Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances

Beat Florida 4-2, playoff odds unchanged at 0.0004%
76 points   32 32-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus vs BuffaloNo*No*No*+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
8860-00.1%No0032044303024,937,787
8750-10.0No00053151120053,592,917
8651-00.0No00116542620166,180,121
40-20.0No0001153323046,947,460
8541-1OutNo0044046100291,174,888
30-3OutNo002364912021,249,887
8442-0OutNo0012352231451,469,048
31-2OutNo012051272197,740,788
20-4OutNo0015513225,269,094
8332-1OutNo00843436613,249,650
21-3OutNo0073947765,358,968
10-5OutNo0435528679,053
8233-0OutNo03275416633,883,677
22-2OutNo02245717304,005,569
11-4OutNo0119601910,541,661
00-6OutNo0115632135,908
8123-1OutNo001155340628,548,121
12-3OutNo0095536065,403,960
01-5OutNo0656380664,505
8024-0OutNo00444520487,342,525
13-2OutNo0344530202,812,960
02-4OutNo02435505,162,197
7914-1OutNo0128710314,516,289
03-3OutNo002772121,348,293
7815-0OutNo0016822195,064,401
04-2OutNo01682249,653,391
7705-1OutNo788561,590,527
7606-0OutNo3841332,242,995
Total:0.0%No000021024372704,950,666,640

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealOttawa
8860-00.0%00000
8750-1No00000
8651-0No00
40-2No0
76-85No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 4 Florida 2 -0.5
Carolina 3 Detroit 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Buffalo+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.8-0.8-0.8
New Jersey vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Dallas-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Florida-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Detroit-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8860-00021638331010
8750-10003204328500
8651-000183341161000
40-200052943202000
8541-100113393610100
30-300111373812100
8442-00004234224500
31-2003214227610
20-4002174131810
8332-10007293920400
21-3006264022500
10-5004244124600
8233-00021334351420
22-20011134361620
11-4001933381730
00-601732391830
8123-100021637341100
12-30021537351100
01-5001143736120
8024-0000625432510
13-2000524432610
02-4000423442710
7914-10019375040
03-30018365050
7815-00003246490
04-20032363110
7705-100966231
7606-000357364
Total:0000139151920181310