Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Beat Detroit 5-2, playoff odds up 1.2 to 98.9%
33 points   16 6-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 +0.4
+0.0
+0.5
Dallas 2 Columbus 3 +0.3
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)-0.3
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.6
San Jose vs Vegas+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
96-99InYes10026,960*
95301-2In99.8%100003,648*
94302-1In99.3990010,457*
93292-2In98.8990128,540*
92293-1In97.5981268,843*
91283-2In95.59613154,197*
90284-1In92.09325314,845*
89274-2In87.28938611,510*
88264-3In80.3825131,087,709*
87265-2In71.67571901,860,267*
86255-3In61.36592602,959,514*
85256-2In49.955113304,518,171*
84246-3In38.344144206,487,116*
83247-2In27.434155108,956,925*
82237-3In18.02416591011,720,857*
81238-2In10.71615671014,759,390*
80228-3In5.61014733017,716,435*
79229-2In2.6611785020,507,075*
78219-3In1.039809022,674,154*
772110-2In0.3167914024,233,939*
762010-3100.0%0.11475200024,792,412*
752011-2100.00.00269280024,547,078*
741911-3100.00.001603710023,321,995*
731912-2100.00.001514630021,459,181*
721812-3100.00.000405550018,968,138*
711813-299.9No0030611000016,250,773*
701713-399.8No002063160013,397,676*
691714-299.4No013622411010,704,399*
681614-398.4No0756332208,234,045*
671615-296.3No0448414406,152,668*
661515-392.4No2374687004,420,829*
651516-286.2No126451513003,078,050*
641416-377.3No0173922211002,071,120*
631417-265.8No0102927304001,347,728*
621317-352.5No05192939800843,861*
611318-239.1No0210274316200512,879*
601218-326.8No15214226500299,399*
591219-216.8No021536361010170,814*
581119-39.4No0092741202092,782*
571120-24.9No0051742306049,287*
561020-32.0No00210353913124,942*
551021-20.8No152544223012,249*
54921-30.3No02164233605,645*
53922-20.1No01835431202,694*
52822-3OutNo0426472111,137*
51823-2OutNo11546353465*
50723-3OutNo21042406193*
49724-2OutNo325629179*
48624-3OutNo85628836*
47625-2OutNo27452711*
46424-5OutNo2525504*
45526-2OutNo2525504*
33033-0OutNo029825,625
Total:98.9%5.6%755426611000000319,488,750

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoTampa BayWinnipegFloridaMontrealEdmontonChicagoCalgaryDallasColumbusVancouverNashvilleOttawaDetroit
99330-06.5%002118133681651100
98320-12.2279202218202
97321-06.916122031813431
96311-16.70271319289135210
95301-25.80038131927111241100
94302-16.60038132026111242100
93292-26.10038132025121242100
92293-16.40038132124121142100
91283-26.40039132123121042100
90284-16.300310142123121042100
89274-26.40031213212212942100
88264-36.30031513212111932100
87265-26.20031912192111932100
86255-36.10032411182110831100
85256-26.0003301016218831100
84246-35.800236913217721000
83247-25.701242711226721000
82237-35.50124858224621000
81238-25.40215446223620000
80228-35.30215834222610000
79229-25.20316223221510000
78219-35.10406512211510000
772110-25.00506711210510000
762010-34.90506800200410000
2111-14.90506800200410000
752011-24.80606800200410000
741911-34.70606800200410000
2012-14.71606800200410000
731912-24.61706800190410000
721812-34.52816600180410000
711813-24.44916400170310000
701713-34.381026000150310000
691714-24.2121235510130310000
681614-34.1171544810110210000
671615-24.023185401080200000
661515-33.726215321060100000
651516-23.428245231030100000
641416-33.026275161020000000
631417-22.622284101010000000
621317-32.01627360010000000
611318-21.51023140000000000
601218-31.1617120000000000
591219-20.731201000000000
581119-30.4170100000000
571120-20.2140000000
561020-30.10100000
551021-20.0010000
54921-30.00000
53922-2No0
33-52No
Total:4.8%3.16.41.158.31.72.518.81.24.41.10.20.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 -0.3
Nashville 4 Florida 5 +0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
96-99100
95301-2100000
94302-199000
93292-299001
92293-198012
91283-295113
90284-192125
89274-2871308
88264-38025013
87265-27237019000
86255-36149026000
85256-250511033000
84246-338614042000
83247-227615051000
82237-3186150590010
81238-21161506601100
80228-365131711103000
79229-233101732305000
78219-31271704509000
772110-201516289014000
762010-300315012130200000
752011-20011351617027100000
741911-300012118201352101000
731912-200001016203404203000
721812-300004131764110405000
711813-20001812935188090000
701713-30000461024261211510000
691714-2000239133015420410100
681614-3001165271692310202000
671615-20000312012152120403000
661515-300201271815317161000
651516-200106318837105103100
641416-300002114336111112820000
631417-20109128918121472000
621317-30005018623918145100
611318-20002010324517211341000
601218-3001051202112222123100
591219-20020151617262110200
581119-30009021022271982000
571120-20005004142628166100
561020-30002001618282714410
551021-21002922302310200
54921-3000313262919710
53922-2001518292814510
52822-301822312510200
51823-2031132301770
50723-317192829133
49724-2152042284
48624-3682244146
47625-2918271827
46424-525252525
45526-2502525
33033-00397
Total:625136782175314200000000000000000