Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Philadelphia+3.6+3.4+2.9-1.5-1.5-5.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
Toronto vs Montreal+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit vs Boston-4.7-0.5-0.4+4.2+4.7+5.0
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.4*-0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Washington vs Montreal+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-164In100.0%1008,737*
1255916-7In99.810001,097*
1245816-8In99.910001,893*
1235716-9In99.8100003,093*
1225717-8In99.810005,055*
1215617-9In99.5100007,867*
1205618-8In99.41000012,240*
1195518-9In99.01000018,816*
1185519-8In98.4990028,415*
1175419-9In97.5991041,545*
1165420-8In96.49811061,073*
1155320-9In94.59721086,765*
1145321-8In91.896220122,519*
1135221-9In88.094330169,044*
1125121-10In83.192540229,348*
1115122-9In76.7887500308,035*
1105022-10In68.9839800404,901*
1095023-9In59.1781210000525,938*
1084923-10In48.570151410669,327*
1074924-9In37.3621918100840,088*
1064824-10In26.35223222001,040,377*
1054825-9100.0%16.842262740001,265,472*
1044725-10100.09.432293260001,515,601*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,789,433*
1024626-10100.01.71529411320002,082,721*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,385,719*
1004527-1099.90.15234223610002,692,956*
994528-999.80.021840291020002,999,003*
984428-1099.50.0113353314400003,287,747*
974429-998.50.009293518710003,547,357*
964329-1096.1No0523352111310003,780,701*
954330-990.8No03163222177200003,971,905*
944230-1081.3No0211272022135100004,110,236*
934231-967.0No0172115231910310004,187,198*
924131-1049.4No0041592124177200004,218,356*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,176,663*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,084,136*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,935,775*
883933-103.8No002027172625156103,738,972*
873934-91.5No0010131021272311303,502,870*
863834-100.5No000001514252818613,238,681*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,948,998*
843735-100.1No00000141327311952,650,266*
833736-90.0No000002821332792,347,295*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,047,891*
813637-90.0No000000292739231,763,907*
803537-100.0No0000152141321,498,916*
793538-90.0No000031540411,254,430*
783438-10OutNo00011037511,036,225*
773439-9OutNo00163360844,059*
763339-10OutNo00042769677,679*
753340-9OutNo0022276536,487*
743240-10OutNo0011782419,743*
733241-9OutNo0011386321,913*
723141-10OutNo00990245,599*
713142-9OutNo00793183,265*
703042-10OutNo0595135,470*
693043-9OutNo0039798,149*
682943-10OutNo029870,130*
672944-9OutNo019949,703*
662844-10OutNo19934,558*
652845-9OutNo19923,664*
642745-10OutNo010015,985*
632746-9OutNo010010,717*
622646-10OutNo01007,175*
612647-9OutNo01004,596*
602547-10OutNo01002,866*
0-59OutNo10012,019*
Total:50.0%3.3%661212666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealNY RangersNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.5%677767776767767
1366511-650.05050
1356512-5No5050
1346412-6No333333
1336211-910.010102010301010
1326212-814.3147714297714
1316112-98.89151563969183333
1306113-85.078108288531335873
1296013-98.36876649676594610
1286014-86.52889291165677888
1275914-97.04699367459611786
1265915-86.3688955986868845
1255916-75.5668856975868755
1245816-88.3689857855767865
1235716-97.5687865866758866
1225717-87.7577966865868766
1215617-97.1688856865868855
1205618-87.1578866866868756
1195518-97.5688866865868866
1185519-87.4688866866868866
1175419-97.5688856866868866
1165420-87.5688856865868866
1155320-97.4588866866858866
1145321-87.4688866866868866
1135221-97.4588855866858855
1125121-107.4588855855858855
1115122-97.4588855855858855
1105022-107.5588855855858855
1095023-97.3589855955959955
1084923-107.3599955955959955
1074924-97.3599955955959955
1064824-107.1499944944949944
1054825-97.14101010441044104101044
1044725-107.04101010441044104101044
1034726-96.93101010331033103101033
1024626-106.73111111331133113111133
1014627-96.63111111331133113111133
1004527-106.43111111331133113111133
994528-96.32111111321132113111123
984428-106.22111111331123113111122
974429-96.03111111331133113111133
964329-105.83111111331133113111133
954330-95.43101010331033103101033
944230-104.7388833833838833
934231-93.9277722722727722
924131-102.8255522522525522
914132-91.8133311311313311
904032-101.0122211211212211
894033-90.5011100100101100
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863935-80.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843836-80.0000000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.000000000000
813637-9No00000000
803739-60.0000000
793639-7No0
0-78No
Total:3.1%1.65.25.25.31.61.65.31.61.65.31.65.35.31.61.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.3+0.3+1.2
Toronto vs Montreal-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Boston+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Montreal-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-164100
1265915-81000
1255916-710000
1245816-810000
1235716-9100000
1225717-810000
1215617-999000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-8962110
1155320-9943210
1145321-89242020
1135221-988633000
1125121-10838504000
1115122-977117050000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-959181201000000
1084923-104822150130010
1074924-93725181170001000
1064824-1026262112111020000
1054825-9172624224210400000
1044725-10923244264206000000
1034726-9519237267509001000
1024626-102132010231080120020000
1014627-9181512171411016110400000
1004527-100510131015151193206010000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-100131021117516980131400000
974429-90018071491112120162701000
964329-100050391151216217511031000
954330-900301411210164148161720000
944230-1000200290614791118313510000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-1000000040141018101120189310000
914132-9000020028044111622189310000
904032-100000100160218818231810410000
894033-9000003010431019231911410000
883933-100000020002131019232013620000
873934-9000010001013918232114720000
863834-10000000000001391723221572000
853835-9000000000138172323167200
843735-100000000013917242315610
833736-90000000013101926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-9000000016152729174
803537-10000000292132269
793538-9000001414303416
783438-1000029253925
773439-900015194135
763339-1000002133946
753340-900183456
743240-1000052866
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-900397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-100199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-10100
572449-90100
0-56100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333