San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Anaheim 1-4, playoff odds down 0.8 to 12.3%
40 points   18 20-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
San Jose 1 Anaheim 4 -5.0
-0.3
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4 +3.1
+0.2
Minnesota 5 Arizona 2 +1.0
+0.1
Los Angeles 2 Vegas 6 +0.6
ThursdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
68140-099.9%No04602313011,713
67130-199.5No03827340016,373
66131-098.0No026225020078,574*
65121-195.0No0141566410184,489*
64122-089.6No078747300511,816*
63112-181.4No347510810941,169*
62102-269.9No1168111640940,120
113-070.8No1168111540956,531*
61103-157.6No005792310002,129,218
92-355.9No00559241110759,061*
6093-241.7No004262821202,420,343
104-043.7No004472820201,814,122*
82-439.9No004062922300366,841
5994-128.4No0028427347004,103,475
83-326.2No0026327358001,792,641*
5884-215.1No00151194419104,206,081
95-016.9No00171204516102,779,190
73-413.5No014118442120791,950*
5785-17.4No00701144335005,701,994
74-36.2No60104236602,803,732*
5675-22.4No204314814105,193,298
86-03.0No305344612103,222,011
64-41.9No203285016101,074,263*
5576-10.7No1011750273005,875,439
65-30.5No101155029302,762,996
54-50.4No00113503140287,441*
5466-20.1No000641439004,680,818
77-00.2No000842419002,845,472
55-40.1No0054045100998,774*
5367-10.0No0002275119104,533,557
56-30.0No001265220102,354,128*
5257-20.0No000134933403,099,261
68-00.0No000144932301,920,967
46-40.0No00013503340641,690*
5158-1OutNo0064045902,630,822
47-3OutNo0064045901,290,026*
5048-2OutNo0227521901,494,874
59-0OutNo0227521901,268,427*
4949-1OutNo0116503211,124,924
38-3OutNo11650321493,975*
4839-2OutNo0843463513,146
410-0OutNo0843463462,778*
47310-1OutNo00331587472,696*
46210-2OutNo01216513238,851*
45211-1OutNo012652392,202*
44212-0OutNo06623238,545*
43112-1OutNo02534410,796*
42113-0OutNo143563,617*
41013-1OutNo13268516
40014-0OutNo024766,805
Total:12.3%No00001228192420113082,942,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColoradoVegasMinnesotaWashingtonNY IslandersPittsburghBostonSt. LouisNY RangersLos AngelesPhiladelphia
68140-06.5%3940575310
67130-16.137323149410
66131-06.1342921711510
120-26.03528217115100
65121-15.933251181251000
110-36.1352511811510
64122-05.73122118125100
111-25.53322117115100
100-45.6362311510400
63112-15.13120115104000
101-35.033201149400
90-54.83421112830
62102-24.429171128300
113-04.4271711393000
91-44.43118110720
80-64.1341718520
61103-13.625141962000
92-33.5261518520
81-53.5271516420
70-74.7261417200
6093-22.62011153100
104-02.72011174200
82-42.5201114310
71-62.4201113210
5994-11.8148032100
83-31.714703210
72-51.413702100
61-71.314611100
5884-20.98401100
95-01.19502100
73-40.98401100
62-60.87301000
5785-10.54201000
74-30.44200000
63-50.33200000
52-70.23100000
5675-20.11100000
86-00.22100000
64-40.11100000
53-60.1100000
5576-10.00000000
65-30.00000000
54-50.0000000
5466-20.00000000
77-00.00000000
55-40.000000
5367-10.0000000
56-30.000000
5257-20.0000
40-51No
Total:0.8%5.73.20.21.71.10.40.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 1 Anaheim 4 +1.0
St. Louis 3 Colorado 4 -0.1
Los Angeles 2 Vegas 6 -0.1
Minnesota 5 Arizona 2 -0.1
Montreal 1 Calgary 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Columbus-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
68140-000041536192211300
67130-10001172023434000
66131-00000718166491200
65121-10021287615410
64122-0001735621273000
63112-1003135025882000
62102-20101333571472000
113-0010134348137100
61103-1000017395151561000
92-3000016395151671000
6093-200073521121176100
104-000083621220155100
82-40063421121187100
5994-100226161825176100
83-3002240517251871000
5884-20001501822281861000
95-00011602102327165100
73-400130182128207100
5785-10007003122630175100
74-306002102530196100
5675-2020003132831174100
86-0030004152930154000
64-402003122732195100
5576-1010014163130143000
65-301000314303216400
54-5000313293217400
5466-200001418333012200
77-000001620342811200
55-40000417333113200
5367-1000172235268100
56-30000162135289100
5257-2000019273721500
68-000002102836204000
46-400018263722500
5158-100214333414200
47-300213333515200
5048-2004203828810
59-00005213827810
4949-1001929382030
38-3001929382030
4839-200316373491
410-0000317383390
47310-10172843202
46210-20021643345
45211-1017344613
44212-003235222
43112-101135135
42113-0064549
41013-133661
40014-0012673
Total:0000000000391247911121211963200