Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 13.2%
47 points   19 18-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 +0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto vs Calgary-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.8
Washington vs Carolina+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
Arizona vs Florida+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119360-0In43.6%55450173,795
114-115InNo10013*
113322-2InNo97338*
112312-3InNo1945132*
111313-2InNo08712405*
110303-3InNo082181,217*
109293-4InNo0792103,481*
108294-3InNo06930009,302*
107284-4InNo62381022,985*
106285-3InNo534520054,430*
105275-4InNo04453300120,541*
104276-3InNo3559600252,046*
103266-4100.0%No276310000507,534*
102267-3100.0No196515010967,625*
101257-4100.0No13642101001,770,968*
100258-399.9No8602913003,092,798*
99248-499.7No5533615005,193,873*
98238-599.2No34443191008,375,760*
97239-498.0No1354711320012,970,798*
96229-595.4No12649119400019,331,487*
952210-490.5No01848124910027,776,474*
942110-582.6No0124302715200038,449,173*
932111-471.2No0736028236100051,351,186*
922011-556.8No04280253011200066,212,275*
912012-441.1No022001934195100082,448,831*
901912-526.5No01130133328102000099,223,431*
891913-414.9No0070727341951000115,461,755*
881813-57.2No00403183327112000129,890,261*
871814-43.0No00201102733206100141,407,762*
861714-51.1No0100518322813300148,929,016*
851715-40.3No0000210253222810151,807,445*
841615-50.1No000141630301540149,779,352*
831616-40.0No00002823332491143,074,780*
821516-50.0No000004153032163132,284,315*
811517-40.0No0000182335267118,405,437*
801417-50.0No00000315333514102,581,553*
791418-40.0No00001827412386,022,242*
781318-50.0No00000419423569,829,715*
771319-4OutNo000212394754,812,049*
761219-5OutNo00017335941,647,856*
751220-4OutNo0003267030,586,773*
741120-5OutNo0002197921,702,876*
731121-4OutNo001138614,885,353*
721021-5OutNo0009919,854,400*
711022-4OutNo005956,306,494*
70922-5OutNo003973,882,857*
69923-4OutNo002982,305,899*
68924-3OutNo01991,317,939*
67824-4OutNo0199725,397*
66825-3OutNo0100384,034*
65725-4OutNo0100195,984*
64726-3OutNo010094,386*
63626-4OutNo010044,342*
62627-3OutNo010019,545*
61527-4OutNo01008,168*
60528-3OutNo01003,328*
47-59OutNo100175,789*
Total:13.2%0.0%002605911121212111192,096,737,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoCarolinaBostonNY IslandersPhiladelphiaTampa BayFloridaDetroitNew Jersey
119360-00.5%0510130810175731111
115331-2No6733
114321-3No20205010
113322-2No582158333
112312-3No392255322121
111313-20.2162505375110
110303-30.12517153991200000
109293-40.2261605111912000000
108294-30.32615145151212000000
107284-40.31414239191513000000
106285-30.31412334231813000000
105275-40.31310428272114001000
104276-30.3128522302414001000
103266-40.3126717342705001100
102267-30.3114813362905001110
101257-40.3113109383105001110
100258-30.3212116393205001110
99248-40.3322113393205001110
98238-50.3532112383105001110
97239-40.3742101362905001110
96229-50.2106291332705001110
952210-40.2138281302304001110
219-60.2138381292304001110
942110-50.2159370241903001100
2211-30.2159370252004001100
209-70.2159360241903001100
932111-40.2159350201503001000
2010-60.21510350191502001000
2212-20.2159350201503001000
922011-50.1139340141102000000
2112-30.1149340151202001000
1910-70.1139330141102000000
912012-40.110722010801000000
1911-60.11072209701000000
2113-20.110722010801000000
901912-50.1641106401000000
2013-30.1751207501000000
891913-40.0431104300000000
881813-50.02100021000000
871814-40.0100001100000
861714-50.0000000000000
851715-40.0000000000000
841716-30.000000000000
831616-40.000000000000
821617-30.000000000000
811517-40.000000000
801518-3No00000
791317-6No00
781419-3No0
47-77No
Total:0.0%2.51.60.51.00.13.82.90.00.50.00.00.10.10.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Florida-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Washington vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119360-04412450
114-115100
113322-29253
112312-3191315
111313-20816210
110303-307471017
109293-406711102000
108294-30551500290000
107284-4431900370010
106285-33221004500100
105275-4022220051100300
104276-313220056300600
103266-4719005670090000
102267-3416005213001500010
101257-4212044190021000100
100258-318034260028010300
99248-405223000351105000
98238-5031331004121090100
97239-4017290043410130200
96229-50132300418101904000
952210-400117003413002409100
942110-50001100261800271152000
932111-400701620002622361000
922011-500409190022330122000
912012-400241600155332051000
901912-50012110085312812200000
891913-40001700342333217100000
881813-500004001213292916510000
871814-400002001518292513410000
861714-50010002921282312410000
851715-400000003102127221241000
841615-50000001411212621114100
831616-400000001412222621103100
821516-500000015132327209200
811517-40000001515252818610
801417-5000000271829271430
791418-400000210233225800
781318-500000141431341600
771319-400001724402700
761219-50000316404010
751220-400019355320
741120-500004276440
731121-40002197270
721021-500011276110
711022-4000776160
70922-500473221
69923-400267291
68924-30160373
67824-40051445
66825-30042508
65725-40335412
64726-30255717
63626-40185724
62627-30135632
61527-485141
60528-354451
59428-423861
58429-323266
57430-22377
56330-31684
55331-2793
53-54100
47036-00100
Total:000000020034004178888777776500