Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.2 to 11.4%
35 points   16 18-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal 0 Ottawa 4 +2.6
+0.2
Winnipeg 0 Edmonton 3 -0.5
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 *No
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Toronto+3.5+3.4+2.4-1.2-1.2-4.0
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
73190-0In0.0%28990138,899
72180-1InNo06038214,080
71181-0InNo040546076,179*
70171-1InNo01961191231,119*
69161-2100.0%No075238300741,606*
68162-199.9No1325413001,756,861*
67152-299.0No01455291104,169,006*
66153-195.4No0542464508,151,468*
65143-287.7No0125539120015,646,790*
64144-175.5No0114717240026,016,855*
63134-261.0No0432253720042,150,389*
62135-148.6No0119284560032,829,155
124-344.0No0115284780027,960,978*
61125-233.3No0072647182048,609,666
136-033.3No0072647182036,558,005*
60126-124.1No032141306054,937,710
115-320.6No021938348053,008,452*
59116-213.7No00132642171075,054,434
105-413.5No00132542181057,579,395*
58117-18.5No0081544303072,679,031
106-36.6No0071242355076,272,631*
57107-23.5No0035334711091,063,552
96-42.6No034295015040,240,306*
118-04.5No004636459030,798,256
56108-11.7No0222153220077,172,553
97-31.1No0111752271084,946,525*
5598-20.4No0009474230087,883,256
87-40.3No0007434730035,434,449
109-00.6No01010483920033,736,661*
5499-10.1No003355470066,229,999
88-30.1No0023058100074,047,269*
5389-20.0No0011861191067,881,992
78-40.0No0011761201053,435,377*
52810-10.0No000955333046,035,757
79-30.0No000652375050,661,538*
51710-20.0No0002384811141,945,423
69-40.0No002374812132,718,937*
50711-10.0No000205025452,970,854*
49611-2OutNo00942391036,437,259*
48612-1OutNo0326472422,902,023*
47512-2OutNo0114444113,959,762*
46513-1OutNo0533627,695,316*
45413-2OutNo0221774,123,544*
44414-1OutNo0010891,964,836*
43314-2OutNo0595914,606*
42315-1OutNo0298367,396*
41215-2OutNo0199145,198*
40216-1OutNo010047,494*
39116-2OutNo010015,224*
35-38OutNo100140,431*
Total:11.4%0.0%0001371216232210421,690,498,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCarolinaFloridaTorontoTampa BayWinnipegEdmontonMontrealDallasNashvilleChicagoCalgary
73190-06.4%00901827201186
72180-16.600140313015432
71181-06.100180362813321
70171-16.1002303926101100
69161-26.300260402680000
172-06.20026040259000
68162-16.300280402470000
151-36.200290392560000
67152-26.211331382150000
163-06.21032039216000
141-46.211341362140000
66153-16.021371341740000
142-35.932382311630000
65143-25.5633832511200
154-05.65238228122000
132-45.373374221110
64144-14.894344188100
133-34.6104325157000
122-54.411430512700
63134-23.813523694000
145-04.1135256114000
123-43.513521674000
62135-13.014516652000
124-32.814514642000
113-52.61341363200
61125-22.11349521000
136-02.31459621000
114-41.9114851100
103-61.711384110
60126-11.5103541000
115-31.393531000
104-51.28253000
59116-20.962320000
127-01.072330000
105-40.75132000
58117-10.541210000
106-30.431210000
95-50.3212100
57107-20.21011000
118-00.32111000
96-40.2101000
56108-10.11000000
97-30.1000000
5598-20.0000000
5499-10.0000000
5389-20.0000000
52810-10.0000000
51811-00.0000000
50711-1No0
35-49No
Total:0.7%3.31.13.61.31.40.70.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 0 Ottawa 4 -0.1
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 -0.1
Philadelphia 3 Washington 6 -0.1
Arizona 3 St. Louis 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Toronto-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
73190-002117902420000
72180-102580411230110
71181-0003902844123100
70171-100191357158700
69161-2007015105112121000
68162-110032041040660000
67152-2000140254891910100
66153-100050123983830410
65143-20010024448908400
64144-1000112451611311100
63134-2000403122314214000
62135-100010172261131111000
61125-2000007179632226100
136-000007179631236100
60126-100031110325311530000
115-300291022233184000
59116-2001591123029122000
105-40038092832163000
58117-100260420342581000
106-3001503163329112000
57107-2000301723352371000
96-400200519352810100
118-000140192634205100
56108-1002002112934184000
97-300100182536226100
5598-20000002133134163000
87-40000001102936194000
109-00010003153332142000
5499-1000004193629101000
88-3000003153433132000
5389-2000001522372681000
52810-1000001102936194000
79-30000172637236100
51710-200002133234163000
50711-10000417343012300
49611-20016223426910
48612-10001925352360
47512-20002133136171
46513-100041840344
45413-2001832499
44414-1002195919
43314-2001105832
42315-10045046
41215-2014059
40216-1002971
39116-201981
38117-101288
37118-0892
36018-1199
35019-0298
Total:000000000001034326810111111107532110