Conference B Playoff Chances

Dallas +13.1, Florida -7.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthThursday
TorontoWCalgary 2-1 (ot)322154-21999.3%+0.511.1%+0.720.8%+3.8293322102200000008.614Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa BayWCarolina 3-0256124-12398.1+1.316.7+3.729.5+8.3402023114110000002.637CarolinaTampa Bay Lightning
Winnipeg235116-11292.4+0.45.9-0.22.7-0.15102627816232100014.593MontrealWinnipeg Jets
Edmonton262138-01191.2+0.54.1-0.11.8-0.038262991633210007.577at VancouverEdmonton Oilers
CarolinaLTampa Bay 0-3255125-11490.8-4.05.0-2.16.8-5.9109322511462100003.583at Tampa BayCarolina Hurricanes
Montreal22595-4988.9+0.74.6-0.11.7-0.0382327919343100018.583at WinnipegMontreal Canadiens
FloridaLDallas 0-3265124-2885.1-7.13.5-1.84.1-5.4772527146941000015.570DallasFlorida Panthers
DallasWFlorida 3-016964-4766.3+13.13.3+1.31.3+0.72313211891895200022.582at FloridaDallas Stars
Chicago243106-4046.4-2.50.8-0.10.3-0.01161415926158310017.535at ColumbusChicago Blackhawks
CalgaryLToronto 1-2 (ot)20399-2-526.5-2.10.2-0.10.0-0.000264131122221251012.500at OttawaCalgary Flames
Columbus21387-5-1010.6-0.60.1-0.00.00013431423261782025.489ChicagoColumbus Blue Jackets
Nashville165810-0-152.6-0.10.00.00001114101830239320.456at DetroitNashville Predators
Vancouver18813-2-141.6+0.00.00.00000011410243517729.458EdmontonVancouver Canucks
Ottawa132614-1-320.1+0.00.00.0000000002515354221.390CalgaryOttawa Senators
Detroit132513-3-270.0-0.00.00.0000000001512354631.397NashvilleDetroit Red Wings

