Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Lost to Winnipeg 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 4.2 to 89.4%

26 points 10 6-6

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Calgary 7 Ottawa 3	-0.7
Montreal 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)	-0.3		-0.1		-0.0
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1	-0.2

Friday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94		34	0		-	0	In		98.9	%	99	1													25,625
92	-93						In		Yes		100														7	*
91		32	1		-	1	In		91.4		91	9													35	*
90		31	1		-	2	In		90.2		90	10													133	*
89		31	2		-	1	In		81.2		83	17	0												441	*
88		30	2		-	2	In		79.5		82	18	0												1,488	*
87		30	3		-	1	In		69.1		72	27	1												4,088	*
86		29	3		-	2	In		61.6		65	33	2												10,859	*
85		28	3		-	3	In		51.5		57	40	4												26,359	*
84		28	4		-	2	In		40.6		47	47	7												58,219	*
83		27	4		-	3	In		29.6		36	53	11	0											122,261	*
82		27	5		-	2	In		19.8		26	56	17	0											241,749	*
81		26	5		-	3	In		12.0		18	57	25	0											447,848	*
80		26	6		-	2	In		6.4		11	55	34	0											792,494	*
79		25	6		-	3	In		2.9		6	49	44	0											1,326,175	*
78		25	7		-	2	In		1.1		3	41	55	1											2,123,481	*
77		24	7		-	3	In		0.3		1	32	64	3	0										3,235,963	*
76		24	8		-	2	In		0.1		1	23	70	6	0										4,733,371	*
75		23	8		-	3	In		0.0		0	15	73	12	0	0									6,612,691	*
74		22	8		-	4	In		0.0		0	9	72	19	0	0									8,879,964	*
73		22	9		-	3	In		0.0		0	5	67	28	0	0									11,439,426	*
72		21	9		-	4	In		0.0		0	2	59	38	1	0									14,204,995	*
71		21	10		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	1	48	49	2	0	0								16,940,559	*
70		20	10		-	4	100.0		No		0	0	37	58	4	0	0								19,490,959	*
69		20	11		-	3	100.0		No		0	0	27	65	7	1	0	0							21,596,018	*
68		19	11		-	4	100.0		No			0	18	68	11	3	0	0							23,106,891	*
67		19	12		-	3	99.8		No			0	11	66	15	7	0	0	0						23,825,279	*
66		18	12		-	4	99.3		No			0	6	61	18	14	1	0	0						23,768,738	*
65		18	13		-	3	98.2		No			0	3	52	20	23	2	0	0						22,871,738	*
64		17	13		-	4	95.8		No			0	1	41	18	35	4	0	0	0					21,301,050	*
63		17	14		-	3	91.5		No				1	30	15	46	7	1	0	0					19,149,632	*
62		16	14		-	4	85.0		No				0	20	11	54	11	4	0	0					16,664,367	*
61		16	15		-	3	76.0		No				0	12	6	58	15	8	1	0	0				14,006,543	*
60		15	15		-	4	65.0		No				0	6	3	55	18	15	2	0	0				11,395,801	*
59		15	16		-	3	52.8		No				0	3	1	48	18	23	6	0	0				8,964,941	*
58		14	16		-	4	40.4		No				0	1	1	39	17	31	11	1	0				6,826,731	*
57		14	17		-	3	29.1		No					0	0	28	13	36	20	3	0	0			5,017,889	*
56		13	17		-	4	19.5		No					0	0	19	9	36	29	6	0	0			3,573,298	*
55		13	18		-	3	12.1		No					0	0	12	5	32	38	12	1	0			2,458,081	*
54		12	18		-	4	6.9		No					0	0	7	3	25	42	21	3	0			1,635,884	*
53		12	19		-	3	3.5		No					0	0	4	1	17	42	30	6	0	0		1,050,111	*
52		11	19		-	4	1.6		No					0		2	0	10	36	39	12	0	0		652,205	*
51		11	20		-	3	0.7		No							1	0	5	28	44	21	1	0		390,666	*
50		10	20		-	4	0.3		No							0	0	2	19	44	31	4	0		226,656	*
49		10	21		-	3	0.1		No							0	0	1	11	39	41	8	0		125,585	*
48		10	22		-	2	0.0		No							0	0	0	6	31	48	14	1		67,940	*
47		9	22		-	3	0.0		No							0		0	2	22	50	23	2		35,008	*
46		9	23		-	2	0.0		No							0		0	1	14	47	33	4		17,669	*
45		8	23		-	3	0.0		No							0			0	7	41	43	9		8,346	*
44		8	24		-	2	Out		No										0	4	34	49	13		3,916	*
43		7	24		-	3	Out		No											2	24	52	22		1,729	*
42		7	25		-	2	Out		No											1	16	52	31		764	*
41		6	25		-	3	Out		No											0	9	45	45		264	*
40		6	26		-	2	Out		No												6	40	54		119	*
39		5	26		-	3	Out		No												6	37	58		52	*
38		5	27		-	2	Out		No													28	72		18	*
35	-37						Out		No														100		6	*
26		0	34		-	0	Out		No													0	100		25,625

