Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Beat Dallas 3-2, playoff odds up 2.8 to 7.4%
25 points   10 10-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 +2.3
Nashville 4 Florida 5 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-1.2-1.2-1.0*-0.0*-0.0+1.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87310-0In90.8%946020,881
83281-2InNo1001
82271-3In16.733676*
81272-2In23.123463113*
80262-3In13.7252252173*
79263-2In10.12026495168*
78253-3In3.01026586541*
77254-2In0.4420631201,620*
76244-3In0.1214651904,019*
75245-2100.0%0.1186129109,741*
74235-3100.00.00451414022,133*
73225-499.9No0240508047,915*
72226-399.7No012956140097,713*
71216-499.0No0018572401191,232*
70217-397.4No0115234030350,569*
69207-494.2No054444160618,552*
68208-388.8No02335121101,038,642*
67198-480.7No12253519001,671,383*
66199-370.2No01348829102,570,013*
65189-458.0No07381240203,788,313*
641810-345.3No042715495005,357,921*
631710-433.3No0217155611007,268,574*
621711-322.8No019135818109,478,069*
611611-414.6No00410542830011,876,824*
601612-38.7No027473770014,290,216*
591512-44.8No0143644141016,560,637*
581513-32.4No0022647232018,452,767*
571413-41.1No00116453340019,777,296*
561414-30.4No0009384291020,411,989*
551314-40.2No0052949161020,271,096*
541315-30.0No00220502430019,377,502*
531215-40.0No00112473370017,824,993*
521216-30.0No0073941120015,770,776*
511116-40.0No0033046201013,428,309*
501117-30.0No0012046302010,985,832*
491017-40.0No000134240508,644,046*
481018-3OutNo00734481016,534,371*
47918-4OutNo00325521724,740,188*
46919-3OutNo0117522643,301,091*
45819-4OutNo0110473572,200,836*
44820-3OutNo053943131,406,672*
43720-4OutNo02294821860,488*
42721-3OutNo01204831502,593*
41621-4OutNo00124542280,300*
40622-3OutNo073954148,822*
39623-2OutNo04326474,737*
38523-3OutNo02247435,820*
37524-2OutNo01178216,316*
36424-3OutNo011886,909*
35425-2OutNo07932,683*
34325-3OutNo5951,027*
33326-2OutNo694365*
32226-3OutNo199112*
30-31OutNo10036*
25031-0OutNo010020,881
Total:7.4%0.0%00013317222516920260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaWinnipegFloridaMontrealEdmontonChicagoCalgaryDallasVancouverNashvilleOttawaDetroit
87310-00.5%017513172711152200
83281-2NoYes
82271-3No17333317
81272-2No313181588
80262-3No34222712751
79263-2No1236118881332
78253-3No842124251511
77254-20.2010451261213110
76244-30.3012490231112110
75245-20.31145102200100100
74235-30.2115510220090100
73225-40.2316501210080100
72226-30.251748120008010
71216-40.29184421800601000
70217-30.214203931510501000
69207-40.219213341210400000
68208-30.22322265910200000
67198-40.22622196610100000
209-20.22522196610100000
66199-30.22521145410100000
188-50.12520125310100000
2010-10.12520135410100000
65189-40.12219942100000000
1910-20.12321105310000000
178-60.1211874210000000
641810-30.11818632100000000
179-50.11716531100000000
631710-40.11214321000000000
1811-20.11416421000000000
169-60.11113321000000000
621711-30.0812211000000000
1610-50.071021100000000
1812-10.081121100000000
611611-40.048110000000000
1712-20.059210000000000
1510-60.03710000000000
601612-30.025100000000000
1511-50.02510000000000
591512-40.013000000000000
581513-30.002000000000000
571413-40.001000000000000
561414-30.0000000000000
551314-40.0000000000
541315-30.00000000
531316-20.0000000
521216-30.000000
511217-2No0000
501117-3No0000
491118-2No0
25-48No
Total:0.0%2.33.01.10.40.30.10.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 -0.8
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Nashville 4 Florida 5 -0.0
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Vegas+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87310-091360
83281-2100
82271-3171767
81272-2234631
80262-314112115111
79263-2101024246125
78253-33722449356
77254-20415649771200
76244-30295451010019000
75245-201443213150290010
74235-3002319151713821400
73225-400191316344520800
72226-30013912442104014000
71216-40001575331670231010
70217-300023520211013220030
69207-400011392111338710600
68208-300002316953715201100
67198-4001196728255018100
66199-30000436163171254000
65189-400002157318429112000
641810-3000000322587282061000
631710-400010165102227133000
621711-300010931114282392000
611611-400000419722291971000
601612-3000020731327281551000
591512-4000104161930251230000
581513-30002021024302282000
571413-400010141428291751000
561414-300000017193027123000
551314-400000021024322282000
541315-300000141529301651000
531215-40000017213125113000
521216-30000031227312071000
511116-4000015183028143000
501117-3000002102432238100
491017-40001415303016400
481018-300028233325910
47918-400031430321640
46919-3001722352581
45819-40003143233152
44820-300172437246
43720-4000316353411
42721-30019294120
41621-40004214331
40622-3002144143
39623-20183655
38523-30042967
37524-2022177
36424-3011485
35425-201090
34325-30694
33326-2793
32226-3199
31227-2496
30228-1100
25031-00100
Total:00000000000013123578101111119753210