Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Toronto 3-2 (ot), playoff odds up 1.5 to 6%

39 points 18 21-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)	+1.5		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Montreal vs Calgary	-3.7-2.3-2.3+1.5+1.5+3.9		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ottawa vs Winnipeg	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

67	14	0		-	0	100.0	%	No		0	24	58	17	1	0								518,133
66	13	0		-	1	99.5		No		0	8	51	35	5	1	0							713,908
65	13	1		-	0	97.6		No		0	3	39	43	12	2	0							3,478,652	*
64	12	1		-	1	91.4		No			1	23	44	24	8	0	0						8,125,745	*
63	12	2		-	0	81.4		No			0	12	34	36	17	1	0	0					22,523,671	*
62	11	2		-	1	64.8		No			0	4	19	41	30	5	0	0					41,614,939	*
61	10	2		-	2	44.6		No			0	1	8	36	39	15	2	0	0				46,187,185	*
	11	3		-	0	53.1		No			0	2	10	42	33	12	1	0					37,564,510	*
60	10	3		-	1	32.7		No			0	0	3	30	35	27	6	0	0				93,851,856
	9	2		-	3	25.9		No			0	0	2	24	37	30	7	0	0				33,467,637	*
59	9	3		-	2	17.0		No				0	1	16	27	39	16	2	0				106,869,694
	10	4		-	0	22.1		No				0	1	21	26	37	14	1	0				79,517,314
	8	2		-	4	12.4		No				0	0	12	26	41	18	2	0				16,748,574	*
58	9	4		-	1	10.1		No				0	0	10	15	41	28	5	0	0			181,129,676
	8	3		-	3	6.9		No				0	0	7	15	41	31	6	0	0			79,056,381	*
57	8	4		-	2	3.7		No				0	0	4	7	34	42	14	1	0			185,657,102
	9	5		-	0	5.6		No				0	0	6	7	35	40	12	0	0			122,770,233
	7	3		-	4	2.3		No				0	0	2	6	32	43	17	1	0			34,866,340	*
56	8	5		-	1	1.7		No				0	0	2	2	22	46	26	2	0	0		251,702,616
	7	4		-	3	1.0		No				0	0	1	2	20	45	29	3	0	0		123,707,169	*
55	7	5		-	2	0.4		No				0	0	0	1	10	40	41	7	0	0		229,327,053
	8	6		-	0	0.7		No				0	0	1	1	12	43	38	6	0	0		142,200,156
	6	4		-	4	0.2		No					0	0	0	9	37	45	8	0	0		47,438,835	*
54	7	6		-	1	0.1		No				0		0	0	4	29	50	16	0	0		259,150,847
	6	5		-	3	0.1		No						0	0	3	26	52	17	0	0		121,904,103
	5	4		-	5	0.0		No						0	0	3	23	54	20	1	0		12,690,021	*
53	6	6		-	2	0.0		No						0	0	1	15	51	30	2	0		206,629,976
	7	7		-	0	0.0		No						0	0	1	18	51	29	2	0		125,498,052
	5	5		-	4	0.0		No						0	0	1	13	51	33	3	0		44,039,435	*
52	6	7		-	1	0.0		No						0	0	0	7	42	45	6	0		200,120,425
	5	6		-	3	0.0		No						0	0	0	5	40	47	8	0		103,965,247	*
51	5	7		-	2	0.0		No						0	0	0	2	27	54	16	1		136,775,389
	6	8		-	0	0.0		No						0	0	0	3	29	54	14	1		84,823,313
	4	6		-	4	0.0		No						0	0	0	1	24	54	19	2		28,276,886	*
50	5	8		-	1	0.0		No						0	0	0	1	15	54	28	3		115,914,496
	4	7		-	3	0.0		No						0		0	0	13	51	31	5		56,962,775	*
49	4	8		-	2	Out		No								0	0	6	43	42	10		66,017,131
	5	9		-	0	Out		No								0	0	6	43	41	9		56,069,018	*
48	4	9		-	1	Out		No								0	0	2	30	49	19		49,769,954
	3	8		-	3	Out		No									0	2	26	49	23		21,713,326	*
47	3	9		-	2	Out		No									0	1	16	49	34		22,686,881
	4	10		-	0	Out		No									0	1	17	50	33		20,427,566	*
46	3	10		-	1	Out		No									0	0	8	42	50		20,860,636	*
45	2	10		-	2	Out		No										0	3	31	65		10,612,475	*
44	2	11		-	1	Out		No										0	1	20	79		4,074,479	*
43	2	12		-	0	Out		No										0	0	12	88		1,702,875	*
42	1	12		-	1	Out		No											0	6	94		474,746	*
41	1	13		-	0	Out		No											0	3	97		157,202	*
40	0	13		-	1	Out		No												1	99		25,016
39	0	14		-	0	Out		No											0	0	100		299,751

