Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 22.2%
16 points   7 9-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit 3 Buffalo 1 -0.2
Columbus 2 NY Rangers 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles vs Florida-3.4*-0.0*-0.0+3.7+4.2+4.2
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ottawa vs Arizona-0.2-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.6
San Jose vs Boston+0.3*-0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Philadelphia vs Calgary-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Chicago-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.3*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Washington vs Minnesota-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.0+0.3
Tampa Bay vs NY Islanders+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
Montreal vs Toronto+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1
Winnipeg vs New Jersey+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-144InYes10013,986*
122508-6In94.1%94617*
121509-5In87.8881241*
120499-6In85.6861490*
119489-7In78.58119191*
1184810-6In75.27921408*
1174710-7In66.971029731*
1164711-6In62.26613211,364*
1154611-7In56.76113702,564*
1144612-6In49.85624204,666*
1134512-7In39.64824918,079*
1124513-6In33.642354113,981*
1114413-7In25.4354592023,504*
1104414-6In18.9294634038,757*
1094314-7In12.6235676061,286*
1084315-6In7.9175698095,608*
1074215-7In4.3125701200146,091*
1064115-8In2.285701610217,991*
1054116-7In0.955672120318,128*
1044016-8100.0%0.3346327300454,855*
1034017-7100.00.1235832500637,052*
1023917-8100.00.0125138700873,037*
1013918-7100.00.002444211101,174,246*
1003818-8100.00.0013645162001,544,012*
993819-799.8No0129472130001,990,083*
983719-899.5No0022462660002,518,403*
973720-798.5No001643301010003,121,156*
963620-896.0No0011383116400003,792,279*
953621-790.7No007322923820004,518,895*
943521-881.4No0426242714410005,287,832*
933522-767.6No0219172921920006,068,253*
923422-850.9No011410252716510006,831,340*
913423-734.1No01951928231130007,553,706*
903323-820.1No00621225291971008,189,374*
893324-710.4No003161829261330008,723,088*
883224-84.8No02031124302171009,119,873*
873225-72.0No01016173028143009,356,477*
863125-80.7No00002112532227109,425,021*
853126-70.3No00001518312913209,326,610*
843026-80.1No00000211273320509,059,175*
833027-70.0No00000162034281018,645,845*
822927-80.0No0000031331341628,100,207*
812928-70.0No00001825382347,453,420*
802828-80.0No0000419383186,739,192*
792829-70.0No00002133538125,974,306*
782729-80.0No000183043185,207,383*
772730-7OutNo00052446254,459,744*
762630-80.0No00031846333,746,109*
752631-7OutNo0011344413,095,870*
742531-8OutNo001941502,507,468*
732532-7OutNo00636581,995,924*
722432-8OutNo00431651,558,526*
712433-7OutNo00226721,194,895*
702333-8OutNo0012178901,105*
692334-7OutNo011783665,993*
682234-8OutNo001387483,325*
672235-7OutNo001090345,036*
662135-8OutNo0793241,294*
652136-7OutNo0595165,495*
642036-8OutNo0496111,524*
632037-7OutNo039773,752*
621937-8OutNo029847,244*
611938-7OutNo019930,285*
601838-8OutNo19918,934*
591839-7OutNo010011,463*
581739-8OutNo01006,882*
571740-7OutNo01004,093*
561640-8OutNo01002,301*
551641-7OutNo01001,288*
16-54OutNo10015,483*
Total:22.2%0.0%0038567810111212118174,316,636

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNew JerseyColumbusNY IslandersOttawaDetroitCarolinaPhiladelphiaPittsburghNY RangersBostonWashingtonMontrealBuffalo
144640-03.2%09679111288876621
125538-350.05050
123518-5No33331717
122508-65.924121266612186
121509-5No57522101015102555
120499-63.32163717126863344
119489-72.61765617157634651
1184810-62.2017564161355857521
1174710-72.6020456161775546311
1164711-62.9123454171555446421
1154611-72.8124444171555446321
1144612-63.5126344201554446320
1134512-72.8228344201644436220
1124513-63.2230333211733335211
1114413-73.1331223221833225210
1104414-62.8333222221832225210
1094314-72.8435222231722215110
1084315-62.6537112241822115110
1074215-72.7638111241811115110
1064115-82.6739111241811114110
1054116-72.6739111241711114010
1044016-82.5839111241711104010
1034017-72.5839211241711004010
1023917-82.5838222241711004010
1013918-72.4937332231611104010
1003818-82.4935543211511104010
993819-72.41033654201411114010
983719-82.31230765181222113110
973720-72.31427976161122113110
963620-82.2182397613922112110
953621-72.1221997611722112100
943521-81.825168658622112000
933522-71.525126546411101000
923422-81.12194334311001000
913423-70.71663223200000000
903323-80.41041112100000000
893324-70.2521001100000000
883224-80.1210000000000000
873225-70.0110000000000000
863125-80.0000000000000000
853126-70.0000000000000000
843026-80.0000000000000000
833027-70.0000000000000
822927-80.00000000000
812928-70.0000000000
802929-60.0000000
792829-7No0000
783032-2No0
773033-1No
762933-2No0
16-75No
Total:0.5%5.85.41.71.31.13.02.00.40.30.20.10.50.10.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Florida+0.7-0.0-0.0-0.8-0.9-0.9
Ottawa vs Arizona+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Boston-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123-144100
122508-6946
121509-58812
120499-68614
119489-779219
1184810-675321
1174710-7674029
1164711-66241321
1154611-757513700
1144612-650624200
1134512-7408204901
1124513-63483054001
1114413-7251030581020
1104414-6191040621040
1094314-713104064206000
1084315-6895064418000
1074215-748516262120000
1064115-82641571030160010
1054116-714314814502100200
1044016-8033137187026103000
1034017-70221262210030215000
1023917-801111522131324107000
1013918-7000182014231830110100
1003818-800013151442713501512000
993819-700111012620179019230000
983719-80000688122013121460000
973720-700003585191622181001000
963620-80000127214175181315231000
953621-7000001609149121718472000
943521-800004049126181891351000
933522-7000020251221514151810410000
923422-800010121111071818179310000
913423-700010018053161321189310000
903323-8000000502111717221810410000
893324-7000003010631019231911410000
883224-8000020003141119242012510000
873225-70001001014112024201251000
863125-800000000015122025201141000
853126-7000000001512212520103100
843026-8000000000261423261982000
833027-700000000027162526166100
822927-800000013920282412300
812928-70000001413253020710
802828-800000271830281320
792829-70000031126332150
782729-8000016193429100
772730-700003133136161
762630-80000172540242
752631-700041941324
742531-800021338407
732532-700018334710
722432-80005285215
712433-7003225520
702333-8001165626
692334-701125533
682234-80085240
672235-70054847
662135-8034354
652136-70023761
642036-8013267
632037-7012772
621937-802277
611938-701881
601838-801485
591839-701189
581739-8991
571740-70793
561640-8595
551641-7496
541642-6298
531542-7298
521543-6199
16-51100
Total:0000111112232333344555666777751