Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Beat Pittsburgh 4-3, playoff odds up 4.4 to 82.9%
27 points   12 5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4 +5.3
+0.2
+0.2
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.3
-0.0
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6 -0.1
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Washington+0.3-0.4-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.1
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
94-99In100.0%10021,014*
93322-2In96.91000327*
92323-1In95.01000980*
91313-2In92.610002,605*
90303-3In88.49916,542*
89304-2In83.0991015,172*
88294-3In75.7982033,615*
87295-2In67.2963069,444*
86285-3In56.99550135,128*
85286-2In46.09280251,030*
84276-3In35.189110444,269*
83277-2In25.0841510751,528*
82267-3In16.37820201,210,048*
81257-4In9.67126301,872,426*
80258-3In5.06233502,773,509*
79248-4In2.353398003,961,792*
78249-3In0.9424513005,419,222*
77239-4In0.3314919107,161,600*
762310-3In0.1215027209,106,216*
752210-4100.0%0.013473640011,195,563*
742211-3100.00.074144700013,257,274*
732111-4100.00.0332501410015,189,458*
722112-3100.00.01235222200016,809,179*
712012-499.9No0144833400018,009,790*
702013-399.7No074043900018,648,917*
691913-499.0No03294917110018,718,154*
681914-396.9No01184927330018,175,631*
671814-492.4No00942347700017,100,588*
661815-384.2No0043135141510015,590,177*
651715-472.2No011930222440013,779,279*
641716-357.2No00102026321010011,792,527*
631616-441.4No05112636193009,793,638*
621617-327.1No02521343091007,874,045*
611517-416.0No012142637183006,149,074*
601518-38.4No000817382981004,643,536*
591418-43.9No000493137162003,404,426*
581419-31.6No00242140276002,413,620*
571319-40.6No0011123536131001,663,497*
561320-30.2No00062641234001,105,900*
551220-40.0No002163933910713,157*
541221-30.0No001932401620446,176*
531121-40.0No000423422650269,199*
521122-3OutNo002143935101156,947*
511022-4OutNo018324117289,073*
501023-3OutNo004234326448,393*
49923-4OutNo02154135825,578*
48924-3OutNo1834431412,896*
47824-4OutNo052747216,344*
46825-3OutNo021849302,985*
45725-4OutNo21148401,325*
44726-3OutNo74350555*
43626-4OutNo53164216*
42627-3OutNo12871101*
41628-2OutNo178336*
40629-1OutNo79314*
39529-2OutNo33673
37-38OutNo1003*
27036-0OutNo010020,881
Total:82.9%0.5%715222112685311000260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNY IslandersColoradoBostonMinnesotaWashingtonSt. LouisLos AngelesPittsburghNY RangersArizonaNew JerseySan JoseAnaheimBuffalo
99360-04.5%0181822644211022100
98350-1NoYes
97351-0NoYes
96341-112.5132563
95331-2No819121541212154
94332-1No19311619108161032
93322-24.001258421136121142110
92323-14.7112576189913942200
91313-24.711347717111113951200
90303-34.101258617111113951100
89304-24.301157617111112952200
88294-34.611157716121212851200
87295-24.411167716121212851200
86285-34.411067816121211851200
85286-24.411067816131311851200
84276-34.411067815131311851200
83277-24.311068815131310851200
82267-34.211168815131210751100
81257-44.211169816121210751100
80258-34.211269816121210751100
79248-44.1113611717111110741100
78249-34.0115612718101010741100
77239-43.91175146189910731100
762310-33.81194175207710721100
752210-43.8121419421669621000
742211-33.6124322322449611000
732111-43.5126224223339611000
722112-33.4127226223228611000
712012-43.3128127124118601000
702013-33.2229128124118600000
1912-53.2229128124117600000
691913-43.1328128123107500000
2014-23.1328128123107500000
681914-33.0527227121106500000
671814-42.8926225219105400000
661815-32.51222322215103300000
651715-42.11518318212102200000
641716-31.6151331328001100000
631616-41.21492925000000000
621617-30.81061513000000000
611517-40.4631312000000000
601518-30.2320201000000000
591418-40.1110100000000000
581419-30.010000000000000
571420-20.000000000000000
561320-30.0000000000000
551321-20.0000000000
541221-30.0000000
531323-0No00
27-52No
Total:2.8%4.920.52.319.62.417.12.42.35.84.30.70.50.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4 -0.9
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
99360-01000
94-98100
93322-29730
92323-19550
91313-29370
90303-388111
89304-28316100
88294-37622200
87295-26729300
86285-35738500
85286-246467000
84276-3355410100
83277-225591331000
82267-316621551000
81257-410611793000
80258-35571815410000
79248-425017226200000
78249-3141153085000000
77239-4031113899101000
762310-3021742915301000
752210-4013443822513000000
742211-3072396279361000000
732111-40313232812794101000
722112-30102312513131282020000
712012-40014018111913155040000
702013-3007010822112291910000
691913-40030542072414415210100
681914-30010221432117821630300
671814-4000000811415122212707000
661815-3000040710141917131142000
651715-40001035121118192225000
641716-300000128515215291220000
631616-4000000429178302261000
621617-300000020411102430154100
611517-400010258153125102000
601518-300000026824312072000
591418-4000001331428281651000
581419-30000116182926134100
571319-40001029223023103000
561320-30000031225292082000
551220-4000015162728165100
541221-30000027192926133100
531121-4000031124302292000
521122-30014142729176100
511022-4001719302613300
501023-300311253122810
49923-4001516303015300
48924-30029223325810
47824-40141531321530
46825-301822372561
45725-4003153436111
44726-31102640204
43626-4061643287
42627-3113393216
41628-28283331
40629-1432929
39529-23367
38429-35050
37228-6100
27036-00100
Total:16213294848547551743211000000000