Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 47%
3 points   1 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Minnesota+5.4+4.8+3.6-1.4-1.4-6.2
+0.4+0.4+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4
+0.7+0.8+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.9
Vegas vs Arizona+0.2-0.6*-0.1-0.6-0.5*+0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose*+0.2-0.4-0.6*-0.2-0.6*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-109In99.6%100247*
86399-5In98.2982111*
85389-6In99.11000218*
843810-5In97.6991375*
833811-4In96.89910591*
823711-5In94.799101,018*
813712-4In90.897311,580*
803612-5In86.894422,456*
793512-6In80.992623,548*
783513-5In72.0879405,175*
773413-6In60.68113607,419*
763414-5In48.473179010,159*
753314-6In35.8642214013,886*
743315-5In23.25227201017,973*
733215-6In12.93932272023,386*
723216-5100.0%5.827343540029,371*
713116-6100.02.116334380035,897*
703117-5100.00.5829491410043,404*
693017-699.90.1321512230050,888*
683018-599.70.01144633600058,588*
672918-698.9No07374213110064,905*
662919-596.4No03244621330071,633*
652819-689.9No011241279910076,161*
642820-577.6No0528261918400080,806*
632720-658.8No01151626261230083,023*
622721-537.1No0662526241020083,473*
612621-619.5No02216183022920082,626*
602622-58.2No00088253120710079,631*
592522-63.0No000331328301751075,425*
582523-50.8No000115183028143070,341*
572423-60.3No0000282233259162,995*
562424-50.1No00000313293318356,571*
552324-60.0No00016203629949,304*
542325-50.0No00021232381641,504*
532225-60.0No001624422734,811*
522226-5OutNo00316423928,476*
512126-6OutNo019385122,734*
502127-5OutNo006316317,976*
492027-6OutNo003267113,695*
482028-5OutNo01198010,391*
471928-6OutNo0113867,530*
461929-5OutNo09915,451*
451829-6OutNo06933,813*
441830-5OutNo04962,638*
431730-6OutNo02981,808*
421731-5OutNo2981,116*
411631-6OutNo199732*
401632-5OutNo0100491*
391532-6OutNo0100299*
3-38OutNo100481*
Total:47.0%2.6%55121266667777771,437,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNew JerseyPhiladelphiaWashingtonNY IslandersSt. LouisColoradoMinnesotaArizonaBostonPittsburghNY RangersLos AngelesSan JoseBuffalo
109530-04.3%11171618131510
93414-8NoYes
92437-350.05050
91427-4NoYes
90428-320.010101010103020
89418-48.325888881788
88408-52.41775121212152107
87409-49.215236211814992965
86399-55.413533414912732210124
85389-66.4934641411109526872
843810-54.51336637111010343795
833811-47.8854651199104448103
823711-56.910655410999564884
813712-45.71055459999455894
803612-56.01055551010108555874
793512-66.1954559998555885
783513-56.1955559999555785
773413-66.4865559998555775
763414-56.69555589108555785
753314-66.4105555109108554874
743315-56.110555599109555784
733215-66.21244441010109444884
723216-56.113434411111110343883
713116-66.414333312121210333993
703117-56.2152222131313112221092
693017-66.11622221313141122110101
2916-86.21612221314141211110101
683018-56.41711111414141211110101
3119-36.41612111414141211110101
672918-66.01711111314141211110101
2817-86.11722211313131111110101
662919-55.91622211313131111110101
2818-75.7152222121212112219101
3020-36.216222212121311121991
652819-65.914333211111110222981
2718-85.71333331110109222781
642820-54.91133339998222661
2921-34.81133339997222661
632720-63.7933336665222441
622721-52.4622224443111221
612621-61.2311112221111110
602622-50.5200001111000000
592623-40.2100000000000000
582523-50.0000000000000000
572524-40.00000000000000
562525-30.000000000000
552425-40.00000000
542426-30.0000000
532326-40.000
3-52No
Total:2.9%7.01.61.61.51.45.65.65.64.81.21.21.14.14.10.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota-1.1-1.1-0.8+0.3+0.2+1.4
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose*-0.0+0.1*+0.1*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
89-109100
88408-5982
87409-4100
86399-5982
85389-69900
843810-59821
833811-497210
823711-595410
813712-491631
803612-587742
793512-68111602
783513-572159040
773413-66121120600
763414-548251719000
753314-6362820214000
743315-52329243181010
733215-61326266233202000
723216-562124102664040000
713116-6214191424118070000
703117-51712161916131121101000
693017-6036151118193183203000
683018-5012114151982076060000
672918-601619141316121211211100
662919-50020371491518418330300
652819-60010129211189199909100
642820-50000405101312141721651000
632720-6000101311412207201551000
622721-5000015161311142216821000
612621-600020251161722191151000
602622-500000161615212215831000
592522-6000030151219221912520000
582523-500001001391622211583100
572423-600000012714212318104100
562424-50000000251220242011410
552324-60000015112126211130
542325-500001412222821102
532225-600015142629195
522226-5002719312912
512126-6001311273721
502127-50016204033
492027-6003143845
482028-50183358
471928-60052768
461929-5022177
451829-6011584
441830-5011089
431730-60693
421731-50595
411631-60298
401632-50198
391532-6199
3-38100
Total:3333333333424342444443333333333