Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Lost to Pittsburgh 1-5, playoff odds down 8.3 to 26.4%
52 points   23 21-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 -5.2
-0.0
No
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Calgary-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.3+0.3+1.3
Washington vs Carolina+0.7-0.2-0.2-1.1-1.2-1.2
Arizona vs Florida+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116320-0In13.6%24751226,231
115310-1InNo1001
114300-2InNo89119*
113301-1InNo588757*
112291-2In0.62899317*
111292-1In0.1185151,120*
110282-2In0.00801903,764*
109272-3InNo07327011,330*
108273-2InNo06634031,978*
107263-3InNo058421082,119*
106264-2InNo4949200198,143*
105254-3InNo4156300443,793*
104255-2100.0%No32626000933,858*
103245-3100.0No2466100001,855,517*
102235-4100.0No1867150103,492,762*
101236-3100.0No12652101006,222,901*
100226-499.9No86128130010,567,085*
99227-399.8No55436150017,078,304*
98217-499.4No346421810026,370,784*
97218-398.4No1374711320038,929,559*
96208-496.4No12850118300055,072,787*
95209-392.6No02049123700074,654,414*
94199-486.1No0134502712100097,166,181*
931910-376.4No08390292040000121,509,724*
921810-463.4No05320272781000146,121,757*
911811-348.3No0224022331530000169,043,731*
901711-433.2No0116016352471000188,347,216*
891712-320.2No001001031311430000202,034,816*
881612-410.7No0050523342381000208,934,759*
871613-34.9No00302143130154100208,215,801*
861513-41.9No0101723322410200200,145,243*
851514-30.7No0000314283018510185,481,694*
841414-40.2No0000172031261230165,867,363*
831415-30.0No000031226322171143,000,799*
821315-40.0No000015183129132118,980,668*
811316-30.0No00000210253423695,416,419*
801216-40.0No0000151734321273,865,561*
791217-30.0No0000021028392055,059,534*
781117-40.0No00001521423239,590,929*
771118-3OutNo000213404427,419,734*
761018-4OutNo0018355718,287,851*
751019-3OutNo0004276911,743,887*
74919-4OutNo00220787,258,636*
73920-3OutNo00114854,296,057*
72820-4OutNo0009912,453,469*
71821-3OutNo006941,342,177*
70721-4OutNo00397702,362*
69722-3OutNo0298352,679*
68622-4OutNo0199169,011*
67623-3OutNo19976,876*
66624-2OutNo010033,647*
65524-3OutNo010013,855*
64525-2OutNo01005,391*
63425-3OutNo01001,979*
62426-2OutNo0100658*
52-61OutNo100226,563*
Total:26.4%0.0%00413091414121097532,729,343,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoCarolinaNY IslandersBuffaloPhiladelphiaTampa BayFloridaDetroitNew Jersey
116320-00.7%32140535593120001
115310-1NoYes
114300-2No335611
113301-1No716585752
112291-20.3441906156110
111292-10.44415058782010000
110282-20.73415055101010100000
109272-30.63315149131310100000
108273-20.63313144161610100000
107263-30.62312238201910100100
106264-20.62210233242310200100
105254-30.6228427272610201100
104255-20.6127522312900201100
103245-30.6115616343200201100
102235-40.6114812363400201110
101236-30.611398383500201110
100226-40.6212105393600301110
99227-30.6222103393600301110
98217-40.6431102383500301110
97218-30.5652101373300201110
96208-40.597291343000201110
219-20.597291343000201110
95209-30.5119381312700201110
198-50.5129381302600201110
94199-40.41310370262300201110
2010-20.41310370272400201110
188-60.41410370252200201100
931910-30.41411350221900101100
189-50.31411350211800101100
2011-10.31411350211800101100
921810-40.31310340161400101000
1911-20.31310340171500101100
179-60.31310340151300101000
911811-30.2119230121000100000
1710-50.211823012900100000
901711-40.1862208600000000
1812-20.1862208600000000
891712-30.1541105400000000
881612-40.022110320000000
871613-30.011000110000000
861513-40.000000100000
851514-30.000000000000
841414-40.000000000000
831415-30.000000000000
821315-40.000000000000
811316-30.00000000000
801317-20.000000
791217-3No0000
781117-40.00
52-77No
Total:0.1%4.43.41.01.90.37.76.60.00.00.50.00.20.20.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 +0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Florida-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Washington vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116320-0141075010
115310-1100
114300-28911
113301-158627
112291-21186328
111292-101813212
110282-20074610180
109272-306310102600
108273-2053130033000
107263-30421600410010
106264-231190048000200
105254-321200055100300
104255-21319005930060000
103245-3717005970090000
102235-4414005412001400010
101236-32110046190021000100
100226-417035260028010300
99227-3050233100351105000
98217-4031432004021080100
97218-3017290043410130200
96208-40132400419101803000
95209-300118003514002307000
94199-40001300271800271121000
931910-30008001821002712040000
921810-400501021002432781000
911811-3002051800185321630000
901711-4001214001063325810000
891712-3000190055263117510000
881612-400005002417312612310000
871613-300030002822292210310000
861513-40010013122427209310000
851514-30000001413242619931000
841414-40000000151423251893100
831415-30000000161423251882000
821315-4000000026152426187200
811316-300000002717262616510
801216-40000000281929261330
791217-30000001311243223700
781117-400000151631331500
771118-300002825392600
761018-40000316403910
751019-300019355320
74919-400004276430
73920-30002197360
72820-40011277100
71821-300778140
70721-400475200
69722-30271261
68622-40164332
67623-3056403
66624-2047475
65524-3038548
64525-20305812
63425-3226018
62426-2175824
61326-3135532
60327-255639
59328-15347
58228-21783
57229-15050
52032-00991
Total:00000013006700721111987655433200