Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 99.99%
60 points   28 11-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4 -1.3
Los Angeles 2 Vegas 6 -0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Winnipeg+3.6+3.4+2.9-1.3-1.3-4.1
Boston vs NY Islanders+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Carolina vs Nashville-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.4
Washington vs Buffalo-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
Tampa Bay vs Florida-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86130-0In99.4%100067,736
85120-1In98.11000121,707
84121-0In95.61000576,754*
83111-1In90.49911,262,234*
82112-0In82.89821,905,107
101-2In81.59821,488,984*
81102-1In69.39554,770,675
91-3In67.89551,098,895*
8092-2In51.7901005,429,976
103-0In53.7901005,943,281*
7993-1In34.68218012,269,331
82-3In32.6811903,911,022*
7883-2In17.66931012,565,115
94-0In19.57129010,449,446*
72-4In16.36732001,691,940
7784-1In7.555441021,314,823
73-3In6.65246108,179,766*
7674-2In2.036613019,413,557
85-0In2.439592014,437,042
63-4In1.63462403,171,085*
7575-1In0.422717026,328,441
64-3In0.320719010,318,260
53-5In0.21870120852,944*
7465-2In0.0107516020,987,895
76-0In0.1117712015,039,804*
54-4In0.087220003,527,571
7366-1In0.0470251023,716,321
55-3In0.0365311010,388,340*
7256-2In0.0154423016,211,876
67-0In0.0161362011,483,624
45-4InNo14748402,849,797*
7157-1InNo0405370015,693,729
46-3InNo03258906,660,264*
7047-2InNo0206218008,941,961
58-0InNo0275914006,657,349
36-4InNo0156322001,457,757*
6948-1InNo0115930107,579,497
37-3100.0%No0756351002,911,926*
6838-2100.0No344494003,453,171
49-0100.0No448453003,338,854*
6739-1100.0No131599002,603,921
28-3100.0No026611210831,007*
6629-299.8No0156220300890,370
310-099.9No018631620974,052*
65210-199.2No075529810743,124*
64211-097.4No0342341930332,550*
63111-192.0No125323480095,635*
62112-083.4No0142247142033,911*
61012-169.6No5135222815,541
60013-055.5No254924183028,406
Total:100.0%8.3%2847195000000335,006,374

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayCarolinaFloridaWinnipegEdmontonMontrealNashvilleChicagoDallasVancouverCalgaryColumbusDetroitOttawa
86130-06.2%0004351642525000
85120-16.30004450953620000
84121-06.30004449953619000
83111-16.300044481163717000
82112-06.300044481164717000
101-26.300045461374714000
81102-16.200045451474714000
91-36.300036441685712000
8092-26.300036431785711000
103-06.300045441584713000
7993-16.200046411895611000
82-36.20003739209579000
7883-26.200147372210668000
94-06.200146392095610000
72-46.300138362310667000
7784-16.300147352410657000
73-36.300149342510656000
7674-26.2011510312711654000
85-06.201148312711645000
63-46.2011412312610654000
7575-16.2011611282811643000
64-36.2011614292710643000
53-56.301161730259542000
7465-26.3011818262610632000
76-06.3011714252911632000
54-46.301182128238542000
7366-16.3011102224238532000
55-36.2011102726207431000
7256-26.2011143224165331000
67-06.3011142723197431000
45-46.200114362612423100
7157-16.300118382311423100
46-36.20001842248323100
7047-26.30002145235212000
58-06.20002242217212100
36-46.20002047253112000
6948-16.2000244822310200
37-36.2000224824100200
6838-26.3000244923100200
49-06.2000254922100200
6739-16.200026492200020
28-36.211025472400020
6629-26.221129452000020
310-06.311129462000020
65210-16.343232401600010
64211-06.08743431120010
63111-15.81212733217000
62112-05.21516927133000
61012-14.61517922610
60013-03.61416814310
Total:6.2%0.30.50.89.419.529.519.67.84.54.04.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Winnipeg-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.8
Carolina vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86130-09910
85120-19820
84121-09640
83111-190910
82112-0831520
101-2821620
81102-1692650
91-3682750
8092-25238100000
103-0543610000
7993-13547171000
82-33348181000
7883-218512650000
94-02051254000
72-4165127600000
7784-1847321310000
73-37463214100000
7674-223432292100000
85-02373226110000
63-423231312210000
7575-102225462310000
64-302023482420000
53-501821493530000
7465-209146127520000
76-0011166125410000
54-4081260297200000
7366-104664199600000
55-30356011111810000
7256-201252091221111000
67-001259091116110000
45-4114609132521100
7157-100390610372320000
46-30032061043233100
7047-20020035542673000
58-00027035512562000
36-40015024562794000
6948-100110125618129100
37-3007011541914121000
6838-203004408162431000
49-00400470815212100
6739-110031061539540000
28-300026051442661000
6629-200014029508133000
310-00001903114961020000
65210-1070154972280100
64211-00302404301812100
63111-1101252302945300
62112-00014122361178200
61012-150123319714820
60013-02052326516166100
Total:820153214411012200000000000