Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat Philadelphia 2-1 (so), playoff odds up 5.2 to 36.3%
36 points   14 8-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Florida 2 (so)+4.6
+0.1
+0.3
Montreal 1 Anaheim 2 +0.8
Columbus 4 Washington 5 (ot)-0.6
Carolina 4 Toronto 1 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Boston+0.8*+0.1*+0.0-0.8-1.0-0.9
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Ottawa vs Anaheim-0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.2+0.3+0.8
Detroit vs NY Islanders*+0.0-0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.2+0.1
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay+0.2*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-140In99.9%100893*
120397-6In80.694636*
119398-5In87.294647*
118388-6In65.780192108*
117389-5In54.1781830233*
116379-6In46.971245433*
1153710-5In34.464288809*
1143610-6In25.9573310001,402*
1133611-5In16.7493614002,564*
1123511-6In10.53939190104,249*
1113512-5In5.43042251206,941*
1103412-6In2.522413024010,985*
1093413-5In0.9144134470017,245*
1083313-6In0.49363761101025,752*
1073213-7In0.153036101602037,946*
1063214-6In0.032433142214054,503*
1053114-7In0.011827172917075,802*
1043115-6100.0%No01220193331110102,668*
1033015-7100.0No0814203551720136,378*
1023016-699.9No0481834824400175,873*
1012916-799.6No024142911318000222,466*
1002917-698.8No0121023133613100273,829*
992817-797.0No001615143921300329,896*
982818-693.5No0049133829600388,267*
972718-787.3No002510343711100446,410*
962719-678.1No00128274119300499,852*
952619-765.7No00015194127710549,899*
942620-651.5No000031237351210589,510*
932520-737.3No0016293920300617,436*
922521-624.6No0013214028710632,972*
912421-714.7No00011336351310633,935*
902422-68.1No00017294020300622,024*
892322-74.0No00004214028600596,485*
882323-61.8No0021437351110559,322*
872223-70.7No0018304018300510,935*
862224-60.2No0004234225500457,312*
852124-70.1No002163933910401,100*
842125-60.0No0110343915200343,093*
832025-70.0No006274122400288,784*
822026-6OutNo03204129700235,839*
811926-70.0No0011337361210188,827*
801927-6OutNo01831401830147,293*
791827-7OutNo00423412650113,291*
781828-6OutNo021639339183,937*
771728-7OutNo0110343914161,417*
761729-6OutNo006274221344,057*
751629-7OutNo03204328530,622*
741630-6OutNo02134035921,059*
731530-7OutNo01935411414,000*
721531-6OutNo052946208,947*
711532-5OutNo032246295,612*
701432-6OutNo021646363,463*
691433-5OutNo11043462,131*
681333-6OutNo0740531,237*
671334-5OutNo063063731*
661234-6OutNo42770415*
651235-5OutNo12079203*
641135-6OutNo1387104*
631136-5OutNo128865*
621137-4OutNo118919*
36-61OutNo100897*
Total:36.3%0.0%01124310151616149521010,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitTorontoNY IslandersNY RangersMontrealWashingtonBostonOttawaPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
140520-00.8%0791738228129410
124437-2No5050
123416-5No333333
122439-0No25252525
121396-7No252513131313
120397-62.8381731422111111
119398-5No4151549211994
118388-62.81391941014107103
117389-53.90714186920797000
116379-61.211211174520712920
1153710-51.20111418671810672000
1143610-61.401111176919987200
1133611-51.111013167101810772000
1123511-61.411014157111611752000
1113512-51.21111314101213116520000
1103412-61.2210121412131313542000
1093413-51.2210121313151114432000
1083313-61.239111116161015332000
1073213-71.14911111817815322000
1063214-61.259101019187152220000
1053114-71.179101020186142120000
1043115-61.1810111020186132110000
1033015-71.01011111020165121110000
1023016-61.0131312101815510111000
1012916-70.9161413111713591110000
1002917-60.920161311141157110000
992817-70.824171311129451000000
982818-60.827171310107440000000
2717-80.828171310106440000000
972718-70.7301712985330000000
2617-90.7311711985330000000
962719-60.6321510764220000000
2820-40.6311510764220000000
952619-70.530138652210000000
2518-90.530127652210000000
942620-60.42596432110000000
932520-70.32074321100000000
922521-60.21442211000000000
912421-70.1821110000000000
902422-60.1511100000000000
892322-70.021000000000000
882323-60.010000000000000
872223-70.000000000000
862224-60.000000000
852225-50.0000000000
842125-6No000000
832126-5No000
822329-0No
812027-5No0
36-80No
Total:0.3%11.86.14.43.54.02.81.41.80.20.20.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Florida 2 (so)-0.6
Montreal 1 Anaheim 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Boston-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Ottawa vs Anaheim+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-140100
121407-58813
120397-681146
119398-58766
118388-66614192
117389-554241830
116379-647242305
1153710-5343028080
1143610-626313219100
1133611-5173334213200
1123511-61129354163010
1113512-55243671961200
1103412-62203292192400
1093413-511329122015406000
1083313-6092214171960101010
1073213-705151513231001420200
1063214-60310148251311751400
1053114-70161242315219910600
1043115-603921916419143011010
1033015-7016113146162050161200
1023016-6004081071123802134000
1012916-7002046862310125580000
1002917-600102373201122710130100
992817-70001151141042415201300
982818-60000309851920263600
972718-700020556122230611100
962719-6000102256202912184000
952619-70000011431624182581000
942620-60000002111152229164000
932520-7000010682128249200
922521-600010331722291851000
912421-700000111214292612300
902422-60000010782431217100
892322-70000043153029154000
882323-60002182332249200
872223-7000103142931164100
862224-600000172233259200
852124-700003143031164100
842125-6000172233259200
832025-70003153031164100
822026-600182333249200
811926-700004153030164000
801927-600192433238100
791827-700416313015400
781828-6002102533228100
771728-701518322913300
761729-600211263321610
751629-700161934281120
741630-60021329341840
731530-701723362570
721531-6003153433131
711532-502102837202
701432-6162340264
691433-5041537377
681333-6029354212
671334-5017274916
661234-603205026
651235-511125631
641135-61114939
631136-594249
621137-43763
61936-74654
60937-64060
36-59100
Total:000101111321468799998753211000