Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 3-4, playoff odds down 10.7 to 33.2%

25 points 12 9-1

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4	-7.8		-0.1
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	-0.6
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Boston vs Washington	+0.7-0.7-0.6-1.1-1.3-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

93		34	0		-	0	In		98.0	%	100	0													20,881
88	-91						In		72.2		100														36	*
87		30	2		-	2	In		72.7		97	3													88	*
86		30	3		-	1	In		54.1		96	4													303	*
85		29	3		-	2	In		44.1		93	7	0												929	*
84		28	3		-	3	In		34.1		88	12	0												2,418	*
83		28	4		-	2	In		22.3		83	16	1												6,066	*
82		27	4		-	3	In		14.8		77	22	1												13,804	*
81		27	5		-	2	In		8.7		69	28	3	0											30,132	*
80		26	5		-	3	In		4.3		61	34	5	0											62,642	*
79		26	6		-	2	In		1.9		51	40	9	0											123,319	*
78		25	6		-	3	In		0.7		39	46	15	0	0										230,531	*
77		24	6		-	4	In		0.2		29	48	22	1	0										410,422	*
76		24	7		-	3	In		0.0		19	48	30	3	0										696,800	*
75		23	7		-	4	100.0	%	0.0		11	44	39	6	0		0								1,135,507	*
74		23	8		-	3	100.0		0.0		6	36	47	11	1	0	0								1,768,113	*
73		22	8		-	4	100.0		0.0		2	26	50	19	2	0	0								2,646,598	*
72		22	9		-	3	99.9		No		1	17	48	30	5	0	0	0							3,801,676	*
71		21	9		-	4	99.5		No		0	9	41	39	10	0	1	0							5,259,250	*
70		21	10		-	3	98.4		No		0	4	30	46	18	0	2	0							6,990,590	*
69		20	10		-	4	95.5		No		0	2	18	46	28	2	4	0	0						8,975,228	*
68		20	11		-	3	89.8		No		0	0	10	39	36	5	10	0	0						11,097,521	*
67		19	11		-	4	80.2		No		0	0	4	28	38	10	19	1	0	0					13,243,369	*
66		19	12		-	3	66.9		No			0	1	17	33	15	30	3	0	0					15,265,440	*
65		18	12		-	4	51.3		No			0	0	9	23	19	40	8	1	0	0				16,992,354	*
64		18	13		-	3	35.9		No			0	0	4	13	19	45	17	2	0	0				18,273,889	*
63		17	13		-	4	22.7		No			0	0	1	6	16	43	28	6	0	0	0			18,996,413	*
62		17	14		-	3	12.9		No				0	0	2	10	34	38	13	2	0	0			19,091,252	*
61		16	14		-	4	6.5		No				0	0	1	6	24	41	24	5	0	0			18,563,944	*
60		16	15		-	3	2.9		No				0	0	0	3	14	38	34	11	1	0	0		17,456,291	*
59		15	15		-	4	1.2		No				0	0	0	1	7	29	40	20	3	0	0		15,876,407	*
58		15	16		-	3	0.4		No				0	0	0	0	3	18	40	30	8	1	0	0	13,972,620	*
57		14	16		-	4	0.1		No					0	0	0	1	10	34	38	15	2	0	0	11,893,338	*
56		14	17		-	3	0.0		No					0	0	0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0	9,791,633	*
55		13	17		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	2	15	38	34	10	1	0	7,798,566	*
54		13	18		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	1	8	30	41	18	3	0	6,007,911	*
53		12	18		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	0	3	20	42	28	6	0	4,470,410	*
52		12	19		-	3	Out		No								0	0	1	12	37	37	12	1	3,214,926	*
51		11	19		-	4	Out		No									0	0	6	28	42	21	3	2,237,057	*
50		11	20		-	3	Out		No									0	0	3	19	42	30	5	1,500,979	*
49		10	20		-	4	Out		No									0	0	1	12	37	40	10	972,895	*
48		10	21		-	3	Out		No										0	0	6	30	46	17	607,833	*
47		9	21		-	4	Out		No										0	0	3	22	49	26	366,586	*
46		9	22		-	3	Out		No											0	1	14	48	36	211,607	*
45		8	22		-	4	Out		No												0	8	44	47	118,847	*
44		8	23		-	3	Out		No											0	0	5	38	57	63,635	*
43		7	23		-	4	Out		No												0	2	31	67	32,662	*
42		7	24		-	3	Out		No												0	1	24	75	16,228	*
41		7	25		-	2	Out		No													0	18	82	7,749	*
40		6	25		-	3	Out		No													0	12	88	3,555	*
39		6	26		-	2	Out		No													0	8	92	1,501	*
38		5	26		-	3	Out		No														6	94	609	*
37		5	27		-	2	Out		No														6	94	242	*
36		4	27		-	3	Out		No														7	93	90	*
25	-35						Out		No															100	20,930	*

