Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Lost to Washington 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 2.9 to 63.5%
32 points   15 10-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 2 Ottawa 4 -0.7
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 +0.7
Washington 4 Boston 3 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.0
-0.1
Anaheim 6 Carolina 5 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Colorado+3.3+3.4+2.7-1.9-1.9-6.9
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5
Tampa Bay vs Vancouver-0.4-0.5-0.4+0.3+0.3+0.9
-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Florida vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.5-0.5*-0.0*-0.1+0.4
Philadelphia vs Edmonton-0.2-0.3-0.3*+0.1*+0.0+0.4
Montreal vs New Jersey+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.1
-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs Carolina+0.2*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2
NY Islanders vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Winnipeg vs NY Rangers+0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-142InYes100738*
122438-4In98.9%99190*
121428-5In96.09631201*
120418-6In97.79821383*
119419-5In91.69352691*
118409-6In88.489821,306*
1174010-5In85.5871042,281*
1163910-6In80.0821353,719*
1153911-5In73.6771776,066*
1143811-6In66.17021909,480*
1133812-5In55.5622612014,562*
1123712-6In45.9533216021,511*
1113713-5In35.3433620031,320*
1103613-6In25.4344124044,529*
1093614-5In16.82644300061,550*
1083514-6In10.31845361082,030*
1073515-5In5.512454220107,629*
1063415-6In2.57434730138,520*
1053416-5In1.04395340171,893*
1043316-6In0.323457700212,029*
1033317-5100.0%0.11286010000251,801*
1023217-6100.00.00236115100294,496*
1013117-7100.00.00176120200335,455*
1003118-699.90.0012572631000374,052*
993018-799.6No085233520000408,826*
983019-698.6No054538641000435,181*
972919-796.0No33642773100454,502*
962920-690.6No2284371172000466,741*
952820-781.3No12041614125100466,208*
942821-667.7No0133641418113000458,186*
932721-751.9No0830212211872000439,268*
922722-635.9No0422182124144100413,305*
912622-722.3No021505172722102000378,895*
902623-612.8No011002112528176100342,181*
892523-76.5No00501619292512300303,782*
882524-63.1No00300312252920710261,953*
872424-71.4No00100161829271330221,765*
862425-60.6No010031125312171184,132*
852325-70.2No000016183129132149,267*
842326-60.1No00003112634215119,149*
832226-70.0No00016203529992,681*
822227-60.0No00031332361570,831*
812127-7OutNo001826412352,615*
802128-6OutNo00420423339,104*
792028-7OutNo00214414327,374*
782029-6OutNo019375319,245*
772030-5OutNo005316313,173*
761930-6OutNo0325718,878*
751830-7OutNo0219795,808*
741831-6OutNo0115843,769*
731731-7OutNo010892,370*
721732-6OutNo08921,486*
711632-7OutNo0496897*
701633-6OutNo496528*
691634-5OutNo298326*
681534-6OutNo199164*
671535-5OutNo100100*
661536-4OutNo49653*
32-65OutNo100705*
Total:63.5%1.1%29262134676543218,009,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealColumbusNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonTampa BayOttawaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyTorontoFloridaDetroitCarolinaNY IslandersBuffalo
142550-06.9%1341311771614543642
127477-1No5050
126467-225.0502525
125435-740.020202040
124436-6No1761161711666116
123437-52.2242174211159119444
122438-45.622671412414103441131
121428-57.02141211781514534660
120418-64.71231412761414553653
119419-53.22251313961311463642
118409-63.61351212881313455642
1174010-54.41351212881213544553
1163910-64.42451212771313544643
1153911-54.71351212981312444552
1143811-64.81351212991211554643
1133812-54.51451211991211554542
1123712-64.424512111091110554532
1113713-54.6245121112111010554432
1103613-64.52461211121199554433
1093614-54.42451111141398654323
1083514-64.43451010151487665323
1073515-54.4445109161576765223
1063415-64.443498181766765223
1053416-54.253477201855776213
1043316-64.263366211944876213
1033317-54.182355222033886113
1023217-64.092244232133986113
1013117-74.1102233242222987114
1003118-63.9112233252222997104
993018-73.9132222252211997004
983019-63.7143222242211997004
3120-43.7143222242211997004
972919-73.5154311232111887004
962920-63.2155311211900876003
3021-43.2155311211900876003
952820-72.8146411181600765003
942821-62.3115411151300554002
932721-71.794311111000443002
922722-61.2632118700332001
912622-70.7321005500221001
902623-60.4210003300111001
892624-50.210000220011000
882524-60.100000110000000
872525-50.10000000000000
862425-60.0000000000
852325-70.000000000
842326-60.00000000
832327-50.00000000
822328-4No000
32-81No
Total:2.4%7.62.52.22.12.114.212.81.31.35.35.04.10.50.42.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 2 Ottawa 4 +0.1
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 -0.1
Washington 4 Boston 3 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Colorado-0.6-0.6-0.4+0.3+0.3+1.2
Tampa Bay vs Vancouver+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
Florida vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal vs New Jersey+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-142100
122438-4991
121428-59631
120418-69821
119419-592152
118409-688182
1174010-5851104
1163910-6802135
1153911-5743177
1143811-6664210900
1133812-55562601200
1123712-646731015010
1113713-535836019010
1103613-625941022020
1093614-5179431250400
1083514-61084412817100
1073515-556423282121000
1063415-6353942631802000
1053416-5133362242604000
1043316-60226817535050100
1033317-5011991164317030000
1023217-60013106648191501000
1013117-7008934503911002000
1003118-600481347782160301000
993018-70260139116324050200000
983019-60140129154331160401000
972919-7030019172336271703100
962920-602001117123656111072000
952820-70105140131942130125100
942821-60002110023132213118113000
932721-7001700151511102211872000
922722-600040081501622024145100
912622-700203120032152622113000
902623-60010180011822281982000
892523-700005000141425261661000
882524-600003000171827241451000
872424-700001000029202723124100
862425-60010013112127211141000
852325-7000001412232620103100
842326-6000015142426188200
832226-7000027172626166100
822227-600003920282412400
812127-7001412242921820
802128-600161728281540
792028-70021023312391
782029-6015163030153
772030-500292534246
761930-601518353210
751830-70211313816
741831-6017254225
731731-705194333
721732-602154439
711632-7194051
701633-6063361
691634-5132274
681534-621682
671535-521286
661536-42179
651335-7991
32-64100
Total:11633115621135214066644322111000