Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Columbus 5-1, playoff odds up 9.8 to 36%
46 points   17 14-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas 5 Columbus 1 +6.5
+0.4
Carolina 3 Nashville 1 +5.4
+0.3
Detroit 0 Chicago 4 -2.0
-0.1
SundayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
72130-0InNo02315314341,789
71120-1InNo001152360612,405
70121-0InNo004405502,913,217*
69111-1100.0%No0012574006,367,540*
68112-099.9No001584109,607,084
101-299.8No01286107,495,065*
67102-199.2No0068841024,063,626
91-398.9No05895105,548,411*
6692-297.1No0284113027,393,682
103-097.7No0385102029,992,983*
6593-192.7No01722070061,906,963
82-391.0No01702090019,737,922*
6483-283.3No05429160063,443,108
94-086.2No005828140052,450,512
72-480.8No0522919008,803,927*
6384-170.2No0363428200107,528,982
73-366.1No033333220041,312,133*
6274-251.1No019324260097,988,247
85-056.3No022343950072,900,612
63-447.0No017304580015,995,815*
6175-133.5No0825501510132,854,350
64-329.3No072251181052,073,185
53-526.0No06205220204,303,971*
6065-216.9No214473150105,922,175
76-020.7No31749274075,059,214
54-414.3No21246346018,610,655*
5966-17.5No1736431200119,685,762
55-35.7No053446141052,410,993*
5856-22.2No022049272081,778,481
67-03.2No032448242057,976,030
45-41.6No021849292014,374,440*
5757-10.5No0110424160079,222,609
46-30.3No008414470033,626,361*
5647-20.1No0032852161045,106,174
58-00.1No0043151140033,572,304
36-40.0No002275218107,360,478*
5548-10.0No00116522930038,248,132
37-30.0No0114503140014,693,033*
5438-20.0No0063943120017,432,052
49-00.0No0074142100016,828,387*
5339-10.0No0022448242013,130,118
28-3OutNo02204629304,186,347*
5229-2OutNo0093745804,487,846
310-0OutNo00114141604,913,062*
51210-1OutNo0323532013,747,000*
50211-0OutNo0110493751,672,688*
49111-1OutNo03335212478,919*
48112-0OutNo01205623169,348*
47012-1OutNo09523927,635
46013-0OutNo054253142,730
Total:36.0%No0001201626201241001,690,498,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCarolinaFloridaTorontoTampa BayWinnipegEdmontonMontrealNashvilleChicagoVancouverCalgary
72130-06.3%27366272100000
71120-16.3233016226400000
70121-06.321252318950000
110-26.3192226171060000
69111-16.2171833121280000
100-36.2161636121380000
68112-06.2161437101490000
101-26.315134091490000
90-46.213114391590000
67102-16.215114281490000
91-36.21494471590000
80-56.21384671510000
6692-26.11694271490000
103-06.117104171490000
81-46.01584371490000
70-65.914744714900
6593-15.81993781280000
82-35.71883881280000
71-55.617838811800
6483-25.2219308960000
94-05.42110318960000
72-45.120830886000
61-64.92073088600
6384-14.42292286400
73-34.12182185400
62-53.92072075400
6274-23.22071363200
85-03.52181573300
63-43.01861263200
52-62.81751162200
6175-12.1155741100
64-31.8134641100
53-51.612454110
6065-21.193220000
76-01.3103331000
54-40.982220000
43-60.87222000
5966-10.54111000
55-30.43111000
44-50.3310100
5867-00.22100000
56-20.11000000
45-40.1100000
5757-10.0000000
46-30.0000000
5658-00.0000000
5548-10.00000
5449-00.00000
5339-1No0
46-52No
Total:2.2%10.94.411.33.83.22.20.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 5 Columbus 1 -0.7
Carolina 3 Nashville 1 -0.2
Detroit 0 Chicago 4 +0.1
Philadelphia 3 Washington 6 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
72130-000202226213110140
71120-100006151039213340
70121-000001033323344120
69111-1000010182546280000
68112-000000815384610000
101-2000071536501000
67102-100000204246440100
91-30000203226750100
6692-200000211731102100
103-00001021372100200
6593-100015671915200
82-300014662016300
6483-200015327288100
94-0000025626276100
72-400015127299100
6384-100003629510173000
73-300003328511194000
6274-2000019248828111000
85-00000222688259100
63-40001722893013200
6175-100081510532236100
64-300071395322671000
53-5006128533278100
6065-2026822435184000
76-0038922634153000
54-4025722336194000
5966-101251133431122000
55-30141123333142000
5856-20020420362791000
67-00130523362571000
45-400103183529102000
5757-10000182636226100
46-30000172436257100
5647-2000002102835195100
58-0000002123034174000
36-400000192736216100
5548-10000003143332153000
37-3000002123133174000
5438-200004173330133000
49-000004193429112000
5339-100016213427101000
28-30005183330132000
5229-200162135279100
310-000182435247100
51210-100182536226100
50211-000211313518400
49111-10031634321320
48112-0000623382670
47012-101103139171
46013-00041941314
Total:00000000000218114413141296321000000