Total:							33.2	%	0.0	%	0	2	5	9	10	7	18	16	13	10	6	3	1	0	260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	NY Islanders	Colorado	Boston	Minnesota	Philadelphia	Washington	St. Louis	Los Angeles	NY Rangers	Arizona	New Jersey	San Jose	Anaheim	Buffalo

93		34	0		-	0	1.1	%	0	8	5	16	7	14	13	12	12	5	5	0	2	0
91		32	0		-	2	No										Yes
90		32	1		-	1	No				50	50
89		31	1		-	2	No							40		20		20	20
88		31	2		-	1	No			8	12	4	8	8	12	19	19	8		4
87		30	2		-	2	1.1			3	8	8	10	9	9	22	15	8	2	2	2	1
86		30	3		-	1	No		2	5	8	12	12	11	9	17	15	3	5		2
85		29	3		-	2	2.0		1	8	7	9	10	11	7	19	16	4	6	0	2		0
84		28	3		-	3	1.1		1	7	7	10	10	10	9	15	17	5	8	0	2	0
83		28	4		-	2	1.0		1	8	8	10	10	10	10	16	16	4	6	0	2	0
82		27	4		-	3	1.1		1	8	7	11	9	11	10	15	15	4	6	0	1	0	0
81		27	5		-	2	1.1		1	9	7	12	9	11	11	14	14	4	5	0	1	0	0
80		26	5		-	3	1.0		1	10	7	13	8	12	12	13	13	4	5	0	1	0	0
79		26	6		-	2	1.0		1	12	6	14	8	14	13	11	11	4	4	0	1	0	0
78		25	6		-	3	1.0		1	14	6	16	7	15	15	10	9	4	3	0	1	0	0
77		24	6		-	4	0.9		1	16	5	17	6	16	16	8	8	4	3	0	1	0	0
76		24	7		-	3	0.9		1	18	4	19	4	18	17	6	6	4	2	0	0	0	0
75		23	7		-	4	0.9		1	20	3	21	3	19	18	4	4	4	1	0	0	0	0
74		23	8		-	3	0.9		1	22	2	22	2	20	19	3	3	4	1	0	0	0	0
73		22	8		-	4	0.8		1	23	2	23	2	21	20	2	2	4	1	0	0	0	0
72		22	9		-	3	0.8		1	24	1	24	1	22	20	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
71		21	9		-	4	0.8		2	24	1	24	1	22	20	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
70		21	10		-	3	0.7		3	24	1	24	1	21	19	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
		20	9		-	5	0.7		4	24	1	24	1	21	19	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
69		20	10		-	4	0.7		5	23	2	23	1	20	17	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
		21	11		-	2	0.7		5	23	2	23	1	20	17	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
68		20	11		-	3	0.7		8	22	2	21	2	18	15	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
		19	10		-	5	0.6		8	21	2	20	2	17	15	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
67		19	11		-	4	0.6		11	18	3	17	2	14	12	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
		20	12		-	2	0.6		10	19	3	18	2	15	13	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
		18	10		-	6	0.5		11	17	3	17	2	13	11	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
66		19	12		-	3	0.5		12	15	3	14	2	11	9	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		18	11		-	5	0.4		12	14	3	13	2	10	8	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		20	13		-	1	0.5		12	14	3	14	2	11	9	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
65		18	12		-	4	0.4		13	10	3	10	2	7	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		19	13		-	2	0.4		13	10	3	10	2	7	6	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
64		18	13		-	3	0.3		12	7	2	7	2	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	12		-	5	0.2		11	6	2	6	1	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		17	13		-	4	0.2		8	4	1	4	1	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		17	14		-	3	0.1		5	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		16	14		-	4	0.0		3	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		16	15		-	3	0.0		1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		15	15		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		15	16		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
57		15	17		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
56		14	17		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0			0
55		14	18		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0		0			0
54		13	18		-	3	No		0	0		0		0	0			0
53		13	19		-	2	No		0	0		0		0	0
25	-52						No

Total:							0.2	%	4.8	7.2	1.1	7.0	0.9	5.8	4.8	0.3	0.3	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4	+1.0
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

