Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Philadelphia 6-1, playoff odds up 0.5 to 99.6%
60 points   28 11-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 6 Philadelphia 1 +0.6
+2.7
New Jersey 0 NY Rangers 3 -0.1
Boston 3 Buffalo 2 (so)-0.1
Nashville 7 Tampa Bay 2 +0.5
Toronto 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+0.1
Dallas 2 Florida 3 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Colorado+1.5+0.2+0.2-1.1-1.2-1.2
Los Angeles vs Vegas+0.8+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86130-0In99.6%1000711,950
85120-1In98.79911,274,252
84121-0In96.997306,054,429*
83111-1In93.0946013,241,912*
82112-0In86.49010019,970,041
101-2In85.88910015,593,311*
81102-1In75.082180050,030,446
91-3In74.181180011,550,753*
8092-2In58.771281056,980,270
103-0In60.071281062,378,443*
7993-1In41.2574030128,785,028
82-3In39.556404041,063,190*
7883-2In22.64151800132,006,009
94-0In24.4435260109,691,401*
72-4In21.14049110017,741,165
7784-1In10.427591400223,688,916
73-3In9.22556181085,944,920*
7674-2In2.914582620203,834,235
85-0In3.615622210151,641,442
63-4In2.51353323033,271,257*
7575-1In0.76533640276,350,785
64-3In0.56474160108,321,007
53-5In0.454145908,954,223*
7465-2In0.123749130220,335,140
76-0In0.12434590156,125,869
54-4In0.02305117038,698,822*
7366-1100.0%0.0125522210248,972,651
55-3100.00.0019512810109,050,187*
7256-2100.00.00114640300170,152,724
67-0100.00.00155033200120,609,793
45-4100.00.007424640029,894,401*
7157-1100.00.0053751700164,835,074
46-3100.0No033156100069,941,308*
7047-299.9No0120611800093,874,264
58-0100.0No0226581400069,837,831
36-499.8No0115612300015,321,957*
6948-199.6No0011583000079,557,351
37-399.2No008563501030,560,099*
6838-297.4No03464803036,242,098
49-098.1No05494402035,006,756*
6739-193.9No01345816027,307,567
28-390.7No0129601908,702,002*
6629-281.9No001861318109,340,679
310-086.2No0022622130010,221,939*
65210-169.1No0955529207,794,103*
64211-052.0No04417426003,475,793*
63111-132.0No01238531500999,161*
62112-018.8No0117532710351,870*
61012-17.0No03443464056,912
60013-03.2No01230551210297,192
Total:99.6%9.8%1633281850000003,516,642,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColoradoVegasNY IslandersMinnesotaPittsburghBostonSt. LouisArizonaNY RangersSan JoseLos AngelesPhiladelphiaAnaheimNew Jersey
86130-06.3%001511142184117100
85120-16.200151943183117100
84121-06.3001521043183117100
83111-16.3001521042173117100
82112-06.3002531240164116100
101-26.2001531241164116100
81102-16.3002541538144106100
91-36.2002541438144106200
8092-26.300346193412595200
103-06.200346203412595200
7993-16.200549252810674200
82-36.300541024289674200
7883-26.200831429217753200
94-06.300731230227763200
72-46.300831529217753300
7784-16.3001021933154842300
73-36.3001122132144832300
7674-26.200152263392821300
85-06.2001322435103821300
63-46.300161293282721300
7575-16.200181323251710300
64-36.200201343041610200
53-56.200211372831510200
7465-26.300240392720500200
76-06.200221372930600200
54-46.300250412510400200
7366-16.200260432410400200
55-36.300270442210300100
44-56.300280462100300100
7256-26.200290462000200100
67-06.200290452100300100
45-46.210290471900200100
7157-16.211300471900200100
46-36.21130048170020010
7047-26.22231047160010010
58-06.32131046170020010
36-46.23231047140010010
6948-16.24333045140010010
37-36.25333044120010000
6838-26.17534141100010000
49-06.16434042110010000
6739-15.8963413580000000
66310-05.4107341306000000
29-25.111831126500000
65210-14.311827119300000
64211-03.210720112200000
63111-12.07513061000
62112-01.2537031000
61012-10.4213010
60013-00.2101000
Total:6.2%0.70.519.71.431.224.98.52.74.92.11.21.80.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 6 Philadelphia 1 -0.7
Boston 3 Buffalo 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Colorado-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Vegas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86130-010000
85120-19901
84121-097130
83111-19316000
82112-086310000
101-286410000
81102-17571800000
91-37471800000
8092-259122801000
103-060112801000
7993-141163913000
82-340173914000
7883-2231948370100000
94-024184935000000
72-42119463100100000
7784-11016527111200000
73-3916498141301000
7674-23114315173702000
85-04124715142601000
63-42103814204803000
7575-11632211661404000
64-31527201771606000
53-50423181991809000
7465-20215221111261111100
76-0021925111024180000
54-40212181112271151100
7366-10161951133317320100
55-30051551133321430100
7256-20011017307249603000
67-00021328337217502000
45-40017172772711804000
7157-1000504211221171307000
46-3003031710221915010000
7047-2001018111424211180000
58-00020111131523191140000
36-400101681325221230000
6948-100000386232442900000
37-300000266222443510010
6838-20000032162094620030
49-00000142172194220020
6739-1000109131251610600
28-3000107111053810900
6629-20000035104715301710
310-00000046124814201300
65210-1000012733225029200
64211-000003172461417000
63111-10001517624818100
62112-00001104343316100
61012-1003122843184000
60013-000112143831122000
Total:1062211741438541400000000000