Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Lost to Vancouver 1-3, playoff odds down 0.02 to 99.97%

38 points 18 5-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1	-0.2		-8.5
Calgary 7 Ottawa 3	+0.0
Montreal 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)			-0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)	-0.1		-2.8
Carolina 5 Detroit 2			-0.2
Nashville 4 Florida 5			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Tampa Bay	+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0		+3.7+1.0+1.0-1.7-2.3-2.3
San Jose vs Vegas			+1.0+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.5-0.5
Boston vs Washington			-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Anaheim			-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

100	31	0		-	0	In		100.0	%	100	0													25,811
99	30	0		-	1	In		99.9		100	0													681
98	30	1		-	0	In		99.8		100	0													3,827	*
97	29	1		-	1	In		99.8		100	0													11,848	*
96	28	1		-	2	In		99.6		100	0													38,621	*
95	28	2		-	1	In		99.3		99	1													93,840	*
94	27	2		-	2	In		98.7		99	1													228,618	*
93	27	3		-	1	In		97.7		98	2													466,015	*
92	26	3		-	2	In		96.2		96	4													934,557	*
91	26	4		-	1	In		93.8		94	6													1,643,861	*
90	25	4		-	2	In		90.7		91	9	0												2,820,531	*
89	25	5		-	1	In		86.2		87	13	0												4,377,651	*
88	24	5		-	2	In		80.7		82	18	0												6,595,997	*
87	24	6		-	1	In		73.7		76	24	0												9,171,510	*
86	23	6		-	2	In		65.5		69	31	0												12,353,877	*
85	22	6		-	3	In		56.2		61	39	0												15,530,994	*
84	22	7		-	2	In		46.4		52	48	0	0											18,945,508	*
83	21	7		-	3	In		36.2		43	56	0												21,715,554	*
82	21	8		-	2	In		26.6		34	65	1	0											24,150,945	*
81	20	8		-	3	In		18.1		26	72	2	0											25,414,220	*
80	20	9		-	2	In		11.1		18	77	4	0											25,954,360	*
79	19	9		-	3	In		6.1		12	80	8	0											25,164,060	*
78	19	10		-	2	In		2.9		7	80	12	0											23,705,665	*
77	18	10		-	3	In		1.1		4	77	19	0	0										21,267,795	*
76	18	11		-	2	In		0.4		2	70	28	0	0										18,552,801	*
75	17	11		-	3	In		0.1		1	60	38	1	0										15,442,962	*
74	17	12		-	2	In		0.0		0	49	48	3	0										12,492,204	*
73	16	12		-	3	In		0.0		0	37	57	7	0	0									9,674,039	*
72	16	13		-	2	In		0.0		0	25	62	13	0	0									7,277,910	*
71	15	13		-	3	In		No		0	16	63	21	1	0									5,244,910	*
70	15	14		-	2	100.0	%	No		0	9	58	32	2	0	0								3,676,373	*
69	14	14		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	49	43	4	0	0	0							2,469,334	*
68	14	15		-	2	100.0		No			2	37	52	7	2	0	0							1,611,934	*
67	13	15		-	3	99.8		No			1	26	57	12	4	0	0							1,007,951	*
66	13	16		-	2	99.3		No			0	16	57	16	10	1	0							612,434	*
65	12	16		-	3	97.8		No			0	9	52	19	18	2	0	0						357,470	*
64	12	17		-	2	94.9		No			0	4	43	19	29	5	0	0						202,685	*
63	11	17		-	3	89.8		No				2	32	16	40	9	1	0	0					110,056	*
62	11	18		-	2	81.9		No				1	22	11	48	14	4	0	0					58,091	*
61	10	18		-	3	71.5		No				0	14	7	51	19	9	1	0					29,447	*
60	10	19		-	2	60.0		No				0	8	4	48	22	15	2	0					14,178	*
59	9	19		-	3	47.3		No				0	5	2	41	22	24	6	0	0				6,687	*
58	9	20		-	2	34.6		No					2	1	31	20	33	12	1	0				3,045	*
57	8	20		-	3	25.3		No					1	0	24	15	35	21	3	0				1,372	*
56	8	21		-	2	17.9		No					0		18	9	35	31	6	1				541	*
55	8	22		-	1	8.9		No					0		9	6	34	35	13	3				235	*
54	7	22		-	2	7.8		No							8	3	22	44	19	4				77	*
53	7	23		-	1	5.9		No							6	3	24	24	35	9				34	*
52	6	23		-	2	Out		No										43	43	14				7	*
51	6	24		-	1	Out		No											100					2
38	0	31		-	0	Out		No												1	31	68		25,625

