Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Beat Dallas 3-2, playoff odds up 2.8 to 7.4%

25 points 10 10-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Dallas 2 Columbus 3	+2.3
Nashville 4 Florida 5	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Chicago vs Tampa Bay	-1.2-1.2-1.0-0.0-0.0+1.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87		31	0		-	0	In		90.8	%	94	6	0												20,881
83		28	1		-	2	In		No		100														1
82		27	1		-	3	In		16.7		33	67													6	*
81		27	2		-	2	In		23.1		23	46	31												13	*
80		26	2		-	3	In		13.7		25	22	52	1											73	*
79		26	3		-	2	In		10.1		20	26	49	5											168	*
78		25	3		-	3	In		3.0		10	26	58	6											541	*
77		25	4		-	2	In		0.4		4	20	63	12	0										1,620	*
76		24	4		-	3	In		0.1		2	14	65	19	0										4,019	*
75		24	5		-	2	100.0	%	0.1		1	8	61	29	1		0								9,741	*
74		23	5		-	3	100.0		0.0		0	4	51	41	4		0								22,133	*
73		22	5		-	4	99.9		No		0	2	40	50	8		0								47,915	*
72		22	6		-	3	99.7		No		0	1	29	56	14	0	0								97,713	*
71		21	6		-	4	99.0		No		0	0	18	57	24	0	1								191,232	*
70		21	7		-	3	97.4		No			0	11	52	34	0	3	0							350,569	*
69		20	7		-	4	94.2		No			0	5	44	44	1	6	0							618,552	*
68		20	8		-	3	88.8		No			0	2	33	51	2	11	0							1,038,642	*
67		19	8		-	4	80.7		No				1	22	53	5	19	0	0						1,671,383	*
66		19	9		-	3	70.2		No				0	13	48	8	29	1	0						2,570,013	*
65		18	9		-	4	58.0		No				0	7	38	12	40	2	0						3,788,313	*
64		18	10		-	3	45.3		No				0	4	27	15	49	5	0	0					5,357,921	*
63		17	10		-	4	33.3		No				0	2	17	15	56	11	0	0					7,268,574	*
62		17	11		-	3	22.8		No				0	1	9	13	58	18	1	0					9,478,069	*
61		16	11		-	4	14.6		No				0	0	4	10	54	28	3	0	0				11,876,824	*
60		16	12		-	3	8.7		No					0	2	7	47	37	7	0	0				14,290,216	*
59		15	12		-	4	4.8		No					0	1	4	36	44	14	1	0				16,560,637	*
58		15	13		-	3	2.4		No					0	0	2	26	47	23	2	0				18,452,767	*
57		14	13		-	4	1.1		No					0	0	1	16	45	33	4	0	0			19,777,296	*
56		14	14		-	3	0.4		No					0	0	0	9	38	42	9	1	0			20,411,989	*
55		13	14		-	4	0.2		No						0	0	5	29	49	16	1	0			20,271,096	*
54		13	15		-	3	0.0		No						0	0	2	20	50	24	3	0	0		19,377,502	*
53		12	15		-	4	0.0		No						0	0	1	12	47	33	7	0	0		17,824,993	*
52		12	16		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	7	39	41	12	0	0		15,770,776	*
51		11	16		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	3	30	46	20	1	0		13,428,309	*
50		11	17		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	1	20	46	30	2	0		10,985,832	*
49		10	17		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	0	13	42	40	5	0		8,644,046	*
48		10	18		-	3	Out		No								0	0	7	34	48	10	1		6,534,371	*
47		9	18		-	4	Out		No								0	0	3	25	52	17	2		4,740,188	*
46		9	19		-	3	Out		No									0	1	17	52	26	4		3,301,091	*
45		8	19		-	4	Out		No									0	1	10	47	35	7		2,200,836	*
44		8	20		-	3	Out		No										0	5	39	43	13		1,406,672	*
43		7	20		-	4	Out		No										0	2	29	48	21		860,488	*
42		7	21		-	3	Out		No										0	1	20	48	31		502,593	*
41		6	21		-	4	Out		No										0	0	12	45	42		280,300	*
40		6	22		-	3	Out		No											0	7	39	54		148,822	*
39		6	23		-	2	Out		No											0	4	32	64		74,737	*
38		5	23		-	3	Out		No											0	2	24	74		35,820	*
37		5	24		-	2	Out		No											0	1	17	82		16,316	*
36		4	24		-	3	Out		No												0	11	88		6,909	*
35		4	25		-	2	Out		No												0	7	93		2,683	*
34		3	25		-	3	Out		No													5	95		1,027	*
33		3	26		-	2	Out		No													6	94		365	*
32		2	26		-	3	Out		No													1	99		112	*
30	-31						Out		No														100		36	*
25		0	31		-	0	Out		No													0	100		20,881