Total:							89.4	%	0.1	%	0	2	21	39	9	19	4	4	2	1	0	0	0		319,488,750

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Toronto	Tampa Bay	Carolina	Winnipeg	Florida	Edmonton	Chicago	Calgary	Dallas	Columbus	Vancouver	Nashville	Ottawa	Detroit

94		34	0		-	0	3.8	%	1		0	14	1	61	3	13	2	1	4	0	0	0
93		33	0		-	1	No							50			50
92		32	0		-	2	No							20	20	40			20
91		32	1		-	1	5.7					6	9	49	14	17	3		3
90		31	1		-	2	3.0		2		1	11	3	50	8	11	8	2	4
89		31	2		-	1	5.9		1		0	12	3	47	12	13	5	3	2	1
88		30	2		-	2	3.2		1		1	11	4	45	14	13	5	2	2	1	0
87		30	3		-	1	3.4		0		2	10	5	44	16	12	6	2	2	1	0
86		29	3		-	2	3.2		0	0	2	10	6	41	18	11	6	2	2	1	0
85		28	3		-	3	3.7		1	0	2	11	7	37	20	10	7	2	2	1	0	0
84		28	4		-	2	3.6		1	0	3	13	8	33	22	9	8	3	1	1	0
83		27	4		-	3	3.4		1	0	3	15	9	30	23	8	8	3	1	1	0
82		27	5		-	2	3.3		1	0	3	19	9	27	23	6	8	3	1	0	0	0
81		26	5		-	3	3.2		1	0	3	24	9	25	22	5	8	2	1	0	0	0
80		26	6		-	2	3.1		2	0	3	30	8	23	20	4	7	2	0	0	0	0
79		25	6		-	3	3.0		3	0	3	37	7	21	18	4	6	2	0	0	0	0
78		25	7		-	2	2.8		5	0	2	44	6	20	14	3	5	1	0	0	0	0
77		24	7		-	3	2.7		6	0	2	50	4	19	11	3	3	1	0	0	0	0
76		24	8		-	2	2.6		8	0	1	56	3	18	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0
75		23	8		-	3	2.5		10	0	1	61	2	17	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
74		22	8		-	4	2.4		12	0	0	64	1	16	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
73		22	9		-	3	2.4		13	0	0	66	1	16	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
72		21	9		-	4	2.3		14	0	0	67	0	16	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
71		21	10		-	3	2.2		15	0	0	67	0	15	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
70		20	10		-	4	2.2		16	1	0	66	0	14	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
69		20	11		-	3	2.1		17	1	0	65	0	13	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
68		19	11		-	4	2.1		20	3	1	62	0	12	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
67		19	12		-	3	2.0		22	6	1	58	0	10	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
66		18	12		-	4	2.0		25	11	2	51	1	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
65		18	13		-	3	1.9		27	17	3	44	1	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		17	13		-	4	1.9		28	23	3	35	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		17	14		-	3	1.8		28	29	4	26	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		16	14		-	4	1.6		27	33	4	18	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		16	15		-	3	1.5		25	33	4	12	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		15	15		-	4	1.2		22	31	3	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		15	16		-	3	1.0		19	26	3	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		14	16		-	4	0.8		15	20	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		14	17		-	3	0.5		12	14	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		14	18		-	2	0.4		8	9	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		13	18		-	3	0.2		5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
54		13	19		-	2	0.1		3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
53		12	19		-	3	0.1		2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
52		12	20		-	2	0.0		1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
51		11	20		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0
50		11	21		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0
49		11	22		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0		0		0
48		9	21		-	4	0.0		0	0		0		0
47		9	22		-	3	No							0
46		10	24		-	0	No							0
45		8	23		-	3	No							0
26	-44						No

Total:							1.9	%	19.7	12.0	1.7	43.9	0.8	8.6	0.8	1.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)	+0.3
Calgary 7 Ottawa 3	+0.0

