Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.004 to 16.2%
50 points   20 14-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa 4 Toronto 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Florida vs Detroit+3.8+3.6+3.6-0.4-0.4-3.6
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3
Columbus vs Washington+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Montreal vs Dallas-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Philadelphia vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
NY Islanders vs NY Rangers+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
126380-0In99.8%100001,423,414
120-122In85.310034*
119332-3In90.199171*
118333-2In74.79541229*
117323-3In62.89262855*
116313-4In49.18784002,462*
115314-3In35.679147006,998*
114304-4In22.568201100019,159*
113305-3In13.257261601049,411*
112295-4In6.24331231200118,162*
111296-3In2.53034293400270,481*
110286-4In0.719353277000594,687*
109276-5100.0%0.2103133121201001,238,840*
108277-4In0.05262919181202,470,977*
107267-5100.00.021922252444004,725,347*
106268-4100.00.011214282888008,686,499*
105258-5100.00.0078272815141015,327,885*
104259-4100.0No0432325222120026,037,939*
103249-599.8No0211718282860042,598,497*
1022410-499.4No01011123033121067,182,278*
1012310-598.3No0006629352120102,289,196*
1002311-495.8No00033243432400150,375,481*
992211-591.3No00011182942900213,602,809*
982212-484.3No00101222491500293,402,707*
972112-574.8No00007155224100389,910,347*
962113-463.4No00004104934300501,497,651*
952013-551.0No000264343600624,593,489*
942014-438.8No00013355110000753,534,680*
931914-527.7No00001265516100880,775,297*
921915-418.4No00011855242000997,698,953*
911815-511.4No000011523340001,095,518,334*
901816-46.4No00006444180001,166,174,698*
891716-53.3No000335471410001,203,709,606*
881717-41.5No00225492230001,204,668,119*
871617-50.6No00117463060001,169,126,999*
861618-40.2No000104038111001,100,227,868*
851518-50.1No00053142193001,003,866,042*
841519-40.0No0002214227600888,036,895*
831419-50.0No00011338351210761,438,872*
821420-40.0No007304019300632,812,160*
811320-50.0No0003214028700509,576,904*
801321-40.0No0011336361210397,457,395*
791221-50.0No000729412020300,141,112*
781222-4OutNo00320422950219,426,741*
771122-5OutNo00113383890155,221,010*
761123-4OutNo00173145160106,159,435*
751023-5OutNo004234924070,175,112*
741024-4OutNo002164834044,803,558*
73924-5OutNo001104544027,612,330*
72925-4OutNo00063955016,399,006*
71825-5OutNo003326509,389,901*
70826-4OutNo001257305,172,812*
69726-5OutNo01188012,735,201*
68727-4OutNo00138611,393,162*
67728-3OutNo009892678,061*
66628-4OutNo06913316,011*
65629-3OutNo03915140,948*
64529-4OutNo0290859,866*
63530-3OutNo01881124,157*
62430-4OutNo184169,202*
61431-3OutNo078213,411*
60331-4OutNo075251,148*
59332-3OutNo6832357*
58333-2OutNo6139112*
57233-3OutNo594137*
56234-2OutNo67336*
55134-3OutNo33673*
50038-0OutNo8921,423,414
Total:16.2%0.0%00000131125241610531017,172,334,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY IslandersTampa BayNY RangersDetroitMontrealPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaTorontoPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
126380-00.5%5107112091716301000
122351-2NoYes
121341-3No999272718
120331-4No914141827145
119332-3No10471018142115
118333-20.45710131810211230
117323-31.168711171019184000
116313-40.86107121510201730000
115314-30.4797121611201530000
114304-40.67971216121914300000
113305-30.57108131512191220000
112295-40.581091215131911200000
111296-30.51010101214141981000000
110286-40.5111012121316187100000
109276-50.51310131212171851000000
108277-40.41410151112171740000000
107267-50.41510161111181630000000
106268-40.41610171110181520000000
105258-50.41711171110181410000000
104259-40.41812181110181210000000
103249-50.41812181111171110000000
1022410-40.3191419121116910000000
1012310-50.3191519121114810000000
1002311-40.3191518121113600000000
992211-50.3191518121111500000000
982212-40.3181517111010400000000
972112-50.21613151098300000000
2213-30.21613151098300000000
962113-40.2141213887200000000
2012-60.2141213887200000000
952013-50.211911665200000000
2114-30.211911665200000000
942014-40.1978554100000000
1913-60.1978554100000000
931914-50.1656333100000000
921915-40.143422200000000
911815-50.032211100000000
901816-40.011111100000000
891716-50.011100000000000
881717-40.000000000000000
871617-50.000000000000000
861618-40.00000000000000
851518-50.0000000000000
841519-40.000000000
831419-50.000000000
821420-40.00000000
811320-50.00000000
801321-4No0000000
791221-5No00
50-78No
Total:0.1%3.52.93.32.02.01.80.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida vs Detroit-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.0+0.0+0.5
Nashville vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126380-0100000
121-122100
120331-47723
119332-39081
118333-27521301
117323-36329602
116313-4493880400
115314-336431416000
114304-42246181101000
113305-31343223142010
112295-463725617512000
111296-322825101910304000
110286-41182213171570700000
109276-50101615132012011201000
108277-405111582119014410200
107267-502613318241177404000
106268-4013101132631612808000
105258-5001607234121614013110
104259-4003031758172201922000
103249-5002011164152712356000
1022410-4001006511029125812010
1012310-5000003406263231221020
1002311-4000012032041915320400
992211-5000001011351316411900
982212-400001007571547315000
972112-500000034412466241000
962113-400000013183910333000
952013-5000000020529154170000
942014-4000001031817451420000
931914-5000000019174423500000
921915-4000000141437321120000
911815-500000011026362051000
901816-4000000061534291230000
891716-500000038263322710000
881717-40000131631301541000
871617-50001182332241020000
861618-40000031328311861000
851518-50000016193127123000
841519-400000021125322171000
831419-50000015173029153000
821420-40000292333248100
811320-5000000415303216300
801321-400000182335257100
791221-500000314323414200
781222-400018253824400
771122-500003173833900
761123-40001932411510
751023-500005244524200
741024-40002154434400
73924-500193944800
72925-4000531511310
71825-500223542010
70826-400115542730
69726-5009503550
68727-4005434380
67728-3033548130
66628-4012752201
65629-312051271
64529-4001349352
63530-30843445
62430-40537517
61431-33295512
60331-41225918
59332-30156223
58333-2125929
57233-3115138
56234-26733
55134-33367
50038-00892
Total:00000000001112751312121110875321000