Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Ottawa 3-2, playoff odds up 0.4 to 99.7%

55 points 26 14-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3	+0.4		+0.2
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Winnipeg	-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2		-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

81	13	0		-	0	In		76.7	%	96	4													60,598
80	12	0		-	1	In		58.6		91	9	0												108,227
79	12	1		-	0	In		40.6		84	16	0												515,802	*
78	11	1		-	1	In		22.5		72	26	2	0											1,123,865	*
77	11	2		-	0	In		10.6		57	39	4	0											1,698,005
	10	1		-	2	In		8.8		54	39	7	0											1,324,643	*
76	10	2		-	1	In		3.0		38	50	12	0											4,254,754
	9	1		-	3	In		2.2		34	49	17	0											981,838	*
75	9	2		-	2	In		0.5		20	55	25	0											4,843,687
	10	3		-	0	In		0.6		22	58	20	0											5,306,097	*
74	9	3		-	1	In		0.1		10	54	35	0											10,952,366
	8	2		-	3	In		0.0		7	47	44	1											3,488,063	*
73	8	3		-	2	In		0.0		3	41	54	2											11,224,081
	9	4		-	0	In		0.0		4	48	47	1											9,279,398
	7	2		-	4	In		0.0		2	32	62	4											1,558,489	*
72	8	4		-	1	In		0.0		1	31	63	5	0										19,019,046
	7	3		-	3	In		0.0		0	23	69	8	0										7,310,122	*
71	7	4		-	2	In		No		0	15	71	14	0	0									17,332,032
	8	5		-	0	In		0.0		0	21	70	9	0										13,006,024	*
	6	3		-	4	In		No		0	10	72	18	0	0									2,714,585
70	7	5		-	1	In		No		0	9	69	22	0	0									23,499,126
	6	4		-	3	In		No		0	5	66	28	0	0									9,212,316
	5	3		-	5	In		No		0	3	62	35	0	0									760,652	*
69	6	5		-	2	100.0	%	No		0	2	57	40	1	0	0								18,726,447
	7	6		-	0	In		No		0	4	63	32	0	0									13,278,783
	5	4		-	4	In		No		0	1	51	47	1	0									3,293,167	*
68	6	6		-	1	100.0		No		0	1	46	52	2	0	0								21,167,158
	5	5		-	3	100.0		No			0	39	58	2	0	0								8,537,563
	4	4		-	5	100.0		No			0	33	64	3	0	0								736,372	*
67	5	6		-	2	100.0		No			0	28	67	5	0	0								14,465,844
	6	7		-	0	100.0		No			0	34	61	4	0	0								10,253,450
	4	5		-	4	100.0		No			0	22	71	7	0	0								2,542,903	*
66	5	7		-	1	100.0		No			0	17	71	10	1	0	0							14,012,371
	4	6		-	3	100.0		No			0	13	74	12	2	0	0							5,947,784	*
65	4	7		-	2	99.8		No			0	7	71	17	5	0	0							7,977,378
	5	8		-	0	99.9		No			0	10	70	15	4	0	0							5,938,435
	3	6		-	4	99.7		No			0	5	70	19	5	0	0							1,300,991	*
64	4	8		-	1	99.3		No			0	3	63	22	12	1	0	0						6,760,060
	3	7		-	3	99.1		No				2	61	23	13	1	0	0						2,599,136	*
63	3	8		-	2	97.6		No				1	50	23	24	2	0	0						3,080,606
	4	9		-	0	98.0		No				1	51	22	23	2	0	0						2,977,264	*
62	3	9		-	1	94.2		No				0	36	19	39	5	1	0	0					3,062,621	*
61	2	9		-	2	87.2		No				0	23	12	52	9	3	0	0					792,876
	3	10		-	0	88.5		No				0	25	12	52	8	3	0	0					868,224	*
60	2	10		-	1	76.8		No				0	13	5	58	12	9	2	0					663,278	*
59	2	11		-	0	62.9		No					7	2	54	13	18	6	0	0				295,687	*
58	1	11		-	1	44.7		No					3	0	42	10	27	16	2	0				84,923	*
57	1	12		-	0	30.1		No					1	0	29	6	28	29	7	0				30,017	*
56	0	12		-	1	15.5		No					0		15	3	21	42	17	2				4,778
55	0	13		-	0	7.9		No					0		8	1	12	42	32	5	0			25,324

Total:						99.7	%	0.4	%	3	15	44	32	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0			298,997,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:								Chance will play in first round
TP	W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Toronto	Tampa Bay	Carolina	Florida	Edmonton	Montreal	Nashville	Chicago	Dallas	Vancouver	Calgary	Columbus	Detroit	Ottawa