Total:							7.4	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	3	3	17	22	25	16	9	2	0		260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Toronto	Tampa Bay	Carolina	Winnipeg	Florida	Montreal	Edmonton	Chicago	Calgary	Dallas	Vancouver	Nashville	Ottawa	Detroit

87		31	0		-	0	0.5	%	0	1	7	5	13	17	27	11	15	2	2	0	0
83		28	1		-	2	No						Yes
82		27	1		-	3	No						17	33		33	17
81		27	2		-	2	No				31		31	8		15	8		8
80		26	2		-	3	No			3	42		22	7	12	7	5	1
79		26	3		-	2	No			12	36	1	18	8	8	13	3	2
78		25	3		-	3	No			8	42	1	24	2	5	15	1	1
77		25	4		-	2	0.2		0	10	45	1	26	1	2	13	1	1	0
76		24	4		-	3	0.3		0	12	49	0	23	1	1	12	1	1	0
75		24	5		-	2	0.3		1	14	51	0	22	0	0	10	0	1	0	0
74		23	5		-	3	0.2		1	15	51	0	22	0	0	9	0	1	0	0
73		22	5		-	4	0.2		3	16	50	1	21	0	0	8	0	1		0	0
72		22	6		-	3	0.2		5	17	48	1	20	0	0	8	0	1		0
71		21	6		-	4	0.2		9	18	44	2	18	0	0	6	0	1	0	0	0
70		21	7		-	3	0.2		14	20	39	3	15	1	0	5	0	1	0	0	0
69		20	7		-	4	0.2		19	21	33	4	12	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
68		20	8		-	3	0.2		23	22	26	5	9	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
67		19	8		-	4	0.2		26	22	19	6	6	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		20	9		-	2	0.2		25	22	19	6	6	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
66		19	9		-	3	0.2		25	21	14	5	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		18	8		-	5	0.1		25	20	12	5	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		20	10		-	1	0.1		25	20	13	5	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
65		18	9		-	4	0.1		22	19	9	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		19	10		-	2	0.1		23	21	10	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	8		-	6	0.1		21	18	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		18	10		-	3	0.1		18	18	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	9		-	5	0.1		17	16	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		17	10		-	4	0.1		12	14	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		18	11		-	2	0.1		14	16	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	9		-	6	0.1		11	13	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		17	11		-	3	0.0		8	12	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	10		-	5	0.0		7	10	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		18	12		-	1	0.0		8	11	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		16	11		-	4	0.0		4	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	12		-	2	0.0		5	9	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	10		-	6	0.0		3	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		16	12		-	3	0.0		2	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	11		-	5	0.0		2	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		15	12		-	4	0.0		1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		15	13		-	3	0.0		0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		14	13		-	4	0.0		0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		14	14		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		13	14		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
54		13	15		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0
53		13	16		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0			0
52		12	16		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0
51		12	17		-	2	No		0	0	0		0
50		11	17		-	3	No		0	0	0		0
49		11	18		-	2	No			0
25	-48						No

Total:							0.0	%	2.3	3.0	1.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Columbus 3	-0.8
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1	+0.1
Nashville 4 Florida 5	-0.0
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay	+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Vegas	+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

