121400210
137-50.414222212412130021000
159-10.31222321241314002100
94149-20.31822218211112002100
138-40.31922117201011002100
127-60.320221172010110210
93139-30.22121114168901100
128-50.22121112157801100
1410-10.2212211416890110
921310-20.21921110125601100
129-40.21921191155110
118-60.118111810450100
911210-30.1141105733100
119-50.1131105633000
1311-10.1141106733100
901211-20.181103412000
1110-40.0811033110000
891111-30.030001201000
881112-20.010000100000
871012-30.000000000000
861013-20.00000000000
85913-30.0000000
84914-20.0000
83915-1No00
64-82No
Total:0.1%7.61.41.52.17.08.34.04.40.00.00.60.30.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 -0.1
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Boston-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Carolina vs Toronto-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Florida+0.9+0.0+0.0-0.9-1.1-1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114250-0210880
111220-3100
110221-28218
109211-38515
108212-267331
107213-165351
106203-25344002
105193-3405650
104194-2286408000
103184-3186911200
102185-2106801650100
101175-35631911003000
100176-225319200060000
99166-3141163100110010
98167-202911390018100200
97157-3018642026300510
96158-201023803080090200
95148-305129291500150500
94149-2201922220021012200
93139-31011132500231215000
128-5101013240023122600
92129-4004521001933214200
1310-2005622002033012200
911210-30022150012435236100
901110-4000800542934163000
1211-201190064313214300
891111-300042219352692000
881011-400101927332171000
871012-3000003142930175100
911-5000003132930176100
861013-2000015172928155100
85913-3000161829261441000
84914-200028202925134100
83814-30002921302411300
82815-20003102330229200
81715-300031327311961
80716-200151731301430
79616-3001823352670
78617-2003133237160
77517-30162241291
76518-2021340414
75418-30531558
74419-203236212
73319-31146620
72320-2165835
71220-365539
70221-23367
69222-12080
68021-4100
64025-07912
Total:000400180079008113131086432211000