Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Beat Los Angeles 5-2, playoff odds up 7.1 to 78.4%
14 points   6 2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.0
*-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+3.3
+0.3
+0.7
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.3
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.2
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-158In100.0%1008,476*
1265313-6In99.810003,188*
1255213-7In99.91005,158*
1245214-6In99.7100008,249*
1235114-7In99.41000013,415*
1225115-6In99.31000020,840*
1215015-7In98.71000031,710*
1204915-8In98.0991047,361*
1194916-7In97.0991069,339*
1184816-8In95.59811098,864*
1174817-7In93.597210138,570*
1164717-8In90.496220191,208*
1154718-7In86.694320258,282*
1144618-8In81.592430341,794*
1134619-7In75.0896500444,658*
1124519-8In67.2858700567,259*
1114520-7In57.88010900712,705*
1104420-8In47.674131300875,008*
1094421-7In37.16616171001,059,624*
1084321-8In26.95819212001,255,672*
1074322-7In17.84922263001,468,375*
1064222-8100.0%10.640243150001,685,076*
1054223-7100.05.530263671001,899,838*
1044123-8100.02.4222640111002,105,009*
1034124-7100.00.9152543152002,295,142*
1024024-8100.00.3922442140002,459,813*
1014025-7100.00.1518432661002,590,320*
1003925-899.90.021440311020002,684,996*
993926-799.70.01103536153002,737,214*
983826-899.3No07293820610002,740,972*
973726-998.2No042237251020002,708,862*
963727-895.8No0216342815400002,627,603*
953627-991.0No01102929227100002,507,872*
943628-882.6No0162325271331002,359,901*
933528-969.9No00417202920820002,180,248*
923529-854.0No02121327261441001,983,967*
913429-937.3No0177222921920001,775,558*
903430-822.6No00431427271661001,565,494*
893330-912.0No00218212924113001,359,289*
883331-85.5No001041326291971001,159,829*
873231-92.2No00102719292613300976,502*
863232-80.8No00001312263120610806,440*
853132-90.2No0000171931271120657,502*
843133-80.1No0000031328331840525,092*
833033-90.0No0001722352681414,999*
823034-80.0No00014153333131321,467*
812934-9OutNo002102838193245,699*
802935-8OutNo00162240275184,794*
792835-9OutNo0031638348136,810*
782836-8OutNo0111354013100,304*
772736-9OutNo01730451871,538*
762737-8OutNo00424472550,544*
752738-7OutNo0218483135,166*
742638-8OutNo0114454023,676*
732639-7OutNo0110424715,889*
722539-8OutNo06385510,674*
712439-9OutNo0435616,909*
702440-8OutNo328694,416*
692441-7OutNo0223752,802*
682341-8OutNo120791,744*
672342-7OutNo016841,107*
662242-8OutNo11188639*
652243-7OutNo0891381*
642143-8OutNo793187*
632144-7OutNo892132*
622044-8OutNo29860*
611944-9OutNo59540*
602046-6OutNo10018*
591946-7OutNo89212*
14-58OutNo1004,459*
Total:78.4%7.5%151020171086543211053,646,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayOttawaMontrealWashingtonTorontoNY IslandersNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersBostonFloridaColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
158720-09.2%3910106106767109420
143625-5NoYes
139607-533.3333333
137598-5YesYes
1366010-2No5050
135578-7No255025
134579-68.0812248884441244
133569-77.5520888810108513
1325610-65.1381116813856313431
1315611-56.011288516479761333
1305511-67.9591110513665810642
1295411-710.5412101151065661011511
1285412-610.13911115116675119411
1275312-79.9211101151166561011520
1265313-69.339111051266551110421
1255213-79.339101051166661111420
1245214-69.639111161166661110411
1235114-79.639111251256661110420
1225115-69.539111151166661110411
1215015-79.439111151166651110411
1204915-89.639111151166661110421
1194916-79.439111151266561110411
1184816-89.439111151266661110411
1174817-79.339111151266551110411
1164717-89.339111151256551110411
1154718-79.339111251255551110411
1144618-89.3310111251255551110411
1134619-79.3310121251255551110411
1124519-89.3310121251255551110311
1114520-79.3311121251255551110311
1104420-89.1211131341255551110311
1094421-79.1212131341255441010311
1084321-89.0213141441244441010310
1074322-78.9214141441244441010310
1064222-88.8215151531344331010210
1054223-78.6216161531333331010210
1044123-88.421716163133333109210
1034124-78.321817163133222109110
1024024-88.121917172132222109100
1014025-77.931917172132222109100
1003925-87.84191716313222299100
993926-77.65191716312222299100
983826-87.47191716312222298100
973726-97.39191615411222288100
963727-87.010181514410322277100
953627-96.61217141349322266100
943628-85.91216121148322255100
933629-75.0121310946222244100
923529-83.810117734221133000
913530-72.6875423111122000
903430-81.6553312110011000
893431-70.8332111000000000
883331-80.4111100000000000
873332-70.2100000000000000
863232-80.1000000000000000
853233-70.0000000000000000
843133-80.000000000000000
833134-70.00000000000
823034-8No0000000
14-81No
Total:6.3%5.113.512.211.52.99.22.42.32.12.16.96.61.10.40.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)-0.7
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-158100
1275312-71000
1265313-610000
1255213-71000
1245214-6100000
1235114-799000
1225115-699000
1215015-799100
1204915-898110
1194916-797210
1184816-89631010
1174817-79342010
1164717-890620200
1154718-787830200
1144618-88211403000
1134619-775146050000
1124519-867188070000
1114520-7582210090000
1104420-848261301200000
1094421-7372915116001000
1084321-82731181201020000
1074322-718311932321030000
1064222-8112920426410500000
1054223-7525197277207001000
1044123-8219161025114010001000
1034124-71141312211660141002000
1024024-8099131520911820040000
1014025-70551392111221510601000
1003925-8023124201242192010020000
993926-701191151161713401413000
983826-800601099121870183601000
973726-900406511619102196902000
963727-800203310217114181114140000
953627-900101181121071316183710000
943628-80010006077107181981341000
933528-900000403410317161418931000
923529-8000201191129181916820000
913429-900010007074181521168210000
903430-80000004031139192216831000
893330-900000201083122123179310000
883331-80000100041513212318931000
873231-90000100201614222418931000
863232-8000000100261422241893100
853132-90000000271523241782000
843133-80000000138172524156100
833033-900000131020272312410
823034-8000001412232821920
812934-9000261627281640
802935-8000031022312491
792835-90015162931153
782836-8002102535235
772736-900151935319
762737-8000313323715
752738-70018274221
742638-8004224429
732639-702164338
722539-801114147
712439-90183754
702440-8053164
692441-7032671
682341-8012475
672342-711882
662242-8011485
652243-701089
642143-8892
632144-7991
622044-8298
611944-9595
602046-6100
591946-7892
14-58100
Total:775476436532645343322221111100