Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 85.5%
25 points   10 4-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.4
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.2*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.2
Edmonton vs New Jersey+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Detroit-3.4-0.4-0.4+2.6+2.7+3.2
-0.3*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-1.4-0.2-0.3+1.1+1.3+1.3
Nashville vs Florida+0.3*-0.0*+0.1-0.3-0.5-0.4
-0.1-0.2*-0.0*-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Ottawa vs St. Louis-0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.2*+0.2+0.4
+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Boston vs Montreal-0.1-0.4-0.2*-0.2*-0.1+0.3
*+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.2*-0.1*-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.2*+0.1+0.2
*-0.0-0.2*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.2*+0.2+0.2
NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.4*+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Philadelphia vs Columbus-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Calgary vs New Jersey+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Edmonton vs Chicago+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-151InYes100547*
127489-6In99.4%991176*
1264810-5In98.4991307*
1254710-6In98.7991542*
1244711-5In97.9982919*
1234611-6In97.397301,419*
1224612-5In95.396402,187*
1214512-6In93.394503,568*
1204513-5In91.993705,376*
1194413-6In88.390917,913*
1184414-5In84.18712211,607*
1174314-6In79.383142016,451*
1164214-7In73.179183022,854*
1154215-6In65.773225030,866*
1144115-7In56.566267040,413*
1134116-6In48.1603010052,220*
1124016-7In38.3523413066,204*
1114017-6In28.94437171082,603*
1103917-7In20.437402220100,228*
1093918-6In12.829412730119,273*
1083818-7In7.5214133400139,119*
1073819-6In3.8153938700158,492*
1063719-7In1.71036431110177,911*
1053720-6In0.6631461520194,493*
1043620-7100.0%0.24254721300209,699*
1033621-6100.00.022045276000220,923*
1023521-7100.00.011442339100228,822*
1013522-699.90.0010363814200233,353*
1003422-799.7No06294020400232,383*
993423-699.2No03224027810227,093*
983323-798.0No0215373212200217,729*
973324-695.8No01103135194000205,872*
963224-791.5No062535268100189,863*
953225-684.7No0318313213200172,636*
943125-774.3No02122535205100153,439*
933126-660.6No01818342710200134,212*
923026-745.6No005113033174100115,144*
913027-631.1No026233424920097,067*
902927-718.6No0131531301640081,071*
892928-69.8No011824332392065,715*
882828-74.6No00041631291540052,254*
872829-61.9No0021025322381041,271*
862729-70.6No0015183130132031,962*
852730-60.2No0002112734215024,090*
842630-70.1No0162035289118,025*
832631-60.0No0003143134152012,914*
822531-7OutNo018263723509,541*
812532-6OutNo004193830806,622*
802432-7OutNo021236361314,622*
792433-6OutNo01828431913,083*
782333-7OutNo01524432532,077*
772334-6OutNo0317433431,273*
762234-7OutNo11241416828*
752235-6OutNo0740439562*
742135-7OutNo04285216320*
732136-6OutNo03265318217*
722036-7OutNo2175527131*
712037-6OutNo110513770*
701937-7OutNo3593834*
691938-6OutNo10504020*
681838-7OutNo604010*
671839-6OutNo38638*
661739-7OutNo50504*
64-65OutNo1002*
591544-4OutNo1001
25063-0OutNo100350
Total:85.5%5.6%9142219139642110004,231,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayMontrealNY IslandersOttawaWashingtonBostonTorontoNY RangersFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
151630-09.1%061041761615683620
134526-5NoYes
133538-225.07525
132506-7No33171733
131507-6No1122114411
130508-516.11361310191313103
129509-47.52013155818353103
128499-56.68113155151241963
127489-68.0161022231912513322
1264810-512.499317616155118111
1254710-610.510124143161251254210
1244711-510.908103187151451233200
1234611-68.80712214418165124321
1224612-59.709103154171651233210
1214512-610.008122165161451243200
1204513-59.409122164161451143210
1194413-69.509113164171541243210
1184414-59.3010112164161551243100
1174314-69.609122164171441233110
1164214-79.0010132164161541233110
1154215-69.6010132164171441133110
1144115-79.3011142164171441133100
1134116-69.1012152164161331132100
1124016-79.0012162163161331032100
1114017-69.1014172173161331032100
1103917-79.1015182173161231022100
1093918-68.801619217216122922100
1083818-78.801720117216112921100
1073819-68.501921117215112811100
1063719-78.412022117215102811000
1053720-68.312123117115101811000
1043620-78.012224116114101711000
1033621-67.92222411611491711000
1023521-77.64232411611491710000
1013522-67.56232421511381600000
1003422-77.38232321511281600000
993423-67.211232221411270500000
983323-77.015232131211060500000
973324-66.81922203111950400000
963224-76.4222118491840300000
953225-65.7251915471630300000
943125-75.1261712461420200000
933126-64.024139341320100000
923026-73.120106331210100000
913027-62.11564220100000000
902927-71.2942110000000000
892928-60.652110000000000
882828-70.321100000000000
872829-60.11000000000000
862729-70.0000000000
852730-60.000000000
842731-5No00000
832631-60.000
25-82No
Total:6.7%8.517.617.72.012.11.310.77.21.05.60.80.70.30.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Detroit+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ottawa vs St. Louis+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Boston vs Montreal-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Florida-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-151100
127489-6991
1264810-59801
1254710-69901
1244711-59802
1234611-697030
1224612-595040
1214512-693150
1204513-592170
1194413-688291
1184414-5843122
1174314-67941420
1164214-7735180300
1154215-6668220500
1144115-757102607000
1134116-6481230010000
1124016-7381434013000
1114017-62915361170010
1103917-720163822110200
1093918-613163832521300
1083818-77143652832040000
1073819-64113273063070000
1063719-728261028950100010
1053720-6161912251380151020
1043620-7031313191711019103000
1033621-6028121219131233160000
1023521-7014106191432571090100
1013522-600283151352411201412000
1003422-70151111171916401914000
993423-600307781320612337010
983323-7002034872181257120200
973324-600102273178323121814000
963224-70001151127518172328100
953225-6000030756112026613200
943125-7000204266202411196100
933126-600010215216181724123000
923026-7000001041101019242082000
913027-600020651820251661000
902927-7000103113132524145100
892928-600011086182622124100
882828-70000004210212621113100
872829-600021413232519930000
862729-70010161524261772000
852730-60000028172625155100
842630-7000131020272312410
832631-6000015122427209200
822531-7001617272716510
812532-6003102128241130
802432-7001514262917610
792433-60282030261120
782333-700041526291950
772334-602723332581
762234-713163034132
752235-61102736223
742135-7151835347
732136-6412383512
722036-7115314716
712037-613204333
701937-7126226
691938-65254030
681838-76040
671839-65050
661739-75050
64-65100
591544-4100
25063-0100
Total:6410486529621856343221110000000