87	31	0		-	0	91	3	6		0
83	28	1		-	2		100
82	27	1		-	3	17	17	67
81	27	2		-	2	23		46		31
80	26	2		-	3	14	11	21	1	51	1			1
79	26	3		-	2	10	10	24	2	46	1	2		5
78	25	3		-	3	3	7	22	4	49	3	5		6
77	25	4		-	2	0	4	15	6	49	7	7		12	0			0
76	24	4		-	3	0	2	9	5	45	10	10	0	19	0	0		0
75	24	5		-	2	0	1	4	4	32	13	15	0	29	0	0		1				0
74	23	5		-	3	0	0	2	3	19	15	17	1	38	2	1		4	0			0
73	22	5		-	4		0	0	1	9	13	16	3	44	5	2	0	8	0			0
72	22	6		-	3		0	0	1	3	9	12	4	42	10	4	0	14	0	0		0
71	21	6		-	4		0	0	0	1	5	7	5	33	16	7	0	23	1	0		1	0
70	21	7		-	3			0	0	0	2	3	5	20	21	10	1	32	2	0	0	3	0
69	20	7		-	4			0	0	0	1	1	3	9	21	11	3	38	7	1	0	6	0	0
68	20	8		-	3				0	0	0	0	2	3	16	9	5	37	15	2	0	11	0	0
67	19	8		-	4						0	0	1	1	9	6	7	28	25	5	0	18	1	0	0
66	19	9		-	3						0	0	0	0	4	3	6	16	31	7	1	25	4	0	0	0
65	18	9		-	4						0	0	0	0	2	1	5	7	31	8	4	29	11	2	0	0	0
64	18	10		-	3						0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	25	8	7	28	20	6	1	0	0	0
63	17	10		-	4								0		0	0	1	0	16	5	10	22	27	13	3	0	0	0
62	17	11		-	3								0		0	0	1	0	9	3	11	14	28	23	9	2	0	0	0
61	16	11		-	4								0		0	0	0	0	4	1	9	7	22	29	19	7	1	0	0	0
60	16	12		-	3										0	0	0	0	2	0	7	3	13	27	28	15	5	1	0	0	0
59	15	12		-	4										0		0	0	1	0	4	1	6	19	30	25	12	3	0	0	0	0
58	15	13		-	3												0		0	0	2	0	2	10	24	30	22	8	2	0	0	0
57	14	13		-	4												0		0	0	1	0	1	4	14	28	29	17	5	1	0	0	0
56	14	14		-	3												0		0	0	0	0	0	1	7	19	30	27	12	3	0	0	0
55	13	14		-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	2	0	0	0
54	13	15		-	3														0		0	0	0	0	1	4	15	29	30	16	5	1	0	0	0
53	12	15		-	4														0		0		0	0	0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0	0
52	12	16		-	3																0		0	0	0	0	3	12	27	31	20	7	1	0	0	0
51	11	16		-	4																0			0	0	0	1	5	18	30	28	14	3	0	0	0
50	11	17		-	3																0			0	0	0	0	2	10	24	32	23	8	1	0	0
49	10	17		-	4																0					0	0	1	4	15	30	30	16	4	0	0
48	10	18		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	23	33	25	9	1	0
47	9	18		-	4																						0	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	4	0
46	9	19		-	3																							0	0	1	7	22	35	25	8	1
45	8	19		-	4																							0	0	0	3	14	32	33	15	2
44	8	20		-	3																								0	0	1	7	24	37	24	6
43	7	20		-	4																								0	0	0	3	16	35	34	11
42	7	21		-	3																									0	0	1	9	29	41	20
41	6	21		-	4																									0	0	0	4	21	43	31
40	6	22		-	3																										0	0	2	14	41	43
39	6	23		-	2																											0	1	8	36	55
38	5	23		-	3																											0	0	4	29	67
37	5	24		-	2																												0	2	21	77
36	4	24		-	3																												0	1	14	85
35	4	25		-	2																													0	10	90
34	3	25		-	3																													0	6	94
33	3	26		-	2																														7	93
32	2	26		-	3																														1	99
31	2	27		-	2																														4	96
30	2	28		-	1																															100
25	0	31		-	0																														0	100

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	3	5	7	8	10	11	11	11	9	7	5	3	2	1	0