Florida Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat Nashville 5-4, playoff odds up 3.2 to 95%
32 points   14 4-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 4 Florida 5 +1.8
+0.1
+0.3
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 +0.9
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)-0.1
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
San Jose vs Vegas+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
95-100In100.0%10021,122*
94302-2In99.510000565*
93303-1In99.599001,518*
92293-2In98.599114,417*
91283-3In97.5981110,586*
90284-2In95.0962224,491*
89274-3In90.9923553,316*
88275-2In85.488580110,982*
87265-3In77.6817120213,106*
86266-2In67.97210180392,198*
85256-3In56.46213250682,334*
84257-2In44.051153401,134,696*
83247-3In31.939174311,792,202*
82237-4In21.128185222,723,672*
81238-3In12.5191760403,951,170*
80228-4In6.5121566805,502,073*
79229-3In2.9612691307,357,146*
78219-4In1.139682009,453,289*
772110-3In0.3166528011,684,390*
762010-4In0.1145837013,913,442*
752011-3100.0%0.00250471015,966,533*
741911-4100.00.001415710017,680,747*
731912-3100.00.000316530018,858,298*
721812-4100.00.000237160019,447,737*
711813-3100.0No0015741100019,346,914*
701713-499.8No0010731700018,606,017*
691714-399.5No06682501017,285,758*
681614-498.7No03613311015,518,590*
671615-396.9No01514143013,467,154*
661515-493.8No14045860011,302,929*
651516-388.6No0294514110009,166,969*
641416-480.9No020402118107,191,651*
631417-370.6No0123127273005,447,453*
621317-458.2No072131356003,993,530*
611318-344.8No03123041131002,825,703*
601218-431.9No162542223001,932,777*
591219-320.7No021838328001,278,760*
581119-412.1No011130401620813,810*
571120-36.4No00621422640502,327*
561020-43.0No003123936910299,246*
551021-31.2No001630431720170,637*
54921-40.4No0032045275094,739*
53922-30.2No011240379050,169*
52822-40.1No006334416025,555*
51823-3OutNo032347261012,591*
50824-2OutNo1144537305,827*
49724-3OutNo0083945702,666*
48725-2OutNo428571101,151*
47625-3OutNo21759211488*
46626-2OutNo1847304179*
45526-3OutNo84641574*
44527-2OutNo638411632*
43528-1OutNo27551811*
42428-2OutNo2550254*
32034-0OutNo029820,881
Total:95.0%1.5%2226471434100000260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaWinnipegMontrealEdmontonChicagoCalgaryDallasColumbusVancouverNashvilleOttawaDetroit
100340-04.1%00316104661861200
99330-1NoYes
98331-0NoYes
97321-16.77772020337
96311-26.72216183111992
95312-12.8431417271017332
94302-22.804313193111135110
93303-14.1033131832111242200
92293-23.90033122030111252100
91283-34.10033132129111242100
90284-24.00043132127121142100
89274-34.00063132127111142100
88275-23.80093132026111042100
87265-33.800133132024111042100
86266-23.80018312192310931100
85256-33.6012431117229831100
84257-23.502323915208721100
83247-33.303402812196621000
82237-43.204472610185621000
81238-33.10555147173510000
80228-43.00761135152410000
79229-32.80966123141310000
78219-42.701070012121310000
772110-32.601272011110210000
762010-42.601374000100200000
752011-32.501374000100200000
741911-42.41147400090200000
731912-32.41147400090100000
721812-42.33147210080100000
711813-32.35157010070100000
701713-42.39166620060100000
691714-32.213176031050100000
681614-42.218185441040100000
671615-32.123194651030000000
661515-42.027213751020000000
651516-31.928242951010000000
641416-41.727262151010000000
631417-31.523281541000000000
621317-41.318271030000000000
611318-30.91225620000000000
601218-40.7720410000000000
591219-30.4414200000000000
581220-20.32910000000000
571120-30.1151000000000
561121-20.102000000000
551021-30.001000000
541022-20.00000000
53922-3No00000
52923-20.00000
32-51No
Total:2.3%8.415.358.31.80.80.87.20.41.50.30.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 4 Florida 5 -0.5
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 -0.1
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 +0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
96-100100
95312-1991
94302-299000
93303-19900
92293-299011
91283-397011
90284-295122
89274-391135
88275-28525080
87265-37837120
86266-268410018000
85256-356613025000
84257-244715034000
83247-332717043001
82237-421717052002
81238-31361705900400
80228-475141641108000
79229-3331116422013000
78219-412816034019000
772110-301515267028000
762010-4002140910037000
752011-30011261112046100100
741911-400011511131542101000
731912-30000710122576203000
721812-40000271035412506000
711813-300014644421901000000
701713-4000023430291311610000
691714-3000114163217421400100
681614-40000262917924910100
671615-30000122113152219303000
661515-400101381916297151000
651516-30000641993610483000
641416-40000311643611101172000
631417-30010111301018111251000
621317-400060217249161241000
611318-30003012326617191131000
601218-400106124312221992000
591219-3000020181719251972000
581119-401011031124261661000
571120-30006015162726144100
561020-400030028202924113000
551021-300100031124302082000
54921-400015152828165100
53922-30002720302612300
52822-4000311263121710
51823-30151729291541
50824-20028223324910
49724-3131528311840
48725-20172335241010
47625-303113231193
46626-2192231289
45526-315122435193
44527-26625282213
43528-11845279
42428-2502525
32034-00397
Total:1120154522611648722211100000000000