Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Lost to Vancouver 1-4, playoff odds down 12.2 to 38.6%
9 points   4 4-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 -5.9
-0.3
-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.1*-0.0+0.5
NY Rangers vs San Jose-0.1*-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-155InYes100661*
1235413-6In96.7%97330*
121-122InYes100132*
1205214-7In97.09811167*
1195114-8In95.89812289*
1185115-7In94.99702449*
1175015-8In92.09712764*
1165016-7In89.795131,209*
1154916-8In85.193251,895*
1144917-7In77.4894703,019*
1134817-8In71.58551004,319*
1124818-7In63.38061316,572*
1114718-8In52.473818109,523*
1104618-9In42.86611212013,377*
1094619-8In32.35813272019,020*
1084519-9In23.35016314025,833*
1074520-8In14.740183660035,119*
1064420-9In8.731194091046,159*
1054421-8100.0%4.32220441210060,106*
1044321-9In1.8152046172075,845*
1034322-8In0.791846224096,061*
1024222-9100.00.25164528600118,900*
1014223-8100.00.031342339100143,588*
1004123-999.90.0110373713200171,343*
994124-899.70.0173140183000200,319*
984024-999.2No042541236100231,552*
974025-897.9No03193927112000261,852*
963925-994.8No011336281641000291,532*
953926-888.8No01931262292000319,843*
943826-978.6No062522261551000344,472*
933827-864.4No03191627221030000365,220*
923727-947.7No0213102326177200381,923*
913728-831.6No0195172724134100392,427*
903628-918.6No00521123282092000397,290*
893629-89.5No00315162726155100395,794*
883529-94.5No002021022292210200387,399*
873530-81.8No0101515272817510373,588*
863430-90.7No0000292230241020353,207*
853431-80.2No0000151528301640330,863*
843331-90.1No00002923322381302,888*
833332-80.0No00015173130132273,888*
823232-90.0No0002112735204244,431*
813233-80.0No0000172136287214,030*
803133-9OutNo000416343411184,488*
793134-8OutNo00210314017157,243*
783034-9OutNo0016254324131,419*
773035-8OutNo0004204432108,409*
762935-9OutNo00214434087,556*
752936-8OutNo00110404970,026*
742836-9OutNo0007365655,030*
732837-8OutNo004316542,184*
722737-9OutNo03267131,989*
712738-8OutNo02217724,052*
702638-9OutNo01178217,694*
692639-8OutNo1138612,825*
682539-9OutNo010899,064*
672540-8OutNo08926,427*
662440-9OutNo06944,471*
652441-8OutNo04963,034*
642341-9OutNo3972,007*
632342-8OutNo2981,279*
622242-9OutNo298836*
612142-10OutNo199564*
602143-9OutNo0100343*
592144-8OutNo199195*
582044-9OutNo199118*
9-57OutNo100785*
Total:38.6%0.7%2281278889998757,848,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoOttawaNew JerseyPhiladelphiaColumbusCarolinaNY IslandersBostonFloridaPittsburghWashingtonBuffaloNY RangersMontreal
155730-06.4%58987776111176331
1285610-7NoYes
1275510-8No25252525
1265511-7No333333
1255411-811.12222221122
1245513-512.56131961362566
1235413-66.731331031010313710310
1225414-52.211247716492134794
1215213-8No799686791657722
1205214-72.4510963588148113251
1195114-83.897866786109510531
1185115-73.889105776881085432
1175015-86.39910547769987541
1165016-74.878116677691067542
1154916-84.779115676711967531
1144917-74.4811126567610965531
1134817-84.3911125557610966432
1124818-74.89121255566101055531
1114718-84.81013135556591055521
1104618-94.41214144555591055431
1094619-84.61215154455510954421
1084519-94.5141616444449944421
1074520-84.3151817444449943321
1064420-94.2171918333339933321
1054421-84.1182019333339833311
1044321-94.2192120333339922311
1034322-83.9202221333228822311
1024222-93.9212221332228921311
1014223-83.8212221333228821311
1004123-93.7212121433228821211
994124-83.7212120443228811201
984024-93.5212019553227721201
974025-83.5211918664327721201
963925-93.2201817764326621201
953926-83.1191615774325511200
943826-92.7181413664224411100
933827-82.2151111653223311100
923727-91.61288443212211100
913728-81.0865332111100000
903628-90.6533221001100000
893629-80.3322110000000000
883529-90.1111000000000000
873530-80.1000000000000000
863430-90.0000000000000000
853431-80.000000000000000
843331-90.0000000000000
833332-80.0000000000
823232-90.0000000
813031-12No0000
9-80No
Total:1.4%8.47.47.02.32.31.61.11.02.62.50.70.60.80.20.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 +1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
124-155100
1235413-6973
121-122100
1205214-797111
1195114-896212
1185115-795202
1175015-892512
1165016-790613
1154916-885825
1144917-77712470
1134817-871145010000
1124818-763166013001
1114718-8522180170010
1104618-94323110210020
1094619-83226121261020
1084519-9232614129104000
1074520-81525162323160000
1064420-9922163345290010
1054421-8418155328301200100
1044321-92131372911601600200
1034322-8191082215902110400
1024222-905791517121242106000
1014223-803499171422653090100
1004123-9012841515424850130200
994124-8011611113619128017130000
984024-900406108121512120360100
974025-8003036106151622161002000
963925-90010139213164181015141000
953926-8001001718148131419392000
943826-9000050410117151971461000
933827-80003025113131512191241000
923727-90002012101981519181031000
913728-80001018053141421181031000
903628-900000050211071723181041000
893629-800000301053101923191151000
883529-9000020002141019232012520000
873530-80001001014111923211352000
863430-90000000014101924211352000
853431-8000000014111924211351000
843331-900000001512212521114100
833332-80000015132226199300
823232-9000002716252617710
813233-800001391928241330
803133-9000141224292171
793134-800027183028132
783034-90013122633215
773035-800172034299
762935-9000314323615
752936-80029274122
742836-90015224330
732837-8003164239
722737-9001113948
712738-80183556
702638-90053065
692639-8032572
682539-9022177
672540-8011683
662440-9001486
652441-8001090
642341-90793
632342-8595
622242-9694
612142-10397
602143-9199
592144-8397
582044-9397
572045-8199
9-56100
Total:1111222233334343445444444444432