Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.1+0.2
Toronto vs Montreal+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay vs Florida-4.7-0.5-0.4+4.2+4.7+5.1
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.9+0.9
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Washington vs Montreal+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.2*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Detroit vs Boston+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-164In100.0%10011,568*
1235716-9In99.8100003,101*
1225717-8In99.7100004,788*
1215617-9In99.6100007,882*
1205618-8In99.41000012,269*
1195518-9In99.01000018,749*
1185519-8In98.5990028,721*
1175419-9In97.5991141,659*
1165420-8In96.39811060,434*
1155320-9In94.49711086,814*
1145321-8In91.896220122,411*
1135221-9In88.094330168,787*
1125121-10In83.1925400229,570*
1115122-9In76.7887500308,198*
1105022-10In68.8849800404,150*
1095023-9In59.1781210000525,153*
1084923-10In48.5701514100669,547*
1074924-9In37.2621918100839,291*
1064824-10In26.35223222001,037,869*
1054825-9In16.84326274001,265,329*
1044725-10100.0%9.432293360001,514,964*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,787,375*
1024626-10100.01.8152941132002,081,953*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,386,234*
1004527-1099.90.15234224610002,694,013*
994528-999.80.021840291020003,000,459*
984428-1099.50.011335331440003,284,988*
974429-998.50.0092935187100003,552,428*
964329-1096.1No0523352211310003,780,103*
954330-990.9No03163222177200003,970,881*
944230-1081.3No0211272022135100004,107,443*
934231-967.0No01721152319103100004,193,168*
924131-1049.4No041592124177200004,217,919*
914132-931.9No00210515242314610004,181,328*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,085,096*
894033-98.8No003141323261992003,934,161*
883933-103.8No002027172525156103,739,124*
873934-91.4No0010131021272311303,506,619*
863834-100.5No000001514252818613,236,307*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,949,528*
843735-100.1No00000141326311952,647,696*
833736-90.0No0000002821332792,343,095*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,048,953*
813637-90.0No00000292739231,765,400*
803537-100.0No0000152141321,497,679*
793538-9OutNo00031541411,255,912*
783438-100.0No000011037511,035,941*
773439-9OutNo000163260845,149*
763339-10OutNo0042769678,392*
753340-9OutNo0022276536,448*
743240-10OutNo0011782419,032*
733241-9OutNo011387322,242*
723141-10OutNo001090245,487*
713142-9OutNo00793182,760*
703042-10OutNo00595134,356*
693043-9OutNo039798,117*
682943-10OutNo0029870,981*
672944-9OutNo019949,575*
662844-10OutNo019934,718*
652845-9OutNo19923,767*
642745-10OutNo010016,255*
632746-9OutNo010010,799*
622646-10OutNo01006,996*
612647-9OutNo01004,483*
602547-10OutNo01002,862*
592548-9OutNo1001,855*
582448-10OutNo01001,109*
0-57OutNo1008,940*
Total:50.0%3.3%661213666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealNY RangersBostonNY IslandersPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.6%777767677777677
1376611-5NoYes
1356512-5NoYes
1346412-633.3333333
1336312-7No2914142914
1326212-8No66619619136136
1316213-711.1117777157774747
1306113-88.1101010631352251331082
1296013-910.611654695621298664
1286014-810.78107667536859927
1275914-98.75799686488361238
1265915-87.55899677466661057
1255815-97.5688868556769755
1245816-87.2587767566868866
1235716-98.0678768666768865
1225717-87.6688868665857856
1215617-97.9688858666868866
1205618-87.6688868666858866
1195518-97.7688868665868865
1185519-87.7588868566858865
1175419-97.6688858665868866
1165420-87.3688868655868866
1155320-97.7688868665858866
1145321-87.4688868566858855
1135221-97.3588858656868856
1125121-107.4588858555858855
1115122-97.4588858555858855
1105022-107.3588858555858855
1095023-97.3599859555859855
1084923-107.3599959555959955
1074924-97.3599959555959955
1064824-107.2499949444949944
1054825-97.14101010410444104101044
1044725-107.04101010410444104101044
1034726-96.93101010310333103101033
1024626-106.83111111311333113111133
1014627-96.63111111311333113111133
1004527-106.43111111311333113111133
994528-96.33111111211322112111133
984428-106.23111111211332112111133
974429-96.03111111311333113111133
964329-105.73111111311333113111133
954330-95.33101010310333103101033
944230-104.7388838333838833
934231-93.9277727222727722
924131-102.8255525222525522
914132-91.8133313111313311
904032-101.0122212111212211
894033-90.5011101000101100
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863935-80.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843735-100.0000000000000000
833736-90.0000000000000000
823636-100.0000000000
813637-90.00000000
803537-10No000000
793942-1No
783741-4No0
0-77No
Total:3.1%1.65.35.35.21.65.31.61.61.65.31.65.35.21.61.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Florida+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Montreal-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Boston-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-164100
1255815-91000
1245816-81000
1235716-9100000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998111
1165420-8962110
1155320-9943110
1145321-8924220
1135221-988630300
1125121-108385040000
1115122-977117050000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-9591812010000000
1084923-10482215013001000
1074924-93725181170010000
1064824-1026262112111020000
1054825-917262432421040000
1044725-10923244264306000000
1034726-9419237267509001000
1024626-10213201023108012002000
1014627-918151217141201611040000
1004527-100510131015151193206010000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-10013102111751698013140000
974429-900180714911121201627010000
964329-100050391151216217511031000
954330-900301411210164148161720000
944230-1000200290614791118313510000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-10000040141018101120189310000
914132-90000020028044111622189310000
904032-10000100160218818231810410000
894033-90000003010431019231911410000
883933-1000000020002131019232013620000
873934-9000010001013917232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-9000000000138172323167200
843735-100000000013917242315610
833736-90000000013101926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-900000016152729174
803537-1000000292132269
793538-900001415303416
783438-100000029253925
773439-900015194035
763339-1000002133846
753340-900183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-10001090
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
0-57100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333