81	13	0		-	0	6.3	%	0	0	0	0	16	43	14	7	4	6	9	0	0
80	12	0		-	1	6.1		0	0	0	0	14	41	16	8	5	6	8	0	0	0
79	12	1		-	0	6.2		0	0	0	0	14	40	18	9	5	6	8	0	0	0
78	11	1		-	1	6.2		0	0	0	1	14	37	20	9	5	5	7	0	0	0
77	11	2		-	0	6.2		1	0	0	1	15	35	22	10	6	5	6	0	0	0
	10	1		-	2	6.3		1	0	0	1	17	34	22	10	6	5	5	0	0	0
76	10	2		-	1	6.2		1	0	0	1	20	30	24	10	6	4	4	0	0	0
	9	1		-	3	6.3		1	0	0	1	24	30	22	9	5	4	4	0	0	0
75	9	2		-	2	6.2		1	0	0	1	30	26	22	9	5	3	2	0	0	0
	10	3		-	0	6.2		1	0	1	1	26	27	24	9	5	3	3	0	0	0
74	9	3		-	1	6.2		2	0	1	1	36	24	20	8	4	2	2	0	0	0
	8	2		-	3	6.2		2	0	0	1	43	23	17	6	4	2	1	0	0	0
73	8	3		-	2	6.2		3	0	0	1	50	21	13	5	3	2	1	0	0	0
	9	4		-	0	6.3		3	0	0	1	44	22	17	6	4	2	1	0	0	0
	7	2		-	4	6.2		4	0	0	0	56	21	10	4	2	2	1	0	0	0
72	8	4		-	1	6.3		5	0	0	0	56	20	10	3	2	2	1	0	0	0
	7	3		-	3	6.2		6	0	0	0	62	19	7	2	1	2	1	0	0
71	7	4		-	2	6.2		7	0	0	0	66	18	4	1	1	2	1	0	0	0
	8	5		-	0	6.3		6	0	0	0	62	19	6	2	1	2	1	0	0
	6	3		-	4	6.3		7	0	0	0	70	17	2	1	0	1	0	0
70	7	5		-	1	6.3		8	0	0	0	69	18	2	1	0	1	0	0	0
	6	4		-	3	6.3		8	0	0	0	72	16	1	0	0	1	0	0
	5	3		-	5	6.2		8	0	0	0	75	15	1	0	0	1	0	0
69	6	5		-	2	6.2		9	0	0	0	72	16	1	0	0	1	0	0
	7	6		-	0	6.2		9	0	0	0	70	17	1	0	0	1	0	0
	5	4		-	4	6.3		9	0	0	0	75	15	0	0	0	1	0	0
68	6	6		-	1	6.3		10	0	0	0	73	16	0	0	0	1	0	0
	5	5		-	3	6.2		10	0	0	0	74	14	0	0	0	1	0	0
	4	4		-	5	6.3		9	0	0	0	76	13	0	0	0	1	0
67	5	6		-	2	6.3		11	0	0	0	73	13	0	0	0	1	0	0
	6	7		-	0	6.3		11	0	0	0	72	15	0	0	0	1	0	0
	4	5		-	4	6.2		11	1	1	0	75	11	0	0	0	1	0
66	5	7		-	1	6.2		14	1	1	1	70	12	0	0	0	1	0
	4	6		-	3	6.2		14	2	2	1	71	10	0	0	0	1	0
65	4	7		-	2	6.2		18	3	3	2	65	8	0	0	0	1	0
	5	8		-	0	6.3		18	2	2	2	65	10	0	0	0	1	0
	3	6		-	4	6.3		19	3	4	2	65	6	0	0		1	0
64	4	8		-	1	6.2		23	5	5	3	57	5	0	0	0	1	0
	3	7		-	3	6.2		23	6	6	4	56	4	0			0	0
63	3	8		-	2	6.1		28	8	8	5	46	2	0	0	0	0	0
	4	9		-	0	6.1		27	8	8	5	47	3	0	0	0	0	0
62	3	9		-	1	5.9		31	10	11	6	35	1	0			0	0
61	3	10		-	0	5.5		33	11	13	6	25	0	0			0	0
	2	9		-	2	5.5		35	11	12	6	23	0				0	0
60	2	10		-	1	4.8		36	10	12	5	14	0	0			0	0
59	2	11		-	0	3.9		33	8	10	4	7	0	0
58	1	11		-	1	2.7		28	5	6	2	3	0
57	1	12		-	0	1.9		20	3	4	2	1	0
56	0	12		-	1	1.2		11	1	2	1	1
55	0	13		-	0	0.5		6	1	1	0	0

