Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.9999%
63 points   30 10-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 -0.1
Carolina 3 Nashville 1 -1.8
Tampa Bay 3 Florida 5 +1.2
Philadelphia 3 Washington 6 -0.5
Buffalo 2 Pittsburgh 3 -0.2
Winnipeg 0 Edmonton 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Vegas+2.9+0.9+0.9-1.5-2.5-2.6
Boston vs Washington+0.8+0.3+0.3-0.7-0.7-0.7
Vancouver vs Toronto+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
88-89InYes100953,822*
87121-0In100.0%10002,911,402*
86111-1In99.910006,366,953*
85112-0In99.710009,606,523
101-2In99.610007,495,304*
84102-1In98.91000024,068,248
91-3In98.699015,551,331*
8392-2In96.79802027,405,488
103-0In97.2990129,992,496*
8293-1In92.99703061,903,666
82-3In91.39505019,742,278*
8183-2In83.99118063,452,011
94-0In86.29416052,452,482
72-4In81.28911008,799,425*
8084-1In72.4852130107,539,521
73-3In68.481217041,310,155*
7974-2In52.571524097,984,693
85-0In56.776519072,888,870
63-4In47.967529015,986,964*
7875-1In34.6588330132,832,905
64-3In30.453839052,088,073
53-5In26.34884414,303,881*
7765-2In15.63812491105,920,957
76-0In18.4431342175,036,007
54-4In12.7331155218,614,122*
7666-1In5.92415583119,677,980
55-3In4.6201364448,256,616
44-5In3.416116754,161,379*
7556-2In1.1101369881,780,843
67-0In1.5121665757,962,001
45-4In0.7810721014,365,967*
7457-1In0.2411711479,226,393
46-3In0.138731633,621,452*
7347-2In0.016692545,111,196
58-0In0.018682333,581,711
36-4In0.00467287,364,521*
7248-1In0.003613638,242,028
37-3In0.002603814,692,595*
7138-2InNo01504917,424,819
49-0InNo01504816,836,970*
7039-1InNo00396113,358,406*
28-3InNo00386203,968,759
6929-2InNo02872004,950,709*
310-0InNo002871004,460,029
68210-1InNo01981003,749,235*
67211-0InNo01288001,674,443*
66111-1100.0%No692020481,748*
65112-0100.0No3911500170,280*
64012-199.9No18611200027,883
63013-099.4No076023000142,962
Total:100.0%35.9%487387000001,690,498,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasMinnesotaWashingtonPittsburghNY IslandersBostonSt. LouisArizonaNY RangersLos AngelesSan JosePhiladelphiaAnaheimNew Jersey
89130-06.2%000000326303100
88120-16.3000000375704200
87121-06.2000000385504200
86111-16.30000004052052000
85112-06.30000004052052000
101-26.3000000424806300
84102-16.20100004247063000
91-36.30100004443074000
8392-26.20200004443074000
103-06.30100004246063000
8293-16.30400004342074000
82-36.20500004537084000
8183-26.20800014336074000
94-06.20600014240073000
72-46.20100001443208400
8084-16.301300114033074000
73-36.301700114028074000
7974-26.212401123625164000
85-06.311901123629163000
63-46.312801123521164000
7875-16.213201243020153000
64-36.223801242817153000
53-56.32430124261315300
7765-26.334712352112232000
76-06.334112362215242000
54-46.23530125199132000
7666-16.25561237137221000
55-36.25631236125221000
7556-26.3770123663211000
67-06.2764124774211000
45-46.377411255211100
7457-16.3976112531100000
46-36.2880012331100000
7347-26.3108301122010000
58-06.21080012320100000
36-46.39850112200000
7248-16.2118500111000000
37-36.210870001100000
7138-26.310880000100000
49-06.311860001100000
7039-16.210880000100000
28-36.29890000100000
6929-26.210890000100000
310-06.210880000100000
68210-16.29890000200000
67211-06.39890000200000
66111-16.2988000020000
65112-06.3118511001000
64012-16.215792110100
63013-06.22270421010000
Total:6.3%3.641.20.30.91.63.223.618.31.03.92.20.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Vegas-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-89100
87121-010000
86111-110000
85112-010000
101-210000
84102-199100
91-399101
8392-29720200
103-097201
8293-193400300
82-391400500
8183-2847108000
94-0867106000
72-48181010000
8084-172132013000
73-368132017000
7974-2531950240000
85-057195019000
63-4481950280000
7875-13524803210000
64-33022703810000
53-5262170421010
7765-2162211145300100
76-0182512139300100
54-4132010150400200
7666-161813248920300
55-3515112511120400
44-531392531220500
7556-219104432060800
67-0111124421760700
45-417734322701000
7457-10465282815013100
46-30344273016015100
7347-20123122927219420
58-00135122827118320
36-40012102926221520
7248-1001232032620960
37-30001320317211070
7138-20010927141616170
49-00011928131615170
7039-1000031718917332
28-30000315208183330
6929-20001720314469000
310-000001919314477000
68210-10000316185022000
67211-000111034341000
66111-100601296200200
65112-00301774005000
64012-11077900121000
63013-0000273002030000
Total:36126125751411000000000