Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Lost to Tampa Bay 2-3 (ot), playoff odds up 1.6 to 74%

29 points 12 7-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Dallas 2 Columbus 3	+2.8
Nashville 4 Florida 5	-0.2
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)	-0.1				-0.0
Carolina 5 Detroit 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Tampa Bay	+4.7+4.7+4.0-0.0-0.0-4.4		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

93		32	0		-	0	In		99.8	%	100	0													20,881
90	-92						In		95.8		100														24	*
89		29	1		-	2	In		96.5		98	2													57	*
88		29	2		-	1	In		87.2		90	6	3												265	*
87		28	2		-	2	In		83.5		88	6	6												832	*
86		28	3		-	1	In		73.4		78	11	11												2,315	*
85		27	3		-	2	In		62.9		69	14	17	0											6,420	*
84		26	3		-	3	In		50.7		58	17	24	0											15,524	*
83		26	4		-	2	In		37.5		46	20	34	0											36,142	*
82		25	4		-	3	In		25.5		34	21	43	1	0										77,134	*
81		25	5		-	2	In		15.7		24	21	52	2	0										156,908	*
80		24	5		-	3	In		8.4		15	20	60	5	0										298,099	*
79		24	6		-	2	In		3.8		8	16	66	9	0										538,973	*
78		23	6		-	3	In		1.5		4	12	67	16	0										926,097	*
77		23	7		-	2	In		0.4		2	8	65	25	1										1,509,880	*
76		22	7		-	3	100.0	%	0.1		1	5	58	35	2		0								2,348,567	*
75		22	8		-	2	100.0		0.0		0	3	48	45	5		0								3,505,062	*
74		21	8		-	3	100.0		0.0		0	1	37	53	9	0	0								4,986,412	*
73		20	8		-	4	100.0		0.0		0	0	27	58	15	0	0								6,813,176	*
72		20	9		-	3	100.0		0.0		0	0	18	59	24	0	0								8,915,463	*
71		19	9		-	4	99.8		No		0	0	11	55	34	0	0	0							11,215,742	*
70		19	10		-	3	99.5		No			0	6	49	45	0	0	0							13,559,664	*
69		18	10		-	4	98.8		No			0	3	40	55	1	1	0							15,780,425	*
68		18	11		-	3	97.5		No			0	1	31	62	3	3	0							17,659,781	*
67		17	11		-	4	95.0		No			0	1	22	66	6	5	0	0						19,067,277	*
66		17	12		-	3	91.1		No			0	0	15	65	11	9	0	0						19,804,485	*
65		16	12		-	4	85.5		No				0	9	58	18	14	0	0						19,867,939	*
64		16	13		-	3	78.0		No				0	5	47	26	21	1	0	0					19,186,388	*
63		15	13		-	4	68.8		No				0	3	35	31	29	2	0	0					17,902,742	*
62		15	14		-	3	58.3		No				0	1	23	34	36	6	0	0					16,099,877	*
61		14	14		-	4	47.0		No				0	0	13	34	41	11	1	0	0				13,989,676	*
60		14	15		-	3	35.8		No				0	0	7	29	42	19	2	0	0				11,712,512	*
59		13	15		-	4	25.5		No					0	3	23	40	29	6	0	0				9,482,025	*
58		13	16		-	3	16.8		No					0	1	16	33	37	12	1	0				7,390,817	*
57		12	16		-	4	10.1		No					0	0	10	24	42	21	3	0				5,572,649	*
56		12	17		-	3	5.4		No					0	0	5	16	41	31	7	0	0			4,042,368	*
55		11	17		-	4	2.6		No					0	0	3	9	35	39	13	1	0			2,838,684	*
54		11	18		-	3	1.1		No						0	1	4	25	43	22	3	0	0		1,910,032	*
53		10	18		-	4	0.4		No						0	0	2	16	41	32	8	0	0		1,244,947	*
52		10	19		-	3	0.1		No						0	0	1	9	35	41	14	0	0		780,304	*
51		9	19		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	4	26	45	23	1	0		471,130	*
50		9	20		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	2	17	44	34	3	0		273,079	*
49		9	21		-	2	0.0		No							0	0	1	10	39	45	6	0		152,098	*
48		8	21		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	0	5	30	53	11	1		81,486	*
47		8	22		-	2	Out		No									0	2	21	56	19	2		41,876	*
46		7	22		-	3	Out		No									0	1	13	55	27	4		20,394	*
45		7	23		-	2	Out		No										0	7	50	36	6		9,690	*
44		6	23		-	3	Out		No										0	4	40	44	13		4,205	*
43		6	24		-	2	Out		No											2	31	48	19		1,972	*
42		5	24		-	3	Out		No											0	21	53	25		746	*
41		5	25		-	2	Out		No											1	12	48	39		324	*
40		4	25		-	3	Out		No												7	46	46		125	*
39		4	26		-	2	Out		No												8	42	50		36	*
38		4	27		-	1	Out		No												10	40	50		10	*
37		3	27		-	2	Out		No													20	80		5
29		0	32		-	0	Out		No													0	100		20,881

