Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances

Beat Detroit 7-6 (so), playoff odds down 2.9 to 2.6%
83 points   38 32-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Detroit 6 Buffalo 7 (so)+1.5
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1 -1.5
Florida 7 Ottawa 2 -1.2
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1 -1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Buffalo vs Carolina+2.8+2.8+1.0-1.5-1.4-2.3
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia-0.6-0.6-0.4+0.4+0.3+1.8
Detroit vs Pittsburgh+1.1+0.4+0.4-0.7-1.0-1.0
Washington vs Florida+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.5-1.0-1.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9350-063.7%No2143307572,949
9240-123.1No32044321,061,206
9141-08.2No1836562,840,404
30-23.5No032968737,333
9031-10.6No0112873,955,111
20-30.3No001090237,792
8932-00.0No04965,298,816
21-2OutNo2981,910,364
10-4OutNo29835,162
8822-1OutNo1005,499,830*
8723-0OutNo90904,570,470
12-2OutNo841501,515,986
01-4OutNo7822025,827
8613-1OutNo722712,709,969
02-3OutNo62362138,187
8514-0OutNo39511001,811,786
03-2OutNo2363140370,955
8404-1OutNo1160291497,854
8305-0OutNo39574269,407
Total:2.6%No0287992034,059,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupBostonCarolinaNew JerseyNY Rangers
9350-00.1%43192
9240-10.020300
9141-00.0800
30-20.0300
9031-10.0100
20-3No00
8932-00.00
21-2No
10-4No
83-88No
Total:0.0%2.10.40.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 7 (so)-0.4
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1 +0.1
Nashville 3 Carolina 0 +0.1
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1 +0.1
Florida 7 Ottawa 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
Winnipeg vs Nashville-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ottawa vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Florida-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
9350-021439171530
9240-130201033286
9141-01082214425
30-20032184631
9031-101043363
20-300033265
8932-0001386
21-201188
10-401188
8822-1397
11-3397
00-5397
8723-090900
12-2841500
01-4762310
8613-1692820
02-3603630
8514-035501410
03-221591810
8404-1743381010
8305-018453150
Total:00214136982000