Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Lost to Pittsburgh 1-5, playoff odds down 7.9 to 15.7%
28 points   12 12-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Florida 1 Pittsburgh 5 -4.9
-0.1
Tampa Bay 1 Vancouver 5 +0.8
Boston 2 Colorado 4 +0.7
Philadelphia 6 Edmonton 5 -0.2
Montreal 5 New Jersey 2 +0.2
NY Islanders 3 St. Louis 2 -0.1
Los Angeles 1 Carolina 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit vs Columbus-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0*-0.0+0.3
New Jersey vs St. Louis-0.1-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.2
Buffalo vs Washington-0.1-0.2-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-136InYes100732*
117427-5In50.0%5017336*
116417-6InYes1005*
115418-5In60.761112928*
114419-4In59.166161844*
113409-5In56.361221796*
112399-6In44.1493714220*
1113910-5In34.6403822382*
1103810-6In21.73142270765*
1093811-5In15.423443301,172*
1083711-6In8.414454012,095*
1073611-7In5.094247203,469*
1063612-6In1.854151305,536*
1053512-7In0.8334595008,684*
1043513-6In0.21306180013,345*
1033413-7In0.002364111020,133*
1023414-6100.0%0.0018641610029,236*
1013314-7100.00.00136222200041,695*
1003315-699.8No095828310058,117*
993215-799.3No06513553100078,743*
983216-697.9No4434065200103,729*
973116-794.4No234437851000134,904*
963117-687.8No12643612930000171,182*
953017-777.1No01840514157100211,118*
943018-662.9No0123531319134100253,718*
932918-746.6No0728210222092000301,507*
922919-631.4No0420172025166100347,259*
912819-719.2No021403152624123000390,983*
902820-610.7No0180192328208200433,012*
892720-75.4No00501516282614410467,986*
882721-62.6No00200210233022920495,053*
872621-71.1No010151628291640511,700*
862622-60.4No00002923322491517,010*
852522-70.1No000015163031163514,714*
842523-60.0No0000292435246497,197*
832423-70.0No00001518343211472,082*
822424-60.0No0000211303918439,534*
812324-70.0No00016244226399,009*
802325-6OutNo003184336354,745*
792225-7OutNo002124047309,695*
782226-6OutNo00173557264,246*
772126-7OutNo0042966221,076*
762127-6OutNo0022374180,522*
752027-7OutNo0011880144,079*
742028-6OutNo011386111,989*
731928-7OutNo00109085,581*
721929-6OutNo0079364,858*
711829-7OutNo049547,267*
701830-6OutNo039733,736*
691730-7OutNo029823,767*
681731-6OutNo29815,936*
671631-7OutNo19910,788*
661632-6OutNo1997,104*
651532-7OutNo01004,495*
641533-6OutNo01002,776*
631433-7OutNo01001,736*
621434-6OutNo01001,042*
28-61OutNo1002,102*
Total:15.7%0.0%01581246810111315178,813,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealColumbusNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaPhiladelphiaTampa BayNew JerseyTorontoDetroitCarolinaNY IslandersBuffalo
136540-01.5%16591295177935641
118415-833.3333333
117427-5No3317171717
116417-6No20402020
115418-5No44114181411114777
114408-62.39119161114977222
113409-5No272571411157132374
112399-61.81561410108119844451
1113910-50.8268915109117655231
1103810-61.625413121112107744332
1093811-52.12368131212109563532
1083711-61.82558101414910554322
1073611-71.8345891515611465322
1063612-61.6445781617611366223
1053512-71.2533671819513376213
1043513-61.4633561920413276213
1033413-71.6723452021314287113
1023414-61.4822342122214187113
1013314-71.4922332222215197113
1003315-61.51022222223115197103
993215-71.51122222223115197003
983216-61.41232112122114087003
3317-41.31332212122114097003
973116-71.41333212020013087003
3015-91.31343212020013087003
963117-61.21344211818012076003
3016-81.21344211718012076003
3218-41.21344211818012076003
953017-71.01254211515010065002
3118-51.01254211616010065003
2916-90.91254211515010065002
943018-60.8104411121308054002
2917-80.8104311121208054002
3119-40.9104311121208054002
932918-70.6733119906043002
2817-90.6733119906043001
922919-60.4422106604032001
2818-80.4422106604032001
912819-70.2211004403021001
902820-60.1100002202011000
892720-70.1100001101010000
882721-60.00000011000000
872621-70.000000000000
862622-60.0000000000000
852522-70.0000000000
842523-60.00000000
832524-5No0000000
822424-6No00000
812324-7No0000
28-80No
Total:0.2%2.10.70.60.30.23.23.30.12.10.11.31.00.00.00.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 1 Pittsburgh 5 +1.0
Boston 2 Colorado 4 -0.1
Tampa Bay 1 Vancouver 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Washington+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-136100
117427-5501733
116417-6100
115418-5611129
114419-45971618
113398-75652217
112399-64453714
1113910-5356382001
1103810-622941024030
1093811-515844027060
1083711-685441301910
1073611-75440229117200
1063612-623383262240300
1053512-71230422334040100
1043513-60124516442060200
1033413-70017610450080410
1023414-600117545419071000
1013314-7007623552911220000
1003315-6046125148119030100
993215-702401438622705031000
983216-613003211323406050200
973116-70200211311391608051000
963117-6010012140139351120930000
953017-70006120034641130157100
943018-600029002692112119134100
932918-700160016121191222092000
922919-6004091200511925176100
912819-700204100021142624134100
902820-6001170011721282192000
892720-700004000031225271872000
882721-600020000151626261661000
872621-7001000271826241451000
862622-6000000291926231351000
852522-70000013102026221241000
842523-6000001411212621113100
832423-70000015132327209200
822424-600002616262717610
812324-70000281929251230
802325-600141225302171
792225-700016183129132
782226-60003112634215
772126-700161935309
762127-600313323715
752027-70018274223
742028-6004204432
731928-7002144341
721929-600193951
711829-70063460
701830-60032868
691730-7022375
681731-6011881
671631-7001486
661632-601089
651532-70793
641533-60694
631433-7397
621434-6298
611435-5298
601335-6199
591336-5199
28-58100
Total:000000320053102046677767777654