Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat Buffalo 5-3, playoff odds down 0.7 to 8.2%
67 points   27 22-13

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 5 Buffalo 3 +1.3
Boston 4 Arizona 1 -0.8
San Jose 2 Ottawa 4 -0.8
Philadelphia 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.2
Edmonton 1 St. Louis 2 *No
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida vs Tampa Bay+3.1+3.1+3.1-0.2-0.2-2.7
Washington vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
107200-0In0.0%214503120140,758
106190-1InNo13354913377
105180-2InNo122532402,337*
104181-1InNo012493639,935*
103171-2100.0%No0640476037,544*
102172-1100.0No022954150119,892*
101162-299.8No012053270342,878*
100163-199.3No0012464110859,686*
99153-297.7No0073754201,999,838*
98143-394.3No032764604,186,658*
97144-288.3No01186912008,202,357*
96134-379.0No011068201014,721,858*
95135-266.9No00561312024,846,872*
94125-352.7No003504250038,866,026*
93126-238.4No013751110057,377,538*
92116-325.3No002555191079,049,498*
91117-215.5No0015532920050,838,440
106-414.4No001453302052,211,001*
90107-37.7No008464150060,973,150
118-17.9No008464150064,944,112*
89108-23.7No0043650100070,891,253
97-43.3No0033551100074,909,853*
8898-31.3No00124551810076,784,327
109-11.4No00125551810081,825,216*
8799-20.5No00015542830079,381,556
88-40.4No00015542930084,359,878*
8689-30.1No0008463960076,848,665
910-10.1No00084639600082,006,256*
85810-20.0No0435481310071,502,797
79-40.0No00335481310074,750,654*
84710-30.0No0123502320061,129,509
811-10.0No0123502320065,341,178*
83711-20.0No0013463460051,699,081
610-40.0No0013453470052,027,557*
82611-30.0No0063543142079,739,589*
81612-20.0No0022345255058,033,860*
80512-3OutNo01124035111039,433,988*
79513-2OutNo0062942203025,314,368*
78413-3OutNo0021841327015,055,192*
77414-2OutNo01934421508,438,248*
76314-3OutNo00423462604,335,719*
75315-2OutNo0114454002,089,156*
74316-1OutNo00738550903,579*
73216-2OutNo00329680364,975*
72217-1OutNo0119790128,601*
71117-2OutNo01287041,622*
70118-1OutNo0793010,983*
69119-0OutNo039602,673*
68019-1OutNo199437
67020-0OutNo01990140,775
Total:8.2%0.0%0000182131231141001,697,222,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY RangersTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaPhiladelphia
107200-00.3%2512713914000
106190-1No2733023531
105180-20.325725236410
104181-10.22411224326100
103171-20.22415196279100
102172-10.325181572211100
101162-20.227221381812100
100163-10.2292311815120000
99153-20.231241081312000
98143-30.23323971110000
154-10.23324971111000
97144-20.2332286109000
133-40.2332286109000
155-00.23322861010000
96134-30.231197597000
145-10.231207598000
123-50.231187587000
95135-20.227166476000
124-40.127166476000
146-00.227176487000
113-60.1271563650
94125-30.122125364000
136-10.122135365000
114-50.122115354000
93126-20.11794243000
115-40.1168424300
137-00.117104254000
104-60.1158424200
92116-30.11163132000
127-10.1116313200
105-50.1105312200
91117-20.0742121000
106-40.0632111000
128-00.0742121000
95-60.063211100
90107-30.032101100
118-10.0421011000
96-50.03110100
89108-20.0210000000
97-40.011000000
8898-30.010000000
109-10.010000000
8799-20.000000000
8689-30.00000000
85810-20.00000000
84710-30.000000000
83711-2No000000
82712-1No00000
81713-0No0
67-80No
Total:0.0%3.41.90.90.40.90.70.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Buffalo 3 -0.3
Philadelphia 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.1
Colorado 1 Minnesota 3 -0.1
Boston 4 Arizona 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida vs Tampa Bay-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.0-0.0+0.5
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107200-002777202302632200
106190-11223725327913
105180-201041612312172400
104181-1000110114112503503
103171-20000415827046160
102172-100021242305031500
101162-20000021704662700
100163-1000001111371040010
99153-20000061251253120
98143-30000211413613600
97144-20000117116181100
96134-30000028531520100
95135-20000153823294000
94125-300000222283710100
93126-20001102837204000
92116-300003223031122000
91117-200001151935236100
106-4000011419352471000
90107-300000892934163000
118-100000892934163000
89108-200004318362891000
97-400033183529101000
8898-30001182736205100
109-10001182736205100
8799-2000003163531132000
88-4000003153432132000
8689-30000172436247100
910-100000172436247100
85810-200002133234163000
79-4000212313417300
84710-3000052136288100
811-1000052136288100
83711-20000211303718300
610-40000210293719300
82611-3000041837309100
81612-2000019293918300
80512-30003183930910
79513-20001831391830
78413-3000320403070
77414-2001103440140
76314-30042446260
75315-20011445400
74316-1007385400
73216-2003286810
72217-101197820
71117-20128530
70118-1078760
69119-00386110
68019-1183151
67020-001742320
Total:00000000000000356913151513106310000