How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 7 Tampa Bay 2 -5.6
Dallas 2 Florida 3 (ot)-0.1
Washington 6 Philadelphia 1 -0.4
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Colorado+1.2+0.3+0.3-0.7-1.0-1.1
Los Angeles vs Vegas+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86140-0In99.8%1000543,413
85130-1In99.010000748,782
84131-0In97.7100003,645,202*
83121-1In94.5100008,521,756*
82122-0In89.1991023,615,856*
81112-1In79.19721043,652,586*
80102-2In64.29243043,577,049
113-0In66.79343044,282,361*
79103-1In48.08676098,446,895
92-3In44.38488035,106,155*
7893-2In28.07512130112,122,631
104-0In31.6781111083,441,360
82-4In24.7701316017,567,052*
7794-1In14.56217210190,045,585
83-3In12.0571725182,932,687*
7684-2In4.64221352194,769,777
95-0In5.94721311128,810,903
73-4In3.5362040336,587,304*
7585-1In1.22822464264,101,974
74-3In0.92320507129,769,266*
7475-2In0.112185613240,627,222
86-0In0.21621549149,203,778
64-4In0.1915571949,758,642*
7376-1In0.051458230271,899,647
65-3In0.041156300127,923,141
54-5In0.0285238013,314,126*
7266-2In0.01750420216,813,845
77-0In0.02954350131,672,222
55-4In0.0144352046,209,023*
7167-1In0.003405600209,990,999
56-3In0.002336500109,056,885*
7057-2100.0%No012475000143,518,677
68-0100.0No01306900088,988,733
46-4100.0No00178200029,674,565*
6958-1100.0No001584100121,640,606
47-3100.0No00118810059,778,661*
6848-2100.0No0069130069,279,363
59-0100.0No0079030058,824,184*
6749-1100.0No00391600052,215,823
38-399.9No0291700022,784,112*
6639-299.7No01841320023,785,165
410-099.7No01851310021,428,512*
65310-198.7No0732051021,878,920*
64210-295.6No057251340011,119,959*
63211-188.1No040252311104,265,369*
62212-074.5No232032233001,781,917*
61112-154.8No11113336900497,474*
60113-034.3No4526432120164,332*
59013-116.5No111439368025,911
58014-06.4No00626461920314,583
Total:99.9%8.1%2511343010000003,840,724,990

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoCarolinaFloridaWinnipegEdmontonMontrealNashvilleChicagoDallasVancouverCalgaryColumbusDetroitOttawa
86140-06.3%00336273414354000
85130-16.200246293214455000
84131-06.300246293214455000
83121-16.200146293113555000
82122-06.300247293013555000
81112-16.200247293013554000
80102-26.300447292813654000
113-06.300447282913554000
79103-16.201747272813554000
92-36.201847272712654000
7893-26.3021246252612543000
104-06.2011146252712543000
82-46.3031346242411643000
7794-16.3041846222411543000
83-36.2062036212210543000
7684-26.209283517209432000
95-06.306263518229432000
73-46.2013303515188422000
7585-16.2013372412177321000
74-36.3018392411156321000
7475-26.302246237125211000
86-06.301845238145311000
64-46.20274812594210000
7376-16.30275312483200000
65-36.20315311372100000
54-56.30355301252100000
7266-26.20345701142100000
77-06.20315711262100000
55-46.30385600131100000
7167-16.20365800031100000
56-36.30395700021000000
7057-26.30395800020000000
68-06.2037590002100000
46-46.204157000100000
6958-16.203958000100000
47-36.204256000100000
6848-26.214156000100000
59-06.214057000100000
6749-16.32405510010000
38-36.23425310000000
6639-26.264051110000000
410-06.25395311000000
65310-16.21038482100000
64210-26.014344231000000
63211-15.51731363100000
62212-04.71626282100000
61112-13.411212011000
60113-02.1614131000
59013-10.9286000
58014-00.4132000
Total:6.2%0.322.441.11.72.79.312.25.02.41.51.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 7 Tampa Bay 2 +0.7
Dallas 2 Florida 3 (ot)+0.2
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86140-010000
85130-199100
84131-098200
83121-19550000
82122-089101000
81112-1791820100
80102-26428403000
113-06727403000
79103-148387060000
92-344408080000
7893-228461111210000
104-03246101101000
82-42546122151000
7794-114471341830000
83-312451342140010
7684-2538128251000200
95-064113823800100
73-4333129271200300
7585-1127913252010400
74-3122812252410700
7475-201241418352013100
86-00155151933209100
64-40931217372118100
7376-105212104342193000
65-30411084142255000
54-5021773942317000
7266-201063365629130000
77-002094415525100000
55-401042314634171000
7167-10003126410282710000
56-3000202039303220000
7057-20010112112148510000
68-00010152132044410000
46-400008192154610000
6958-1000051101159941000
47-3000030710621151000
6848-20001054581514210000
59-000002074591411210000
6749-1000031471627330000
38-3000011441630430000
6639-2000102814435820000
410-0000103014415810000
65310-100001595051550100
64210-200064473221123100
63211-10213612418574100
62212-000220192012111130000
61112-1001001115181121112000
60113-000405818824239200
59013-11121231730228200
58014-000061722312292000
Total:8165611192312142200000000000000