Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Tied with New Jersey 0-0 (7:00 PM ET), playoff odds down 0.08 to 89.4%
29 points   12 5-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.4
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.1
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.2*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -3.2
-0.3
-1.4
Boston 0 Montreal 2 +0.4
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.4
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.3
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
+0.2
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.1
*-0.0
-0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-149InYes100593*
128478-5In99.1%991115*
127479-4In99.61000233*
126469-5In99.5991387*
125459-6In98.59910683*
1244510-5In98.498101,165*
1234410-6In96.297302,059*
1224411-5In95.096303,084*
1214311-6In93.195515,123*
1204312-5In90.092717,892*
1194212-6In85.88992011,879*
1184213-5In80.485122017,281*
1174113-6In74.681154024,429*
1164114-5In66.275205034,033*
1154014-6In57.869247046,258*
1144015-5In48.4622810061,557*
1133915-6In37.5543313079,193*
1123916-5In28.24636170100,276*
1113816-6In19.538402110123,565*
1103716-7In12.230422710150,091*
1093717-6In7.123423230177,617*
1083617-7In3.5164138400204,877*
1073618-6In1.5113943700232,658*
1063518-7In0.6735471010257,532*
1053519-6100.0%0.24305015100280,611*
1043419-7100.00.02245120200299,159*
1033420-6100.00.01185026400311,852*
1023320-7100.00.001346337100319,300*
1013321-699.9No0940381110321,547*
1003221-799.8No06334117300314,228*
993222-699.5No03264223500304,034*
983122-798.9No021941299100287,471*
973123-697.4No0113363314200266,179*
963023-794.3No083035215100241,557*
953024-689.0No0523332810100216,336*
942924-780.4No02172833163000188,389*
932925-668.8No01112235237100161,979*
922825-754.5No01714333013300135,783*
912826-639.6No0049273420610112,386*
902726-725.8No0241933271120090,555*
892727-615.1No00121229321851072,426*
882627-77.9No00172233261020056,786*
872628-63.7No0031430321640043,634*
862528-71.6No001824342571032,399*
852529-60.5No0014173331132024,041*
842429-70.2No002112836204017,234*
832430-60.1No001621372871012,238*
822330-7OutNo0215343513108,517*
812331-6OutNo0110293819205,837*
802231-7OutNo005234026603,901*
792232-6OutNo002163933912,549*
782132-7OutNo011034411411,596*
772133-6OutNo0530432021,021*
762033-7OutNo022247253636*
752034-6OutNo11545336413*
742035-5OutNo019394010255*
731935-6OutNo5444110124*
721936-5OutNo335412180*
711937-4OutNo24571937*
701837-5OutNo22344432*
691737-6OutNo534715*
681839-3OutNo20805*
671638-6OutNo1457297*
29-66OutNo100471*
Total:89.4%4.7%9152620128532100005,678,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersMontrealNY RangersTorontoOttawaWashingtonBostonFloridaNew JerseyPhiladelphiaCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
149600-010.6%1729618174161034100
133506-4No333333
132496-5No1429142914
131497-48.7139262241394
130498-33.4373217211077103
129477-611.5316220108168755
128478-56.15195171491910442
127479-410.762114171751714421
126469-57.505214615137187551
125459-610.50511261317717144310
1244510-58.905212716157161144100
1234410-610.50521461616615124410
1224411-510.105212617177151144100
1214311-69.40521361716616114410
1204312-59.905212617176161143100
1194212-69.205213616176161143100
1184213-59.406213617166151143100
1174113-69.506214517165151143100
1164114-59.306215517165151143100
1154014-69.307215517175151043100
1144015-59.207216517165151033100
1133915-69.008118417164151032100
1123916-59.10911941716414932100
1113816-69.001012041716414932100
1103716-78.801112131616414922100
1093717-68.701212331616313821000
1083617-78.501412431616313821000
1073618-68.401512521616212711000
1063518-78.201612621516212711000
1053519-68.011812721515211711000
1043419-77.911912811515111611000
1033420-67.721912811515111610000
1023320-77.622112811414110600000
1013321-67.442122811414110600000
1003221-77.46222271131319600000
993222-67.18233261121219500000
983122-76.911244241111118500000
973123-66.71525522191007400000
963023-76.4192561918806300000
953024-65.9222461616604300000
942924-75.4242271314503200000
932925-64.4231961003302100000
922825-73.521155702201100000
912826-62.616104401101000000
902726-71.61173301100000000
892727-61.0742100000000000
882627-70.5421100000000000
872628-60.22100000000000
862629-50.1100000000000
852529-60.000000000
842429-70.0000000
832430-60.000000
29-82No
Total:6.9%6.817.32.421.01.511.511.61.48.85.30.80.60.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 +0.8
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-149100
128478-5991
127479-41000
126469-5991
125459-699010
1244510-598010
1234410-696030
1224411-595130
1214311-693251
1204312-590271
1194212-68639200
1184213-5805120200
1174113-675715040
1164114-56692005000
1154014-658112407000
1144015-548142809000
1133915-6371632113000
1123916-5281835116000
1113816-619193822011100
1103716-7121838423220100
1093717-6716366263303000
1083617-73133292765040000
1073618-6110271226107070000
1063518-716201522141101000100
1053519-60414161718141131001000
1043419-7028161121172173002000
1033420-601414620194206104000
1023320-700211318188201020701000
1013321-60181131511181640111100
1003221-70050910141422611523000
993222-600305615825821855000
983122-7002033134249320990100
973123-60011110120861815131200
963023-700070146914211835100
953024-60004094109252179200
942924-70002052104242014154100
932925-600010218220152019102000
922825-7001105014924201672000
912826-60000030942318221451000
902726-7000204118122322124100
892727-6000010201271925201031000
882627-700010731223261882000
872628-6000315162525166200
862528-7001028192724135100
852529-600101311222821103000
842429-700001615262718710
832430-600002818272514410
822330-701311232921920
812331-6001516272816500
802231-7002102131231020
792232-60141526311741
782132-70021021302782
772133-60051629321340
762033-70031024352160
752034-61618363082
742035-52142737163
731935-682838251
721936-5420392513
711937-4511432714
701837-513224719
691737-6136720
681637-7204040
671638-6147114
29-66100
Total:549687757822655332211100000000