Friday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

94		34	0		-	0	99	0	1
92	-93						100
91		32	1		-	1	91		9
90		31	1		-	2	90		10
89		31	2		-	1	81	2	17		0
88		30	2		-	2	80	2	18		0
87		30	3		-	1	69	3	27		1
86		29	3		-	2	62	4	33	0	2
85		28	3		-	3	52	5	40	0	4		0
84		28	4		-	2	41	6	47	0	6	0	0
83		27	4		-	3	30	7	53	0	11	0	0		0
82		27	5		-	2	20	7	56	1	16	0	1		0
81		26	5		-	3	12	6	56	1	22	0	3		0
80		26	6		-	2	6	5	52	2	28	0	6		0		0
79		25	6		-	3	3	3	45	4	32	1	11	0	0	0	0
78		25	7		-	2	1	2	35	6	34	2	18	0	1	0	0
77		24	7		-	3	0	1	25	7	32	4	28	0	3	0	0		0
76		24	8		-	2	0	0	15	8	26	6	39	0	6	0	0		0
75		23	8		-	3	0	0	8	7	18	7	47	1	10	0	1	0	0		0
74		22	8		-	4	0	0	3	5	10	8	51	3	15	1	4	0	0	0	0
73		22	9		-	3	0	0	1	3	5	7	49	7	18	2	8	0	0	0	0
72		21	9		-	4	0	0	0	2	2	4	40	13	19	4	15	0	1	0	0
71		21	10		-	3		0	0	1	0	2	27	18	17	8	24	1	2	0	0	0	0
70		20	10		-	4		0	0	0	0	1	15	21	11	11	33	3	4	0	0	0	0
69		20	11		-	3		0	0	0	0	0	7	20	6	12	38	9	6	1	1	0	0	0	0
68		19	11		-	4			0	0	0	0	2	16	2	10	36	19	8	3	3	0	0	0	0
67		19	12		-	3				0	0	0	1	11	1	7	28	31	8	7	7	0	0	0	0	0
66		18	12		-	4				0		0	0	6	0	4	17	40	7	12	12	2	1	0	0	0
65		18	13		-	3				0		0	0	3	0	2	8	42	4	16	16	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
64		17	13		-	4				0		0	0	1	0	1	3	37	2	17	19	16	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
63		17	14		-	3							0	1	0	0	1	29	1	15	16	30	3	3	2	0	0	0	0
62		16	14		-	4							0	0		0	0	20	0	11	11	43	3	6	4	2	0	0	0	0
61		16	15		-	3								0		0	0	12	0	6	6	51	2	6	8	5	2	0	0	0	0	0
60		15	15		-	4								0		0	0	6	0	3	3	52	1	5	11	10	6	2	0	0	0
59		15	16		-	3								0		0	0	3	0	1	1	47	0	3	10	15	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
58		14	16		-	4								0			0	1	0	1	0	38	0	1	7	15	19	12	4	1	0	0	0
57		14	17		-	3												0		0	0	28	0	0	3	12	21	20	11	3	0	0	0	0
56		13	17		-	4												0		0	0	19	0	0	1	6	18	25	20	8	2	0	0	0
55		13	18		-	3												0		0	0	12	0	0	0	3	11	23	27	17	6	1	0	0	0
54		12	18		-	4												0		0	0	7		0	0	1	5	16	28	26	13	4	1	0	0
53		12	19		-	3												0		0		4		0	0	0	2	9	22	30	22	10	2	0	0	0
52		11	19		-	4												0				2		0	0	0	0	4	13	26	29	18	6	1	0	0
51		11	20		-	3																1				0	0	1	6	18	30	27	13	3	0	0	0
50		10	20		-	4																0				0	0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	1	0	0
49		10	21		-	3																0					0	0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	0	0
48		10	22		-	2																0						0	0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0
47		9	22		-	3																0							0	0	3	13	29	32	18	4	0
46		9	23		-	2																0							0	0	1	6	21	34	26	10	1
45		8	23		-	3																0									0	2	13	30	34	17	3
44		8	24		-	2																								0	0	1	7	23	37	27	6
43		7	24		-	3																									0	0	3	15	35	36	11
42		7	25		-	2																											1	8	29	43	19
41		6	25		-	3																											1	4	17	47	31
40		6	26		-	2																												1	15	43	41
39		5	26		-	3																													10	37	54
38		5	27		-	2																													6	22	72
37		5	28		-	1																														40	60
35		4	29		-	1																															100
26		0	34		-	0																														0	100

Total:							0	0	2	1	2	1	10	7	4	4	14	17	3	6	6	13	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0