San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Anaheim 1-4, playoff odds down 0.8 to 12.3%

40 points 18 20-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
San Jose 1 Anaheim 4	-5.0		-0.3
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4	+3.1		+0.2
Minnesota 5 Arizona 2	+1.0		+0.1
Los Angeles 2 Vegas 6	+0.6

Thursday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

68	14	0		-	0	99.9	%	No		0	4	60	23	13	0								11,713
67	13	0		-	1	99.5		No			0	38	27	34	0	0							16,373
66	13	1		-	0	98.0		No			0	26	22	50	2	0	0						78,574	*
65	12	1		-	1	95.0		No			0	14	15	66	4	1	0						184,489	*
64	12	2		-	0	89.6		No			0	7	8	74	7	3	0	0					511,816	*
63	11	2		-	1	81.4		No				3	4	75	10	8	1	0					941,169	*
62	10	2		-	2	69.9		No				1	1	68	11	16	4	0					940,120
	11	3		-	0	70.8		No				1	1	68	11	15	4	0					956,531	*
61	10	3		-	1	57.6		No				0	0	57	9	23	10	0	0				2,129,218
	9	2		-	3	55.9		No				0	0	55	9	24	11	1	0				759,061	*
60	9	3		-	2	41.7		No				0	0	42	6	28	21	2	0				2,420,343
	10	4		-	0	43.7		No				0	0	44	7	28	20	2	0				1,814,122	*
	8	2		-	4	39.9		No				0	0	40	6	29	22	3	0	0			366,841
59	9	4		-	1	28.4		No				0	0	28	4	27	34	7	0	0			4,103,475
	8	3		-	3	26.2		No				0	0	26	3	27	35	8	0	0			1,792,641	*
58	8	4		-	2	15.1		No				0	0	15	1	19	44	19	1	0			4,206,081
	9	5		-	0	16.9		No				0	0	17	1	20	45	16	1	0			2,779,190
	7	3		-	4	13.5		No					0	14	1	18	44	21	2	0			791,950	*
57	8	5		-	1	7.4		No				0	0	7	0	11	44	33	5	0	0		5,701,994
	7	4		-	3	6.2		No						6	0	10	42	36	6	0			2,803,732	*
56	7	5		-	2	2.4		No						2	0	4	31	48	14	1	0		5,193,298
	8	6		-	0	3.0		No						3	0	5	34	46	12	1	0		3,222,011
	6	4		-	4	1.9		No						2	0	3	28	50	16	1	0		1,074,263	*
55	7	6		-	1	0.7		No						1	0	1	17	50	27	3	0	0	5,875,439
	6	5		-	3	0.5		No						1	0	1	15	50	29	3	0		2,762,996
	5	4		-	5	0.4		No						0	0	1	13	50	31	4	0		287,441	*
54	6	6		-	2	0.1		No						0	0	0	6	41	43	9	0	0	4,680,818
	7	7		-	0	0.2		No						0	0	0	8	42	41	9	0	0	2,845,472
	5	5		-	4	0.1		No						0		0	5	40	45	10	0		998,774	*
53	6	7		-	1	0.0		No						0	0	0	2	27	51	19	1	0	4,533,557
	5	6		-	3	0.0		No						0		0	1	26	52	20	1	0	2,354,128	*
52	5	7		-	2	0.0		No						0		0	0	13	49	33	4	0	3,099,261
	6	8		-	0	0.0		No						0		0	0	14	49	32	3	0	1,920,967
	4	6		-	4	0.0		No						0		0	0	13	50	33	4	0	641,690	*
51	5	8		-	1	Out		No								0	0	6	40	45	9	0	2,630,822
	4	7		-	3	Out		No								0	0	6	40	45	9	0	1,290,026	*
50	4	8		-	2	Out		No									0	2	27	52	19	0	1,494,874
	5	9		-	0	Out		No									0	2	27	52	19	0	1,268,427	*
49	4	9		-	1	Out		No									0	1	16	50	32	1	1,124,924
	3	8		-	3	Out		No										1	16	50	32	1	493,975	*
48	3	9		-	2	Out		No										0	8	43	46	3	513,146
	4	10		-	0	Out		No										0	8	43	46	3	462,778	*
47	3	10		-	1	Out		No									0	0	3	31	58	7	472,696	*
46	2	10		-	2	Out		No										0	1	21	65	13	238,851	*
45	2	11		-	1	Out		No											0	12	65	23	92,202	*
44	2	12		-	0	Out		No											0	6	62	32	38,545	*
43	1	12		-	1	Out		No											0	2	53	44	10,796	*
42	1	13		-	0	Out		No												1	43	56	3,617	*
41	0	13		-	1	Out		No												1	32	68	516
40	0	14		-	0	Out		No												0	24	76	6,805

