Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 29.9%
4 points   1 2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado vs Florida-4.0-0.4-0.3+3.5+4.0+4.0
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
Calgary vs Tampa Bay+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Boston vs San Jose-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
NY Islanders vs Toronto+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.1
Chicago vs Philadelphia+0.2*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Montreal vs Detroit+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1
Winnipeg vs Carolina+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
New Jersey vs NY Rangers+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-158InYes10011,022*
1225514-8In99.3%1000428*
1215414-9In99.21000743*
1205415-8In98.899001,320*
1195315-9In98.299002,275*
1185316-8In97.399113,826*
1175216-9In95.098116,421*
1165217-8In92.5972110,340*
1155117-9In89.59532016,405*
1145118-8In85.29442025,245*
1135018-9In79.49064038,582*
1125019-8In72.28785057,840*
1114919-9In63.3821170085,833*
1104920-8In53.576141000122,965*
1094820-9In43.169171310175,356*
1084821-8In32.060211710244,601*
1074721-9In22.1512522200335,356*
1064722-8In13.8422926300452,744*
1054622-9In7.5323131500599,271*
1044522-10100.0%3.52333368100782,546*
1034523-9100.01.4153240111001,004,613*
1024423-10100.00.4930431620001,267,167*
1014424-9100.00.1526442140001,571,808*
1004324-10100.00.0321432671001,920,484*
994325-999.80.011640311020002,310,508*
984225-1099.50.0012353514400002,736,730*
974226-998.5No08293718710003,184,160*
964126-1096.0No0523372011310003,654,522*
954127-990.5No03163420177200004,121,966*
944027-1081.0No011130182113510004,582,456*
934028-966.9No0172413221910310005,018,215*
923928-1049.9No004188202417720005,404,758*
913929-933.1No0212414242314510005,733,029*
903829-1019.4No018292026211030005,995,000*
893830-910.1No005141424261771006,176,646*
883730-104.7No003028192824134106,260,157*
873731-92.0No001014122429208106,250,587*
863631-100.8No001001718292714306,150,289*
853632-90.3No00001312253121715,956,876*
843532-100.1No000000161931281325,682,119*
833533-90.0No0000031227331945,343,678*
823433-100.0No000001722352774,947,719*
813434-90.0No000014163434124,519,093*
803334-100.0No000002103040184,057,774*
793335-90.0No0000162443263,595,951*
783235-100.0No000031844343,135,836*
773236-9OutNo00021342432,692,663*
763136-10OutNo001938522,283,777*
753137-9OutNo000634601,901,708*
743037-10OutNo00429671,564,622*
733038-9OutNo00224741,264,259*
722938-10OutNo00119801,008,374*
712939-9OutNo011584792,038*
702839-10OutNo001288611,724*
692840-9OutNo00991464,633*
682740-10OutNo0793347,635*
672741-9OutNo00595256,983*
662641-10OutNo0396187,180*
652642-9OutNo0298133,722*
642542-10OutNo029894,292*
632543-9OutNo019965,394*
622443-10OutNo019944,418*
612444-9OutNo19930,196*
602344-10OutNo010019,647*
592345-9OutNo010013,016*
582346-8OutNo01008,221*
572246-9OutNo01005,183*
562247-8OutNo01003,134*
4-55OutNo10015,161*
Total:29.9%0.5%137104567899101110127,363,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonOttawaNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghTampa BayMontrealColumbusNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersBostonTorontoCarolinaBuffalo
158770-04.4%678887888776562
1336210-5No5050
1316010-7NoYes
1306112-4No255025
1295810-9No20202040
1285811-8No13251313131313
1275711-9No81531881588
1265611-104.2178884138138444
1255713-77.8561163131491138822
1245613-85.49495128113786592
1235614-72.881178651076848561
1225514-84.43687868711976662
1215414-94.6676777978668762
1205415-84.2776877987768662
1195315-94.1786879977757673
1185316-84.0777878887676662
1175216-94.4687878977667762
1165217-84.2687878877667662
1155117-94.2687978987667662
1145118-84.2687869977667662
1135018-94.4687969977667652
1125019-84.0696979977666662
1114919-94.3696969977667652
1104920-84.26969610977667652
1094820-94.16106106101066556652
1084821-84.15116116111066556652
1074721-94.05115115111166556642
1064722-84.05125125121155446642
1054622-93.94135135131255446642
1044522-103.84144144141344436632
1034523-93.74154144151344337632
1024423-103.73164154151444337622
1014424-93.63163163161433227622
1004324-103.53173163161533227722
994325-93.43173173171533227712
984225-103.34173173171532217712
974226-93.24173163161532117612
964126-103.15164164151433116611
954127-92.95154144141333116511
944027-102.55144134121132115411
934028-92.0511410410922114311
923928-101.5483837622113201
913929-91.0352525411002200
903829-100.6231313311001100
893830-90.3121212100001100
883831-80.1010101100000000
873731-90.1000000000000000
863732-80.0000000000000000
853632-90.0000000000000000
843633-80.0000000000000000
833533-90.00000000000000
823534-80.00000000000000
813434-90.00000000
803435-8No00000000
793335-90.0000
783437-6No000
4-77No
Total:1.0%1.64.91.34.61.34.64.11.00.90.50.51.81.80.40.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Florida+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-0.9
Calgary vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Boston vs San Jose+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Toronto-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-158100
1225514-89900
1215414-99910
1205415-899100
1195315-998100
1185316-897111
1175216-995311
1165217-892421
1155117-98963020
1145118-88584020
1135018-97911604000
1125019-87215805000
1114919-9631910070000
1104920-85323130100000
1094820-943261711300100
1084821-8322820116101000
1074721-922292322011020000
1064722-814282542231030000
1054622-982425624530500000
1044522-10419239238507001000
1034523-9114201320128010001000
1024423-1009151515151211411020000
1014424-9051016101716216320400000
1004324-100261651618417540601000
994325-9013132131871597010120000
984225-10001101815111112110131400000
974226-9007041114613162153701000
964126-100050261431218414611131000
954127-900301313181781110152720000
944027-100010011005131261117413510000
934028-9001007028143101481811410000
923928-10000004014131781119189310000
913929-9000200111043111522189310000
903829-100001007021881923189310000
893830-900000401043112024189310000
883730-100000020002141221241910410000
873731-900000100010151221241911410000
863631-10000010000015132124191141000
853632-90000000002613222519103100
843532-1000000000026142325188200
833533-9000000002716252516610
823433-1000000001392027241340
813434-90000000141324292081
803334-1000000027182928143
793335-9000013112532226
783235-10000001619333011
773236-900000313303617
763136-1000018254026
753137-900014194135
743037-100002144044
733038-900193654
722938-100163162
712939-900042670
702839-100022177
692840-90011782
682740-100011387
672741-9000990
662641-1000793
652642-90595
642542-100496
632543-90397
622443-100298
612444-9199
602344-100199
592345-9199
582346-80100
572246-90100
562247-80100
552147-90100
542047-100100
532048-90100
4-52100
Total:111211232233223244455555566665