Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Islanders 2-3, playoff odds down 8.5 to 32.1%
8 points   4 5-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.0
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -5.8
-0.3
-0.4
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.2
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-154In100.0%1007,548*
1225312-8In99.2991266*
1215313-7In99.0100485*
1205213-8In98.39900865*
1195214-7In96.999001,457*
1185114-8In96.399112,558*
1175115-7In94.298114,286*
1165015-8In91.797127,121*
1155016-7In87.69622011,484*
1144916-8In83.19433018,141*
1134917-7In77.291450027,862*
1124817-8In69.78857042,420*
1114717-9In60.5838900062,810*
1104718-8In50.57710121092,234*
1094618-9In39.970131610132,484*
1084619-8In29.362162020184,436*
1074519-9In19.8531925300255,245*
1064520-8In12.0432230500346,488*
1054420-9100.0%6.33324357100461,581*
1044421-8100.02.824253911100604,559*
1034321-9100.01.116254215200776,679*
1024322-8100.00.3102344204000981,558*
1014222-9100.00.1519432561001,219,381*
1004223-899.90.03154030102001,488,332*
994123-999.70.011135351530001,782,548*
984124-899.2No08293719610002,104,641*
974024-997.9No052337241020002,438,749*
964025-894.9No0317342615410002,785,252*
953925-989.0No0211302521920003,124,713*
943926-879.0No01724212615510003,451,347*
933826-964.6No0041816262210310003,746,986*
923827-847.7No021310232617720004,002,450*
913727-931.1No018517272413410004,211,037*
903728-817.9No015210222720920004,352,073*
893628-98.9No003151626261661004,435,763*
883629-83.9No001029212923113004,440,503*
873529-91.5No001015142629186104,379,832*
863530-80.5No000002821302511204,246,684*
853430-90.2No000001414283118404,058,536*
843431-80.1No0000028223325813,817,987*
833331-90.0No00000141631321423,531,601*
823332-80.0No0000021027372133,217,733*
813232-90.0No00001621382962,887,783*
803233-80.0No00003153636102,549,232*
793133-90.0No00001103242152,211,675*
783134-8OutNo000162646211,894,055*
773034-9OutNo00032147281,593,613*
763035-8OutNo0021647361,321,555*
752935-9OutNo0011144441,078,345*
742936-8OutNo00084151862,650*
732836-9OutNo0053658683,915*
722837-8OutNo0033265531,245*
712737-9OutNo0022771406,220*
702738-8OutNo012277306,179*
692638-9OutNo011881226,657*
682639-8OutNo001485164,974*
672539-9OutNo01189118,521*
662540-8OutNo099183,264*
652440-9OutNo079357,894*
642441-8OutNo059539,395*
632341-9OutNo049626,449*
622342-8OutNo039717,579*
612242-9OutNo29811,505*
602243-8OutNo1997,334*
592143-9OutNo1994,420*
582144-8OutNo1992,718*
572044-9OutNo1991,681*
562045-8OutNo0100979*
552046-7OutNo0100643*
541946-8OutNo100342*
531947-7OutNo199186*
8-52OutNo1007,497*
Total:32.1%0.5%227967788910109687,957,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayOttawaWashingtonDetroitMontrealColumbusNY IslandersPittsburghNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
154730-04.9%9105886677688631
1316010-3No5050
129579-7NoYes
1285710-6No3367
127559-9No1733171717
1265510-83.81912412121288124
1255511-712.044448124161216484
1245512-62.999691439661912611
1235412-75.59153810385958574
1225312-86.4967121125679109431
1215313-75.4117610127665697432
1205213-84.29961095587598531
1195214-75.810951096776589631
1185114-85.591059116666699531
1175115-75.3910591066666109531
1165015-85.31010610106666598531
1155016-75.31010510106666698521
1144916-85.21010510105566698531
1134917-75.41010511106556698521
1124817-85.01011511115655698521
1114717-95.01111511115565598521
1104718-85.11111511115555598421
1094618-94.91212512125555598421
1084619-84.91212412125555498421
1074519-94.91313413134444498421
1064520-84.81413414134444498321
1054420-94.71514314144444397311
1044421-84.61615315153333397311
1034321-94.61616316153333397211
1024322-84.51716316163333297210
1014222-94.41716316163332297210
1004223-84.21716316163332297210
994123-94.11716416163332287110
984124-84.01716416154433287100
974024-93.91615515154433286100
964025-83.71515514144433276100
953925-93.51413613125543265100
943926-83.01212611115433254100
933826-92.51095994432143100
923827-81.8774763322132100
913727-91.2553442211121000
903728-80.7331221111011000
893628-90.3111111100000000
883629-80.1110110000000000
873529-90.1000000000000000
863530-80.0000000000000000
853430-90.0000000000000000
843431-80.0000000000000000
833432-70.0000000000000
823433-60.00000000000
813333-7No000000
803233-80.00000
793335-5No0
8-78No
Total:1.3%5.14.91.84.84.61.51.51.21.00.72.31.90.50.20.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +1.1
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-154100
1235412-7982
1225312-8991
1215313-7991
1205213-898100
1195214-797200
1185114-896211
1175115-794411
1165015-8925102
1155016-78882020
1144916-88311330
1134917-77714405000
1124817-87018507000
1114717-9602380900000
1104718-85027100120010
1094618-94030121150010
1084619-82933151191020
1074519-920331722220030000
1064520-812311842541040000
1054420-962718626720700100
1044421-832117925114010001000
1034321-9115131121156014102000
1024322-809101315199117210400000
1014222-90561392012220410601000
1004223-803312418144208301002000
994123-90121021413617126014130000
984124-801709109121591172601000
974024-9005057116161321951002000
964025-80030231121414417914141000
953925-9002011919127131319392000
943926-800100160591071420614510000
933826-9000004025113131611201141000
923827-800002012101991421191031000
913727-9000100170541316231893100000
903728-8000100502199192418931000
893628-900000301053122124189310000
883629-8000001000215132224181031000
873529-9000010001016132224181031000
863530-800000000002614222418931000
853430-9000000000261523251882000
843431-800000000027162424167200
833331-90000000013919262413410
823332-8000000014122228211020
813232-9000000161626281751
803233-80000039213025102
793133-9000015152831173
783134-8000292334257
773034-90001517333211
763035-8000211303818
752935-900017254225
742936-80004194333
732836-90002144242
722837-8001103851
712737-900163459
702738-80042967
692638-90022474
682639-8011979
672539-9011584
662540-8001288
652440-90991
642441-800793
632341-90595
622342-80496
612242-9397
602243-80298
592143-9199
582144-80199
572044-9199
562045-80100
552046-70100
541946-8100
531947-7199
8-52100
Total:111112122223334345555555555553