Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Lost to Columbus 0-1 (so), playoff odds down 1 to 94.1%
42 points   17 7-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Detroit 0 Columbus 1 (so)-0.6
*-0.1
-0.7
-0.2
Florida 2 Washington 1 (so)-0.2
Calgary 2 NY Rangers 5 -0.1
Montreal 4 Carolina 1 -0.1
-0.0
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 3 +0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Toronto 6 Anaheim 2 -0.1
*-0.0
+0.1
-0.0
Chicago 5 Minnesota 3 -0.1
St. Louis 5 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Boston+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
New Jersey vs Ottawa+0.2*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
131-142InYes100976*
130435-2In96.0%96425*
128-129In99.5100204*
127416-3In99.1991233*
126406-4In98.7991543*
125407-3In98.599101,107*
124397-4In96.89912,074*
123387-5In93.897303,778*
122388-4In90.896406,098*
121378-5In86.3945110,686*
120379-4In81.3927117,019*
119369-5In73.98810227,024*
1183610-4In66.284133040,904*
1173510-5In56.1791740060,218*
1163511-4In46.0732160085,888*
1153411-5In35.465259000119,983*
1143412-4In25.5573012000160,803*
1133312-5In17.0493417010210,877*
1123313-4In10.3403722010267,425*
1113213-5In5.53139271300330,566*
1103214-4In2.62339322400400,608*
1093114-5In1.016373647000468,797*
1083115-4In0.4103438611010535,572*
1073015-5In0.1630381016010598,212*
1062915-6In0.0324351421020648,481*
1052916-5In0.0219301727140689,434*
1042816-6100.0%0.01132420332600712,944*
1032817-5100.0No0917223751000718,430*
1022717-6100.00.00611213881510708,701*
1012718-5100.0No03619361222200681,372*
1002618-699.8No02315311629400640,602*
992619-599.5No011112519357000587,579*
982519-698.6No01717213913100527,134*
972520-596.7No00511204120300461,004*
962420-692.9No0036183928610393,727*
952421-586.3No001314343512200329,922*
942321-676.8No001110263919400270,411*
932322-564.3No000061939278100214,970*
922222-650.3No000412353314200168,258*
912223-536.0No0027273721510128,474*
902123-623.6No00131936291010095,668*
892124-514.1No00011231341730069,793*
882024-67.8No001724362471049,805*
872025-53.6No003173431122034,485*
861925-61.6No0011029361940023,581*
851926-50.6No00162237267115,792*
841826-60.2No03153433132010,327*
831827-50.0No019283820406,384*
821727-6OutNo04233927603,940*
811728-5OutNo0214363512102,343*
801729-4OutNo019313819201,471*
791629-5OutNo0427392450829*
781529-6OutNo4173831100479*
771530-5OutNo1133142111246*
761531-4OutNo162944191138*
751431-5OutNo22203436759*
741432-4OutNo736320730*
731433-3OutNo740332015*
721333-4OutNo2267119*
711334-3OutNo33673*
701133-6OutNo50502
42-69OutNo100958*
Total:94.1%2.9%91416101871473210000011,547,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayTorontoNY IslandersMontrealNY RangersWashingtonFloridaBostonOttawaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
142500-010.6%06371561317129622
133432-5NoYes
132444-2No2575
131445-17.171421297147
130435-220.044161228121284
129425-35.6111418419141783
128415-410.6152517101717118521
127416-310.7142513914191411432
126406-47.96761881017111043100
125407-39.405661581416111142100
124397-47.90465148141614125110
123387-59.60665158131513114210
122388-49.106661571316121042100
121378-58.806661581316131042100
120379-49.006661681315121042100
119369-58.906761681216121042100
1183610-49.006761681315121041100
1173510-58.71776178121512941100
1163511-48.71786178121411941100
1153411-58.41787189121310841100
1143412-48.418971810121210831100
1133312-58.31898181013119731100
1123313-48.2181010171213108631100
1113213-58.019101117131397531100
1103214-47.929101316151486531100
1093114-57.729101414161475431100
1083115-47.439101613181554321000
1073015-57.349101812191543221000
1062915-67.159111911191443221000
1052916-56.9610112010201432221000
1042816-66.771012219201322120000
1032817-56.591112219191221110000
1022717-66.3101213219181121110000
1012718-56.1121414209161021110000
1002618-65.914151518915821110000
992619-55.717171617913711110000
982519-65.621191715911611000000
972520-55.22420171389411000000
962420-64.92720161177310000000
952421-54.5291915965200000000
942321-63.9301712754200000000
932322-53.2271410543100000000
922222-62.523107432100000000
912223-51.81875321000000000
902224-41.11253211000000000
892124-50.783211000000000
882024-60.44111000000000
872025-50.1210000000
861925-60.110000000
851926-50.0000000
841927-4No0000
831827-50.00
42-82No
Total:6.2%10.812.012.015.110.113.89.93.52.62.01.40.50.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 0 Columbus 1 (so)+0.3
Philadelphia 1 Tampa Bay 3 +0.1
Toronto 6 Anaheim 2 +0.1
Montreal 4 Carolina 1 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-142100
130435-2964
129425-3100
128415-4991
127416-3991
126406-49911
125407-398110
124397-49721
123387-594430
122388-491540
121378-5868501
120379-4811071
119369-574141002
1183610-46618130300
1173510-556231704000
1163511-446272106000
1153411-5353025090000
1143412-42632291121000
1133312-517323221520100
1123313-410293431840100
1113213-5625344207102000
1103214-43203272111204000
1093114-5115299201640610000
1083115-40102311162260910100
1073015-50617121226901330100
1062915-60312138281311660200
1052916-502711426162171010400
1042816-60141022217317152060000
1032817-50271161661522409100
1022717-60015011138112770132100
1012718-500306997291111742000
1002618-600203694281422084000
992619-50010138123155211470000
982519-6001160171381920121100
972520-50000401110101526173300
962420-60002066119302076100
952421-50001033115292114112000
942321-6000101182241821166100
932322-50000016118122720123100
922222-600004011628201992000
912223-50002063251624175100
902123-600010311811242512300
892124-5000101262029218200
882024-6001073132728165100
872025-500031721312411200
861925-6000103132731186100
851926-500101620312612300
841826-600212263020710
831827-5001618322614400
821727-60210263221710
811728-50161631291430
801729-40021125322081
791629-5014193427142
781529-6031124332351
771530-50041730331311
761531-411128381741
751431-52217323710
741432-4313403013
731332-57402013137
721333-411334411
711334-3333333
701133-6100
691235-3100
42050-0100
Total:36955117371142774321110000000000