"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Lost to Columbus 2-3, playoff odds down 8.1 to 23.2%
16 points   6 8-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 -6.6
-0.1
Nashville 4 Florida 5 -0.6
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 -0.2
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-2.7-2.8-2.3*+0.0*+0.0+2.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
92380-0In99.6%100020,881
88351-2InYes1004*
87352-1In66.76717176*
86342-2In66.77422427*
85332-3In77.28210879*
84333-2In47.3572617207*
83323-3In49.6592021556*
82324-2In29.939273311,541*
81314-3In21.632254123,797*
80315-2In11.520255148,786*
79305-3In5.21121607019,306*
78295-4In2.26176313040,263*
77296-3In0.73126321178,708*
76286-4In0.21859302147,997*
75287-3100.0%0.004514140265,753*
74277-4100.00.002415070457,050*
73278-399.90.00130561300752,146*
72268-499.7No00215821001,193,908*
71269-399.1No00135531011,812,980*
70259-497.6No0749410202,659,350*
692510-394.8No0440511503,753,473*
682410-490.0No02305721005,116,044*
672411-383.2No012057517006,732,467*
662311-474.2No001353926008,556,898*
652312-363.6No074413361010,511,341*
642212-452.1No0432164620012,503,992*
632213-340.6No0221185550014,389,016*
622113-429.9No01121760900016,032,533*
612114-320.8No00614611710017,301,832*
602014-413.5No0311572630018,097,403*
592015-38.1No017493670018,350,502*
581915-44.5No00438431410018,044,539*
571916-32.2No00226462330017,198,922*
561816-41.0No00117433360015,904,995*
551817-30.4No00093641121014,266,222*
541717-40.1No00527452030012,422,511*
531718-30.0No00218443060010,492,629*
521618-40.0No0110393812008,596,237*
511619-30.0No005304420106,828,025*
501519-40.0No002214530205,264,994*
491520-30.0No001134140503,936,170*
481420-4OutNo00733491012,854,163*
471421-3OutNo00324531822,009,720*
461321-4OutNo00116532741,367,922*
451322-3OutNo00947367902,884*
441222-4OutNo004394413578,536*
431223-3OutNo002294821359,731*
421123-4OutNo01204930215,080*
411124-3OutNo0134641124,546*
401024-4OutNo007405270,138*
391025-3OutNo04336338,232*
38925-4OutNo2267219,897*
37926-3OutNo119809,947*
36826-4OutNo013864,848*
35827-3OutNo08912,281*
34727-4OutNo496979*
33728-3OutNo298458*
32729-2OutNo298175*
16-31OutNo10020,995*
Total:23.2%0.0%00141273020148410260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaWinnipegFloridaMontrealEdmontonChicagoCalgaryColumbusVancouverNashvilleOttawaDetroit
92380-01.9%01551618297151200
88351-2No255025
87352-116.717333317
86342-2No44441572611224
85332-35.151010183381411
84333-21.4122222141831410
83323-33.10220517142181202
82324-21.9043132191587010
81314-31.3063322581376010
80315-21.4084112558740100
79305-31.50104512635620000
78295-41.30124912623610000
77296-31.20145102611610000
76286-41.21155202501500000
75287-31.12165202500500000
74277-41.13165212300400000
73278-31.15175012200400000
72268-41.09184722000400000
71269-31.014194231710300000
70259-41.019203741410300000
692510-30.924203151110200000
682410-40.928212468101000000
672411-30.829212066101000000
2310-50.83120166510100000
662311-40.729211364100000000
2412-20.829221564101000000
2210-60.72919116310000000
652312-30.62620953100000000
2211-50.62620953100000000
642212-40.52119642100000000
2313-20.52220742100000000
2111-60.41917541100000000
632213-30.41618431000000000
2112-50.41516431000000000
622113-40.31015321000000000
2214-20.31014321000000000
612114-30.2611211000000000
602014-40.138100000000000
592015-30.125100000000000
581915-40.013000000000000
571916-30.002000000000000
561816-40.0010000000000
551817-30.000000000000
541717-40.000000000
531718-30.000000
521719-20.000000
511619-30.00000
501519-4No000
491621-1No000
16-48No
Total:0.2%7.48.04.41.41.50.20.10.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 +1.0
Nashville 4 Florida 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
92380-010000
88351-2100
87352-1671717
86342-2677224
85332-3775108
84333-247102617
83323-3501019021
82324-2301027033001
81314-3221025041002
80315-212924150104
79305-3562025622700
78295-424152573413000
77296-3121035157021001
76286-4015241810030002
75287-3002228111204010400
74277-40011161113147210700
73278-300017101224952013000
72268-4000279345940210000
71269-30001453341560301010
70259-40002232119913920020
692510-300011210189244710500
682410-4000013148442152010000
672411-300001195533255016100
662311-400000436203371233000
652312-30000214934942781000
642212-400001033299728164000
632213-3000011207112424102000
622113-4000101241316281961000
612114-3000006213925271441000
602014-40000311041729241130000
592015-30001071923302082000
581915-40004031427281651000
571916-300020161930261230000
561816-400010021023302292000
551817-3000000141427291861000
541717-400000016193026134100
531718-300000021023302292000
521618-40000141427291861000
511619-3000017193026123000
501519-400003112531217100
491520-30001516303015300
481420-400029233324810
471421-3000041430321630
461321-40001723352581
451322-30003143233152
441222-400182537246
431223-3000316363311
421123-40019304019
411124-3005224330
401024-4002154241
391025-30183754
38925-40053065
37926-3022375
36826-411782
35827-301089
34727-40694
33728-3397
32729-2496
16-31100
Total:0000000011114725789998765321100