Total:						6.2	%	9.4	0.9	1.0	0.7	60.8	16.5	5.2	1.9	1.1	1.5	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3	-0.7
Montreal 1 Calgary 4	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto vs Winnipeg	+0.9+0.3+0.3-0.5-0.6-0.8

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

81	13	0		-	0	77	19	4	0
80	12	0		-	1	59	33	8	0	0	0
79	12	1		-	0	41	43	15	1	0	0	0
78	11	1		-	1	22	49	23	3	2	0	0		0
77	11	2		-	0	11	47	29	10	3	1	0	0	0
	10	1		-	2	9	45	29	10	5	2	0	0	0
76	10	2		-	1	3	35	29	21	7	4	1	0	0	0
	9	1		-	3	2	32	27	22	9	6	2	0	0	0	0
75	9	2		-	2	0	20	21	34	9	11	5	0	0	0	0
	10	3		-	0	1	22	22	35	7	9	4	0	0	0	0
74	9	3		-	1	0	10	12	43	6	16	10	2	0	0	0	0
	8	2		-	3	0	7	10	38	7	20	14	3	1	0	0	0
73	8	3		-	2	0	3	4	37	3	21	19	11	2	0	0	0
	9	4		-	0	0	4	5	44	3	19	16	9	1	0	0	0
	7	2		-	4	0	2	3	29	3	23	22	14	3	1	0	0
72	8	4		-	1	0	1	1	30	1	17	19	26	3	1	1	0	0
	7	3		-	3	0	0	1	22	1	17	21	31	4	2	2	0	0
71	7	4		-	2		0	0	15	0	10	14	47	4	5	4	1	0	0	0
	8	5		-	0	0	0	0	21	0	10	14	45	3	3	3	0	0	0
	6	3		-	4		0	0	10	0	9	13	50	5	7	6	1	0	0	0
70	7	5		-	1		0	0	9	0	4	7	58	3	8	9	2	0	0	0
	6	4		-	3		0	0	5	0	4	6	56	4	10	11	3	0	0	0
	5	3		-	5		0	0	3	0	3	5	54	4	12	14	5	0	0	0
69	6	5		-	2		0	0	2	0	1	2	54	2	12	16	10	0	0	0		0
	7	6		-	0		0	0	4	0	1	2	59	2	10	13	8	0	0	0
	5	4		-	4		0	0	1	0	1	2	49	2	13	19	13	1	0	0
68	6	6		-	1		0	0	1	0	0	1	45	1	10	19	22	1	1	0	0	0
	5	5		-	3			0	0		0	0	38	1	11	21	26	2	1	0	0	0
	4	4		-	5				0		0	0	32	0	11	22	31	2	1	0		0
67	5	6		-	2				0		0	0	27	0	7	18	41	3	2	0	0	0	0
	6	7		-	0				0		0	0	34	0	7	17	37	2	2	0	0	0	0
	4	5		-	4				0		0	0	22	0	7	18	46	4	3	0	0	0	0
66	5	7		-	1				0		0	0	17	0	4	13	54	4	6	1	0	0	0	0
	4	6		-	3				0		0	0	13	0	4	13	57	5	7	2	0	0	0
65	4	7		-	2				0		0	0	7	0	2	8	61	4	13	5	0	0	0	0
	5	8		-	0				0		0	0	10	0	2	8	61	4	12	4	0	0	0	0
	3	6		-	4				0		0	0	5	0	1	7	62	5	15	5	0	0	0	0
64	4	8		-	1				0				3	0	0	4	59	3	19	11	1	1	0	0	0
	3	7		-	3								2		0	3	57	3	20	12	1	1	0	0	0
63	3	8		-	2								1		0	1	48	1	22	21	3	1	1	0	0	0
	4	9		-	0								1		0	1	50	1	21	20	3	1	1	0	0	0
62	3	9		-	1								0		0	0	36	0	18	30	9	3	3	1	0	0	0
61	2	9		-	2								0		0	0	23	0	12	33	19	3	6	3	1	0	0
	3	10		-	0								0		0	0	25	0	12	33	19	3	5	3	1	0	0
60	2	10		-	1								0			0	13	0	5	28	30	3	8	8	3	1	0	0
59	2	11		-	0											0	7	0	2	17	37	1	8	14	10	4	1	0	0
58	1	11		-	1												3		0	8	34	0	5	14	19	12	4	1	0
57	1	12		-	0												1		0	2	27	0	1	8	19	23	14	4	1	0
56	0	12		-	1												0			1	15		0	2	11	25	26	15	4	1	0
55	0	13		-	0												0			0	8		0	0	3	13	27	28	15	4	0	0

Total:						0	3	3	12	1	6	6	30	1	5	8	18	1	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0