How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 +2.8
Nashville 4 Florida 5 -0.2
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)-0.1
-0.0
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+4.7+4.7+4.0-0.0-0.0-4.4
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
93320-0In99.8%100020,881
90-92In95.810024*
89291-2In96.598257*
88292-1In87.29063265*
87282-2In83.58866832*
86283-1In73.47811112,315*
85273-2In62.969141706,420*
84263-3In50.7581724015,524*
83264-2In37.5462034036,142*
82254-3In25.53421431077,134*
81255-2In15.724215220156,908*
80245-3In8.415206050298,099*
79246-2In3.88166690538,973*
78236-3In1.541267160926,097*
77237-2In0.428652511,509,880*
76227-3100.0%0.1155835202,348,567*
75228-2100.00.0034845503,505,062*
74218-3100.00.00137539004,986,412*
73208-4100.00.000275815006,813,176*
72209-3100.00.000185924008,915,463*
71199-499.8No0011553400011,215,742*
701910-399.5No06494500013,559,664*
691810-498.8No03405511015,780,425*
681811-397.5No01316233017,659,781*
671711-495.0No012266650019,067,277*
661712-391.1No0015651190019,804,485*
651612-485.5No095818140019,867,939*
641613-378.0No0547262110019,186,388*
631513-468.8No0335312920017,902,742*
621514-358.3No0123343660016,099,877*
611414-447.0No001334411110013,989,676*
601415-335.8No00729421920011,712,512*
591315-425.5No032340296009,482,025*
581316-316.8No0116333712107,390,817*
571216-410.1No0010244221305,572,649*
561217-35.4No0051641317004,042,368*
551117-42.6No0039353913102,838,684*
541118-31.1No0142543223001,910,032*
531018-40.4No0021641328001,244,947*
521019-30.1No001935411400780,304*
51919-40.0No00426452310471,130*
50920-30.0No00217443430273,079*
49921-20.0No00110394560152,098*
48821-30.0No0005305311181,486*
47822-2OutNo02215619241,876*
46722-3OutNo01135527420,394*
45723-2OutNo07503669,690*
44623-3OutNo044044134,205*
43624-2OutNo23148191,972*
42524-3OutNo0215325746*
41525-2OutNo1124839324*
40425-3OutNo74646125*
39426-2OutNo8425036*
38427-1OutNo10405010*
37327-2OutNo20805
29032-0OutNo010020,881
Total:74.0%0.1%00519351416631000260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayCarolinaWinnipegFloridaMontrealEdmontonCalgaryDallasColumbusVancouverNashvilleOttawaDetroit
93320-02.2%00842515251334200
92310-1No5050
91300-2No333333
90301-15.3511423255
89291-23.57514163516422
88292-11.5006620202515313
87282-22.90095181829143310
86283-12.300125201725142220
85273-22.0011852015231222200
84263-32.4012342213211121200
83264-22.202293241117821100
82254-32.10436226813621100
81255-22.00542227695211000
80245-31.90747128463210000
79246-21.90952129242110000
78236-31.801154028121110000
77237-21.701256028110100000
76227-31.711356027000100000
75228-21.621456126000100000
74218-31.541554125000100000
73208-41.571552223000100000
72209-31.5111648320100100000
71199-41.5171743418100100000
701910-31.4221838514100100000
691810-41.4281932611100000000
681811-31.433212679100000000
1710-51.434202578100000000
671711-41.337221986100000000
1812-21.337222087100000000
661712-31.338241685100000000
1611-51.238241585100000000
651612-41.236261173100000000
641613-31.03228963100000000
631513-40.92629652100000000
621514-30.81929532000000000
611414-40.61326421000000000
601415-30.5922311000000000
591315-40.3517211000000000
581316-30.2312101000000000
571317-20.117100000000000
561217-30.1141000000000
551218-20.0020000000000
541118-30.00100000000
531119-20.000000000
521019-30.000000
511020-20.00000
501021-1No000
49921-2No00
48922-1No0
29-47No
Total:1.0%21.620.818.84.27.20.80.20.00.20.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 -0.1
Nashville 4 Florida 5 +0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)+0.0
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.0+0.0+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
93320-010000
91-92100
90301-1955
89291-29622
88292-187363
87282-284466
86283-17351111
85273-2636140170
84263-35181702400
83264-237820034000
82254-3259210430010
81255-2168210520020
80245-386191591150
79246-245151622209000
78236-3131026044016000
77237-201625267025001
76227-30132399100340020
75228-2001125111204410500
74218-300011411121502109000
73208-40000691125052015000
72209-30000268344104023000
71199-400003433316703310000
701910-300012319199142300000
691810-400001291910247810100
681811-3000001315954518302000
671711-40000019663631605000
661712-300000537234210281000
651612-4000021611471351130000
641613-30000104443131212820000
631513-4000021341121121361000
621514-300010227279161241000
611414-40000013430516181030000
601415-30000071282122118820000
591315-4000302216182417710000
581316-3001016031123251551000
571216-4000100151727241231000
561217-30005002922292292000
551117-4000300031326291871000
541118-30010016172927144100
531018-40000029223024113000
521019-3000003122630207100
51919-40001617292814400
50920-30000292332249100
49921-20001414293117400
48821-300017213326910
47822-20031330331730
46722-301622352781
45723-2002143334152
44623-30182339236
43624-20316373310
42524-329334115
41525-206204528
40425-33184633
39426-2144442
38427-1204040
37327-22080
29032-00100
Total:000021118633161959554432111000000