93		34	0		-	0	98	2	0
91		32	0		-	2	100
90		32	1		-	1	75	25
89		31	1		-	2	100
88		31	2		-	1	65	35
87		30	2		-	2	73	24	3
86		30	3		-	1	54	42	4
85		29	3		-	2	44	48	7	1	0
84		28	3		-	3	34	54	11	1	0
83		28	4		-	2	22	61	13	3	1	0
82		27	4		-	3	15	62	16	6	1	0	0
81		27	5		-	2	9	61	18	10	3	0	0		0
80		26	5		-	3	4	56	18	16	4	1	0		0
79		26	6		-	2	2	49	17	23	6	3	0	0	0	0
78		25	6		-	3	1	39	14	32	8	6	1	0	0	0			0
77		24	6		-	4	0	29	10	38	10	10	2	0	1	0	0		0
76		24	7		-	3	0	19	6	41	10	17	3	0	2	0	0		0
75		23	7		-	4	0	11	3	40	8	24	6	1	5	1	0		0	0			0
74		23	8		-	3	0	6	2	34	5	28	10	4	8	2	0	0	1	0	0		0
73		22	8		-	4	0	2	1	26	2	28	12	8	12	6	1	0	2	0	0		0
72		22	9		-	3		1	0	17	1	22	12	13	15	12	3	0	4	0	0		0	0
71		21	9		-	4		0	0	9	0	14	9	17	14	19	6	0	9	1	0	0	1	0
70		21	10		-	3		0	0	4	0	7	5	17	10	24	11	2	17	2	0	0	2	0
69		20	10		-	4		0	0	2	0	3	2	13	5	22	14	4	24	5	2	0	4	0	0
68		20	11		-	3		0	0	0	0	1	1	8	2	16	14	7	27	10	4	0	10	0	0	0
67		19	11		-	4		0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	9	10	9	24	15	9	0	19	1	0	0
66		19	12		-	3				0	0	0	0	1	0	3	5	9	16	17	14	1	29	4	0	0	0
65		18	12		-	4				0		0	0	0	0	1	2	6	8	15	17	3	37	11	1	0	0	0
64		18	13		-	3				0		0	0	0	0	0	1	3	3	10	15	5	39	20	4	0	0	0
63		17	13		-	4				0		0		0	0	0	0	1	1	5	10	6	34	31	11	2	0	0	0
62		17	14		-	3								0		0	0	0	0	2	5	5	23	35	21	6	1	0	0	0
61		16	14		-	4								0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	13	31	30	15	4	1	0	0	0
60		16	15		-	3								0		0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	21	32	25	11	3	0	0	0	0
59		15	15		-	4								0			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	11	26	31	20	8	2	0	0	0	0
58		15	16		-	3								0				0	0	0	0	0	0	4	15	28	28	17	6	1	0	0	0
57		14	16		-	4												0		0	0	0	0	1	7	19	29	26	13	4	1	0	0	0
56		14	17		-	3												0		0	0	0	0	0	2	10	22	30	23	10	2	0	0	0	0
55		13	17		-	4															0	0	0	0	1	4	13	26	29	19	7	1	0	0	0
54		13	18		-	3															0	0	0	0	0	1	6	17	28	28	15	5	1	0	0
53		12	18		-	4																0		0	0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	0
52		12	19		-	3																			0	0	0	3	12	25	30	21	8	1	0	0
51		11	19		-	4																			0	0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	1	0	0
50		11	20		-	3																				0	0	0	2	8	21	31	25	10	2	0	0
49		10	20		-	4																				0	0	0	0	3	13	27	32	19	5	0	0
48		10	21		-	3																						0	0	1	6	19	33	29	11	1	0
47		9	21		-	4																							0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4	0
46		9	22		-	3																							0	0	1	5	19	36	30	9	1
45		8	22		-	4																							0	0	0	2	11	32	37	16	2
44		8	23		-	3																								0	0	1	5	23	41	25	5
43		7	23		-	4																										0	2	15	39	34	9
42		7	24		-	3																										0	1	9	33	42	16
41		7	25		-	2																											0	5	25	45	25
40		6	25		-	3																											0	2	17	47	35
39		6	26		-	2																												1	11	40	49
38		5	26		-	3																												0	7	35	57
37		5	27		-	2																													5	26	69
36		4	27		-	3																													1	31	68
35		4	28		-	2																														19	81
34		3	28		-	3																														8	92
31	-33																																				100
25		0	34		-	0																														0	100

Total:							0	0	0	2	0	2	1	2	1	3	2	2	6	5	5	2	14	12	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0