Total:							74.0	%	0.1	%	0	0	5	19	35	14	16	6	3	1	0	0	0		260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Toronto	Tampa Bay	Carolina	Winnipeg	Florida	Montreal	Edmonton	Calgary	Dallas	Columbus	Vancouver	Nashville	Ottawa	Detroit

93		32	0		-	0	2.2	%	0	0	8	4	25	15	25	13	3	4	2	0	0
92		31	0		-	1	No				50		50
91		30	0		-	2	No				33	33	33
90		30	1		-	1	5.3					5	11		42	32	5		5
89		29	1		-	2	3.5				7	5	14	16	35	16	4	2	2
88		29	2		-	1	1.5		0	0	6	6	20	20	25	15	3	1	3
87		28	2		-	2	2.9		0	0	9	5	18	18	29	14	3	3	1	0
86		28	3		-	1	2.3		0	0	12	5	20	17	25	14	2	2	2	0
85		27	3		-	2	2.0		0	1	18	5	20	15	23	12	2	2	2	0	0
84		26	3		-	3	2.4		0	1	23	4	22	13	21	11	2	1	2	0	0
83		26	4		-	2	2.2		0	2	29	3	24	11	17	8	2	1	1	0	0
82		25	4		-	3	2.1		0	4	36	2	26	8	13	6	2	1	1	0	0
81		25	5		-	2	2.0		0	5	42	2	27	6	9	5	2	1	1	0	0	0
80		24	5		-	3	1.9		0	7	47	1	28	4	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0
79		24	6		-	2	1.9		0	9	52	1	29	2	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
78		23	6		-	3	1.8		0	11	54	0	28	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
77		23	7		-	2	1.7		0	12	56	0	28	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
76		22	7		-	3	1.7		1	13	56	0	27	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
75		22	8		-	2	1.6		2	14	56	1	26	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
74		21	8		-	3	1.5		4	15	54	1	25	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
73		20	8		-	4	1.5		7	15	52	2	23	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
72		20	9		-	3	1.5		11	16	48	3	20	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
71		19	9		-	4	1.5		17	17	43	4	18	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
70		19	10		-	3	1.4		22	18	38	5	14	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
69		18	10		-	4	1.4		28	19	32	6	11	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
68		18	11		-	3	1.4		33	21	26	7	9	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	10		-	5	1.4		34	20	25	7	8	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
67		17	11		-	4	1.3		37	22	19	8	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		18	12		-	2	1.3		37	22	20	8	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
66		17	12		-	3	1.3		38	24	16	8	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	11		-	5	1.2		38	24	15	8	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
65		16	12		-	4	1.2		36	26	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		16	13		-	3	1.0		32	28	9	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		15	13		-	4	0.9		26	29	6	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		15	14		-	3	0.8		19	29	5	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		14	14		-	4	0.6		13	26	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		14	15		-	3	0.5		9	22	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		13	15		-	4	0.3		5	17	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		13	16		-	3	0.2		3	12	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		13	17		-	2	0.1		1	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		12	17		-	3	0.1		1	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		12	18		-	2	0.0		0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0		0
54		11	18		-	3	0.0		0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
53		11	19		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
52		10	19		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0
51		10	20		-	2	0.0		0	0	0		0
50		10	21		-	1	No			0	0		0
49		9	21		-	2	No			0			0
48		9	22		-	1	No						0
29	-47						No

Total:							1.0	%	21.6	20.8	18.8	4.2	7.2	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Columbus 3	-0.1
Nashville 4 Florida 5	+0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)	+0.0
Carolina 5 Detroit 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay	-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.0+0.0+0.6

