Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 26.4%
9 points   3 5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 3 Montreal 4 (so)-0.5
Boston 2 Dallas 1 (ot)*-0.3
-0.1
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Toronto vs Vegas-0.2-0.2*-0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.5
NY Rangers vs Montreal+0.3*-0.1*-0.2-0.4-0.3-0.1
St. Louis vs Carolina+0.2*+0.2*+0.0-0.3*-0.1-0.3
Columbus vs Dallas-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1+0.3
Detroit vs Vancouver-0.1*-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-151InYes100399*
1185214-5In91.3%96446*
1175114-6In94.098284*
1164913-9In86.8964136*
1154914-8In81.79325252*
1144915-7In77.59146395*
1134815-8In70.48938618*
1124816-7In63.7854110990*
1114716-8In50.37861511,540*
1104717-7In40.67191912,313*
1094617-8In30.5621026203,417*
1084618-7In21.2551330305,084*
1074518-8In14.04515355007,188*
1064519-7In7.53517399109,932*
1054419-8In3.3261744121014,040*
1044319-9In1.6191745162018,696*
1034320-8100.0%0.51216462240024,829*
1024220-9100.00.2714442871032,427*
1014221-8100.00.041140331110041,784*
1004121-999.90.0283538162052,473*
994122-899.60.01528402150065,334*
984022-999.2No03223927810078,314*
974023-897.9No021536311320092,831*
963923-995.1No0110313319400110,002*
953924-889.8No01625312691000127,084*
943824-980.7No04192731154100143,545*
933825-867.2No02131933238200160,105*
923725-950.4No019122929155100175,243*
913726-833.7No0057223023103000189,882*
903626-919.6No0033142728186100200,584*
893627-89.8No00117202925134100209,902*
883527-94.2No0103122529208200215,407*
873528-81.6No00001618292714410216,909*
863428-90.5No00000311243022810215,891*
853429-80.1No0000161730281530210,255*
843329-90.0No0000021025322271201,301*
833330-80.0No00016183229122190,901*
823230-90.0No0003122834194177,166*
813231-8OutNo00172236277162,341*
803131-9OutNo000416353411146,327*
793132-8OutNo00210304018129,067*
783032-9OutNo0016254325111,700*
773033-8OutNo000419443396,965*
762933-9OutNo00214424281,491*
752934-8OutNo0019395167,844*
742834-9OutNo006355955,408*
732835-8OutNo04296644,305*
722735-9OutNo02247335,049*
712736-8OutNo01207927,187*
702636-9OutNo01158420,796*
692637-8OutNo00118815,745*
682537-9OutNo099111,664*
672538-8OutNo06948,433*
662438-9OutNo04966,060*
652439-8OutNo03974,327*
642339-9OutNo2982,912*
632340-8OutNo2981,995*
622240-9OutNo1991,365*
612241-8OutNo199834*
602242-7OutNo199599*
592142-8OutNo0100359*
9-58OutNo100884*
Total:26.4%0.2%114768889910101094,230,956

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersBostonTorontoMontrealPittsburghNew JerseyWashingtonBuffaloColumbusCarolinaNY RangersPhiladelphiaOttawaDetroit
151710-03.0%6410111557510955251
1275710-4NoYes
1245511-525.0252550
1235411-620.040202020
1225311-7No1325252513
1215312-6No2929141414
1205313-511.1221111113311
1195213-63.71111777117114777
1185012-92.2721513152471344247
1175114-62.41011220852671116164
1164913-94.48414121223613744436
1154914-83.29213121746310474252
1144915-73.51049161345510452453
1134815-83.110412121454513742241
1124816-73.49313161444411543442
1114716-84.110214161344412543342
1104717-73.812215141654510433251
1094617-83.414316151533410432242
1084618-73.914217171533310332232
1074518-84.01521717163339332231
1064519-73.41621819163339222231
1054419-83.31821919162229221131
1044319-93.51921919162229221131
1034320-83.22032019162228221121
1024220-93.52132019162228211121
1014221-83.32141919162228111121
1004121-93.22051919153227211121
994122-83.12071817143337211120
984022-93.11991817133336221121
974023-82.919101615124446221110
963923-92.819121514114445221110
4024-73.019121514114445221110
953924-82.718121413104444221110
3823-102.718121413104444221110
943824-92.41712121184443211110
3925-72.31712121184433221110
933825-81.8151110963332110010
3724-102.0151110963332110010
923725-91.51287752222110000
913726-81.0865531211110000
903626-90.6533321111000000
893627-80.3321110000000000
883628-70.1111100000000000
873528-80.1000000000000000
863428-90.0000000000000000
853530-60.000000000000
843329-90.000000000000
833330-8No0000000
823432-5No00
9-81No
Total:0.8%5.63.14.34.13.11.11.01.01.40.50.40.20.20.40.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 2 Dallas 1 (ot)+0.0
NY Islanders 3 Montreal 4 (so)+0.0
TuesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
119-151100
1185214-59144
1175114-69442
1164913-98794
1154914-8821225
1144915-7771346
1134815-8701938
1124816-7642240110
1114716-850286015101
1104717-74130801911
1094617-83032912410200
1084618-72133111263030
1074518-814311323040500
1064519-782813331719010
1054419-83231343012201200100
1044319-92171162616301510200
1034320-81118720215020204000
1024220-9076812247123407010
1014221-8043872391248101001000
1004121-9022631993221320151200
994122-80115114851718401925000
984022-9003086710217121580100
974023-80020447521922210121200
963923-900102272169418151724000
953924-800011501087122021682000
943824-900003065862120121451000
933825-800020228217141818103100
923725-9000111701272118171031000
913726-80000005063191320181041000
903626-90000030311361622191151000
893627-8000010107281723201252000
883527-9000100303918232113620000
873528-800000101391823221462000
863428-90000000139182322146200
853429-800000001391824231462000
843329-90000001410192522135100
833330-8000000141221262111310
823230-900001514242619820
813231-80000271727261551
803131-9000131022292391
793132-80015162830174
783032-9000292333247
773033-8001517323212
762933-900211293820
752934-80016234128
742834-90004174237
732835-8002123947
722735-900183556
712736-80053065
702636-90032572
692637-8022079
682537-9011584
672538-801188
662438-90892
652439-80694
642339-90496
632340-80397
622240-9199
612241-8199
602242-7199
592142-8199
9-58100
Total:0101111122123434344455555666665