Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Tied with NY Rangers 1-1 (13:59 2nd), playoff odds down 0.02 to 99.9%
81 points   35 15-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2
+2.7+2.1+1.6-1.4-1.5-3.2
Anaheim vs Montreal+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2
Colorado vs Pittsburgh+0.2*+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs Montreal+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.6+0.2+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Nashville vs NY Islanders-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.6
Tampa Bay vs Toronto-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs St. Louis+0.3*+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-123InYes1002,389*
120191-1In99.1%100003,470*
119181-2In97.7990110,449*
118182-1In94.9971223,619*
117172-2In89.19433052,640*
116173-1In79.6895696,973*
115163-2In65.7809110173,604*
114164-1In48.56815170274,279*
113154-2In30.85420260416,079*
112155-1In17.24025341297,920
144-3In14.53625371268,747*
111145-2In6.42427463424,481
156-0In6.32427463319,786*
110146-1In2.11326556438,212
135-3In1.61125577452,249*
109136-2In0.45216113579,706
125-4In0.34196215226,942
147-0In0.56226012222,466*
108137-1In0.121561220513,775
126-3In0.011361240577,049*
107127-2In0.00856350623,070
116-4In0.00755370259,076
138-0In0.01957330233,535*
106128-1In0.00447480587,629*
117-3In0.004465000467,751*
105118-2InNo02376100533,214
107-4InNo01356400230,909
129-0InNo02386000199,529*
104119-1InNo01277200367,315
108-3InNo01247500449,184*
103109-2InNo00178210370,318
98-4InNo0178210300,482*
1021010-1100.0%No01187100229,883
99-3100.0No0988210280,989*
101910-2100.0No0690320376,207*
100911-1100.0No0389450257,514*
99811-299.9No01854100170,675*
98812-199.6No07741800104,615*
97712-298.6No067428161,896*
96713-196.6No0553393034,205*
95613-292.0No0422488018,057*
94614-185.0No301541508,703*
93514-274.4No180562414,013*
92515-160.7No1105036301,717*
91415-250.0No6444360742*
90416-129.8No12852180272*
89316-27.7No175235591*
88317-17.1No73950428*
87217-222.2No221133339*
81021-0OutNo042648192957
Total:99.9%6.0%111138390100000011,547,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY RangersPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaTorontoColumbus
123210-08.1%001064835721
122200-18.0100848301111
121201-07.40011175527621
120191-17.40001175130631
119181-28.4001217503072100
118182-18.20012185128621000
117172-28.00014184927621000
116173-17.900172104626621000
115163-27.7001112124323521000
114164-17.3102163143720520000
113154-27.1202244173016410000
112155-16.9402314192312310000
144-36.7512344192111210000
111145-26.471341519157200000
156-06.571341519157200000
110146-16.2111349417105100000
135-36.012135241694100000
109136-25.916125831352000000
125-45.916125931252000000
147-05.91512564136210000
108137-15.6191263293100000
126-35.5200164283100000
107127-25.422016715210000
116-45.323016814200000
106128-15.22500701220000
117-35.225007012200000
105118-25.126007101100000
107-45.1260071011000
104119-15.1270071001000
108-35.02700710010000
103109-24.9270071001000
98-44.927007100100
1021010-14.827107000100
99-34.828107000100
101910-24.928116800100
100911-14.829216610100
99811-24.930426210100
98812-14.831725720000
97712-25.0321135020000
96713-14.5331444220000
95613-24.5331753430000
94614-14.13019627300
93514-23.22720518300
92515-12.72317513200
91415-23.2181451120
90416-11.5911442
89316-21.12221
88317-1No44
87217-2No1111
81021-0No
Total:5.7%18.90.71.357.42.07.37.73.60.80.20.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs NY Rangers-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.8
Anaheim vs Montreal-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
Colorado vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Los Angeles vs Montreal-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-123100
120191-199000
119181-298101
118182-195212
117172-28953300
116173-180950600
115163-266149011000
114164-1482014017000
113154-2312320125100
165-0312319124100
112155-11723232322110
144-31522232332210
111145-26172343854300
156-06172343754300
110146-12111973799600
135-32101873710100700
109136-20513829141801300
125-40411827152001401
147-00613830141701200
108137-10278191626019120
126-30167161629021120
107127-2003681434027360
116-4002571336028370
138-0013691434026350
106128-1001439360296130
117-30013283512861600
105118-2002143112410280000
107-4002143012410290000
104119-1001022321712430000
108-3001012121512480000
103109-200000142911620100
98-40000142811630100
1021010-1000834974010000
99-30000723777110100
101910-200421582220200
100911-100110281531500
99811-2001017212321000
98812-10000572022171000
97712-2000039281325310
96713-1002233122910300
95613-2001032012821710
94614-142601203412300
93514-21170114515920
92515-10100446151671
91415-26242820193
90416-1102852330111
89316-217219362591
88317-17725547
87217-222332222
81021-002143140121
Total:657314617113421100100000000000