Total:						6.0	%	No		0	0	0	1	5	6	14	22	26	18	6	2		3,660,679,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Toronto	Tampa Bay	Carolina	Florida	Winnipeg	Edmonton	Montreal	Nashville	Chicago	Dallas	Vancouver

67		14	0		-	0	6.3	%	19	2	2	1	47	28	1	0	0	0	0
66		13	0		-	1	6.2		29	4	5	3	36	21	2	0	0	0	0
65		13	1		-	0	6.1		34	7	7	4	29	16	1	0	0	0	0
		12	0		-	2	6.0		35	8	8	5	26	15	1	0	0	0	0
64		12	1		-	1	5.7		37	10	10	6	18	10	1	0	0	0	0
		11	0		-	3	5.5		36	10	10	6	15	9	1	0	0		0
63		12	2		-	0	5.3		34	12	13	7	12	6	0	0	0	0	0
		11	1		-	2	4.9		33	12	12	7	10	5	0	0	0	0	0
		10	0		-	4	4.5		30	11	12	7	8	4	0	0	0		0
62		11	2		-	1	4.1		27	12	13	7	5	3	0	0	0	0	0
		10	1		-	3	3.7		24	11	11	6	4	2	0	0	0	0	0
		9	0		-	5	3.2		21	9	10	5	3	2	0	0			0
61		11	3		-	0	3.3		21	11	12	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
		10	2		-	2	2.8		18	9	10	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	1		-	4	2.4		16	7	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	0		-	6	1.9		13	6	7	3	1	1	0	0
60		10	3		-	1	2.0		13	7	8	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	2		-	3	1.6		11	5	6	3	1	0	0	0		0	0
		8	1		-	5	1.3		9	4	5	2	1	0	0	0
		7	0		-	7	0.9		6	3	3	2	1	0	0
59		9	3		-	2	1.1		7	3	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	4		-	0	1.4		9	4	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	2		-	4	0.8		5	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		7	1		-	6	0.6		4	2	2	1	0	0	0
58		9	4		-	1	0.6		4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0		0
		8	3		-	3	0.4		3	1	2	1	0	0	0	0		0
		7	2		-	5	0.3		2	1	1	0	0	0	0
		6	1		-	7	0.2		1	0	1	0	0	0	0
57		8	4		-	2	0.2		2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	5		-	0	0.3		3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0		0
		7	3		-	4	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		6	2		-	6	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		8	5		-	1	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		7	4		-	3	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		6	3		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	2		-	7	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
55		8	6		-	0	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		7	5		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		6	4		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	3		-	6	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
54		7	6		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		6	5		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	4		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
53		7	7		-	0	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		6	6		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	5		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
52		6	7		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
51		6	8		-	0	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
50		5	8		-	1	No		0		0
39	-49						No

Total:							0.4	%	2.5	1.1	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)	-0.7
New Jersey 0 NY Rangers 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal vs Calgary	+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.8
Los Angeles vs Vegas	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Arizona	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Anaheim	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

