Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Beat Pittsburgh 4-3, playoff odds up 4.4 to 82.9%

27 points 12 5-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4	+5.3		+0.2		+0.2
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	-0.3		-0.0
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6	-0.1
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1					+0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)					-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Boston vs Washington	+0.3-0.4-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.1
Chicago vs Tampa Bay					+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94	-99						In		100.0	%	100														21,014	*
93		32	2		-	2	In		96.9		100	0													327	*
92		32	3		-	1	In		95.0		100	0													980	*
91		31	3		-	2	In		92.6		100	0													2,605	*
90		30	3		-	3	In		88.4		99	1													6,542	*
89		30	4		-	2	In		83.0		99	1	0												15,172	*
88		29	4		-	3	In		75.7		98	2	0												33,615	*
87		29	5		-	2	In		67.2		96	3	0												69,444	*
86		28	5		-	3	In		56.9		95	5	0												135,128	*
85		28	6		-	2	In		46.0		92	8	0												251,030	*
84		27	6		-	3	In		35.1		89	11	0												444,269	*
83		27	7		-	2	In		25.0		84	15	1	0											751,528	*
82		26	7		-	3	In		16.3		78	20	2	0											1,210,048	*
81		25	7		-	4	In		9.6		71	26	3	0											1,872,426	*
80		25	8		-	3	In		5.0		62	33	5	0											2,773,509	*
79		24	8		-	4	In		2.3		53	39	8	0	0										3,961,792	*
78		24	9		-	3	In		0.9		42	45	13	0	0										5,419,222	*
77		23	9		-	4	In		0.3		31	49	19	1	0										7,161,600	*
76		23	10		-	3	In		0.1		21	50	27	2	0										9,106,216	*
75		22	10		-	4	100.0	%	0.0		13	47	36	4	0		0								11,195,563	*
74		22	11		-	3	100.0		0.0		7	41	44	7	0	0	0								13,257,274	*
73		21	11		-	4	100.0		0.0		3	32	50	14	1	0	0								15,189,458	*
72		21	12		-	3	100.0		0.0		1	23	52	22	2	0	0	0							16,809,179	*
71		20	12		-	4	99.9		No		0	14	48	33	4	0	0	0							18,009,790	*
70		20	13		-	3	99.7		No		0	7	40	43	9	0	0	0							18,648,917	*
69		19	13		-	4	99.0		No		0	3	29	49	17	1	1	0	0						18,718,154	*
68		19	14		-	3	96.9		No		0	1	18	49	27	3	3	0	0						18,175,631	*
67		18	14		-	4	92.4		No		0	0	9	42	34	7	7	0	0	0					17,100,588	*
66		18	15		-	3	84.2		No		0	0	4	31	35	14	15	1	0	0					15,590,177	*
65		17	15		-	4	72.2		No			0	1	19	30	22	24	4	0	0					13,779,279	*
64		17	16		-	3	57.2		No			0	0	10	20	26	32	10	1	0	0				11,792,527	*
63		16	16		-	4	41.4		No				0	5	11	26	36	19	3	0	0				9,793,638	*
62		16	17		-	3	27.1		No				0	2	5	21	34	30	9	1	0	0			7,874,045	*
61		15	17		-	4	16.0		No				0	1	2	14	26	37	18	3	0	0			6,149,074	*
60		15	18		-	3	8.4		No				0	0	0	8	17	38	29	8	1	0	0		4,643,536	*
59		14	18		-	4	3.9		No				0	0	0	4	9	31	37	16	2	0	0		3,404,426	*
58		14	19		-	3	1.6		No					0	0	2	4	21	40	27	6	0	0		2,413,620	*
57		13	19		-	4	0.6		No					0	0	1	1	12	35	36	13	1	0	0	1,663,497	*
56		13	20		-	3	0.2		No					0		0	0	6	26	41	23	4	0	0	1,105,900	*
55		12	20		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	2	16	39	33	9	1	0	713,157	*
54		12	21		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	1	9	32	40	16	2	0	446,176	*
53		11	21		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	0	4	23	42	26	5	0	269,199	*
52		11	22		-	3	Out		No								0	0	2	14	39	35	10	1	156,947	*
51		10	22		-	4	Out		No									0	1	8	32	41	17	2	89,073	*
50		10	23		-	3	Out		No									0	0	4	23	43	26	4	48,393	*
49		9	23		-	4	Out		No										0	2	15	41	35	8	25,578	*
48		9	24		-	3	Out		No											1	8	34	43	14	12,896	*
47		8	24		-	4	Out		No											0	5	27	47	21	6,344	*
46		8	25		-	3	Out		No											0	2	18	49	30	2,985	*
45		7	25		-	4	Out		No												2	11	48	40	1,325	*
44		7	26		-	3	Out		No													7	43	50	555	*
43		6	26		-	4	Out		No													5	31	64	216	*
42		6	27		-	3	Out		No													1	28	71	101	*
41		6	28		-	2	Out		No														17	83	36	*
40		6	29		-	1	Out		No														7	93	14	*
39		5	29		-	2	Out		No														33	67	3
37	-38						Out		No															100	3	*
27		0	36		-	0	Out		No														0	100	20,881

