Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 2-3 (so), playoff odds up 1.2 to 35.8%
20 points   7 5-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.3
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.2
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.4*+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.8
Boston 0 Montreal 2 +0.4
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.4
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)+0.3
*-0.0
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.3
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -0.2
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.2
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.1
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-148InYes100889*
1234910-5In83.3%838812*
1224810-6InYes10035*
1214811-5In98.699173*
1204610-8In93.89632113*
1194611-7In90.89731184*
1184612-6In89.79352330*
1174512-7In85.89172633*
1164513-6In78.7851051,009*
1154413-7In70.37914701,769*
1144414-6In60.37317902,725*
1134314-7In49.965221214,404*
1124315-6In39.458251616,827*
1114215-7In29.94928211010,354*
1104216-6In19.74031263015,276*
1094116-7In12.531323340022,320*
1084016-8In7.123323870031,501*
1074017-7In3.2163042111043,771*
1063917-8In1.3112745152059,571*
1053918-7100.0%0.4623472130078,795*
1043818-8100.00.13184527610103,443*
1033819-7100.00.0213413310100132,554*
1023719-899.80.019353815200165,781*
1013720-799.7No06284021500204,890*
1003620-899.1No03213928810246,799*
993621-797.8No0214363313200292,432*
983521-895.5No019303620400340,740*
973522-791.2No0052336268100386,677*
963422-884.3No0316323313200431,548*
953423-774.2No01112636215000473,980*
943323-861.5No0171936289100508,096*
933324-747.0No004123134163000540,254*
923224-832.6No00272435237100560,545*
913225-720.3No001316333013300570,678*
903125-811.3No001102734217100571,261*
893126-75.5No000519332812200560,740*
883026-82.3No000212283319500541,823*
873027-70.9No0001621342710100513,236*
862927-80.3No000314303316300477,709*
852928-70.1No00018253624500436,441*
842828-80.0No000041835321010391,760*
832829-70.0No0021131371620345,348*
822729-80.0No001725412340297,717*
812730-70.0No000318403070253,897*
802630-80.0No0002123737111211,722*
792631-7OutNo00183142171173,928*
782531-8OutNo00042544233140,073*
772532-7OutNo021844314110,355*
762432-8OutNo01134137785,555*
752433-7OutNo01937431165,142*
742333-8OutNo00531481648,812*
732334-7OutNo0325512135,795*
722234-8OutNo0219512725,944*
712235-7OutNo0114503518,284*
702135-8OutNo111474212,673*
692136-7OutNo0743508,563*
682036-8OutNo0539565,772*
672037-7OutNo0333643,808*
661937-8OutNo0226722,444*
651938-7OutNo124751,516*
641939-6OutNo01783957*
631839-7OutNo11485565*
621840-6OutNo01189403*
611639-9OutNo793178*
601741-6OutNo496114*
591641-7OutNo59558*
581642-6OutNo29843*
20-57OutNo100916*
Total:35.8%0.2%1158101212121111963110,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayMontrealNY IslandersDetroitOttawaTorontoWashingtonBostonNY RangersPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
148640-02.1%0813216151351654400
126508-6No333333
125509-5NoYes
124499-6No3322112211
1234910-5No178178817888
1224810-68.691417172331133
1214811-51.415141211412314447
1204610-83.519114141419412534
1194611-75.471011819175123332
1184612-65.281221416183174411
1174512-72.719131141615415334100
1164513-63.411014118141541434210
1154413-74.20916117151441533200
1144414-62.709151171614414332100
1134314-72.8112151171514313233100
1124315-62.8013171191413312322100
1114215-72.7013181181413212222000
1104216-62.7016191181412211222000
1094116-72.9016201191312211222000
1084016-82.7018211181312210211000
1074017-72.5119221191211110111000
1063917-82.612123119121019111000
1053918-72.422123119111019111000
1043818-82.432224119111018111000
1033819-72.34222421810918110000
1023719-82.36222331810917110000
1013720-72.3922224179817010000
1003620-82.21222225158716100000
993621-72.11522205147715100000
983521-82.01821196126614100000
973522-71.92120177115514000000
963422-81.8231915794313000000
953423-71.6221613773312000000
3524-51.5221713773312000000
943323-81.3201410652211000000
933324-71.017107541101000000
923224-80.71375321100000000
913225-70.4843210000000000
903125-80.2522110000000000
893126-70.1211100000000000
883026-80.0100000000000000
873027-70.0000000000000000
863028-60.00000000000000
852928-70.00000000000
842929-60.0000000000
832829-7No0000
822830-6No00
812831-5No00
802630-8No0
20-79No
Total:0.8%7.87.86.82.44.42.22.00.31.60.20.20.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+0.0
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)-0.0
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-148100
1234910-58388
1224810-6100
1214811-5991
1204610-894232
1194611-791631
1184612-690352
1174512-786572
1164513-6797105
1154413-770914700
1144414-6601317900
1134314-7501622012001
1124315-6391924016001
1114215-73019271201010
1104216-62021291241130
1094116-7131929328314000
1084016-87162743153070000
1074017-731324630840100010
1063917-819198271260151020
1053918-70613922169020103000
1043818-80389151811124306010
1033819-702588181322761100100
1023719-80127416133261020150200
1013720-70151121152214302015000
1003620-800307761618402538010
993621-7002044692061286130200
983521-80010225418712710190400
973522-700001141136322142528100
963422-800020844151829413200
953423-7000010434818288205100
943323-800010214315221326112000
933324-7000001031111417281861000
923224-80000002067172525124100
913225-7000010331318282193000
903125-8000001191024271882000
893126-70000000541526251662000
883026-8000002181926241451000
873027-7000010310212722124100
862927-800000141323272092000
852928-70000016162626176100
842828-800000029192824134100
832829-7000141224292192000
822729-8000016162827165100
812730-7000021022302310200
802630-80001515283017410
792631-700029223224910
782531-800141530311530
772532-700021025342261
762432-80015183430111
752433-7003123035173
742333-800172438245
732334-700041837329
722234-800212353813
712235-7018294220
702135-8005224527
692136-7002184535
682036-801134442
672037-7183952
661937-8053460
651938-7042967
641939-6022474
631839-7021880
621840-601584
611639-91189
601741-61594
591641-7991
581642-6298
20-57100
Total:001111113311547587766665443210