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

93		32	0		-	0	100	0	0
91	-92						100
90		30	1		-	1	95	5
89		29	1		-	2	96	2	2
88		29	2		-	1	87	3	6		3
87		28	2		-	2	84	4	6		6
86		28	3		-	1	73	5	11		11
85		27	3		-	2	63	6	14	0	17				0
84		26	3		-	3	51	8	17	0	24		0		0
83		26	4		-	2	37	8	20	0	34	0	0		0
82		25	4		-	3	25	9	21	0	43	0	0		1				0
81		25	5		-	2	16	8	21	0	52	0	0		2				0
80		24	5		-	3	8	6	19	1	59	1	1		5				0
79		24	6		-	2	4	5	15	1	62	2	2	0	9	0	0		0
78		23	6		-	3	1	3	10	2	60	4	4	0	16	0	0		0
77		23	7		-	2	0	1	6	2	52	6	7	0	25	0	0		1
76		22	7		-	3	0	1	3	2	39	9	10	0	34	0	0		2				0
75		22	8		-	2	0	0	1	1	25	11	12	0	44	1	0		5	0			0
74		21	8		-	3	0	0	0	1	14	11	12	1	50	2	1	0	9	0	0		0
73		20	8		-	4	0	0	0	0	6	9	11	2	50	5	2	0	15	0	0		0
72		20	9		-	3	0	0	0	0	2	6	8	3	44	10	4	0	23	0	0		0
71		19	9		-	4		0	0	0	0	3	4	3	33	16	7	0	33	1	0	0	0	0
70		19	10		-	3			0	0	0	1	2	3	19	19	9	1	42	3	0	0	0	0	0
69		18	10		-	4			0	0	0	0	1	2	9	19	10	2	47	8	1	0	1	0	0
68		18	11		-	3			0	0	0	0	0	1	3	15	9	5	45	18	3	0	2	0	0	0
67		17	11		-	4				0	0	0	0	0	1	9	6	6	36	31	6	0	5	0	0	0
66		17	12		-	3				0		0	0	0	0	5	3	7	23	42	10	2	8	1	0	0	0
65		16	12		-	4						0	0	0	0	2	1	6	11	47	13	5	11	3	0	0	0	0
64		16	13		-	3						0	0	0	0	1	0	4	4	43	13	12	12	8	2	0	0	0	0
63		15	13		-	4								0	0	0	0	2	1	34	11	21	12	13	6	1	0	0	0
62		15	14		-	3								0		0	0	1	0	22	7	27	9	16	12	4	1	0	0	0
61		14	14		-	4								0		0	0	0	0	13	4	30	5	16	18	10	3	0	0	0	0
60		14	15		-	3								0		0	0	0	0	7	1	28	2	12	21	18	8	2	0	0	0	0
59		13	15		-	4										0		0	0	3	0	22	1	6	18	24	17	7	1	0	0	0	0
58		13	16		-	3												0	0	1	0	16	0	3	11	23	25	15	5	1	0	0	0
57		12	16		-	4												0		0	0	10	0	1	5	17	27	24	12	3	1	0	0	0
56		12	17		-	3												0		0	0	5	0	0	2	9	22	29	22	9	2	0	0	0
55		11	17		-	4												0		0	0	3	0	0	0	3	13	26	29	18	7	1	0	0	0
54		11	18		-	3														0	0	1		0	0	1	6	17	29	27	14	4	1	0	0
53		10	18		-	4														0		0		0	0	0	2	9	22	30	24	11	3	0	0	0
52		10	19		-	3														0		0			0	0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0
51		9	19		-	4																0				0	0	1	6	17	29	28	14	4	0	0
50		9	20		-	3																0				0	0	0	2	9	23	32	24	9	1	0	0
49		9	21		-	2																0					0	0	1	4	14	29	31	17	4	0	0
48		8	21		-	3																0						0	0	1	7	21	33	26	9	1	0
47		8	22		-	2																							0	0	3	13	30	33	17	3	0
46		7	22		-	3																								0	1	6	22	35	27	8	1
45		7	23		-	2																								0	0	2	14	33	34	15	2
44		6	23		-	3																									0	1	8	23	39	23	6
43		6	24		-	2																										0	3	16	37	33	10
42		5	24		-	3																											2	9	33	41	15
41		5	25		-	2																											0	6	20	45	28
40		4	25		-	3																												3	18	46	33
39		4	26		-	2																													14	44	42
38		4	27		-	1																													20	40	40
37		3	27		-	2																														20	80
29		0	32		-	0																														0	100

Total:							0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	8	6	3	3	16	19	5	9	5	5	4	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0