Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 40.2%
9 points   3 2-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.5*+0.0
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)-0.4
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.3
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.2
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-157InYes100428*
1215214-8In97.9%99197*
1205215-7In98.5991134*
1195216-6In96.0982225*
1185116-7In95.49712346*
1175016-8In92.49622589*
1165017-7In90.99622853*
1154917-8In85.394321,372*
1144817-9In81.1914502,140*
1134818-8In76.1895703,060*
1124718-9In66.9837904,507*
1114719-8In58.77991116,372*
1104619-9In47.7721116108,876*
1094620-8In36.3641421112,156*
1084520-9In26.15517263016,370*
1074521-8In17.546203040021,915*
1064421-9In10.036213571028,583*
1054422-8100.0%4.92722401110036,506*
1044322-9100.02.11921431520046,039*
1034323-8100.00.81220442040057,046*
1024223-9100.00.27174326610069,562*
1014224-899.90.041340311020082,850*
1004124-999.70.021035351530097,756*
994125-899.4No17283721510112,939*
984025-998.50.0042237269100128,310*
974026-896.5No0216333015300143,790*
963926-992.7No01112931216100159,249*
953927-885.9No01623292711200172,641*
943827-975.1No0041724311851000183,926*
933828-860.8No021117302511300193,252*
923728-944.4No017102630186100200,218*
913729-828.9No0045193025124100204,100*
903629-916.4No0022122529198200204,210*
893630-88.1No0011618292614410201,013*
883530-93.5No0003112430228100195,477*
873531-81.3No0001617292815400186,403*
863431-90.4No0000311243223710176,045*
853432-80.1No00000161831291320163,020*
843332-90.0No000031127342050149,115*
833333-80.0No0001621352891133,537*
823233-90.0No0003143335142118,218*
813133-10OutNo00192839203102,581*
803134-9OutNo0015214128587,947*
793135-8OutNo003153934974,948*
783035-9OutNo0011035401361,324*
773036-8OutNo01630451850,793*
762936-9OutNo00424472441,000*
752937-8OutNo0219483132,235*
742837-9OutNo0114463825,233*
732838-8OutNo110434718,901*
722738-9OutNo07405414,431*
712739-8OutNo05365910,859*
702639-9OutNo0331667,954*
692640-8OutNo225735,796*
682540-9OutNo121774,031*
672541-8OutNo0117832,873*
662441-9OutNo014861,979*
652442-8OutNo010901,284*
642342-9OutNo0892821*
632343-8OutNo0594587*
622243-9OutNo397415*
612143-10OutNo298216*
602144-9OutNo298146*
9-59OutNo100561*
Total:40.2%0.9%2281089999998634,070,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitOttawaMontrealWashingtonTorontoNY IslandersNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersBostonColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
157740-05.1%4910913413785610210
1275612-6No5050
1255412-89.11827918999
1245312-95.918122461266126
1235212-109.510141014145105145
1225213-94.9212107721077571525
1215214-84.1113101112715272512
1205215-74.541110138716543213111
1195216-64.9289141331557748311
1185116-74.611016101281253739310
1175016-85.8212111012513465411310
1165017-75.0313121413412444411410
1154917-84.2211121214412455410410
1144817-94.7311121313412454510311
1134818-85.1213131214412544410310
1124718-94.0212121313314544410310
1114719-84.3212131413412444411311
1104619-94.4213131414412444410210
1094620-83.9214151413312433310210
1084520-94.121415151431233339210
1074521-84.021516151431233339210
1064421-93.921616151431233339210
1054422-83.821717161521222229100
1044322-94.121818161421222228100
1034323-83.721818161521122228100
1024223-93.831918161521122228100
1014224-83.541918151421122228100
1004124-93.561818151431022227100
994125-83.471817151331022227100
984025-93.49171614134932226100
974026-83.211161613124832226100
963926-93.112161512105832225100
4027-73.212161512105833225100
953826-102.91314141095633224100
3927-82.81314131095633224100
943827-92.3131212984532223100
3928-72.5131312984532223100
933828-81.911109764422112000
923728-91.4987543321112000
913729-80.9654332211111000
903629-90.5433211110000000
893630-80.2211110000000000
883530-90.1111000000000000
873531-80.0000000000000000
863431-90.000000000000000
853432-80.00000000000000
843433-7No000000000
833232-10No000000
823132-11No0
9-81No
Total:1.4%4.56.96.65.44.81.73.51.11.00.90.92.40.40.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-157100
1215214-89811
1205215-79911
1195216-69622
1185116-795112
1175016-892422
1165017-791522
1154917-885932
1144817-98110450
1134818-87613570
1124718-96716709000
1114719-859209011001
1104619-94825110160010
1094620-8362714120101
1084520-926291512410300
1074521-8172817227314000
1064421-91026174295170010
1054422-8522166308201000100
1044322-921714727124015002000
1034323-811111922166019104000
1024223-907710151981223160100
1014224-8044982010124611002000
1004124-902284171132210301513000
994125-8116113951815501925010
984025-90004087711187022490100
974026-8002044861791237150300
963926-900102272149319122026100
953927-80011150986131623411300
943827-900000305577172291761000
933828-8000202272151615221241000
923728-9000101151109182220103100
913729-800004053161623191031000
903629-9000002021118192418931000
893630-80000101063112124191041000
883530-9000000314122124191041000
873531-8000001015132124191041000
863431-900000002513222519103100
853432-80000000026152325188200
843332-9000000027162525166100
833333-80000013919272413410
823233-90001412232821920
813133-10000161628281640
803134-900031023312491
793135-80015163031153
783035-90002102535225
773036-800161935319
762936-9000314333714
752937-80019284220
742837-9015224428
732838-803174337
722738-9002124245
712739-80193952
702639-90053460
692640-8032869
682540-9022474
672541-8011980
662441-911684
652442-801189
642342-90991
632343-80694
622243-9496
612143-10298
602144-9298
9-59100
Total:111122123322545455555555544432