Total:						12.3	%	No		0	0	0	0	12	2	8	19	24	20	11	3	0	82,942,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Colorado	Vegas	Minnesota	Washington	NY Islanders	Pittsburgh	Boston	St. Louis	NY Rangers	Los Angeles	Philadelphia

68		14	0		-	0	6.5	%	39	40	5	7	5	3	1	0
67		13	0		-	1	6.1		37	32	3	14	9	4	1	0
66		13	1		-	0	6.1		34	29	2	17	11	5	1	0
		12	0		-	2	6.0		35	28	2	17	11	5	1	0	0
65		12	1		-	1	5.9		33	25	1	18	12	5	1	0	0	0
		11	0		-	3	6.1		35	25	1	18	11	5	1	0
64		12	2		-	0	5.7		31	22	1	18	12	5	1	0	0
		11	1		-	2	5.5		33	22	1	17	11	5	1	0	0
		10	0		-	4	5.6		36	23	1	15	10	4	0		0
63		11	2		-	1	5.1		31	20	1	15	10	4	0	0	0
		10	1		-	3	5.0		33	20	1	14	9	4	0		0
		9	0		-	5	4.8		34	21	1	12	8	3	0
62		10	2		-	2	4.4		29	17	1	12	8	3	0		0
		11	3		-	0	4.4		27	17	1	13	9	3	0	0	0
		9	1		-	4	4.4		31	18	1	10	7	2	0
		8	0		-	6	4.1		34	17	1	8	5	2	0
61		10	3		-	1	3.6		25	14	1	9	6	2	0		0		0
		9	2		-	3	3.5		26	15	1	8	5	2	0
		8	1		-	5	3.5		27	15	1	6	4	2	0
		7	0		-	7	4.7		26	14	1	7	2	0	0
60		9	3		-	2	2.6		20	11	1	5	3	1	0		0
		10	4		-	0	2.7		20	11	1	7	4	2	0		0
		8	2		-	4	2.5		20	11	1	4	3	1	0
		7	1		-	6	2.4		20	11	1	3	2	1	0
59		9	4		-	1	1.8		14	8	0	3	2	1	0		0
		8	3		-	3	1.7		14	7	0	3	2	1	0
		7	2		-	5	1.4		13	7	0	2	1	0	0
		6	1		-	7	1.3		14	6	1	1	1	0	0
58		8	4		-	2	0.9		8	4	0	1	1	0	0
		9	5		-	0	1.1		9	5	0	2	1	0	0
		7	3		-	4	0.9		8	4	0	1	1	0	0
		6	2		-	6	0.8		7	3	0	1	0	0	0
57		8	5		-	1	0.5		4	2	0	1	0	0	0
		7	4		-	3	0.4		4	2	0	0	0	0	0
		6	3		-	5	0.3		3	2	0	0	0	0	0
		5	2		-	7	0.2		3	1	0	0	0	0	0
56		7	5		-	2	0.1		1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	6		-	0	0.2		2	1	0	0	0	0	0
		6	4		-	4	0.1		1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		5	3		-	6	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0
55		7	6		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		6	5		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	4		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
54		6	6		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		7	7		-	0	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	5		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0		0
53		6	7		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	6		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0
52		5	7		-	2	0.0		0	0	0
40	-51						No

Total:							0.8	%	5.7	3.2	0.2	1.7	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose 1 Anaheim 4	+1.0
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4	-0.1
Los Angeles 2 Vegas 6	-0.1
Minnesota 5 Arizona 2	-0.1
Montreal 1 Calgary 4	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas vs Columbus	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

