Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 3-4, playoff odds down 10.7 to 33.2%
25 points   12 9-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4 -7.8
-0.1
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.6
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston vs Washington+0.7-0.7-0.6-1.1-1.3-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
93340-0In98.0%100020,881
88-91In72.210036*
87302-2In72.797388*
86303-1In54.1964303*
85293-2In44.19370929*
84283-3In34.1881202,418*
83284-2In22.3831616,066*
82274-3In14.87722113,804*
81275-2In8.769283030,132*
80265-3In4.361345062,642*
79266-2In1.9514090123,319*
78256-3In0.739461500230,531*
77246-4In0.229482210410,422*
76247-3In0.019483030696,800*
75237-4100.0%0.01144396001,135,507*
74238-3100.00.063647111001,768,113*
73228-4100.00.022650192002,646,598*
72229-399.9No117483050003,801,676*
71219-499.5No094139100105,259,250*
702110-398.4No043046180206,990,590*
692010-495.5No0218462824008,975,228*
682011-389.8No001039365100011,097,521*
671911-480.2No0042838101910013,243,369*
661912-366.9No011733153030015,265,440*
651812-451.3No009231940810016,992,354*
641813-335.9No0041319451720018,273,889*
631713-422.7No0016164328600018,996,413*
621714-312.9No0021034381320019,091,252*
611614-46.5No001624412450018,563,944*
601615-32.9No00031438341110017,456,291*
591515-41.2No0001729402030015,876,407*
581516-30.4No00003184030810013,972,620*
571416-40.1No00011034381520011,893,338*
561417-30.0No000052441255009,791,633*
551317-40.0No00215383410107,798,566*
541318-30.0No0018304118306,007,911*
531218-40.0No0003204228604,470,410*
521219-3OutNo0011237371213,214,926*
511119-4OutNo00628422132,237,057*
501120-3OutNo00319423051,500,979*
491020-4OutNo00112374010972,895*
481021-3OutNo006304617607,833*
47921-4OutNo003224926366,586*
46922-3OutNo01144836211,607*
45822-4OutNo084447118,847*
44823-3OutNo005385763,635*
43723-4OutNo02316732,662*
42724-3OutNo01247516,228*
41725-2OutNo018827,749*
40625-3OutNo012883,555*
39626-2OutNo08921,501*
38526-3OutNo694609*
37527-2OutNo694242*
36427-3OutNo79390*
25-35OutNo10020,930*
Total:33.2%0.0%0259107181613106310260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNY IslandersColoradoBostonMinnesotaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSt. LouisLos AngelesNY RangersArizonaNew JerseySan JoseAnaheimBuffalo
93340-01.1%0851671413121255020
91320-2NoYes
90321-1No5050
89311-2No40202020
88312-1No81248812191984
87302-21.13881099221582221
86303-1No25812121191715352
85293-22.0187910117191646020
84283-31.11771010109151758020
83284-21.018810101010161646020
82274-31.118711911101515460100
81275-21.119712911111414450100
80265-31.0110713812121313450100
79266-21.0112614814131111440100
78256-31.011461671515109430100
77246-40.91165176161688430100
76247-30.91184194181766420000
75237-40.91203213191844410000
74238-30.91222222201933410000
73228-40.81232232212022410000
72229-30.81241241222011400000
71219-40.82241241222011400000
702110-30.73241241211911300000
209-50.74241241211910300000
692010-40.75232231201710300000
2111-20.75232231201710300000
682011-30.78222212181510300000
1910-50.68212202171510300000
671911-40.611183172141210200000
2012-20.610193182151310200000
1810-60.511173172131110200000
661912-30.51215314211910100000
1811-50.41214313210810100000
2013-10.51214314211910100000
651812-40.4131031027500100000
1913-20.4131031027600100000
641813-30.31272725300000000
1712-50.21162614300000000
631713-40.2841413200000000
621714-30.1521211100000000
611614-40.0310101000000000
601615-30.0100100000000000
591515-40.0000000000000000
581516-30.000000000000000
571517-20.00000000000000
561417-30.0000000000000
551418-20.00000000000
541318-3No000000
531319-2No00000
25-52No
Total:0.2%4.87.21.17.00.95.84.80.30.30.80.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4 +1.0
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
93340-09820
91320-2100
90321-17525
89311-2100
88312-16535
87302-273243
86303-154424
85293-24448710
84283-334541110
83284-2226113310
82274-31562166100
81275-296118103000
80265-345618164100
79266-22491723630000
78256-313914328610000
77246-402910381010201000
76247-30196411017302000
75237-401134082461510000
74238-30623452810482001000
73228-402126228128126102000
72229-31017122121315123040000
71219-4009014917141960910010
702110-30040751710241121720020
692010-40020321352214424520400
682011-3000011821614727104010000
671911-400000040910924159019100
661912-30000103591617141294000
651812-40000012681517337111000
641813-30000001331015539204000
631713-40000001151063431112000
621714-30000025523352161000
611614-40000001241331301541000
601615-30000001262132251130000
591515-40000001211263120820000
581516-3000000041528281761000
571416-400000171929261341000
561417-30000002102230231020000
551317-40000141326291971000
541318-30000016172828155100
531218-4000028213025113000
521219-30003122530218100
511119-400015162929164100
501120-30002821312510200
491020-40000313273219500
481021-300161933291110
47921-40021128352040
46922-3001519363091
45822-40002113237162
44823-300152341255
43723-4021539349
42724-3019334216
41725-205254525
40625-302174735
39626-21114049
38526-3073557
37527-252669
36427-313168
35428-21981
34328-3892
31-33100
25034-00100
Total:0002021213226552141210875432110000