Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Toronto 3-2 (ot), playoff odds up 1.5 to 6%
39 points   18 21-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+1.5
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Montreal vs Calgary-3.7-2.3-2.3+1.5+1.5+3.9
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ottawa vs Winnipeg+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
67140-0100.0%No024581710518,133
66130-199.5No085135510713,908
65131-097.6No03394312203,478,652*
64121-191.4No12344248008,125,745*
63122-081.4No01234361710022,523,671*
62112-164.8No0419413050041,614,939*
61102-244.6No01836391520046,187,185*
113-053.1No02104233121037,564,510*
60103-132.7No00330352760093,851,856
92-325.9No00224373070033,467,637*
5993-217.0No011627391620106,869,694
104-022.1No01212637141079,517,314
82-412.4No00122641182016,748,574*
5894-110.1No0010154128500181,129,676
83-36.9No00715413160079,056,381*
5784-23.7No004734421410185,657,102
95-05.6No006735401200122,770,233
73-42.3No00263243171034,866,340*
5685-11.7No0022224626200251,702,616
74-31.0No0012204529300123,707,169*
5575-20.4No0001104041700229,327,053
86-00.7No0011124338600142,200,156
64-40.2No0009374580047,438,835*
5476-10.1No000429501600259,150,847
65-30.1No00326521700121,904,103
54-50.0No0032354201012,690,021*
5366-20.0No00115513020206,629,976
77-00.0No00118512920125,498,052
55-40.0No0011351333044,039,435*
5267-10.0No0007424560200,120,425
56-30.0No0005404780103,965,247*
5157-20.0No00022754161136,775,389
68-00.0No0003295414184,823,313
46-40.0No0001245419228,276,886*
5058-10.0No00011554283115,914,496
47-30.0No000135131556,962,775*
4948-2OutNo00643421066,017,131
59-0OutNo0064341956,069,018*
4849-1OutNo00230491949,769,954
38-3OutNo0226492321,713,326*
4739-2OutNo0116493422,686,881
410-0OutNo0117503320,427,566*
46310-1OutNo008425020,860,636*
45210-2OutNo03316510,612,475*
44211-1OutNo0120794,074,479*
43212-0OutNo0012881,702,875*
42112-1OutNo0694474,746*
41113-0OutNo0397157,202*
40013-1OutNo19925,016
39014-0OutNo00100299,751
Total:6.0%No00015614222618623,660,679,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaFloridaWinnipegEdmontonMontrealNashvilleChicagoDallasVancouver
67140-06.3%19221472810000
66130-16.229453362120000
65131-06.134774291610000
120-26.035885261510000
64121-15.73710106181010000
110-35.536101061591000
63122-05.3341213712600000
111-24.9331212710500000
100-44.53011127840000
62112-14.127121375300000
101-33.724111164200000
90-53.221910532000
61113-03.321111263100000
102-22.81891052100000
91-42.4167842100000
80-61.9136731100
60103-12.0137841100000
92-31.611563100000
81-51.394521000
70-70.96332100
5993-21.173420000000
104-01.494521000000
82-40.85231000000
71-60.64221000
5894-10.6422100000
83-30.4312100000
72-50.32110000
61-70.21010000
5784-20.221100000
95-00.3311100000
73-40.110000000
62-60.11000000
5685-10.1100000000
74-30.110000000
63-50.00000000
52-70.0000000
5586-00.000000000
75-20.000000000
64-40.00000000
53-60.0000000
5476-10.00000000
65-30.00000000
54-50.0000000
5377-00.00000000
66-20.00000000
55-40.0000000
5267-10.0000000
5168-00.0000000
5058-1No00
39-49No
Total:0.4%2.51.11.30.60.30.20.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)-0.7
New Jersey 0 NY Rangers 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Calgary+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.8
Los Angeles vs Vegas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
67140-000024072032981000
66130-1000802123713225010
65131-000030163310331112000
64121-11022153821362000
63122-00000112322781171000
62112-100040192616141651000
61102-2000108162011241541000
113-0000209192210211330000
60103-100003921621241230000
92-300002717622271541000
5993-200131421326251341000
104-0000141821325231130000
82-400021021226281551000
5894-100019041628251230000
83-300016041528271441000
5784-20004016182926133000
95-00005016192925113000
73-40002015162828154100
5685-100020017203126112000
74-300010016183028133000
5575-2000000017213226102000
86-00001000282233249100
64-400000016193228122000
5476-10000000292434237100
65-3000001823342581000
54-500001620342810100
5366-2000002112835194000
77-00000002122934184000
55-40000192636226000
5267-1000003153433132000
56-3000002133234152000
5157-20000152138278100
68-00000162338267100
46-40000418363010100
5058-1000019303718400
47-3000018273821500
4948-200031635321220
59-000031636321220
4849-10001625382460
38-3000522382770
4739-2002123337161
410-0002133336151
46310-100052141294
45210-20011136439
44211-1004255318
43212-0001145430
42112-10074845
41113-00033958
40013-1012970
39014-0002080
Total:00000000011313468101213121074210