Total:							82.9	%	0.5	%	7	15	22	21	12	6	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	NY Islanders	Colorado	Boston	Minnesota	Washington	St. Louis	Los Angeles	Pittsburgh	NY Rangers	Arizona	New Jersey	San Jose	Anaheim	Buffalo

99		36	0		-	0	4.5	%	0	18	1	8	2	26	4	4	21	10	2	2	1	0	0
98		35	0		-	1	No										Yes
97		35	1		-	0	No			Yes
96		34	1		-	1	12.5			13				25			63
95		33	1		-	2	No			8		19	12	15	4	12	12	15	4
94		33	2		-	1	No		1	9	3	11	6	19	10	8	16	10	3	2
93		32	2		-	2	4.0		0	12	5	8	4	21	13	6	12	11	4	2	1	1	0
92		32	3		-	1	4.7		1	12	5	7	6	18	9	9	13	9	4	2	2	0	0
91		31	3		-	2	4.7		1	13	4	7	7	17	11	11	13	9	5	1	2	0	0
90		30	3		-	3	4.1		0	12	5	8	6	17	11	11	13	9	5	1	1	0	0
89		30	4		-	2	4.3		0	11	5	7	6	17	11	11	12	9	5	2	2	0	0
88		29	4		-	3	4.6		1	11	5	7	7	16	12	12	12	8	5	1	2	0	0
87		29	5		-	2	4.4		1	11	6	7	7	16	12	12	12	8	5	1	2	0	0
86		28	5		-	3	4.4		1	10	6	7	8	16	12	12	11	8	5	1	2	0	0
85		28	6		-	2	4.4		1	10	6	7	8	16	13	13	11	8	5	1	2	0	0
84		27	6		-	3	4.4		1	10	6	7	8	15	13	13	11	8	5	1	2	0	0
83		27	7		-	2	4.3		1	10	6	8	8	15	13	13	10	8	5	1	2	0	0
82		26	7		-	3	4.2		1	11	6	8	8	15	13	12	10	7	5	1	1	0	0
81		25	7		-	4	4.2		1	11	6	9	8	16	12	12	10	7	5	1	1	0	0
80		25	8		-	3	4.2		1	12	6	9	8	16	12	12	10	7	5	1	1	0	0
79		24	8		-	4	4.1		1	13	6	11	7	17	11	11	10	7	4	1	1	0	0
78		24	9		-	3	4.0		1	15	6	12	7	18	10	10	10	7	4	1	1	0	0
77		23	9		-	4	3.9		1	17	5	14	6	18	9	9	10	7	3	1	1	0	0
76		23	10		-	3	3.8		1	19	4	17	5	20	7	7	10	7	2	1	1	0	0
75		22	10		-	4	3.8		1	21	4	19	4	21	6	6	9	6	2	1	0	0	0
74		22	11		-	3	3.6		1	24	3	22	3	22	4	4	9	6	1	1	0	0	0
73		21	11		-	4	3.5		1	26	2	24	2	23	3	3	9	6	1	1	0	0	0
72		21	12		-	3	3.4		1	27	2	26	2	23	2	2	8	6	1	1	0	0	0
71		20	12		-	4	3.3		1	28	1	27	1	24	1	1	8	6	0	1	0	0	0
70		20	13		-	3	3.2		2	29	1	28	1	24	1	1	8	6	0	0	0	0	0
		19	12		-	5	3.2		2	29	1	28	1	24	1	1	7	6	0	0	0	0	0
69		19	13		-	4	3.1		3	28	1	28	1	23	1	0	7	5	0	0	0	0	0
		20	14		-	2	3.1		3	28	1	28	1	23	1	0	7	5	0	0	0	0	0
68		19	14		-	3	3.0		5	27	2	27	1	21	1	0	6	5	0	0	0	0	0
67		18	14		-	4	2.8		9	26	2	25	2	19	1	0	5	4	0	0	0	0	0
66		18	15		-	3	2.5		12	22	3	22	2	15	1	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0
65		17	15		-	4	2.1		15	18	3	18	2	12	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
64		17	16		-	3	1.6		15	13	3	13	2	8	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
63		16	16		-	4	1.2		14	9	2	9	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		16	17		-	3	0.8		10	6	1	5	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		15	17		-	4	0.4		6	3	1	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		15	18		-	3	0.2		3	2	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		14	18		-	4	0.1		1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		14	19		-	3	0.0		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
57		14	20		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
56		13	20		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0		0	0		0
55		13	21		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0		0			0	0		0			0
54		12	21		-	3	0.0		0	0		0		0				0		0
53		13	23		-	0	No					0		0
27	-52						No

