Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat Chicago 5-4 (ot), playoff odds up 6.1 to 63.8%
4 points   2 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+3.8
+0.3
+0.8
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.3
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.3
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.2
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*+0.1
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.5-0.6-0.5*+0.3*+0.1+1.0
-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.7*-0.1+0.3-0.5-0.7-0.6
+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
90-112In99.9%100959*
89409-5In99.41000529*
884010-4In99.91000905*
873910-5In99.210001,595*
863911-4In98.599002,560*
853811-5In98.299004,127*
843812-4In96.998116,529*
833712-5In94.797119,827*
823612-6In92.09622014,631*
813613-5In87.99433020,797*
803513-6In81.79055029,465*
793514-5In74.18677040,061*
783414-6In64.08010100053,983*
773415-5In52.57114141069,713*
763315-6100.0%39.562181910088,872*
753316-5100.027.4512225300111,637*
743216-6100.016.5392531500134,776*
733217-5100.08.5282836810159,273*
723117-699.93.5172841122000185,062*
713118-599.71.11026431830000210,906*
703018-699.30.2522432460100233,554*
693019-598.20.02164030100200253,740*
682919-695.90.011134351514000269,200*
672920-591.9No0726362127100280,603*
662820-685.1No04193423512300284,306*
652821-575.7No0212292211176100283,464*
642721-663.6No1723161821123000276,401*
632722-550.1No0415922221982000263,522*
622622-636.3No0294221724165100247,249*
612623-524.6No01511811232413410225,575*
602523-615.1No003012517272210300202,468*
592524-58.5No00107210232920710177,115*
582424-64.4No0004141528281640153,290*
572425-52.0No0002018213125101128,518*
562325-60.9No001003132832194106,191*
552326-50.3No000017203528885,531*
542226-60.1No0000031331371567,249*
532227-50.0No00001725422553,024*
522127-60.0No000417423639,749*
512128-5OutNo00211394829,348*
502028-60.0No0017345921,406*
492029-5OutNo004276915,196*
481929-6OutNo02217710,553*
471930-5OutNo0116837,295*
461830-6OutNo111884,772*
451831-5OutNo08923,138*
441731-6OutNo5952,011*
431732-5OutNo03971,295*
421632-6OutNo298718*
411633-5OutNo0100454*
401634-4OutNo100274*
391534-5OutNo199168*
4-38OutNo100596*
Total:63.8%6.0%108171576665544324,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealTampa BayCarolinaPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoNY IslandersOttawaNY RangersBostonDetroitPittsburghBuffaloColumbus
112540-08.5%676869996952972
98466-2NoYes
96435-6No333333
95436-520.010201010201020
94437-414.32114714147777
93438-35.3135851181688838
92428-413.356885771166571215
91418-510.56577877871075853
90419-46.058971097851062444
89409-59.667116686878541035
884010-48.46778711777874755
873910-59.0479897686963856
863911-49.4669878696864835
853811-58.65710878696854744
843812-48.95710888686855755
833712-58.7679888786854845
823612-68.4579788686855855
813613-59.0679888786765755
803513-68.5689878786765755
793514-58.6788777786765755
783414-68.4788777876765654
773415-58.4897676977665654
763315-68.49117666967675554
753316-58.3101265551068576564
743216-68.1121355551258486463
733217-58.0131444441349487363
723117-67.9141644431339387372
713118-57.6151733331439297272
703018-67.4161733331439298271
693019-57.21617333315210297261
682919-66.8161733331429287161
672920-56.5151633331339277161
662820-65.8141533331238266151
652821-55.1131333331036155141
642721-64.211113333825144131
632722-53.3883333623133121
622622-62.4663333422122110
612623-51.6442222211111010
602523-61.0221111111000000
592524-50.5111111110000000
582424-60.3110000000000000
572425-50.1000000000000000
562325-60.0000000000000000
552326-50.0000000000000000
542327-40.000000000000000
532227-50.00000000
522228-4No000
512330-1No
502129-4No0
4-49No
Total:4.7%9.39.92.92.92.92.98.12.45.41.84.64.21.63.61.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.8
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
91-112100
90419-41000
89409-59900
884010-41000
873910-59910
863911-499100
853811-598100
843812-497111
833712-595211
823612-6924220
813613-58863300
803513-68295500
793514-57412707000
783414-66416100100000
773415-55319140140010
763315-639221711800100
753316-52724211231130000
743216-616232322722050000
733217-58192352943080010
723117-631421727760120020000
713118-519161022111001711300000
703018-6041011141315121220600100
693019-502511612182224401000200
682919-60129291851979015114000
672920-5016051381210140192207100
662820-60030271051018219450123000
652821-50020039161751481101671000
642721-601016031287917119134100
632722-5000030159271931619113100
622622-600202703157920191141000
612623-5001005018941321201251000
602523-6000020039151321211472000
592524-50000101601513212317931000
582424-60000040014111923191151000
572425-50000200014101823211362000
562325-60001000139172323157200
552326-500000013817242315620
542226-600001381825241551
532227-5000001310212824122
522127-600014132530216
512128-5002618313013
502028-6000311273722
492029-50016203934
481929-6003133945
471930-50183456
461830-60052668
451831-5022176
441731-6011683
431732-51990
421632-6892
411633-5496
401634-4397
391534-5298
4-38100
Total:6453635362525242544333222221111