Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Beat Ottawa 3-1, playoff odds up 6.7 to 82.3%
64 points   28 18-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit 3 Ottawa 1 +4.6
+0.1
Pittsburgh 0 NY Rangers 3 +0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg vs Boston+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6
Philadelphia vs Buffalo-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.4
Ottawa vs Colorado-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120280-0In27.1%27730100,364
119270-1In3.649628
118260-2In17.01882159*
117261-1In7.98910733*
116251-2In6.679212,937*
115252-1In3.749519,890*
114242-2In2.2395229,331*
113243-1In1.12944078,497*
112233-2In0.619270194,716*
111223-3In0.3188110439,975*
110224-2In0.1084160932,784*
109214-3In0.007822001,838,360*
108215-2In0.007030003,409,013*
107205-3In0.006238105,934,088*
106206-2In0.005246109,788,906*
105196-3In0.0043543015,251,543*
104197-2In0.0034615022,635,727*
103187-3InNo0256690031,898,355*
102188-2InNo01867140042,932,059*
101178-3100.0%No012662110055,041,419*
100179-2100.0No07612920067,553,116*
99169-3100.0No045338400079,204,131*
98159-4100.0No024446800089,042,681*
971510-399.9No01345112100095,776,412*
961410-499.6No02553174000098,926,396*
951411-398.3No01652219200097,897,093*
941311-494.6No010462117510093,099,824*
931312-386.5No0638182411200084,861,338*
921212-472.7No0329132821610074,379,406*
911213-354.5No01217252913300062,520,041*
901113-435.6No01133193323710050,510,779*
891114-319.8No00811130321530039,137,777*
881014-49.4No00405213525810029,138,946*
871015-33.8No02021231341630020,784,250*
86915-41.3No0101622372670014,240,779*
85916-30.4No00002133336151009,333,041*
84917-20.1No0000162440254005,880,566*
83817-30.0No0000021437369103,527,481*
82818-20.0No00017294417202,033,373*
81718-30.0No00003194528501,115,010*
80719-20.0No0001104037111586,626*
79619-3OutNo0053043192290,953*
78620-2OutNo0022044295137,874*
77520-3OutNo011138391161,709*
76521-2OutNo0630461926,392*
75421-3OutNo0221463010,486*
74422-2OutNo011344423,940*
73322-3OutNo0739541,298*
72323-2OutNo033265466*
71324-1OutNo32275118*
70224-2OutNo138739*
69225-1OutNo148614*
68226-0OutNo1001
64028-0OutNo0100100,360
Total:82.3%0.0%05273299753210001,210,701,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonFloridaNY RangersTampa BayNY IslandersBostonPittsburghNew JerseyMontrealCarolinaPhiladelphiaOttawaTorontoBuffaloColumbus
120280-02.7%1910102015155742000
119270-13.61814217141114
118260-21.3913142117104642
117261-11.818121121141465320
116251-23.018121122161556320
115252-12.6181310221514663200
114242-22.8181411221513553200
113243-12.71815102215135532000
112233-22.71717102214125532000
111223-32.71719102314125532000
110224-22.6262292313115432000
109214-32.6262592312105432000
108215-22.625298231195322000
107205-32.535337241085322000
106206-22.503437624875221000
105196-32.404341524755221000
104197-22.306245425545211000
103187-32.307248325434111000
102188-22.208151225324111000
101178-32.2010152126224101000
100179-22.1011153126114001000
168-42.1011153126114001000
99169-32.1013053126114001000
158-52.1013053126114001000
98159-42.0016052025004001000
1610-22.0015052025004001000
971510-32.0118051024004001000
149-52.0219050024004001000
961410-41.9422047021004001000
1511-21.9422047022004001000
951411-31.8924043019003001000
1310-51.81024042019003001000
941311-41.71823035015003001000
1412-21.71523037016003001000
931312-31.5241902901100200100
1211-51.52419029012002001000
921212-41.228140210800100000
911213-30.92580150500100000
901214-20.6184090300000000
891114-30.3112050200000000
881115-20.151030100000000
871015-30.12001000000000
861016-20.0100100000000
85916-30.000000000000
84917-20.00000000000
83817-30.00000000
82818-20.00000
81819-1No000
80719-2No0
64-79No
Total:1.6%8.513.50.436.50.617.00.90.72.90.30.20.80.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Ottawa 1 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Boston-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120280-0270730
119270-1496
118260-217182
117261-180910
116251-270921
115252-1409501
114242-22095020
113243-1109414000
112233-2109117000
111223-30086311000
110224-20079515100
109214-300698192000
108215-2005812235100000
107205-30046162610201000
106206-20034182516501000
105196-30023202223903000
104197-200151916291505000
103187-309171132221810000
102188-2051363029212110000
101178-30210225345163201000
100179-2016117349196502000
99169-3004010301319910040000
98159-40020523161512180800000
971510-3001021517101327112010000
961410-40001915512342161400000
951411-3000041228375183902000
941311-4000028143381751605100
931312-300015022511126231112000
921212-4000301161366253206100
911213-300010091235205291430000
901113-400010049131273124810000
891114-3000016015625321851000
881014-400000400141430281441000
871015-300002000261930251241000
86915-40010001182129231141000
85916-300000002102128231131000
84917-2000000003102228221130000
83817-30000001311232922102000
82818-2000014122429218200
81718-3000014142730186100
80719-200001617302814300
79619-300028223325910
78620-20031228331950
77520-30015183430111
76521-2002102737214
75421-30041837329
74422-20110333917
73322-305244427
72323-202114641
71324-1154252
70224-252372
69225-13664
68226-0100
64028-00298
Total:00232612865164727174321100000000