67	14	0		-	0				0		0	0	24	0	7	20	32	9	8	1	0	0	0
66	13	0		-	1				0		0	0	8	0	2	12	37	13	22	5	0	1	0
65	13	1		-	0				0		0	0	3	0	1	6	33	10	33	11	1	2	0	0	0
64	12	1		-	1								1		0	2	21	5	38	21	3	6	2	0	0	0
63	12	2		-	0							0	0		0	0	11	2	32	27	8	11	7	1	0	0	0
62	11	2		-	1								0		0	0	4	0	19	26	16	14	16	5	1	0	0	0
61	10	2		-	2								0		0	0	1	0	8	16	20	11	24	15	4	1	0	0	0
	11	3		-	0								0		0	0	2	0	9	19	22	10	21	13	3	0	0	0	0
60	10	3		-	1								0			0	0	0	3	9	21	6	21	24	12	3	0	0	0	0
	9	2		-	3								0			0	0	0	2	7	17	6	22	27	15	4	1	0	0	0
59	9	3		-	2												0	0	1	3	14	2	13	26	25	13	4	1	0	0	0
	10	4		-	0											0	0	0	1	4	18	2	13	25	23	11	3	0	0	0	0
	8	2		-	4												0	0	0	2	10	2	12	26	28	15	5	1	0	0	0
58	9	4		-	1												0	0	0	1	9	0	4	16	28	25	12	3	0	0	0	0
	8	3		-	3												0	0	0	1	6	0	4	15	28	27	14	4	1	0	0	0
57	8	4		-	2												0		0	0	4	0	1	6	18	29	26	13	3	0	0	0
	9	5		-	0												0		0	0	5	0	1	6	19	29	25	11	3	0	0	0
	7	3		-	4												0		0	0	2	0	1	5	16	28	28	15	4	1	0	0
56	8	5		-	1												0		0	0	2	0	0	1	7	20	31	26	11	2	0	0	0
	7	4		-	3												0		0	0	1	0	0	1	6	18	30	28	13	3	0	0	0
55	7	5		-	2												0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	2	0	0	0
	8	6		-	0												0		0	0	1	0	0	0	2	8	22	33	24	9	1	0	0
	6	4		-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	0	0	0
54	7	6		-	1												0			0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	24	34	23	7	1	0	0
	6	5		-	3															0	0		0	0	0	1	8	23	34	25	8	1	0	0	0
	5	4		-	5																0		0	0	0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1	0	0
53	6	6		-	2																0		0	0	0	0	2	11	28	35	19	4	0	0	0
	7	7		-	0															0	0		0	0	0	0	2	12	29	34	18	4	0	0	0
	5	5		-	4																0			0	0	0	1	9	26	36	22	6	0	0	0
52	6	7		-	1																0			0	0	0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	0	0	0
	5	6		-	3																0			0	0	0	0	2	13	32	34	15	2	0	0	0
51	5	7		-	2																0				0	0	0	1	5	21	38	27	8	1	0	0
	6	8		-	0																0				0	0	0	1	6	23	38	26	7	1	0	0
	4	6		-	4																0					0	0	0	4	18	36	30	10	1	0	0
50	5	8		-	1																0					0	0	0	1	9	30	37	18	4	0	0
	4	7		-	3																0					0	0	0	1	8	27	38	21	5	0	0
49	4	8		-	2																						0	0	0	3	16	35	32	12	2	0
	5	9		-	0																						0	0	0	3	16	36	32	12	2	0
48	4	9		-	1																						0	0	0	1	6	25	38	24	6	0
	3	8		-	3																							0	0	0	5	22	38	27	7	0
47	3	9		-	2																								0	0	2	12	33	37	16	1
	4	10		-	0																								0	0	2	13	33	36	15	1
46	3	10		-	1																								0	0	0	5	21	41	29	4
45	2	10		-	2																									0	0	1	11	36	43	9
44	2	11		-	1																										0	0	4	25	53	18
43	2	12		-	0																										0	0	1	14	54	30
42	1	12		-	1																											0	0	7	48	45
41	1	13		-	0																											0	0	3	39	58
40	0	13		-	1																												0	1	29	70
39	0	14		-	0																												0	0	20	80

Total:									0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	1	3	4	6	8	10	12	13	12	10	7	4	2	1	0