Vegas Golden Knights Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.9997%
62 points   30 11-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 -0.1
Carolina 3 Nashville 1 -1.4
Tampa Bay 3 Florida 5 +0.9
Philadelphia 3 Washington 6 -0.4
Buffalo 2 Pittsburgh 3 -0.2
Winnipeg 0 Edmonton 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Vegas-8.4-1.9-1.9+5.5+7.0+7.1
Boston vs Washington+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.6
Vancouver vs Toronto+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
88130-0InYes100342,628
87120-1In100.0%1000612,453
86121-0In99.910002,910,233*
85111-1In99.510006,363,987*
84112-0In98.899019,597,968
101-2In98.399017,498,398*
83102-1In96.19802024,053,643
91-3In94.9970305,550,585*
8292-2In90.39406027,390,698
103-0In91.89504029,989,406*
8193-1In82.289110061,887,443
82-3In78.886113019,744,129*
8083-2In66.879219063,441,842
94-0In70.883215052,458,760
72-4In62.17422408,796,473*
7984-1In50.5684280107,539,640
73-3In45.462434041,314,008*
7874-2In29.450743197,982,822
85-0In33.355837072,901,824
63-4In24.943649115,995,185*
7775-1In14.83511532132,872,141
64-3In12.130958352,076,980
53-5In9.42586344,300,553*
7665-2In4.51811655105,943,483
76-0In5.6221361475,051,444
54-4In3.214969818,607,338*
7566-1In1.19127010119,682,257
55-3In0.768711452,411,518*
7456-2In0.127702181,805,402
67-0In0.2310701757,951,212
45-4In0.125672714,369,813*
7357-1In0.015653079,231,910
46-3In0.003603733,621,144*
7247-2In0.002524645,125,831
58-0In0.003564133,584,567
36-4In0.00145547,363,862*
7148-1In0.001415838,249,144
37-3InNo00356514,688,847*
7038-2InNo002773017,424,022
49-0InNo00297016,820,692*
6939-1InNo0019810013,132,514
28-3InNo001486004,183,260*
6829-2InNo0990004,487,452
310-0InNo01189004,909,311*
67210-1InNo0595003,742,699*
66211-0100.0%No29601001,669,699*
65111-1100.0No1950400479,518*
64112-099.8No09009000169,072*
63012-199.1No08001800027,726
62013-097.1No0670301200142,966
Total:100.0%25.3%35645130000001,690,498,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColoradoMinnesotaWashingtonPittsburghNY IslandersBostonSt. LouisArizonaNY RangersLos AngelesSan JosePhiladelphiaAnaheimNew Jersey
88130-06.2%000004730021200
87120-16.30100004831018200
86121-06.30100004831017300
85111-16.301000048320163000
84112-06.201000048320163000
101-26.202000048320144000
83102-16.303000048310143000
91-36.204000048310134000
8292-26.306000047300124000
103-06.305000047300143000
8193-16.2010000144280124000
82-36.2014000143270104000
8083-26.2020001140240104000
94-06.3016001141260114000
72-46.20240011382308400
7984-16.302801123520183000
73-36.313401123218173000
7874-26.314201232614163000
85-06.213601242916173000
63-46.22490123231214300
7775-16.225201251910142000
64-36.33590124178132000
53-56.33640124147122000
7665-26.24671125105221000
76-06.23611236126221000
54-46.3572012494111000
7566-16.2574123562211000
55-36.2679012442110000
7456-26.2783012321100000
67-06.3680112431100000
45-46.378601122010000
7357-16.3886011210100000
46-36.288800111000000
7247-26.388900011000000
58-06.288800111000000
36-46.28900000100000
7148-16.299000001000000
37-36.38910000100000
7038-26.38910000100000
49-06.39900000100000
6939-16.28910000100000
28-36.38910000100000
6829-26.28910000100000
310-06.28910000100000
67210-16.3891000000000
66211-06.2990000000000
65111-16.3108810000000
64112-06.31484110000000
63012-16.12075211000
62013-06.02963311000
Total:6.2%3.655.00.30.81.42.818.510.60.94.41.70.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Vegas+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88130-0100
87120-110000
86121-010000
85111-110000
84112-099101
101-298101
83102-19620200
91-3952030
8292-290400600
103-092400400
8193-18271010000
82-37971013000
8083-267122019000
94-071122015000
72-462122024000
7984-1511740270000
73-345164034000
7874-22920704210100
85-0332280361000
63-4251960471010
7775-1152010149300200
64-312189154400300
53-59157158510400
7665-2414102541020500
76-061612250920400
54-431181551220800
7566-118934519701000
55-316624420701400
7456-20243272715019100
67-00364282615015100
45-40232242814024210
7357-10123122625124420
46-30012102523228630
7247-20001317275261280
58-00012318305241070
36-400012152353015100
7148-100010724101917210
37-30000619102121230
7038-200002121310213920
49-00000214131020382
6939-100000612415548000
28-3000004104175511000
6829-20018195625000
310-000029195820000
67210-100050448430000
66211-0002013362001000
65111-101001877004000
64112-0008820080000
63012-1037700162000
62013-0001660021912000
Total:251051299618230000000000