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is division-based. The top four teams in each division will make up the 16 teams in the playoffs, based on regular-season record. The conferences can not be removed without breaking the site, but they are irrelevant.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Florida 0 Dallas 3
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto-0.1
+0.5
Tampa Bay-0.2
+0.1
+0.5
Winnipeg+0.1
Edmonton+0.1
Carolina-0.3
+0.3
Montreal+0.1
Florida-3.4
-0.3
-3.1
Dallas+6.4
+0.3
+0.3
Chicago-1.9
Columbus-0.5
Nashville-0.2
Tampa Bay 3 Carolina 0
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto-0.1
Tampa Bay+0.8
+0.3
+3.7
Carolina-1.4
-0.3
-3.4
Florida-0.1
Dallas+0.2
Chicago+0.2
Columbus+0.1
Toronto 2 Calgary 1 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+0.3
+0.2
+2.4
Tampa Bay-0.6
Winnipeg-0.1
-0.1
Edmonton-0.2
-0.1
Carolina-0.4
Montreal-0.1
Florida-0.3
Calgary*+0.1
Colorado 2 Minnesota 6
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.2
Carolina+0.1
Florida+0.1
Thursday
Columbus vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay98.398.198.197.997.998.0
Carolina91.490.690.790.390.190.4
Florida86.084.985.084.384.184.5
Dallas68.066.066.264.864.565.0
3.33.3*3.33.23.23.2
Chicago39.844.945.151.152.052.6
0.70.80.80.90.90.9
0.10.20.20.40.40.4
Columbus13.712.912.49.08.96.9
Nashville2.82.62.62.42.42.5
Florida vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto20.720.620.7*20.9*20.821.1
Tampa Bay98.298.098.098.098.098.1
16.716.616.616.616.6*16.7
29.429.329.3*29.5*29.529.7
Carolina91.290.690.690.490.290.6
6.86.76.7*6.8*6.86.8
Florida88.687.987.483.783.680.2
3.73.63.63.43.43.2
5.25.24.93.63.62.6
Dallas60.765.365.570.771.572.3
3.03.23.23.53.63.6
0.81.21.21.71.81.9
Chicago47.645.545.744.844.445.7
Columbus11.010.210.310.09.910.4
Nashville2.72.52.52.42.42.6
Ottawa vs CalgaryHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto99.599.399.399.299.299.2
Winnipeg93.892.792.791.591.491.4
5.95.9*5.95.85.85.8
Edmonton92.891.691.690.390.290.2
Montreal90.889.589.588.087.787.7
4.64.6*4.64.54.54.5
Calgary21.325.125.129.430.030.0
Vancouver1.71.61.61.51.41.4
Ottawa0.20.20.10.10.10.1
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Winnipeg vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto*20.820.820.8*20.820.820.9
Tampa Bay29.529.329.429.429.429.6
Winnipeg94.193.993.691.691.689.5
6.16.06.05.85.85.6
3.43.43.22.32.31.6
Edmonton91.491.091.091.090.9*91.2
Montreal86.488.888.991.291.691.8
4.44.54.64.84.84.8
1.11.61.62.32.42.5
Calgary27.125.525.625.425.126.5
Vancouver1.61.51.51.51.41.6
Tampa Bay vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto20.219.920.221.021.022.1
Tampa Bay98.798.698.597.997.997.1
16.916.916.816.516.516.2
33.633.232.326.826.722.0
Winnipeg2.62.52.62.7*2.72.9
Edmonton1.71.71.7*1.8*1.81.9
Carolina88.791.091.093.093.393.4
4.85.0*5.05.25.35.3
4.66.36.39.09.39.9
Montreal1.61.61.61.7*1.71.9
Florida85.485.085.084.984.884.9
4.03.94.04.24.24.4
Dallas66.766.166.165.865.765.9
1.31.21.3*1.3*1.31.4
Chicago47.046.146.245.745.545.8
Columbus10.810.510.510.310.210.3
Nashville2.72.62.62.52.52.5
Vancouver vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto11.2*11.2*11.211.111.111.1
20.920.920.920.820.720.7
Tampa Bay29.729.629.629.429.429.4
Winnipeg92.692.392.392.292.292.3
Edmonton88.490.790.792.793.093.1
3.94.14.14.24.24.2
1.01.51.52.22.32.3
Carolina6.96.86.86.86.76.7
Montreal89.388.988.988.788.788.8
Calgary28.026.626.625.625.525.6
Vancouver2.32.12.01.31.30.9
0.00.0No0.0No0.0
Detroit vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina90.990.890.890.790.790.7
Florida85.385.285.285.185.085.0
Dallas66.566.466.466.166.166.1
Chicago46.746.546.546.246.246.2
Columbus10.710.6*10.610.510.510.5
Nashville1.72.42.43.23.43.4
Detroit0.0NoNoNoNoNo
NY Islanders vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto21.721.021.020.220.120.1
Tampa Bay30.629.729.728.728.628.6
Winnipeg2.92.72.72.62.62.6
Edmonton1.91.81.81.71.71.7
Carolina7.16.86.96.66.56.5
Montreal1.81.71.71.61.61.6
Florida4.34.24.24.03.94.0
Dallas1.41.31.31.21.21.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

TorontoTampa BayWinnipegEdmontonCarolinaMontrealFloridaDallasChicagoCalgaryColumbusNashvilleVancouverOttawaDetroit
Toronto2.220.020.94.620.35.97.86.77.91.90.50.50.00.0
Tampa Bay2.27.17.415.58.217.717.212.65.43.30.90.50.00.0
Winnipeg20.07.126.33.223.72.92.61.93.90.50.10.10.00.0
Edmonton20.97.426.33.123.72.62.21.53.10.40.10.10.00.0
Carolina4.615.53.23.13.329.716.910.41.61.90.40.10.00.0
Montreal20.38.223.723.73.32.72.11.42.90.30.10.10.00.0
Florida5.917.72.92.629.72.712.97.81.11.40.30.10.00.0
Dallas7.817.22.62.216.92.112.93.50.40.50.10.00.00.0
Chicago6.712.61.91.510.41.47.83.50.20.30.10.00.00.0
Calgary7.95.43.93.11.62.91.10.40.20.00.00.00.00.0
Columbus1.93.30.50.41.90.31.40.50.30.00.00.00.00.0
Nashville0.50.90.10.10.40.10.30.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Vancouver0.50.50.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Ottawa0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Detroit0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0