Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Calgary 1-4, playoff odds down 6.1 to 81.3%
45 points   18 13-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Montreal 1 Calgary 4 -6.1
-0.4
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Toronto vs Winnipeg+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
77160-0In6.6%524717,961
76150-1In1.230601104,647
75151-0In0.2166420023,199*
74141-1In0.065736162,190*
73142-0InNo2435240182,190*
72132-1InNo02563120377,040*
71122-2InNo012622510812,076*
70123-1InNo045042301,385,017*
69113-2100.0%No01335610001,322,259
124-0100.0No135559001,076,699*
68114-1100.0No0196020102,237,585
103-3100.0No0165924101,218,259*
67104-2100.0No0853364003,433,210*
115-0100.0No095631301,556,445*
66105-199.9No0343459003,801,765
94-399.8No02394811002,396,839*
6595-299.3No12750211004,333,926
106-099.5No1315018002,231,355*
84-499.1No12450251001,092,467
6496-198.3No01747342004,894,394
85-397.7No01445392003,375,425*
6386-295.2No0834534005,014,814
97-096.1No0937504002,476,454*
75-493.9No06315751001,347,856
6287-190.9No04236572004,857,196
76-388.5No03196792003,499,925*
6177-280.9No011070126104,426,886
88-084.1No011270115102,059,092
66-477.3No01869138101,314,651*
6078-171.0No046613133003,751,690
67-365.9No036314164002,700,700*
5968-253.0No0152122311102,991,097
79-058.2No015712218101,411,302
57-447.2No014712261410869,978*
5869-139.9No004082821302,251,403
58-333.9No003472925501,553,916*
5759-221.3No00214263712101,929,831*
610-026.4No00265273390793,852*
56510-111.9No00121184323201,702,546*
55410-25.1No50940388001,057,766*
54411-11.7No20328481810566,787*
53311-20.4No00115483330302,708*
52312-10.1No0063746100135,817*
51212-20.0No002235221261,635*
50213-1OutNo1114636721,895*
49214-0OutNo043546158,267*
48114-1OutNo22047312,112*
47115-0OutNo0104247639*
46015-1OutNo33166102
45016-0OutNo119796,683
Total:81.3%0.0%014172336565210082,942,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaFloridaWinnipegEdmontonNashvilleChicagoDallasVancouverCalgaryColumbusDetroit
77160-06.6%3001941241065000
76150-16.4401116392285300
75151-06.3701122381864300
74141-16.31101130371243200
73142-06.31500037338322000
72132-16.31900043304111000
71122-26.2220004628200100
133-06.3230004528210100
70123-16.224000472710010
112-36.324000472800000
69113-26.226110462600000
124-06.226110462600000
68114-16.229111442300000
103-36.228221432400000
67104-26.232332391900000
115-06.332332411900000
93-46.332443361900000
66105-16.236664331500000
94-36.23677431150000
6595-26.23810106251000000
106-06.23898528110000
84-46.2381111722100000
6496-16.1381313819700000
85-36.1381414817700000
74-56.13914159146000
6386-25.9361617912400000
97-06.0361616914500000
75-45.937161791040000
6287-15.7331819108300000
76-35.53417191073000
65-55.5351618963000
6177-25.03017199520000
88-05.3291820105200000
66-44.831151784200
6078-14.42615178310000
67-34.127131573100
5968-23.32110126210
79-03.621121572100
57-43.0218105210
5869-12.5178942100
58-32.11667311
5759-21.41145211
610-01.51145211
56510-10.7622100
55410-20.3311000
54411-10.1100000
53412-00.0000000
52312-10.0000000
51313-00.00
45-50No
Total:5.1%29.510.211.16.016.67.80.10.00.00.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 1 Calgary 4 +0.9
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Nashville-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
77160-07453214100
76150-1128273354200
75151-00151846595100
74141-106849315135100
73142-02240116171721100
72132-100250111536443000
71122-20012059485992100
70123-100402346313178300
69113-20010013211321218200
124-0010134113212072000
68114-100019081834137100
103-300016071734159100
67104-20008041139171930000
115-0000904114016183000
66105-1000301536153080000
94-30002015331533110000
6595-21002259412011000
106-0010022910391710000
84-4102229422311000
6496-10011754231311000
85-30001344135411000
6386-20008133431022000
97-0000923541822000
75-40006130451233100
6287-100040224519342000
76-300030194522352000
6177-200101038323862000
88-0000101241303751000
66-40010835343983000
6078-100042740281162000
67-300032340281382000
5968-2001124016141682000
79-0001154116141461000
57-40011037151519113000
5869-1005340211201872000
58-30043002102121102000
5759-20012100415262292000
610-00012201415252092000
56510-10001200161929229200
55410-20500182231238100
54411-102002924322271000
53311-2000211273320510
52312-1000313303317400
51212-2000417333012200
50213-101621352791
49214-001928362150
48114-103143134161
47115-0062041302
46015-11039456
45016-0004245814
Total:00000004013124192215133332110000000