Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 2-4, playoff odds down 9.6 to 60.8%
10 points   4 2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+3.3
+0.3
+0.7
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.3
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-158In99.4%1001,011*
1215215-7In97.91000429*
1205115-8In97.49900697*
1195116-7In97.499001,120*
1185016-8In95.298111,714*
1175017-7In93.498112,634*
1164917-8In89.697213,844*
1154918-7In86.1962205,665*
1144818-8In80.3943307,780*
1134718-9In74.491540010,894*
1124719-8In66.98875014,646*
1114720-7In56.682108020,080*
1104620-8In47.8781210025,898*
1094520-9In37.17016141033,481*
1084521-8In26.86220181042,484*
1074421-9In17.85224222053,213*
1064422-8In10.643272730064,710*
1054322-9In5.833303250078,794*
1044323-8In2.524313781093,461*
1034223-9In1.01631411110108,338*
1024224-8100.0%0.310294416200124,332*
1014124-9100.00.16254521400139,805*
1004125-8100.00.032043266100155,257*
994025-999.90.0116403210200169,130*
984026-899.6No0113535143000181,192*
973926-998.8No0729381871000191,831*
963927-896.6No05233721113000198,432*
953827-991.9No031735221661000203,230*
943828-883.3No0111302021124100204,917*
933728-970.6No172415231882000202,660*
923729-854.1No0418102224156100198,367*
913629-937.1No02135172622113100189,766*
903630-822.3No0182112327198200179,537*
893530-912.0No00516172725144100166,692*
883531-85.7No00303102329229200153,207*
873431-92.5No00101516272816510137,715*
863432-81.0No0100210233023920122,081*
853332-90.4No0000151629291640107,260*
843333-80.1No000002102433237192,764*
833233-90.0No0001517323012278,390*
823234-80.0No000211293519365,194*
813134-90.0No0017223726653,283*
803135-8OutNo0041736331043,548*
793035-9OutNo0021133391534,550*
783036-8OutNo01727442227,072*
772936-9OutNo00422452821,113*
762937-8OutNo00216453616,272*
752837-9OutNo0112424411,989*
742838-8OutNo01839528,738*
732738-9OutNo00534616,339*
722739-8OutNo0329684,528*
712639-9OutNo0224743,164*
702640-8OutNo120792,227*
692540-9OutNo115841,496*
682541-8OutNo011891,013*
672441-9OutNo0990715*
662442-8OutNo694452*
652443-7OutNo694264*
642242-10OutNo694165*
632344-7OutNo10095*
622244-8OutNo29863*
10-61OutNo100422*
Total:60.8%2.8%78161677776654314,070,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY IslandersWashingtonPittsburghOttawaTampa BayNew JerseyColumbusBostonPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersTorontoCarolinaBuffalo
158740-05.7%77867108791077531
1315710-7No5050
1305711-620.040202020
1295510-9No2020202020
1285410-108.38178833888
1275512-7No1455101051410551010
1265513-69.16939121533691293
1255312-92.0101066122484686684
1245313-84.17743888910977632
1235314-73.4656667612107911722
1225214-88.110687118769695622
1215215-79.356779105778105941
1205115-87.07668107889686730
1195116-79.07766887810796832
1185016-87.1867689779886721
1175017-77.1877789778787721
1164917-87.48667910778697721
1154918-77.6866699779787821
1144818-86.8876699789786721
1134718-97.38666910779686721
1124719-87.38666910779776821
1114720-77.096661010769686721
1104620-86.996661010769686721
1094520-97.01066611116610685721
1084521-87.0116561111669685721
1074421-97.0125551212569585721
1064422-86.81355513135510584711
1054322-96.71455414145510484711
1044323-86.71544415154410493711
1034223-96.51644416154410483711
1024224-86.41733316164311393711
1014124-96.21833317173311392711
1004125-86.01833317173311292711
994025-95.91933317173311292701
984026-85.81933317173211291701
973926-95.71944417173210281701
963927-85.41844416163210281601
953827-95.1175541515339271601
943828-84.5165541413327161501
933728-93.8135541111326151400
923729-82.91044388224141300
913629-92.0733266113120200
903630-81.2422143112010100
893530-90.7211122001010100
883531-80.3100011000000000
873431-90.1100000000000000
863432-80.0000000000000000
853433-70.00000000000000
843232-100.000000000000
833334-70.0000000
823234-80.000000
813235-7No00
10-80No
Total:3.6%10.52.82.82.79.69.62.22.06.01.64.91.33.90.40.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)-0.7
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-158100
1245313-8982
1235314-7991
1225214-8991
1215215-79820
1205115-897200
1195116-797200
1185016-895311
1175017-793511
1164917-890721
1154918-7869220
1144818-88014330
1134718-97417504000
1124719-8672170500
1114720-75726908000
1104620-8483012010000
1094520-93733151130010
1084521-82735182161010
1074421-918352032021200
1064422-811322252241030000
1054322-96272282362050000
1044323-82222011231040700100
1034223-911516151914701010100
1024224-80101217141811114112000
1014124-906717919152163104000
1004125-8034164181741763060100
994025-901214214168151060912000
984026-80110091312111311013130000
973926-900705915615152153601000
963927-8004025153131741561003000
953827-900301213110169121015261000
943828-80010110051213712174124100
933728-91007037153121591793100
923729-800040131419912191682000
913629-9000201110541216211672000
903630-80001007021910202316720000
893530-9000050105413222316831000
883531-80000300031614222316831000
873431-9000010010261522231793100
863432-800100000271523231783100
853332-90000001271623241782000
843333-80000000138172424156200
833233-900000131019262313410
823234-800001412232821920
813134-900000261626271751
803135-800029213025112
793035-90015142830184
783036-8000282234258
772936-9001416333313
762937-800210293919
752837-90016234228
742838-8003174237
732738-902114047
722739-80083556
712639-90053064
702640-8042670
692540-9012177
682541-811485
672441-911287
662442-8892
652443-70792
642242-10793
632344-7100
622244-8298
10-61100
Total:343544444444434344443333322211