Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Washington Capitals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2.3 to 77%
30 points   13 5-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4 +0.9
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.3
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6 -0.2
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)-0.0
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Washington-4.7-0.2-0.1+4.4+4.9+5.4
-0.2-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
93-98In99.9%10020,975*
92302-2In95.41000238*
91303-1In91.61000740*
90293-2In87.79911,966*
89283-3In81.79825,037*
88284-2In73.998212,436*
87274-3In64.7964027,892*
86275-2In54.7946058,112*
85265-3In43.79280116,513*
84266-2In32.988120222,209*
83256-3In22.9831610400,348*
82257-2In14.6772210685,636*
81247-3In8.47028301,122,883*
80237-4In4.26134501,759,734*
79238-3In1.851419002,648,608*
78228-4In0.7404614003,823,443*
77229-3In0.2294921105,300,550*
76219-4100.0%0.01949292007,068,774*
752110-3100.00.01145395009,080,165*
742010-4100.00.0638461000011,230,171*
732011-3100.00.0228511710013,401,384*
721911-4100.0No1195027300015,428,738*
711912-399.9No0114438700017,147,186*
701812-499.4No0534461401018,422,924*
691813-398.1No02224924120019,098,722*
681713-495.0No01124533450019,147,335*
671714-388.9No0063538101110018,579,121*
661614-479.0No022436171920017,413,049*
651615-365.6No0114272428600015,791,748*
641515-450.4No0071727351320013,860,667*
631516-335.5No03824362350011,758,087*
621416-422.8No013193133121009,648,384*
611417-313.3No001122338214007,665,063*
601317-47.0No0007143632101005,887,360*
591318-33.3No000372839193004,369,318*
581218-41.4No00131939308103,138,980*
571219-30.5No0001103338152002,178,986*
561119-40.2No00052442255001,461,888*
551120-30.0No0021438341010945,222*
541020-40.0No001831411820590,425*
531021-30.0No000321422750355,340*
52921-40.0No001133836111207,573*
51922-30.0No00073142182115,562*
50822-4OutNo03224427462,439*
49823-3OutNo01144036832,170*
48723-4OutNo00834431415,936*
47724-3OutNo042747237,631*
46725-2OutNo21848313,590*
45625-3OutNo11346411,471*
44626-2OutNo74350619*
43526-3OutNo043758265*
42527-2OutNo13257192*
41427-3OutNo336721*
40428-2OutNo89213*
39429-1OutNo1002*
30034-0OutNo010020,881
Total:77.0%0.3%4111921148106421000260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNY IslandersColoradoBostonMinnesotaPhiladelphiaSt. LouisLos AngelesPittsburghNY RangersArizonaNew JerseySan JoseAnaheimBuffalo
98340-03.5%0182142215520732100
96320-2No333333
95321-1No5050
94311-2No151010152010155
93312-11.41436417129199313
92302-25.514275181216118512
91303-13.9013611814121111752100
90293-23.701249714121115751100
89283-33.1011510715121112852100
88284-23.511169714121212761200
87274-33.511169714131212761200
86275-23.311069814131311761200
85265-33.411069813131311761200
84266-23.411169813131311761200
83256-33.411169813131311651200
82257-23.4111610814131310651100
81247-33.3112610814121210651100
80237-43.2112611815121210651100
79238-33.2114612716111110641100
78228-43.1115614717101010631100
77229-33.01175166188810631100
76219-43.01194185207710621100
752110-32.9121321422559621000
742010-42.8123323323449611000
732011-32.7125225224338511000
721911-42.6127127125228501000
711912-32.5227128126118500000
701812-42.4327128126117500000
1913-22.4327128125117500000
691813-32.3427128125106500000
1712-52.3527227124106400000
681713-42.2725226222105400000
671714-32.01123323219104300000
661614-41.81419319216102200000
651615-31.41615315212101100000
641515-41.1151031128001000000
631516-30.81272715000000000
621416-40.5941413000000000
611417-30.3521302000000000
601317-40.1310101000000000
591318-30.1110101000000000
581319-20.0000000000000000
571219-30.0000000000000000
561220-20.000000000000000
551120-30.00000000000
541121-20.000000
531021-3No000
521022-2No00
51922-3No0
30-50No
Total:1.9%5.918.52.218.72.117.11.81.64.83.30.50.40.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
98340-01000
94-96100
93312-1973
92302-29540
91303-19280
90293-288111
89283-382162
88284-2742420
87274-36532400
86275-25540500
85265-344488100
84266-2335510100
83256-32360133100
82257-215621661000
81247-386117102000
80237-445618164100
79238-324917246200000
78228-4139143285100000
77229-30291039910101000
76219-40197439173020000
752110-3011442724614100000
742010-40623652810472000000
732011-302128228128115101000
721911-41018123121413113030000
711912-300110151019131960700000
701812-400508620102411213100100
691813-30020331652415520410200
681713-400101111218169249405000
671714-3000005111121223159010100
661614-40002057121719161183000
651615-3000101399182132671000
641515-400000015413206301630000
631516-300000217159282592000
621416-400010391021311961000
611417-3000001481229281441000
601317-40000001552031241020000
591318-300000321125302082000
581218-40001041527281761000
571219-30000017192926134100
561119-400000210223023102000
551120-30000141325291971000
541020-4000016172828155100
531021-30002821302411300
52921-400013122530207100
51922-30001517292815400
50822-400292332249100
49823-301414293117400
48723-400172133271010
47724-30031229341830
46725-2001621372681
45625-302153235132
44626-2162542233
43526-3022241315
42527-2213343912
41427-314105719
40428-2315415
39429-15050
30034-0199
Total:04110174748548662854211100000000