Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.09 to 98%
52 points   25 15-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Montreal vs Calgary+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
80140-0In67.3%8983512,483
79130-1In45.778157707,119
78131-0In27.66523133,444,128*
77121-1In12.247322008,042,705*
76122-0In4.1314030022,309,129*
75112-1In0.8164341041,218,553*
74102-2In0.173954141,141,995
113-0In0.174052041,811,691*
73103-1In0.0232642092,932,637
92-3In0.0229663033,135,966*
7293-2In0.01217260105,820,477
104-0In0.0123724078,729,892
82-4In0.0017739016,583,529*
7194-1In0.0013751200179,345,387
83-3In0.001173160078,283,687*
7084-2InNo06692500183,831,244
95-0InNo07732000121,580,349
73-4InNo0463321034,515,728*
6985-1100.0%No026037100249,236,558
74-3100.0No025244200122,477,529*
6875-2100.0No014154500227,094,993
86-0100.0No014848300140,792,643
64-4100.0No00336070046,965,664*
6776-1100.0No029619000256,575,287
65-3100.0No023641210120,705,313
54-5100.0No01666171012,570,366*
6666-299.9No0146419300204,577,352
77-0100.0No0196415200124,264,971
55-499.9No09622530043,602,184*
6567-199.8No0859267000198,151,550
56-399.5No0555319000102,915,901*
6457-298.7No02453318100135,405,538
68-099.3No0451291610083,969,579
46-497.7No139372020027,994,594*
6358-196.8No01343032300114,785,219
47-394.8No028333450056,414,399*
6248-290.1No0182349810065,381,014
59-091.5No0212348710055,538,796*
6149-182.5No010135913400049,273,614
38-376.5No0713561761021,504,628*
6039-264.7No03556191430022,447,935
410-068.9No05659171220020,239,807*
59310-148.5No01246182580020,668,356*
58210-231.6No00311333203010,505,936*
57211-116.7No0017732359004,031,025*
56212-07.8No0082224521201,686,012*
55112-12.6No3111423860470,147*
54113-00.7No10430491500155,207*
53013-10.1No0011651302024,643
52014-00.0No0007424560296,823
Total:98.0%0.1%16363711711000003,624,670,282

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaFloridaWinnipegMontrealNashvilleChicagoDallasVancouverCalgaryColumbusDetroitOttawa
80140-06.2%00001060105329000
79130-16.300001350157437000
78131-06.300001745178535000
77121-16.200012338198524000
76122-06.300013132198522000
75112-16.210013927177411000
74102-26.320014824145311000
113-06.320014823156311000
73103-16.240005621114210000
92-36.35000572293210000
7293-26.27000622062110000
104-06.35000621973210000
82-46.29000632041110000
7194-16.39000671831110000
83-36.311000661831010000
7084-26.212000681710010000
95-06.310000691721010000
73-46.314000671710010000
6985-16.213000691610010000
74-36.215000671600010000
6875-26.316000671500010000
86-06.214000691500010000
64-46.318000641500010000
6776-16.31811165140001000
65-36.32011162140001000
54-56.223111601300010
6666-26.22322159120001000
77-06.22122162130001000
55-46.226332551000010
6567-16.2264425310000000
56-36.229553498000000
6457-26.231875426000000
68-06.229764467000000
46-46.13399538500000
6358-16.13211116334000000
47-35.9331212729300000
6248-25.6301415820200000
59-05.83014158242000000
6149-15.2271517913100000
38-34.8261416811100000
6039-24.022131577000000
410-04.323141687000000
59310-13.01710126400000
58311-02.011784200000
57211-11.063421000
56212-00.5312110
55112-10.2101000
54113-00.0000000
53013-10.0000000
52014-00.000000
Total:6.1%17.72.72.81.755.813.51.80.70.40.50.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Winnipeg-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Montreal vs Calgary+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
80140-0672180300
79130-14632141700
78131-0283720212100
77121-11235257173100
76122-0427251520730000
75112-11151824191480000
74102-207102913211731000
113-007103013211620000
73103-102428623241010000
92-3023265242511200000
7293-2011202192626311000
104-0011222192625211000
82-4001171172529522000
7194-10001301119454440000
83-30001101018455550000
7084-20060495549112000
95-00070511573782000
73-400403852511143100
6985-10020145521117710000
74-30020134821220920000
6875-2001001401112319310000
86-0001001461102117210000
64-4000001321112523520000
6776-100000290721335400000
65-3000220722357610000
54-500016062138981000
6666-200014031645712200000
77-0000190416446920000
55-4000903144591630000
6567-1000801949620700000
56-3000501846724800000
6457-200020044142916210000
68-00004004464251421000
46-4001003355331822100
6358-100100133229247210000
47-300126231268320000
6248-20001802331184410000
59-00002102230184410000
6149-10001001327314841000
38-30007013263051061000
6039-200030517393121362000
410-0000506184231010510000
59310-10010283819171572000
58210-2002290413221882000
57211-10001601617262292000
56212-0000800172029239200
55112-103000282232248100
54113-00100210253422610
53013-1000211303518400
52014-00000316343312100
Total:011514526151120385301000000000000