Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 0-5, playoff odds down 1.1 to 98.4%
70 points   32 18-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 0 Nashville 5 -0.6
-0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Boston-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs St. Louis-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122260-0In45.4%455521,664
121250-1In31.73268495
120251-0In26.227732,691*
119241-1In19.120808,886*
118231-2In13.21486028,990*
117232-1In9.01090075,116*
116222-2In5.97930185,708*
115223-1In3.64960395,254*
114213-2In2.03970802,927*
113214-1In1.129801,449,834*
112204-2In0.519902,509,643*
111194-3In0.2199003,965,810*
110195-2In0.1099105,991,747*
109185-3In0.0098108,414,501*
108186-2In0.009730011,309,489*
107176-3In0.009550014,238,286*
106177-2In0.009280017,205,084*
105167-3In0.0087130019,594,693*
104168-2In0.0079191021,452,725*
103158-3InNo070273022,230,620*
102159-2InNo0603550010,898,361
148-4InNo0593650011,274,239*
101149-3100.0%No047421010020,992,783*
1001410-2100.0No035471610019,139,303*
991310-3100.0No024472530016,609,465*
981311-2100.0No164434710013,885,315*
971211-399.8No9374111200011,058,324*
961212-299.1No528461551008,490,612*
951112-396.4No21946181230006,204,579*
941113-289.7No11142161991004,375,040*
931013-376.7No063412241850002,936,771*
921014-258.4No032572427122001,900,458*
91914-338.5No011631832226101,170,547*
90915-221.6No0010110303214200693,947*
89815-310.2No00505223625600390,388*
88816-24.2No02021333351420212,435*
87716-31.5No01016243925500109,295*
86717-20.4No0002143636111053,434*
85617-30.1No00172743213025,014*
84618-20.0No00317423260011,265*
83518-3OutNo1835421314,660*
82519-2OutNo04224625401,868*
81419-3OutNo215393680698*
80420-2OutNo063543161249*
79320-3OutNo9114826782*
78321-2OutNo134040730*
77322-1OutNo131363138*
76323-0OutNo5025254*
75223-1OutNo1001
70026-0OutNo00128721,582
Total:98.4%0.0%05824123110000000260,344,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonNY RangersTampa BayBostonNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghNew JerseyCarolinaPhiladelphiaMontrealOttawaTorontoBuffaloColumbus
122260-08.0%7611131117178720000
121250-18.7659161418176810
120251-07.6871113121815672000
119241-18.38711141318167620000
118231-27.98712151217156620000
117232-18.08712141218156520000
116222-27.88811141318156520000
115223-17.88811151318156520000
114213-27.88811151318155520000
113214-17.88811151318145520000
112204-27.78811151318145520000
111194-37.78811141318145520000
110195-27.78812141317145520000
109185-37.68812141417145520000
108186-27.608812141417145520000
107176-37.608912141417145530000
187-17.58912141417145520000
106177-27.5081013131516135430000
166-47.581013131516135430000
105167-37.4071114131615125430000
178-17.471014131616135430000
104168-27.3071215121714124430000
157-47.3071216121714124430000
103158-37.2061417111813104430000
169-17.2061417111813104430000
102159-27.10517199201193330000
148-47.10517209201193330000
101149-36.9042022722973330000
1510-16.9042022822983330000
1001410-26.8032225623762230000
139-46.8032325624762230000
991310-36.6022527425542130000
1411-16.6022527425542130000
981311-26.4022729327431130000
1210-46.4122829327331130000
971211-36.2212930227221130000
961212-26.0503030126110030000
951112-35.71202828024100030000
941113-25.11902423019000030000
931013-34.22401818014000020000
921014-23.123012120900001000
91914-32.0180770600001000
90915-21.1100440300000000
89815-30.550220100000
88816-20.220110100000
87817-10.11000000
86717-20.000000
85617-30.00000
84719-0No0
70-83No
Total:6.9%1.54.916.619.18.719.010.68.73.22.92.70.30.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 0 Nashville 5 +0.6
Minnesota 2 Boston 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs St. Louis+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Detroit vs Boston-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122260-045055
121250-13268
120251-026173
119241-119180
118231-2131860
117232-1919000
116222-2619300
115223-1419500
114213-22197000
113214-111971000
112204-210972000
111194-3009540000
110195-2009271000
109185-30087111000
108186-20080182000000
107176-30070253100000
106177-200593343100000
105167-300474056200000
104168-200344559501000
103158-30234741310120000
102159-2015452151524100000
148-4014452151624100000
101149-3084011522572101000
1001410-2043201225995301000
991310-3022307251598803000
981311-2115042020711150601000
971211-30901132241124210120000
961212-205007202831513250100
951112-30200315153291441203000
941113-20101100227131151919100
931013-30000601181566222185100
921014-20030010143420427122000
91914-300105111212531237100
90915-200002801552632164000
89815-3000140023163328112000
88816-2002001723332282000
87716-300100021126311972000
86717-200000031427281871000
85617-300014152728187100
84618-200016162728166100
83518-301617292616510
82519-200171830261331
81419-3029213223122
80420-231123371870
79320-314172132224
78321-27743377
77322-11338251313
76323-0502525
75223-1100
70026-0022375
Total:003028271063351201010000000000000