Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Lost to Calgary 3-7, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.09%
17 points   8 17-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary 7 Ottawa 3 -0.2
No
FridayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
77300-0In1.4%57421020,881
69242-4InNo63388*
68243-3InNo604020*
67233-496.2%No2305762453*
66234-398.7No18611361155*
65224-497.5No1357111620483*
64225-394.8No54714295001,268*
63215-487.2No234133910203,222*
62216-380.3No1231046155007,306*
61206-466.3No01364721111016,446*
60207-351.6No07342242040035,478*
59197-436.8No03133233091072,153*
58187-523.7No01022193717300140,522*
57188-413.7No0013133827700262,869*
56178-57.0No007834361410467,228*
55179-43.1No0034254123300795,316*
54169-51.2No00121639338001,299,610*
531610-40.4No00019324115102,042,816*
521510-50.1No004234524403,074,400*
511511-40.0No002154234804,450,629*
501411-50.0No001835411506,189,088*
491412-40.0No000426452418,271,307*
481312-50.0No0002174534210,624,950*
471313-40.0No0001104045413,131,269*
461213-5OutNo0053255815,586,301*
451214-4OutNo00323611317,811,652*
441114-5OutNo00116632019,557,360*
431115-4OutNo001062288,321,094
1014-6OutNo009622912,328,542*
421015-5OutNo005573720,938,082*
411016-4OutNo003514720,406,222*
40916-5OutNo01435619,103,641*
39917-4OutNo01356517,144,539*
38817-5OutNo00277214,758,515*
37818-4OutNo00217912,173,890*
36819-3OutNo015859,613,681*
35719-4OutNo0011897,254,121*
34720-3OutNo07935,225,799*
33620-4OutNo05953,588,622*
32621-3OutNo03972,350,500*
31521-4OutNo02981,457,889*
30522-3OutNo199856,149*
29422-4OutNo199475,944*
28423-3OutNo0100248,388*
27424-2OutNo0100121,513*
26324-3OutNo010056,039*
25325-2OutNo010023,727*
24225-3OutNo01009,238*
23226-2OutNo01003,361*
17-22OutNo10022,336*
Total:0.1%0.0%0000000025144039260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaWinnipegFloridaMontrealEdmontonChicagoCalgaryDallasColumbusVancouverNashvilleDetroit
77300-00.0%1041612107321114010
69242-4No632513
68243-3No6510205
67233-4No11472692
66234-3No19614515913
65224-4No191314111571
64225-3No212223411041
63215-40.019284241730100
62216-3No1833517152000
205-5No19334151420000
61206-40.01533591210000
217-20.01534412231000
195-6No153148121000
60207-30.0113046110000
196-5No11283511000
218-1No12334811100
185-7No11243411000
59197-40.0922331000000
208-2No9253311000000
186-6No81822100000
58198-30.061621100000000
187-50.06132100000000
209-10.0617221000
176-7No5101100000
57188-40.04810000000
199-2No41111000000
177-60.037100000000
166-8No361000000
56189-30.0251000000
178-5No2400000000
1910-1No37100000
167-7No13000000
55179-4No1200000000
1810-20.0130000000
168-6No1100000000
157-8No11000000
541710-3No110000000
169-5No010000000
1811-1No110000000
158-7No00000000
531610-4No000000000
1711-2No000000000
159-6No00000000
521611-3No000000000
511612-2No000000000
501512-3No00000000
491513-2No0000000
481413-3No0000
471414-2No00
17-46No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 7 Ottawa 3 +0.3
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 -0.0
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Anaheim-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
77300-0136212121800
69242-4253838
68243-3105010255
67233-42228619324224
66234-318721336761
65224-4132104647124200
64225-35144111317123200
63215-420132112152355200
62216-3100230101036476200
61206-40001306641310117200
60207-300733401815147200
59197-400311321513201672000
58187-501002202919231661000
57188-400013014132425145100
56178-500070017182724123100
55179-4000300021022292292000
54169-50001000141326291971000
531610-400000016172827154100
521510-50000029223024113000
511511-4000003132630197100
501411-500001617302814400
491412-4000029233223910
481312-50000141529311740
471313-400001822342681
461213-500003143134162
451214-4000172438254
441114-500031637358
431115-400019314315
421015-500005244823
411016-40002174833
40916-5001104544
39917-400063955
38817-500033265
37818-40022574
36819-3011881
35719-4001387
34720-300991
33620-400694
32621-300396
31521-40298
30522-30199
29422-40199
28423-30100
27424-20100
26324-30100
25325-20100
24225-30100
23226-20100
22126-30100
21127-2199
17-20100
Total:00000000000000000000001124610172731