Total:						100.0	%	22.4	%	27	56	14	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		319,488,750

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Tampa Bay	Carolina	Winnipeg	Florida	Montreal	Edmonton	Chicago	Calgary	Dallas	Columbus	Vancouver	Nashville	Ottawa	Detroit

100		31	0		-	0	19.4	%		0	22	0	30	23	2	18	1	1	2	0	0
99		30	0		-	1	19.8			0	15	1	25	29	5	18	3	1	3	0	0
98		30	1		-	0	19.0			0	16	1	28	26	5	17	3	1	2	1	0
97		29	1		-	1	19.8			0	14	1	27	27	6	18	3	1	2	1	0
96		28	1		-	2	19.7			0	14	1	26	27	6	17	3	2	2	1	0	0
95		28	2		-	1	19.6		0	0	13	1	27	28	7	17	3	2	2	1	0	0
94		27	2		-	2	19.5		0	0	12	2	26	28	7	17	3	2	2	1	0	0
93		27	3		-	1	19.5		0	0	11	2	25	28	8	17	4	2	2	1	0	0
92		26	3		-	2	19.5		0	0	11	2	25	28	9	16	4	2	2	1	0	0
91		26	4		-	1	19.5		0	1	10	2	24	28	10	16	4	2	2	1	0	0
90		25	4		-	2	19.4		0	1	9	3	23	28	11	16	5	2	2	1	0	0
89		25	5		-	1	19.4		0	1	9	4	22	27	12	15	5	2	2	1	0	0
88		24	5		-	2	19.3		0	1	8	4	21	27	14	14	6	2	2	1	0	0
87		24	6		-	1	19.2		0	2	7	5	20	26	16	14	6	2	2	1	0	0
86		23	6		-	2	19.1		0	2	7	6	19	25	18	13	7	3	2	1	0	0
85		22	6		-	3	19.0		0	2	6	7	17	23	20	12	7	3	1	1	0	0
84		22	7		-	2	18.8		0	3	6	8	16	22	22	11	8	3	1	1	0	0
83		21	7		-	3	18.7		0	3	5	9	15	21	24	10	8	3	1	1	0	0
82		21	8		-	2	18.5		0	4	5	10	14	19	26	9	9	3	1	1	0	0
81		20	8		-	3	18.4		0	4	5	11	14	18	28	8	9	3	1	1	0	0
80		20	9		-	2	18.2		0	4	4	11	13	17	29	7	10	3	1	0	0	0
		19	8		-	4	18.2		0	4	4	11	14	18	28	7	9	3	1	0	0	0
79		19	9		-	3	18.1		0	4	4	11	14	17	29	6	9	3	1	0	0	0
78		19	10		-	2	17.9		0	4	5	11	16	18	28	6	9	3	0	0	0	0
77		18	10		-	3	17.7		0	4	5	10	18	18	26	6	8	2	0	0	0	0
76		18	11		-	2	17.5		0	4	7	9	22	20	23	6	7	2	0	0	0	0
75		17	11		-	3	17.3		0	3	8	8	26	21	19	6	6	2	0	0	0	0
74		17	12		-	2	17.0		0	3	10	6	30	22	15	7	5	1	0	0	0	0
73		16	12		-	3	16.7		0	2	13	5	35	23	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
72		16	13		-	2	16.5		0	1	15	3	38	24	7	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
71		15	13		-	3	16.2		0	1	17	2	41	25	5	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
70		15	14		-	2	15.9		0	0	19	1	43	25	2	7	1	0	0	0	0
69		14	14		-	3	15.7		0	0	20	1	45	24	1	7	0	0	0	0	0	0
68		14	15		-	2	15.4		1	0	22	0	45	23	1	7	0	0	0	0	0	0
67		13	15		-	3	15.1		4	1	23	0	43	21	0	7	0	0	0	0	0	0
66		13	16		-	2	14.8		8	1	24	0	40	18	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0
65		12	16		-	3	14.3		14	2	25	1	36	15	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		12	17		-	2	13.6		22	3	24	1	29	11	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		11	17		-	3	12.5		30	4	21	2	22	7	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
62		11	18		-	2	11.3		36	5	18	2	16	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		10	18		-	3	9.3		37	5	14	2	10	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		10	19		-	2	7.6		34	4	12	1	7	1	0	1			0		0
59		9	19		-	3	5.6		27	4	10	1	4	1	0	0			0		0
58		9	20		-	2	4.4		20	3	8	1	2	1		0			0		0
57		8	20		-	3	4.2		14	3	6	1	2			0	0		0	0	0
56		8	21		-	2	2.0		9	1	6		1	0		0
55		8	22		-	1	0.4		4	0	3		1			0
54		7	22		-	2	1.3		3		3		3
53		7	23		-	1	No				3		3
38	-52						No

