Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 47.7%
27 points   13 9-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)+3.8
+0.1
+0.2
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.3
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 0 Montreal 2 -6.5
-0.3
-0.4
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.8
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +0.5
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -0.2
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -0.2
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.1
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.1
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*+0.1
*-0.0
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-145InYes10015,017*
125478-4In98.6%99173*
124468-5In98.19811155*
123458-6In98.0991299*
122459-5In95.89730621*
121449-6In94.495411,255*
1204410-5In90.692712,372*
1194310-6In86.689924,383*
1184311-5In82.38612207,951*
1174211-6In76.982143014,330*
1164111-7In69.577195024,327*
1154112-6In60.871227040,999*
1144012-7In51.0632710067,391*
1134013-6In40.755311300106,878*
1123913-7In30.647341810166,003*
1113914-6In21.4383723200252,416*
1103814-7In13.5303929300372,811*
1093815-6In7.8223934500538,435*
1083715-7In3.9163739700760,951*
1073716-6100.0%1.7103444111001,051,605*
1063616-7100.00.662946162001,416,128*
1053617-6100.00.242447223001,871,188*
1043517-7100.00.0218452860002,418,750*
1033518-6100.00.01134134101003,056,824*
1023418-799.90.0093638152003,777,811*
1013419-699.80.0062941214004,576,929*
1003319-799.5No0322412771005,427,595*
993320-698.7No02153833111006,302,160*
983220-797.2No01103337173007,170,179*
973221-694.4No00626382450007,993,381*
963121-789.6No003193630910008,731,047*
953021-882.0No0021331361520009,344,956*
943022-771.5No01824382351009,805,977*
932922-858.4No00517363010200010,088,205*
922923-744.1No00310313517400010,177,146*
912823-830.4No0016233624810010,053,016*
902824-718.9No0013163331143009,745,884*
892724-810.6No0001927342171009,265,279*
882725-75.2No0005193328122008,630,799*
872625-82.3No0002122933195007,889,540*
862626-70.9No0001722342691007,067,163*
852526-80.3No00003153233152006,211,639*
842527-70.1No000192637224005,355,737*
832427-80.0No000151937308104,527,038*
822428-70.0No0000213343613103,749,547*
812328-80.0No00018284120303,049,091*
802329-70.0No0004214227502,427,752*
792229-8OutNo002154034801,894,848*
782230-7OutNo001935401311,452,113*
772231-6OutNo00629441921,089,063*
762131-7OutNo0032346263800,920*
752132-6OutNo0021744335578,404*
742032-7OutNo011141398408,495*
732033-6OutNo0008364511283,623*
721933-7OutNo005304916191,625*
711934-6OutNo03255122128,013*
701834-7OutNo0219522882,851*
691835-6OutNo0114503553,111*
681735-7OutNo0010474333,073*
671736-6OutNo07435020,217*
661636-7OutNo04395711,939*
651637-6OutNo0333637,088*
641537-7OutNo228704,046*
631538-6OutNo123762,324*
621438-7OutNo120791,244*
611439-6OutNo11683619*
601339-7OutNo1189365*
591239-8OutNo11188169*
581240-7OutNo298101*
571241-6OutNo39733*
27-56OutNo10015,003*
Total:47.7%0.2%12611131514111086310180,618,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitMontrealOttawaTorontoWashingtonNY RangersFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
145590-03.9%09113131719541043100
129496-4No5050
128486-5No141414141429
127487-4No40202020
126477-53.2661619133319633
125478-42.716111418153410711
124468-55.86181422245510331
123458-62.01501415191845142200
122459-53.208112151819551033100
121449-63.90711415181755113310
1204410-53.50911316171934113310
1194310-63.709114161718341133100
1184311-54.109115161718441033100
1174211-63.609115161718441032100
1164111-73.6010115171617441032100
1154112-63.9010116171617331032100
1144012-73.701111718161733922100
1134013-63.801211818151633922000
1123913-73.701311919151533822000
1113914-63.601412020141522722000
1103814-73.601612121131422721000
1093815-63.501712221131322611000
1083715-73.401912322121322611000
1073716-63.412012422111211511000
1063616-73.212112522111111511000
1053617-63.222212522101111411000
1043517-73.122212522101011400000
1033518-63.04232252191011400000
1023418-72.9623225219911400000
1013419-62.9823324208910300000
1003319-72.81124423198810300000
993320-62.71424522177710300000
983220-72.61823620156610200000
973221-62.52123618135510200000
963121-72.42422715114400100000
953122-62.1252071393300100000
943022-71.9251771072200100000
933023-61.523146851100000000
922923-71.118105531100000000
912924-60.81373320000000000
902824-70.5942210000000000
892825-60.3521110000000000
882725-70.1311000000000000
872726-60.1100000000000000
862626-70.0000000000000000
852627-60.0000000000000000
842527-70.0000000000000000
832528-60.0000000000000
822529-50.000000000
812328-8No000000
802430-5No00
27-79No
Total:1.3%10.711.23.08.96.82.62.70.30.21.10.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.6
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 0 Montreal 2 +1.0
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.0
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-145100
125478-4991
124468-59811
123458-69811
122459-596130
121449-694141
1204410-591171
1194310-687392
1184311-58241220
1174211-677514030
1164111-76971905000
1154112-661102207000
1144012-7511227010000
1134013-64114310130000
1123913-731163411700100
1113914-6211736222112000
1103814-714163632522030000
1093815-68143452833050000
1083715-741230729550700000
1073716-6292492897011001000
1063616-71618112413100161002000
1053617-6031212181613120103000
1043517-70271112181512430060000
1033518-601410617153277101001000
1023418-700273141452611201402000
1013419-600151101172117301914000
1003319-7003067815215024370100
993320-6002034882261276110100
983220-70010227420622611161300
973221-600001151156422162225000
963121-7000000301045152126491000
953021-80000020625922279153000
943022-70001031542023152171000
932922-8000001031151620251331000
922923-7000000020109222520820000
912823-8000000106420202616610000
902824-700001031141325241351000
892724-800000010971927221131000
882725-700000005312232719930000
872625-8000000021515252617720000
862626-7000010281927241451000
852526-800000013112227221030000
842527-7000000151425271872000
832427-800000028182825144100
822428-700000013112329219200
812328-80000016162828165100
802329-700002102331239200
792229-80001516293016400
782230-700029243323810
772231-600151731301320
762131-700021127342050
752132-60001621352891
742032-7003143334142
732033-6000192838214
721933-700152139286
711934-600315373510
701834-700110334015
691835-6016284421
681735-7004224529
671736-602164537
661636-701114345
651637-60183853
641537-7053461
631538-6032968
621438-732275
611439-612178
601339-701287
591239-811485
581240-7397
571241-6397
561141-7694
27-55100
Total:001112223512678787765543321100