Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Losing to Ottawa 1-2 (2:18 2nd), playoff odds down 0.8 to 30%
22 points   8 6-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.3
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.2
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.4*+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.8
Boston 0 Montreal 2 +0.4
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.4
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)+0.3
*-0.0
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.3
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -0.2
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.2
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.1
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-146InYes100473*
120459-8In90.5%901021*
1194510-7In88.2881234*
1184511-6In86.4918266*
1174512-5In73.982134119*
1164412-6In64.575214211*
1154312-7In57.8702090408*
1144313-6In48.6652510617*
1134213-7In37.858271501,077*
1124214-6In28.748321901,824*
1114114-7In19.140352312,737*
1104115-6In12.7313730304,305*
1094015-7In7.0243735406,647*
1083915-8In3.61636407009,651*
1073916-7In1.3123244121013,626*
1063917-6In0.572847162019,703*
1053817-7In0.142347224027,366*
1043717-8100.0%0.02184628600036,745*
1033718-7100.00.011241351010048,789*
1023618-899.90.00835391520063,177*
1013619-799.7No0528412250079,901*
1003519-899.1No0320402881099,661*
993520-797.9No0214363313200122,071*
983420-895.7No019303619400145,993*
973421-791.5No05233627810171,801*
963321-884.9No00317323313200197,398*
953322-775.1No0111263620400222,345*
943222-862.4No017193627910246,386*
933223-748.0No004123234153000267,956*
923123-834.2No00272536236100285,456*
913124-721.7No01317343012200298,190*
903024-812.4No00111293519500305,199*
893025-76.2No0016213527910307,305*
882925-82.9No00314323316300303,656*
872926-71.1No0018253623600294,434*
862826-80.4No00041835311010279,507*
852827-70.1No000211313717200261,825*
842727-80.0No00016243924500238,941*
832728-70.0No003173932810215,106*
822628-80.0No0021134381310190,152*
812629-70.0No001728422020164,917*
802529-8OutNo00421432740140,306*
792530-7OutNo00215413470116,987*
782430-8OutNo0110374011195,444*
772431-7OutNo006314517176,698*
762331-8OutNo003244623360,176*
752332-7OutNo02184629546,976*
742232-8OutNo01134237735,692*
732233-7OutNo00938421126,751*
722133-8OutNo0632461619,493*
712134-7OutNo0327482113,900*
702034-8OutNo22149299,774*
692035-7OutNo11549356,722*
681935-8OutNo01046444,586*
671936-7OutNo0842512,944*
661836-8OutNo0536591,988*
651837-7OutNo330671,190*
641838-6OutNo22870804*
631738-7OutNo11881428*
621638-8OutNo01683276*
611538-9OutNo1585151*
601640-6OutNo991107*
591540-7OutNo109051*
581440-8OutNo69431*
571542-5OutNo49626*
22-56OutNo100483*
Total:30.0%0.1%013681112131313106215,597,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitMontrealWashingtonTorontoOttawaNY RangersBostonNew JerseyPhiladelphiaCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
146620-02.4%063131751315715331
123467-9No5050
1224810-4No5050
121469-7No6733
120459-84.851029101914105
1194510-72.9152612315123663
1184511-6No814123201732032
1174512-51.711018183151361322
1164412-61.49112174131661832
1154312-72.2063172031417313210
1144313-62.10112141831517512220
1134213-72.20101161731815313220
1124214-61.401211920313133132100
1114114-72.301322119313133112110
1104115-62.001512019313132111100
1094015-71.8016121212131221011000
1083915-82.00171242021112291100
1073916-72.101912421110111911000
1063917-62.012012520111111810000
1053817-72.122112520110111810000
1043717-81.932112520110101700000
1033718-71.84221252019101700000
1023618-81.8623224191991600000
1013619-71.792222318188160000
1003519-81.6122332217178150000
993520-71.7162342015167150000
983420-81.52023419141561400000
3521-61.6202341914156140000
973421-71.42322516111441300000
963321-81.326205139133120000
3422-61.3252151410134120000
953322-71.2261841171231200000
3423-51.2261841171231200000
943222-81.024154961221100000
3121-101.02415485112010000
933223-70.72011364011010000
3324-50.72112364011010000
923123-80.51582420110000000
913124-70.31051210000000000
903024-80.2631110000000000
893025-70.1310100000000000
882925-80.0110000000000000
872926-70.01000000000000
862927-60.000000000000
852827-70.00000000000
842828-60.00000000
832728-7No0000
822628-8No00
812730-5No00
22-80No
Total:0.5%8.07.01.45.23.80.31.41.50.21.00.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+0.0
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)-0.0
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-146100
120459-89010
1194510-78812
1184511-686582
1174512-5748134
1164412-66410214
1154312-758132090
1144313-6491625010
1134213-7382027114000
1124214-6292031118000
1114114-7192133221111
1104115-613183432621200
1094015-77173252942400
1083915-84122883073070000
1073916-71102210271250110010
1063917-6161612221780151020
1053817-704101317201012020400
1043717-8026121022122234060000
1033718-70131052013325810100100
1023618-800172161152313201512000
1013619-7005111971819402025000
1003519-800307681222512448010
993520-7001033862271268130200
983420-80010216218732413191400
973421-7001041135419182428100
963321-8000020835122127613200
953322-7000104256202611195100
943222-800010214316201624112000
933223-700000103111122027186100
923123-80000002076192425134100
913124-700010321517282193000
903024-800000011101024271872000
893025-70000010541627251551000
882925-8000328202823124100
872926-70001041223282092000
862826-80000161626271661000
852827-70000029202824124100
842727-80000014122429208200
832728-700016172827154100
822628-800003102330239200
812629-700001516282916410
802529-8000292331249200
792530-7001516303015400
782430-800210243323710
772431-700151732301320
762331-80021128351940
752332-7001721362781
742232-8003153333142
732233-700192837203
722133-80152339276
712134-70317373410
702034-80111324016
692035-7006284421
681935-803214530
671936-702164438
661836-81104048
651837-7173755
641838-6053362
631738-742274
621638-822078
611538-92179
601640-61090
591540-71288
581440-8694
571542-5892
53-56100
521446-2100
22062-0100
Total:000111112311456577777776543210