68	14	0		-	0				0		0	0	4	1	5	36	19	22	1	13	0	0
67	13	0		-	1							0	0	0	1	17	20	23	4	34	0	0	0
66	13	1		-	0							0	0	0	0	7	18	16	6	49	1	2	0	0
65	12	1		-	1								0		0	2	12	8	7	61	5	4	1	0
64	12	2		-	0								0		0	1	7	3	5	62	12	7	3	0	0	0
63	11	2		-	1										0	0	3	1	3	50	25	8	8	2	0	0	0
62	10	2		-	2											0	1	0	1	33	35	7	14	7	2	0	0	0
	11	3		-	0											0	1	0	1	34	34	8	13	7	1	0	0
61	10	3		-	1											0	0	0	0	17	39	5	15	15	6	1	0	0	0
	9	2		-	3											0	0	0	0	16	39	5	15	16	7	1	0	0	0
60	9	3		-	2												0	0	0	7	35	2	11	21	17	6	1	0	0
	10	4		-	0												0	0	0	8	36	2	12	20	15	5	1	0	0
	8	2		-	4												0		0	6	34	2	11	21	18	7	1	0	0
59	9	4		-	1												0		0	2	26	1	6	18	25	17	6	1	0	0
	8	3		-	3												0		0	2	24	0	5	17	25	18	7	1	0	0	0
58	8	4		-	2												0		0	0	15	0	1	8	22	28	18	6	1	0	0	0
	9	5		-	0												0		0	1	16	0	2	10	23	27	16	5	1	0	0
	7	3		-	4														0	0	13	0	1	8	21	28	20	7	1	0	0
57	8	5		-	1												0		0	0	7	0	0	3	12	26	30	17	5	1	0	0
	7	4		-	3															0	6	0	0	2	10	25	30	19	6	1	0	0
56	7	5		-	2															0	2	0	0	0	3	13	28	31	17	4	1	0	0
	8	6		-	0															0	3	0	0	0	4	15	29	30	15	4	0	0	0
	6	4		-	4															0	2		0	0	3	12	27	32	19	5	1	0	0
55	7	6		-	1															0	1		0	0	1	4	16	31	30	14	3	0	0	0
	6	5		-	3															0	1		0	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	4	0	0
	5	4		-	5																0			0	0	3	13	29	32	17	4	0	0
54	6	6		-	2																0		0	0	0	1	4	18	33	30	12	2	0	0
	7	7		-	0																0		0	0	0	1	6	20	34	28	11	2	0	0
	5	5		-	4																0			0	0	0	4	17	33	31	13	2	0	0
53	6	7		-	1																0				0	0	1	7	22	35	26	8	1	0	0
	5	6		-	3																0			0	0	0	1	6	21	35	28	9	1	0	0
52	5	7		-	2																0				0	0	0	1	9	27	37	21	5	0	0
	6	8		-	0																0				0	0	0	2	10	28	36	20	4	0	0	0
	4	6		-	4																0					0	0	1	8	26	37	22	5	0	0
51	5	8		-	1																						0	0	2	14	33	34	14	2	0	0
	4	7		-	3																						0	0	2	13	33	35	15	2	0	0
50	4	8		-	2																							0	0	4	20	38	28	8	1	0
	5	9		-	0																						0	0	0	5	21	38	27	8	1	0
49	4	9		-	1																							0	0	1	9	29	38	20	3	0
	3	8		-	3																							0	0	1	9	29	38	20	3	0
48	3	9		-	2																								0	0	3	16	37	34	9	1
	4	10		-	0																							0	0	0	3	17	38	33	9	0
47	3	10		-	1																									0	1	7	28	43	20	2
46	2	10		-	2																									0	0	2	16	43	34	5
45	2	11		-	1																										0	1	7	34	46	13
44	2	12		-	0																											0	3	23	52	22
43	1	12		-	1																											0	1	13	51	35
42	1	13		-	0																												0	6	45	49
41	0	13		-	1																													3	36	61
40	0	14		-	0																												0	1	26	73

Total:									0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	1	2	4	7	9	11	12	12	11	9	6	3	2	0	0