Total:							2.8	%	4.9	20.5	2.3	19.6	2.4	17.1	2.4	2.3	5.8	4.3	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4	-0.9
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

99		36	0		-	0	100	0
94	-98						100
93		32	2		-	2	97	3	0
92		32	3		-	1	95	5	0
91		31	3		-	2	93	7	0
90		30	3		-	3	88	11	1
89		30	4		-	2	83	16	1	0	0
88		29	4		-	3	76	22	2	0	0
87		29	5		-	2	67	29	3	0	0
86		28	5		-	3	57	38	5	0	0
85		28	6		-	2	46	46	7	0	0	0
84		27	6		-	3	35	54	10	1	0	0
83		27	7		-	2	25	59	13	3	1	0	0		0
82		26	7		-	3	16	62	15	5	1	0	0		0
81		25	7		-	4	10	61	17	9	3	0	0		0
80		25	8		-	3	5	57	18	15	4	1	0	0	0	0
79		24	8		-	4	2	50	17	22	6	2	0	0	0	0			0
78		24	9		-	3	1	41	15	30	8	5	0	0	0	0	0		0
77		23	9		-	4	0	31	11	38	9	9	1	0	1	0	0		0
76		23	10		-	3	0	21	7	42	9	15	3	0	1	0	0		0
75		22	10		-	4	0	13	4	43	8	22	5	1	3	0	0	0	0	0			0
74		22	11		-	3	0	7	2	39	6	27	9	3	6	1	0	0	0	0	0		0
73		21	11		-	4	0	3	1	32	3	28	12	7	9	4	1	0	1	0	0		0
72		21	12		-	3	0	1	0	23	1	25	13	13	12	8	2	0	2	0	0		0	0
71		20	12		-	4		0	0	14	0	18	11	19	13	15	5	0	4	0	0		0	0
70		20	13		-	3		0	0	7	0	10	8	22	11	22	9	1	9	1	0	0	0	0
69		19	13		-	4		0	0	3	0	5	4	20	7	24	14	4	15	2	1	0	1	0	0
68		19	14		-	3		0	0	1	0	2	2	14	3	21	17	8	21	6	3	0	3	0	0
67		18	14		-	4		0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1	14	15	12	22	12	7	0	7	0	0	0
66		18	15		-	3		0		0		0	0	4	0	7	10	14	19	17	13	1	14	2	0	0	0
65		17	15		-	4				0		0	0	1	0	3	5	12	11	18	19	2	22	5	0	0	0
64		17	16		-	3				0		0	0	0	0	1	2	8	5	15	21	5	29	12	2	0	0	0	0
63		16	16		-	4						0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9	17	8	30	22	6	1	0	0	0
62		16	17		-	3						0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	11	10	24	30	15	4	1	0	0
61		15	17		-	4								0		0	0	1	0	2	5	8	15	31	25	10	2	0	0	0
60		15	18		-	3								0		0	0	0	0	0	2	6	8	24	31	20	7	2	0	0	0
59		14	18		-	4								0			0	0	0	0	1	3	3	14	28	28	16	5	1	0	0	0
58		14	19		-	3												0	0	0	0	1	1	6	18	29	26	13	4	1	0	0
57		13	19		-	4												0		0	0	1	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	3	0	0	0
56		13	20		-	3												0			0	0	0	0	3	12	25	29	20	8	2	0	0	0
55		12	20		-	4															0	0	0	0	1	5	16	27	28	16	5	1	0	0
54		12	21		-	3															0	0	0	0	0	2	7	19	29	26	13	3	1	0	0
53		11	21		-	4																0		0	0	0	3	11	24	30	22	9	2	0	0	0
52		11	22		-	3																			0	0	1	4	14	27	29	17	6	1	0	0
51		10	22		-	4																				0	0	1	7	19	30	26	13	3	0	0
50		10	23		-	3																					0	0	3	11	25	31	22	8	1	0
49		9	23		-	4																					0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	3	0	0
48		9	24		-	3																						0	0	2	9	22	33	25	8	1	0
47		8	24		-	4																							0	1	4	15	31	32	15	3	0
46		8	25		-	3																								0	1	8	22	37	25	6	1
45		7	25		-	4																								0	0	3	15	34	36	11	1
44		7	26		-	3																										1	10	26	40	20	4
43		6	26		-	4																										0	6	16	43	28	7
42		6	27		-	3																											1	13	39	32	16
41		6	28		-	2																												8	28	33	31
40		6	29		-	1																													43	29	29
39		5	29		-	2																														33	67
38		4	29		-	3																														50	50
37		2	28		-	6																															100
27		0	36		-	0																														0	100

Total:							1	6	2	13	2	9	4	8	4	8	5	4	7	5	5	1	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0