Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat Toronto 3-1, playoff odds up 0.5 to 1.2%
44 points   18 20-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 3 Toronto 1 +0.3
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville vs Florida-0.4*+0.0*+0.0+0.6+0.6+0.7
NoNoNo*No*No+0.0
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116360-0In26.6%311680474
109312-3InNo1001
107292-5InNo50504*
106293-4InNo1001
105294-3InNo13888*
104284-4InNo20532730*
103285-3InNo226016250*
102275-4InNo1555255155*
101276-3InNo1155285330*
100266-498.6%No64636111654*
99256-596.6No4333822301,302*
98257-491.9No2253332712,468*
97247-584.6No11628391424,599*
96248-472.4No010204123507,999*
95238-558.8No061339338013,237*
94239-442.8No037324115121,586*
93229-529.1No0242445242033,311*
922210-417.8No0111644344049,884*
912110-510.0No01938447071,650*
902111-45.0No00530511310100,484*
892011-52.2No00222542020135,019*
882012-40.8No001145229400174,563*
871912-50.3No00084637700219,449*
861913-40.1No0005374413100266,425*
851813-50.0No02274721300311,962*
841814-40.0No01184529610355,274*
831714-50.0No0011393612200390,261*
821715-40.0No006304119400414,454*
811615-5OutNo03214028810426,057*
801616-4OutNo011335351420424,363*
791516-5OutNo00727382250409,476*
781517-4OutNo003183730101382,260*
771417-5OutNo01113136183346,495*
761418-4OutNo0062339266303,313*
751318-5OutNo00315363511256,108*
741319-4OutNo019304119210,522*
731219-5OutNo004234428166,911*
721220-4OutNo02154339127,476*
711120-5OutNo019395194,537*
701121-4OutNo005336267,518*
691021-5OutNo03267247,171*
681022-4OutNo01198031,608*
67922-5OutNo01138620,546*
66923-4OutNo099112,503*
65823-5OutNo06947,370*
64824-4OutNo04964,240*
63825-3OutNo2982,408*
62725-4OutNo1991,255*
61726-3OutNo0100615*
60626-4OutNo0100294*
44-59OutNo100708*
Total:1.2%0.0%000001412181916131075,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNY IslandersPittsburghWashingtonBostonColumbusMontrealBuffaloCarolinaNY Rangers
116360-00.2%15511414413700
109312-3NoYes
107292-5No25252525
106293-4NoYes
105294-3No6338
104284-4No67717333
103285-3No856102262122
102275-4No551124312651
101276-30.685114656434
100266-4No1341159655410
99267-30.22230161054530
98257-40.23121161053520
246-6No3224148534200
97247-50.1391512741310
258-30.1371513852510
96248-40.241109531310
237-60.24189631310
259-20.2381210531300
95238-50.137674212000
249-3No3977420200
227-70.03866320200
94239-40.13144210100
228-60.1304421010
2410-20.13144210100
217-80.0284421010
93229-50.02322100000
2310-30.02322110100
218-70.12222110000
2411-10.1262311000
922210-40.0151110000
219-60.01411000000
2311-20.0171100000
208-8No141100000
912110-50.080000000
2211-30.0100100000
209-7No81000000
2312-1No9100000
902111-40.05000000
2010-60.040000000
2212-20.0500000000
892011-50.0200000
2112-30.02000000
882012-40.010000000
871912-50.00000000
861913-4No0000000
851914-3No00000
841814-4No00
831815-3No00
821715-4No0
44-81No
Total:0.0%0.80.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Toronto 1 -0.7
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Florida+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.7-0.8-0.8
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116360-02751680
109312-3100
107292-5252550
106293-4100
105294-31388
104284-4777407727
103285-3210105046162
102275-4149137513255
101276-30263231122285
100266-4123159210350111
99256-5012761913802230
98257-401241813303271
97247-5001212128139142
96248-40001821914102350
95238-5000421123903380
94239-400216232041151
93229-5001121231452420
922210-400011141433540
912110-5000007237448000
902111-4000032285016200
892011-50000111849255100
882012-400001104034123000
871912-50000427372282000
861913-400001143029176100
851813-5005192926155100
841814-40028202824134100
831714-50003102228231130000
821715-4000141224292192000
811615-50015142628187200
801616-4000161627271651000
791516-500027192925134100
781517-400021023302310200
771417-5001413263019710
761418-4000161830281430
751318-50002923322491
741319-40014142932173
731219-5000172235277
721220-400314323615
711120-50017264124
701121-40003184336
691021-5001113948
681022-40063361
67922-50032671
66923-4011980
65823-5011386
64824-40991
63825-30595
62725-4397
61726-3298
60626-4298
44-59100
Total:000000000000010366678899987653