Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Lost to Montreal 0-2, playoff odds down 10.4 to 48.9%
26 points   13 9-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+3.8
+0.1
+0.2
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.3
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.4*+0.1+0.2-0.2-0.4-0.3
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 0 Montreal 2 -6.5
-0.3
-0.4
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.8
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.5
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -0.2
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.2
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.1
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.1
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*+0.1
*-0.0
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-146InYes100935*
122459-6In98.1%98254*
1214510-5In99.2991121*
1204410-6In97.9982188*
1194411-5In91.39352392*
1184311-6In87.79271685*
1174312-5In84.089831,207*
1164212-6In79.28610402,123*
1154112-7In72.68113603,351*
1144113-6In62.774161005,252*
1134013-7In52.867201208,381*
1124014-6In42.25924171012,765*
1113914-7In32.25027211018,694*
1103915-6In22.24229263027,130*
1093815-7In14.33230334038,667*
1083816-6In8.124313870053,819*
1073716-7In3.9172942111073,564*
1063717-6In1.7112745152097,112*
1053617-7100.0%0.67234621300126,153*
1043618-6100.00.24184527600160,989*
1033518-7100.00.02144233910200,992*
1023519-699.90.0110363814200244,915*
1013419-799.80.006304020400292,710*
1003420-699.4No04224026710343,646*
993320-798.6No0216373211100394,246*
983220-896.9No0110323617300442,314*
973221-793.8No0062637246000487,477*
963121-888.4No00419353010100526,489*
953122-780.1No0213303517300558,213*
943022-868.8No01823372461000578,793*
933023-755.0No00515353112200589,319*
922923-840.3No00392835195100588,340*
912924-726.7No0015213526102000575,892*
902824-815.8No012133032175100554,683*
892825-78.4No00172334249200523,546*
882725-83.9No000315313016400482,966*
872726-71.6No00019253323710438,048*
862626-80.6No001518323013200390,274*
852627-70.2No000211283520400339,890*
842527-80.0No00016213628810291,742*
832528-70.0No00031434351310243,979*
822428-80.0No001928392030201,476*
812429-70.0No001521412750162,347*
802329-8OutNo00215393490128,519*
792330-7OutNo0019344014199,680*
782230-8OutNo006284320276,275*
772231-7OutNo003224427457,084*
762232-6OutNo02164334641,850*
752132-7OutNo01113941930,298*
742133-6OutNo00734461321,397*
732033-7OutNo00429491814,781*
722034-6OutNo0223512410,051*
711934-7OutNo011850316,693*
701935-6OutNo11349374,180*
691835-7OutNo0946452,734*
681836-6OutNo0642511,786*
671736-7OutNo0436611,029*
661737-6OutNo42868614*
651637-7OutNo22672372*
641638-6OutNo11980229*
631538-7OutNo2476106*
621640-4OutNo158568*
611439-7OutNo79330*
601440-6OutNo297117*
58-59OutNo1008*
571342-5OutNo1001
26-55OutNo100879*
Total:48.9%0.5%127111314131198631010,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayMontrealNY IslandersDetroitOttawaTorontoWashingtonNY RangersFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
146600-03.9%0108217161844114510
130484-8NoYes
128486-6NoYes
127487-5No5050
126477-614.31443141414
125478-5No33173317
124479-4No20274077
123458-77.4772619154157
122459-613.0207211622411746
1214510-59.98721220204311832
1204410-63.715721616213414561
1194411-54.101011217151544134311
1184311-64.111010217191843102310
1174312-54.108122171616431334100
1164212-64.1011122171617431132100
1154112-74.011113117161633113310
1144113-64.2112132181615331032100
1134013-74.0013131181516331132100
1124014-64.2014151181516331032100
1113914-74.101517118141532922100
1103915-64.001618119141422922100
1093815-73.901820119131422822000
1083816-63.901921119121322811000
1073716-73.812022120121211711000
1063717-63.712223119111111611000
1053617-73.722324120111111611000
1043618-63.532324119111011611000
1033518-73.442324219101011510000
1023519-63.3623242189911500000
1013419-73.3823233179911500000
1003420-63.21123234168811400000
993320-73.11422215157711400000
983220-83.11822206136611300000
973221-72.92021197125511300000
963121-82.72220177104410200000
953122-72.4231815783310100000
943022-82.1221512662210100000
933023-71.619129542110100000
923024-61.21597431100000000
912924-70.81164321000000000
902925-60.5632210000000000
892825-70.3421100000000000
882826-60.1211000000000000
872726-70.0100000000000000
862727-60.00000000000000
852627-70.0000000000000
842628-60.00000000000
832528-7No00000
822630-4No00000
812631-3No0
26-80No
Total:1.6%9.810.99.83.06.43.13.00.50.31.60.30.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.6
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 0 Montreal 2 +1.0
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.0
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-146100
122459-6982
1214510-5991
1204410-69812
1194411-591152
1184311-688471
1174312-584583
1164212-67961040
1154112-773913060
1144113-6631116010000
1134013-7531420012000
1124014-64216240160010
1113914-73218261201010
1103915-622202812411300
1093815-714182822921400
1083816-68162743142070000
1073716-7413245317401100100
1063717-62101972811601500200
1053617-71614823159020103000
1043618-604991717110242006000
1033518-702581018131275109010
1023519-60137516132279101402000
1013419-700152121142413201914000
1003420-600318851818402427010
993320-70020556112060275110100
983220-8001023661971289170300
973221-700001142157224132316000
963121-8000000311054181827310100
953122-700020534101929716300
943022-80001032451825122271000
933023-700000113213181727144100
922923-800000002091019262292000
912924-70000010541721271772000
902824-80001021121325251451000
892825-70000010761827231241000
882725-800000003210212721114100
872726-7000001141323261993000
862626-800010161625251772000
852627-70000028192624145100
842527-8000001311222822103000
832528-70000015142527187100
822428-800002819282613400
812429-700013112430218100
802329-80001617292814300
792330-7000311253122710
782230-8000161831291320
772231-70021227342050
762232-6001621342891
752132-70003143234142
742133-60192737214
732033-70152137297
722034-60315363511
711934-70110324017
701935-616274422
691835-703214531
681836-603164437
671736-7194346
661737-6073755
651637-7053263
641638-622474
631538-732572
621640-411979
611439-7793
601440-62971
58-59100
571342-5100
26-55100
Total:011122214521769587665543321100