Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.005 to 98.9%
63 points   27 11-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3 -0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida vs Detroit-0.7-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.5-0.5-0.5+0.8+1.0+1.0
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Dallas-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs NY Rangers+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Colorado-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.6
Vancouver vs Anaheim+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
129-133In100.0%1001,537,253*
128322-1In99.8100040,210*
127312-2In99.71000123,159*
126302-3In99.410000339,896*
125303-2In98.910000868,987*
124293-3In98.1100002,037,227*
123294-2In96.6100004,470,834*
122284-3In94.31000009,146,126*
121285-2In90.99910017,700,623*
120275-3In85.998210032,233,684*
119276-2In78.996310055,879,657*
118266-3In69.794520091,825,136*
117267-2In58.5897300144,227,151*
116257-3In45.9831160000215,978,007*
115247-4In32.9751690000310,033,762*
114248-3In21.26422130000426,020,926*
113238-4In11.95228181100562,584,963*
112239-3In5.74033242200713,368,172*
111229-4In2.228362943000871,082,432*
1102210-3In0.7183732860001,023,527,398*
1092110-4In0.21034321490001,160,306,978*
1082111-3In0.05292922141001,267,838,787*
1072011-4100.0%0.022323291830001,338,195,391*
1062012-3100.00.011716352371001,363,266,181*
1051912-4100.00.0011103825141001,342,905,396*
1041913-3100.00.00753725232001,278,042,111*
1031813-4100.0No04232223541001,176,970,075*
1021814-3100.0No02126174662001,047,955,157*
1011714-4100.0No0101912559400903,360,319*
1001715-399.8No00013759118000753,247,909*
991615-499.5No00094601314000608,303,192*
981616-398.6No0052561322100475,265,362*
971516-496.8No0031491332300359,667,146*
961517-393.5No00104011416000263,319,426*
951417-488.0No00103184811100186,728,643*
941418-380.0No0002365118200128,091,695*
931318-469.5No0001545126400085,062,277*
921319-357.1No000924635800054,625,277*
911219-444.0No0005138411410033,951,811*
901220-331.3No0030284421300020,386,149*
891120-420.5No010194330700011,836,415*
881121-312.1No010113737121006,636,020*
871021-46.4No0062941203003,593,919*
861022-33.0No0032041287101,875,551*
85922-41.3No00112363613200944,968*
84923-30.4No0006284021400457,464*
83823-40.1No003193930810214,158*
82824-30.0No01113437152096,192*
81825-20.0No0062540235041,596*
80725-30.0No00316383210117,088*
79726-2OutNo011033371726,655*
78626-3OutNo00424422542,480*
77627-2OutNo031739328941*
76527-3OutNo110374210325*
75528-2OutNo4224628119*
74428-3OutNo32472134*
73429-2OutNo604010*
72430-1OutNo75254*
70331-1OutNo1001
63035-0OutNo019171,521,675
Total:98.9%3.7%121613191219341000000018,357,760,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY IslandersTampa BayNY RangersMontrealPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaTorontoPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
133350-09.4%242461138141062010
132340-110.036376113791251
131330-28.324255153713115110
130331-19.3232361339131062110
129321-29.7232561338131052010
128322-19.6232461339131152000
127312-29.3232461338131151010
126302-39.42324613381311520000
125303-29.42324613381311520000
124293-39.52324613391311520000
123294-29.42324613381311520000
122284-39.42324613381311520000
121285-29.42324613381311520000
120275-39.42324614381311420000
119276-29.32324614381211410000
118266-39.33335615371211410000
117267-29.23335716361210410000
116257-39.13335817341110410000
115247-49.0444691832109310000
114248-38.8545610202998310000
113238-48.6656712212577210000
112239-38.4757813222266210000
111229-48.29691015231854100000
1102210-37.9107101117231433100000
1092110-47.7118121218221122100000
1082111-37.413913131921922000000
1072011-47.2141015132019711000000
1062012-37.0161016132018511000000
1051912-46.8171117132117411000000
1041913-36.6181118142115300000000
1031813-46.5181119142114200000000
1021814-36.3191220142013200000000
1011714-46.2201320142012100000000
1001715-36.1211421141910100000000
991615-46.021152115189100000000
981616-35.821162115178100000000
971516-45.722172115167100000000
961517-35.421172015146000000000
951417-45.121171914125000000000
941418-34.619161713114000000000
931318-44.01715151193000000000
921319-33.2141212972000000000
911219-42.511101075200000000
901220-31.887753100000000
891120-41.255432100000000
881121-30.733321000000000
871021-40.42111100000000
861022-30.21111000000
85922-40.10000000000
84923-30.00000000
83924-20.00000000
82824-30.0000000
81825-2No00
80826-1No0
63-79No
Total:7.1%14.59.914.712.117.516.48.72.12.00.60.20.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida vs Detroit+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Montreal vs Dallas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
133350-01000
131-132100
130331-11000
129321-21000
128322-110000
127312-210000
126302-399100
125303-299100
124293-398200
123294-297300
122284-394500000
121285-291810000
120275-38612101000
119276-27917301000
118266-37024502000
117267-259317030000
116257-346371105000000
115247-433421618000000
114248-32143202121000000
113238-41241243153101000
112239-3634276186202000
111229-42262610181140300000
1102210-31172314161680500000
1092110-4010181612201408100000
1082111-305121772221011310000
1072011-402815420281126300000
1062012-3014131153231310701000
1051912-40029010335111414010000
1041913-300160529881723020000
1031813-4004022210517341311000
1021814-3002011511215442522000
1011714-400100911111505634000
1001715-30000049075097580000
991615-400002704441567140000
981616-300014023521592111000
971516-400003012425392933000
961517-3000010014262933860000
951417-4000100724173315111000
941418-300003190527241630000
931318-400001140419322181000
921319-30000090211352415410000
911219-4000050153322221020000
901220-300030022616271861000
891120-40010001810252614410000
881121-300100115193023920000
871021-40000621126291861000
861022-3000315183027134000
85922-4000102102331229200
84923-3000014142830175100
83823-400001720312612200
82824-3000312263220610
81825-2000151831301320
80725-300021025342260
79726-20041834311110
78626-301927382140
77627-20620372880
76527-32143238130
75528-232042332
74529-132641246
73429-2305020
72430-17525
70331-1100
63035-00540524
Total:49875815457163213110000000000000