Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Rangers 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 1.6 to 80.3%
35 points   15 10-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 2 NY Rangers 3 (ot)-0.8
-0.0
-0.0
Ottawa 3 Montreal 0 +0.5
NY Islanders 4 Los Angeles 3 (ot)-0.1
Philadelphia 2 Dallas 1 (ot)-0.1
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 4 -0.1
Washington 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Florida+0.6*-0.0*-0.0-0.7-0.8-0.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-139InYes1005,256*
125435-4In85.0%851520*
124436-3In83.3831748*
123426-4In86.58713126*
122427-3In77.88218216*
121417-4In71.87525554*
120407-5In64.269311,097*
119408-4In57.0620382,042*
118398-5In48.6540453,966*
117399-4In38.84605307,367*
116389-5In32.041059013,275*
115379-6In24.534065022,599*
1143710-5In17.428171037,974*
1133610-6In11.722177161,214*
1123611-5In7.517181196,458*
1113511-6In4.4131851148,443*
1103512-5In2.391872220,677*
1093412-6In1.1618940318,655*
1083413-5In0.4418950448,164*
1073313-6In0.1318980613,957*
1063314-5In0.01187100821,228*
1053214-6In0.011841401,069,796*
1043215-5In0.0018118001,354,190*
1033115-6In0.000762301,677,040*
1023116-5In0.0007128002,024,377*
1013016-6100.0%No0065340002,390,117*
1003017-5100.0No0059410002,748,559*
992917-6100.0No00524700003,093,578*
982918-5100.0No004554100003,399,587*
972818-699.9No03960100003,645,123*
962819-599.7No032652100003,824,812*
952719-699.0No026692210003,919,795*
942720-597.3No0207223210003,929,043*
932620-693.9No0157324420003,850,745*
922621-588.3No0117214641003,689,173*
912521-680.5No0869138831003,454,848*
902522-570.8No056302812720003,168,855*
892422-660.1No0355017151340002,839,274*
882423-549.1No2470151520102002,488,837*
872323-638.5No1370031324174002,135,453*
862324-528.7No0280011026258101,789,162*
852224-620.3No02000162332153001,468,798*
842225-513.4No0130031836236101,178,863*
832125-68.3No080011235301220923,851*
822126-54.8No05001729361940709,338*
812026-62.5No0300422372770532,404*
802027-51.2No01002153535120391,489*
791927-60.5No10193040191280,670*
781928-50.2No00052343281197,709*
771828-60.1No00021642372135,431*
761829-50.0No001103847490,436*
751729-60.0No00063154859,174*
741730-50.0No00325611137,703*
731630-6OutNo00218641623,764*
721631-50.0No00113652114,583*
711531-6OutNo00963288,581*
701532-5OutNo0560355,080*
691432-6OutNo0454422,926*
681433-5OutNo248511,565*
671333-6OutNo14158884*
661334-5OutNo03268417*
651234-6OutNo03565255*
641235-5OutNo2278102*
631236-4OutNo237766*
621035-7OutNo109020*
611238-2OutNo13888*
60835-9OutNo25754*
35-59OutNo1005,245*
Total:80.3%0.1%003048112454321065,385,066

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoWashingtonNew JerseyColumbusNY RangersNY IslandersPhiladelphiaCarolinaPittsburghMontrealFloridaOttawaDetroitBuffalo
139520-03.4%11012111215149111111
128454-3No333333
127444-4No333333
126434-5No141414291414
125435-4No15155151552055
124436-34.2178198101381024
123426-47.1141281561069132222
122427-31.917981191213682113
121417-43.124810910109681111
120407-52.90307988119751122
119408-43.60357777108652222
118398-53.242667777562222
117399-42.9049556666552222
116389-52.7054455566442222
115379-63.10604444553322220
1143710-52.90653334443322220
1133610-62.90702333332222220
1123611-52.90752222222222220
1113511-62.71781222221122220
1103512-52.71811111111122220
1093412-62.71841111111122220
1083413-52.71851111110022220
1073313-62.61870000100022220
1063314-52.61880000000022220
1053214-62.61880000000022220
1043215-52.51890000000022220
1033115-62.51890000000022220
1023116-52.41890000000022220
1013016-62.41890000000022220
1003017-52.42890000000022220
992917-62.42890000000022220
982918-52.32880000000022220
972818-62.32880000000022220
962819-52.22870000000022220
952719-62.23851000000022220
942720-52.14831000000022220
932620-62.05800000000022220
922621-51.95750000000022210
912521-61.74700000000012210
902522-51.53620000000011110
892422-61.32540000000011110
882423-51.01450000000011110
872323-60.81360000000000000
862324-50.60270000000000000
852224-60.4019000000000
842225-50.30130000000
832125-60.208000000
822126-50.10500000
812026-60.00200000
802027-50.0010000
791927-60.0010000
781928-50.00000
771828-60.000
761829-50.00
751830-4No0
741730-5No0
731933-0No
721530-7No0
35-71No
Total:1.8%2.270.30.20.20.20.20.10.10.00.01.71.81.71.40.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 2 NY Rangers 3 (ot)+0.2
Ottawa 3 Montreal 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Florida-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126-139100
125435-48515
124436-38317
123426-48713
122427-378418
121417-472325
120407-564531
119408-4575038
118398-54960450
117399-439805300
116389-5329005800
115379-62410065100
1143710-517111070100
1133610-612101074201
1123611-5891077401
1113511-64810787010
1103512-52710751100200
1093412-615107118104000
1083413-504106226105000
1073313-602115234307000
1063314-5010139435010100
1053214-60101264981122000
1043215-50000165112214300000
1033115-600008481551661000
1023116-500003411710151120000
1013016-600013017171316500000
1003017-500002014249219100000
992917-60000121130624153000000
982918-5000067332232080000000
972818-6000343211924161100000
962819-50001229013242811100000
952719-600125072141021110000
942720-5000200416530211210000
932620-60001501106202123210000
922621-5000110665011334310000
912521-6000803650103366310000
902522-5005026100022588420000
892422-60030155000113811952000
882423-520046001025111411620000
872323-610037000013814171262000
862324-500280000141018191351000
852224-600200000016142120124100
842225-5001300002818252010300
832125-60800014122326187100
822126-500500001616272614400
812026-60300029223023920
802027-501000141528301740
791927-610028223326800
781928-5000141531341510
771828-600002926392410
761829-5001418403430
751729-6000212364460
741730-5000173052100
731630-60042358150
721631-50021660210
711531-6011159281
701532-50756351
691432-60450423
681433-5243505
671333-6137548
661334-5028639
651234-6296111
641235-5226118
631236-4205823
621035-7105040
611238-2135038
60835-9255025
591038-4100
35-55100
Total:000049414379300101112222222111000