Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Beat Buffalo 3-2 (ot), playoff odds up 5.8 to 43.1%
12 points   6 6-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -5.8
-0.3
-0.4
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.2
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-152InYes100876*
1215112-7In97.5%991120*
1205012-8In99.5100206*
1195013-7In98.41000371*
1185014-6In94.99721602*
1174914-7In93.99811957*
1164915-6In91.696221,530*
1154815-7In87.4953202,467*
1144715-8In82.4934303,841*
1134716-7In75.6895505,597*
1124616-8In69.0858708,472*
1114617-7In58.58010100012,506*
1104517-8In48.77412131017,464*
1094518-7In38.26715171024,626*
1084418-8In27.55918222033,895*
1074419-7In18.650202630045,493*
1064319-8In11.140233250059,793*
1054320-7In5.830243781077,587*
1044220-8100.0%2.62224411210099,284*
1034221-7100.00.915234316300123,859*
1024121-8100.00.39204422500151,673*
1014021-9100.00.151742287100183,007*
1004022-899.90.0213393212200217,054*
993922-999.7No193336164000252,963*
983923-899.1No062737227100288,222*
973823-997.9No0420362711200323,277*
963824-895.1No02143329174100359,249*
953724-989.7No01928292392000389,294*
943725-880.8No006222528154100414,208*
933625-967.3No031619302292000434,537*
923626-851.0No0210122728155100448,873*
913526-934.6No0167212922103000454,968*
903527-820.5No0043132628187100454,420*
893427-910.6No00217202925124000445,986*
883428-84.8No00103122529208100429,742*
873328-91.9No00001718292714300407,862*
863329-80.6No0000311253121710380,756*
853229-90.2No0000161831281320350,001*
843230-80.1No0000031227332040315,998*
833130-90.0No00001721352881281,055*
823131-80.0No000003143334131245,888*
813031-90.0No000292839203211,218*
803032-80.0No000152241275178,701*
792932-9OutNo0031539348148,818*
782933-8OutNo00110364112121,946*
772833-9OutNo01630451797,774*
762834-8OutNo00425482377,210*
752734-9OutNo00219483060,800*
742735-8OutNo0114483745,945*
732635-9OutNo0110454434,984*
722636-8OutNo007415225,694*
712536-9OutNo05365919,165*
702537-8OutNo04326413,269*
692437-9OutNo00227719,523*
682438-8OutNo0123766,603*
672338-9OutNo118814,565*
662339-8OutNo015853,019*
652239-9OutNo012881,983*
642240-8OutNo09911,221*
632241-7OutNo793811*
622141-8OutNo694518*
612142-7OutNo496322*
602042-8OutNo496163*
591942-9OutNo100105*
581943-8OutNo29853*
571944-7OutNo39738*
12-56OutNo100773*
Total:43.1%0.9%3391189988887528,813,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitOttawaMontrealWashingtonNY IslandersNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersTorontoFloridaColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
152700-06.7%31110121055777107511
128559-6NoYes
1275510-5YesYes
1265410-6No333333
1255310-7No8338888817
1245412-4No1961913661913
1235312-58.15814148811533858
1225212-613.2183131685748999
1215112-71.73121310843753151143
1205012-86.33141010125464699611
1195013-77.321191111566551210511
1185014-68.131091314355541011611
1174914-76.3210121311455551011411
1164915-67.13911131355556910511
1154815-76.4310111211566651111410
1144715-86.131012121256556119411
1134716-76.031112121255555109411
1124616-85.7311111213555541010411
1114617-76.0311131313455441010411
1104517-85.621113131345444109411
1094518-76.221313141344444109310
1084418-85.821414141344444109310
1074419-75.821414141444443109310
1064319-85.621515151433333109310
1054320-75.421615151533333109210
1044220-85.521716161533332109210
1034221-75.32181716152222298200
1024121-85.23181716162222298200
1014021-95.03191716162222298100
1004022-85.04191716153222298100
993922-94.86181616153222288100
983923-84.77181615143222287100
973823-94.69181515144322277100
963824-84.411171413134322276100
953724-94.112161212114322265100
943725-83.712141111104322254100
933625-93.012129984222233100
923626-82.21097663211122100
913627-71.5764442111121000
903527-80.9443321110011000
893528-70.5221111000000000
883428-80.2111100000000000
873429-70.1000000000000000
863329-80.0000000000000000
853330-70.000000000000000
843230-80.000000000000000
833231-70.00000000
823131-8No0000
812930-110.00
802931-10No0
12-79No
Total:2.1%4.57.76.36.25.81.81.21.10.90.93.12.80.60.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +1.1
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-152100
1215112-79821
1205012-81000
1195013-79810
1185014-695221
1174914-794411
1164915-692522
1154815-7878320
1144715-88210430
1134716-77614550
1124616-8691680700
1114617-75921100100000
1104517-84926120130010
1094518-73829141161010
1084418-82831161201020
1074419-7193118224203000
1064319-811291942741050000
1054320-76251862872080010
1044220-831915926123011001000
1034221-7114121121166015103000
1024121-80981215208119205000
1014021-90551292110221510701000
1004022-802311419123219201102000
993922-911811511618144015140000
983923-80060108912187119360100
973823-900405510619102207110200
963824-8002022921611418111614100
953724-9001011711197131620482000
943725-80000050669718208145100
933625-90003033103161614191031000
923626-8000201181119182017931000
913526-9000100606417152217831000
903527-800000030311281923179310000
893427-9000020107311212318931000
883428-800001000315132124181031000
873328-900000001016132124181031000
863329-80000000261422241893100
853229-90000000271523251782000
843230-8000000128172525166100
833130-900000013919272413410
823131-80000001412232821920
813031-90000261728281640
803032-8000031023312381
792932-900015163030152
782933-80002102635225
772833-900151936308
762834-800313333713
752734-90019284220
742735-80005234527
732635-9003174435
722636-802124344
712536-90183952
702537-8063559
692437-90033066
682438-8022573
672338-9012078
662339-811683
652239-901387
642240-811090
632241-70892
622141-8694
612142-7496
602042-8496
591942-9100
581943-8298
571944-7397
12-56100
Total:121223223422445455555555444331