Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 24.5%
35 points   16 14-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 1 +0.5
New Jersey 0 Washington 4 -0.4
Carolina 2 NY Rangers 3 (so)-0.4
Toronto 4 Philadelphia 7 +0.2
Montreal 4 Ottawa 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Boston vs Buffalo+2.3+2.3+1.7-2.3-2.3-6.0
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5
Chicago vs Toronto+0.4-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5
NY Rangers vs Carolina-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.6
Detroit vs Colorado-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.5
Winnipeg vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-133InYes10010,433*
121414-4In66.7%83176*
120415-3In87.51008*
119394-6In73.5881234*
118406-3In65.6811990*
117396-4In56.677221189*
116386-5In52.473252452*
115387-4In35.76335201,007*
114377-5In30.55739402,004*
113378-4In19.647476003,919*
112368-5In13.039529007,696*
111369-4In7.33056131114,478*
110359-5In3.622581721026,168*
1093510-4In1.5165721420045,660*
1083410-5In0.51054257400076,286*
1073310-6In0.264926118010125,253*
1063311-5In0.0341261612010198,314*
1053211-6In0.0233232217130304,926*
1043212-5100.0%0.01241926223500456,754*
1033112-6100.00.001713292659100661,200*
1023113-599.9No01182827914200934,752*
1013013-699.8No064242614205001,284,409*
1003014-599.3No0321921182791001,714,361*
992914-698.0No02113162031152002,234,841*
982915-595.2No0108102033234002,833,760*
972815-689.9No005518313191003,500,370*
962816-581.3No00231326371620004,224,041*
952716-669.4No0011919392560004,963,876*
942717-555.1No00006123633111005,686,259*
932617-640.2No00003730391830006,357,066*
922618-526.8No0001422402671006,937,269*
912518-616.2No00012143734121007,391,181*
902519-58.8No0000183039193007,678,643*
892419-64.3No0000422402760007,786,168*
882420-51.9No00002153734111007,719,151*
872320-60.8No00193139182007,472,009*
862321-50.3No00052441264007,055,245*
852221-60.1No000216393381006,509,342*
842222-50.0No0001103440131005,864,549*
832122-60.0No00062743203005,163,956*
822123-50.0No0032043285004,435,516*
812023-60.0No0021340359103,728,937*
802024-5OutNo018344115103,052,331*
791924-6OutNo005274322302,442,252*
781925-5OutNo002204329501,910,958*
771825-6OutNo001133936911,454,778*
761826-5OutNo00833421511,084,738*
751726-6OutNo0052645213789,401*
741727-5OutNo0021945295559,640*
731627-6OutNo011342368388,421*
721628-5OutNo018364212261,683*
711528-6OutNo005304718171,788*
701529-5OutNo003234925110,548*
691429-6OutNo0117493369,406*
681430-5OutNo0112464242,091*
671330-6OutNo08425025,213*
661331-5OutNo05365914,264*
651231-6OutNo0330678,119*
641232-5OutNo225734,348*
631233-4OutNo0119802,391*
621133-5OutNo115841,214*
611033-6OutNo01089639*
601034-5OutNo0595316*
59934-6OutNo397149*
58935-5OutNo29862*
57936-4OutNo109020*
56836-5OutNo89212*
35-55OutNo10010,440*
Total:24.5%0.0%010223611151717148310125,815,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghNY IslandersTampa BayDetroitTorontoMontrealNY RangersWashingtonFloridaOttawaPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
133490-02.4%0315151615910863100
125432-4NoYes
124444-1NoYes
123423-4YesYes
121414-4No17331733
120415-3No1313251338
119394-6No1512181521669
118406-31.1713181917111762
117396-42.614171916166764311
116386-53.31313181717108462000
115387-42.202131816187976200
114377-52.00413171718710762000
113378-42.0141415181691065200
112368-51.9051315171710965200
111369-42.01613161616101154200
110359-51.817131515151111542000
1093510-41.9181214141413134420000
1083410-51.9210121314131413432000
1073310-61.82121113121215143320000
1063311-51.73141112111116143220000
1053211-61.7416111211111614222000
1043212-51.75171111101016142210000
1033112-61.6618121110101613211000
1023113-51.58181211101015131110000
1013013-61.51018131210914111110000
1003014-51.4141713129912101110000
992914-61.318161412991081100000
982915-51.22315141188861000000
972815-61.12713141077751000000
2714-81.12813131077650000000
962816-51.0301112866530000000
2917-31.0301112866530000000
952716-60.831910745320000000
2615-80.83089644320000000
942717-50.62767533210000000
2818-30.62767433210000000
932617-60.52245322110000000
922618-50.31633211100000000
912518-60.21022111000000000
902519-50.1611000000000000
892419-60.0300000000000000
882420-50.0100000000000000
872320-60.010000000000000
862321-50.00000000000000
852221-60.0000000000000
842222-50.000000000
832122-6No000000000
822123-5No00000000
812023-6No0000
35-80No
Total:0.3%8.73.33.22.31.71.71.81.30.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Buffalo-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.9

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-133100
121414-4671717
120415-38813
119394-6741512
118406-3661619
117396-45720221
116386-55221252
115387-43627340200
114377-53027390400
113378-4202845150000
112368-513265027100
111369-472352410311
110359-54195171252100
1093510-41144611138402000
1083410-519401413127040000
1073310-60631171016110710100
1063311-5032219719161920100
1053211-601141941920212510300
1043212-501816217234139305000
1033112-600413112227131350811000
1023113-50290818101017901312000
1013013-60160413126201311734000
1003014-50030271231816220790100
992914-6002014101141652011141200
982915-50010170101371716212400
972815-600004059912192659100
962816-5000020259719289163000
952716-600001012731624152371000
942717-5000000151111720281430000
932617-6000000307921292281000
922618-50000010341824291541000
912518-600000102113163024102000
902519-5000000108925301971000
892419-6000000044173027144000
882420-500000022924312282000
872320-6000104162929164100
862321-5000002822322492000
852221-60000004142931164100
842222-500000182233259200
832122-6000004143031164000
822123-5000182334248100
812023-600004153131153000
802024-5000192534237100
791924-60000417333013200
781925-50002102734205100
771825-6001520342810100
761826-5000213303417300
751726-60017243624710
741727-500041634311220
731627-60011029361940
721628-501522372770
711528-6003153534121
701529-500192939192
691429-60052241274
681430-5031640347
671330-60110354211
661331-5007294617
651231-6003244924
641232-502175031
631233-401124938
621133-5094347
611033-634156
601034-5013366
59934-612673
58935-52377
57936-41585
56836-52575
55837-41388
54838-35050
35049-0100
Total:000000110122245689101010975421000