Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
Toronto vs Montreal+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit vs Boston+3.8+3.4+3.0-1.7-1.7-5.9
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
Washington vs Montreal+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-164In100.0%1009,829*
1245816-8In99.810001,934*
1235716-9In99.710003,064*
1225717-8In99.8100005,040*
1215617-9In99.7100007,587*
1205618-8In99.31000012,419*
1195518-9In99.01000018,586*
1185519-8In98.5990027,893*
1175419-9In97.69910041,747*
1165420-8In96.3981161,061*
1155320-9In94.59711087,130*
1145321-8In91.796220122,335*
1135221-9In88.094330169,313*
1125121-10In83.1925400230,156*
1115122-9In76.888750307,648*
1105022-10In68.7839700405,330*
1095023-9In59.378121000525,036*
1084923-10In48.5701514100668,174*
1074924-9In37.3621918100840,532*
1064824-10In26.35323222001,038,543*
1054825-9In16.84326274001,266,884*
1044725-10100.0%9.432293360001,515,243*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,790,788*
1024626-10100.01.71529411320002,083,883*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,386,396*
1004527-1099.90.1523422461002,693,390*
994528-999.80.021840291020002,996,913*
984428-1099.50.0113353314400003,288,606*
974429-998.50.0092935187100003,550,460*
964329-1096.1No0523352112310003,783,362*
954330-990.9No03163222177200003,972,698*
944230-1081.3No0211272022135100004,110,550*
934231-966.9No0172115231910310004,190,668*
924131-1049.4No0041592124177200004,213,384*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,179,025*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,083,547*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,938,447*
883933-103.8No002027172625156103,738,260*
873934-91.5No0010131021272311303,503,340*
863834-100.5No000001514252818713,237,156*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,948,609*
843735-100.1No00000141327311952,646,557*
833736-90.0No0000002821332792,343,784*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,049,256*
813637-90.0No00000292739231,765,204*
803537-100.0No00000152141321,497,893*
793538-9OutNo00031540411,253,244*
783438-10OutNo00011037511,037,063*
773439-9OutNo00163260844,410*
763339-10OutNo00042769678,228*
753340-9OutNo0022276535,778*
743240-10OutNo0011782418,635*
733241-9OutNo0011387322,160*
723141-10OutNo00990244,719*
713142-9OutNo00793182,961*
703042-10OutNo0595134,676*
693043-9OutNo039798,141*
682943-10OutNo029869,949*
672944-9OutNo019949,796*
662844-10OutNo019934,458*
652845-9OutNo19923,937*
642745-10OutNo010016,132*
632746-9OutNo010010,842*
622646-10OutNo01007,060*
612647-9OutNo01004,555*
602547-10OutNo01002,982*
56-59OutNo1004,115*
552350-9OutNo0100244*
0-54OutNo1007,635*
Total:50.0%3.3%661312666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghOttawaMontrealNY RangersBostonNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.6%677677767777766
1376510-7NoYes
136639-10NoYes
1356512-5No333333
1346210-10NoYes
1336211-99.12799189189
1326212-811.11166611221161111
1316213-76.3256191913666
1306113-813.2966111199417864
1296013-98.38411810524751110646
1286014-87.55116695847977666
1275914-97.85775965489711656
1265915-89.1688766856766866
1255815-96.8597684857868766
1245816-87.5587586966858856
1235716-97.9688685775868755
1225717-87.3678686866868866
1215617-97.5688685865858865
1205618-87.4588586856868866
1195518-97.5678686866868866
1185519-87.5688686866868866
1175419-97.4688685866868866
1165420-87.3688686866868866
1155320-97.4688686866868866
1145321-87.5688585866868856
1135221-97.5588685855858866
1125121-107.4588585855868855
1115122-97.4588585855858855
1105022-107.4588585855858855
1095023-97.4599585855958855
1084923-107.3599595955959955
1074924-97.2599595955959955
1064824-107.1499494944949944
1054825-97.14101041041044104101044
1044725-107.04101041041044104101044
1034726-96.93101031031033103101033
1024626-106.73111131131133113111133
1014627-96.63111131131133113111133
1004527-106.53111131131133113111133
994528-96.33111121121132112111122
984428-106.13111131131132113111122
974429-96.03111131131133113111133
964329-105.73111131131133113111133
954330-95.33101031031033103101033
944230-104.7388383833838833
934231-93.9277272722727722
924131-102.8255252522525522
914132-91.8133131311313311
904032-101.0122121211212211
894033-90.5011010100101100
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863935-80.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843836-80.0000000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.00000000000
813738-7No00000000
803638-8No00
0-79No
Total:3.1%1.75.35.31.65.21.65.31.61.65.31.65.25.31.61.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Boston-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.3+0.4+1.2
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Montreal-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Florida-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-164100
1255815-91000
1245816-810000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-899100
1175419-9981100
1165420-8962101
1155320-9943110
1145321-892420200
1135221-9886303000
1125121-108385040000
1115122-97711605000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-95918120100000
1084923-10482215013001000
1074924-93725181170010000
1064824-102626211211120000
1054825-917262432421040000
1044725-1092324426430600000
1034726-9419237267509001000
1024626-102132010221080120020000
1014627-9181512171412016110400000
1004527-10051013101515119320601000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-100131021117516980131400000
974429-900180714911121201627010000
964329-100050391151216217511031000
954330-900301411210164148161720000
944230-1000200290614791118313510000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-10000004014101810112018931000
914132-9000020028044111622189310000
904032-10000101602188182318104100000
894033-90000003010431019231911410000
883933-1000000020002131019232013620000
873934-90000010001013918232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-900000000000138172323167200
843735-100000000013917242315610
833736-900000000013101926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-9000000016152729174
803537-100000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-9000015194135
763339-100002133846
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-9298
642745-100199
632746-90199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
58-59100
572449-90100
562450-8100
552350-90100
0-54100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333