Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Nashville 3-1, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.99%
62 points   29 10-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 3 Nashville 1 +4.7
Tampa Bay 3 Florida 5 +0.4
Philadelphia 3 Washington 6 -0.3
Buffalo 2 Pittsburgh 3 -0.1
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Vegas+2.0+0.4+0.4-1.7-1.7-1.7
Boston vs Washington+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Vancouver vs Toronto+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
85-88In98.4%10011,375,177*
84112-0In95.01000010,682,270
101-2In94.9100008,341,145*
83102-1In89.71000026,758,515
91-3In89.6100006,174,303*
8292-2In80.89900030,474,203
103-0In81.0990030,237,099
81-4In80.799003,128,066*
8193-1In68.09811068,857,607
82-3In67.69811021,963,728*
8083-2In50.69433070,592,343
94-0In51.39532058,366,479
72-4In50.0943409,789,991*
7984-1In32.588570119,628,458
73-3In31.78758042,879,941
62-5In31.08551003,089,324*
7874-2In15.8759160109,006,897
85-0In16.777913081,130,593
63-4In15.172919017,788,821*
7775-1In5.95913271147,816,417
64-3In5.5561230257,952,614
53-5In5.153113424,785,984*
7665-2In1.33715425117,852,737
76-0In1.5411739483,510,305
54-4In1.1341446620,698,750*
7566-1In0.221155211133,169,740
55-3In0.21914541453,694,324
44-5In0.1161255174,628,039*
7456-2In0.0811562590,997,860
67-0In0.01013562164,484,810
45-4In0.079552915,985,939*
7357-1In0.037514088,147,492
46-3In0.025484537,414,124*
7247-2In0.0033760050,196,904
58-0In0.0134056037,366,919
36-4InNo02336508,197,222*
7148-1InNo012574042,566,039
37-3InNo012178016,341,145*
7038-2InNo0012870019,391,334
49-0InNo0014850018,714,645*
6939-1100.0%No0069310014,608,559
28-3100.0No005941004,654,980*
6829-2100.0No02953004,987,826
310-0100.0No03952005,468,560*
67210-199.9No1918004,165,956*
66211-099.6No083152001,857,688*
65111-197.4No06327730534,743*
64112-091.6No0453215800189,124*
63012-172.4No182925253030,518
62013-053.4No819263880158,923
Total:100.0%18.3%4982716000001,880,835,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupFloridaTorontoTampa BayWinnipegEdmontonMontrealDallasNashvilleChicagoVancouverCalgaryColumbusOttawaDetroit
88130-06.2%000011728301743000
87120-16.3000012125271744000
86121-06.3000112224261754000
85111-16.2000122423251754000
84112-06.2000122423251754000
101-26.3000122721231654000
83102-16.2000122721231654000
91-36.3000122919221664000
8292-26.2000122919221664000
103-06.3000122821231654000
8193-16.3100122919211664000
82-36.2101133218201565000
8083-26.3201123118191564000
94-06.2101122919211664000
72-46.2202133316181464000
7984-16.2403123017191464000
73-36.2504133115171464000
7874-26.3907132815161353000
85-06.2806122716171453000
63-46.21109132913141253000
7775-16.215013122413131143000
64-36.217015132312121043000
53-56.319017132310111042000
7665-26.22502212171010832000
76-06.32301912181111932000
54-46.328024121698831000
7566-16.334030121187621000
55-36.336032111076521000
7456-26.24303801554410000
67-06.34103611654410000
45-46.24503901443310000
7357-16.24804200232200000
46-36.2490430022220000
7247-26.252045001111000
58-06.3510440012110000
36-46.35204500011100
7148-16.35304500010000
37-36.25304600010000
7038-26.35304600000000
49-06.25304600010000
6939-16.35304600000000
28-36.25304600000000
6829-26.3531450000000
310-06.3531450000000
67210-16.2513441100000
66211-06.2486422100000
65111-16.14013374300000
64112-05.734173353000
63012-14.32217254300
62013-03.3171219320
Total:6.2%23.20.120.00.81.717.610.911.29.03.32.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 3 Nashville 1 -0.6
Tampa Bay 3 Florida 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Toronto-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88130-01000
87120-11000
86121-0991
85111-1982
84112-095500
101-295500
83102-190100000
91-39010000
8292-2811900000
103-081180000
8193-1683010100
82-3683010100
8083-25144303000
94-05144302000
72-45043304000
7984-132565061000
73-332555081000
7874-21659711330000
85-01761811130000
63-41557711540000
7775-1653941890010
64-35508420100020
53-55478422120020
7665-213688202200500
76-013998182000300
54-413377212400600
7566-10215101537101010
55-301841015381012200
7456-208297462120600
67-00102117452117500
45-407186452123700
7357-1030624144241600
46-3020523934261800
7247-200030263723361000
58-001030293823321000
36-40020232724401000
7148-100101311015553100
37-30010111815593100
7038-2000040876966000
49-0000050976666000
6939-10001052668170000
28-30001042678181000
6829-2000205373511000
310-00002053834110000
67210-1001034552250000
66211-000001936221220000
65111-100715522570210
64112-0020421311414400
63012-1001802922391630
62013-000801920682611100
Total:1830449171178010000000000