Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Washington 1-6, playoff odds down 6.8 to 5.6%
44 points   19 17-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 6 Philadelphia 1 -4.8
-0.3
No
Boston 3 Buffalo 2 (so)-2.2
-0.1
New Jersey 0 NY Rangers 3 -0.8
-0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
72140-0100.0%0.0%019532630548,646
71130-199.1No0432471601757,557
70131-096.5No011748300303,685,527*
69121-189.0No06364701108,607,339*
68122-077.1No022253023023,851,546*
67112-160.1No0010491391044,059,422*
66102-241.9No003372553043,979,612
113-045.0No004392532044,701,813*
65103-128.7No012526470099,415,819
92-325.4No012236590035,438,614*
6493-215.8No00133681600113,179,292
104-018.0No0015369130084,210,016
82-413.6No0011367200017,735,886*
6394-18.9No0062662500198,199,566*
83-37.7No0052622910077,338,650
6284-23.9No0225440200196,624,914
95-04.6No0325935100130,036,736
73-43.2No022494530036,921,872*
6185-11.8No0114350500266,534,541
74-31.4No0113754700130,996,730*
6075-20.6No000255815100242,900,869
86-00.7No001305613100150,596,448
64-40.4No00020591820050,222,663*
5976-10.2No000155426400274,440,003
65-30.1No00115330500129,123,493
54-50.1No009503470013,435,734*
5866-20.0No00541411210218,823,267
77-00.1No00743381010132,923,289
55-40.0No0043643162046,632,240*
5767-10.0No002264524400211,934,507
56-30.0No001214527500110,089,825*
5657-20.0No0001138381210144,864,640
68-00.0No001134036101089,815,092
46-40.0No0083440162029,948,988*
5558-10.0No00425432340128,075,842*
47-30.0No00322432750055,001,053
5448-20.0No001113739130069,921,494
59-00.0No001133937110059,384,838*
5349-1OutNo0052645231052,695,725
38-3OutNo0032144301022,991,966*
5239-2OutNo011140453027,773,653*
410-0OutNo0021544372017,871,944
51310-1OutNo00529587022,093,506*
50210-2OutNo001176615011,224,190*
49211-1OutNo008652714,308,447*
48212-0OutNo003573921,803,860*
47112-1OutNo0144514502,394*
46113-0OutNo0032598166,127*
45013-1OutNo021641526,407
44014-0OutNo0136224317,506
Total:5.6%0.0%0001412732181052003,876,734,108

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColoradoVegasWashingtonNY IslandersMinnesotaPittsburghBostonSt. LouisArizonaNY RangersSan JoseLos Angeles
72140-06.2%0031270241700000
71130-16.22131310221200000
70131-06.13230310191100000
120-26.043303101990000
69121-15.6532829015700000
110-35.46427280146000
68122-05.064262601150000
111-24.77525241114000
100-44.47523211103000
67112-13.86521191720000
101-33.5751916172000
90-53.285171416100
66102-22.66414120410000
113-02.96416140510000
91-42.3641310040000
80-62.06411803000
65103-11.8531080300000
92-31.65386020000
81-51.45375020000
6493-21.032540100000
104-01.13265020000
82-40.9324301000
71-60.732320100
6394-10.62132010000
83-30.52122010000
72-50.421210100
61-70.31121000
6284-20.21111000000
95-00.3111100000
73-40.210110000
62-60.21011000
6185-10.1000000000
74-30.100000000
63-50.10000000
6075-20.000000000
86-00.000000000
64-40.000000000
53-60.0000000
5976-10.000000000
65-30.00000000
54-50.0000000
5866-20.00000000
77-00.00000000
55-40.00000000
5767-10.00000000
56-30.00000000
5668-00.0000000
5558-10.000000
5459-0No000
44-53No
Total:0.4%0.90.61.81.50.10.60.10.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 6 Philadelphia 1 +0.8
Boston 3 Buffalo 2 (so)+0.1
New Jersey 0 NY Rangers 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
San Jose vs Anaheim+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
72140-0003162935717540300
71130-1004031810201612016001
70131-000101791219161300030
69121-100001441415346100110
68122-00000011894513002300
67112-100000343436103910
66102-2000001122792055300
113-0000001123092052300
65103-1000001151020647000
92-30000011210206510000
6493-20000058206618100
104-000000692067140000
82-4000047206422100
6394-10000152160283000
83-30000142155334000
6284-200002114242101000
95-00000211473981000
73-400002113745132000
6185-1000010127452150000
74-300010122442561000
6075-2000001035351640000
86-0000001337331330000
64-400000831361951000
5976-10000042035271130000
65-30000216333014400000
54-5000021330321751000
5866-2000162132261130000
77-0000018243223920000
55-4000041731291441000
5767-10000192331241020000
56-30000161931261330000
5657-20000028223124102000
68-00000021024312282000
46-4000016183027134000
5558-1000021024312292000
47-3000017203126123000
5448-200000292332249200
59-00000021025312281000
5349-100003112632216100
38-300002823332581000
5239-20002112635214000
410-000004143033163000
51310-10000314333512200
50210-200015214026610
49211-1001832391730
48212-0000219403080
47112-100083240171
46113-00032143294
45013-1011037439
44014-0005285017
Total:00000000000022102019141197542110000