Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Ottawa 3-2, playoff odds up 0.4 to 99.7%
55 points   26 14-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.4
+0.2
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Winnipeg-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
81130-0In76.7%96460,598
80120-1In58.69190108,227
79121-0In40.684160515,802*
78111-1In22.57226201,123,865*
77112-0In10.65739401,698,005
101-2In8.85439701,324,643*
76102-1In3.038501204,254,754
91-3In2.23449170981,838*
7592-2In0.520552504,843,687
103-0In0.622582005,306,097*
7493-1In0.1105435010,952,366
82-3In0.07474413,488,063*
7383-2In0.034154211,224,081
94-0In0.04484719,279,398
72-4In0.02326241,558,489*
7284-1In0.0131635019,019,046
73-3In0.002369807,310,122*
7174-2InNo01571140017,332,032
85-0In0.0021709013,006,024*
63-4InNo0107218002,714,585
7075-1InNo0969220023,499,126
64-3InNo056628009,212,316
53-5InNo03623500760,652*
6965-2100.0%No02574010018,726,447
76-0InNo0463320013,278,783
54-4InNo015147103,293,167*
6866-1100.0No01465220021,167,158
55-3100.0No039582008,537,563
44-5100.0No03364300736,372*
6756-2100.0No0286750014,465,844
67-0100.0No0346140010,253,450
45-4100.0No022717002,542,903*
6657-1100.0No017711010014,012,371
46-3100.0No01374122005,947,784*
6547-299.8No0771175007,977,378
58-099.9No01070154005,938,435
36-499.7No0570195001,300,991*
6448-199.3No036322121006,760,060
37-399.1No26123131002,599,136*
6338-297.6No15023242003,080,606
49-098.0No15122232002,977,264*
6239-194.2No036193951003,062,621*
6129-287.2No02312529300792,876
310-088.5No02512528300868,224*
60210-176.8No01355812920663,278*
59211-062.9No72541318600295,687*
58111-144.7No30421027162084,923*
57112-030.1No1029628297030,017*
56012-115.5No015321421724,778
55013-07.9No0811242325025,324
Total:99.7%0.4%315443242000000298,997,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaFloridaEdmontonMontrealNashvilleChicagoDallasVancouverCalgaryColumbusDetroitOttawa
81130-06.3%0000164314746900
80120-16.100001441168568000
79121-06.200001440189568000
78111-16.200011437209557000
77112-06.2100115352210656000
101-26.3100117342210655000
76102-16.2100120302410644000
91-36.310012430229544000
7592-26.210013026229532000
103-06.210112627249533000
7493-16.220113624208422000
82-36.220014323176421000
7383-26.230015021135321000
94-06.330014422176421000
72-46.240005621104221000
7284-16.350005620103221000
73-36.2600062197212100
7174-26.27000661841121000
85-06.3600062196212100
63-46.370007017210100
7075-16.3800069182101000
64-36.380007216100100
53-56.280007515100100
6965-26.290007216100100
76-06.290007017100100
54-46.390007515000100
6866-16.3100007316000100
55-36.2100007414000100
44-56.39000761300010
6756-26.3110007313000100
67-06.3110007215000100
45-46.211110751100010
6657-16.214111701200010
46-36.214221711000010
6547-26.21833265800010
58-06.318222651000010
36-46.3193426560010
6448-16.22355357500010
37-36.223664564000
6338-26.12888546200000
49-06.12788547300000
6239-15.93110116351000
61310-05.53311136250000
29-25.5351112623000
60210-14.83610125140000
59211-03.9338104700
58111-12.72856230
57112-01.92034210
56012-11.2111211
55013-00.561100
Total:6.2%9.40.91.00.760.816.55.21.91.11.50.70.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 -0.7
Montreal 1 Calgary 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Winnipeg+0.9+0.3+0.3-0.5-0.6-0.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
81130-0771940
80120-159338000
79121-04143151000
78111-122492332000
77112-01147291031000
101-2945291052000
76102-13352921741000
91-323227229620000
7592-2020213491150000
103-012222357940000
7493-101012436161020000
82-30710387201431000
7383-20343732119112000
94-0045443191691000
72-40232932322143100
7284-101130117192631100
73-300122117213142200
7174-2001501014474541000
85-0000210101445333000
63-400100913505761000
7075-1009047583892000
64-300504656410113000
53-500303554412145000
6965-20020125421216100000
76-000401259210138000
54-4001012492131913100
6866-100100145110192211000
55-3000038111212621000
44-50003201122312100
6756-200027071841320000
67-000034071737220000
45-400022071846430000
6657-1000170413544610000
46-300013041357572000
6547-200070286141350000
58-0000100286141240000
36-400050176251550000
6448-103004593191111000
37-3203573201211000
6338-21014812221311000
49-01015012120311000
6239-100036018309331000
6129-2000230123319363100
310-0000250123319353100
60210-100130528303883100
59211-0070217371814104100
58111-13083405141912410
57112-010227018192314410
56012-101150211252615410
55013-000800313272815400
Total:033121663015818132000000000000