Total:							18.1	%	0.2	3.1	7.0	8.4	19.7	20.7	21.6	8.4	7.4	2.3	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1	+0.4
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

100	31	0		-	0	100		0
99	30	0		-	1	100		0
98	30	1		-	0	100	0	0
97	29	1		-	1	100	0	0
96	28	1		-	2	100	0	0
95	28	2		-	1	99	0	1
94	27	2		-	2	99	0	1
93	27	3		-	1	98	0	2
92	26	3		-	2	96	0	4
91	26	4		-	1	94	0	6
90	25	4		-	2	91	1	9		0
89	25	5		-	1	86	1	13	0	0
88	24	5		-	2	81	2	18	0	0
87	24	6		-	1	74	3	24	0	0		0
86	23	6		-	2	66	4	31	0	0		0
85	22	6		-	3	56	5	39	0	0		0
84	22	7		-	2	46	6	47	0	0	0	0		0
83	21	7		-	3	36	7	56	0	0	0	0
82	21	8		-	2	27	8	64	1	1	0	0		0
81	20	8		-	3	18	8	71	1	2	0	0		0
80	20	9		-	2	11	7	75	3	4	0	1	0	0		0
79	19	9		-	3	6	6	75	5	6	0	2	0	0	0	0
78	19	10		-	2	3	4	71	9	8	0	4	0	0	0	0
77	18	10		-	3	1	3	62	15	10	1	8	0	0	0	0		0
76	18	11		-	2	0	2	50	20	11	2	14	0	0	0	0		0
75	17	11		-	3	0	1	35	25	11	3	23	0	1	0	0		0
74	17	12		-	2	0	0	22	27	8	5	33	2	3	0	1	0	0
73	16	12		-	3	0	0	11	25	5	6	41	5	5	0	2	0	0	0	0
72	16	13		-	2	0	0	5	21	2	5	44	11	7	1	4	0	0	0	0
71	15	13		-	3		0	2	14	1	4	38	20	8	3	9	0	1	0	0
70	15	14		-	2		0	0	8	0	2	27	29	8	6	17	1	2	0	0	0	0
69	14	14		-	3		0	0	4	0	1	15	33	5	8	25	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
68	14	15		-	2			0	2	0	0	7	30	3	9	30	11	6	2	2	0	0	0
67	13	15		-	3			0	1	0	0	2	24	1	7	27	22	7	4	4	0	0	0	0	0
66	13	16		-	2			0	0		0	1	15	0	5	19	33	7	9	9	1	1	0	0
65	12	16		-	3				0		0	0	9	0	2	10	39	5	14	14	4	2	0	0	0
64	12	17		-	2				0			0	4	0	1	4	37	2	16	18	11	3	2	0	0	0
63	11	17		-	3							0	2		0	1	30	1	15	17	23	4	4	1	0	0
62	11	18		-	2								1		0	0	21	0	11	13	35	4	7	5	2	0	0	0
61	10	18		-	3								0		0	0	13	0	7	8	43	3	9	10	5	1	0	0
60	10	19		-	2								0			0	8	0	4	4	44	2	8	13	11	5	1	0
59	9	19		-	3								0				5		2	1	40	1	5	13	16	12	5	1	0
58	9	20		-	2												2		1	0	31	0	3	9	19	20	10	4	1	0
57	8	20		-	3												1		0		24		1	5	12	23	20	11	3	1
56	8	21		-	2												0				18		0	1	7	18	25	21	7	2		0
55	8	22		-	1												0				9				1	17	24	26	14	8	0
54	7	22		-	2																8				1	6	13	23	31	13	4
53	7	23		-	1																6					3	24	12	32	12	9	3
52	6	23		-	2																								14	29	43	14
51	6	24		-	1																							50	50
38	0	31		-	0																												0	4	35	60

Total:						22	4	49	7	4	1	8	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0